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0.4
0.6

89.4
0.5
0.4

86.1
0.4
0.5

87.6
0.3
0.4

93.3
0.4
0.4

91.0
0.4
0.4

100.0
16365

100.0
18788

100.0
35153

100.0
9686

100.0
12095

100.0
21781

3.02-

75-79

.


,
,

80+

6.9
6.9
0

4.1
4
0.1

5.6
5.6
0

4.6
4.6
0

2.3
2.3
0

3.1
3.1
0

93.1
0

95.9
0

94.4
0

95.4
0.1

97.7
0

96.9
0.1

92.4
0.3
0.4

95.1
0.4
0.4

93.6
0.4
0.4

94.8
0.2
0.3

97.1
0.3
0.3

96.2
0.3
0.3

100.0
6473

100.0
8795

100.0
15268

100.0
4449

100.0
8168

100.0
12617

30

 , , 2005

3.02-

.


,
,

18.2
18.1
0.1

8.3
8.2
0.1

12.5
12.4
0.1

81.8
0.2

91.7
0.1

87.5
0.2

80.6
0.5
0.5
81.8
100.0
86499

90.6
0.4
0.6
91.7
100.0
100688

86.3
0.5
0.5
87.5
100.0
187187

12,5
, 86.3 ,
.
55- 64
, , ,
.

, ,
3.02 .
3.03
,

14.0
2.0
7.0
2.3
3.8
6.3
2.4
5.7

16.3
12.0
4.7
7.2
3.2
1.2
4.7
7.2

30.2
14.0
11.3
9.6
7.1
7.4
6.9
13.5

43.5

56.5

100.0

1
1-2
3-4
5-

10.0
1.2
18.2
15.6

11.1
2.8
16.8
19.4

20.9
4.0
34.9
34.9

43.5

56.5

100.0

3.5

3.8

3.7

68540.0

82300.0

80250.0

//

31

 , , 2005

3.7 ,
80250.0 .
46.8 , 38.3
, 14.9 .
3.03

14.89%

38.30%

46.81%

.
1950-1960
,

.


.

.
3.04
,
70
58.6

60

50

52.9
44.4

40

32.8

30
20

25.6

27.9

10
0
55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

32

75-79

80+

 , , 2005

3.04
3.04

//

10.9

22.8

21.5

163.5

202.1

197.6

576830.0

819020.0

604990.0

.
10.9
22.8 11.9 2
.

(
25.6 <0.001 ) .
,

.

:
1.
2000
,
.
2. , ,


,
3. ,
7.0 , 18.2 ,
.
4. , ,

33

 , , 2005

, :
1. , ,
,
,
,
,
,

,
,
,
2.

,

,
, ,
,
,
, , ,

3. , :
,

, ,

,

4. , :
, ,
,

34

 , , 2005

, ,

1.
, ,

2.

3.

-,

, ,
,
-

1999

,

.
(,
.)

1.

40
30.4

31

30.1

31

2000

2001

2002

2003

30
20.1
20
10
0

- -
1999


,

1999

-
1999 40 , 2001
4 ,
2002 940.2

35

2.

20.0

17.8

15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0

0.6
1999

1.6
2000

1.1
2001

0.1
2002

2003

1.8
2004

 , , 2005

4.

1. - 1999 157- -
, - ,

-,
234000
4000-20000 -
2. 1999-2001 -
17,8%- 18850
, -
- 23,7%- 12375

3. 2003 35 000
20%-

4. 2004




,




7.5 2005 2
.

36

 , , 2005

Y IV

. ,

, , ,
,
.
3
,
2 11 .

, , ,
, ,
.
4.1
2- 50-
,


.
, ,
, , ,
, ,
( , 1997) .
, , ,
, 1980-

l.
1990 , ,

,
,
. ,
1970
40 20
.

,
, , ,
.
, , ,
, ,
.
15 -20
, ,
- (., 2005)
,
- .

(CDC. 2001).
29

 , , 2005

: , 2002

4.01.
2010 2020 , ,
,
.
1990 , ,
,
.



.
.
, ,
, ,
.
4.01 5 , ,
2003

II

III

IV

45-64

65

(144496)

(132071)
(94909)

: .

