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Valencia, “Troubled Waters.” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, VolS3, No.1 anuary/February 1907), pp9-54 2 Bese ee WES, SIS, ANE E54 AOGE 2a Rast ee AIS qe AI Wala Pes] SYS Sade HAS EGA AS Ras ze) a ea de dee Ad edo FUE WS ohiae, & EkME AE Fae Sait BA ABE Rho] WaT.axe in i, SOMO} Haka Sa 1, HAE] SE Sa Soplo} HAS QSAAs, Fe Rel, SFA ese F aa cH Asoe He o] 243) 7H} Bh Aleo} Sale QSAAHE elots] Abe, PYG=s} dee} Hei Eo} SoH ols aia] sick Telz eukes} Ue lolol] Fo} we Alef) Felela, at ES} SFo} jah Bo] PIE ahele] Bsholeh, Yoke ATES Yepls aoe da @ A OHS AlYsD A olsh= FFFei(the East China Sea)9) 4/4} HES] ee Te] 2 SSs= Gus} Gele) Yeo] wblet¥(Bashi Channel) 74) aitdsta, 2 ol dellad A7ESS} Bevlggs Asks Wels PSsei7t Act Bas ERT Sore} le BS a aes EAU EE Peel I te 7Hee] FAS BROWS Sy FAeshs Pel Ere] PHU ase) Baas By 317) RAD eth FAAS Be] Yell MLIAIS PSAs] Ame] BEY S749 Se FE SSseio] Avec scl, est GEL! 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Report No.J5 (April 2002), pA,172 AANA FES Aza & 37) Ra eh Sel PS soowke] we VaAlFeEEZ)S IMO SA ds Arete] SRA Holo] sl] Bs Jaa silo] Salshe Vals Avistate, adele) 2% RAW O27} sleet Ye] Fo] Balgo] Yasp PASE Asht Wolds al 49 53] ie Was ae Myr Soa oh] Ades a se Fae + Ql Pa we} EA VAs} Yel Vela ge Feb-leh Hhesl Bae Susy, ols Suse 4 Sis] slat Basie webeede] GS Aalsly aes ee ae FAVES SE NG FAVA IS oF BT Ick Load WIAD looKd Ue WAC Fall IS golelo} Mya aesio} Feet AU 72) PAR BL Vek A VE SVS Lele Gale Age Aer glee el BE), Sel, WE BAPOEEZ) © Beles Weld Woslela] Aa + Wy ol AA ujsld AS Be Hae] ate) oleh Ga, WY, BRT ale + ale wet a do] FolzleKS5A-752). 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PLP PH 8, AE, BER, VE FOS Pyle] WA. ©) we S¥ollels) -qely SS SS VEG AAA He eel, YSsele] QE Ame}se] Bes} oad SEE I Sel Bel Falael YelS Fal gee age] 72] WSs We BE EA 7 WAAIMON, AMEE] SEE ALG Hog] AIG HER PIS} eee, BS 6) Federation of American Scientists, “Spratly Islands.” Miltary Analysis Network (www fasorg/mar/ od-101 /ops/war/spratly.htm) 1) David Rovenberg. “The Rise of China’ Implications for Security Flashpointe and Resource Plitics in the South China Sea," in C, Pumphrey. ed, The Rise of China in Asia: Security Implications (Strategic Stuvties Institute, Tanuary 2002), 1.234,Bee 9 ASA 2 URE] AFA okhel NE BH7t Hcksie] YS] WHE HH sehsiz] Z SL UG. Ole ISS TS HEF GORE BY kml) SHS. 