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and trend analysis Repeated measures and trend analysis Repeated measures and trend analysis Repeated measu

Preface

(ANOVA)
(ANCOVA) (MANCOVA)

(Latent Growth Curve Analysis LGM LGC)

1
2
(initial status/initial level)
(rate of growth change)

(HLM) HLM
(nested)

HLM SEM

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Repeated measures and trend analysis Repeated measures and trend analysis Repeated measures and trend anal

ii

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and trend analysis Repeated measures and trend analysis Repeated measures and trend analysis Repeated measu

Contents
1

23

LGM

67

LGM

105

121

139

183

LGM

213

253

10

LGM

305

11

LGM

361

12

LGM HLM

431

477
iii

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Repeated measures and trend analysis

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SPSS

I
linear trend

quadratic
trendcubic trend

S01
S02
S03
S04
S05
S06
S07
S08
S09
S10

Y1
1
2
3
1
1
3
4
5
3
3

Y2
5
5
4
10
9
4
10
9
2
2

Y3
8
7
11
8
10
11
11
10
8
8

Y4
6
9
14
12
15
10
13
14
13
15

Y5
15
15
17
14
15
16
13
11
15
20

R
MEASURE_1

Greenhouse-Geisser
TIME
Huynh-Feldt

III F
968.200
968.200
968.200
968.200

4
2.313
3.160
1.000

242.050
418.588
306.403
968.200

42.673
42.673
42.673
42.673

.000
.000
.000
.000

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F 42.673p < .001 F

42.673p < .001
0
F Greenhouse-Geisser
Huynh-Feldt

MEASURE_1

TIME

TIME

III

967.210
.864
.090
.036

1
1
1
1

967.210
.864
.090
.036

135.823
.156
.016
.008

.000
.702
.901
.931

F 135.823
p < .001
F .156p = .702 > .05 F
.016p = .901 > .05 F .008p = .931
> .05

