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10-04-03(4)

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137-747 108
02) 3460-1178, 1179
02) 3460-1144
02-2271-3130
1990 11 7 16-375

http://www.kiep.go.kr


2010
1.

10-04-03(4)

:
-

2.

:
-

, , , ,
, , , , , 10
, 1967 (ASEAN) .
2009 -
750 , EU, 4
, 168 ,
3 .

, , , , ,
,
.
, 1997

.
, 2007 , ,

.
2008
72% ,
.
1997 IMF

.

,


. 2000 7.5%
,
.
1997
. IMF 100
,
,
1, 2 . 2000 ,

,

.
2000 2005
. 1997
1980

6 : -

,
,

.
, I, II

.
. 1997

,
.

.

, ,


.

,
.
- .

,

.


.
(CMI)
(ABMI)
.
2009 5 1 - FTA
.
2008
,
.

,
.

.
.


.

8 : -

15

1.

15

2.

17

2
1.

20
20

20

22

2.

28

28

40

45

59

73

3
1.

79
80

80

82

84

2.

87

87

91

93

3.

106

106

108

112

113

117

4.

119

119

122

124

5.

128

128

130

132

137

140

141

6.

146

146

149

4
1.

152
152

153

154

154

2.

156

. ASEAN FTA

156

158

158

159

161

1.

161

2.

164

164

166

167

168

169

171

3.

172

172

173

175

183

Executive Summary

188

2-1. ASEAN

21

2-2.

31

2-3.

37

2-4.

38

2-5.

45

2-6. MF

49

2-7.

52

2-8. (1997 )

64

2-9.

65

2-10.

67

2-11.

73

2-12. ACU

76

3-1.

81

3-2. (2008 )

83

3-3. (2009 )

88

3-4.

94

3-5. (2009 )

96

3-6. 5

97

3-7. (2009 )

99

3-8. 5 (2008 )

101

3-9.

102

3-10. 5 (2008 )

109

3-11.

111

3-12. (2009 )

118

3-13. (2009 6 )

119

3-14.

120

3-15. (2009 )

123

3-16. (2009 )

124

3-17.

125

3-18.

129

3-19.

131

3-20. )

134

3-21.

136

3-22.

138

3-23. ACB

139

3-24.

141

3-25. 100%

142

3-26. WTO

144

3-27.

145

3-28.

146

3-29. (Central Provident Fund)

149

3-30.

149

4-1. GATS

156

4-2. (2009 )

157

5-1.

176

5-2. (2009 )

178

5-3. (2009 )

180

5-4. (2009 )

181

2-1.

69

3-1. (SET)

85

3-2.

86

3-3.

87

3-4. GDP (2009 )

102

3-5.

104

3-6.

105

3-7. (2007~09)

106

3-8. (2009 )

107

3-9. (2008.1~2010.3)

114

3-10.

115

3-11.

116

3-12. (PSEi)

126

3-13.

127

3-14. (2009 9 )

130

4-1. CMI

154

4-2. (Inter Bank Export Loan)

159


2-1.

75

1.
, , , , ,
, , , , 10 ,
1967 (ASEAN)1) .
2009 5.8 , 1.5 ,

. (AFTA)2)
, , , , , 6
2010, , , , 4
2015

1) () (ASEAN) .
2) (AFTA: ASEAN Free Trade Area) 1992 4 ASEAN
(CEPT: Common Effective Preferential Tariff)
.

15

.
2009 -
750 , EU, 4
, 168 ,
3 .
,
, , , .

, , 100%

.

,
.

.

, 1997

.
, 1997
.
(2007) , , ,
,
.
(2001)

16 : -


.

.
,



.

2.
,
, .
, , ,

.
,
, ,
.
1990
,
.

.

17


.

,
.

,

.
.
2

. 1997

.
3 , ,

. 4

. , ,
.

- FTA , ,
(ECA)
.
.

18 : -

5 .

,
.

19

1.
.
,
. 1985 ,


. 1980 1990
.

. 1997
, ,
,
.

20 : -

, , , , ,
,
.
,
. ,
(World Economic Forum)
,
4 , , ,
, ,
.
133 2 6
.

,
133 5 .

, 7
.

1)

2-1. ASEAN

2)

68

94

61

93

49

82

(Financial market sophistication)

64

120

56

31

71

33

98


(Financing through local equity market)

117

130

13

15

54

32

11

21

2-1.

(Ease of access to loans)

42

95

21

13

88

35

69


(Venture capital availability)

62

78

15

12

87

49

50


(Restriction on capital flows)

56

58

33

60

68

87

80


(Strength of investor protection)

90

55

42

100

11

126

(Soundness of banks)

39

114

96

38

58

43

111


(Regulation of securities exchanges)

101

126

45

30

77

36

90

(Legal rights index)

36

98

98

83

36

1. .
2. 133 1 .
: World Economic Forum, The Global Competitiveness Report 2009~10.

.
10 , , , ,
, ,
1985
10 .


,
. 1997
.
, ,
,

22 : -

.
(BOT: Bank of Thailand) 1980 1990
,
.
1993 (BIBF: Bangkok International Banking
Facilities) , 1997
.
,
2007 , ,
. 2009
(FSMP: Financial Sector
Master Plan) 2 ,
, .
2008
72% ,
2008 9
.

.
1997 IMF
(Anwar Ibrahim)
.
IMF
1998 1
, (Mahathir bin Mohamad)
.

23

, 1998
1999
.
,

.

,
.

,
. 2001 2
(Securities Commission) (CMP: Capital Market Master
Plan), 3 (BNM: Bank Negara Malaysia)
(FSMP: Financial Sector Master Plan)

. 1998 13.6% 2006
4.8% .

,
.
10 .

30%
.
2000 7.5%

24 : -

. ,
,

.3)

. 2011 9
, , ,
49% 70% .

. ,
, ,
.
1990
. 1996 (Suharto)
,
1997 .
, 1996
1997 . 14%
, 1996 24% 1997
14% .
. 1996
8.8% ,
.

3)

(WEF: World Economic Forum) 2009~10 (Global


Competiti- veness Index) , (Financial Market Sophistication) 133
2, 6 .

25

1997 7 2
,
. 10 IMF
100 , ADB
. 1997
,
.
1990
. 1980

.


.
, 10
.
1986 6

() ,
, ,
. 1990
2001 (NTR)
, 7.5%
. 2006
WTO (PNTR)
,

26 : -


.
2007
13% , 2008
5 25%() 6 27%
.
2008 2007
124 169 ,
67% .

.

69% . , , ,
, , , ,

. 1965

.

. ,
. ,
,
. , .

. ,
,

27

2.
.
1)

)
1997 ,
, ,
.4)
1985
10 .

,
,
.5)
1984
.
1995
, 1995

4) (1998), , 3.
5) 1996 1995 24.2% -3.2% , 8.8% 5.5%
.

28 : -


.
1980
. 1990
(Chatchai Choonhavan) IMF 8
1993 9 (Chuan Leekpai)
(BIBF)
. BIBF

, , ,
, ,
.
BIBF 15 11
,
21
BIBF ,
.


.


.
1996
(finance company)
,

29

, ,
. IMF
,
BIBF
.

)
(1) IMF
1997
7 2
.
IMF
, 8 20 IMF 40
172 . IMF
, ,
.6)
IMF
1997 10
.

6) IMF .


: , (2001).


GDP : 1997 2.5% 1998 3.5%
: 1997 9.5% 1998 5%
/GDP : -5% -3%
/GDP : 1997/98(10.1~9.30) 1%
:

, (7%10%)
,

30 : -

, (FC: Fianancial Companies) ,


(NPL) (FRA: Financial Restructuring Agency)
(AMC: Asset Management Corporation)
, 58
(FRA)
(FIDF: Financial Institutions Development Fund)7) .
12 58 56
,
(AMC) .

2-2.
(: )


(1997. 1. 31. )
(15)
(16)
)

IBFs


(2003. 12. 31. )


(2009. 3. 24. )

31

(13)
(18)

31

(14)
(16)

30

25

IBFs

24

IBFs

17

IBFs

91

18

12

176

83

41

: International Banking Facilities (IBFs) attatched to commercial banks.


: Plearnpit (2009), Thailand and Banking Systems.

. [ 2-2]
1997

7) 1985
. ,
(separate legal entity)
.

31

31 30 , 42 IBFs 91
.
1997 1 176
2009 3 41 .
1998 8
,
, (AMC) ,
. 1999 3 ,
, ,
.
, (World
Bank) 380
.8)

(2)
1997 1999

, 2000
.
2004
(FSMP)9) . FSMP
, ,
.

8) , (2000).
9) Bank of Thailand(2006), Thailand's Financial Sector Master Plan Handbook.

32 : -


.

,
(BAAC)
,
. ,
. ,
.

, .
, ,
, ,
, .
,
,
.
FSMP 3 1(1~3)
, , ,
. FSMP 2(4~6) ,
, , 3
(7~10) 2
.
FSMP 1 2004~08 2009 11
2010~14 FSMP 2 .

