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ESTACIN SAN MARCOS

AO
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
TOTAL
MEDIA
DEVEST

ENE.
106.10
135.70
122.50
82.30
33.30
37.90
93.60
75.20
56.90
169.90
71.40
0.00
160.70
160.60
20.10
49.90
49.20
76.70
64.30
124.20
76.40
46.50
94.80
92.90
177.80
220.90
89.80
2489.60
92.21
52.81

FEBR.
100.70
140.30
38.40
141.50
115.60
111.60
37.20
167.10
63.00
78.50
128.10
176.00
61.40
95.20
92.90
102.20
35.90
209.10
86.40
21.50
344.30
33.70
65.30
74.00
127.10
174.80
110.80
2932.60
108.61
67.56

MAR.
145.20
51.30
102.40
102.10
96.60
85.70
82.80
208.90
218.20
136.70
191.80
226.60
127.70
118.40
47.40
170.30
73.70
155.40
88.10
161.60
198.40
115.20
68.60
85.10
58.70
227.30
73.30
3417.50
126.57
56.76

ABRIL
235.80
103.00
7.00
42.40
36.50
83.50
88.90
98.80
182.70
213.00
37.90
116.30
39.40
32.60
26.00
76.00
27.10
33.70
30.20
100.70
57.80
17.10
102.70
93.70
106.50
354.20
46.40
2389.90
88.51
78.47

MAYO
27.20
19.80
12.20
6.60
17.90
45.20
24.40
25.30
17.60
35.60
23.80
28.50
52.20
7.20
21.50
39.40
0.00
37.50
26.00
29.80
63.90
19.70
25.70
5.60
2.60
28.40
17.70
661.30
24.49
14.85

JUNIO
28.30
0.70
1.80
5.70
12.30
14.80
19.90
17.20
6.90
23.60
26.20
14.10
9.90
1.90
0.00
0.00
0.00
16.60
0.30
0.00
2.00
0.00
9.00
2.70
5.90
32.00
18.80
270.60
10.02
9.92

JULIO
26.60
2.30
9.20
19.60
0.80
2.50
3.40
7.20
0.00
5.80
3.70
14.10
10.90
3.00
6.70
1.80
0.00
0.00
0.00
5.60
14.50
1.30
1.20
4.90
1.10
13.30
0.70
160.20
5.93
6.71

AGOST.
16.00
8.10
0.30
0.40
9.10
1.80
3.60
0.80
24.70
5.60
12.00
11.40
8.10
2.30
0.00
18.40
3.80
10.50
0.00
1.90
12.60
12.90
24.30
3.80
1.00
1.50
4.10
199.00
7.37
7.23

SETIE.
65.50
48.90
29.20
13.60
54.00
30.20
29.90
9.20
32.70
45.40
37.60
54.10
69.40
40.00
20.20
67.40
1.50
12.60
59.70
27.80
19.80
18.10
1.20
42.50
1.00
33.60
15.90
881.00
32.63
20.59

OCTU.
141.90
71.20
98.10
108.60
98.40
68.80
119.20
72.00
28.40
108.80
51.20
55.90
59.60
42.50
60.40
0.00
115.10
73.40
133.20
44.20
47.30
34.10
16.50
29.10
48.00
73.40
146.30
1945.60
72.06
39.01

NOV.
20.30
78.50
57.60
22.30
20.20
136.50
105.10
69.30
64.60
64.10
46.20
31.10
25.50
79.80
80.20
57.10
135.50
150.00
71.00
32.60
59.50
32.60
64.10
117.50
148.00
1.50
224.90
1995.60
73.91
51.08

DIC.
106.50
84.50
38.20
38.80
65.10
106.90
79.30
82.50
138.40
100.10
19.80
14.80
59.90
6.90
44.10
44.30
192.30
91.80
154.60
109.00
51.80
86.30
63.50
102.40
29.80
5.80
64.20
1981.60
73.39
45.14

DATOS
REA DE LA CUENCA:
457.5 Km2
PENDIENTE DEL CAUCE PRINCIPAL:
4.3 %
TEMPERATURA MEDIA:
15C
COEFICIENTE DE ESCORRENTA:
RELIEVE:
20
INFILTRACIN:
15
COBERTURA:
10
ALMACENAMIENTO: 10
TOTAL
55
Ce =
0.55
COEFICIENTE DE AGOTAMIENTO:

a=

0.014563

RETENCIN EN LA CUENCA:
POR ACUFEROS
LA=

19403.719 mm*km2/ao

LA=

1000 mm*km2/ao

POR LAGUNAS Y PANTANOS

TOTAL DE RETENCIN =

TOTAL= 20403.719 mm*km2/ao


44.598292 mm/ao

PRECIPITACION EFECTIVA: ESTACION GENERADA (MICROCUENCA DEL RIO NAMORA)


MENSUAL (TOTAL):
AO
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86

ENE.
58.36
74.64
67.38
45.27
18.32
20.85
51.48
41.36
31.30
93.45
39.27
0.00
88.39
88.33
11.06
27.45
27.06
42.19
35.37
68.31
42.02
25.58
52.14

mm
FEBR.
55.39
77.17
21.12
77.83
63.58
61.38
20.46
91.91
34.65
43.18
70.46
96.80
33.77
52.36
51.10
56.21
19.75
115.01
47.52
11.83
189.37
18.54
35.92

MAR.
79.86
28.22
56.32
56.16
53.13
47.14
45.54
114.90
120.01
75.19
105.49
124.63
70.24
65.12
26.07
93.67
40.54
85.47
48.46
88.88
109.12
63.36
37.73

ABRIL
129.69
56.65
3.85
23.32
20.08
45.93
48.90
54.34
100.49
117.15
20.85
63.97
21.67
17.93
14.30
41.80
14.91
18.54
16.61
55.39
31.79
9.41
56.49

MAYO
14.96
10.89
6.71
3.63
9.85
24.86
13.42
13.92
9.68
19.58
13.09
15.68
28.71
3.96
11.83
21.67
0.00
20.63
14.30
16.39
35.15
10.84
14.14

