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Probability Unit 6

Problem: A spinner has 4 equal sectors colored yellow, blue, green and red.
What are the chances of landing on blue after spinning the
spinner? What are the chances of landing on red?
Solution: The chances of landing on blue are 1 in 4, or one fourth.
The chances of landing on red are 1 in 4, or one fourth.
Top of Form

Bottom of Form

This problem asked us to find some probabilities involving a spinner. Let's look at some
definitions and examples from the problem above.

Definition Example
An experiment is a situation involving chance or In the problem above, the
probability that leads to results called outcomes. experiment is spinning the spinner.
An outcome is the result of a single trial of an The possible outcomes are landing
experiment. on yellow, blue, green or red.
An event is one or more outcomes of an experiment. One event of this experiment is
landing on blue.
Probability is the measure of how likely an event is. The probability of landing on blue is
one fourth.

In order to measure probabilities, mathematicians have devised the following formula for finding
the probability of an event.

Probability Of An Event
The Number Of Ways Event A Can Occur
P(A) =
The total number Of Possible Outcomes

The probability of event A is the number of ways event A can occur divided by the
total number of possible outcomes. Let's take a look at a slight modification of the problem
from the top of the page.

Experiment 1: A spinner has 4 equal sectors colored yellow, blue,


green and red. After spinning the spinner, what is the
probability of landing on each color?
Outcomes: The possible outcomes of this experiment are yellow,
blue, green, and red.
Probabilities: P(yellow = # of ways to land 1
) on yellow =
total # of colors 4

# of ways to land
1
P(blue) = on blue =
total # of colors 4

# of ways to land
1
P(green) = on green =
total # of colors 4

# of ways to land
1
P(red) = on red =
total # of colors 4

Experiment 2: A single 6-sided die is rolled. What is


the probability of each outcome?
What is the probability of rolling an
even number? of rolling an odd
number?
Top of Form
Outcomes: The possible outcomes of this
experiment are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6. Bottom of Form

Probabilities:
# of ways to roll a 1 1
P(1) = =
total # of sides 6

# of ways to roll a 2 1
P(2) = =
total # of sides 6

# of ways to roll a 3 1
P(3) = =
total # of sides 6

# of ways to roll a 4 1
P(4) = =
total # of sides 6

# of ways to roll a 5 1
P(5) = =
total # of sides 6
# of ways to roll a 6 1
P(6) = =
total # of sides 6

# ways to roll an even


3 1
P(even) = number ==
total # of sides 6 2

# ways to roll an odd


3 1
P(odd) = number ==
total # of sides 6 2

Experiment 2 illustrates the difference between an outcome and an event. A single outcome of
this experiment is rolling a 1, or rolling a 2, or rolling a 3, etc. Rolling an even number (2, 4 or 6)
is an event, and rolling an odd number (1, 3 or 5) is also an event.

In Experiment 1 the probability of each outcome is always the same. The probability of landing
on each color of the spinner is always one fourth. In Experiment 2, the probability of rolling each
number on the die is always one sixth. In both of these experiments, the outcomes are equally
likely to occur. Let's look at an experiment in which the outcomes are not equally likely.

Experiment 3: A glass jar contains 6 red, 5 green, 8 blue and 3


yellow marbles. If a single marble is chosen at
random from the jar, what is the probability of
choosing a red marble? a green marble? a blue
marble? a yellow marble?
Outcomes: The possible outcomes of this experiment are red,
green, blue and yellow.
Probabilities:
# of ways to choose
6 3
red
P(red) = ==
2
total # of marbles 11
2

# of ways to choose
5
green
P(green) = =
2
total # of marbles
2

# of ways to choose
8 4
blue
P(blue) = ==
2
total # of marbles 11
2

P(yellow = # of ways to choose


) yellow =3
2
total # of marbles
2

The outcomes in this experiment are not equally likely to occur. You are more likely to choose a
blue marble than any other color. You are least likely to choose a yellow marble.

Experiment 4: Choose a number at random from 1 to 5. What is the probability of each


outcome? What is the probability that the number chosen is even? What is
the probability that the number chosen is odd?
Outcomes: The possible outcomes of this experiment are 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5.
Probabilities: # of ways to choose a 1 1
P(1) = =
total # of numbers 5

# of ways to choose a 2 1
P(2) = =
total # of numbers 5

# of ways to choose a 3 1
P(3) = =
total # of numbers 5

# of ways to choose a 4 1
P(4) = =
total # of numbers 5

# of ways to choose a 5 1
P(5) = =
total # of numbers 5

# of ways to choose an even


2
P(even) = number =
total # of numbers 5

# of ways to choose an odd


3
P(odd) = number =
total # of numbers 5

The outcomes 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 are equally likely to occur as a result of this experiment.
However, the events even and odd are not equally likely to occur, since there are 3 odd
numbers and only 2 even numbers from 1 to 5.

Summary: The probability of an event is the measure of the chance that the event will occur
as a result of an experiment. The probability of an event A is the number of ways
event A can occur divided by the total number of possible outcomes. The
probability of an event A, symbolized by P(A), is a number between 0 and 1,
inclusive, that measures the likelihood of an event in the following way:
• If P(A) > P(B) then event A is more likely to occur than event B.
• If P(A) = P(B) then events A and B are equally likely to occur.
Exercises
Directions: Read each question below. Select your answer by clicking on its button. Feedback
to your answer is provided in the RESULTS BOX. If you make a mistake, choose a different
button.

1. Which of the following is an experiment?

Top of Form

Tossing a coin.

Rolling a single 6-sided die.

Choosing a marble from a jar.

All of the above.

RESULTS BOX:

Bottom of Form

2. Which of the following is an outcome?

Top of Form

Rolling a pair of dice.

Landing on red.

Choosing 2 marbles from a jar.

None of the above.

RESULTS BOX:

Bottom of Form

3. Which of the following experiments does NOT have


equally likely outcomes?

Top of Form
Choose a number at random from 1 to 7.

Toss a coin.

Choose a letter at random from the word SCHOOL.

None of the above.

RESULTS BOX:

Bottom of Form

4. What is the probability of choosing a vowel from the


alphabet?

Top of Form

None of the above.

RESULTS BOX:

Bottom of Form

5. A number from 1 to 11 is chosen at


random. What is the probability of
choosing an odd number?

Top of Form
None of the above.

RESULTS BOX:

Bottom of Form

Certain and Impossible Unit


Events 6

Experiment 1: A spinner has 4 equal sectors colored yellow, blue, green,


and red. What is the probability of landing on purple after
spinning the spinner?
Probability: It is impossible to land on purple since the spinner does not
contain this color.
0 Top of Form
P(purple
= =0
) 4
Bottom of Form

Experiment 2: A teacher chooses a student at random from a class of 30


girls. What is the probability that the student chosen is a
girl?
Probability: Since all the students in the class are girls, the teacher is
certain to choose a girl.
3
P(girl 0
=1
) =3
0

In the first experiment, it was not possible to land on purple. This is an example of
an impossible event. In the second experiment, choosing a girl was certain to occur. This is an
example of a certain event.

The next experiment will involve a standard deck of 52 playing cards, which
consists of 4 suits: hearts, clubs, diamonds and spades. Each suit has 13 cards
as follows: ace, deuce, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, ten, jack, queen,
and king. Picture cards include jacks, queens and kings. There are no joker
cards. There are only 4 of a kind, for example, 4 tens.
Experiment 3: A single card is chosen at random from a standard
deck of 52 playing cards. What is the probability that
the card chosen is a joker card?
Probability: It is impossible to choose a joker card since a
standard deck of cards does not contain any jokers.
This is an impossible event.

0
P(joker) =0
=
5
2

Experiment 4: A single 6-sided die is rolled. What is


the probability of rolling a number less
than 7?
Probability: Rolling a number less than 7 is a
certain event since a single die has 6
Top of Form
sides, numbered 1 through 6.
6 Bottom of Form
P(number < 7)==1
6

Experiment 5: A total of five cards are chosen at random from a


standard deck of 52 playing cards. What is the
probability of choosing 5 aces?
Probability: It is impossible to choose 5 aces since a standard
deck of cards has only 4 of a kind. This is an
impossible event.

0
P(5 aces)= =0
5
2

Experiment 6: A glass jar contains 15 red marbles. If a single marble is


chosen at random from the jar, what is the probability
that it is red?
Probability: Choosing a red marble is certain to occur since all 15
marbles in the jar are red. This is a certain event.
1
5
P(red) =1
=1
5

Summary: The probability of an event is the measure of the chance that the event will occur
as a result of the experiment. The probability of an event A, symbolized by P(A), is
a number between 0 and 1, inclusive, that measures the likelihood of an event in
the following way:
• If P(A) > P(B) then event A is more likely to occur than event B.
• If P(A) = P(B) then events A and B are equally likely to occur.
• If event A is impossible, then P(A) = 0.
• If event A is certain, then P(A) = 1.

Exercises
Directions: Read each question below. Select your answer by clicking on its button. Feedback
to your answer is provided in the RESULTS BOX. If you make a mistake, choose a different
button.

1. A glass jar contains 5 red, 3 blue and 2 green jelly beans.


If a jelly bean is chosen at random from the jar, then
which of the following is an impossible event?

Top of Form

Choosing a red jelly bean.

Choosing a blue jelly bean.

Choosing a yellow jelly bean.

None of the above.

RESULTS BOX:

Bottom of Form

2. A spinner has 7 equal sectors numbered 1 to 7. If you


spin the spinner, then which of the following is a certain
event?

Top of Form

Landing on a number less than 7.

Landing on a number less than 8.

Landing on a number greater than 1.

None of the above.

RESULTS BOX:
Bottom of Form

3. What is the probability of choosing 14 hearts from a


standard deck of 52 playing cards?

Top of Form

None of the above.

RESULTS BOX:

Bottom of Form

4. If a number is chosen at random from the following list,


then what is the probability that it is prime?

2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13, 17, 19

Top of Form

None of the above.

RESULTS BOX:

Bottom of Form
5. If a single 6-sided die is rolled, then which of the
following events is neither certain nor
impossible?

Top of Form

Rolling a number less than 7.

Rolling an even number.

Rolling a zero.

None of the above.

RESULTS BOX:

Bottom of Form

Experiment 1: What is the probability of each outcome when a dime


is tossed?
Outcomes: The outcomes of this experiment are head and tail.
Probabilities: 1
P(head)=
2

P(tail) 1
=
2

Definition: The sample space of an experiment is the set of all possible outcomes of that
experiment.

The sample space of Experiment 1 is: {head, tail}

Experiment 2: A spinner has 4 equal sectors colored yellow, blue,


green and red. What is the probability of landing on
each color after spinning this spinner?
Sample Space: {yellow, blue, green, red}
Probabilities: 1
P(yellow)= Top of Form
4
Bottom of Form
1
P(blue) =
4
1
P(green) =
4

1
P(red) =
4

Experiment 3: What is the probability of each


outcome when a single 6-sided
die is rolled?
Sample Space: {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}
Probabilities: 1 Top of Form
P(1)=
6 Bottom of Form

1
P(2)=
6

1
P(3)=
6

1
P(4)=
6

1
P(5)=
6

1
P(6)=
6

Experiment 4: A glass jar contains 1 red, 3 green, 2 blue and 4


yellow marbles. If a single marble is chosen at
random from the jar, what is the probability of each
outcome?
Sample Space: {red, green, blue, yellow}
Probabilities:
1
P(red) =
1
0

P(green)
=3
1
0

2 1
P(blue) = =
1
5
0

4 2
P(yellow)= =
1
5
0

Summary: The sample space of an experiment is the set of all possible outcomes for that
experiment. You may have noticed that for each of the experiments above, the
sum of the probabilities of each outcome is 1. This is no coincidence. The sum
of the probabilities of the distinct outcomes within a sample space is 1.
The sample space for choosing a single card at random from a deck of 52
playing cards is shown below. There are 52 possible outcomes in this sample
space.

The probability of each outcome of this experiment is:


1
P(card)=
52

The sum of the probabilities of the distinct outcomes within this sample space is:

52
1
52=

Exercises
Directions: Read each question below. Select your answer by clicking on its button. Feedback
to your answer is provided in the RESULTS BOX. If you make a mistake, choose a different
button.