33

2)

) 2007
2004 (FSMP)
, 2007
3 , (The Bank of
Thailand Act), (Financial Institutions Business Act),
(Deposit Insurance Agency Act) . 2007
12
,
.
, 5 10),
1 .
, (Capital Adequacy
Ratio) 8% 5%
.
2008 8


.
(Basel)
.
,
25% 49% ,

10) .

34 : -

49% .
2008 8
2009
2012 100
. 2008 9
(Draft Royal Decree) 2011
8 11 , 2012 8
11 1 5,000 2012 8 12 1
100 .

) FSMP

(FSMP) 2009 11 .
FSMP 2004~08 FSMP
2010~14 .
FSMP
.
, , 3
.11)
,
,
2013 (NPL) 2%
. ,
,

11) Bank of Thailand(2009), The Financial Sector Master Plan Phase .

35

,
, ,
(SFIs) 5
. ,
, ,
, IT
, 5
.

3)

)


. 1998
IMF ,
(Nukul Commission)
. 2008 8

. , , ,

(Financial Institution Policy Committee)
.
1942

.12)

36 : -


. , , ,
.
, ,
, , , ,
.
,
.

2-3.

(BOT)

(SEC)


- (Commercial Banks)
- (Financial Companies)
- (Credit Foncier Companies)
-

(Security Companies)
(Stock Market)
(Derivative Market)
(Futures Market)

- (Specialized Financial
Instititutions)

- (Life Insurance Business)


- (Non-Life Insurance Business)

- (Agricultural Cooperatives)

: Plearnpit (2009), Thailand and Banking Systems.


, .

12) , , (2008).

37

, .
,

.

)
1997 10 2008
(FSMP) 1
.
(FC) .

,
.
2003 18 2009 16
,
.

2-4.
(: , )

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

4/4

1,592

1,659

1,510

1,511

4/4

71.0

74.3

88.5

72.9

70.6

75.0

19.9

22.6

11.6

1.8

15.1

14.3

0.9

1.0

0.7

0.1

0.7

0.7

38 : -

1,504

1,573

2-4.

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

4/4

75,521

75,843

78,142

84,308

4/4

263.3

284.6

291.6

298.5

738.5 1,050.1 1,047.0

894.6

2.44

3.94

3.91

3.17

: 2009 1/4 .
: Plearnpit (2009), Thailand and Banking Systems.

2009 1/4

50 , 1 4 .
2009
60 , 1 5
.


.

.
,

.

.

39

)
35
,

. 2009 535 ,
1,773 GDP 67% .
2006 0.42%
, 25% .

,
.

.

.
1)
1981 (Mahatir bin Mohamad)

. 1971 1990 (NEP: New Economic
Policy) 1991~97 9%
,
13) 14)

13) 1997 GDP 2.4% -0.2%, -1.0%


.

40 : -

.
1995 GDP 10%
.
.

1997 .
1997 7
.

,
. 1997 3 1
2.49 1998 3 1
4.00 . 1,230
720 41.5% .

2)

1997 IMF

. 1998 7%
4% .
IMF
, 1998 1 -4.8%

14) 1997 170% , 30%


.

41

.

15).

.
. 1998 6 1998
19% , 8
,
, , ,
(National
Economic Recovery Plan) .

. 16)
.

1998 9 1 (Capital Control) 17)
1 3.8 .

,
18).

15) 1998 13.6% .


16) 1998 7 A2 Baa2
, S&P A- BBB+ .
17) ,
, 1,000 ,
10,000 .
18)
.

42 : -

1999 2 4

(exit tax) .


. 2001 5 2
.

,
.

.
.

.

.

3)

)

,
.
( ) 1998 8 11% 9 8%
, 8 8% 9 4% .

43

1998
8% .

(NPL) .
1998 1
1998
9 19).
1998 13.6% 2006 4.8%
.

)
,
.
1998 7 (Danaharta20)),
(Danamodal), (CDRC: Corporate Debt Restructuring
Committee) 3 .
,
.

.
.

. 2001 2

19) (, ): 6 (1997 12) 3 (1998 1


) 6 (1998 9~), (2008) .
20) Pengurusan Danaharta Nasional Berhad.

44 : -

(CMP), 3 (BNM) (FSMP)


.

.

2-5.


(CMP: Capital
Market Master Plan)


,
,
,
,
, ,

.


(FSMP: Financial
Sector Master Plan)

2001~10
,
.
,
, ,
, , .

: .

.
1)

1997
, .
,
,

45

.21)

. , ,
. 1996
22)
.

,
. 1990

.
1996
GDP 45%
.
23)
.
, .
.
, 1995

21)
96

97/7/2

10

12

98/1/6

1/8

IDR/USD

2,362

2,435

2,611

2,944

3,269

3,579

5,500

7,715

9,700

(7.2)

(20.9)

(32.9)

(47.0)

(125.9)

(194.7)

(298.4)

639

730

721

494

547

472

401

402

346

(1.2)

(32.3)

(25.1)

(35.3)

(45.1)

(52.6)

(33.4)

: 1997 7 2 (%).

22) 1995 18.0% 1996 9.6% .


23) 1996 DSR(Debt Service Ratio) 68.6% .

46 : -

.


.
.
, .
24).

.
25),
. 1996

.

.
,
. 1997 6

1997 7
.
, .
, 1997
.

24) 1989~96 4.6 .


25) 1997 5 19.7% .

47

.

.
. 1993 14%
( 19.8%, 7.3%), 1995 10%
( 16.6%, 4.9%) .

2)

) IMF
1997 8

, ( 12%) .
8 2,290
7 11% . 9 16

,
10 8 IMF .
IMF 1997 10 30 100
(stand-by credit) . ADB
45 42
,
26). IMF
, ,

26) 50 , 50 , 30 , 10 , 10 .

48 : -

, ,
.

2-6. IMF


: 1998/99 3.0%( 0% )
: 2 GDP 3%
:


GDP 1%

27)
, ,

: .

) 1 2
IMF 1997 11 1 1
, 16
. 11 3 ,
3
IMF .
, 239 (1997 )

.
12 7 4
.

27) IMF WTO ,


, WTO IMF
.

49


3 2,000 , 2,000

.
1998 1 IMF
, 1 8 1 10,000
. 1998/99
32% , 28)
1998 3
.

1998 1 15
IMF . 2
, ,
, ,
.
IMF
, 3
1 21 1 12,000 .
IMF
.
2000
IMF IMF

28) 1997 200 ,


10% .
.

50 : -

, IMF 2003 .
PPM(Post Program Monitoring)29)
.

3) 2000

)
2004
(API: Indonesian Banking Industry Architecture)
2007 800 , 2010
1,000 .
,
.
2010
(Single Presence Policy)
2012 .
2006 130 2010 3 122
, (tier 1)30) 1,000 2006
91 2008 101 . 2009 19
,
2010 (M&A) .

29) PPM IMF IMF


. IMF
IMF .
30) , , .
(tier 2) ,
( ) .

51

2-7.
(: , %)

2006

2007

2008

10

2.3

3.1

4.8

1~10

25

19.2

28

21.9

33

26.6

1,000~1

63

48.5

68

53.1

62

50.0
18.6

800~1,000

6.2

28

21.9

23

800

31

23.8

0.0

0.0

130

100.0

128

100.0

124

100.0

: Bank Indonesia, Banking Supervision Report 2008.

2009 72.9%
75.6%, 110.6% .
31)
.
(2009 8 6.5% )
16.5% (BI
certificates) ,
.
( 6 )
. 2011 3 1
75% , 100%
.

31) 2010 11 1 5%
8% .

52 : -

)

.
, ,
.
.
(Lender of Last Resort)
(MOU) .

, .
, . 1998
(blanket guarantee scheme)
.
,
.
,
.
. 1998 10(Law Number
10)
, 2004 9
(IDIC: Indonesia Deposit Insurance Corporation) 24
(Law Number 24) . 2005 9
. 2009
1 20 ,
2,025 .
, . , ,

53

3 (Financial System Stability


Committee)
. 2005 12 3
, (steering
forum) (executing forum) .

)
(1) (2000~04)
(BAPEPAM)
2000-2004
.
(IPO) (preliminary prospectus) ,
(bookbuilding)32) . 2003 HIMDASUN
,
2000 29 2004 83 .
2000
, 2002 4 3 .

.
2004 GDP 29.5%( 733
)
33), .

32)
.
33) 2004 GDP 160.6%, 142.6%, 100.6%.
68.8% .

54 : -

,
, ,
.

(2) (2005~09)
BAPEPAM
2005-2009 .
.
, IT
,
. .
, ,
.
,
.
, ,

. ,
. ,
. ,
.
.

4)

1997

55

GDP 50%
. 2000
.
IBRA(Indonesia Bank Restructuring Agency)
2003 ,
.
.
.

,
. ,
.
20% ,
, ,
.
.

)

. , .
,
.
,
.
.
,

56 : -


.
, .

, 1997
.
,
. 2000
.
,

.
, . ,
,
.
,
.
, (Aml: Anti-Money Laundering)
. OECD (FATF34))
2001 35) .
FATF
,
. FATF

34) FATF: Financial Action Task Force.


35) NCCT: Money Laundering list of Non-Cooperative Countries and Territories.