30

V
,

(69278)

 , , 2005

,
45 -64, 65-
,
. 45- 64 , , ,
,
, , ,
,
. 65-
, , , , ,
, , , , -
( 4.02).
4.02. , ,
2002
5

45-64

44562

1830

32063

1241

30842

-,

367

18305

10455

-
101

316

31689

3116

12352

1564

11493

325

11134

-
217

4940

-
65

-

-,

128

: , , -

,


31

 , , 2005

.

2000 1,4 ,
1,6 (4.03).
,
, ,
.
4.03

2000

85212
63329

122838

25521

36225

33051

58638

9583

45-64

15470

25613

24185

33565

7467

65-

10051

10609

8866

25073

2116

189554

144496

13207

94909

69278

25963

37367

35084

64823

10717

45-64

15314

26585

25940

37231

8447

65-

10649

10782

9144

27592

2270

209165

156198

148973

116536

76373

29798

74213

41976

76271

12123

45-64

18305

32063

30842

44562

9637

65-

11493

12352

11134

31689

2486

239550

177751

161686

119354

25289

38225

30522

95105

45-64

8782

17441

14261

23602

16507

20784

16261

47901

2003

131733

2002

188242

2001

65-

: , .2003

68,8 ,
- 19,2 , - 27,4 , - 26,9 ,
15,1 45-
.
2003 64
, , -
.
4.02- .

32

 , , 2005

4.02 , 2000-2003

100000
90000
80000
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0

45-64

65-

2000

45-64

65-

2001

45-64

65-

2002

45-64

65-

2003

2000-2003
,
(X=49.5 <0.00 )
(4.04, 4.02).
4.04
2000-2003
2000

2001

2002

2003

/45-/

/45- /

45-

50-

25521

13,56

25963

13,7

25963

14,2

25289

10,56

36222

27,49

37367

25,8

37367

47,5

38225

21,51

33051

26,91

35084

26,6

35084

28,2

30522

18,88

38638

45,34

64823

68,3

64823

65,4

71503

59,91

9583

15,13

10717

15,5

10717

15,9

,
, ,
.

.


2000-2003
45-64 , 65-
( = 53.4, p<0.001 ) .
(4.05, 4.03).

33

 , , 2005

4.05 ,
1996-2003
1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2003

45-64

65-

45-64

65-

45-64

65-

45-64

65-

45-64

65-

50-59

60-

12463

8325

11688

8874

12363

9918

11297

9093

12606

18976

13056

27994

: ,2003

2002 45 -64 2003
50 -59 .
-
.
4.03
30000

27994

25000

18976

20000
15000

12463

12363

11688

11297
12606

10000
5000

8874

8325

13056

9093

9918

0
45-64 65- 45-64 65- 45-64 65- 45-64 65- 45-64 65- 50-59 60-
1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2003

2003 2,2 .

2002 ( 4.04).
4.04 , ,

1997-2003

400000
350000
300000
250000
200000
150000
100000
50000
0

1997

1998

45-64
1999

2000

34

2001

65-
2002

2003

 , , 2005

1990 7.9 2002

6.07 .
.
4.06 1992-2002


/1000 /

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

7.50

6.90

7.00

6.60

6.40

6.08

6.49

5.99

6.02

6.05

: 2002,
, 2003 4-

, ,
. 1995-2000
, , ,
.
4.07 5 1989-2003

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

: ( : 80 , , 2001)

35

 , , 2005

4.2

.
4,08-
.
4.08

,
,

---

: , ,2004

3
. :
: , , ,
,


,
.
: ,

, .
:

, , - .

1999 /328

625 .

2002 2493 , 2003 2950
. ,
2003
36

 , , 2005

200
.

,

, .
4.05 -

( )
60
5 1 .4
50

5 4 .5

53
4 3 .9

40
3 9 .3
30
1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2003 1999 1,3
.


4,09-
.
4.09
, ,

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80+

8.5
0.2

14.0
2.1

15.1
5.3

13.7
10.5

8.0
6.4

11.7
4.6

70.9
29.1

8.7

16.0

20.4

24.3

14.4

16.2

100.0

70,9
29,1 . 60 -64
19,7 , 65 -69 21,2 , 70-74
11,2 .


,
3 ( 4.06).

37

 , , 2005

4.06 ,
1996-2003

200000
150000
100000
50000
0
1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2003

1996-2003
1996-1999
2000 .