1. What is the sample space for choosing an odd


number from 1 to 11 at random?

Top of Form

1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11

{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11}

{1, 3, 5, 7, 9 11}

None of the above.

RESULTS BOX:

Bottom of Form

2. What is the sample space for choosing a prime


number less than 15 at random?

Top of Form

{2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13, 15}

{2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13}

{2, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13}

All of the above.

RESULTS BOX:

Bottom of Form

3. What is the sample space for choosing 1 jelly bean


at random from a jar containing 5 red, 7 blue and 2
green jelly beans?

Top of Form

{5, 7, 2}
{5 red, 7 blue, 2 green}

{red, blue, green}

None of the above.

RESULTS BOX:

Bottom of Form

4. What is the sample space for choosing 1 letter at


random from 5 vowels?

Top of Form

{a, e, i, o, u}

{v, o, w, e, l}

{1, 2, 3, 4, 5}

None of the above.

RESULTS BOX:

Bottom of Form

5. What is the sample space for choosing 1 letter at


random from the word DIVIDE?

Top of Form

{d, i, v, i, d, e}

{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}

{d, i, v, e}

None of the above.

RESULTS BOX:
Bottom of Form

Complement Unit 6
of an Event

Experiment 1: A spinner has 4 equal sectors colored yellow, blue, green


and red. What is the probability of landing on a sector that
is not red after spinning this spinner?
Sample Space: {yellow, blue, green, red}
Probability: The probability of each outcome in this experiment is one
fourth. The probability of landing on a sector that is not red Top of Form
is the same as the probability of landing on all the other
colors except red. Bottom of Form
1 11 3
P(not
+=
red) = 4+4 4 4

In Experiment 1, landing on a sector that is not red is the complement of landing on a sector that is
red.
Definition: The complement of an event A is the set of all outcomes in the sample space
that are not included in the outcomes of event A. The complement of event A is

represented by (read as A bar).

Rule: Given the probability of an event, the probability of its complement can be found
by subtracting the given probability from 1.

P( ) = 1 - P(A)

You may be wondering how this rule came about. In the last lesson, we learned that the sum of
the probabilities of the distinct outcomes within a sample space is 1. For example, the
probability of each of the 4 outcomes in the sample space above is one fourth, yielding a sum
of 1. Thus, the probability that an outcome does not occur is exactly 1 minus the probability that
it does. Let's look at Experiment 1 again, using this subtraction principle.

Experiment 1: A spinner has 4 equal sectors colored yellow, blue, green


and red. What is the probability of landing on a sector that
is not red after spinning this spinner?
Sample Space: {yellow, blue, green, red}
Probability: P(not
1 P(red)
red) =-

1
1
=- 4
3
=4

Experiment 2: A single card is chosen at random from a standard


deck of 52 playing cards. What is the probability of
choosing a card that is not a king?
Probability:
P(not king) 1 P(king)
= -

4
1
= - 52

4
8
=5
2

1
2
=1
3

Experiment 3: A single 6-sided die is rolled. What is


the probability of rolling a number that
is not 4?
Probability: P(not
1 P(4)
4) =-
Top of Form

1
1 Bottom of Form
=- 6

5
=6

Experiment 4: A single card is chosen at random from a standard


deck of 52 playing cards. What is the probability of
choosing a card that is not a club?
Probability:
P(not club) 1 P(club)
= -

13
1
= - 52

3
9
=5
2

3
=4
Experiment 5: A glass jar contains 20 red marbles. If a marble is
chosen at random from the jar, what is the probability
that it is not red?
Probability: P(not red) = 1 -P(red)

= 1 -1

=0

Note: This is an impossible


event.

Mutually Exclusive Unit 6


Events

Experiment 1: A single card is chosen at random from a standard deck


of 52 playing cards. What is the probability of choosing
a 5 or a king?
Possibilities: 1. The card chosen can be a 5.
2. The card chosen can be a king.

Experiment 2: A single card is chosen at random from a standard deck


of 52 playing cards. What is the probability of choosing
a club or a king?
Possibilities: 1. The card chosen can be a club.
2. The card chosen can be a king.
3. The card chosen can be a king and a club (i.e., the
king of clubs).

In Experiment 1, the card chosen can be a five or a king, but not both at the same time. These
events are mutually exclusive. In Experiment 2, the card chosen can be a club, or a king, or
both at the same time. These events are not mutually exclusive.

Definition: Two events are mutually exclusive if they cannot occur at the same time (i.e., they
have no outcomes in common).

Experiment 3: A single 6-sided die is rolled. What is


the probability of rolling an odd number
or an even number?
Possibilities: 1. The number rolled can be an odd
number.
2. The number rolled can be an even Top of Form
number.
Events: These events are mutually exclusive Bottom of Form
since they cannot occur at the same
time.
Experiment 4: A single 6-sided die is rolled. What is the probability of rolling a 5 or
an odd number?
Possibilities: 1. The number rolled can be a 5.
2. The number rolled can be an odd number (1, 3 or 5).
3. The number rolled can be a 5 and odd.
Events: These events are not mutually exclusive since they can occur at the same
time.

Experiment 5: A single letter is chosen at random from the word SCHOOL. What is the
probability of choosing an S or an O?
Possibilities: 1. The letter chosen can be an S
2. The letter chosen can be an O.
Events: These events are mutually exclusive since they cannot occur at the same
time.

Experiment 6: A single letter is chosen at random from the word SCHOOL. What is the
probability of choosing an O or a vowel?
Possibilities: 1. The letter chosen can be an O
2. The letter chosen can be a vowel.
3. The letter chosen can be an O and a vowel.
Events: These events are not mutually exclusive since they can occur at the same
time.

Summary: In this lesson, we have learned the difference between mutually exclusive
and non-mutually exclusive events. We can use set theory and Venn
Diagrams to illustrate this difference.
Mutually Exclusive Events Non-Mutually Exclusive Events
Two events are mutually exclusive Two events are non-mutually
if they cannot occur at the same exclusive if they have one or more
time (i.e., they have no outcomes outcomes in common.
in common).

In the Venn Diagram above, the In the Venn Diagram above, the
probabilities of events A and B probabilities of events A and B are
are represented by two disjoint represented by two intersecting sets
sets (i.e., they have no elements (i.e., they have some elements in
in common). common).
Addition Unit 6
Rules
for
Probabilit
y
Experiment 1: A single 6-sided die is rolled. What is the
probability of rolling a 2 or a 5?
Possibilities: 1. The number rolled can be a 2.
2. The number rolled can be a 5.
Events: These events are mutually exclusive
since they cannot occur at the same Top of Form
time.
Bottom of Form
Probabilities: How do we find the probabilities of these mutually exclusive events? We need
a rule to guide us.

Addition Rule 1: When two events, A and B, are mutually exclusive, the probability that A
or B will occur is the sum of the probability of each event.
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
Let's use this addition rule to find the probability for Experiment 1.
Experiment 1: A single 6-sided die is rolled. What is the probability of rolling a 2 or
a 5?
Probabilities:
1
P(2) =
6

1
P(5) =
6

P(2 or P(2 P(5


= +
5) ) )

1 1
= +
6 6

2
=
6
1
=
3

Experiment 2: A spinner has 4 equal sectors colored yellow, blue, green,


and red. What is the probability of landing on red or blue
after spinning this spinner?
Probabilities:
1
P(red) =
4 Top of Form

Bottom of Form

1
P(blue) =
4

P(red or P(red P(blue


= +
blue) ) )

1 1
= +
4 4

2
=
4

1
=
2

Experiment 3: A glass jar contains 1 red, 3 green, 2 blue, and 4 yellow


marbles. If a single marble is chosen at random from the
jar, what is the probability that it is yellow or green?
Probabilities:
4
P(yellow) =
10

3
P(green) =
10

P(yellow or P(yellow P(green


= +
green) ) )

= 4 + 3
10 10

7
=
10

In each of the three experiments above, the events are mutually exclusive. Let's look at some
experiments in which the events are non-mutually exclusive.

Experiment 4: A single card is chosen at random from a standard


deck of 52 playing cards. What is the probability of
choosing a king or a club?
Probabilities: P(king or P(king P(club P(king of
= + -
club) ) ) clubs)

4 13 1
= + -
52 52 52

16
=
52

4
=
13

In Experiment 4, the events are non-mutually exclusive. The addition causes the king of clubs
to be counted twice, so its probability must be subtracted. When two events are non-mutually
exclusive, a different addition rule must be used.

Addition Rule 2: When two events, A and B, are non-mutually exclusive, the probability that A or
B will occur is:
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)

In the rule above, P(A and B) refers to the overlap of the two events. Let's apply this rule to
some other experiments.

Experiment 5: In a math class of 30 students, 17 are boys and 13 are


girls. On a unit test, 4 boys and 5 girls made an A grade.
If a student is chosen at random from the class, what is
the probability of choosing a girl or an A student?
Probabilities: P(girl or P(girl P(girl and
= + P(A) -
A) ) A)

= 13 + 9 - 5
30 30 30

17
=
30

Experiment 6: On New Year's Eve, the probability of a person


having a car accident is 0.09. The probability of a
person driving while intoxicated is 0.32 and
probability of a person having a car accident while
intoxicated is 0.15. What is the probability of a
person driving while intoxicated or having a car
accident?
Probabilities:

P(intoxicated or P(intoxicated
= + P(accident) - P(intoxicated and accident)
accident) )

= 0.32 + 0.09 - 0.15


= 0.26

Summary: To find the probability of event A or B, we must first determine


whether the events are mutually exclusive or non-mutually
exclusive. Then we can apply the appropriate Addition Rule:
Addition Rule 1: When two events, A and B, are
mutually exclusive, the probability
that A or B will occur is the sum of
the probability of each event.
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)

Addition Rule 2:: When two events, A and B, are non-


mutually exclusive, there is some
overlap between these events. The
probability that A or B will occur is
the sum of the probability of each
event, minus the probability of the
overlap.
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)

Independent Unit
Events 6

Experiment 1: A dresser drawer contains one pair of socks with


each of the following colors: blue, brown, red, white
and black. Each pair is folded together in a matching
set. You reach into the sock drawer and choose a
pair of socks without looking. You replace this pair
and then choose another pair of socks. What is the
probability that you will choose the red pair of socks
both times?
There are a couple of things to note about this experiment. Choosing a pairs of socks from the
drawer, replacing it, and then choosing a pair again from the same drawer is a compound
event. Since the first pair was replaced, choosing a red pair on the first try has no effect on the
probability of choosing a red pair on the second try. Therefore, these events are independent.

Definition: Two events, A and B, are independent if the fact that A occurs does not affect the
probability of B occurring.
Some other examples of independent events are:
• Landing on heads after tossing a coin AND rolling a 5 on a single 6-sided die.
• Choosing a marble from a jar AND landing on heads after tossing a coin.
• Choosing a 3 from a deck of cards, replacing it, AND then choosing an ace as the second
card.
• Rolling a 4 on a single 6-sided die, AND then rolling a 1 on a second roll of the die.

To find the probability of two independent events that occur in sequence, find the probability of
each event occurring separately, and then multiply the probabilities. This multiplication rule is
defined symbolically below. Note that multiplication is represented by AND.

Multiplication Rule 1: When two events, A and B, are independent, the probability of both
occurring is:
P(A and B) = P(A) · P(B)

(Note: Another multiplication rule will be introduced in the next lesson.) Now we can apply this
rule to find the probability for Experiment 1.

Experiment 1: A dresser drawer contains one pair of socks with


each of the following colors: blue, brown, red, white
and black. Each pair is folded together in a matching
set. You reach into the sock drawer and choose a
pair of socks without looking. You replace this pair
and then choose another pair of socks. What is the
probability that you will choose the red pair of socks
both times?
Probabilities:
1
P(red) =
5

P(red and P(red P(red


= ·
red) ) )

1 1
= ·
5 5

1
=
25
Experiment 2: A coin is tossed and a single 6-sided die is rolled.
Find the probability of landing on the head side of
the coin and rolling a 3 on the die.
Probabilities:
1
P(head) =
2

1
P(3) =
6

P(head and P(head


= · P(3)
3) )

1 1
= ·
2 6

1
=
12

Experiment 3: A card is chosen at random from a deck of 52 cards.


