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Steps of scientific reasoning Example 1 Example 2


1. We see something interesting, or at least puzzling
Chris has 17 TV's in his house

2. We start by devising many possible explanations for


what we see Chris is a TV collector, Chris is a TV thief, they are used for surveillance, etc

3. Next, we try to think of experiments that could


disprove each explanation To test whether Chris is a TV thief, we will look for To test whether Chris really loves to watch TV, we will
receipts for the TV's see if each TV is connected to cable or a video device

4. Each explanation makes a prediction about what the


experiment will show If Chris loves to watch TV, each TV will be connected
If Chris is a thief, there will be no receipts for the 17 TVs
and show a picture

5. Note the result of the experiment


Some of the TV's are off, some show static, and some
When we look for receipts, we find none
show a video game screen

6a. If the result of the experiment matches the prediction,


the explanation may be correct Chris may be a thief -- or he may have lost the receipts.
(The result does not match the prediction)
The explanation is not disproved.

6b. If the result of the experiment does not match the


prediction, the explanation is disproved The result does not match the prediction -- this
(This experiment does not disprove this explanation)
explanation is disproved.

7. The results of one experiment sometimes suggest a Maybe we could send the serial numbers to the
new experiment Maybe he plays lots of games with his friends. Are
manufacturer and see if Chris sent in the warranty
there video game consoles connected to all the TV's?
registration card? If he did, he's not a thief.
8. The explanation that cannot be disproved is most
likely to be accepted Chris definitely does not have 17 tv's because he loves
So far, we have not disproved this explanation
to watch TV. This explanation is disproved.

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