57

,

.

)

20% ,

. , .


.
.
(Ebay)
, 10
50% 60% .

, (BAPEPAM)
.
, .
, .
,

. ,
.
()

58 : -

.
,
.
, . , ,
.
,
.

.
1)

1980 1990
. 1996 5.8%
1997 5.2% , 1998
-0.6% .

1981 1983 1980
1990
.
, ,
, .

)
1980 ,
.

59

,
.

.
15% 36),
.
(universal bank) 1980 5 1990 10
, 1995 25 , 1996 45 .
(BSP: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas) 1
, (Secrecy of
Bank Deposit Law)
. 1986
30 . 1987
,

. 1993

.

)
.
1983 1985
, 5
.

36) (Single Borrowers Limit) 25% .

60 : -


. 1981
1987 3, 32 138
.
1
,
.
1986
Philippine National Bank(PNB) Development Bank of the Philippines(DBP)
1,080
. PNB 87%, DBP 67%
,
. 1980 ,
1993
(New Central Bank Act)

.

)
1990
. 1980 1989
, 1984
1989
. 1993 ,

1990 1,863 1997 4,078

61

.
1994 1949
.
1997 1993 2% 6%
1994 IMF 6 8,400 (Extended
Fund Facility) , IMF
. 1994
(Act Liberalizing the Entry and Scope of Operations of
Foreign Banks in the Phillippines and for Other Purposes) .

( 60%),
( 60%) ,

.
150
5 ,
5
6 ,
4
.

)
1980 2%
, , ,

. 1990

62 : -

.
1992 9
100% ,

. ,
, 1992
.
1992 1994 1 6
, 1992
1994 .

.

.
1990
. [
2-8] GDP
,
. 1998
.
1997 7 6

.

63

2-8. (1997 )
(: %)

1997

1998

57

15~20

70~80

5.5

7.0

15~18

69

25~30

80~100

11.0

20.0

8~10

70

15~25

80~100

16.0

22.5

6~10

107

30~40

80~100

7.5

15.0

8~14

100

30~40

80~100

15.0

25.0

6~10

: GDP .
: J. P. Morgan(1998), pp. 305~373, : Marcus Noland(2000), p. 406.

1997 7
20
. ,
1997 6 1 2 1998 9 44 .
, 1990

,
.

2)


.
, I, II ,

.
.

64 : -

2-9.
(: )
1)

1998

1999

(universal banks)

4,500

4,950

5,400

(commercial banks)

2,000

2,400

2,800

(thrift banks)

37)
(rural banks)

2000

250

325

400

52

52

64

26

26

32

13

13

16

1~3 1
2)

6.5

6.5

4~6 2~3
2)

3.9

3.9

4.8

2.6

2.6

3.2

2)

5~6

: 1. 1999 2000 .
2. .
: BSP, Regulations.

)
1998 3 374
1999
2000
.
1998
996 1999 976, 2000 947 . 1999
1 10% 8%
,

37) , , 1(400 ), 2
(320~400 ), 3(240~320 ), 4(160~240 ), 5(80
~160 ), 6(80 ) , 1(55 ), 2
(45~55 ), 3(35~45 ), 4(25~35 ), 5(15
~25 ), 6(15 ) .

65


,
.

)
1997
.
.
,
,

.
.

.


. 1998
CAMEL 38) ()
CAMELS .

38) (Capital Adequacy), (: Asset Quality),


(Management), (Earning), (Liquidity)
(FRB), (FDIC)
1978 ,
. BIS
CAMEL BIS
.

66 : -

.
2001 3 I
, 2002
. I

8% 10% . 2004 12 II
, (pillars)
(Pillar 1), (Pillar 3)
2007 1 . 2009 1 (Pillar 2)

.
,
.
2011 .

2-10.
(: %)

10
25

50

100

: BSP, Regulations.

1999 4
. 5%, 25%

67

.
,
.

1998 12 , ,

, 1999 12 10
.
(ROE), ,
. 1998 9

.
1993

,
(consolidated supervision)
,
. 1998

,
. 2004
(Financial Sector Forum) 2005
.

)
1997 4.7%

68 : -


2001 17.3%
.

2-1.
(: )
29,000
28,000
27,000
26,000
25,000
24,000
23,000
22,000
21,000
20,000
19,000
18,000
17,000
16,000
15,000
14,000
13,000
12,000
11,000
10,000
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0

20%

18%

16%

14%

12%

10%

8%

6%

4%

2%

0%
2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

: BSP, Key Statistical Indicators.


2002 (Special Purpose Vehicle Act)
.

,
.
5% ,

69

. 2003
2004 2005
6 9,670 .
7,910 .
2010 6 3.3%
.

3)

)
2008

,
.

.
,
.

.
,
, 2004 , ,
(FSF)
.
, FSF
.

70 : -

IMF 2010 4
FSF

,

.

.

)
1990 1998
996 2009 785 .

2009 8
. 2009
5 -(HHI)39) 613.2
.

.
,

. 1998 3
2000

39) HHI ,
% . HHI 1000
, 1000~1800 , 1800 .

71


.
17 13 2009
5
.
(microfinance)
, -(sari-sari)
.
IT , ATM

.

)
2009 184
10 6 ,
50% .
2/3
.
1/3 150
.
,

.
ADB
2009 6 37% .
.

72 : -


. ,
,
.

.
1)

1968
Asian Currency Unit(ACU)
.
.

2-11.
(: )
2007

2008

2009

2010(3)

197,823.2

214,381.9

219,646.7

227,496.4

532,674.6

498,669.6

460,694.2

478,503.0

66,398.3

64,140.5

80,941.5

85,594.2

53,610.7

54,620.3

41,678.4

51,846.1

412,665.5

379,908.9

338,074.2

341,062.7

2,520.4

1,052.5

1,187.7

1,487.8

173,972.9

198,635.4

187,872.7

188,599.2

: Monetary Authority of Singapore, Annual Report 2009/2010.


. ()
, 1968

73

.

.

,
(MAS)
.

)

Asian Currency Unit(ACU).
ACU
, . ACU

. ACU


.

.
, 20
.
3~6 5
.
(maturity transformation) .

74 : -

2-1.
(2008 7 31 )
1) ACU (19) .
2) ACU .
3) ACU /
. .
4) ACU ( ) ,
.
5) ACU .
6) ACU ,
.
7) ACU .
8) ACU , , .
9) ACU ,
.
10) ACU .
11) ACU
, .
12) ACU , , , .
13) ACU .
14) ACU .
15) ACU .
, ,
.
16) ACU .
, , .
ACU .
17) ACU , ,
.
18) ACU ,
ACU .
: Monetary Authority of Singapore.


,

.

75

2-12. ACU
(: )
2007

2008

2009

2010

-162.6

-169.1

-160.8

-170.3

6~1

27.0

21.7

15.6

21.1

1~3

46.8

50.8

60.4

70.2

83.9

83.4

73.0

71.0

603.3

570.3

561.6

573.0

6~1

56.3

52.4

42.6

52.7

1~3

71.7

80.9

85.0

95.2

117.7

117.4

105.8

105.6

765.9

739.4

722.4

743.3

6 ~ 1

28.3

30.7

27.0

31.6

1 ~ 3

24.9

30.1

24.6

25.0

33.8

34.0

32.8

34.6

: Monetary Authority of Singapore, Annual Report 2009/2010.

2)


. 1997~98
,
, ,
.
,
.
600
.

76 : -

,
.

, MSCI40)
.

,

. ,
,
.
.
,
.

.

, .
,
, .

40) MSCI(Morgan Stanley Capital International index):



. 23 (World)
28 EMF(Emerging Market Free)
, .
60%
.
MSCI
.

77


.
.

.


.

78 : -

2
1990
.
3 .
10
,
4 , , , , ,
, ,
.

79

1.
.
, ,
41), 42) 4
. , (Commercial Bank)
. 2008
72% .
1997
,
. 2004
, 2002 2008
.
,
, . [ 2-1]
2009~10
133 49 ,
3 , 2, 6

.

41) (SFIs: Specialized Financial Institutions) (GSB: Government


Saving Bank), (BAAC: The Bank for Agriculture and Agricultural
Cooperatives), (GHB: The Government Housing Bank), (Thai
EXIMbank), (Small and Medium Enterprise Development Bank of Thailand),
(SMC: Secondary Mortgage Corporation) .
42) (Finance Companies), (Credit Foncier Companies), ,
(cooperatives) .

80 : -

87,
83
.
2004 (FSMP: Financial Sector Master Plan)
.

3-1.

(SFIs)

(10 )
2002
2008
6,466
10,048
4,804
10,243
1,631
2,164
1,124
1,741

(%)
2002
2008
70.1
72.0
n.a.
n.a.
17.7
15.5
12.2
12.5

: .
: Plearnpit (2009), Thailand and Banking Systems.

, 1997
. 1990
(BIBF) ,
, , BIBF
.

, , ,

.
, 1990
,

.

81

.
1997

. , ,
, ,
43), 44), ,
.45) 3 46)
Bangkok Bank, Kasikornbank, Siam Commercial Bank
42.1%, 42.0% 47) ,
.
1648)
,
.

