banking, Heise or
‘Te Investor magazine and now feelances
fon.amongothers. The Fanclal ines,
‘ad the International Herald Pabune.
BUILDING BRICS: _
THE SECOND IN A FOUR-PART SERIES,
RICHARD WILLSHER EXAMINES THE
ATTRACTIONS OF THE EMERGING BRIC
MARKETS — BRAZIL, RUSSIA, INDIA
AND CHINA. THIS ISSUE, THE FOCUS
TURNS TO RUSSIA.
hie the natural esunces ofthe work's
Tangesteounnry may playa ole
sn Russi status os amember ofthe
| ‘clus BIC ater do tbe
fooled vo tinkingofitasaone-tck
investment pony
eoriomissexpecations or govninin Rus
domestic product(GDP) are otavee arin 200, sgt
‘movethan 9 or2011.In the close BHUC company itkaeps
$B) bins tndiaand prt ae preaicedo omsrip his bat
Russias potenal GD? gow betoen now and250is
‘esate Gos" more than ice tharoftheUSAand
‘nebveetimesth 1815 growth predicedfr the UK
bgt eke ptt Opec ete eeebr of Rais
ae |
coca eee gee a
ae ee
ge re)
pes
ee ee
(eee 4
Pre Sees ame tent ee eee
Fev U sere ev eee eg ge teats reser
ie, i i
SPRING Laud 48Russian’ shoppingspend. Sales of cars ae ikely
to increase, which sone reason that mostof
the worlds major manufacturers have invested
in Russia Sales ofboorthetako-up of financial
product sich as morgages and creditcardsand
thenumber of people with access tothe internet
ae all caren ow,
Inaddtion, infrastructure spendingon
roads railways, ports and uss areal ky to
increase, The otlookfor these sectorsilstrates
the emerging market growth sory that may
‘gather pace over the next decadeas the Russian
‘economy pulls outof whats been shard-hising
recession. Certainly, Rusiais well onthe way
to zeeuver following the gobal economic erisis
92008 and early 2009. Indeed, the domestic
economy has stabived, meaning ssa not
dependent on exports alone. The recovery inthe
consumer market hes been slo, buts expected.
‘opickcup later this year
Ofcourse, Rusia contains vast ol and gs
reservesto rival anyother countryon the pianet,
and huge amounisoftimbet whileitisone ofthe
words bigest producers of electrity and largest
‘growers of wheat Addo thisthe fac hat tisa
‘major gold producer and its Ural Mountains are
said tobe packed with other minerals and you
hhaveacearpiemre ofthe largely unesploited
wealth that could presentsuch tractive
‘opportunities invesiors,
“The economy as. awhole svulnerableto
‘Auctutions in the prices ofolland gas because
Growth story
ve ofthe most
industlized
former Soviet
Republis, Russias
teecammunications
industry no
toingin sz and
maturity whiets
exportbusinessis
dominated by rac
resourcessuchas
pS ther ierals
‘draw material
Voyspeofdseovery
eee
ee
eet
‘these are the leading sources ofits national
revenues, Howeve Rusia continues to enter
{nto longterm contracts for sales of energy with
~uropean counties and with China, amongother
fas growing economies. Furthermore bidet
projections suggest that at usc under §20a barrel
foroil(atthe emo ofwrting the economy is well
sotto make substantial current account surpluses
‘Byenatalfthatleve the country would illbein
raft and no ones suggesting hat ol wilhalvein
price any ime soon
“Tis, together with thigh level foreign
‘cuencyreservesand low sovereign debt, support
-Rusis current investment grade edit rating.
The Russian government’ cautious economic
management, for examplein establishing
national sovereign wealth fund —the’Stabilztion
Func!’ -launched in 2004, seers ely o
‘encourage the international ratngagencies to
review the county ratingvourably in the future.
‘Summing up the atractons of investingin
‘theshare of Russian companies Ed Consoy,
(Co-Manager of HSBC Global investment
Funds’ Russian Equity potlio, answers with
‘heword "valuatlons!
"You havea number ofcompanies whose
sock relative to their pers n other markets
‘ried prety cheaply. Ifyou compare the average
‘valuation ofa Russian company againstthe
average company'n other emerging markets,
usa could he considered around 45% cheaper
‘compared to ahistorical discount of 20% There
are potentially good guinsto bemadoas Russia
doses the gap tits peers he continues. “Youcan
buy fantasti world-lasscompaniesin thecil
and materials sectors and there are good.
prospectsin inancalsandin consumer
‘goods These are veryintreting investment
pportunitosinthomsclves
“inaddtion, thereisalott be sid forthearestrabeon |
Moscone |
RUSSIA BY NUMBERS
irra =a
eign.
‘benefit fool dverficion hat cou part
‘ofa wellcorstrcte porto have potential 9
‘Conte decent retin wh he rset
aresltofthespreadfnvesimens”
How TonvesTIV RUSSIA
espossibeto buy individual tos hate
quoted theron the Moscow exchange or
shad, Gazprom the mor intra an gas
oducton and deuudon company, tequoed
‘auth London Sock Exchange for example
ower withinvesmentin any marie hese
sxe advantagesin being dvesiied and spreading
yours.
‘Bldg an stent porto thragh ay,
acolecveimesonentscheme sich asa
undmeans hatyoucouldbeshelred tom alraf
he werstaspects of oly rhe than by baying
standalone tas This, youre buying he
‘market oraubole rar anda tars,
17,089,242
Wri argest com by are omar kn)
140m
Aare papition
=< Bia» $2.1trillion
pein te onal
_ 16%
Percontag of popistion below the powry ne
eee
Se 39bn
eo
investnensinany ofthe aeascouldll ell Fussy cmeney eserves USS)
fie ee norguatanted and you could gerback
lesthan yur orga investment Thiscan ao
happen are ofexchangerate vito
Cerny these opporunies ave iks
sachet them Potical neering,
‘ranparey leurporateinirmadon snd
‘Sictvencsftheloglsystemarealacorsto | Soveeigncredi rating invest grade
bearin mind cautionary notes wich cous
bidagainst other emergingmases oo,
Plingallofne's chips on Rusia or indeed
‘nany her emerging mat, would require a
‘ery stongnerve Invetrsareadsed onser
‘arly especial as investing emerging,
‘rarketeacrien Thee economies havebees | Iestproducer ofl and natal as
and may continu to bead adversely by
‘Ronoccondionswsthecounies ehh | c&MuBetst/8A Fan 8 Caen
‘hey ade pee /Somoa os
Ibu of de potent forinvestment
retus derived om rapidly emering
economies is ppesing though then ould
bewerhadding Russa to helst of possible
insesment destrtons
MORE INFORMATION
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