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WEMAPA GES wale] gejz|ei] Sus] Ble] AsHos GAG $ GAD 1M 0] HE ol Bsiel SHS AVES WBSSICL ©] SPYAAA Ab 27} Bask + Abie] BA SH] UMS SHS TEM] BES] ALA AWS Bae ay] At UM] 2241S Aslae SHO 19 Behl VES Besp7] Hal FES ae AGS Y YwEde) Aya Ve Ames] SE] UY Eso] We TE Yaw ou Axe Se] GE He Ae Ams. 8) AMEE] BE FRA BAL Foro RHGATES Fo] Hel He FHA 7 BGA MMAR BF WEE die AS od S Neh aol eld AUS US 4 Wz, ld See WHA getes wit waa A gis aa. lan ‘Townsend-Gault, “Legal and Political Perspectives on Sovereignty over the Spratly Islands,” ‘Workship on the Conflict in the South China Sea, University of Oslo, Norway (April 1999) (www, sum unio.no/southchinasea/Publications/pdf-format/ Townsend-Gault pdf),174 AAiae es ae <2! 1) SST Hee] eRe BIA Fab (@A1 = http: //wwwraniddlebury.edu/SouthChinaSea/cilchaims gif) SF Bi7} AVASe] VEMY PRG TALS WE AEC ls-4dIIE AY 3 Bea FYE oleae, aye Qala Fees desi alae Bgol det UW] ABH H2 45) SHS 195 WE Age] FASE Alo] AMehee] BE 9] VHS} MIS Abs Sh Velo EGS wEUde] Fae olf ywELe] Aoae. slel AReEe] BES] AES ateialeh ld SHE AReleel SES SS °°] AZo) BV Be TE Aas oS EAS} UMS Mel) Ae TAS Atstsich lords} 19274 SH3b MES Alo B alae] BAI Se] sls loewShS QR! 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Chiwei Yu/ ‘Taisho-iima, Daioyu Dao/ Uotshuri-shima, Beixiao Dao/ Kita Kojima, Nanxia Dao/ Minami Kojima 10, $4°2 UI Caw 7le LMI, FIL) HUE HMR, AIS) Bale satel o.1a MAAAAFEE Aa BME AS ole, SAS SH] Bake sds} dagaoe dee] aaa Wo PAPISHS) DS cel] Roby Me aldoleh wet He opdseS wee} ae AHO LAC] AE Te] MOVIAFAI BS AST F se BH SV Lage o}Fo}Ieh Cz 2) SSzele| APACS East China Sea oe as DioopataiSenkaku Otienige 0" + wy) Kazan 9} e uk ky (Wolcano)| » 00%, (aey Aslands >| e <@A: Phil Deans “Contending Nationalisms and the Dizoyutai/Senkaiku Dispute,” Security Dialogue, Vel31, No (2000), p.121.> AAFVELACO] Bale] UR WH mAb 7AsAlo] BaVS|T Rt BE ©] sehol}y BAS AAs Ac. UE WHE GAT 172) ol 4 PA BAKES Wola ah a att Bola] Ut lye] Savt Saal RE elds alash= FES WHA | Qe) Bziskiact, 19701 Beh FS WA] 7Hsle} o) Ger} FA] alge SEU & PRIA HE S79] WS Ses] Galthe US Awe sot a B9] WSS 211s BI, “ano PA MAS Bese] SA WIS Ase. 972d As} UAE Ho] AS Ss BAVE oehsIgi. URE LE BP etal, Aaa} o] Sol US SHAS Bes) Tasks ANSI 71e1ke. BA BPS aE AAS Hse) AGA Aol WINWA ole Bele AeLS Wasi Qa 1) Associated Press. “Janan. Taiwan Seltle lands Ise.” Washington Fost (Aust 6, 1996)axe 179 uolshy Osa es zlalleeis Baal sels Bal Hee Tet Aelst Web QE eae Jest Faz) BA Bde} telzZ URS dak! Wiss Loe PISS 2) AAS Yatsi2] Balai EYRE AT Gel Batch aH chLacho] BS Vest F Ss Alle] Saz7t BSD UAE ciebs} VEE Weel ohd Fas} YET WPOS wp FA ach. 1978'4 CH) HERE BH LYS FSs} AEE SA ISV olFolziat 4] FYB BSA Mae] At Bedell awe. 