43) , , , , (CDO:
Collateralized Debt Obligation), (Securitization) .
44) , , , , , ,
Mutual Fund , Mutual Fund .
45) , , .
46) ACL Bank, Bangkok Bank, Bank of Ayudhya, CIMB Thai Bank, Kiatnakin
Bank, Kasikornbank, Krung Thai Bank, Siam Commercial Bank, Standard Chartered Bank
(Thai), Thanachart Bank, Siam City Bank, TISCO Bank, TMB Bank, United Overseas Bank
(Thai) 14.
47) 2008 2,892 , 1,957 .
48) Bank of America, Bank of China, BNP Paribas, Citibank, Credit Agricole Corporate and
Investment Bank, Deutsche Bank, Indian Overseas Bank, JPMorgan Chase Bank, Mizuho
Corporate Bank, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation, RHB Bank, Sumitomo Mitsui
Banking Corporation, Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, HSBC, Royal Bank of Scotland, ABN
AMRO Bank 16.

82 : -

3-2. (2008 )
( : %, )

49)

ROA

50)

ROE

89.3

11.2

483

323

Bangkok Bank

1.2

11.9

Kasikornbank

1.3

14.4

93.4

9.8

375

252

Siam Commercial Bank

1.5

18.0

100.6

11.0

358

252

Bank of Ayudhya

0.7

6.0

103.7

12.4

215

151

TMB Bank

0.1

1.7

94.2

12.3

173

109

Siam City Bank

1.0

10.6

81.4

9.7

121

76

: BMI, Thailand Commercial Banking Report Q3 2010.


Bangkok Bank 1944 , 5
. 2008 483 , 1,600
850 ,
19, . 2009 12
100%
. , , ,
,

. 2008
(ROA) (ROE) 1.2%, 11.9% /
89.3% .
2 Kasikornbank 1945 (Thai
Farmers Bank)

49) (ROA: Return On Assets) = /


50) (ROE: Return On Equity) = /

83

2008 375 , 770 , 770


. Kasikornbank
, 8 China
Minshen Banking Corporation 2004

. 2008
ROA ROE 1.3%, 14.4% / 93.4%.
3 Siam Commercial Bank 1897

. 1997 1995 4.9%
(NPL) 1998 42.4%
, . 2008
ROA ROE 1.5%, 18.0%
, / 100.6%.

.
1)

(SET: Stock Exchange of Thailand) 1975


1992 .
(SET) , , , ,
, . 1993
GDP 105% , 1994~95
1,400~1,500 , 1998 8
214.53 2002 300~400 . 2003

84 : -

51) 900 , 2008 9


2010
10 1,000 .

3-1. (SET)
1000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300

Jul-2010

Jan-2010

Jan-2009

Jan-2008

Jan-2007

Jan-2006

Jan-2005

Jan-2004

Jan-2003

Jan-2002

Jan-2001

Jan-2000

Jan-1999

Jan-1997

100

Jan-1998

200

: Stock Exchange of Thailand.

(SET) 1999
2 MAI(Market for Alternative Investment), 2003
(Bond Electronic Exchange), 2004
(Thailand Futures Exchange) .
2002
(CMMP: Capital Market Master Plan) .
, ,
, .

51) 2003~07 GDP 5.62%.

85

2)

1997
. 1987~97
, 1992
, (OTC: over
the counter)
.

3-2.
(: 10 )
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
-

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

: Stock Exchange of Thailand.

10
, , ,
1997 1,970 2009 11 2,650
57 . , ,
,
.

.

86 : -

2.
.
1)

.
(2) ,
67% (BNM), , (investment
bank), , , .

3-3.

: Securities Commission Malaysia.

1959
.
,
1989 (Banking and Financial Institutions Act 1989)

.

87

,
, , , ,
. 2009
13 22 .
(merchant bank), 52)
2006 .
, , , , ,

.
(Islamic Banking
Act 1983) .
(Shariah) , 1983
Bank Islam Malaysia Berhad
.

.

3-3. (2009 )

22

13

15

15

17

11

52) (discount house) 1963 ,


, ,
. 2006 12 31
, .

88 : -

3-3.


15

40

25

()

13

13

: Bank Negara Malaysia.

(2) ( (Takaful)
), , , , , ,
, , , , (Pilgrims
Fund Board)53), (Cagamas Berhad) .
2
, , , ,
. 54) , ,

.

2)

53)
.
54) (Agrobank), (Bank Industri & Technologi Malaysia),
(Bank Pembangunan Malaysia Berhad), (Export-Import Bank of Malaysia),
(MIDF: Malaysian Industrial Development Finance Berhad) .

89

. 2009 11 (Central Bank


Of Malaysia Act 2009) , 1958

.
, (Insurance Act 1996),
(Anti-Money Laundering and Anti-Terrorism
Financing Act 2001) .
, (scheduled)
(non-scheduled) 55)
.56) , ,
.
, ,
,
.

, , .


,
.

55) , , , ,
, , ,
.
56) , ,
, , , ,
, .

90 : -

.
1)

, ,
. ,
.
(Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) 1960
, 1973
(Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange Berhad)
(Stock Exchange of Singapore) . 2004

, , , .
(Malaysian Government Securities)
.
, 1980
(Kuala Lumpur Commodity Exchange)
. ,
(KLCI: Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange Composite Index) ,
KLIBOR(Kuala Lumpur Interbank Offered Rate) .
1990 (Labuan) (IOFC: International
Offshore Financial Centre) ,
57)
. ,

57) 3% 20,000
, .

91

, , , , , ,
. (LFX: Labuan
International Financial Exchange) , ,
, .

2)

(Securities Commission)
. (Securities Commission Act 1993)
,
, , ,
.
.
, , ,

.
(LOFSA: Labuan Offshore Financial Services
Authority)
,
.
,
(LFX) .

92 : -

.
1)


,
1986 77 (, , ) 2009
54 .
(NPL: Non Performing Loan) 1997 13.2% 2010 3
1.8% ,
, .
(ROA) (ROE) 1997 -0.3%, -4.5%
2010 3 1.4%, 15.2% .
2008
, 2008
11 2009 2 4 150bp 2004
2% .
2008 17.2% 2009 3.1%
. 2009
, (loan-to-deposit ratio) 19
2009 12 75.6% 2010 3 79.2%
.
2008
. BIS(RWCR: Risk-Weighted
Capital Ratio)58) 2008 12.7% 2009 15.4%,
(CCR: Core Capital Ratio)59) 2008 10.6% 2009

93

13.8% BIS 8%, 4% . 2009


1 3,600
830 , 2,700
21% .

3-4.
(: )

2009

2010

887

904

914

929

946

120

127

134

143

141

BIS (%)

13.6

14.0

14.6

15.4

14.9

(%)

11.6

12.3

13.1

13.8

13.2

4,733

4,795

5,199

5,197

5,053

ROE (%)

16.7

16

13.2

16.1

15.2

ROA (%)

1.4

1.4

1.2

1.5

1.4

(NPL)

16,033

15,692

16,007

14,487

14,487

(%)

2.2

2.2

2.1

1.8

1.8

: Bank Negara Malaysia, Quarterly Bulletin.

22 13 .

2011 9 .

, 30%

58) (BIS: Bank for International Settlements) II ,


.
BIS .
59) (tier 1) ,
, , . (tier 2)
( ) .

94 : -

, 100%
.

. ,
, 2009 9
1 (Industrial and Commercial Bank of China)
, 2010 4 3
.

, .
(Maybank) 2008 Bank
International Indonesia(BII) 250
, 2 Commerce International
Merchant Bankers(CIMB)
. 4 RHB
.
2004 5 5.7%
2009 6.9% 2010 7.5%
,
.

,
.

95

2)

)
1970 10 15~20%
. 2009
7,500 , 2012 1 6,000
. 2008~09
,

.
, 9.11
,

.
, HSBC
.

3-5. (2009 )

: Pricewaterhousecoopers.

96 : -

)
1983
Bank Islam Malaysia Berhad .


.
20%
, 2000 6.9%
2009 17.2% . 2010
20% .
2009 , ,
1 .

3-6. 5
(: )

Bank Rakyat

14

13,081

Maybank Islamic Berhad

18

10,667

Bank Islam Malaysia Berhad

23

7,460

CIMB Islamic Bank Berhad

31

5,848

Public Bank Islamic Berhad

35

5,207

: The Banker(2009), Top 500 Islamic Institution.

2004 4 2010 3 11
, 2005
6
. 1 Bank Rakyat 2009 11
131 .

97

95%
, 2009 11 (Dubai
World)
.

,
.

)
,
.
,
.


. , ,
, , , , ,
,
.
(Murabaha),
(Ijara), (Sukuk) (Mudaraba) .
,

.
75% .
.

98 : -

,
.
,
.
,

. ,
, (REIT: Real Estate Investment Trust),
, ,
.

(1)

,
.

3-7. (2009 )
(: )

8,380

5,386

4,940

4,349

Petronas

3,000

1,931

(Saudi Electricity)

1,867

(Terengganu Investment Authority)

1,420

(Khazanah Nasional Berhad)

1,416

: Thomson Reuters.