JUNIO
15.57
0.39
0.99
3.14
6.77
8.14
10.95
9.46
3.80
12.98
14.41
7.76
5.45
1.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
9.13
0.17
0.00
1.10
0.00
4.95

JULIO
14.63
1.27
5.06
10.78
0.44
1.38
1.87
3.96
0.00
3.19
2.04
7.76
6.00
1.65
3.69
0.99
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.08
7.98
0.72
0.66

AGOST.
8.80
4.46
0.17
0.22
5.01
0.99
1.98
0.44
13.59
3.08
6.60
6.27
4.46
1.27
0.00
10.12
2.09
5.78
0.00
1.05
6.93
7.10
13.37

SETIE.
36.03
26.90
16.06
7.48
29.70
16.61
16.45
5.06
17.99
24.97
20.68
29.76
38.17
22.00
11.11
37.07
0.83
6.93
32.84
15.29
10.89
9.96
0.66

OCTU.
78.05
39.16
53.96
59.73
54.12
37.84
65.56
39.60
15.62
59.84
28.16
30.75
32.78
23.38
33.22
0.00
63.31
40.37
73.26
24.31
26.02
18.76
9.08

NOV.
11.17
43.18
31.68
12.27
11.11
75.08
57.81
38.12
35.53
35.26
25.41
17.11
14.03
43.89
44.11
31.41
74.53
82.50
39.05
17.93
32.73
17.93
35.26

DIC.
58.58
46.48
21.01
21.34
35.81
58.80
43.62
45.38
76.12
55.06
10.89
8.14
32.95
3.80
24.26
24.37
105.77
50.49
85.03
59.95
28.49
47.47
34.93

87
51.10
88
97.79
89
121.50
90
49.39
TOTAL
1369.28
MEDIA
50.71
DESV. EST.29.04713

MES

1
ENERO
FEBRERO
MARZO
ABRIL
MAYO
JUNIO
JULIO
AGOSTO
SETIEMBRE
OCTUBRE
NOVIEMBRE
DICIEMBRE
AO

N Das
2
31
28
31
30
31
30
31
31
30
31
30
31
365

40.70
69.91
96.14
60.94
1612.93
59.74
37.16064

46.81
32.29
125.02
40.32
1879.63
69.62
31.217078

51.54
58.58
194.81
25.52
1314.45
48.68
43.15879

3.08
1.49
2.70
2.09
23.38
16.01
64.63
56.32
1.43
3.25
0.61
0.55
0.55
26.40
81.40
16.39
15.62
17.60
7.32
0.83
18.48
40.37
0.83
3.19
9.74
10.34
0.39
2.26
8.75
80.47
123.70
35.31
363.72
148.83
88.11
109.45
484.55
1070.08
1097.58
1089.88
13.47
5.51
3.26
4.05
17.95
39.63
40.65
40.37
8.1673529 5.4563628 3.6908364 3.9750967 11.325849 21.457984 28.095147 24.827982

PRECIPITACION MENSUALCONTRIBUCION DE LA RETENSION


TOTAL EFECTIVA
GASTO
ABASTECIMIENTO
bi
Gi
ai
Ai
mm/mes
mm/mes
mm/mes
3
4
5
6
7
8
92.21
50.71
0.13
5.75
108.61
59.74
0.15
6.77
126.57
69.62
0.18
7.89
88.51
48.68
0.12
5.52
24.49
13.47
0.65
18.01
10.02
5.51
0.41
11.47
5.93
3.26
0.27
7.41
7.37
4.05
0.17
4.72
32.63
17.95
0.11
3.00
72.06
39.63
0.16
7.17
73.91
40.65
0.16
7.28
73.39
40.37
0.17
7.70
715.72
393.65
1.60
44.60
1.08
48.06

CAUDALES MENSUALES
GENERADOS
VOLUMEN
mm/mes
m3/seg
MMC
9
10
11
44.97
7.68
19.91
52.97
9.05
23.45
61.73
10.54
27.33
43.17
7.37
19.11
31.48
5.38
13.94
16.98
2.90
7.52
10.67
1.82
4.72
8.77
1.50
3.88
20.95
3.58
9.28
32.47
5.55
14.37
33.37
5.70
14.77
32.67
5.58
14.46
390.19
66.65
172.75

CLCULO DELOS PARMETROS DE LA CORRELACIN MLTIPLE ENTRE: Qt, Qt-1,PE

Qt
7.68
9.05
10.54
7.37
5.38
2.90
1.82
1.50
3.58
5.55
5.70
5.58
66.65

Qt-1
5.58
7.68
9.05
10.54
7.37
5.38
2.90
1.82
1.50
3.58
5.55
5.70
66.65

PE
50.71
59.74
69.62
48.68
13.47
5.51
3.26
4.05
17.95
39.63
40.65
40.37
393.65

(Qt-1)^2
31.14
59.00
81.86
111.17
54.37
28.91
8.41
3.32
2.24
12.80
30.75
32.49
456.48

(PE)^2
2571.92
3568.65
4846.35
2370.05
181.47
30.38
10.65
16.43
322.07
1570.74
1652.51
1629.41
18770.63

Qt-1*PE
283.01127
458.85455
629.87444
513.31137
99.327816
29.638202
9.463458
7.3883348
26.883048
141.81817
225.43627
230.08173
2655.09

Qt*PE
389.53975
540.50323
734.02302
358.96499
72.430683
15.985092
5.9477951
6.0723344
64.217621
219.78794
231.70726
225.26315
2864.44

Qt-1*QT
42.864574
69.497602
95.400086
77.745573
39.645927
15.592421
5.2854624
2.7302237
5.3602255
19.84407
31.60957
31.808446
437.38

PARMETROS PARA LA GENERACIN SINTTICA DE CAUDALES


PARMETROS
VALOR
B1
0.97
B2
0.26
B3
S
R^2
R

0.094
0.75
0.9409
0.97

Q =0.97+0.26*Qt-1+0.094*Pe+Z*(0.75)*(1-(0,9409)^0.5)