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Neer, Chokepoints: Maritime Eamemic Concems in Southeast Asia, National Defense University. Washington. DC) 18) David Rosenberg, "The Rise of China,” pp245-247: Swaran Singh, “Continuity and Change in China's Maritime Strategy.” 19) Jing-dong Yuan, Asia-Pacific Security’ China’s Conditional Multilateralism and Great Power Entente (Strategic Studies Institute, US. Army War College, 2000), p.18axe 183 SF MALTS ZAUS WHS. WE oly, lel AYES Cate He wey USF WIG ATS Burl te STS led Selyia|e ae AMpAzeyo] 16 A Algae aoe Mss} UE oS IAFLE Hg sic. Ee AS BAS SU S$9] 138 AP le US tht HITSS HY7} SRS WorssiziTZ Vr Ee ABeSe] SEE MEG ABYSS BS YAS Agee Yovteal Ae) ets Mahe MIA SSS] AME FLAICh, WS S4eblet S7HIS Wl SAH] MISES AUS st Vek Aa WA 7h ISA] Bet Ae TFAola, Aalals} AvhsSs] Avo] We aha A opgo| wi SSMS AUD LUCE) 0] ZS SEBS PHALSS| St SSG 2 mol Shya-spe] eho aH Set AAT Ae] OF 15% 7k Foblot steFS(SLOCs) & FH MFO Uck SFeho] ASS FY Us S32] FEBS 212} 25019) Ge 9} 656°] Bete 123, ob ole S79) FASS Abe] she BEE 7H 20%9} 27960 ASA EE UE, Ms Tez ait] Ut STs 80% ol4so] o] HAS Fah o}-Fojzl Th STS SE ASATA(LNG) 9) FEES AAA AHP) 2/30 aH SEC 3) LFS) BA BSFahe] SHE] He BRU WE Zale Sale] WHFS] Bale] sje} SS BS VE SH ASAHS] BAAS SLE) SL Sele) Alz}s Ses] Heh WE 9] ANE olBsh= Bao] Vale se BAlolis] Wel Hast BHalee} Bala} ogo) US Fat L102 AD SF EHS Aeese] TES AHL ACO] He Qo] VEFAM SSH] SLM olFUYS UI gr, Amehee] BE] He SH] A Se AF ATA So) WR Vee] NFR IAS SS SUSAA FAAS 71 FRSA BHD Uk De SF Ui] UA Bat VS FAA] BAA chs AMS AM lathe ALAA UA AMY Beebe aAete Slo] Seg woe wel rz AS S50] A ol} GES 27] GS Belz Jaleo] BHt obs wdat 20) Scott Snyder, Brad Gloeserman and Ralph A. Cossa, “Confidence Building Measures in the South China Sea,” Pacific Forum CSIS : Issues & Insights, No2-01 (August 2001), p4. 21) Phil Deans, “Contending Nationalism and the Diaoyutai/Senkaku Dispute,” Security Dialogue. Vol31, No.1 (2000), pp,119-131, 22) Erica S. Downs and Phillip C. Saunders, “Legitimacy and the Limits of Nationalism, International Security, Vo.23, No.3 (1998/99), pp.ll4-146, At FH] VHF] BAS Hegel SEUGE Wy Lacte] sebolad Me Belch BeIcH pL).184 AMAA HEE Ma 4) BES she Ba SH AVIS F2spl Ach USFe]s} Fle] Bae AmeHe] S = oR ES, AHL sco] RRS Hasee Bae] Az, Pe] HAS SH AE AMS Beh ch) Belay, ols eee AA Aeliest We ai AeA yg 7ke80] JAZ serials sejeks, FF JS] UYAAS] EASol] Olah Zot VE Uss14 Was dee B4o) Uvael Ge Fsliel dss As] Weil sz al rp) 2 HRY CHSSICIO] Se AFEVG LAO] SHA Bast BelsiAl ari ul ais) Al7)/e Pro] B + gr}.20) ALMA AVE Uo] 186 HSH EH NES Pastel Violet ol aol Saal 7 Yeh 1S 1B) Agel Set ASE SHelSel AAMS= Brest 2s Al ole AS Q7USK HH) AES] Adel ate URS wrod Salas} Be est AD MVEA] EMSS Lays} BYTAe] Agl4l7]7] Hah alae AES sp Sich PA UES Selag (1994-5) 712+ Sel HHUA 4Vol ols EMS UES] B & ate] Fa) atch, 180644 A|Bal7] SOS SHS Gels 2 HHslo} QE Ws Qe] BERS skh TG UE BRE ols Pel ALLAN] Ah elated o} 5} UBS) Be sol sie) ABA ah HekR alco] aealst ARMA] obs Pet G2 F98E Uo, Saal AE 2a} Aaa Savile avs AP ols ae) ada F¥o] Bao] So] Hehe 7]zbolch MOS aeh ojglap S7]r}s} ojglse} o} ale} opie] BES Sela vod Bele ABS wate Ue AGS ge oles) ase AAR. 2L Gal AVE 19S 22 AACA Bo] sheet. YE oLRE} 1oMDeECHZAAIS} 71 UE 7, URS MYIVA Foleo} 2G Nels] 2AS FEO ol AMES FoeHe] Gt S39] BE YEE Falela Fo] YES Belge Te FY FD Qeh Wed SHH UNA BeeopIa= Ys Aloloh 19nd ole Alas VE er °] FAUS Asa, Yl ed 47k 190d WHE 44h ASS aye Ae] BAe aE A hydrocarbon) s) o 7HeJo] BSD e}s0] S7iys} Ae] BAS VE Ao] YEYOSH YERYo] RzAss|aict. oln) Ae YERWS o] Ale] Wyse 23) Mark J. Valencia, “Troubled Waters,” pp9-54, 24) Phil Deans, "The Diaovutai/Senkaku Dispute: the Unwanted Controversy.” The Kent Papers in Politics and International Relations (no date) (www-kent.ac.uk/politics/ublications/ journals/kentpapers/deans h).ARaselth aces] Te sited TLS lt 7Hsede SELIS Asie AWA Qt BOS AECL oplols} {sorsloh HS HNIAAWS|(UN Economic Commission for Asia and the Far East, BCAFE)= °] 23 ol Set esa} PWS 7hS 730] Sl. Boe Ba GsSs) wo] SH sigick25) als what 7hsYel UFZ Valet oy aalael SAV} olFolal Fe Ve Aas wWasia|= yste 1960 Adcist Tote AA lt 7hs32 SS, Ae Jez UA! WY] FS. Aele} site) 6] Fol HAE Velo] Wes\o} SE LYE GERI ge}26) $8) ode] S OME UES] Felcal YSst sro] USFS] BA7t AGS Subl7le BB] Th SAY Was] aaa! Alls 162d Pls} VE AAG AmeAs Ae}s} 0] Fo] Sais} ae) BSS Berea Ao ols Hest WE aedabsiel7t ELS o] al Fas CHIAGE Ale] Vee. NV, SorAlo} sree] ols) Agia Szo] cyeater 1, HRS] {US} 428 1) 3% B44 22) USF IBA WS SF VE AIKS ay BI gels VHB y 9) aclee Grol B+ ale, $a oe ads} nee Lapsed salsa aah) ofd Sobloh Ho} MAGA] UH BS elle WO! vl els aA + ek Jal, US) eel dee Sass] WARS flee OWE Fao] WSs Slt 7Py ale] ZF As] AG a BHAT glek aes SHE US AVH ee Aol} ACRE Ale] Mal, YH Bale “she Sa" BOR AaeLT AES) ah BYOS By Aaa] Lol’ ciwig Ayelet 4 dela SH Wesel Naa gels dae Aes SES YT WA) MAL oe Frio] Bae UF Aaly Qelst Sat gy 25) Daniel Dzurek, “The Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands Dispute,” Intemational Boundaries Research Unit, University of Durham (October 18, 1996) (ore -ioaduraeuk/doce enka htm) 26) Phil Deans, “The Diaoyutai/Senkaku Dispute: the Unwanted Controversy.” The Kent Papers in Politics and International Relations. 