99

2001 (Kumpulan Guthrie)


1 5,000 , 2002
6 .

2007 330 2009 190
54% .60)
2009 6 48.6%
, 24.5% .
()
3
()
.

(2)
1984 (Takaful Act 1984) 1985
.
15~20% 2015
74 . 2008
106 ( 32 ) 7.2%
. 1 Syarikat Takaful Malaysia
Berhad 2009 11 10 .

60) 2009 14%,


13%, 7%, 6% .

100 : -

3-8. 5 (2008 )
(: )

Syarikat Takaful Malaysia Berhad

1,015

CIMB Aviva Takaful Bhd Berhad

708

Takaful Ikhlas Sdn Berhad

309

Prudential BSN Takaful Berhad

22

49

Hong Leong Tokio Marine Takaful Berhad

24

30

: The Banker(2009), Top 500 Islamic Institutions.

)
, , ,
(OIC: Organization
of the Islamic Conference) , S&P
A- .
1980
, 30
. ,
.

, 2010
20%
,
.
,
,
.

101

3-9.

1983 (IIB: International


Islamic Banking) 1967
2016 10 .

(ITO: International Takaful Operator)



.

(IFMC: Islamic Fund Management Companies)


,
10
.

100%

(IIB), (IIB),
(IFMC) 100% .

: (MIDA).

3-4. GDP (2009 )


(: %)
200
180
160
140
120

100
80
60
40
20

: Asian Bonds Online.

2002 (OIC)
(IFSB: Islamic Financial Services Board)
, 2006

102 : -

(MIFC: Malaysia International Financial Center)



. , 2006
(INCEIF: International Centre for Education in Islamic Finance)

.

3)

) 3
61) .
1998 12.2% , 2009
GDP ,
3 1 .
2009 1,986 10.3%
, GDP 91.7% . 36%
. 51.3%
, 1997
24% 2009 40.4% . ,
1999 64% 2007 44% 2009 60%
,
.

61) 2010 5 S&P A-(Stable),


A3(Stable), A(Stable) .

103

3-5.
(: )
250
200
150

100
50

20
9
10

20
9
09

20
9
08

20
9
07

20
9
06

20
9
05

20
04

: Asian Bonds Online.

) 2
(Bursa Malaysia Berhad) 2002
62)
, 1,000
2009 9,990 ( 3,060 )
. (World Federation of
Exchanges),

(East

Asian

and

Oceanian Stock Exchanges Federation) (International


Securities Services Association) .
(Main Board), 2(Second Board),

62) MESDAQ: Malaysian Exchange of Securities Dealing & Automated Quotation

104 : -

(MESDAQ) 63), 2009 8


2 Main

Market MESDAQ

ACE(Access, Certainty and Efficiency) Market .



.

3-6.
(: 10 , )
1200

1,040

1000

1,020

800

1,000

600

980

400

960

200

940

920
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

: , .
: Bursa Malaysia, Annual Report 2009.


2008 1,500 ,
2008 50% .
2009 2009 5 1,000 2010
(FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI ).64)

63) , 2,
.
64) 2008 1 11 1516.22 2008 10 29 829.41
, KLCI 2009 7 Financial Times Stock Exchange(FTSE)
FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI .

, 100 30 .

105

3-7. (2007~09)
1600

1400

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

9
10

11

20
1
10 2

9
10

11

20
1
09 2

9
10

11

20
08 12

20
07

: Bank Negara Malaysia.

3.
.
, ,
.
,
, , , , ,
.
,
.
2003 91% .
2003~09 3%
8.8%, 1% 2.7%
91% 80.6% . , 1980

106 : -


,
. 1994
1997
.

3-8. (2009 )
1.1%
2.7%
3.1%
4.4%

0.4%

8.8%

79.5%

: Bank Indonesia(2010), Financial Stability Review, No. 14.

,
, 1997 . WTO

, .
.
, 1997 7

.

107

.
1)

(Act No.7 of 1992)


,
. (BI: Bank Indonesia)
, .
(Shariah) ,

.65)
1992
, 1994 66)
.

.
,
. 1996
3 (NPL: Non-Performing Loan) 10.6%
, 1997 1998 3 19.8%, 1999
3 58.7% .
,

65) ,
.
66) 1994 100%
, 5,000 ,
(30) .

108 : -

67).
(BI) (fit-and-proper test)
68).

3-10. 5 (2008 )
(: , %)

Bank Mandiri

31,650

25,529

Bank Rakyat Indonesia

21,729

17,796

28.5

Bank Central Asia

21,684

17,597

30.2

Bank Negara Indonesia

17,814

14,408

7.5

Bank Danamon Indonesia

9,472

6,532

14.3

17.8

: Annual Report; BMI.

2010 3 122 4
118, 109 9 ,
1,861 1,718, 143
.
. 14 75%
, 108 4
. 1998 Bank Mandiri ,
1, 900 2,800 ATM .
2008 317 , 255 .

67) 2000 430 , 68 , 13


, 27 , 4 (Bank
Mandiri) .
68) 400 .

109

2)

2008
, . 2009
10% ,
(ROA) 2008 2.3% 2009 2.6%, BIS 16.8%
17.4% .
, 2008 30% 2009 10% ,
2008 74.6% 2009 72.9% .
.
2008 3.2% 2009 3.3% ,
(NIM: Net Interest Margin) 5.7% 5.6% .
2009
GDP 2.4% ,
,
. 2009 GDP
48%, 1 645
.69) 72.9%( 1,530 , 2,099
) , 10.7%
.70)

69) 2009 GDP 156%, 1 20,733 .


70) 2009 122.7%, 6.7% .

110 : -

3-11.
(: %)
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

89.5

87.0

84.1

88.6

86.6

ROA

2.6

2.6

2.8

2.3

2.6

5.6

5.8

5.7

5.7

5.6

7.6

6.1

4.1

3.2

3.3

59.6

61.6

66.3

74.6

72.9

BIS

19.3

21.3

19.3

16.8

17.4

: BI, Indonesian Banking Statistics.

2000
. 1997 99%
, 1999 11% . 2000

, 2008 (, ,
) 48% .
(NIM) 2009 5.6%
, 99%
. 10
, Rabobank(), DBS
(), Commonwealth Bank of Australia(), Australia and New
Zealand Banking Group() .

3)

2009 10% 2014


21%, 2009 73% 2014 78%

111

. (small enterprises)
(NIM) (NPL)
. 2009
1.7% 3.3%
. Bank Rakyat Indonesia Bank Danamon Indonesia
, Bank Mandiri
.
2010

.

.

. 1991~95
33% .
GDP 2% .
2009 2 4,030 4
,
.
2009 , 2010
1 145.6% 347
. 55.6%, 44.4%
. 152
44.5%
.

112 : -

,
. 2009
87
. 2010
,
.

,
.
17,508 ,
.

.
1)

1912 (JSX:
Jakarta Stock Exchange) 1989 (Surabaya
Stock Exchange) , 2007
(IDX: Indonesia Stock Exchange) .
(Jakarta Composite Index) 2003
,
. 2004
4 1997
823.7 . 10 (Yudhoyono)
1,000

113

(2004 45%). 2005


8 1,192.4
, 8
. 12
1,162.6 (2005 16%).
2006 2007
2008 1 2,800 ,
2008 50% 10 1,111
. 2009 2009 6
2,000 , 2009 87% .
2010 ,
7 3,011 .

3-9. (2008.1~2010.3)
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500

: Indonesia Stock Exchange.

114 : -

11

20
10

11

20
09

20
08

3-10.
(: , )
2,500

405

2,000

400

1,500

395

1,000

390

500

385

380

0
20081/4 20082/4 20083/4 20084/4 20091/4 20092/4 20093/4 20094/4 20101/4

: , .
: Indonesia Stock Exchange.

1997
1999 207
172.2% . 2000 2005
3.4%, 4.5% .
2008
1,076 . 2009
, 2010 3 2,263
( 2,529 ) ( 400 ).

2)

1997
, 28 .
1998 ,

115

. 1999

. 2003 67.9%
, 34% .

3-11.
(: )
1,200
1,000
800
600
400

9
20 1
10 2

9
20 12
09

9
20 12
08

9
20 12
07

20
05

9
20 1
06 2

200

: Asian Bonds Online.

2010 3 986 ( 1,080


) 15.6% . 2009 GDP
17% , , ,
9 . 71)
893 ( 980 ) 90.7%
, 93 ( 100 ) 9.3% .
, ,

71) 2010 9 S&P BB(Positive),


Ba2(Positive), BB+(Stable) .

116 : -

,
.

.
1)

1992 (Act No.7 of


1992) , 1992~98 1
78 . 1997

(NPL) 72),
.
1998 (Act No.10 of 1998) 1999
(Act No.23 of 1999)
, . 1998~2001
74% 73).
2000 7 (JSX) (JII:
Jakarta Islamic Index) 30
,
.

72) 2000 26.8%, 13% .


73) 1998 4,790 2001 27,180 .

117

2)

3-12. (2009 )

: Pricewaterhousecoopers.

