Professional Documents
Culture Documents
t y(t) y(t-1)
1 344.4 1 344.4 1 1 1 1
2 246.6 1 344.4 344.4 344.4 246.6 131.5
3 131.5 1 246.6
4 288.9 1 131.5
5 313.5 1 288.9
6 189.8 1 313.5 118612.4 118612.4 Err:502
7 179.1 1 189.8 118612.4 118612.4 Err:502
8 221.1 1 179.1
9 246.8 1 221.1 Err:502 Err:502
10 209 1 246.8 Err:502
11 51.21 1 209
12 133.9 1 51.21 118612.4 118612.4
13 288.9 1 133.9 118612.4 118612.4
14 198 1 288.9
15 50.7 1 198
16 218.1 1 50.7
17 365.1 1 218.1
18 207.5 1 365.1
19 54.63 1 207.5
20 214.1 1 54.63
21 267 1 214.1
22 230.3 1 267
23 230.3 1 230.3
24 426.4 1 230.3
25 179.1 1 426.4
26 365.1 1 179.1
27 253.2 1 365.1
28 279.5 1 253.2
29 336.6 1 279.5
30 196.7 1 336.6
31 152.2 1 196.7
32 319.7 1 152.2
33 440 1 319.7
34 315 1 440
35 216.4 1 315
36 339.8 1 216.4
37 209 1 339.8
38 214.1 1 209
39 196.7 1 214.1
40 539.8 1 196.7
SS MS F Significance F
3365.138 3365.138 0.316751 0.576872
403709 10623.92
407074.2
Residuals
87.52131
-10.27869
-115.4978
53.53094
62.22856
-63.95682
-62.1592
-19.07816
2.378507
-38.01801
-191.989
-93.35723
53.28846
-53.27144
-191.3877
-9.105704
120.9816
-51.47005
-188.4175
-13.50276
23.28573
-18.75884
-15.05098
181.049
-86.06329
124.9218
-5.770047
31.83539
86.27826
-59.39065
-89.75632
82.23959
185.6168
48.46268
-37.50836
95.85336
-47.41395
-29.09901
-47.01427
297.8437
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
288.9 313.5 189.8 179.1 221.1 246.8 209 51.21 133.9 288.9
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
198 50.7 218.1 365.1 207.5 54.63 214.1 267 230.3 230.3
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
426.4 179.1 365.1 253.2 279.5 336.6 196.7 152.2 319.7 440
1 1 1 1 1 1
315 216.4 339.8 209 214.1 196.7
t y(t) y(t-1) y(t-2 y-1^2 y-2^2
1 344.4 344.4 344.4 118611.36 118611.36
2 246.6 344.4 344.4 118611.36 118611.36
3 131.5 246.6 344.4 60811.56 118611.36
4 288.9 131.5 246.6 17292.25 60811.56
5 313.5 288.9 131.5 83463.21 17292.25
6 189.8 313.5 288.9 98282.25 83463.21
7 179.1 189.8 313.5 36024.04 98282.25
8 221.1 179.1 189.8 32076.81 36024.04
9 246.8 221.1 179.1 48885.21 32076.81
10 209 246.8 221.1 60910.24 48885.21
11 51.21 209 246.8 43681 60910.24
12 133.9 51.21 209 2622.4641 43681
13 288.9 133.9 51.21 17929.21 2622.4641
14 198 288.9 133.9 83463.21 17929.21
15 50.7 198 288.9 39204 83463.21
16 218.1 50.7 198 2570.49 39204
17 365.1 218.1 50.7 47567.61 2570.49
18 207.5 365.1 218.1 133298.01 47567.61
19 54.63 207.5 365.1 43056.25 133298.01
20 214.1 54.63 207.5 2984.4369 43056.25
21 267 214.1 54.63 45838.81 2984.4369
22 230.3 267 214.1 71289 45838.81
23 230.3 230.3 267 53038.09 71289
24 426.4 230.3 230.3 53038.09 53038.09
25 179.1 426.4 230.3 181816.96 53038.09
26 365.1 179.1 426.4 32076.81 181816.96
27 253.2 365.1 179.1 133298.01 32076.81
28 279.5 253.2 365.1 64110.24 133298.01
29 336.6 279.5 253.2 78120.25 64110.24
30 196.7 336.6 279.5 113299.56 78120.25
31 152.2 196.7 336.6 38690.89 113299.56
32 319.7 152.2 196.7 23164.84 38690.89
33 440 319.7 152.2 102208.09 23164.84
34 315 440 319.7 193600 102208.09
35 216.4 315 440 99225 193600
36 339.8 216.4 315 46828.96 99225
37 209 339.8 216.4 115464.04 46828.96
38 214.1 209 339.8 43681 115464.04
39 196.7 214.1 209 45838.81 43681
40 539.8 196.7 214.1 38690.89 45838.81
41 609.5
42 537.3
43 472.6
44 569.7
t y(t) y(t-1) y(t-2 y-1^2 y-2^2
1 344.4 1 344.4 344.4 118611.36 118611.36
2 246.6 1 344.4 344.4 118611.36 118611.36
3 131.5 1 246.6 344.4 60811.56 118611.36
4 288.9 1 131.5 246.6 17292.25 60811.56
5 313.5 1 288.9 131.5 83463.21 17292.25
6 189.8 1 313.5 288.9 98282.25 83463.21
7 179.1 1 189.8 313.5 36024.04 98282.25
8 221.1 1 179.1 189.8 32076.81 36024.04
9 246.8 1 221.1 179.1 48885.21 32076.81
10 209 1 246.8 221.1 60910.24 48885.21
11 51.21 1 209 246.8 43681 60910.24
12 133.9 1 51.21 209 2622.4641 43681
13 288.9 1 133.9 51.21 17929.21 2622.4641
14 198 1 288.9 133.9 83463.21 17929.21
15 50.7 1 198 288.9 39204 83463.21
16 218.1 1 50.7 198 2570.49 39204