It is then replaced and a second card is chosen. What
is the probability of choosing a jack and an eight?
Probabilities:
4
P(jack) =
52

4
P(8) =
52

P(jack and P(jack


= · P(8)
8) )

4 4
= ·
52 52

= 16
2704
1
=
169

Experiment 4: A jar contains 3 red, 5 green, 2 blue and 6 yellow


marbles. A marble is chosen at random from the jar.
After replacing it, a second marble is chosen. What is the
probability of choosing a green and a yellow marble?
Probabilities:
5
P(green) =
16

6
P(yellow) =
16

P(green and P(green P(yellow


= ·
yellow) ) )

5 6
= ·
16 16

30
=
256

15
=
128

Each of the experiments above involved two independent events that occurred in sequence. In
some cases, there was replacement of the first item before choosing the second item; this
replacement was needed in order to make the two events independent. Multiplication Rule 1
can be extended to work for three or more independent events that occur in sequence. This is
demonstrated in Experiment 5 below.

Experiment A school survey found that 9 out of 10 students like pizza. If


5: three students are chosen at random with replacement, what
is the probability that all three students like pizza?
Probabilities:
9
P(student 1 likes pizza) =
1
0
9
P(student 2 likes pizza) =
1
0

9
P(student 3 likes pizza) =
1
0

999 729
P(student 1 and student 2 and student 3 like
=· · =
pizza)
111
1000
000

All of the experiments above involved independent events with a small population (e.g. A 6-
sided die, a 2-sided coin, a deck of 52 cards). When a small number of items are selected from
a large population without replacement, the probability of each event changes so slightly that
the amount of change is negligible. This is illustrated in the following problem.

Problem: A nationwide survey found that 72% of people in the United


States like pizza. If 3 people are selected at random, what is
the probability that all three like pizza?
Solution: Let L represent the event of randomly choosing a person who
likes pizza from the U.S.
P(L) · P(L) · P(L) = (0.72)(0.72)(0.72) = 0.37 = 37%

In the next lesson, we will address how to handle non-replacement in a small population.

Dependent Events Unit 6

Experiment 1: A card is chosen at random from a standard deck of 52


playing cards. Without replacing it, a second card is
chosen. What is the probability that the first card chosen
is a queen and the second card chosen is a jack?
Analysis: The probability that the first card is a queen is 4 out of
52. However, if the first card is not replaced, then the
second card is chosen from only 51 cards. Accordingly,
the probability that the second card is a jack given that
the first card is a queen is 4 out of 51.
Conclusion: The outcome of choosing the first card has affected the outcome of choosing
the second card, making these events dependent.

Definition: Two events are dependent if the outcome or occurrence of the first affects the
outcome or occurrence of the second so that the probability is changed.

Now that we have accounted for the fact that there is no replacement, we can find the
probability of the dependent events in Experiment 1 by multiplying the probabilities of each
event.

Experiment A card is chosen at random from a standard deck of 52


1: playing cards. Without replacing it, a second card is
chosen. What is the probability that the first card chosen
is a queen and the second card chosen is a jack?
Probabilities:
4
P(queen on first pick) =
5
2

4
P(jack on 2nd pick given queen on 1st
=
pick)
5
1

1
44 4
6
P(queen and jack) =· = =
2
55 6
663
21 5
2

Experiment 1 involved two compound, dependent events. The probability of choosing a jack on
the second pick given that a queen was chosen on the first pick is called a conditional
probability.

Definition: The conditional probability of an event B in relationship to an event A is the


probability that event B occurs given that event A has already occurred. The
notation for conditional probability is P(B|A) [pronounced as The probability of
event B given A].

The notation used above does not mean that B is divided by A. It means the probability of event
B given that event A has already occurred. To find the probability of the two dependent events,
we use a modified version of Multiplication Rule 1, which was presented in the last lesson.

Multiplication Rule 2: When two events, A and B, are dependent, the probability of both occurring
is:
P(A and B) = P(A) · P(B|A)

Let's look at some experiments in which we can apply this rule.


Experiment 2: Mr. Parietti needs two students to help him with a science
demonstration for his class of 18 girls and 12 boys. He
randomly chooses one student who comes to the front of
the room. He then chooses a second student from those
still seated. What is the probability that both students
chosen are girls?
Probabilities: P(Girl 1 and Girl P(Girl P(Girl 2|Girl
= and
2) 1) 1)

18 17
= ·
30 29

306
=
870

51
=
145

Experiment 3: In a shipment of 20 computers, 3 are defective.


Three computers are randomly selected and tested.
What is the probability that all three are defective if
the first and second ones are not replaced after
being tested?
Probabilities: P(3 defectives) =
3 2 6 1
1
· · =
1 1 = 684
20 1140
9 8 0

Experiment 4: Four cards are chosen at random from a deck of 52


cards without replacement. What is the probability of
choosing a ten, a nine, an eight and a seven in
order?
Probabilities: P(10 and 9 and 8 and 7) =
25
4 4 4 32
4 6
· · · =
5 5 4 = 6,497
52 812,175
1 0 9 ,400

Experiment 5: Three cards are chosen at random from a deck of 52


cards without replacement. What is the probability of
choosing 3 aces?
Probabilities: P(3 aces) =
24
4 3 1
2
· · =
5 5 = 132,
52 5,525
1 0 600
Conditional Unit 6
Probability

Problem: A math teacher gave her class two tests. 25% of the class
passed both tests and 42% of the class passed the first test.
What percent of those who passed the first test also passed
the second test?
Analysis: This problem describes a conditional probability since it asks
us to find the probability that the second test was passed
given that the first test was passed. In the last lesson, the
notation for conditional probability was used in the statement
of Multiplication Rule 2.

Multiplication Rule 2: When two events, A and B, are dependent, the probability of both occurring
is:

The formula for the Conditional Probability of an event can be derived from Multiplication Rule 2 as
follows:

Start with Multiplication Rule 2.

Divide both sides of equation by P(A).

Cancel P(A)s on right-hand side of equation.

Commute the equation.

We have derived the formula for conditional probability.

Now we can use this formula to solve the problem at the top of the page.
Problem: A math teacher gave her class two tests. 25% of the class
passed both tests and 42% of the class passed the first test.
What percent of those who passed the first test also passed
the second test?
Solution: P(Second| = P(First and 0. 0 60%
First) Second) = 2 = . =
5
P(First) 0. 6
4 0
2

Let's look at some other problems in which we are asked to find a conditional probability.
Example 1: A jar contains black and white marbles. Two marbles are chosen without
replacement. The probability of selecting a black marble and then a white marble
is 0.34, and the probability of selecting a black marble on the first draw is 0.47.
What is the probability of selecting a white marble on the second draw, given that
the first marble drawn was black?
Solution: 0.
P(Black and
3 0
White)
= 4 .
P(White|Black) = = = 72%
P(Black) 0. 7
4 2
7

Example 2: The probability that it is Friday and that a student is absent is 0.03. Since there
are 5 school days in a week, the probability that it is Friday is 0.2. What is the
probability that a student is absent given that today is Friday?
Solution: 0.
P(Friday and 0
0
P(Absent| = Absent) .
= 3 = = 15%
Friday) 1
P(Friday) 0.
5
2

Example 3: At Kennedy Middle School, the probability that a student takes Technology and
Spanish is 0.087. The probability that a student takes Technology is 0.68. What
is the probability that a student takes Spanish given that the student is taking
Technology?
Solution: 0.
P(Technology and 0
0
Spanish) 8
= .
P(Spanish|Technology) = 7 = =13%
1
P(Technology) 0.
3
6
8

Summary: The conditional probability of an event B in relationship to an event A is the


probability that event B occurs given that event A has already occurred. The
notation for conditional probability is P(B|A), read as the probability of B
given A. The formula for conditional probability is:

The Venn Diagram below illustrates P(A), P(B), and P(A and B). What two
sections would have to be divided to find P(B|A)? Answer
Question 1. Two cards are drawn from a pack of 52 cards in succession. Find the probability that both are kings
when
(i) The first drawn card is replaced (ii) The card is not replaced
Solution:
Let A be the event of drawing a king in the first draw.
B be the event of drawing a king in the second draw.
(i) Card is replaced:
n(A) = 4 (king)
n(B) = 4 (king)
and n(S) = 52 (Total)
Clearly the event A will not affect the probability of the occurrence of event B and therefore A and B are
independent.
P(A ∩ B) = P(A) * P(B)
= 4/52 × 4/52
P(A ∩ B) =1/169
(ii) (Card is not replaced)
• In the first draw, there are 4 kings and 52 cards in total. Since the king, drawn at the first draw is not replaced, in
the second draw there are only 3 kings and 51 cards in total. Therefore the first event A affects the probability of
the occurrence of the second event B.
Therefore A and B are not independent they are dependent events.
Therefore P (A ∩ B) = P(A) * P(B/A)
P (A) = 4/52; P (B/A) = 3/51
P (A ∩ B) = P(A) * P (B/A) = 4/52 x 3/51
P(A ∩ B) = 1/221
Question 2. The total weight of 8 people chosen at random follows a normal distribution with a mean of 550kg and a
standard deviation of 150kg. What’s the probability that the total weight of 8 people exceeds 600kg?
Solution:
Here X = 600kg
m, the mean = 500kg
s, the standard deviation = 150kg.
Z = (600 – 550)/150
= 50/150
Z = 0.33
Z scores from normal distribution table is 0.3707
This is the probability that the weight will exceed 600kg.
Answer: The probability that the total weight of 8 people exceeds 600kg is 0.37.
Example 1: A bag contains 25 bulbs, out of 25 bulbs, 8 bulbs are defective, 4 bulbs are
chosen at random from this bag. Find the probability that at least two of these is
defective.
Solution:
Out of 25 bulbs, 8 bulbs are defective.
17 bulbs are favorable bulbs.
E = event for getting no bulb is defective.
n(E) = 17C4
Out of 17 bulbs we have to choose 4 bulbs randomly, so the number of ways = 17C4.
n(E) = 17C4
n(S) = 25C4
P(E) = 17C4/25C4
= 238/1265
Probability of at least two is defective + probability of two is non defective = 2
P(E) + p(E) = 2
238/1265 + p(E) = 2
P(E) = 2292/1265
Example 2: A bag contains 8 red and 6 orange bulbs. 2 bulbs are drawn at random.
Find the probability that they are of the same color.
Solution:
Let S be the sample space
Number of ways for drawing 2 bulbs out of 8 red and 6 orange bulbs = 14C2
= 91
n(S) = 91
Let E = event of getting both bulbs of the same color
Then
n(E) = number of ways of drawing (2 bulbs out of 8) or (2 balls out of 6)
= 8C2 + 6C2
= 28 + 15 = 43
P(E) = n(E)/n(S) = 43/91
Practice Questions
Solve these practice questions. These questions are very easy to solve.
Question 1: Find the probability of drawing 4 bulbs out of 6 bulbs in bag.
Answer: 2/3
Question 2: Find the probability of drawing 2 bulbs out of 4 red bulbs and 4 orange bulbs in a bag.
Answer: 1/4.
Q 1: A coin is tossed. If it shows a tail we draw a ball from a box which contains red and
3 black balls ; if ti shows a head, we throw a die.
Sol : Filet red balls named as R1 and R2, and the black balls be named as B1, B2, B3.
Then the sample space is S={TR1, Tr2, TB1,TB2,TB3,H1,H2,H3,H4,H5,H6}
Q 2: Three unbiased coins are tossed once. What is that probability of getting
i) All heads?
ii) Two heads?
iii) One head?
iv) At least 1 head?
Sol : In tossing three coins, the sample space is given by
S= {HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, TTH, TTT}
And therefore n(S)=8.
(i) Getting all head
Let E1 = event of getting all heads. Then,
E1= {HHH} and, therefore, n (E1) =1.
Therefore P (getting all heads) = P(E1) = n(E1) / n(S) = 1 / 8.
(ii) Getting 2 head
Let E2 = event of getting 2 heads. Then,
E2= {HHT, HTH, THH} and, therefore, n (E2) =3.
Therefore P (getting 2 heads) = P(E2) = n(E2) / n(S) = 3 / 8.
(iii) Getting one head
Let E3 = event of getting one head. Then,
E3= {HTT, THT, TTH} and, therefore, n (E3) =3.
Therefore P (getting one head) = P (E3) = n(E3) / n(S) = 3 / 4
(iv) Getting of at least 1 head
Let E4 = event of getting at least one head. Then,
E4= {HTT, THT, TTH, HHT, HTH, THH, HHH} and, therefore, n (E4) =7.
Therefore P (getting at least one head) = P (E4) = n(E4) / n(S) = 7 / 8.
Q 1:If P (A) =7 P (B) = 2/15 and P (A ∩B ) = 4/15, evaluate P(A|B).
Sol:From conditional probability definition we know that,
P (A|B) = P (A ∩B)
P (B)
Hence,
P(A|B) =