85%
. 2008 4
,

.
2008 35.6%, 31.6%,
42.1% ,
2007 10.7% 2008 12.1% . 2009
(Sukuk) 4,
2 ,
. 2009 3 , 5 ( 4
5,550 ) .

118 : -

4.
.

. (universal bank)
, , ,
, , ,
.

3-13. (2009 6 )

( )

38

50,890

5,640

81,959

35
18
17

43,590
37,640
5,950

4,850
3,840
1,010

72,169
66,110
6,059

( )

7,300

800

9,790

74

5,270

610

13,839

648

1,430

240

24,709

44

130

20

1,997

75

800

640

10,699

46

15,920

1,130

1,627

n/a

n/a

n/a

113

5,040

240

15,870

11,010

10,020

n/a

: BSP, Banking Statistics.


. 1971
73% 1996 80% 2009 80.7%

119

80% .
1971 64.9% 2009 71.4%
.

3-14.
(: , %)

74)

1971

248

100

161

64.9

12

4.8

3.2

181

73.0

67

27.0

1981

2,536

100

1,717

67.7

116

4.6

66

2.6

1,899

74.9

637

25.1

1991

8,981

100

5,991

66.7

475

5.3

159

1.8

6,625

73.8

2,356

26.2

1996

26,370 100 18,762 71.1

1,851

7.0

480

1.8 21,093

80.0

5,277

20.0

1998

34,492 100 25,122 72.8

2,164

6.3

600

1.7 27,886

80.8

6,606

19.2

1999

37,669 100 27,223 72.3

2,235

5.9

619

1.6 30,077

79.8

7,592

20.2

2000

40,779 100 30,136 73.9

2,458

6.0

674

1.7 33,268

81.6 7,5151 18.4

2001

41,598 100 30,705 73.8

2,590

6.2

738

1.8 34,033

81.8

2006

62,571 100 43,926 70.2

4,538

7.3 1,393

2.2 49,856

79.7 12,715 20.3

2007

66,138 100 45,783 69.2

5,018

7.6 1,646

2.5 52,447

79.3 13,691 20.7

2008

74,118 100 52,191 70.4

5,908

8.0 1,639

2.2 59,738

80.6 14,380 19.4

2009

79,701 100 56,941 71.4

5,561

7.0 1,782

2.2 64,284

80.7 15,416 19.3

7,565

18.2

: .
: BSP, Monetary & Financial System Accounts.



1990
. 1970 1980
1965 1986

74) , , , .

120 : -

(Ferdinand Marcos) 1981


1983 . 1986
1992
(Fidel Ramos)
, .

(universal
bank) ,
.


, 1980 Philippine National Bank 1
1990 11, 1997 21
18 . 2009
75.5%.

1997 2008

. GDP
1980 102%, 1983 117% 1988 63%
1997 140% 2009 104%
. [ 2-1]
2009~10 133 ,
93
.

121

.
(Republic Act No.
8791) (commercial bank), (thrift bank),
(rural and cooperative bank), (islamic
bank) .
(universal bank)
. 2009
85.3%,
86.4% . 10
75.4%
60.3% . 10 7
60% .
38 18,
11, 3, 4,
20 7, 3,
10. 10
CITIBANK , ,
10 .
10 1 2009 8,158
SM Group Banco de Oro
Unibank Inc.(BDO). BDO 2006 12 3
Equitable PCI Bank 5 Banco de Oro SM
Group . 2 Metropolitan
Bank & Trust Company(Metrobank) 1962 2009
552 8 . 3

122 : -

Bank of the Philippines Islands(BPI) 1851


, 831
, Ayala Corporation
. 4 Land Bank of the Philippines(Landbank)

. 5 Development Bank of the
Philippines(DBP) Landbank .
Landbank DBP
.
3-15. (2009 )
(: %, )

ROE

4,685

BDO

8.79

70.3

7.19

8,158

Metrobank

10.12

62.4

10.11

6,914

3,394

BPI

13.63

60.0

13.36

5,951

2,835

Landbank

17.20

52.9

11.05

5,106

2,102

DBP

10.46

101.4

16.05

2,921

1,258

: BSP, Banking Statistics.

10 ,
2009 GDP 41.4%, 51.5%
.
2009~10

.

123

3-16. (2009 )

( )

/GDP
(%)

( )

1 GDP
()

1
()

1,376

85.6

887

1,746

640

5,050

285.1

2,796

37,293

41,067

3,973

207.5

3,001

6,897

8,018

3,105

117.7

2,101

3,940

3,094

: BSP; BMI; IFS.

.
1)

1937 8 (Manila
Stock Exchange) ,
(Makati Stock Exchange)
1963 5 (Makati) 30
.

1992 12
(PSE: Philippine Stock Exchange Inc) ,
.
(Pasig City)
MakTrade .
1998 (SEC: Securities and Exchange Commission)

, 2001
.

124 : -

2003 12 PSE
.
2009 249
2003 12 . 2009 801
, GDP 49.8% 2002(50.8%) . [ 3-17]
.
(PSEi) 1997 7 2,750
1998 9 1,120 2003
1,000~1,500 . PSEi 2003 2007
5.5%
3,860 ,
2009 3 , 2010 9
4,070 .

3-17.
(: , %)

GDP

1990

5,930

8,080

48,600

34,300

23,900

1995

58,930

66,585

222,729

148,004

141,507

2000

25,957

26,834

116,935

152,827

29,489

2007

103,224

211,693

325,663

353,489

196,046

2009

80,132

178,191

255,952

310,766

138,189

1990

13.4

7.1

110.4

93.1

28.0

1995

79.5

32.9

250.7

175.6

84.2

2000

34.2

16.3

124.7

164.8

24.0

2007

71.7

49.0

174.4

211.7

79.3

2009

49.8

33.0

132.7

170.5

52.3

: ADB, Key Indicators for Asia and the Pacific 2010.

125

3-12. (PSEi)
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000

2010 7

2009 7

2008 7

2007 7

2006 7

2005 7

2004 7

2003 7

2002 7

2001 7

2000 7

1999 7

1998 7

1997 7

500

: Philippine Stock Exchange.

2)

2009 2 9,120 (
630 ), GDP 37.9% .
2 5,600 1
24.3%, 10 16.9%
.
91, 182, 364 , 2, 5, 7, 10,
15, 25 3 5
. 2010 4 3 5
.
(Bureau of Treasury) , 20%
.
, 3,510

126 : -

( 80 ) .


(bid-offer spread) .
,

. 365


.
20%
.

, , ,

.

3-13.
(: )
700
600
500
400

300
200
100
0
2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

: Asian Bond Online.

127

5.
.
1998

, 1990 10
. , ,
, ,
1991 (joint stock commercial bank) , 1992
. 1990
,
. IMF
2001 4

.
,
.
,

2000 30% .


,

. 6%

128 : -

, ,
.
, , ,
,

.
75% 75)
.
3-18.
(: 10 , %)

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006.
2Q

(A)
()

155,700
-

189,100
(21.5)

231,000
(22.2)

296,700
(28.4)

420,000
(41.6)

553,100
(31.7)

597,600
(8.0)

(B)
()

170,600
-

213,500
(25.1)

254,800
(19.3)

320,700
(25.9)

423,200
(32.0)

559,500
(32.2)

649,400
(16.1)

()

108,300
-

131,900
(21.8)

140,200
(6.3)

162,300
(15.8)

216,000
(33.1)

267,500
(23.8)

281,700
(5.3)

A/B

91.3

88.6

90.7

92.5

99.2

98.9

92.0

: Global Insight(2008), Vietnam(Banking).

,
.
,
.
24 ,
. , 5

75) 4 75%, 77% .

129

25% .

, ,
. , 10~15%
.
30 57%
, ,
.76)

3-14. (2009 9 )

(6)

(38)

(5)

( 33)

: (SBV).

.
(SBV: State Bank of Vietnam) 77)
1951 . ,
, ,
.
,

76) (2007), pp. 31~32.


77) 1997 12, (Law on the State Bank of Vietnam) .

130 : -

, M&A, ,
.78)
. , 3

. ,
,
. ,
8% , (NPL)79) 3%
. , ,
80) .
, ,

.

3-19.

2007

2008

2010

()

10

2,200

3,000

3,000

( )

10

1,100

3,000

3,000

10

5~70

1,000

3,000

100%

10

1,000

3,000

15

15

15

: (Nomura Scurities Co., Ltd.).

78) (MPI)
.
79) 90 .
80) MOU .

131

. 2007 ,
1 ( 6,250 ), 1
1~2 2 , 1,610 (1 ) ,
200
BIS 8% .

.

M&A
.
500 200
. 30%,
10%.81)

.
1)

(SOCB: state-owned commercial bank)


100% . 70%
4 .
(VietcomBank: Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam) 1963
,
. 2005 137 ( 85 ),

81) 2007 4 10% 15% ,


20% .

