Brexit Q&A: how likely are we to crash out of the EU with no deal?
Possible scenarios range from no deal to May’s deal, Norway plus, second referendum and May’s resignation
Are we more or less likely to crash out now without a deal, after the Brexit delay agreed in Brussels?
We’re much less likely to crash out without a deal next week because the 29 March Brexit deadline has been removed.
The government still needs to change the date in the EU Withdrawal Act – the central piece of Brexit legislation – but it can do that next week with a device called a statutory instrument, which will require a vote in both Houses of Parliament.
That is overwhelmingly likely to go through, as only a small number of MPs, perhaps 20 or so, would prefer a no-deal Brexit to any delay at all.
However, is still very much on the cards for 12 April if the PM’s deal is not passed.