NMEROS ALEATORIOS PARA LA GENERACIN SINTTICA DE CAUDALES


AO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969

ENE
-0.30023
-1.84691
-0.18616
-0.52380
-1.74248
0.69399
0.86201

FEB
-1.27768
-0.97763
-0.51321
0.67514
-0.73648
0.32264
-0.63653

MAR
0.24426
-0.77351
1.97221
-0.38132
-2.57758
-0.93984
-0.92319

ABR
1.27647
-2.11793
0.86567
0.75761
1.44767
-0.24095
1.11119

MAY
1.19835
-0.56792
2.37565
-1.44419
-1.27976
0.13154
-1.20118

JUN
1.73313
-0.40405
-0.65491
-0.84724
-0.65358
0.55780
-1.55889

JUL
-2.18359
0.13485
1.66146
-1.52157
0.75771
0.13871
0.71132

AGO
-0.23418
-0.36549
-1.61240
-0.36288
0.46671
-0.91096
0.63841

SEP
1.09502
-0.32699
0.53895
-0.03248
0.87461
1.88485
2.20569

OCT
-1.08670
-0.37024
0.90219
0.02812
0.59574
0.48720
1.44375

NOV
-0.69020
1.34264
1.91892
-0.32272
-1.37185
0.07224
1.30390

DIC
-1.69043
-0.08528
-0.08452
2.19450
-1.11574
0.82984
0.11296

1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990

0.00195
-0.83992
0.04174
1.03827
1.99296
1.26669
0.46382
-0.00991
0.25823
-0.16348
0.23536
1.19070
-0.94150
-0.64376
-0.06948
-0.73137
-0.56191
0.97640
-0.62756
0.58083
-0.79462

0.45370
-0.82113
-0.65405
0.14350
-0.56649
-0.28889
1.46714
1.03919
1.47617
-0.43967
0.14822
-0.87820
-0.89532
-0.96610
-0.05384
-0.30111
-0.73367
1.94920
0.87899
-0.33888
-0.74675

-0.02551
-0.42899
-0.54959
1.14104
0.08613
-1.30588
-1.72258
0.43470
0.08528
-0.80262
0.75242
-2.14538
1.04657
1.19397
0.21465
-1.33964
-1.72461
-0.06089
-0.83829
0.41261
0.58672

-1.05468
-0.45336
0.84932
-0.14830
-0.23426
0.76425
0.04549
1.45336
-1.11674
0.64480
-0.73618
-0.89818
1.62659
0.91875
-0.35203
1.35308
1.37460
-1.02966
-0.11489
-2.04895
1.28394

-1.77481
-0.52380
0.80305
-0.77982
2.83537
0.78428
1.35403
-0.12120
-1.38991
0.05882
0.61642
0.20198
-0.67207
-1.72937
0.92812
1.04512
-0.96537
-0.56936
-0.23214
1.16770
-1.43535

0.82833
0.84943
0.45642
1.07599
1.25198
0.42815
1.68820
-0.96172
0.19145
1.26345
0.21911
0.42908
-0.17193
1.27199
-0.49427
0.18437
1.54587
0.84757
1.51842
-1.94869
0.96928

0.44422
0.51321
0.69137
-0.58182
0.88091
0.40388
0.23867
-1.53859
0.95108
0.26219
0.11435
-0.98494
0.11273
-0.19980
2.34348
-2.19112
-1.16725
0.87237
-1.31745
-0.51731
1.58763

0.61791
-0.60830
1.63062
0.53391
1.33216
-0.64810
0.14505
-2.56507
-1.50879
0.05714
0.86812
-0.85924
1.84481
-1.13490
0.74402
0.50554
-0.40903
0.51077
-0.93544
-0.97640
-0.66690

0.21347
1.30498
0.30391
0.54577
0.18787
0.72310
1.85454
0.10319
-0.60996
0.22695
1.80284
0.46169
0.59501
-1.87901
0.61061
0.52625
-1.30785
-1.48603
-0.16735
-0.10050
0.08313

-1.02693
-1.76094
0.58900
-0.31644
0.54196
0.52529
-0.04258
0.29919
0.52353
0.21449
-1.30839
0.12159
1.65480
-0.82489
-0.98109
1.21611
1.58980
-1.39617
-1.06110
0.13478
-0.82833

1.23820
0.55057
1.85284
-0.44077
-0.24962
1.07504
-0.65690
-0.01779
-0.21676
-0.00746
-1.23425
-0.54010
0.17706
0.47338
0.87170
-0.95820
0.02881
-0.14381
-1.43406
1.73554
0.69555

-0.31121
-0.11627
-0.33556
-1.36599
-1.22109
-2.76945
0.90738
0.20050
-0.34358
-1.22383
0.56003
0.10250
1.56018
0.91770
1.44723
1.20560
0.33046
-0.62896
-2.16329
-0.50659
0.23922

SEP
5.953976
4.836482
3.975878
3.065170
5.319238
4.272974
4.315962

OCT
9.506065
5.981507
7.604237
7.987719
7.563873
6.013762
8.793850

NOV
3.291638
6.671224
5.695765
3.462042
3.162184
9.438193
8.039381

DIC
7.565808
6.721072
4.327502
4.774053
5.530211
8.046006
6.488378

CAUDALES GENERADOS

AO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969

ENE
7.851566
9.099882
8.720245
6.580344
3.824842
4.506902
7.417226

FEB
MAR
ABR
7.940317 10.873822 15.746045
10.042345 5.833625 8.261388
4.858793 8.976118 3.842184
10.405732 8.531491 5.652661
8.809324 7.846700 5.473449
8.795631 7.581778 7.595465
4.774267 7.434883 8.121179