132 : -

1 3 ( 8,060 ) .
4~5 20~30% , 2005
240 30%
.
VietcomBank
(IAS) (VAS)
.
VietcomBank 2003 19%, 2004 23%, 2005 14%
, 2003 35%, 2004 35%, 2005
14% .82)
2004 54%, 2005 42% .
/ 2005 56%
.
(BIDV: Bank for Investment and
Development of Vietnam) 1957 , 1995
. 1995

, . BIDV
.
2006 (ROE) 2005 3.6%
13.6% (ROA) 2006 0.4%
, (NPL) 10% 83) .

82) Global Insight, Vietnam (Banking), May, 2008, p.4.


83) (VAS: Vietnamese Accounting System)
.

133

3-20.
(: 10 , %)

AgriBank

VietcomBank

BIDV

2004

2005

2004

2005

2005

2006

161,757

192,319

120,006

136,721

117,976

158,219

129,904

151,655

53,605

61,044

85,434

98,639

-298

290

1,103

1,290

115

613

(CAR)

0.4

3.4

5.9

(NPL)

(ROA)

-0.2

0.2

0.9

0.9

10.5

9.6

0.1

0.4

(ROE)

-61.6

37.1

15.2

15.0

3.6

13.6

/(LDR)

140.9

126.2

60.6

55.7

99.6

86.7

: .
: Global Insight(2008), Vietnam(Banking).

(AgriBank:

Vietnam

Bank

for

Agriculture and Rural Development) 30%



. AgriBank
(ROA) 2005 0.2% , / 126%
. (CAR) 0.4%
. 2005 (ROE)
37.1% ,
. AgriBank 2005
2.3%

.

(Incombank: Industrial and Commercial Bank of Vietnam),



(AgriBank) (Poor Bank),

134 : -

(Mekong Housing Bank) .



.

2)


, IMF
2001 9
.
,
. ,
(AMC) ,
Incombank, BIDV, VietcomBank
. 2002
, 2004 14 ( 8,895
)84) . 2001
11.8%, 2002 9.0%, 2003 5.0%, 2004 4.6%
.85) , ,

60% .
2004
14~15%,

84) 2004 , 1=15,740.


85) .

135

IBRD 15~25%
. (SBV)
, 2005 5
.86).

.
, 2002 7 5
2 10 3,900 ( 6 9 )
. 2002 9 4 9 (3
1 ), 2003 6 1 9 (1 2 ), 2003 9
11 2 5 (1 6 ), 2004 8 7 (4
), 2005 1 9 (6 ) .

3-21.
(: 10 )

1
2
3
4
5
2002.9 2003.6 2003.11 2004.8 2005.1
1,500

700

700

690

2005.1

3,590

5,870

BIDV

1,200

400

950

120

2,670

3,866

Vietcombank

1,000

400

400

400

2,200

3,300

Incombank

1,000

400

400

400

2,200

3,300

200

200

800

4,900

1,900

2,450

690

920

10,860

: JCIF.

86) , ( 90 , 5%), ( 90~180,


20%), ( 181~360, 50%), ( 361 , 100%)
. .

136 : -

. 2005 9,
VietcomBank .
2006 2010 51%
. 2007 12 (IPO)87)
2008 . (BIDV)
2008 .
(IncomBank) 2009 .

.
(Joint Stock Commercial Banks)
1988 , 1991
. 1990

.

. 1995
(NPL) ,
. 1998

, 1999 2
, , 4 ,

87) IPO(Initial Public Offering)


. ,
IPO .

.

137


. 2000 10
2001 10 700
88), 500 ( 333 )
.
. 2010

. ,

.
. 2005 6 Standard Charterd
(ACB) 8.56% , 8 ANZ
Bank (sacombank) 10% .

3-22.
(: )

2007. 2

Hanoi Building Commercial Joint Stock


Bank (Habubank)

Deutsche Bank

20%

2007. 1

Vietnam Technological & Commercial


Joint Stock Bank (Techcombank)

HSBC Holdings

10%

72

2006. 3.

Vietnam Joint Stock Commercial Bank


for Private Enterprises (VP Bank)

OCBC

10%

16

2005. 12.

Vietnam Technological & Commercial


Joint Stock Bank (Techcombank)

HSBC Holdings

10%

17

2005. 6.

Asia Commercial Bank

Standard Chartered

8.56%

22

2005. 3.

Saigon Thuong Tin Joint Stock


Commercial Bank(Sacombank)

ANZ Banking Group

10%

27

: EIU(2007), Vitenam Business; Foreign Banks march in, 5 Feb. .

88) 466 , 2001 10 15,022.

138 : -


. HSBC 2007 1 25
Techcom Bank 10%
, Deutsche Bank 2 1 Hanoi Building Commercial
Joint Stock Bank(Habu Bank) 20%
.
1 10%

.
.

1993 ACB(Asia Commercial Bank)
5 , 2006
. 70%
63% , 7%
. 30% Connaught Investors, Dragon Capital, IFC, Standard
Chartered Bank .

3-23. ACB
(: 10 , %)

2003

2004

2005

2006

10,855

15,417

24,273

44,645

5,352

6,698

9,382

17,014

132

212

299

505

(CAR)

12.0

10.9

(NPL)

0.1

0.2

(ROA)

1.22

1.37

1.23

1.13

(ROE)

23.5

30.0

23.3

29.8

/(LDR)

59.7

53.2

46.9

50.6

: Global Insight(2008), Vietnam(Banking).

139

ACB 39%
, .
2004 42%, 2005 57%, 2006 84%
, (ROA)
2003 1% , (ROE) 30%
. 40%
, 39%, 30%, 23%
, / 50%
.

.
5 (Joint Venture Banks) ,
, , 4
1,500 .
1990

Indovina Bank
United World Chinese Commercial
Bank .
. 12
( )
20( )

.

140 : -

3-24.
(: )

ShinHan Vina

Indovina

Vinasiam(2)

VID Public

Vietcombank

Incombank

Agribank

BIDV

United World
Chinese
Commercial
Bank

Siam Commercial
Bank & Charoan
Pokphand Group

Public Bank
Berhad

( )

50:50

50:50

34:33:33

50:50

20

20

15

20

: KIEP(2007), .


,


.89)
.
.
, ,

.

.
1)

100% 90)

89) KIEP, ; , 2007.3.


90) 100% 2006 2 28 2006 3 24

141

3-25. 100%

- 50% 1 ( )
. 100%
.

- 100% 100 ,
200
.

- 99 . 180
( 60)
90 .

- 30%
49%

: .

, ,
2001 - 2010
2006 6 1
WTO
2010 ,
, 91) 25 GDP 3%
2010 GDP 10%
, ,

.
91) 2005 21 , 3 8 ,
2,500 25 .

142 : -


.
, , , M&A
.

2)

2006 11 17~18
(APEC)
(WTO)
. WTO
, ,
, , ,
.


.
. ,
2011 100% . ,
WTO . ,
2007 1 6.5
, 2010 1 . ,
30% .

143

3-26. WTO

- , , 50%
, , 100% ,
, 100%
, WTO 5 100%

- WTO 4
.
1 : 600%
2 : 700%
3 : 900%,
4 :

- WTO 6
.
1 : 500%
2 : 650%
3 : 800%
4 : 900%
5 : 1000%
6 :

-

30% .

-
,
,
.

: KOTRA(2006), WTO .

3)


.


.

144 : -

3-27.
(: , %)

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

968

880

858

843

1,956

8.5

8.0

6.0

4.6

7.7

: (2007), p.74.

2005
70% 7.7%
, 15% .

(DATC: Debt and Asset Trading Company)
.
, .
6% ,
. 4
7080% , 37
1015%
.
, . 2006 11 22,

.
2008 1 ( 6,200 ), 2010 3 ( 1 8,700
) ,
.
.

145

3-28.

2008

2010

: 2 2
: 1 1

3
(1 8,750 )

3
(1 8,750 )


50~700

1
(6,250 )

3
(1 8,750 )

1
(6,250 )

3
(1 8,750 )

100%

1
(6,250 )

3
(1 8,750 )

1,500

1,500

1,500

: .

6.
.
.
(MAS:

Monetary

Authority

of

Singapore), (DBS: Development Bank of Singapore),


(CPF: Central Provident Fund) .

1)

(MAS)
. MAS 1970 1971 1 1

.
.

146 : -

.
1970 1971 1 1 MAS
. MAS , ,
,
.
1977 4 , 1984 9
MAS
. MAS ,
, 2002 10 1
.

2)

(DBS)
1968 . DBS
. DBS
,
30% .
DBS 100
, , , ,
.
DBS
1972 (Post Office Savings Bank) 1998
.
10

147

.
.

3)

1955 7 1 (CPF)
,
, 1968
.
.
.
1965

, 1968 (HDB: Housing
and Development Board) CPF
.
.
1970 CPF ,
.
CPF CPF
CPF .
, 1987
55 CPF
.
,
.

148 : -

3-29. (Central Provident Fund)


(: )

2007

2008

2009

2010(1)

18,185.0

20,293.6

20,186.2

6,134.2

11,629.9

11,028.5

10,781.8

2,477.5

5,867.9

5,847.0

5,836.5

1,378.7

1,076.7

1,302.9

1,476.4

299.7

1,064.3

1,078.8

846.0

211.3

: Monetary Authority of Singapore, Annual Report 2009/2010.

(Finance

Company), (Merchant Banks), .