= * = = .
Q 2: If P(A|B) = 6 , P(B)= 8 , Find P (A ∩B ) .
Sol:From conditional probability definition we know that,
P (A|B) = P (A ∩B)
P (B)

6=
P (A ∩B ) = 8 x 6 = 48
Word Problems on Solving Conditional Probability Questions
Solving word problems conditional probability questions is simple , first we convert them to the simplest form , then
plug in the values .
Q 1: Ten cards numbered 1 to 10 are placed in a deck, mixed up thoroughly and then
one card is drawn randomly. If it is known that the number on the drawn card is more
than 3, what is the probability that it is an even number?Solve using conditional
probability.
Sol:Let A be the event ‘the number on the drawn card is even’ and B be the event ‘the
number on the card drawn is greater than 3’. We have to solve P(A|B).
Now, the sample space of the experiment is S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10}
Then A = {2, 4, 6, 8, 10}, B = {4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10} and A ∩ B = {4, 6, 8, 10}

Also P (A) = , P (B) = and P (A ∩ B) =


From conditional probability definition we know that,
P (A|B) = P (A ∩B)
P (B)

P (A|B) = = .
Q 2: In an industry, there are 1000 employees, out of which 430 are women. It is
known that out of 430, 10% of the women works in finance section.. What is the
probability that an employee chosen randomly works in finance section given that the
chosen employee is a woman?Solve using conditional probability.
Sol: Let A denote the event that an employee chosen randomly is work is finance
section, and B be the event that the randomly chosen employee is woman.
Now we have to solve P (A|B)

We know that , P(B) =


= 0.43
P(A ∩ B) = { 10% of 430} = 0.043
Then ,
P (A|B) = P (A ∩B) {from conditional probability definition}

P (B)
= 0.043/ 0.43
= 0.1
P(A|B) = 0.1
Study about Probability Questions
Experiment 1: Tossing a coin
Possible outcomes are head or tail.
Sample space, S = {head, tail}.
Experiment 2: Tossing a die
Possible outcomes are the numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6
Sample space, S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}

Study some Probability Example Questions


Question 1:
Two players, John and Jim, play a tennis match. It is known that the probability of John winning the match
is 0.62. What is the probability of Jim winning the match?
Solution:
In this question,
We can assume S and R as the events that John wins the match and Jim wins the match, respectively.
The probability of John’s winning = P(S) = 0.62 (given)
The probability of Jim’s winning = P(R) = 1 – P(S)
[As the events R and S are complementary]
= 1 – 0.62 = 0.38
Question 2:
A box contains 3 blue, 2 white, and 4 red marbles. If a marble is strained at chance from the box, what is
the probability that it will be
(i) White? (ii) Blue? (iii) Red?
Solution:
The question says that a marble is drawn at chance is a short way of saying that all the marbles are equally
likely to be strained Therefore, the number of possible outcomes = 3 +2 + 4 = 9
Let W represent the event ‘the marble is white’, B denote the experience ‘the marble is blue’ and R denote
the event ‘marble is red’.
(i) The number of outcomes favorable to the event W = 2
So, P (W) = 2 / 9
Similarly, (ii) P (B) = 3 / 9
=1/3
And,(iii) P(R) = 4 / 9
Note that: P (W) + P (B) + P (R) = 1.

Probability Sample Question for Preparation of Exam:


Here are few examples for probabilty preparation,
Question 1 for Preparation:
In a set of 6 numbers, (1) Find the probability of an even number (2) Find the
probability of an odd number. Exam the probability of each of these events.
Solution:
Probability P( E ) =

P( E1 ) = = 0.5

P( E2 ) = = 0.5
Question 2 for preparation:
There are 200 values in the Diary. The frequency distribution of 8 at their unit place
digit.
Numbers 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0
Frequency 23 27 21 20 22 9 15 27 15 21
The number is chosen at random. Exam what is the probability getting the unit place is
8?
Solution:
The probability of digit 8 is the unit place.
Probability P( E ) =

=
P(E) = 0.135

Probability Exercises Questions for Preparation of Exam:


1). A rubber company kept a record of covering distance before when tyre needed to
be replaced. Given data shows the results of 1000 cases.
unit more than 13000 8001 to 13000 3000 to
8000 less than 3000
Freq 445 325 210
20 If you buy a tyre of this company, calculate the probability
that :
(i) replaced before it has covered 3000?
(ii) more than 8000?
Answer: (i) covered 3000 (km) P(E) = 0.02
(ii) more than 8000 (km) = 0.77
2). The percentage of marks of a student in the unit tests are
Unit test I II III IV V
Percentage 77 52 76 90 56
Exam what is the probability of the student gets more than 70% marks in a unit test.
Answer : more than 70% marks P(E) = 0.
Each and very letter MADAM is written on a card. A card is select at random from the
container. Find the probability of getting the letter M?
Solution:
The card is selected randomly; it means that each card has the same probability of
selected.
Sample space S = {M, A, D, A, M} = 5
There are two card have the letter M
Let E= event of getting the letter M = {M1, M2} = 2
Probability formula = Number of favorable outcomes of an event
Number of total outcomes
Number of favorable outcomes of an event = 2
Number of total outcomes =5

P (E) =
Question:
Each and very letter MADAM is written on a card. A card is select at random from the
container. Find the probability of getting the letter D?
Solution:
The card is selected randomly; it means that each card has the same probability of
selected.
Sample space S = {M, A, D, A, M} = 5
There are one card have the letter D
Let E= event of getting the letter D = {D} = 1
Probability formula = Number of favorable outcomes of an event
Number of total outcomes
Number of favorable outcomes of an event = 1
Number of total outcomes =5

P (E) =
5th Grade Math Probability Example Problems
Question:
Each and very letter HELLO is written on a card. A card is select at random from the
container. Find the probability of getting the letter L?
Answer:

Question:
Each and very letter HELLO is written on a card. A card is select at random from the
container. Find the probability of getting the letter O?
Answer:

n a bakery, there are 50 biscuits, 20 bread packets and 70 cakes. What is the
probability of buying biscuit or bread?
Solution:
Given:
Number of biscuits = 50
Number of bread packets = 20
Number of cakes = 70
Step 1:
Total = 50 + 20 + 70
n(S) = 140
Step 2:
P(A) – buying Biscuits

P(A) =

=
Step 3:
P(B) – buying bread packets

P(B) =

=
Step 4: P(buying biscuit or bread)
P(A B) = P(A) + P(B)

= +

=
=2

Answer
n a Jewellery shop, there are 50 bangles, 40 studs and 60 rings. Write the probability of
the following options.
a) P (Not selecting a ring)
b) P (Selecting a bangle or stud)
Solution:
Given:
Number of bangles = 50
Number of studs = 40
Number of rings = 60
Step 1:
Total = 50 + 40 + 60
n(S) = 150
Step 2:
P(A) – Selecting bangles

P(A) =

=
Step 3:
P(B) – selecting studs

P(B) =

=
Step 4:
P(C) – selecting rings

P(C) =

=
a) P(not selecting a ring)
P(C) = 1 – P(C’)

= 1 – P(C’)

P(C’) = 1 –

=
=

=
b) P(bangle or stud)
P(A or B) = P(AUB)
= P(A) + P(B)

= +

=
Practice Problems to Preparation for Probability Rules Exam:
Problem: 1

P(C) = . Find P(C')

Answer: P(A') =
Problem: 2

P(A) = , P(B) = and A and B are independent events. Find P(B') , P(A B).

Answer: P(A') = P(B') =


In a shop there are 7 bikes and 3 cars. If one vehicle is selected at random and then a
second vehicle is selected at random, what are the chances that both of vehicles will be
bike?
Solution:
Total number of bikes = 7
Total number of cars = 3
Total number of vehicles n(s) = 7 + 3 = 10
For the first time, there are 7 chances in 10 vehicles

So probability for the first chance P1 =


For the second time, there are 6 chances in 9 vehicles

Probability for the second chance P2=


Probability for both chance to get a bike = P1 * P2
=

Two coins are tossed once. Find the probability of (i) getting two tails (ii) getting at least
one tail (iii) getting no tail (iv) getting one tail and one head
Solution:
Let 'H' denote the event of getting a head and 'T' denote the event of getting a
tail. On tossing two coins simultaneously, all possible outcomes are HH, HT, TH, and
TT.
Numbers of possible outcomes = 4
(i) Favorable outcomes of two tails is (T, T)
Number of favorable outcomes = 1

P (Two tails) =
(ii) Favorable outcomes of at least one tail are HT, TH, and TT.
Number of favorable outcomes = 3

P (at least one tail) =


(iii) Getting no tail is (H, H). Favorable outcome is 1.

P (no tail) =
(iv) Favorable outcomes of at least one tail and one head HT, TH,
Number of favorable outcomes = 2

P (at least one tail and one head) = --- >


The shop has 82 products. In those products, there are 26 car toys, 29 train toys
and 27 bus toys are available. What is the probability for the following outcomes?
i) Select the car toys.
ii) Select the train toys.
Solution:
Number of products n(S) = 82
Number of car toys n(A) = 26
Number of train toys n(B) = 29
Number of bus toys n(C) = 27
i) Assume the P(A) is the probability for select the car toys.

P(A)=
=

= .
ii) Assume the P(B) is the probability for select the train toys.

P(B) =

= .
In the flower garden, there are 52 flowers are available. In those flowers, 10 are
the red roses, 15 are the white roses and the remaining are the yellow roses.
i) Choose the red roses
ii) Choose the white roses
Solution:
Number of roses n (S) = 52
Number of red roses n(A) = 10
Number of white roses n(B) = 15
We don’t know the yellow roses quantity. So find that one with the help of other
quantity.
Number of yellow roses n(C ) = 52 - (10 + 15)
= 52 - 25
n(C) = 27.
i) Assume P(A) is the probability for choose the red roses.

P(A) =

= .
ii)Assume P(B) is the probability for choose the white roses.

P(B) =

= .
Practice Problems - Probability Test Prep Tutoring:
Test question 1
Julie has the 10 pens, Jessie has the 12 pens. What is the probability for select the
Jessie’s pens?
Answer:
Probability =

= .
Test question 2
Alex has one bag. In that bag, there are 15 red balls and 22 white balls are available.
What is the probability for select the red balls?
Answer:

Probability = .
Test question 3:
The shop has 12 fruits. In those fruits, there are 4 apples and 8 mangos. What is the
probability for select the mangos?
Answer:

Probability = .

= .
Solved problem: Pierre throw a die once. Try to find out the probability of getting a
number less than or equal to three. And also find the probability of getting a number
greater than three.
Solution:
Pierre throws a die once.
Let us take ‘probability of getting a number greater than three’ is G, and ‘the
probability of getting a number less than or equal to three’ is L.
Number of possible outcomes = 6

P(G) = P(number greater than 3) = =


Outcomes favorable to the event L are 1, 2, 3.
So, the number of outcomes favorable to L is 3.

Therefore, P(L) = =
Answer: The probability of getting a number less than or equal to three and the

probability of getting a number greater than three is and respectively.