17 365.1 1 218.1 50.7 47567.61 2570.49
18 207.5 1 365.1 218.1 133298.01 47567.61
19 54.63 1 207.5 365.1 43056.25 133298.01
20 214.1 1 54.63 207.5 2984.4369 43056.25
21 267 1 214.1 54.63 45838.81 2984.4369
22 230.3 1 267 214.1 71289 45838.81
23 230.3 1 230.3 267 53038.09 71289
24 426.4 1 230.3 230.3 53038.09 53038.09
25 179.1 1 426.4 230.3 181816.96 53038.09
26 365.1 1 179.1 426.4 32076.81 181816.96
27 253.2 1 365.1 179.1 133298.01 32076.81
28 279.5 1 253.2 365.1 64110.24 133298.01
29 336.6 1 279.5 253.2 78120.25 64110.24
30 196.7 1 336.6 279.5 113299.56 78120.25
31 152.2 1 196.7 336.6 38690.89 113299.56
32 319.7 1 152.2 196.7 23164.84 38690.89
33 440 1 319.7 152.2 102208.09 23164.84
34 315 1 440 319.7 193600 102208.09
35 216.4 1 315 440 99225 193600
36 339.8 1 216.4 315 46828.96 99225
37 209 1 339.8 216.4 115464.04 46828.96
38 214.1 1 209 339.8 43681 115464.04
39 196.7 1 214.1 209 45838.81 43681
40 539.8 1 196.7 214.1 38690.89 45838.81
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
344.4 344.4 246.6 131.5 288.9 313.5 189.8
344.4 344.4 344.4 246.6 131.5 288.9 313.5
118611.36 118611.36 60811.56 17292.25 83463.21 98282.25 36024.04
118611.36 118611.36 118611.36 60811.56 17292.25 83463.21 98282.25
118611.36 118611.36 84929.04 32427.9 37990.35 90570.15 59502.3
Err:502
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
344.4 344.4 246.6 131.5 288.9 313.5 189.8
344.4 344.4 344.4 246.6 131.5 288.9 313.5
118611.36 118611.36 60811.56 17292.25 83463.21 98282.25 36024.04
118611.36 118611.36 118611.36 60811.56 17292.25 83463.21 98282.25
118611.36 118611.36 84929.04 32427.9 37990.35 90570.15 59502.3
y-1.y-2 yM2
118611.4 243.901
118611.4 243.901
84929.04 229.5849
32427.9 215.5019
37990.35 286.8117
90570.15 242.8367
59502.3 217.7054
33993.18 249.2801
39599.01 260.9848
54567.48 249.3859
51581.2 235.7559
10702.89 201.0928
6857.019 323.1357
38683.71 285.6815
57202.2 223.7481
10038.6 206.1993
11057.67 332.8543
79628.31 254.8864
75758.25 219.3487
11335.73 203.1986
11696.28 329.8702
57164.7 253.7482
61490.1 235.1029
53038.09 244.2716
98199.92 247.0663
76368.24 213.3447
65389.41 265.2408
92443.32 231.1702
70769.4 245.1053
94079.7 245.126
66209.22 217.2913
29937.74 240.1736
48658.34 277.2866
140668 241.8123
138600 254.3316
68166 224.5019
73532.72 256.071
71018.2 220.5252
44746.9 248.4527
42113.47 243.453
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
179.1 221.1 246.8 209 51.21 133.9 288.9 198 50.7
189.8 179.1 221.1 246.8 209 51.21 133.9 288.9 198
32076.81 48885.21 60910.24 43681 2622.464 17929.21 83463.21 39204 2570.49
36024.04 32076.81 48885.21 60910.24 43681 2622.464 17929.21 83463.21 39204
33993.18 39599.01 54567.48 51581.2 10702.89 6857.019 38683.71 57202.2 10038.6
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
179.1 221.1 246.8 209 51.21 133.9 288.9 198 50.7
189.8 179.1 221.1 246.8 209 51.21 133.9 288.9 198
32076.81 48885.21 60910.24 43681 2622.464 17929.21 83463.21 39204 2570.49
36024.04 32076.81 48885.21 60910.24 43681 2622.464 17929.21 83463.21 39204
33993.18 39599.01 54567.48 51581.2 10702.89 6857.019 38683.71 57202.2 10038.6
Significance F
1 344.4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 344.4 344.4 344.4 246.6 131.5 288.9 313.5 189.8
1 246.6
1 131.5 118612.4 118612.4
1 288.9 118612.4 118612.4
1 313.5
1 189.8 Err:502 Err:502
1 179.1 Err:502 Err:502
1 221.1
1 246.8 Err:502 Err:502
1 209 Err:502 Err:502
1 51.21
1 133.9
1 288.9
1 198
1 50.7
1 218.1
1 365.1
1 207.5
1 54.63
1 214.1
1 267
1 230.3
1 230.3
1 426.4
1 179.1
1 365.1
1 253.2
1 279.5
1 336.6
1 196.7
1 152.2
1 319.7
1 440
1 315
1 216.4
1 339.8
1 209
1 214.1
1 196.7
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
179.1 221.1 246.8 209 51.21 133.9 288.9 198 50.7 218.1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
365.1 207.5 54.63 214.1 267 230.3 230.3 426.4 179.1 365.1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
253.2 279.5 336.6 196.7 152.2 319.7 440 315 216.4 339.8
1 1 1
209 214.1 196.7