3-30.
(: %)

47.5

8.1

17.1

6.3

23.2

-6.8

: Ministry of Trade and Industry of Singapore.

1)

(Commercial Bank) , ,
, ,
.
(Local Bank) (Foreign Bank) .
2001

149

.
50% , 3
7 .

, (ATM) .
QFB
(Qualifying Full Bank) .
1999 10 20 ABN AMRO, Banque National de Paris, Citibank
Singapore Standard Chartered Bank 4 QFB
, 2001 12
HSBC . QFB 15
2004 6 QFB 25
, 2005 1 10 . QFB
, 2002 7
. , ,
.
2001 12, (RB: Restricted
Bank) , QFB
1
. (Offshore Bank)
1973 .

. 1978 6 ,

, 5,000
.

150 : -

2)

(Merchant Bank)
,
. ,
, , ,
, .

,
.
.

151

1.
-

. -

. , , (ODA)
, ASEAN
, , , ASEAN

.
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.

152 : -

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.

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154 : -

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180 : -

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, GDP 61%
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182 : -

. 2006. . , 19.
FSB.
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. 1997. : . , 97-08.
. (8)
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. 2007. . (3)
(http://www.kotra.or.kr).
(http://www.globalwindow.org).
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183

. 2001. : .
, 11 . .
. 2008. :
. , 631. . (1)
. 2008. : , , ,
., 8 3. . (12)
. 2007. . KIEP-KOTRA
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. 2005. . , 598
. . (9)
. 2008. . (12)
. 2003. : . .
1. 1998. .
, 98-1. . (1)

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Long-Run Considerations. The Developing Economies, XXXVII-4
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Association of Islamic Banking Institutions Malaysia (http://www.aibim.com).
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) (http://www.bsp.gov.ph).
Bank Indonesia (http://www.bi.go.id/web/en).
. 2002. The Blueprint of Islamic Banking Development in Indonesia.
(September)
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Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM). 2009. Financial Stability and Payment Systems
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Bank of Thailand. 2009. The Financial Sector Master Plan Phase .
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J. P. Morgan. 1999. Asian Fianancial Markets, pp. 305-373. (January). :
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187

Executive Summary

Strategic Industries of Southeast Asia:


Finance
Kyeh Ryong Chung, Seung ho Sohn, Jin Kyung Lee, and Sea Rhin Lee

Southeast Asia, in general, refers to the area represented by the 10


ASEAN member countries: Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia,
Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam. ASEAN has
developed close economic relations with Korea. As of 2009, it is Korea's 4th
largest trading partner after China, the EU and the Middle East

with the

trade volume of US$75 billion and the 3rd largest overseas direct investment
destination after China and the US with the cumulative total of US$17 billion.
The most prominent feature of financial sectors commonly found in
Southeast Asian countries is that they are underdeveloped relative to real
economic sectors. Also, banks are dominant financial intermediaries with little
competition from shallow domestic capital markets.
The Asian financial crisis of 1997 brought about economic recession in
Thailand, and in the course of recovering from the crisis the country had to
undergo severe financial restructuring process. The Thai government's efforts to
move forward to strengthen and diversify financial markets continued with the

188 : -

Financial Sector Master Plan II pronounced in 2009.


When the Asian financial crisis hit Malaysia, it refused to resort to IMF
bailout but pushed through fiscal tightening policies of its own. However, as it
failed to alleviate the situation, the Malaysian government veered to an
expansionary policy. As it attributed the main cause of the crisis not to its
own macroeconomic fundamentals but to international hedge funds' attack, it
imposed strict capital controls and introduced a dollar peg system. In addition,
the government tried to induce financial restructuring led by private sector and
reinforced the financial regulatory and supervisory bodies to lessen the
financial turmoil. With the measures in place, the financial sector's asset
quality and profitability remarkably improved. Malaysia's financial sector is
now regarded as the main growth engine growing at an annual average rate of
7.5% since 2000. Competition with foreign institutions driven by the
government's strong financial liberalization policy is expected to enhance
efficiency and growth of the financial sector.
When Indonesia spiraled into a financial crisis in 1997 triggered by the
plunge of rupiah and insolvency in the financial sector, it signed a US$10
billion stand-by agreement with IMF which requested the government of
Indonesia to carry out an economic reform program. To comply with it, the
Indonesian government undertook financial reform measures such as banking
sector restructuring. The banking sector reform policies since the 2000's
include higher minimum capital requirements and the single presence policy.
Also, to protect depositors from banks' insolvency, the government built a
financial safety net, giving the central bank the role as the lender of last
resort providing liquidity in case of emergencies and establishing the Indonesia
Deposit Insurance Corporation (IDIC) and the Financial System Stability
Committee. Additionally, the government adopted the Capital Market Blueprint

189

Executive Summary

from 2000 and Capital Market Master Plan from 2005.


The Philippines, which had experienced an economic crisis in the 1980s,
had already implemented various reform policies before the Asian financial
crisis. For example, it had undertaken institutional reforms such as the
introduction of single borrower credit limit, problem banks restructuring, and
deregulation in establishing new banks including foreign banks. As a result,
the Philippines was relatively unaffected by the Asian financial crisis compared
to its neighbor countries. As post-crisis measures, the Philippine government
raised the minimum capital requirements to induce mergers and acquisitions
among banks, and gave priority to risk management in terms of financial
supervision, introducing Basel I and II successively as well as loan-loss
provisions. Additionally, with a private-sector-led framework to dispose banks'
distressed assets, the Philippines strived to improve the soundness of the
financial industry.
Vietnam was also able to pass through the Asian financial crisis without
a big economic shock. But over time, the accumulation of distressed assets
and inefficient management of state-owned commercial banks became a
problem of Vietnam's financial system. Since the most urgent issue in the
financial sector is the disposal of distressed assets, the government has
introduced restructuring programs, which is still an ongoing issue.
Singapore has pushed forward deregulation measures and tax reforms
since the early stage of economic development to promote the financial market
to a strategic industry. Singapore was able to gain foreign investors' confidence
thanks to the continuous growth of real economy and accumulation of foreign
assets owing to its high saving rate. Also, Singapore's strategic geographic
location overlapping with both the European and Asian working hours played
an important role for its financial market development. Furthermore, as

190 : -

Singapore's industrial structure is closely connected to multinational companies


due to the open market policy, financial market liberalization and globalization
policies were easily undertaken. Against this backdrop, Singapore was able to
become an international financial hub.
Having similar export structures, ASEAN member countries are in
competition in international markets and vulnerable to intra-regional exchange
rate volatility. Therefore, they are facing challenges to come up with effective
measures to stabilize the exchange rate volatility as well as to prepare a
counterplan for ASEAN's short-term liquidity shortage. An enhanced financial
and monetary cooperation between ASEAN and Korea is expected to
contribute to tackle the issues. As for cooperation measures between the two
parties, we would suggest the followings: progressive entry by Korean financial
institutions into the region; cooperation in infrastructure building such as the
Korea Stock Exchange supporting the establishment of stock exchanges in
ASEAN countries; and sharing Korea's development experiences in the
financial sector through Knowledge Sharing Programs (KSP) of the Korean
government.
To give more concrete examples of the multilateral cooperation measures,
firstly Korea can make full use of the ASEAN+3 Asian Bond Market
Initiative (ABMI) which has so far shown a significant progress since Chiang
Mai Initiative. Secondly, Korea-ASEAN FTA Trade in Services Agreement,
which entered into force on May 1st 2009, can be very helpful for financial
cooperation among participating nations by facilitating trade and investment in
the region. Lastly, interbank lending can be another effective way to enhance
interactions among financial institutions in the region.
As bilateral cooperation measures, Korea can expand its participation in
the Thai Baht bond market as Thailand has done since 2008 as a major

191

Executive Summary

foreign investor in the Korean bond market. Regarding the Malaysian financial
market, Korea can target the local Islamic financial market as a strategic
channel for foreign currency funding. However, as legal framework is not yet
ready in Korea, first of all, relevant rules and regulations must be enacted to
make the issuance of Islamic bonds possible. As for relations with Indonesia,
Korea can promote cooperation with Indonesian financial supervisory bodies
and enter the market in forms of consultancy services to local financial
institutions. Korea can help the Philippines to develop its financial market by
investing in infrastructure. Even though the Vietnam economy is relatively
small and vulnerable to external factors, its growth potential motivates Korean
manufacturing companies to enter the market, which accordingly requires more
local services from the Korean financial institutions. By establishing more
financial institutions' branches and offices in Vietnam, Korea will be able to
strengthen its presence in the local financial market.

192 : -

()
University of Texas at Austin
(, E-mail: krchung@koreaexim.go.kr)


2010 (, 2010)

()

(, E-mail: aojai@hanmail.net)


(, 2009)
(2008)

()


(, E-mail: jinkyung22@koreaexim.go.kr)


(2010)

()
/
(, E-mail: srlee@koreaexim.go.kr)


2010 (, 2010)

Strategic Industries of Southeast Asia:


Finance

Kyeh Ryong Chung, Seung Ho Sohn, Jin Kyung Lee, and Sea Rhin Lee

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