21) David Rosenberg, “The Rise of China: Implications for Security Plashpoints and Resource Politics in the South China Sea,” pp.254-255,186 MAAR ER az ala qobaS dal Uo] VEO + Sle. oe Sal Esa Po Belo] age 4 UE Gat BA GSAS BS, HRY] et aes] aq) Ve} AY Bet (HE)S| BAS SHA Foot Fhe] Vol WE YRS vlad Falck al, Edo} S7HSS] UP Ealelc WISE USHA] ALGS Solo} 7S 2] Uy Baliel Rol lsh PPS WS + alee Feo A7Hw (ols, EULA Ashe ok BHAA Wh E)9] AF ls BSE LES Zale] Ala Bat Selo] ot SIO, OE Fyts] UF BARS o] AleIo] YAM oI sia els AEH cHselo| 57] shBol Bahsie) shag eae + ale. $8] LHe] oF oles Vass] WAT Sesh eel IRS vlsoly B49) gS BHAE aS ASAT gl Ch WRG, FA) Beate] he aeto) il Fase HHS oles) alal7} Balato. 2 FAT GT, ole Meteals} WAS] SSS AlSebl Fe Sasi] Ie aa wale] Sago) Bee ele else) GA) EE Hes see ole teh wap = Svolt She) SHS Ade se BAS BIS AVE F Ve Bale # Slt Sal, Mal $712] Vole. SAS KA Fobsloh 7sold ola] BA HWE 2] Sag AAWAS Hal Gs) SLA BA Saeola Yrlatel Batol. slap oh] #9] age] ob Belge dae Pe gaat aes aes aS ses 7) Hal SAS 7iBolal GY Alelek His] HEY SHA Aye Bsa Saleh wasp] del ofa] SHAS Beales Ste] elas Qa slolch Wa WSR oly Sela Sip AAAS 2) Shale, ole allel FAHF ba] Zeb wo] ae o} of Sol Saat OM SHS Hy Mela seo) Bey Uae HPS ajay] Babee BGS REM SS AL wlG. Yea, SoMlohs] eteba) wise} MYM] Ul Oleh PE WE Bela, FHo] BY SA HAGE FAS Bway] Mal BPI FAS olgeigae 19a Ame S wo] Be, oad MEWS] Ames BE BA, dst IMM DARE BEEF 2 St SAA Aa] SS BE OF SUA) VS PS HSS] SS] HE Bedol oleh APALE BES UL Foplo}s] Meee See) Best TVS ols FD oMigt KE GE, Ue SAGE “ssHe] Selo} leew se Mo St 3} v1s2] Bal7} FAakh visto] Fu Baja Lelos osizbjo] SYS] WIS 7] o} ay Sas} Sebald P40] QtIe Aol SSL Fel ATS Suet TA aha 28) Vernon Leob, "New Bases Reflect Shift in Military: Smaller Facilities Sought for Quicle Strikes," Washington Post (June 9, 2003), p.AQ1 29) Ang Cheng Guan, "The South China Sea Dispute Re-visited.”axe 187 AAS ae Bae] seh. 2) BABE ES Be) STH] HATS OP F UE VISAS] Be] QelSs aa) ost raz aH EF ELM) Ala, Gar SS We WGelch op] AARE), WE HE VASt AMA TR BIAS Roe Fgsz sla oy Ale] Beh led Yao} ‘@ S7lell Neh sys zie] Balst HWS che S7bSs] zs} side Bele’ + De, HEALS SAH MEGS YEAS ato} low’, ond, Ge Id BAL ANSP Bese] LIS UoAd. 