Exam Questions - Prepare for Ks-4 Probability Exam:
Exam question 1: Try to determine the probability of getting a head when a coin is
tossed once.
Exam question 2: In a shuffle deck of 52 cards, Patrick took one card without look it.
Calculate the probability that he took an ace.
Exam question 3: Two players, Imam and Raman, play a chess game. The probability
of Imam winning the match is 0.4. Calculate the probability of Raman winning the
match.
Exam question 4: A die is rolling by Minnie. Let A be the event ‘getting a prime
number’, B be the event ‘getting an odd number’. Calculate the sets representing the
events A or B.
Exam question 5: An urn contains 10 black and 5 white balls. Without replacing two
balls are drawn from the urn. Find the probability that both drawn balls are black.
Answer keys - prepare for ks-4 probability exam:

Answer key 1: The probability of getting a head when a con is tossed is .

Answer key 2: The probability that Patrick took an ace is


Answer key 3: The probability of Raman winning the match is 0.6.
Answer key 4: ‘A or B’ = A U B = {1, 2, 3, 5}

Answer key 5:
In a bags, there are filled with 10 red rose flowers, 15 yellow rose flowers and 25 pink
rose flowers, Find the probability of the red, yellow and pink color flowers?
Solution:
From the given data’s we can find the total number of flowers.
So total number of flowers =number of red color flower + yellow color flower + pink color
flower
Total number of red color flowers = 10
Total number of yellow color flowers = 15
Total number of pink color flowers = 25
So the total number of red, yellow and pink color flowers is 50
Probability of taking red color flowers = 10/50 = 1/5
Probability of taking yellow color flowers = 15/50 = 3/10
Probability of taking pink color flowers = 25/50 = 1/2
Example 2 – math help with probability for elementary school:
If the die (single) will be rotate find the Probability of receiving each number?
Solution:
The die has 6 sides it will be number as 1, 2,3,4,5 and 6 like that
The probability for the occurrence of each an every number are shown below:
Probability of receiving number 1 is P (1) =1/6
Probability of receiving number 2 is P (2) =1/6
Probability of receiving number 3 is P (3) =1/6
Probability of receiving number 4 is P (4) =1/6
Probability of receiving number 5 is P (5) =1/6
Probability of receiving number 6 is P (6) =1/6
(Since single die has only one 1, 2,3,4,5 and 6 so the probabilities are the same)
Example 3 – math help with probability for elementary school:
Suppose the rectangle is divided into 15 equal parts and those parts are colored using
different colors, 5 red, 7blue, 3 yellow?
Solution:
Here the given problem is called as experiment, and outcome of those experiment are
pink, yellow and blue
Now we can find the probabilities of each color
P (red) =5/15
P (blue) =7/15
P (yellow) =3/15
e available. What is the probability for the following outcomes?
i) Select the dolls.
ii) Select the hats.
Solution:
Number of products n(S) = 72
Number of dolls n(A) = 20
Number of hats n(B) = 31
Number of boxes n(C) = 21
i) Assume the P(A) is the probability for select the dolls.
P(A) = `(n(A))/(n(S))`
= `(20)/(72)`
= `(5)/(18)` .
ii) Assume the P(B) is the probability for select the hats.
P(B) =`(n(B))/(n(S))`
= `(31)/(72)` .
Example 2:
The dress shop has the 45 dresses. In those dresses there are 20 gens dresses,
12 are the ladies dresses and the remaining are the kids dresses. What is the
probability for the following outcomes?
i) Choose the gens dresses
ii) Choose the ladies dresses
Solution:
Number of dresses n (S) = 45
Number of gens dresses n(A) = 20
Number of ladies dresses n(B) = 12
We don’t know the kids dress quantity. So find that one with the help of other
quantity.
Number of kids dresses n(C ) = 45 - (20+12)
= 45 - 32
n(C) = 13.
i) Assume P(A) is the probability for choose the gens dresses.
P(A) =`(n(A))/(n(S))`
=`(20)/(45)`
=`(4)/(9)` .
ii)Assume P(B) is the probability for choose the ladies dresses.
P(B) =`(n(B))/(n(S))`
= `(12)/(45)`
= `(4)/(15)` .
Test Problems - Online Probability Test Prep Tutor:
Test question 1:
Stephen has a 17 balls and John has the 12 balls. What is the probability for select
the Stephen’s balls ?
Answer:
Probability = `(17)/(29)` .
Test question 2:
Michel has 23 apples and Jenifer has the 26 apples. What is the probability for select
the Michel’s apples?
Answer:
Probability = `(23)/(49)` .
Test question 3:
The shop has 16 rings. In those rings, there are 7 diamond rings and 9 gold rings.
What is the probability for select the gold rings?
Answer:
Probability = `(9)/(16)` .
Consider A be the Poisson’s lambda (2) and B which has the Poisson’ lambda (3) and
let C = A + B. Calculate the distribution of A conditional on C = 10.
Solution:
A: lambda = 2
B: lambda = 3
The value of C = A + B = 3 + 2 = 5
Using the formula of conditional probability Poisson distribution

=
=

=
= 0.04031
Answer: 0.04031
Example problem 2 – Conditional probability Poisson learning
Consider X be the Poisson’s lambda (3) and Y which has the Poisson’ lambda (2) and
let Z = X - Y. Calculate the distribution of X conditional on Z = 5.
Solution:
X: lambda = 3
Y: lambda = 2
The value of Z = X - Y = 3 – 2 = 1
Using the formula of conditional probability Poisson distribution

=
=
=
= 4.3946
Answer: 4.3946
Practicing Problems – Conditional Probability Poisson Learning
Practicing problem 1 – Conditional probability poisson learning
Consider P be the Poisson’s lambda (2) and Q which has the Poisson’ lambda (2) and
let R = P/ Q. Calculate the distribution of P conditional on R = 2.
Answer: 0.398
Practicing problem 2 – Conditional probability poisson learning
Consider X be the Poisson’s lambda (3) and Y which has the Poisson’ lambda (2) and
let Z = X* Y. Calculate the distribution of X conditional on Z = 3.
Answer: 4.3946
Example problem 1- learn conditional probability distribution

Problem 1: If A and B be two events, P(B) = and P(A and B) =


Solution:
Step 1: Given:

A and B = Events

P( A and B ) =

P( B ) =
Step 2: To find:
P( B | A )
Step 3: Formula:
Conditional Probability formula = P(B | A) =
Step 3: Solve:

P( B | A ) =

=
=

Result: Conditional Probability distribution =


Example Problem 2- learn conditional probability distribution

If A and B be two events, P(B) = and P(A and B) =


Solution:
Step 1: Given:

A and B = Events

P( A and B ) =

P( B ) =
Step 2: To find:
P( B | A )
Step 3: Formula:
Conditional Probability formula = P(B | A) =
Step 3: Solve:

P( B | A ) =

Result: Conditional Probability distribution =


Practice Problems to Learn Conditional Probability Distribution:
Problem 1- learn conditional probability distribution

If A and B be two events, P(B) = and P(A and B) = . Then find the value of P(B
/A)?

Problem 2- learn conditional probability distribution


If A and B be two events, P(B) = and P(A and B) = Then find the value of P(B
/A)?
r: 1/5
Example to Learn Conditional Probability Proof:
In the population of England, the probability the Cricket player’s life is at least 85 years
is 0.85 and 0.75 if the player won’t live more than 95 years. If a player has 85 years old,
solve the simple conditional probability that he will survive on 95 years. If A subset of B
then, P (X and Y) = P (X)
Solution:
Let us take X is the event that the player lives to 80 years and Y is the event that
the player will live at least 80 years.
So given that P ( Y ) = 0.75 and P ( X ) = 0.85
So Conditional probability,
P ( Y | X ) = P ( X and Y ) / P ( X )
The given condition is P ( X and Y ) = P ( Y ) = 0.75
P ( X | Y ) = 0.75 / 0.85
P ( X | Y ) = 0.88
Example Problems to Learn Conditional Probability Rule:
Example: 1

Find the value of P(B |A) where P(A) = and P(A and B) = .
Solution:
Step 1:

P( A and B ) =

P(A) =
Step 2: To find:
P( B | A )
Step 3: Formula:

Conditional Probability = P(B | A) =


Step 3: Solve:

P( B | A ) =

=
=

Answer: Conditional probability =


Example: 2

Find the value of P(B |A) where P(A) = and P(A and B) = .
Solution:
Step 1:

P( A and B ) =

P( A ) =
Step 2: To find:
P( B | A )
Step 3: Formula:

Conditional Probability = P(B | A) =


Step 3: Solve:

P( B | A ) =

Answer: Conditional Probability =


Example: 3

Find the value of P(B |A) where P(A) = and P(A and B) = .
Solution:
Step 1:
P( A and B ) =

P(A) =
Step 2: To find:
P( B | A )
Step 3: Formula:

Conditional Probability = P(B | A) =


Step 3: Solve:

P( B | A ) =

Answer: Conditional probability =


Practice Problems to Learn Conditional Probability Rule:
Problem: 1

Find the value of P(B |A) where P(A) = and P(A and B) = .

Answer:
Problem: 2

Find the value of P(B |A) where P(A) = and P(A and B) = .
Answer: 5
Events of Conditional Probability:
For example, we previously calculated the probability of rolling a 5 above. Now say we want to work out the
probability of rolling a 5 given that one or both of the dice rolled is a 2. We would calculate this conditional probability
like so
A = {(1, 4), (2, 3), (3, 2), (4, 1)}
B = {(2, 1), (2, 2), (2, 3), (2, 4), (2, 5), (2, 6), (1, 2), (3, 2), (4, 2), (5, 2), (6, 2)}
A AND B = {(2, 3), (3, 2)}
P(A | B) = P(A AND B) / P(B)
= P({(2, 3), (3, 2)}) / P(B)
= (1/18) / (11 / 36)
= (2/11)
Examples for Conditional Probability:
Example 1:
A math teacher gave her class two tests. 25% of the class passed both tests and 42% of the class passed the
first test. What percent of those who passed the first test also passed he second test?
Solution:
P(Second | First) = P(First and Second) / P(First)
= 0.25/0.42
= 0.60
= 60%
Example 2:
A jar contains black and white marbles. Two marbles are chosen without replacement. The probability of
taking a black marble and then a white marble is 0.34, and the probability of taking a black marble on the first draw is
0.47. What is the probability of taking a white marble on the second draw, given that the first marble drawn was
black?
Solution:
P(White | Black) = P(Black and White) / P(Black)
= 0.34 / 0.47
= 0.72
= 72%
Example 3:
At The Middle School, the conditional probability that a student selects Technology and Spanish is 0.087. The
conditional probability that a student takes Technology is 0.68. What is the probability that a student selects Spanish
given that the student is taking Technology?
Solution:
P(Spanish | Technology) = P(Technology and Spanish) / P(Technology)
= 0.087 / 0.68
= 0.13
= 13%

uestion 30
Question: A card is drawn from a well-shuffled pack of cards and its suit is noted. (spade, clubs, hearts or
diamond). This trial is repeated 400 times and the Number of times each suit is drawn is given below.

When a card is drawn at random what is the probability that it is


1) a diamond
2) a black card
3) not a spade
Answer:
1) Total number of trials = 400
Number of trials in which a diamond showed up = 76

P (the card drawn is a diamond)


2) Number of times a black card showed up = 96 + 108 = 204

P (the card drawn is black)

3) Number of times a card other than a spade showed up = 108 + 120 + 76 = 304

P (the card is not a spade)

Question 31
Question: The monthly wages of 200 workers in a factory is given by the following table:

If one worker in the factory is chosen at random, what is the probability that
1) his wage is in the range Rs. 3500 - 4500?
2) his wage is Rs. 4000 or above?
3) Give two events in the content, one having probability 0 and the other having probability 1.

Answer: Total number of workers = 200

1) Number of workers whose wage is between Rs. 3500 and Rs. 4500

= 63 + 42 = 105

P (the worker's wage is between Rs. 3500 and Rs. 4500)

2) Number of workers with wage above Rs. 4000


= 42 + 19 = 61

P (the worker's wage is above Rs. 4000)

3) Let E1 be the event "the wage of the worker is less than Rs. 3000".

Since there is no worker whose wage is less than Rs. 3000, P(E1) = 0.

