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Forecasting of Traffic

Overlay Design
New Design

This facility is available from the design windows, and can be used to take traffic growth into consideration
by calculating the yearly amount of traffic to be entered for the design.

This is particularly useful if large variations in growth rate between different load types are expected. If for
example a certain aircraft is expected to be phased out whereas a new type will increase in number, the
percentage distribution over the design period can be determined using this calculator. For each type of
load (aircraft) the number of loads during the first year in the design period must be entered. If forecasts
are available these may be entered, or a general growth rate may be input.

In the example above the number of aircraft have been entered for year 1 as well as forecasts for year 10
and 20. After pressing Calculate the percentage distribution and the average number of loads per year is
calculated. The calculated data will be transferred to the design window by pressing Transfer.

A simpler example is shown below, where you enter traffic in ESALs for first year and then applies a
general growth rate during the design period:

Page 1 of 2 Forecasting of Traffic


5/14/2014 mk:@MSITStore:C:\Program%20Files\Dynatest\Elmod6\elmod5.chm::/Elmod5_rtf/Fo...
Page 2 of 2 Forecasting of Traffic
5/14/2014 mk:@MSITStore:C:\Program%20Files\Dynatest\Elmod6\elmod5.chm::/Elmod5_rtf/Fo...

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