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SAL Fe OF sI7|(armed displacement) ole. 719) BHRL LAC] VS BUA = BARA AE FA AV ATU, aviske wel azo] FAS AbBstel 71Z9} PUES SAE ASE Ae] dehya) Bw slo, “Teh gee 1966 Iu Aba aol AFL UA G4] WMUES SIT 8S AVG, MEVS Ame Be] Bes} op PHI BES] AHS ASA AEST Sch vlad, Peo] 9) ZA}(armed enforcement) o} OID BAA des Role Wale Aelel Az ake oleic, wood @ oh Selo gL ae ase Azeee] SE DA SH HES Hele] Asie WEY Bde weld Bale Veh BAS risisie, Ee Waloilo}s} wel FeV WS 2s = ac cst, SS Aol Vale, dehy Saxo] Sosa A} Fo] yey alee 30) Ralph A. Cossa, "Security Implications of Conflict in the South China Sea: Exploring Potential Triggers of Conflict.” A Pacific Forum CSIS Special Report (March 1998),18s MAMA PSE a1 BENRST Leo] 7Heso] Bokeh zB) ZA Fol) ARIAS BHecbe, SAKE S782 2D WRESE Sag ele, ate] BE Bhs Ya Wwe YEE F BS WAS YA] Wol7eH Ye vlalal Gch Ate: aly) eel We AHS ol Al @ Ale, ole BAS Sa + VE Selow Yalspy art osbl, tet Set Belek, EY GE Fol BEE Adel Usp TH SS EG SA Stel BARKS SHE API} eh EF SlAHEe] ole atalael El HEAL ATO), SAS Fels HE Shela Belspil ze She 4d Ato] BS. SARS Be SH} GAl Sel clo Pech. o]e] VES. of Sia de) WAS EA + leh 2 SR] sepa Tet 1) BHFeHol Het Aee S54 USRA VAS “aA PseKcreeping assertiveness)", “AE 24 (Sow-intensity confict)", S& “Ala QEss VEX Ae creeping imedentiom and ambiguus threats)"22 BY BES BRL AM ABs Ble) wet Sol} AEshA PES] SHAVAD Mek SHS FAIS AS aiseiT we ASol cet AS aa ay BARLEM AKA AWE 719 Ashe Bole, SHE SAIS Salslo} MIATA AY AAA SAS PHILS ALS aol INS TBE ate 4 SS PARI) oleh, S42 SR SES PROS Yes IS Weady Mandel BFS AY AMS AT ITS Vs, A) AAS, AAA, WHI SE adel SAO] HAVO BAH OAS elses ach ely BEA] GR Nol HE SHS] OHopAIS eH HS ws Yeh) o} ase] det Se] ASE VEN B47} VWI ole esate] Usolebe wey gy UL ot AR Bel SAS xo] Fy GEA ge BOR BH > 1S oe S8e GAS 2S aye] 7lce1y Slee Bole: = che ato Sa9] Bez] FES ZYALS Wo. | Feo] wet Aas} obileh SrHeslel 9saba Galzh oe al 247} SAE Role Ga SH) YL Ja ago Uae ya ayo} olFo} 31) Mark Burles and Abram N. Shulsky. Patterns in China's Use of Force: Evidence from History and Doctrinal Writings (Rand, 200). 32) Snyder, Glosserman, and Cossa, “Confidence Building Measures in the South China Sea, PllAxe 189 77] SSS HAE ES BES BoFD ache zIAE chs) SH -QRujo) Faye GS Hales Asks Ate sel, PSsalol He Sul] Yay ZAe] oF Ashoe o}FoZzISL UCKS HO] MIC SH YaL¥y Qlelzto] oje} Ho) Yeizel Sayghss ASPAR UHS Roles. clo HR APE BRS HAS IVS AES] Faye a AS PAE N77} USE BPAL YA Ale7} ajepyst ache Belch, THE WME S49) zlEzlSol) PSaeH7} AF) Bal aie] chia, es}o} PAE S28 olfeta Aaah wey Ware Bal} hs Ala] Ala} Bae ANE + ks WAUSS WES 7hsdol Sch Belch. ole 196d Sas} LEZ) Bo] BESS BHM PEHHS CHET] SAS] AEE HAYS BFA Belly ASSS 22 a) RV PS ss Sat Bat se AMIS BSH We Sao] HEE WAAel HIS Molec, SH] Yaa aH TH7 Heep oly vgzte] 4s} gale agalar gle Zelrh, ohne SASS] Malek S42] Ae] ASte] SYS AWYS Bsow ayaa] = AES VEHLE SUC S559] AS BSE BY Yo] 1900 ARES WEsled SS FH] BHA AAAS WH olfo] SHI} METS Gehego] He HS Masa AV UeRI 19014 (11. 