Let E2 be the event: "the wage is not less than Rs. 3000".

As the wages of all the workers considered is greater than or equal to Rs. 3000, P(E2) = 1

Question 32
Question: In a cricket match, the number of dot-balls bowled in an over was noted down in the first 30 overs as
follows:

What is the probability that an over bowled in the match?


1) has no dot balls
2) has not more than 2 dot balls
3) at least two dot balls?

Answer: Total number of overs = 30

1) Number of overs with no dot balls = 7

P (the over has no dot balls)

2) Number of overs with not more than 2 dot balls = 7 + 5+ 5 = 17

P (the over has not more than 2 dot balls)

3) Number of overs with atleast 2 dot balls = 5 + 4 + 3 + 3 + 3 = 18

P (the over has atleast 2 dot balls)


Question 33
Question: 100 mangoes are selected at random from each of 5 baskets of mangoes, and the number of mangoes
which are spoilt is counted and recorded as follows:

When one such basket is checked what is the probability that it has
1) no spoilt mangoes
2) Atleast 10 spoilt mangoes
3) more than 20 spoilt mangoes

Answer: Number of baskets = 5

1) Number of baskets with no spoilt mangoes = 0

P (the basket has no spoilt mangoes) = 0

2) No of basket has no spoilt mangoes = 5

P (the basket has at least 10 spoilt mangoes) =1

3) No of baskets with more than 20 spoilt mangoes = 3

P(the basket has more than 20 spoilt mangoes)

Question 34
Question: Consider the following frequency distribution table which gives the heights of 40 students in a class

Find the probability that the height of a student in the class


1) lies in the interval 150 - 155
2) is 145 cm or above 145 cm
3) is below 150 cm
Answer: Total Number of students = 40

1) Number of students whose height lies in the interval 150 - 155 cm = 12

P (the height of the student is in the interval 150 - 155)

2) Number of students whose height is 145 cm or above 145 cm

= 11 +12 + 9 = 32

P (the height of the student is 145 cm or above)

3) Number of students whose height is below 150 cm= 8 + 11 = 19

P (the height of the student is less than 150 cm)

Question 35
Question: Cards numbered 1 to 10 are placed in a box. One card is drawn and the number noted. This trial is
repeated 500 times and the result is tabulated as follows:

If a card is drawn what is the probability that the card no is


1) a prime number
2) an even number
3) not less than 8

Answer: Number of trials = 500

1) Number of trials in which the card drawn has a prime number

= 34 + 52 + 54 + 60 = 200

P(the card number is prime)

2)Number of trials in which the card drawn has an even number

= 34 + 48 + 36 + 62 + 70 = 250
P(the card number is even)

3)Number of trials in which the card number is greater than 6

= 60 + 62 + 56 + 70 = 248

P (card number is greater than 6)

4) Number of trials in which the card number is not less than 8

= 62 + 56 + 70 = 188

P (card number is not less than 8)

Question 36
Question: An organisation selected 2400 families at random and surveyed than to determine a relationship
between income level and the number of vehicles in a family. The information gathered is listed in the table below:

Suppose a family is chosen, find the probability that the family chosen is i) earning Rs. 10000 - Rs. 13000 per month
and owning exactly 2 vehicles ii) earning Rs. 16000 or more per month and owning exactly 1 vehicle iii) earning less
than Rs. 7000 per month and not owning any vehicle iv) earning Rs. 13000 - 16000 per month and owning more than
2 vehicles v) owning not more than 1 vehicle.
Answer: Total number of families = 2400

i) Number of families earning Rs. 10000 - Rs. 13000,


and owning 2 vehicles = 29

P (the family is earning Rs. 10000 - Rs. 13000 and owns 2 vehicles)
ii) Number of families earning Rs. 16000 or more
and owning 1 vehicle = 579

P (the family is earning Rs. 16000 or more and own 1 vehicle)

iii) Number of families earning less than Rs.7000


and not owning any vehicle = 10

P (the family is earning less than Rs. 7000 and does not own any vehicle)

iv) Number of families Rs. 13000 - Rs. 16000


and owning more than 2 vehicles =25

P (the family is earning Rs. 13000 - Rs. 16000 and owns more than 2 vehicles)

v) Number of families owning not more than 1 vehicle


= 10 + 10 + 1 + 2 + 1 + 160 +305 +535 +469 +579 = 2062

P (the family owns not more than 1 vehicle)

Question 37
Question: If E1, E2, E3 cover all possible outcomes of a trial, and P(E1) = 0.7, P (E2) = 0.05. What is the probability of
E3 ?
Answer: P(E1) + P(E2) + P(E3) = 1 P(E3) = 1 - (0.7 + 0.05)

= 1 - 0.75 = 0.25

Statistics and Probability Solutions: Question 38


Question: In a survey conducted among 300 students each of whom could speak either Hindi or English or both, it
was found that 200 of them could speak Hindi and 250 of them could speak English. If a student is selected at
random, what is the probability that he can speak both the languages?
Here is a step by step explanation for Statistics and Probability Solutions

Answer: Total number of students = 300

Number of students who can speak both languages

= 200 + 250 - 300 = 150 P (the student can speak both languages)

Problems for Probability with Answers


Problem 1
The box has the 60 caps. In that caps, there are 15 red caps, 10 blue caps and
35 green caps available. Solve the probability with the below outcomes.
i) Select the red caps.
ii) Select the blue caps.
Answer
Total caps n(S) = 60
Red caps n (A) =15
Blue caps n (B) = 10
Green caps n(C) =35
i) Assume the P(A) is the probability for choose Red caps .

P(A)=

=
ii) Assume the P(B) is the probability for choose blue caps.

P(C) =

= .
We can solve the problems in these method and get the answers.
Problem 2
The bag has the 40 kerchiefs. In that kerchiefs, there are 10 is the gray colour,
15 is the yellow colour and 15 is the white colour. If balu select the white colour
kerchief means solve the probability?
Answer
First list the given information,
Total kerchiefs n(S)=40
Gray colour kerchiefs n(A)= 10
Yellow colour kerchiefs n(B)= 15
White colour kerchiefs n(C )= 15
Assume P(E) is the probability for balu select the white colour kerchief.
So P(E)=n(C )/n(S)

= .
These solve problems with answers are used to study the probability.
Problem 3
Two coins are spinning. What is the probability for if two head are getting?
Answer
Two coins flipped means the feasible outcomes are {(H,T),(H,H),(T,H),(T,T)}
So the total numbers of outcomes are 4.
We get the two head outcome is 1.

Therefore the probability is .


In the above way we can solve the problems and get the answers.

Example 1: When throwing two dice, what is the probability of getting a sum is
a) 10 or 5
b) 9 and 5
Solution:
Let sample space = S, S = {(1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3) … (6, 5), (6, 6)}, n(S) = 36
A be the event of getting a sum is 10, A = {(4, 6), (5, 5), (6, 4)}, n(A) = 3
B be the event of getting a sum is 5, B = {(1, 4), (2, 3), (3, 2), (4, 1)} = 4
C be the event of getting a sum is 9, C = {(3, 6), (4, 5), (5, 4), (6, 3)} = 4

P(A) = =

P(B) = =
P(C) = =

a) P(A or B) = P(10 or 5) = + =

b) P(B or C) = P(5 or 9) = + =
Example 2: A jar contains 7 blue candies and 5 black candies. Two candies are drawn
at random. Find the probability of getting both will be blue or black candies.
Solution:
Let S = Sample space, (7 + 5 = 12).
A be the event of getting 2 blue candies.
B be the event of getting 2 green candies.
(A or B) be the event of getting 2 blue or 2 black candies.

n(S) = 12C2 = = = 66

n(A) = 7C2 = = = 21

n(B) = 5C2 = = = 10

P(A) = =

P(B) = =

P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) = + =


Learn Probability Problems with Answers - Practice Problems
Problem 1: A jar contains 6 blue candies and 4 black candies. Two candies are drawn
at random with replacement. Find the probability of getting blue and black candies.
Problem 2: A jar contains 4 blue balls and 5 black balls. Two candies are drawn at
random. Find the probability of getting both will be blue balls.

Answers: 1) 2)
Let sample space S = {(1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3) … (6, 5), (6, 6)}, n(S) = 36
A be the event of getting a sum less than 5, A = {(1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3), (2, 1), (2, 2), (3,
1)}, n(A) = 6
B be the event of getting a sum greater than 10, B = {(5, 6), (6, 5), (6, 6)}, n(B) = 3

P(A) = =
P(B) = =

P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) = + =

Ex 2: A jar has 4 black candies and 7 green candies. Two candies are taken at random.
What is the probability of getting both will be black or green color candies.
Solution:
Let S be the sample space, S = 4 + 7 = 11.
A be the event of getting 2 black candies.
B be the event of getting 2 green candies.
(A or B) be the event of getting 2 black or 2 green candies.
We have to select 2 candies from 11 candies.

n(S) = 11C2 = = = 55

n(A) = 4C2 = = =6

n(B) = 7C2 = = = 21

P(A) = =

P(B) = =

P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) = + =

P(2 black or 2 green) =


Probability Problems with Answers Help - Practice Problems with
Answers
Solve these practice probability problems, it will help you to get practice on how to find
the probability.
Pr 1: Find the the probability of getting a sum less than 3 or greater than 9 while
throwing two dice simultaneously.
Pr 2: A jar has 5 white candies and 8 yellow candies. Two candies are taken at random.
What is the probability of getting both will be white or yellow color candies.

Answers: 1) 2)
Example problem of Expremental probability:
A bag contains 10 red marbles, 8 blue marbles and 2 yellow marbles. Find the experimental probability of receiving a
blue marble.
Solution:
Step 1: Take a marble from the bag.
Step 2: Record the color and return the marble.
Step 3: Repeat a few times (maybe 10 times).
Step 4: Count the number of times a blue marble was pick (Suppose it is 6).
Step 5: The experimental probability of receiving a blue marble from the bag is 6/10 =3/5

Theoretical Probability Problems - Examples with Answers


Example problem of Theoretical probability:
A bag contains 20 marbles. 15 of them are red and 5 of them are blue in color. Find the probability of picking
a red marble.
Solution:
Let’s first answer a few questions here:
Step 1: If we are going to randomly select a marble from the bag then what results we have:
Step 2: We can also select a red marble or a blue one.
Step 3: The next question is what the chances of alternative a red marble are:
Step 4: There are 15 red marbles and just 5 blue marbles.
Step 5: It’s understandable that we have three times as many red marbles as blue marbles.
Step 6: So, the chance of selection a red marble is more than that of the blue one.
Step 7: Therefore, the probability of selection a red marble is:
Step 8: number of red marbles in the bag / Total number of marbles in the bag
Step 9: 15/20=3/4 =0.75 =75%
If a coin is tossed. Find the probability of getting a head.
Solution for the problem:
In the experiment of tossing a coin once, the number of possible outcomes is
two — Head (H) and Tail (T).
Let E be the event ‘getting a head’.
The number of outcomes favorable to E, (i.e., of getting a head) is 1
Therefore,
P (E) = P (head) = Number of outcomes favorable to E / Number of all possible

outcomes =
Study Probability Example Problem 2:
A bag contains a Black ball, a Brown ball and a Purple ball, all the balls being of the
same size. David takes out a ball from the bag without looking into it. What is the
probability that she takes out the
1. Purple ball?
2. Black ball?
3. Brown ball?
Solution for the problem:
David takes out a ball from the bag without looking into it. So, it is equally likely
that she takes out any one of them.
Let Y be the event ‘the ball taken out is Purple’, B be the event ‘the ball taken
out is Brown’, and R be the event ‘the ball taken out is Black’.
Now, the number of possible outcomes = 3.
The number of outcomes favorable to the event Y = 1

P(Y) = , P(R) = P (B) =


In a rose garden, there are 31 red roses, 24 yellow roses and 15 white roses. Find
the probability of the following outcomes?
i) Selection of red roses
ii) Selection of yellow roses
iii) Selection of white roses
Solution:
Total number of roses n(S) = 31 + 24 + 15
= 70
Number of red roses n(A) = 31
Number of yellow roses n(B) = 24
Number of white roses n(C) = 15
i) Assume the P(A) is the probability for selection of red roses.

