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:
:
2010
, , ,
.................................................................................................................................. 5
1.
............................................................................................................................................ 11
1.1.
....................................................................................................................................... 11
1.2.
......................................................................................................................................... 11
1.3.
, ................................................................................................ 12
1.3.1.
, .................................................................................... 12
1.3.2.
..................................................................................................................... 13
1.3.3.
......................................................................................................... 13
1.3.4.
( ) ......................... 13
1.3.5.
.............................................................................................. 17
1.3.6.
.............................................................. 18
2.
...................................................................................... 19
3.
, ............................................................................ 19
3.1.
, ............................. 19
3.1.1.
............................. 19
3.1.2.
, ,
, ..................................................................................................... 20
3.2.
, .......................................................... 21
3.2.1.
5 ........................................................... 21
3.2.2.
.......................................................... 21
3.2.3.
// ........................................................................ 23
3.2.4.
, .......................................................... 26
3.2.5.
.................................................................................. 30
3.2.6.
.................................................................................... 31
3.3.
, .................................................... 32
3.3.1. , ..................................................... 32
3.3.2. // ................................................................................. 33
3.3.3. , ................................................................... 35
3.3.4. ................................................................................. 35
3.4.
/ / ............................... 37
3.4.1. ............................................................... 37
2
3.4.2. , , .......... 39
3.5.
4.
....................................................................................................................................... 41
, .......................................................................... 42
4.1.
, ........................... 42
4.1.1.
, ................... 42
4.1.2.
, ,
, ................................................................................................................................. 43
4.2.
4.2.1.
.............................................................. 44
4.2.2.
........................................................................................ 46
4.2.3.
.............................................................................................. 46
4.2.4.
, ..................................... 47
4.2.5.
.......................... 48
4.3.
, .................................................. 51
4.3.1.
, ....................................... 51
4.3.2.
....................................................................................... 53
4.3.3.
, .............................................. 54
4.3.4.
, ..................................... 56
4.4.
( ) ............................... 58
4.4.1.
......................................................... 58
4.4.2.
, ................................................... 61
4.5.
5.
, ....................................... 44
....................................................................................................................................... 62
, ............................................................................... 63
5.1.
, ................................ 63
5.1.1.
........................... 63
5.1.2.
, ,
, ..................................................................................................... 64
5.2.
, ............................................ 65
5.2.1.
.......................................................... 65
5.2.2.
........................................................ 67
5.2.3.
// ...................................................................... 70
5.2.4.
......................................................................... 72
5.2.5.
................................................................ 75
5.2.6.
....................................................................... 76
3
5.3.
5.3.1.
, .................................................. 77
5.3.2.
// ........................................................................... 77
5.3.3.
, .................................................................................................... 78
5.3.4.
........................................................................... 79
5.4.
/ / ............................... 80
5.4.1.
......................................................... 80
5.4.2.
, , .... 81
5.5.
6.
, ....................................................... 77
....................................................................................................................................... 83
, ......................................................................... 84
6.1.
, .......................... 84
6.1.1.
........................... 84
6.1.2.
, ,
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6.2.
, ...................................... 87
6.2.1.
...................................................................... 87
6.2.2.
.......................................... 88
6.2.3.
........................................................................................ 90
6.2.4.
.............................................................................................. 91
6.2.5.
............................................................... 92
6.2.6.
.......................... 94
6.3.
, ................................................. 97
6.3.1.
, ................................. 97
6.3.2.
....................................................................................... 98
6.3.3.
, .............................................. 99
6.3.4.
, ............................... 101
6.4.
( ) ............................. 103
6.4.1.
....................................................... 103
6.4.2.
, , .. 105
6.5.
..................................................................................................................................... 106
7.
............................................................................................................................ 108
8.
........................................................................................................................................... 114
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9,400
6,746
6,408
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4
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2,508.05
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2008 - , *- -
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35,000-60,000.