5-10) HEV} SHS BWIA alas sywegs] A AE AB LSA AS Ba AD 1osawoll= wlo}4)7} steele APO et Bey & 7AG. SS] AHA HAGE VAAZ ASS Ha Bae, dala $s 9) BIBS MAME USA TILES WYM o}F(1905)] OHI WPPWSS ©] Bal & Elsi7] Ae YAS 7S Mo] Las obaiet S7tSs} eels Suy7} Slolgieey BRC. OEM SIS WSTeist Beto} cH! els sh) eeach= Was shP sick a UDP FS Ade ASA] US WHA FAS Ash ale, ARGS a ASA HANGS RE SAWS else oles Walch. SHS Pa TUS Fae DVAU AHS AA] SAILS SF2} Tele EF] Sa] SEK AS asc = eich) SAS MEVBATHS Sed PUNE Ws ES Melee, FHS 19577) BST zee) ME BalsehS ABA) Bek ols UB F481 Beet AF 16d 5A FH0] MEI AAAS SA Wasted Sveh F7HSo] Fst ASS] = PES BH] Hal SSH ME FUS Set Bo] ASH Bos ay 33) Ang Cheng Guan, “The China Sea Dispute Re-visited,” p.0. 34) Snyder, Glosserman, and Cossa, “Confidence Building Measures in the South China Sea,” pls, 35) Ang Cheng Guan, "The South China Sea Dispute Re-visited.” pp8-9.190 AAA FEE Aa SateLs6) ap) SH9] Hert WA BAAD Yelle AOS wT slate Vert PSs] UUs YARIS Set VIHSSS FS Asisiwe ZF ASEAN 3125 och 1S ASL ae] VSS) Hol Sle FAs AIVAS sstesl cK! Wt $ GT UT, wel SH2 ehk! 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S79} SH] Be So] PEoh EAE elo se SPS 7h 9] VIG SHS oF BAeI BI dole] UStoh Lao} VE SNS AHA chy] Yale} INS ecole Woh I AY med 1 Eco Hew ale obigt Say ISG] SS EEE of et USES Ameigel SE GRA NOS oleh WTAE wlepI se Waal A Basch o] Bae] ala] FHLo] 7] AEA I ARYol Lo} alIsIT. ave Bl 2 WAGES) WSR WIS TEA 7ie ase Ne wes aga se” S30] ea BS SG AIS FEMES Sleletcy BFS EY AA) ZA, ASFA, BAW, YaVS Fo] Fall BH EIS BekVol E UAE O + ache IS MolsT oleh SAL late) Halola} oblel SHE sho] 2S BAD UZ, wel obit SES IGA Yao] BEo1IS yall St 2] BIS Vee Swe) siz eh SF) eels Pelle) MKS 190d Tal = ATE $ Uap rhs} Meh lowe Tell ASE SH) HIS YEATES Mou, SH Se VMS sa] Vw ES SRS Poke Bese. Ce 200 alts Gelglat S32. Ua aol Fao) ofl Ao] Abst Able) Wala BH AE Yolshe FE Alege. Mood a SHE 712] HPN aA Fssiol WS Sus] BENS Wel stat, 36) Billy Yann-Huei Song, “China's Ovean Policy: EEZ and Maritime Fisheries,” Asian Survey, Vol29, NolO (October 1990), p.992. 