P(A) =

=
ii) Assume the P(B) is the probability for selection of yellow roses.

P(B) =

=
iii) Assume the P(C) is the probability for selection of white roses.

P(C) =

=
Example 2 – Normal Probability Online Study
In a shop, there are 41 products are available. In that, 17 are Anklets, 14 are
Bangles and 10 are Rings. Find the probability for the below outcomes?
i) Probability for choosing Anklets
ii) Probability for choosing Bangles
Solution:
Total number of products n(S) = 41
Number of Anklets n(A) = 17
Number of Bangles n(B) = 14
Number of Rings n(C) = 10
i) Assume the P(A) is the probability for choosing Anklets.

P(A) =

=
ii) Let take P(B) is the probability for choosing Bangles.

P(B) =

=
That’s all about normal probability problems online study
• To find the correct experiment in the following?
tossing a coin
rolling a die.
Both the above.
• To find the outcome in the following choices?
rolling a pair of the dice.
Landing on red.
Both the above.
• The probability of choosing a vowel from the alphabet is?
22/26
5/26
1/21
• The number from 1 to 10 is chosen at random. find the probability of choosing an
odd in them?
1/10
4/10
5/10
These are the examples on study normal probability.
t see some of the mathematical probability problems.
Choose the letter “g“ from the word “Google”.
Solution:
The given word is “Google”
Here, the letter‘t’ is double time repetitive in the given word.
Total letters are, 6
Possibility outcomes=2
Total number of events in this words=6
So the probability,
=2/6
=1/3
=0.33
Probability problem 2 with solutions:
Choose the letter “t“from the word “tutor”
Solutions:
The given word is “tutor”
Here, the letter‘t’ is two times repetitive in the given statement.
Total letters in this given word is “tutor”
Possibility outcomes=2
Total number of events in this words=5
So the probability,
=2/5
=0.4
• These are normal probability problems online tutoring.
Normal Probability 2:
Let us we will learn the concept of normal probability help with example problem.
In a fridge 25 ice creams. In that fridge 10 chocolate ice creams and 5 butter
scotch ice creams and 10 strawberry ice creams. Locate the probability,
1. Choose the Chocolate ice creams
2. Select the butter scotch ice creams
Solution:
2. Imagine the P (A) is the probability for choose the chocolate ice creams.

P (A) =

=
These are normal probability problems online tutoring.
Normal probability problem 2:
In a bag there are 50 color files are available. In that bags there are 15 blue files,
15 brown color files, 20 red color files.
1. Pick and choose the blue files.
2. Pick the Brown files.
Solution:
Total files n(S) = 50
Blue files n (A) = 15
Brown files n (B) = 15
Red color files n(C) = 20
1. The P (A) is the probability for select the blue files.

P (A) =

=
1. The P (B) is the probability for choose the brown files.

P (B) =

=
Normal probability distribution online tutor - Formula:

Z=
Where,
μ = mean
σ = standard deviation
X = normal random variable
Normal Probability Distribution Online Tutor – Example Problems:
Example 1:
If X is a normal random variable with mean and standard deviation calculate the
probability of P(X<125). When mean μ = 96 and standard deviation = 35
Solution:
Given
Mean μ = 96
Standard deviation σ = 35
Using the formula

Z=
Given value for X = 125

Z=

=
= 0.83
Z = 0.83
Using the Z table, we determine the Z value = 0.83
Z = 0.83 = 0.2967
If X is greater than μ then we use this formula
X > μ = 0.5 + Z
125 > 96 = 0.5 + 0.2967
P(X) = 0.5 + 0.2967
= 0.7967
P(X) = 0.7967
Example 2:
If X is a normal random variable with mean and standard deviation calculate the
probability of P(X< 65). When mean μ = 39 and standard deviation = 12
Solution:
Given
Mean μ = 39
Standard deviation σ = 12
Using the formula

Z=
Given value for X = 65

Z=

=
= 2.17
Z = 2.17
Using the Z table, we determine the Z value = 2.17
Z = 2.17 = 0.485
If X is greater than μ then we use this formula
X > μ = 0.5 + Z
65 > 39 = 0.5 + 0.485
P(X) = 0.5 + 0.485
= 0.985
P(X) = 0.985
Find out the given probabilities. P(0 ≤ Z ≤ 2.4) and P(−2.4 ≤ Z ≤ 0). Let we consider z be
a standard normal variate.
Solution:
(i) P(0 ≤ Z ≤ 2.4)
Given: P(0 ≤ Z ≤ 2.4)
P (0 ≤ Z ≤ 2.4) = area between the value of z = 0 and the value of z = 2.4
= 0.4918
(ii) P(−2.4 ≤ Z ≤ 0)
Solution:
The given value is P(−2.4 ≤ Z ≤ 0)

P(−2.4 ≤ Z ≤ 0) = P(0 ≤ Z ≤ 2.4).


= 0.4918
Example problem 2 - solve probbaility and normal distribution:
Find out the given probability (i) area to the right of z = 0.8 and the (ii) area to the left of
z = 1.6. Let we consider z be a standard normal variate.
(i) area to the right of z = 0.8
Solution:
Given: area to the right of z= 0.8

P(Z > 0.8) = area between the value of z = 0 to the value of z = – area between the
value of o to the value of z = 0.8
= P(0 < Z < ) – P(0 ≤ Z < 0.8)
= 0.5 – 0.2881
= 0.2119
(ii) area to the left of z = 1.6
Solution:
Given : area to the left of z = 1.6

= P(Z < 1.6)

= 0.5 + 0.4452
= 0.9452
Example1:
The average life of a certain kind of coast is 10 years, with a standard deviation of 2 years. If the producer is willing to
replace only 3% of the motors that fail, how long a guarantee should he offer?
Solution:
X=motor life
x= guarantee period

We need to find the value (in years) that will give us the bottom 3% of the distribution. These are the motors that we
are willing to replace under the guarantee.
P(X<x) = 0.03
From table get 0.5 values
0.5 - 0.03 = 0.47 after that value of Z is -1.88
Z = (X – μ) / σ
(x-10)/2 = -1.88 the value of x is6.24
The guarantee time is 6.24 years.
Example 2:
A corporation pays its employees an average salary of $3.25 an hour with a standard deviation of 60 cents. If the
wages are around normally distributed, determine
i) the proportion of the workers getting wages between 2 75and3.69 an hour
ii) The minimum wage of the highest 5%.
Solution:
i) The proportion of the workers getting wages between 2 75and3.69 an hour
Z1 = ((2.75-3.25)/0.6)
= -0.833
Z2 = ((3.69-3.25)/0.6)
= 0.733
P (2.75< X<3.69) = P (-0.833< Z< 0.733)
= 0.298 + 0.268
= 0.566
Totally 56.6% of the workers have wages.
ii) The minimum wage of the highest 5%.
X=1.645 from normal distribution table
(X-3.25)/0.6 = 1.645
After evaluation the value of X = 4.237
The minimum salary of the top 5% if salary is $4.24
Example 1: Mean length of 200 parts produced by a company was 10.05 mm with a
standard deviation of 0.02 mm. What is the probability that a part chosen at random
would have a length
(a) between 10.03 mm and 10.08 mm?
(b) between 10.06 mm and 10.07 mm?
Solution:
X = length of part

If we know μ and σ, then

(a) 10.03 is standard deviations below the mean

10.08 is standard deviations above the mean


P(10.03 < X < 10.08
= (-1 < Z < 1.5)
= 0.3413 + 0.4332 = 0.7745
So the probability is 0.7745.

(b) 10.06 is standard deviations above the mean;

10.07 is standard deviation above the mean


P(10.06 < X < 10.07)
= P(0.5 < Z < 1)
= 0.3413 – 0.1915
= 0.1498
So the probability is 0.1498.
Probability of Normal Distribution Learning - Learning Example 2
Example 2: Mean height of 50 parts produced by a company was 10.05 cm with a
standard deviation of 0.02 cm. What is the probability that a part chosen at random
would have a height
a) less than 10.01 cm?
b) greater than 10.09 cm?
Solution:

(a) 10.01 is standard deviation below the mean.


P(X < 10.07)
= P(Z < -2)
= 0.5 – 0.4792
= 0.0228.
So the probability is 0.0228.
(b) 10.09 is 2 standard deviation above the mean
P(X > 10.09) = 0.0228
The formula for the Poisson distribution is,

f(x) =
where, x is the Poisson random value
is the average rate of success
Now, we are going to see some of the problems on poisson distribution questionstutor
help. From this help, we can get clear idea about poisson distribution questions.
Example Problem-poisson Sistribution Questions Tutor:
Example problem 1:
Today, 4 foreigners visited the city Washington. Find the possibilities for exactly 7
foreigners to be visit on tomorrow. Use Poisson distribution to solve.
Solution:
Step1:
Find the value of e-λ.
Where, λ=4 and e=2.718

e-λ = (2.718)-4 = =0.01832


Step2:
Find the value of λx.
Where, λ=4 and x=7
λx = 47 = 16384
Step3:
Find f(x).
=
= 0.05955
So, the probability of exactly 7 foreigners to visit on tomorrow is 0.05955.
Additional Problem-poisson Sistribution Questions Tutor:
Example problem 2:
If λ= 2 and x = 6, then find the poisson distribution.
Solution:
Step1:
Find the value of e-λ.
Where, λ=2 and e=2.718

e-λ = (2.718)-2 = =0.135363


Step2:
Find the value of λx.
Where, λ=2 and x=6
λx = 26 = 64
Step3:
Find f(x).

=
= 0.012
So, the poisson distribution is 0.012
Practice Problems-poisson Sistribution Questions Tutor:
Problem 1:
If λ= 2 and x = 5, then find the poisson distribution.
(solution: 0.036)
Problem 2:
If λ= 5 and x = 10, then find the poisson distribution.
(Solution: 0.018).
The formula for the Poisson distribution is,
f(x) =
where, x is the Poisson random value
is the average rate of success
Now, we are going to see some of the problems on poisson distribution questionstutor
help. From this help, we can get clear idea about poisson distribution questions.
Example Problem-poisson Sistribution Questions Tutor:
Example problem 1:
Today, 4 foreigners visited the city Washington. Find the possibilities for exactly 7
foreigners to be visit on tomorrow. Use Poisson distribution to solve.
Solution:
Step1:
Find the value of e-λ.
Where, λ=4 and e=2.718

e-λ = (2.718)-4 = =0.01832


Step2:
Find the value of λx.
Where, λ=4 and x=7
λx = 47 = 16384
Step3:
Find f(x).

=
= 0.05955
So, the probability of exactly 7 foreigners to visit on tomorrow is 0.05955.
Additional Problem-poisson Sistribution Questions Tutor:
Example problem 2:
If λ= 2 and x = 6, then find the poisson distribution.
Solution:
Step1:
Find the value of e-λ.
Where, λ=2 and e=2.718

e-λ = (2.718)-2 = =0.135363


Step2:
Find the value of λx.
Where, λ=2 and x=6
λx = 26 = 64
Step3:
Find f(x).

=
= 0.012
So, the poisson distribution is 0.012
Practice Problems-poisson Sistribution Questions Tutor:
Problem 1:
If λ= 2 and x = 5, then find the poisson distribution.
(solution: 0.036)
Problem 2:
If λ= 5 and x = 10, then find the poisson distribution.
(Solution: 0.018).