MAY
5.336154
4.631531
4.775310
3.789323
4.403512
6.072243
4.753891

JUN
4.666219
2.849629
2.860761
3.027323
3.403853
3.753971
3.631708

JUL
3.345061
2.511470
3.146543
3.103866
2.547485
2.522514
2.673447

AGO
3.152474
2.720102
2.089496
2.322489
2.923537
2.294938
2.670492

1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

6.309133
5.209525
11.212378
6.301624
2.784310
10.960080
10.808524
3.458301
5.047850
4.934771
6.429240
5.962346
8.670414
6.253441
4.812319
7.188747
7.121414
11.791222
13.727044
7.169498

11.688878
6.074470
6.906283
9.616020
11.962998
6.088793
8.156427
7.959490
8.519974
4.742951
13.804580
7.273844
3.915393
20.591248
4.699558
6.288194
6.659116
9.893551
12.164511
8.633658

14.117925 8.238110
14.525170 12.685376
10.289630 14.489403
13.446552 5.254838
15.053371 9.292445
9.686439 5.498773
9.129651 5.016162
5.852286 4.931637
12.142507 7.048034
6.986396 4.841082
11.493816 4.930511
7.486053 4.720024
11.867987 8.825211
13.797422 6.478222
9.317424 4.142332
6.624813 8.878742
7.407671 8.417366
6.346135 8.640761
14.921013 21.613640
7.187288 5.347746

4.695832
4.525837
5.698358
4.799697
5.701839
6.553157
4.330539
4.800871
5.494979
3.722145
5.762562
5.092447
5.129543
6.699737
4.899134
5.230665
3.824926
3.742029
5.137375
4.839415

3.927377
3.398714
4.190447
4.437833
3.844351
3.477004
3.293147
2.711760
2.922016
3.117472
3.785279
2.980852
2.855761
3.222430
2.796989
3.386025
3.308556
3.346675
4.818360
3.503766

2.821207
2.461544
2.793888
2.453179
3.257557
3.005141
2.566588
2.433833
2.634441
2.415777
2.388821
2.188390
2.678046
3.081193
2.862465
2.030508
2.408479
2.583900
2.815373
2.309841

2.521994
3.534051
2.954802
3.085720
3.200244
2.668575
2.513329
1.900287
3.044156
2.574850
3.069106
2.211309
2.802564
2.812467
3.170559
3.716457
2.489854
2.512799
2.274964
2.401917

2.882534
4.296497
4.770564
4.411402
5.199196
6.087794
4.774108
3.431126
5.741339
2.486902
3.348101
5.538641
3.913720
3.049035
3.415073
2.525963
4.326763
2.148727
4.074579
3.171679

5.903133
3.515183
8.100323
4.957316
5.356816
5.545067
4.557458
5.545203
2.463427
8.357750
5.924195
9.276581
4.954830
4.662982
3.952061
3.442753
4.162308
4.595010
5.969283
9.956256

6.176541 6.576479
5.808177 9.502052
6.019767 7.481960
4.676148 3.142572
3.930329 2.910493
3.882332 4.959852
6.373861 2.890143
6.511069 4.684499
5.280520 4.595638
9.371962 12.086742
9.897932 7.216142
5.940197 10.379480
4.085675 8.287738
5.530432 5.213355
4.212327 7.093554
5.507235 5.870737
8.447974 7.722305
9.993351 3.793954
2.184052 2.273403
14.311741 5.594747

anual
1020.10
744.30
516.90
583.90
559.80
725.40
687.30
833.50
834.10
987.10
649.70
742.90
684.70
590.40
419.50
626.80
634.10
867.30
713.80
658.90
948.30
417.50
536.90
654.20
707.50
1166.70
812.90

acumulado
1020.10
1764.40
2281.30
2865.20
3425.00
4150.40
4837.70
5671.20
6505.30
7492.40
8142.10
8885.00
9569.70
10160.10
10579.60
11206.40
11840.50
12707.80
13421.60
14080.50
15028.80
15446.30
15983.20
16637.40
17344.90
18511.60
19324.50

ESTACIN GENERADA
AO

ENE.
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92

TOTAL
MEDIA
DEVEST

FEBR.
55.02
55.42
55.83
50.22
96.83
46.45
33.64
56.87
46.77
45.25
76.33
51.26
75.05
104.44
104.04
5.69
67.36
27.95
62.63
57.43
93.39
19.78
19.70
67.60
78.65
87.86
69.68
81.53
66.29
66.69
1825.66
60.86
24.55

66.43
67.39
68.36
38.86
118.09
68.57
62.39
35.39
82.79
57.23
59.85
108.53
133.84
53.25
123.94
29.12
69.08
35.89
157.88
87.11
64.08
197.76
35.89
40.38
80.59
89.31
134.43
57.99
93.42
94.39
2412.25
80.41
39.68

MAR.
83.34
82.44
57.87
38.94
77.95
48.37
59.66
57.08
196.97
81.30
65.44
68.02
142.46
58.09
101.38
6.29
114.10
46.44
75.52
54.08
109.17
88.45
26.58
69.16
28.01
32.01
81.09
41.65
58.03
57.12
2107.00
70.23
37.11

ABRIL
34.40
35.18
55.68
34.15
23.03
18.96
61.09
38.85
38.99
54.32
70.15
41.70
50.40
39.35
30.37
26.38
26.45
20.89
24.02
63.23
75.35
57.03
29.87
85.69
37.21
68.15
60.88
55.40
56.18
56.96
1370.32
45.68
17.76

MAYO

JUNIO

32.79
33.03
13.60
52.30
57.66
19.48
1.96
44.19
10.46
23.67
36.48
6.01
87.34
56.22
33.34
85.77
21.31
9.02
19.22
49.95
40.66
90.87
69.30
21.18
14.64
13.86
24.58
39.22
39.46
39.70
1087.31
36.24
24.13

DATOS
REA DE LA CUENCA:
116.23 Km2
PENDIENTE DEL CAUCE PRINCIPAL:
7.75 %
TEMPERATURA MEDIA:
15C
COEFICIENTE DE ESCORRENTA:
RELIEVE:
20
INFILTRACIN:
15
COBERTURA:
15
ALMACENAMIENTO:
15