1996-2002
2003 1999
(4.10)
4.10 , 1996-2003

- ,
%

1996

492662

110106

22.3

1997

446264

105943

23.7

1998

442017

110206

24.9

1999

438769

107957

24.6

2000

460339

119289

25.9

2001

489861

134320

27.4

2002

510080

149574

29.3

2003

516279

127859

25

:
4
45-64, 65-
,
,

2003

.
38

 , , 2005

,
.
4.07
2.9
2.1

1.9

1.3

2.1

1.5
1.2

0.5
1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2003 2
(4.07).
80,6%
,
.

1999 15,5
, 2002 22,1 2003 22,9
.
.
4.08
2 4

2 2 . 1
2 2 . 9

2 0

2 1 . 4
1 9 . 4

1 6

1 5 . 6

1 2
1 9 9 9

2 0 0 0

2 0 0 1

2 0 0 2

2 0 0 3

.

.

2000-2003 (4.11).
4.11
, 1996-2003

-
, %

1996

2717991306

666112061.2

22.3

1997

2919436487

653953773.1

23.7

1998

3730199007

891517562.7

24.9

1999

3785217277

931163450.1

24.6

2000

66756306124

17289883286

25.9

2001

5741914316

1573284523

27.4

2002

6611383458

1937135353

29.3

2003

6701315643

1661956280

25

12370470452

3200625786

26,2%

39

 , , 2005

26,2
1,17 .

.
,

.


. (4.12).
4.12
, 2000, 2003
2000

2003

- %

-
%

197163597,4

15,2

111410325,6

13,91

216135885,6

30,02

303202210,2

27,26

2879106018,1

30,44

239810898

24,16

14067544408,8

26,51

647208491,4

63,42

47048053,7

16,46

50787353,5

12,11

70.3 , 49.1
21.6 .
5.9 .



.

4.013
, ,

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80+

1.2
6.7
0.7

3.3
9.7
3.6

5.7
13.8
4.1

2.1
16.6
3.8

0.7
8.4
5.2

1.6
5.7
7.2

8.6

16.6

23.6

22.4

14.3

14.5

100.0

4.0
3.3
1.4

11.7
4.3
0.5

13.8
8.3
1.6

15.7
6.4
0.3

12.6
1.7
0.0

12.1
1.9
0.5

69.8
25.9
4.3

8.5

16.6

23.6

22.4

14.3

14.5

100.0

40

14.5
60.9
24.7

 , , 2005

14.5
60.9 24.7
.

87.8 , 2-3
. 69.8
, 60-

, .
40,6 ,
19,5 , 20,5 , 30,4 ,
33,4 , 15,8 .
4.09
,

35.5%

38.4%

26.1%

35.5

38.4 , 26.1 .



.
4.10 ,
30.00

26.38%

24.87%

25.00

23.74%

20.00
15.20%
15.00
10.00

9.80%

5.00
0.00

, ,
.


.
89,6
75,4
41

 , , 2005

, 65,4
.
4.11 ,

100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0

89.6%
75.4%

65.4%

68.4%

57.4%

2003
6306, 11 100


. 10000


.
, ,
, .
179.5
180

160

131.4

140

109.1

120
100
80

97.1
67.3

60
40
20
0

: ..2004

,
,



.
42

 , , 2005

,
,

( 1).
1:
:
, , .
,
.

2 . ,
.
,
. , ,
,
, .

. ,
. , , .
. .
, ,
, .
, -

.

, ,

.
4.15

()

26.4

44.0

90.8

84.5

170.2

(%)

2.3

2.8

2.5

1.7

1.5

, ,

, ,
,
. ,

43

 , , 2005

,







(
64)




,
( )

, ,

(, , )


,

1998

// /72.0%/ 60.1%
, 27.3%
, ,
,
.


42,6%-

2 .
,
,
, ,

.
45
.


.

44

 , , 2005

,
, , , ,
,

.
, ,
731
52,2 , 11,6 , 24,8
, 28,3
, 35,3
.
4.13 ,

,
11.60%

,
35.30%

, 24.80%

, 28.30%

,
-

68,5%- .



.
,

.

:

1.
,

, .
45

 , , 2005

2. , ,

.
3. ,
,

4. , , ,

,
.
5.
, , ,
.
, :
1. , ,

- 4- ,
( , ,
)

- ,

, ,
,
: ,


,
, , , ,

2.

, ,
, ,
,

,

,

3. , :

,
,

, ,

4. , :

,
,

, ,
,
, ,

46

 , , 2005

,
, ,

1.

2.