37) 19058 8 FHA Teas PSR Shook AERA (Code of Conduct)" HE BRAVE VERT, GE A UY Bea} MEY Aolo} Haas vse YEAS = Plsgou, loosed SHo) viAde AeAG Test low Wegs dela get ALIAS alsa) Ea Ape atchaxe 191 SIA bet S7HSS AIH] els} Yolatete] eas sel 1 Aye “BS RB (the code of conduct)" 71H2S vol MVPs) Bale Bh obs - Es BSD UA | PFLAIS VIVES) BHoll He 2S BW wa, Flo] 213) FSAALE(CBMS)& GI UC, AAG, BIAS AA Bese FA Ae A7Ke] as Aol cal Fels) FH, vlaleazleiol Het Geol sy SA Rae Zp] AY PANS FS ABVSS) REM Ai, dsb] By SS EPs alc. Lad, Sto] Wesel BS B84 Aalesely zAwses Aa BAS BS D 7G BA) QUh38) Al, dis}-7e]a} Mahe] Fj] ari) Ssh FH 2] BA = PA AHS) BAY BALE az ePtS WS + slc}39 Sah, hy Bye} yg BRS PAP] BES Tejehok Meh, Ala, EAs} w]e ebeealatol) ela + SE BBS AF Folok sy] Loh. SH BE ole SAS Heol USTs] shy BOS ANS] USE Se ell Adsete Hae HE RA WA Vt. SSB He Fol PEaAS Aelshed] Azo ao] Hele Ugo] Mot B+ ale. SF SS Basse Boe HU AGS Sa a7] Az Se] Bes] WHS Be] ara AS MSS SH ASH alhS Zale + Ue oleh 2) MAPF/HS Atoll et Wey SF, AUS VE IFS AVG LA] Yo] Ass\o] PISES Ba S27] Bas AAA Alla SF Rhea] Sw] ABS AFL ch ols 7k ASA BAAD fall HR E74el WIS BROS Gs Balle] aviziel wate] mel wa) 71s wale he Rely, AIA Ss BRE BT /eacels] BAdel eH] Bet Aaa UPS BolT wa, WEFe] Ye ol YAS PHYS Heyy gsrstr ale}.s0) S49 712 USS BAA Ail A 7A SE + BS Belch, Ad, Sap ALSIHE MAF LACS] BYOS Bro) Aylziel Ba7} esse AS ve] Ss get. 1990 1st 1996 ATHY DAcholo] He UES) YH PILE SUA Ral FHS AD Ess] BA RE Rls) sel VST BUS Sela sY Yes} Fae By 38) Richard Sokolsky. Angel Rabasc, CR. Neu, The Rok of Southeast Asiz in US. 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SHE Le S Alo7) BU7104 UFFLS MSE Us BBs Ack 2 Fa FAe] Bata a FS AVIS Het Us} ae) PHS alc, SSS AGYES] Aes Bt Bala S SAS 2 lau BA Yzshl Wesel) Aza Bestel} alec Actol Y AUS Busy] Het 4544el AI: oA ace sie) Bal} 7H), Wise Bes) ABA QP), Sle] WSF] BA Fo] BS BS ASS Ue ols Ea shebel wet SS) 7M BS Elle] 1 Faiths FU Fo] gal Sas Vgabil viejo} Walz DAR, 1 PIs] At Jal Ashe] ABS Sse] Aaya Aa Sollot aleiolAy 9) HA] ANE HBSS Wop Weis WYsID akcAL 195 1c SIMA] FobrloolAls] Yala} AMY 2GIZ SIS BUS F3St Peso) Ge ASPs wbP aA. elt SF] “Metal EsKstrategic culture)"7} as] HRA Re] chi7] heel, SHS Pelee] BUS Py IAHE weays FALE BVI olFole WHF] was dF le eel VE Asse. SS 2 ola 78 ae Solo} Fe S7HSol Sie] APSS Wilaoe Wes she PRA ASHE Sahat, ol Foblot A7heo] S32] MH FAAS TS aA see S2VLS 7h + Ich: BIA SHel S cl Hlaela Fae gee ae aS FETA. 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Thereafter, however, its neighboring countries perceived seriously the military threat of China, The Chinese government changed its strategy over disputed maritime areas and participated in multilateral dialogues, The prospect of the two disputes seems to be more stable but different in China's strategic values, Key Words: China, Maritime Disputes, Spratly Islands Senkaku Idands, East Asian Conflicts