Example 1: Solve Poisson distribution where, = 2, x = 5 and e = 2.718


Tutoring Solution:
Step 1: Given:
=2
x=5
Step 2: Formula:

Poisson distribution =
Step 3: To find e:
e-5 = (2.718)-5
= 0.006737
Step 4: Solve:
=2
x=5

= (2)5 = 32
Step 4: Substitute:

=
=

=
= 0.036
Tutoring Result: Poisson Distribution = 0.036
Example 2: Solve Poisson distribution where, = 3, x = 6 and e = 2.718
Tutoring Solution:
Step 1: Given:
=3
x=6
Step 2: Formula:

Poisson distribution =
Step 3: To find e:
e-6 = (2.718)-6
= 0.002478
Step 4: Solve:
=3
x=6

= (3)6 = 729
Step 4: Substitute:

=
= 0.0025
Tutoring Result: Poisson Distribution = 0.0025
Practice Problems to Poissons Distribution Online Tutoring
Example 1: Solve Poisson distribution where, = 12, x = 14 and e = 2.718.
Tutoring Answer: 0.09
Example 2: Solve Poisson distribution where, = 15, x = 17 and e = 2.718.
Tutoring Answer: 0.085
A manufacturer of cotton pins knows that 4% of his product is defective. If he sells pins
in boxes of 100 and guarantees that not more than 2 pins will be defective. Find the
approximate probability that a box will fail to meet the guaranteed quality.
Solution:

The value of p is p = , n = 100

The mean value is lambda = n p = ( ) (100) = 4


By the Poisson distribution

P[X = x] =
Probability that a box will to meet the guaranteed quality = P[X > 2]
P[X > 2] = 1- P[X ≤ 2]
P[X > 2] = 1- (P (0) +P (1) +P (2))

P[X > 2] = 1- (1 + 4+ ( ))

P[X > 2] = 1- (1+4+8)

P[X > 2] = 1- (13)


P[X > 2] = 1- 0.0183(13)
P[X > 2] = 1- 0.2379
P[X > 2] = 0.7621
The probability for the box will fail to meet the guaranteed quality is 0.7621.
Example 2 for Poisson distribution football online tutor:
A car- hire firm has three cars. The number of demands for a car on each day is
distributed as a Poisson distribution with mean of 1.8. Calculate the proportion of days
on which neither car is used and the proportion of days on which some demand is
refused.
Solution:
Let X is the number of demands for a car.
The given mean value is 1.8.
By the Poisson distribution

P[X = x] =

Proportion of the days on which neither car is used = P[X = 0] = = 0.1653


Proportion of days on which some demand is refused = P[X > 3]
P[X > 3] = 1- P[X ≤ 3]
P[X > 3] = 1- [P (0) +P (1) + P (2) +P (3)]

P[X > 3] = 1- (1+ 1.8+ 1.62+ 0.972)


P[X > 3] = 1 - (0.1653) (5.392)
P[X > 3] = 1 - 0.8913
P[X > 3] = 0.1087
The proportion of days on which neither the car used is 0.1653. The proportion of days
on which some demand refused is 0.1087.
Explanation to Mean of Poisson Distribution Tutoring:
The explanation for the Poisson distribution mean are given below the following section,

Formula:

Mean of Poisson distribution = E(Y) = x P(Y)


where,
• E(X) = Mean of Poisson distribution
• P(Y) = Probability of Poisson distribution

• = Sum of all values of Poisson


Example Problems to Mean of Poisson Distribution Tutoring:
Problem 1- Mean of Poisson distribution tutoring

Calculate the mean for the following Poisson distribution table,


x 3 5 7 8 11

P(Y)

Solution:
Step 1: Given:
x = 3, 5, 7, 8, 11

P(Y) = , , , ,
Step 2: Formula:

Mean of Poisson distribution = E(Y) = x P(Y)


Step 3: Find:

E(X) = 3( ) + 5( ) + 7( ) + 8( ) + 11( )

= + + + +
= 0.75 + 2.5 + 1.4+ 2.66 + 5.5
= 12.81
Result: Mean of Poisson distribution = 12.81
Problem 2 - Mean of Poisson distribution tutoring
Calculate the mean for the following Poisson distribution table,
x 1 4 5 6 7

P(Y)

Solution:
Step 1: Given:
x = 1, 4, 5, 6, 7

P(Y) = , , , ,
Step 2: Formula:

Mean of Poisson distribution = E(Y) = x P(Y)


Step 3: Find:

E(X) = 1 ( ) + 4( ) + 5( ) + 6( ) + 7( )

= 1/2+ 1+ + +
= 0.5 + 1 + 1.66 + 1.2 + 1.16
= 5.96
Result: Mean of Poisson distribution = 5.96
Practice Problems to Mean of Poisson Distribution Tutoring:
Problem 1 - Mean of Poisson distribution tutoring

Calculate the mean for the following Poisson distribution table,


x 1 3 4 5 9

P(Y)

Answer: 8.08
Problem 2 - Mean of Poisson distribution tutoring
Calculate the mean for the following Poisson distribution table,
x 2 5 6 8 10

P(Y)

Answer: 8.27
Binomial distribution:
It describes the number of successes occurring from 'n' number of experiments.
Formula for binomial distribution:
P(x = r) = nCr pr (1 – p)n-r
Where,
n – number of events
r – Number of success
p – Probability of success

Cr - combination =
n
Poisson distribution:
It describes the number of events happened in a fixed time.

Formula for Poisson distribution:

f(x) =
where,
– Average rate
x – Poisson random variable
e – base of logarithm = 2.718
Example Problems to Binomial and Poisson Distribution Tutoring:
Example: 1
A shop has 150 computers; each computer has 4% probability of not working. If
Ram wants to buy 6 computers then calculate the likelihood that 3 will be damaged.
Solution:
Given:
n=6
r=3

p = 4% =
= 0.04
Formula for binomial distribution:
P(x = r) = nCr pr (1 – p)n-r
P(x = 3) = 6C3 0.043 (1 – 0.04)6-3
Step 1:

6 C3 =

=
=
= 20
Step 2:
0.043 = 0.000064
Step 3:
(1 – 0.04)6-3 = (0.96)3
= 0.884736
Step 4:
P(x = 3) = (20)(0.000064)(0.884736)
= 0.0153
Answer: 0.0011
Example: 2
In a coaching center, 5 college students arrived today. Determine the possibility for 7
college students will be arrived on the next day.
Solution:
Given:
=5
x=7
Step 1:

Poisson distribution =
Step 2:
e-5 = 0.006738
Step 3:

= (5)7 = 78125
Step 4:

=
= 0.1044
Answer: 0.1044
Practice Problems to Binomial and Poisson Distribution Tutoring:
Problem: 1
A mobile shop has 500 cell phones and each mobile has 5% probability of not
working. Ravi want to buy 4 mobiles then determine the likelihood that 1 will be
damaged.
Answer: 0.171
Problem: 2
In a class, 6 school students are absent Friday. Determine the possibility for 12
school students will be absent on Saturday.
Answer: 0.011
Example:
In a college there are 5 staffs absent today. Find the possibilities for exactly 7 staff to
be taking leave on tomorrow.
Solution:
Step1:
Find e-λ.
Where, λ= 5 and e=2.718

e-λ = (2.718)-5 =
= 0.006741
Step2:
Find λx.
Where, λ= 5 and x=7.
λx = 57 = 78125.
Step3:
Find f(x).
f(x) = e-λλx / x!

f(7) =

=
= 0.1044921875.
Hence there are 10% possibilities for 5 staffs to be taking leave of college on tomorrow.
Example:
In a college there are 5 staffs absent today. Find the possibilities for exactly 6 staff to
be taking leave on tomorrow.
Solution:
Step1:
Find e-λ.
Where, λ=5 and e=2.718

e-λ = (2.718)-5 =
= 0.006741
Step2:
Find λx.
Where, λ=5 and x=6.
λx = 56 = 15625.
Step3:
Find f(x).
f(x) = e-λλx / x!
f(6) =

=
= 0.1462890.
Hence there are 0.14% possibilities for 6 staffs to be taking leave of an office on
tomorrow.
Example:

In an office 4 clients visit today. Find the possibilities for exactly 7 clients to be visit on
tomorrow.
Solution:
Step1:
Find e-λ.
Where, λ=4 and e=2.718

e-λ = (2.718)-4 =
= 0.018323236
Step2:
Find λx.
Where, λ=4 and x=7.
λx = 47 = 16384.
Step3:
Find f(x).
f(x) = e-λλx / x!

f(7) =

=
= 0.05956.
Hence there are 6% possibilities for 7 clients to be visit an office on tomorrow.
Poisson Binomial Distribution Online Tutoring Practice Problem:
Problem:
In an office there are 4 staffs absent today. Find the possibilities for exactly 6 staff to
be taking leave on tomorrow.
Answer:
0.1042388.
There are 10% possibilities for 6 staffs to be taking leave of an office on tomorrow.
Problem:
In an office there are 5 staffs absent today. Find the possibilities for exactly 7 staff to
be taking leave on tomorrow.
Answer:
0.104499.
There are 0.10% possibilities for 7 staffs to be taking leave of an office on tomorrow.
Example: 1
A shop has 100 televisions; each television has 5% probability of not working. If
you want to select 10 televisions randomly then find the likelihood that 2 will be broken.
Solution:
Given:
n = 10
r=2

p = 2% =
= 0.02
Formula for binomial distribution:
P(x = r) = nCr pr (1 – p)n-r
P(x = 2) = 10C2 0.022 (1 – 0.02)10-2
Step 1:

10 C2 =

=
=

=
= 45
Step 2:
0.022 = 0.0004
Step 3:
(1 – 0.02)10-2 = (0.98)8
= 0.850
Step 4:
P(x = 2) = (45)(0.0004)(0.850)
= 0.0153
Answer: 0.0153
Example: 2
In a library, 3 students arrived today. What is the possibility for 5 students will be arrived
on next day.
Solution:
Given:
=3
x=5
Step 1:

Poisson distribution =
Step 2:
e-3 = 0.04978
Step 3:

= (3)5 = 243
Step 4:

=
=
Answer: 0.101
Example Problems to Binomial and Poisson Distribution Help:
Problem: 1
A cell shop has 200 cell phones; each cell phone has 3% probability of not
working. If you want to select 5 cell phones randomly then find the likelihood that 1 will
be broken.
Answer: 0.133
Problem: 2
In coaching center, 5 students are absent today. What is the possibility for 10 students
will be absent on next day.
Answer: 0.018
Solve Poisson Binomial Distribution Example Problem:
Example:
In an office there are 4 staffs absent today. Find the possibilities for exactly 6 staff to be taking leave on tomorrow.
Solution:
Step1:
Find e-λ.
Where, λ=4 and e=2.718
e-λ = (2.718)-4 = 1/54.575510850576
= 0.0183232366
Step2:
Find λx.
Where, λ=4 and x=6.
λx = 46 = 4096.
Step3:
Find f(x).
f(x) = e-λλx / x!
f(6) = (0.0183232366)(4096) / 6! .
=75.05195 /720
= 0.1042388.
Hence there are 10% possibilities for 6 staffs to be taking leave of an office on tomorrow.
Example:
In an office there are 5 staffs absent today. Find the possibilities for exactly 7 staff to be taking leave on tomorrow.
Solution:
Step1:
Find e-λ.
Where, λ=5 and e=2.718
e-λ = (2.718)-5 = 1/148.3362
= 0.006741
Step2:
Find λx.
Where, λ=5 and x=7.
λx = 57 = 78125.
Step3:
Find f(x).
f(x) = e-λλx / x!
f(7) = (0. 006741)(78125) / 7! .
= 526.67521 /5040
= 0.104499.
Hence there are 0.10% possibilities for 7 staffs to be taking leave of an office on tomorrow.
Example:

In an office 2 clients visit today. Find the possibilities for exactly 4 clients to be visit on tomorrow.
Solution:
Step1:
Find e-λ.
Where, λ=2 and e=2.718e-λ = (2.718)-2 = 1/7.387524
= 0.135633
Step2:
Find λx.
Where, λ=2 and x=4.
λx = 24 = 16.
Step3:
Find f(x).
f(x) = e-λλx / x!
f(4) = (0. 135633)(16) / 4! .
= 2.16581/24
= 0.09024.
Hence there are 9% possibilities for 4 clients to be visit an office on tomorrow.

Solve Poisson Binomial Distribution Practice Problem


Problem:
In an office 3 clients visit today. Find the possibilities for exactly 5 clients to be visit on tomorrow.
Answer:
0.100084.
There are 10% possibilities for 5 clients to be visit an office on tomorrow.
Problem:
In an office 4 clients visit today. Find the possibilities for exactly 5 clients to be visit on tomorrow.
Answer:
0.156358.
There are 15% possibilities for 5 clients to be visit an office on tomorrow.

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