THE GREAT DEPRESSION EFFECT of ECONOMIC CONTRACTION: 1. ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION "FIRMS TEND to AVOID PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES" 2. DEFLATION OF 25% -WHEN INFLATION IS BELOW 0% -CAUSEd by the INABILITY of the u.s. To meet demand for cash.
THE GREAT DEPRESSION EFFECT of ECONOMIC CONTRACTION: 1. ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION "FIRMS TEND to AVOID PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES" 2. DEFLATION OF 25% -WHEN INFLATION IS BELOW 0% -CAUSEd by the INABILITY of the u.s. To meet demand for cash.
THE GREAT DEPRESSION EFFECT of ECONOMIC CONTRACTION: 1. ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION "FIRMS TEND to AVOID PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES" 2. DEFLATION OF 25% -WHEN INFLATION IS BELOW 0% -CAUSEd by the INABILITY of the u.s. To meet demand for cash.
BURSTING OF FINANCIAL BUBBLES CURRENCY CRISES BANKING PANICS
THE GREAT DEPRESSION excessive speculation Tighten money supply Collapse 60% in 10/1929 Agricultural shock: quantity of goodsprice of goods inflation real price credit activity BANKruptcy rise due to agricultural shock THE GREAT DEPRESSION - the spread between
that are identical in all respects except for quality rating. 2% - 8% THE GREAT DEPRESSION EFFECT OF ECONOMIC CONTRACTION: 1. ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION FIRMS TEND TO AVOID PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES ADVERSE SELECTION THE PARTIES WHO ARE THE MOST LIKELY TO PRODUCE AN UNDESIRABLE OUTCOME ARE THE ONES MOST LIKELY TO WANT TO ENGAGE IN THE TRANSACTION
MORAL HAZARD BORROWERS HAVE OBTAINED A LOAN, THEY MAY TAKE ON BIG RISKS (WHICH HAVE POSSIBLE HIGH RETURNS BUT ALSO RUN A GREATER RISK OF DEFAULT) BECAUSE THEY ARE PLAYING WITH SOMEONE ELSES MONEY
THE GREAT DEPRESSION 2. DEFLATION OF 25% -WHEN INFLATION IS BELOW 0% -CAUSED BY THE INABILITY OF FED TO MEET DEMAND FOR CASH, AGGRAVATED BY THE DECISION OF DECREASING MONEY SUPPLY. -INABILITY OF CREDIT TO MOVE FROM SAVERS TO LENDERS. THE GREAT DEPRESSION 3. UNEMPLOYMENT OF 25% -DECREASE IN WEALTH (LESS CONSUMPTION) -DECREASE FIRM PROFITS -LAYOFF WORKERS -RISE IN UNETHICAL EMPLOYMENT PRACTICES THANK YOU!