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10.4
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9.8
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19,133.84
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6.9
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2.8%
12,047.78
12.5%
6.7
2.8%
16,151.37
1.4%
6.6
2.7%
10,598.98
14.7%
6.1
2.5%
13,471.92
16.8%
5.9
2.4%
13,524.00
24.3%
4.2
1.7%
9,199.08
5.3%
4.1
1.7%
14,439.60
16.5%
4.1
1.7%
10,291.20
25.7%
4.0
1.6%
11,522.28
11.0%
1.1
0.5%
2,576.90
24.0%
242.0
100.0%
738,387.22
12.0%
: , ,
(2008 , *- - )
1997
- 7 ( 84 )
2005 96%-
. 2008 12 04-
6 ( 72 ), 4.5
( 54 ) .
, ,
( 3 9
)
.
34
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3.3.3. ,
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3.3.4.
10
2
35
.
Y = 106.133 - 0.007312*x
t-Statistic
24.976
-1.893
R-squared= 0.285
-
-
4.2.3-
,
.
, ,
:
Y = 72.254 + 0.308*x
t-Statistic
9.381
3.638
R-squared= 0.595
-
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.
4
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2009-2010 4 ,
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(Frontier market economy)
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18. , ,
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2009-2010
66
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7.05
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6.39
4.59
4.57
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6.16
8.78
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0.96
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2008
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17. / /
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, - 20
30-35 , 28
, 50 , . 2009
114.8, 17.8, 40.3,
90.9 , 30.8 .
56. ,
1
2
3
4
5
6
, .
,
, .
, .
,
..
, .2
2001
2.1
45.6
110.5
33.4
38.0
2002
1.2
55.9
112.9
16.1
32.0
614.8
533.9
2003
0.5
55.1
303.0
9.0
54.6
2004
1.8
57.4
67.8
4.9
58.7
2005
0.9
69.7
69.1
10.5
64.8
2006
1.1
38.5
68.8
7.8
50.4
2007
1.7
32.8
87.8
9.3
120.2
2008
1.8
28.1
86.5
6.3
195.8
663.1
690.4
586.9
606.3
658.1
856.5
: - -
, , ,
. : 60
,
10%- . ,
, ,
, ,
.
, , ,
.
.
57.
//
//
2006
1900
2007
2160
540
600
2008
2200
2009
2000
650
760
:
97
4
637,5 .
50
.
58. /./
2001
10,5
2002
6,1
2003
8,4
2004
8,3
2005
8,6
2006
6,4
2007
2008
9,1
9,3
:
,
.
2003 . 2007 50 2008
44,8% .
4 2065 2009
2000 .
.
51.
6.3.2.
70-80%
, ,
,
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6 .
, , , , ,
.
98
30 , , ,
44 31 74,4% , ,
7 , 9,3% , , 16,3% .
- ,
,
, -
,
.
52. - ,
: --
, ,
66 28
.
53. ,
4 ,
.
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: 44 -
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- ,
30
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3.6
.
31
99
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, )
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. ,
,
.
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- ,
.
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,
.
(75.8%)
. 22.3%
,
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:
54. ?
: --
, :
, , , . ,
100
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. :
-
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, , , ,
, , , .
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55. , -
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3.
4. , .
6.3.4.
, : ,
32 , ,
32
101
- ,
33.
.
<3
<20 .
<3 - .
, -30
.
140 - . ,
.
1995 - (- 153 , .1- 17, 18- ) . :
59.
1
2 ,
1000
125,0 .
51,6 .
123,2 .
45,0 .
1,8 .
6,6 .
49,7 .
48,6 .
1,1 .
: - 153-
: 1,3
, 850 . , 600,0 . , 1,9 .
100
, 60-
.
.
,
44 -
33
IDF Grant TF 051255 , 2006 .
102
45 .
-
. :
1. ,
.
2. ,
3. ( )
4. .
18.2%, 13.6%, 15.9%, 36.4%
15,9.% . -
:
1.
2.
3.
4.
.
, ,
.
6.4.
( )
6.4.1.