11.69
11.59
0.00
0.00
10.70
1.66
20.36
20.67
12.67
4.57
29.81
18.28
10.39
23.89
8.31
4.05
1.87
15.69
6.86
8.10
10.49
26.07
0.42
0.62
4.16
5.61
11.12
8.92
8.82
8.72
306.11
10.20
7.95

TOTAL
Ce =

65
0.65

COEFICIENTE DE AGOTAMIENTO: a =

0.01801596

RETENCIN EN LA CUENCA:
POR ACUFEROS
LA=

4478.48719 mm*km2/ao

LA=

0 mm*km2/ao

TOTAL=

4478.48719 mm*km2/ao
38.53125 mm/ao

POR LAGUNAS Y PANTANOS

TOTAL DE RETENCIN =

PRECIPITACION EFECTIVA: ESTACION GENERADA


MENSUAL (TOTAL):
AO
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92

ENE.
35.76
36.03
36.29
32.64
62.94
30.19
21.87
36.96
30.40
29.41
49.61
33.32
48.78
67.89
67.63
3.70
43.78
18.17
40.71
37.33
60.70
12.86
12.81
43.94
51.12
57.11
45.29
53.00
43.09
43.35

mm
FEBR.
43.18
43.80
44.43
25.26
76.76
44.57
40.55
23.00
53.82
37.20
38.90
70.54
87.00
34.61
80.56
18.93
44.90
23.33
102.62
56.62
41.65
128.54
23.33
26.25
52.38
58.05
87.38
37.69
60.73
61.35

MAR.
54.17
53.59
37.62
25.31
50.67
31.44
38.78
37.11
128.03
52.85
42.54
44.21
92.60
37.76
65.90
4.09
74.16
30.19
49.09
35.15
70.96
57.49
17.28
44.95
18.20
20.80
52.71
27.07
37.72
37.13

ABRIL
22.36
22.86
36.19
22.20
14.97
12.33
39.71
25.25
25.35
35.31
45.60
27.11
32.76
25.58
19.74
17.14
17.19
13.58
15.62
41.10
48.98
37.07
19.42
55.70
24.19
44.30
39.57
36.01
36.52
37.02

MAYO
21.31
21.47
8.84
34.00
37.48
12.66
1.27
28.73
6.80
15.38
23.71
3.91
56.77
36.55
21.67
55.75
13.85
5.86
12.49
32.47
26.43
59.07
45.04
13.77
9.52
9.01
15.98
25.49
25.65
25.80

JUNIO
7.60
7.53
0.00
0.00
6.95
1.08
13.23
13.44
8.24
2.97
19.38
11.88
6.75
15.53
5.40
2.63
1.22
10.20
4.46
5.27
6.82
16.95
0.27
0.41
2.70
3.65
7.22
5.80
5.73
5.67

TOTAL
MEDIA
DESV. EST.

1186.68
39.56
15.9593318

MES

1
ENERO
FEBRERO
MARZO
ABRIL
MAYO
JUNIO
JULIO
AGOSTO
SETIEMBRE
OCTUBRE
NOVIEMBRE
DICIEMBRE
AO

N Das
2
31
28
31
30
31
30
31
31
30
31
30
31
365

1567.96
52.27
25.7935247

1369.55
45.65
24.1243288

890.71
29.69
11.5434175

PRECIPITACION MENSUAL
TOTAL
EFECTIVA
bi
mm/mes
3
4
5
60.86
39.56
80.41
52.27
70.23
45.65
45.68
29.69
36.24
23.56
10.20
6.63
11.74
7.63
16.38
10.65
29.78
19.36
83.47
54.25
52.49
34.12
38.12
24.78
535.60
348.14

706.75
23.56
15.6818496

198.97
6.63
5.16882236

CONTRIBUCION DE LA RETENSION
GASTO
ABASTECIMIENTO
Gi
ai
mm/mes
6
7
0.11
0.15
0.13
0.09
0.58
17.47
0.33
10.00
0.19
5.82
0.11
3.33
0.06
1.91
0.22
0.16
0.14
1.28
38.53
1.00

CLCULO DELOS PARMETROS DE LA CORRELACIN MLTIPLE ENTR


Qt
1.53
2.02
1.76
1.15
1.78
0.72
0.58
0.61
0.92
1.99
1.22
0.84

Qt-1
0.84
1.53
2.02
1.76
1.15
1.78
0.72
0.58
0.61
0.92
1.99
1.22
1.26

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin

PE
39.56
52.27
45.65
29.69
23.56
6.63
7.63
10.65
19.36
54.25
34.12
24.78

Coeficiente de 0.89279255
correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de 0.79707854
determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado 0.75198489
Error tpico
0.26795747
Observaciones
12

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
F
Valor crtico de F
Regresin
2 2.53832603 1.26916302 17.6760679 0.00076379
Residuos
9 0.64621087 0.07180121
Total
11
3.1845369
Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%
Intercepcin 0.42352894 0.22282603 1.90071572 0.08978527 -0.08053895 0.92759682
Variable X 1 -0.00387952 0.15733336 -0.02465798 0.98086584 -0.35979257 0.35203353
Variable X 2 0.02898845 0.00510195 5.68184192 0.00030116 0.01744704 0.04052986

Anlisis de los residuales


Observacin
Pronstico para YResiduos
Residuos estndares
1 1.56693569 -0.04037825 -0.16659299
2 1.93269735 0.08434973 0.34801095
3 1.73907694 0.02273571 0.09380323
4 1.27736605 -0.13154942 -0.54274789
5 1.10200389 0.67864587 2.79996384
6 0.60888612 0.11274839 0.46517842
7 0.64191483 -0.05811864 -0.23978644
8 0.72995469 -0.12329594 -0.5086956
9 0.98236997 -0.05957486 -0.24579456
10 1.99264564 0.00076801 0.00316865
11 1.40476087 -0.1884713 -0.77759674
12 1.13717155 -0.2978593 -1.22891087