MEASURE_1
TIME
1
2
3
4
5

2.600
6.000
9.200
12.100
15.100

.427
1.011
.490
.924
.752

95%

1.634
3.713
8.092
10.009
13.399

3.566
8.287
10.308
14.191
16.801

2.606.009.2012.1015.10

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linear
trend

S01
S02
S03
S04
S05
S06
S07
S08
S09
S10

Y1
27
37
45
31
38
29
43
48
47
33

Y2
20
38
41
29
37
22
37
41
42
28

Y3
17
31
26
22
28
16
30
32
27
21

Y4
9
22
17
13
21
12
26
22
20
17

Y5
7
23
13
11
16
7
22
26
12
11

S11
S12
S13
S14
S15
S16
S17
S18
S19
S20

Y1
50
31
43
36
37
41
26
19
33
32

Y2
44
26
34
32
32
33
24
13
26
28

Y3
36
16
29
25
26
26
17
7
20
15

Y4
20
11
22
17
25
22
11
4
17
8

Y5
17
5
17
4
23
20
7
0
14
5

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MEASURE_1

7568.940

1892.235

197.146

.000

7568.940

1.886

4012.945

197.146

.000

7568.940
7568.940

2.087
1.000

3626.101
7568.940

197.146
197.146

.000
.000

III

Greenhouse-

TIEM Geisser
Huynh-Feldt

F
197.146p < .001 F
197.146p < .01
0
0
F .05
0
MEASURE_1

TIEM

TIEM

III
7478.645
20.089
67.280
2.926

1
1
1
1

7478.645
20.089
67.280
2.926

291.862
3.947
13.217
1.130

.000
.062
.002
.301

F 291.862
p < .001 F 13.217p = .002 < .01

F 3.947p = .062 > .05

F 1.130p = .301 > .05

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MEASURE_1
TIEM
1
2
3
4
5

36.300
31.350
23.350
16.800
13.000

1.830
1.829
1.600
1.362
1.651

95%

32.470
27.523
20.002
13.949
9.544

40.130
35.177
26.698
19.651
16.456

36.3031.3523.3516.8013.00

2 4 F

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0no trend
0

I
quadratic trend

U U

S01
S02
S03
S04
S05

Y1
4
5
5
4
5

Y2
11
8
9
15
12

Y3
9
11
7
11
10

Y4
8
7
4
10
7

Y5
4
5
4
5
5

S06
S07
S08
S09
S10

Y1
3
2
1
4
7

Y2
12
10
11
15
14

Y3
9
12
9
8
14

Y4
6
8
9
11
13

Y5
8
9
10
9
7

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MEASURE_1
III F

Greenhouse-Geisser
TIEM
Huynh-Feldt

356.680
356.680
356.680
356.680

4
2.973
4.000
1.000

89.170
119.988
89.170
356.680

24.371
24.371
24.371
24.371

.000
.000
.000
.001

F
24.371 p < .001 F
24.371 p < .01
0

MEASURE_1

TIEM

TIEM

III
3.240
252.457
88.360
12.623

1
1
1
1

3.240
252.457
88.360
12.623

.568
100.791
37.797
3.089

.470
.000
.000
.113

F .568 p
= .470 > .05 F 3.089p = .113 > .05

F 100.791p < .001

F 37.797p < .001

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MEASURE_1
TIEM
1
2
3
4
5

4.000
11.700
10.000
8.300
6.600

.537
.761
.650
.817
.718

95%

2.784
9.979
8.530
6.451
4.976

5.216
13.421
11.470
10.149
8.224

4.011.710.08.36.6

1 2 3

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10

: MEASURE_1

(I) TIME (J) TIME (I-J) a

1

2
3
4
5
1
3
4
5
1
2
4
5
1
2
3
5
1
2
3
4

-7.700*
-6.000*
-4.300*
-2.600*

7.700*
1.700
3.400*
5.100*
6.000*
-1.700
1.700*
3.400*
4.300*
-3.400*
-1.700*
1.700
2.600*
-5.100*
-3.400*
-1.700

.857
.699
.883
1.127
.857
.907
.581
.912
.699
.907
.684
.921
.883
.581
.684
.857
1.127
.912
.921
.857

.000
.000
.001
.047
.000
.094
.000
.000
.000
.094
.035
.005
.001
.000
.035
.079
.047
.000
.005
.079

95% a

-9.639

-5.761

-7.582

-4.418

-6.296

-2.304

-5.150

-.050

5.761

9.639
3.753
4.715
7.164
7.582
.353
3.247
5.484
6.296
-2.085
-.153
3.639
5.150
-3.036
-1.316
.239

-.353

2.085
3.036
4.418
-3.753
.153
1.316
2.304
-4.715
-3.247
-.239
.050
-7.164
-5.484
-3.639

*. .05 a.

1.

2 1
4 5

2.

3 4
5

3.

4 5 1

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Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5

Y1

Y2

Y3

Y4

Y5

1
.954***
.906***
.796***
.710***
36.30
8.183

1
.925***
.785***
.702***
31.35
8.177

1
.887***
.822***
23.35
7.154

1
.893***
16.80
6.092

1
13.00
7.384

simple auto-regression model

+ 1

21

32

e2

43

e3

54

e4

e5

.954***

.300

R2 = .910
2

.925***

.380

R2 = .856
3

.887***

.462

R2 = .787
4

.893***

R2 = .797
5

.450

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11

12

lagged effects

t
t + 1

rst-order autoregressive model yt = 0 + 1 yt-1 + t

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_T1 _T2
_T3 _T11 _T12 _T21
_T22 _T31 _T32
_T1 _T2 _T3
_T11 _T12 _T21 _T22 _T31
_T32

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13

14

_T1 _T2 _T2 _T3

stability path
_T1 _T2 _T2
_T3
cross-lagged paths

Hoyle, 2011

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( )

2 = 157.379 3RMSEA .271

CFI .942

1 2 .84R2 =
.70 2 _T2 3 _T3
.85R2 = .71 3 _T3 4 _T4
.83R2 = .68 R2
p

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15

16

( )

tt + 1

2 = 246.661 15RMSEA .149

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CFI .936

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17

18

( )

t t + 1
t + 2
_T1 _T2
_T3 _T2 3
_T3 4 _T4
_T1
_T3

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2 = 236.532 11RMSEA .171

CFI .937

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19

20

.57.47.55
.82.83.81

1.

2.

3.

I
Y = AX + B Y = B1 X + B0 Y

X A
B 0 Y
X 0
X Y
X Y
X Y Y = 3X + 2
X Y 3 2
3

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5
4

3
2

1
0

5
0

Y = 0.5X + 3 X 0 Y 0.5X 1
Y 3.5 X 2 Y 4X
Y 0.5 3 0.5

5
3
4

3
2

1
0

5
0

X Y
Y = -2X + 3X 0Y 3X 1Y

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21

22

1X 2Y -1 Y X
X Y
2
3

3
2
2

1
0

4
0

X = 0
X = 1X = 2X = 3
Y = -2X + 20 20 18 16
14 2 20
2 2

20 20

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Repeated measures and trend analysis

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24

latent growth curve modeling;[LGM]/[LGC]

initial status/initial levelrate of

growth change

ANOVAANCOVA
MANCOVA

Byrne, Lam, & Fielding, 2008; Hancock & Mueller, 2006; Stull, 2008
SEMlatent growth modeling[LGM]

LGM
Shin, 2007

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: /
. -- . -- : , 2013.05
;
ISBN 978-957-11-7044-2()
1. 2. 3.
501.28

102004100

1H80

60.2

106 339 4

(02)2705-5066

(02)2706-6100

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wunan@wunan.com.tw
01068953

(04)2223-0891

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