60. ,
/2008 /
-*
*
*
*
*
*
/./
101,3
59,8
79,8
79,8
88,4
409,1
92,5
85,2
61,4
81,9
116,6
123,0
560,6
/./
21
15
20
20
20
97
25
22
16
24
31
33
151
/./
//
0,5
11
39360
0,5
8
33480
0,5
10
33390
0,48
10
36360
3,9
10
30630
49
1,0
13
30720
0,5
11
31380
0,5
8
30360
0,2
12
30450
0,5
15
30630
0,5
17
31380
76
.
421152
254448
340578
361782
307832
1 685 792
384000
351456
244398
360833
471702
517770
2 330 159
103
*
12,9
4
0,5
2
30090
57171
-
88,2
25
0,7
13
30180
377250
*
57,2
16
0,5
8
30720
247296
*
48,2
13
1,0
7
30270
196755
*
47,7
14
0,5
7
31080
222222
101,6
26
0,5
13
30360
397716
86,8
25
1,0
13
30000
376500
442,6
124
62
1 874 910
73,6
20
0,5
10
31470
320994
*
54,9
15
0,5
7
3180
23214
71,0
20
0,5
10
30360
296010
199,5
55
27
640 218
1611,8
426
213
6 531 078
2008 - , *- -
,
2,330,159 ,
1,874,910 , 1,685,792
, 640,218
. , 34
,
1 , . ,
, .
,
.
61. , /2008 /
//
/./
/./
11
2,7
0
0,89
3,59
25,2%
33,6%
-*
2,19
0,67
2,86
28,8%
37,6%
10
2,81
0,94
3,75
27,5%
36,8%
10
2,7
0,89
3,59
27,1%
36,1%
10
2,47
0,79
3,26
24,6%
32,4%
4,18
17,05
26,3%
34,8%
49
12,87
13
3,21
1,1
4,31
25,7%
34,5%
11
2,76
0,91
3,67
24,6%
32,8%
2,13
0,65
2,78
26,5%
34,5%
12
2,36
4,8
0,74
3,1
19,9%
26,2%
10
15
3,61
1,27
4,88
23,4%
31,7%
34
, . :,
, 2009 .
104
11
17
3,61
1,27
4,88
21,9%
29,6%
II
76
17,68
4,8
5,94
23,62
23,3%
31,1%
12
13
*
-
2
13
0,48
2,47
0
0
0,12
0,79
0,6
3,26
25,3%
19,8%
31,6%
26,1%
14
1,85
0,53
2,38
23,0%
29,6%
15
1,91
0,55
2,46
29,4%
37,8%
16
1,79
0,5
2,29
25,0%
32,0%
17
13
2,81
12
0,94
3,75
21,5%
28,6%
18
13
3,04
1,03
4,07
24,2%
32,4%
III
62
14,35
12
4,46
18,81
23,1%
30,3%
19
10
2,36
0,74
3,1
23,1%
30,4%
20
7
10
1,91
2,36
0
0
0,55
0,74
2,46
3,1
26,2%
24,2%
33,7%
31,8%
27
6,63
2,03
8,66
24,6%
32,1%
21
IV
213,0
51,5
16,8
16,6
68,1
24,2%
32,0%
- , *- -
,
,
. :
, 49
, 12.87,
4.18 17.05
( , ,
,
) 26.3 .
.
6.4.2.
, ,
.
SWOT .
62. SWOT
-
.
- . 30
.
-
- 95
- , ,
- ,
-
- ,
,
105
,
,
-
,
.
- ,
, ,
, .
- ,
-
, ,
, . :
,
, ,
, , ,
6. , ,
7.
8. , ,
9. ,
10. , ,
11. , ,
12. , ,
13. ( )
14. ,
15. ,
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.5.
1999 1.2 , , 18.9
, , 79.9 2008
95% , , 4%
, 1%
,
,
, , ,
.
106
,
.
. 23.2
28 , 50
,
.
88.9%
(67.5%) (21.4%)
.
2009 55
, ,
, 2,5
6.5 , 11.8
, .