PARMETROS PARA LA GENERACIN SINTTICA DE CAUDALES


PARMETROS
VALOR
B1
0.42352894
B2
-0.00387952
B3
S
R^2
R

0.02898845
0.24237665
0.79707854
0.89279255

Q =0.4235894-0.003879523Qt-1+0.028984

NMEROS ALEATORIOS PARA LA GENERACIN SINTTICA DE


AO
1963
1964

ENE
FEB
MAR
ABR
MAY
-0.30023216 -1.27768317 0.24425731 1.27647354 1.19835022
-1.84691089 -0.9776295 -0.77350705 -2.11793122 -0.56792487

1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992

-0.18615765
-0.52379505
-1.74248271
0.69399448
0.86200771
0.00195087
-0.83992177
0.04174126
1.0382746
1.99295755
1.2666851
0.46381501
-0.00990667
0.25823283
-0.16347599
0.23536131
1.19069909
-0.94150437
-0.64376081
-0.06947857
-0.73137016
-0.56191311
0.97639713
-0.62756385
0.58082605
-0.79462438
0.0466423
0.07929657

-0.5132074
0.67513838
-0.73647698
0.32263642
-0.63653147
0.45370143
-0.8211282
-0.65405402
0.14350462
-0.56648787
-0.28888735
1.46713774
1.03919319
1.47617357
-0.4396702
0.14822149
-0.87820354
-0.89531795
-0.96609938
-0.05384209
-0.3011121
-0.73367119
1.94920176
0.87899025
-0.33887659
-0.74674972
-1.02978674
1.00628313

1.97221198
-0.38132384
-2.57758074
-0.93983772
-0.92319169
-0.02551474
-0.42899273
-0.54959401
1.14104068
0.08612915
-1.30587523
-1.72258297
0.43470436
0.08528446
-0.80262225
0.75242383
-2.14537977
1.04657147
1.193971
0.21464757
-1.33963567
-1.72461114
-0.06089181
-0.83829036
0.4126116
0.58672185
-0.2995921
1.03539378

0.86567297
0.75761136
1.44767
-0.24094788
1.11118879
-1.05467507
-0.45336151
0.84932026
-0.1482988
-0.23426082
0.76425408
0.04549406
1.45336344
-1.11673671
0.6447965
-0.73617684
-0.89817831
1.62659035
0.91875108
-0.35203129
1.35307801
1.3746012
-1.02965714
-0.1148851
-2.04894604
1.28393822
0.72458988
0.1051103

2.37565473
-1.44418664
-1.27976364
0.13153567
-1.20117875
-1.77480615
-0.52379505
0.80304517
-0.77981667
2.83536792
0.78428229
1.35403297
-0.12120154
-1.38991254
0.05882271
0.61642481
0.20198286
-0.67206656
-1.7293678
0.92812343
1.04511855
-0.96536724
-0.56936415
-0.23213715
1.16770025
-1.43534635
-0.00967702
-0.76169499

CAUDALES GENRADOS

AO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975

ENE
1.42425419
1.26296266
1.45186797
1.3093182
2.05458158
1.37135015
1.14823088
1.49197985
1.20990926
1.27749803
1.97185132
1.60372354
1.9726435

FEB
1.52977098
1.58069898
1.6495732
1.22348284
2.56239603
1.7448847
1.52371577
1.13390555
1.88798621
1.42449995
1.56102863
2.40070675
2.90795853

MAR
2.01279213
1.88463194
1.72146326
1.10775247
1.60298767
1.2244716
1.43898976
1.48853731
4.08035755
1.88768094
1.77341147
1.70669658
2.95746106

ABR
1.20321866
0.84726457
1.55930333
1.14184157
1.00763628
0.74670243
1.68819692
1.0326257
1.1009654
1.53199603
1.72127587
1.17593118
1.44882918

MAY
1.16538101
0.97702167
0.93230169
1.24450102
1.36346568
0.79814953
0.32250151
1.05565243
0.55660199
0.95030592
1.01892888
0.83959882
2.1480885

1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992

2.43884057
2.37957251
0.55561683
1.67161625
0.97266239
1.73042942
1.39953466
2.10964996
0.78544613
0.71166971
1.63264115
2.00886061
2.00728729
1.79664658
1.86982455
1.67435011
1.6854948

1.58112699
2.86633257
1.12750277
1.67122458
1.11012311
3.29663091
1.96123736
1.51963509
4.13794124
1.06106355
1.09837713
2.14898571
2.1964348
2.91366643
1.42873529
2.06552012
2.30599146

1.32209332
2.37343367
0.54348158
2.47796355
1.3728901
1.60440561
1.54905014
2.60306919
2.10574378
0.77022738
1.53053395
0.93676853
0.92727746
1.98869876
1.26460241
1.47635782
1.60507781

1.16214819
1.14661326
0.79077985
0.98445247
0.72889979
0.77031525
1.78476765
1.93583719
1.45187267
1.12626101
2.18038034
1.00446235
1.68731291
1.33913435
1.59977236
1.55335806
1.50037844

1.62393042
1.03170916
1.88113889
0.82470258
0.65399363
0.80091372
1.28445641
0.99409311
2.23031391
1.83657414
0.7104148
0.63046563
0.65250275
1.00736607
0.99899577
1.1591423
1.08152253

ALTITUD

JULIO
15.22
14.98
10.32
12.69
48.04
2.81
0.51
5.41
29.77
5.75
14.21
11.00
12.18
0.17
12.69
7.44
12.69
5.41
12.18
3.55
16.24
39.58
8.12
2.03
18.27
0.00
5.41
8.74
8.50
8.26
352.16
11.74
10.79

3021.74277 m.s.n.m.