, , , , ,
- 20 3035 , 28 , 50 ,
. 2009
114.8, 17.8, 40.3, 90.9 ,
30.8 .
,
.
.
-
. :
1. ,
.
2. ,
3. ( )
4. .
-
:
1.
107
2.
3. .
4. , ,
.
, 24.2%,
( ) 32.0%
68.0-75.8% .
,
.
, (100
)
.
7.
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.
SPSS-14.0
.
,
.
.
) ,
,
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.
.
)
(, , , )
)
.
108
-
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. .
63.
:
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)
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:
109
)
40.0
.
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b)
(market, warehouse and
logistic centre of meat) .
)
, ,
e)
64.
:
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)
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)
:
)
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110
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( 96.7
)
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.
.
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)
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,
65.
111
51.64
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)
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)
,
:
,
110%
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,
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. :
(
,
)
b) , ,
) ,
e) ,
, ,
112
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4
5
6
7
8
10
. :
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-
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)
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)
)
(
, , )
22%- .
e)
-
b)
)
,
)
( )
e)
,
(
)
113
- ,
,
-
-
-
-
-
,
8.
, ,
1. :
- (1995, 2002)
- (1998, 2001)
- (1995)
- (1995, 2005)
- , (2002)
- (1995, 2002)
- , ,
(2000, 2002)
2.
:
- MNS 4219:1994 .
.
- MNS (ISO) 4227:2002 -
- MNS 4585:1998 -
- MNS 0017-2-3-16:1988 - ,
- MNS 3384:1982 -
- MNS 3383:1982 .
- MNS 3113:1981
- MNS 0012-013:1991 -
- MNS 0012-014:1991 -
114
- MNS 5061:2001 - 2
- MNS 0012-1-008:1985 -
3.
- 1998, , ,
. 95
:
Dependent Variable: BD_EX
Method: Least Squares
Date: 04/15/10 Time: 14:29
Sample(adjusted): 2003 2008
Included observations: 2 after adjusting endpoints
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
PF(-1)
-5.730769
28.07692
9.406540
8.829416
-0.609232
3.179930
0.6044
0.0863
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
Durbin-Watson stat
0.834874
0.752311
3.183491
20.26923
-8.921373
1.583200
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
23.75000
6.396614
5.460687
5.153834
10.11195
0.086286
, :
1.
, ,
-
-
2. , , ,
-
-
3.
-
-
-
-
4. ,
-
-
-
-
5. ,
115
-
6. , ,
-
/ ,
//
20000
5000
300
B& BS
1200
1200
650
1200
4000
4000
10
1200
11
4000
12
650
13
1200
14
1200
15
1200
16
17
18
1200
19
4500
20
21
22
65000
23
200000
24
30000
25
26
55000
60000
27
5000
4500
60000
1200
3000
116
28
240
29
200
- 2002 (1995)
- 2001 (1998)
- 1995
- 1995 (1995, 2005)
- 2002 1995
- 1998 , ,
. 95 ( )
- 2002 170 .
,
- 2002 140 .
- 2002 100 .
- 2000 87 .
- 2000 87 1.
-
- 1998 77 .
,
- 1999 104 .
- 1997 143//352.
3:
- 1997 143//352.
4:
- 1997 143//352.
5:
- 1997 143//352.
1:
117
1997 143//352.
2:
- 1996 124: ,
- 1995 168/463/318:
- 1992 /50 /53:
- 1996 192. 1:
- 1996 192. 2:
- 1995 153. 1:
- 1995 152 . ,
- 2003 , , .
127
- 1995 , ,
167/335/171.
- 1995
/11/05//18.
- ,
.
, ,
,
,
.