AGOST.
SETIE.
OCTU.
NOV.
DIC.
anual
20.95
31.13
88.82
52.06
37.77
529.62
20.63
31.03
88.45
52.09
37.80
530.03
36.58
47.61
95.90
57.64
39.57
538.94
1.01
12.52
88.10
54.76
10.90
394.44
8.38
23.80
115.86
15.55
21.39
617.28
23.41
47.80
76.17
47.69
41.26
442.64
20.81
17.59
94.18
92.92
94.77
559.88
3.61
17.40
118.15
44.89
31.53
474.05
24.86
26.86
103.01
40.00
38.76
651.93
28.91
30.79
36.02
58.08
29.26
455.15
27.89
83.36
75.13
59.56
42.14
640.36
34.11
37.00
80.87
47.07
44.53
548.38
27.89
43.11
92.00
56.86
0.52
732.04
6.36
11.76
36.94
62.53
25.88
478.87
0.14
15.39
62.40
47.86
39.75
579.61
5.49
22.75
27.99
47.16
26.17
294.30
22.69
32.12
27.99
31.70
27.16
454.51
8.09
2.20
149.58
96.94
62.19
480.30
18.35
21.03
137.54
39.82
64.87
639.93
9.54
41.97
143.16
58.78
50.94
627.83
3.90
18.35
99.68
24.54
69.01
624.87
27.03
35.08
78.69
85.24
60.67
806.26
26.45
35.66
57.35
20.87
23.49
353.70
21.10
1.24
50.01
57.82
30.19
447.03
17.78
37.76
42.67
64.89
39.34
463.97
0.58
31.45
79.61
56.94
36.95
502.33
8.53
51.14
122.28
41.66
1.57
612.38
12.45
28.63
78.85
52.86
38.43
504.66
12.13
28.53
78.48
52.89
38.45
541.18
11.82
28.44
78.11
52.92
38.48
541.59
491.48
893.50
2503.96
1574.58
1143.74
16.38
29.78
83.47
52.49
38.12
10.49
16.08
32.38
17.94
19.29

0.01801596

mm*km2/ao

mm*km2/ao

mm*km2/ao

JULIO
9.89
9.73
6.71
8.25
31.23
1.83
0.33
3.52
19.35
3.74
9.24
7.15
7.92
0.11
8.25
4.84
8.25
3.52
7.92
2.31
10.56
25.73
5.28
1.32
11.87
0.00
3.52
5.68
5.53
5.37

AGOST.
13.62
13.41
23.78
0.66
5.45
15.22
13.53
2.35
16.16
18.79
18.13
22.17
18.13
4.13
0.09
3.57
14.75
5.26
11.93
6.20
2.54
17.57
17.19
13.72
11.55
0.38
5.54
8.09
7.89
7.68

SETIE.
20.23
20.17
30.94
8.14
15.47
31.07
11.43
11.31
17.46
20.01
54.18
24.05
28.02
7.64
10.00
14.79
20.88
1.43
13.67
27.28
11.93
22.80
23.18
0.81
24.54
20.44
33.24
18.61
18.55
18.49

OCTU.
57.73
57.49
62.33
57.26
75.31
49.51
61.21
76.80
66.96
23.41
48.84
52.57
59.80
24.01
40.56
18.19
18.19
97.23
89.40
93.05
64.79
51.15
37.28
32.51
27.74
51.75
79.48
51.25
51.01
50.77

NOV.
33.84
33.86
37.47
35.59
10.10
31.00
60.40
29.18
26.00
37.75
38.72
30.60
36.96
40.65
31.11
30.65
20.61
63.01
25.89
38.20
15.95
55.41
13.57
37.58
42.18
37.01
27.08
34.36
34.38
34.40

DIC.
24.55
24.57
25.72
7.08
13.90
26.82
61.60
20.50
25.19
19.02
27.39
28.94
0.34
16.82
25.84
17.01
17.65
40.42
42.16
33.11
44.85
39.44
15.27
19.62
25.57
24.02
1.02
24.98
24.99
25.01

228.90
7.63
7.01047626

319.46
10.65
6.81671781

580.78
19.36
10.452298

1627.58
54.25
21.0452922

DE LA RETENSION
CAUDALES MENSUALES
ABASTECIMIENTO
GENERADOS
Ai
VOLUMEN
mm/mes
mm/mes
m3/seg
MMC
8
9
10
11
4.38
35.18
1.53
3.96
5.78
46.48
2.02
5.23
5.05
40.60
1.76
4.57
3.29
26.40
1.15
2.97
41.03
1.78
4.62
16.63
0.72
1.87
13.45
0.58
1.51
13.98
0.61
1.57
21.26
0.92
2.39
8.32
45.94
1.99
5.17
6.09
28.03
1.22
3.15
5.44
19.34
0.84
2.18
38.35
348.33
15.12
39.18

ACIN MLTIPLE ENTRE: Qt, Qt-1,PE

1023.48
34.12
11.6589117

743.43
24.78
12.5368161

116230000

Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0%
-0.08053895 0.92759682
-0.35979257 0.35203353
0.01744704 0.04052986

TICA DE CAUDALES

03879523Qt-1+0.028984445*Pe+Z(0.242376654)*(1-(0.892792553)^2)^.5)

RACIN SINTTICA DE CAUDALES


JUN
JUL
AGO
SEP
OCT
NOV
DIC
1.7331331 -2.18358764 -0.23418124 1.09502253 -1.08670065 -0.69020416 -1.69043233
-0.40404757 0.13485305 -0.36549295 -0.32699063 -0.37024051 1.34264155 -0.08528446

-0.65490667
-0.84723752
-0.65357995
0.55779765
-1.55889211
0.82833139
0.8494294
0.45641627
1.07599362
1.25197857
0.42815486
1.68820407
-0.96171789
0.19145318
1.26345185
0.21911092
0.42907686
-0.17193202
1.27199428
-0.49427399
0.18436822
1.54587269
0.84756607
1.51841505
-1.94869244
0.96927579
1.00222906
0.57847274

1.66145583
-1.52157099
0.75771368
0.138715
0.7113249
0.4442245
0.5132074
0.69136831
-0.58182195
0.88090701
0.40388159
0.23866505
-1.53858764
0.95108135
0.26218913
0.11434622
-0.98493501
0.11272959
-0.19979666
2.34347681
-2.19111826
-1.16724777
0.87236913
-1.31744855
-0.51731263
1.58763214
-1.01392743
0.46432547

-1.61239768
-0.36287702
0.46671175
-0.91096126
0.63840616
0.61790615
-0.60830416
1.63062396
0.53391204
1.33216417
-0.64809683
0.14505076
-2.5650661
-1.50879259
0.05713673
0.86812406
-0.85923602
1.84480996
-1.13490159
0.74402351
0.50554263
-0.40903274
0.5107654
-0.93544486
-0.97639713
-0.66689836
0.75863227
0.72877356

0.53894837
-0.03247919
0.87460876
1.88484591
2.20568836
0.21347319
1.30497938
0.30391448
0.54577185
0.18787091
0.72309831
1.85454155
0.10318786
-0.60996172
0.22695417
1.80283678
0.46168566
0.5950119
-1.87900696
0.61060746
0.5262541
-1.30785111
-1.48602794
-0.16735385
-0.10049689
0.08313464
1.24166036
-0.94903953

0.90219146
0.02811703
0.59574177
0.48719812
1.44375463
-1.02693093
-1.76093636
0.58899559
-0.31643708
0.54195766
0.52528776
-0.04258482
0.29919192
0.52353244
0.21449068
-1.30838998
0.12158694
1.65480287
-0.82488668
-0.98109012
1.21610583
1.58979674
-1.39616986
-1.06110065
0.13477688
-0.82833139
-1.16951924
0.59665581

1.91891559
-0.32271601
-1.37184998
0.07223889
1.3039039
1.23819518
0.55057171
1.85283625
-0.44076614
-0.24961992
1.07503865
-0.65689846
-0.01778744
-0.21676101
-0.00745899
-1.23425252
-0.54009888
0.17705815
0.47337608
0.8716961
-0.95820042
0.02880597
-0.14381385
-1.43405941
1.73554326
0.69555199
0.39650558
1.61071512

-0.08451707
2.19450158
-1.11573854
0.82984116
0.11296038
-0.31121317
-0.11627208
-0.33555693
-1.36599283
-1.22108759
-2.76944775
0.90737558
0.20049924
-0.34357981
-1.22383426
0.56003273
0.10249551
1.56018359
0.91770062
1.44723344
1.20559662
0.33046263
-0.62896106
-2.16328772
-0.50658628
0.23921643
-1.78112259
0.23426082

JUN
0.82861012
0.59333318
0.34757908
0.32657984
0.54933339
0.51130368
0.63252446
0.89904065
0.75062645
0.55504101
1.09832999
0.90027611
0.66156825

JUL
0.46493075
0.71354527
0.79245126
0.48954181
1.40455495
0.48467603
0.50384743
0.5671175
1.03362627
0.60047607
0.62083243
0.71997801
0.69020636

AGO
0.78576941
0.76549955
0.9298234
0.39606348
0.62552501
0.75832227
0.87846867
0.55216636
0.81859954
1.13930265
1.00049783
1.20475212
0.87144263

SEP
1.12265744
0.96565413
1.37248285
0.64903726
0.96062223
1.52303437
0.98887274
0.76775436
1.06525107
1.02998287
2.04689198
1.13421343
1.30793055

OCT
1.97160816
2.04287202
2.32205295
2.07964392
2.664677
1.90498242
2.34876144
2.53073678
2.16529147
1.1596079
1.79778659
1.99957851
2.20741399

NOV
1.32211489
1.54462647
1.7122398
1.41318658
0.55975778
1.32301407
2.3099196
1.39765692
1.23042571
1.71325314
1.49080636
1.27635328
1.6052923

DIC
0.94378897
1.11950074
1.15306855
0.86158576
0.69783941
1.28474856
2.2146219
0.97676607
1.13422669
0.93127848
1.06147391
1.12232115
0.1241282

1.05360265
0.4706704
0.5163247
0.59226382
0.73857026
0.59511823
0.55298679
0.75565849
0.85641812
0.44704307
0.59961088
0.5899184
0.69056689
0.41575869
0.69301131
0.69467596
0.64647572

0.44586636
0.48768388
0.6607057
0.68429798
0.53110042
0.53857128
0.49586317
0.70079116
1.41832621
0.33038048
0.32742541
0.85610146
0.27277797
0.46213405
0.75465309
0.46608752
0.62296787

0.55227994
0.13928265
0.3553691
0.85040592
0.66390593
0.66865683
0.79777564
0.36623612
1.00709905
0.9701681
0.76955267
0.8073447
0.32537916
0.47068538
0.57833673
0.72804749
0.71885456

0.8406578
0.71788702
0.77871881
1.04661736
0.65488842
0.86330208
1.27233081
0.55730364
1.14434423
1.14594172
0.29724198
0.96586216
0.99095697
1.36931225
0.96509558
1.08984308
0.84891229

1.10794127
1.62508767
1.00116263
0.96742054
3.09222912
3.02141148
3.29472097
2.2048116
1.79222113
1.63009754
1.53256878
1.06822275
1.80077653
2.73538576
1.8118609
1.76764764
1.95352246

1.52315932
1.31647597
1.28158652
1.01316483
2.10849453
1.10805186
1.54345169
0.93072336
2.11791574
0.70530379
1.50916332
1.62361102
1.33298722
1.39107108
1.48852257
1.45643131
1.58956178

1.00329009
1.18748205
0.87219809
0.79475867
1.64954267
1.65010446
1.54679013
1.8170829
1.71785674
0.99082468
1.02156759
1.08923176
0.87668341
0.3909616
1.16681319
0.94668366
1.16718616

acumulado
529.62
1059.64
1598.59
1993.03
2610.31
3052.94
3612.82
4086.87
4738.80
5193.95
5834.31
6382.69
7114.73
7593.61
8173.22
8467.52
8922.03
9402.33
10042.26
10670.09
11294.97
12101.23
12454.93
12901.96
13365.93
13868.26
14480.64
14985.30
15526.48
16068.07

2553)^2)^.5)

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