-
//
32.4
22
44.9
0.7
118
31.5
23.6
44.1
0.8
35.9
18.3
44.6
1.2
30.6
26.6
42.2
0.6
32.1
24.3
43
0.6
30
22.2
46.9
0.8
30.1
25.5
43.7
0.8
32.7
22.6
44.1
0.7
33
22.4
44.1
0.6
31
26.2
42.1
0.7
30.1
26.9
42
34.3
19.8
45.3
0.6
34.3
19.1
46
0.6
34.1
18.9
46.3
0.6
32.7
21.3
45.3
0.7
35.1
17.9
46.1
0.8
34.5
20.7
44
0.7
31.5
23.5
44.3
0.7
33
25.1
40.9
31.1
19
49.2
0.7
32.4
21.3
45.8
0.6
33.1
19.6
46.7
0.6
32.8
18.3
48.2
0.7
35.3
15.5
48.3
0.9
31.5
21.3
46.5
0.6
32
18
49.4
0.6
33.8
16.4
49.1
0.7
33.8
16.4
49.1
0.7
: - -
/ /
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
557.5
603.0
641.0
605.0
524.3
587.7
702.9
775.1
769.1
694.1
1,026.4
1,251.5
1,465.3
1,554.6
1,462.0
987.7
1,164.8
1,278.2
1,215.0
1,145.1
703.3
818.6
907.2
864.4
807.4
991.6
1,162.4
1,358.1
1,614.5
1,786.1
447.1
531.7
628.1
705.2
724.8
689.1
825.4
989.9
1,199.7
1,332.7
55.8
71.8
87.6
111.0
111.8
1,059.4
1,213.4
1,462.1
1,569.2
1,691.4
1,040.2
1,249.0
1,441.9
1,618.0
1,732.7
119
12 -
13 -
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
59.1
68.9
74.2
66.5
69.7
65.4
82.7
102.2
163.0
176.5
372.5
281.8
310.9
352.0
408.7
819.7
867.1
944.3
917.9
973.8
246.4
252.4
296.5
351.2
375.7
277.6
339.9
453.5
651.7
732.1
855.7
1,040.8
1,249.3
1,449.8
1,714.5
469.9
527.3
611.4
688.6
704.1
782.3
879.9
1,008.3
1,008.2
853.7
696.0
750.8
776.3
733.1
1,085.7
94.2
12,884.6
129.0
14,815.1
128.7
16,990.1
154.5
18,362.2
167.9
19,274.8
,
I
1
2
3
4
5
II
6
7
8
9
10
11
III
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
IV
19
20
21
-
-
-
-
4
1
1
1
1
2
1
12
1
4
6
1
13
3
2
1
3
4
35
1
2
1
1
3
1
28
2
3
1
60
120
, ,
.
.
,
,
,
, ,
, 1,7-2,8 ,
1,4-1,6 , 1,4-1,8 .
61,5 , 53,3
.
55-60
, 42,8 ,
1,9 , 1,5 .
,
,
,
,
,
,
2-3, 12
.
,
,
,
, ,
, ,
,
50-56 ,
2-3 , 4045 , 1,7-2,0 .
18,5-30 ,
,
.
2,1 , 25
. 15-18
.
68,8 , 54
58-64 , 80-90 ,
2,0-2,2 , 2,7-3,0
.
83,2 .
120-150 , 1314,6 , 80-96 ,
4,2-5,6 . , 7-8
, 100 120-130
.
100 ,
14,3-1,5 , 60-65
7,1 . 100 140
. 142 , 116 ,
.
90-100 ,
45-50 , 1,5-2,5 .
100 150-170
130
.
85-91 ,
6,58-8,0 , , 1- 55-59
, 3,5-4 .
75,1 , 55,8
, 1,2 .
121
,
, ,
.
,
,
,
,
.
,
-,
,
.
,
,
9-10
.
,
,
,
.
9,7-10,2 , 14,314,9 . 70,9 ,
50,9 , 1,8 , 1,4
. . 3,8
45
70,1 , 58,1 ,
2 , 1,3 .
55-60 ,
42,8 , , 1,9 ,
1,5 ,
.
90-104 , 55,5-65 ,
7,2-8,6 , 3,8-4,3 , 18-23
.
25-27
50
77 ,
57 , 3,2-3,7 ,
17 , 8 ,
"" ,
15-20 ,
3-6 ,
2.5
15-20
. 2-2,5 .
,
70-80
.
122
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