, ,

1999 /70


.
,

,
,
, ,
,

, ,
1-4
,

, -
,
2001 60000
1573


2003 25 000,

6800

22
20.9
20
18.8
18

21
20

17.7

16
1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

50
47.1
46

47.6

46
44.5

42
40
38
1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

33
31.9
31
30

30.5

30.8

31

29

3.

,
,
,

1. - -
10 1-

2. 2002

,

3.

4. 9

5. - -
,

47

27
1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

 , , 2005

2002 38326,
2003

42508

10
8.3

8.5

7.1
6
4

4.6
1999

4.

1.

2001

2002

2003

1.
1684

2.

3.



.
1. -

1999
/328

2.

625

3.
,

1. 1999 /112
3-
-

2.
,

, 1-2

3. -

60
51.4
50

53

54.5

43.9

40
39.3
30
1999

2.
( ) ,
,
,

2000

2000

2001

2002

2003

71
70
69

69.5

69.2

69
68.1

67
65
1999

48

2000

2001

2002

2003

 , , 2005

3.

4. ,
,

-
,

,

,

,
, ,
,

1. ,
,

.
2. 1998, 2001 ,
-
.
3. , 6
,

4. 19589

5.
2002 48 .
1. -

,


-
,

.
2.
3
220
.

60-

2.9

2.1

1.9
1.5

1.3

1.2

0.5
1999

2.1

2000

2001

24

2002

2003

22.1
22.9

20

21.4
19.4

16

15.6

12
1999

49

2000

2001

2002

2003

 , , 2005

Y V

. ,
,

5.1 ,
- ,
3

.
, , ,
, , , ,

.
- , ,
,
.
- 1996
2004-04-23- 21
,
, ,
.

2004 73,6
( 5.01)
5.01
(.)
73.6

80.0
55.3

60.0
40.0

38.4

41.9

2000

2001

47.0

28.2

20.0
0.0
1999

2002

2003

2004

1999-2004
21.15 5.96
.
-
1999
52

 , , 2005

. ,

.
, .
5.01.
( )

1999
975
314
307
199
309
39
5

2000
2579
625
539
382
336
39
20

2001
34448
897
642
812
402
50
37

2002
10597
4364
904
1226
460
86
79

2003
17362
9273
1047
1112
547
250
92

2497

5938

975 2003
17,8
.

, ,
.
, , ,
. 2003 9273
, 1047 1999 30,2
.
, , .
,
, .
,
, , ,
.
5.02.
,
56.8%

60

42.7%

50
40
30

34.1%
25.4%

23.4%

20

10.5%

10
0

53

 , , 2005

42,7 ,
34,1 , 23.4
(5.02).
48.3 , 36.5 ( 23.5 <0.001 ).

,
( 5.03)
5.03
,

23%

46%

31%

46

31 , 23
.
,
,
.
5.04
, ,

7.3%

20.9%

6.4%

15.4%

8.7%

3.9%

4.8%

5.9%

56.7%

32.4%

46.5%

75.4%

85.4%
76.5%

56.3%
0

54

20

40

60

80

100

 , , 2005

76.5 ,
85.4 , 75.4
, 4.8 ,
5.9 .

,

.
.
5.05
,

6.8%

28.9%

13.7%

11.0%

10.2%

35.8%
20.5%

15.4%
23.4%

12.5%

45.1%

54.2%

76.5%

65.3%

75.4%

85.6%

45.5%

20

40

60

80

100

85,6
, 76,5
. (35.8%),
(20.5%),
(11.0%), (28.9%)
.
- ,

45,1 , 54,2
.
2002 , , 18856
, 380 .
55

 , , 2005

2003 , ,
, 8
.

. ,

1680 , 3466 .
, , ,
-
.

5.2 ,
, ,

,
, , ,


. ,
, , , ,
, , , ,
.
,

6 48 , 4
80 .
5.02 ,

24
4
4
4
4
40

24
4
4
4
4
40

, , ,
.
80,6 ,
. -
32.2 , 69.9 ,
, 43,4 , 30.6
.
,
.
-
, 69.6%
,
56

 , , 2005

,
,
.
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10. Health and wellbeing of the elderly in Papua new Guinea, survey
report, 2002
11. . Economics of an aging society. (Book) Clark, Robert L.;
Burkhauser, Richard V.; Moon, Marilyn; Quinn, Joseph F.; Smeeding,
Timothy M. Blackwell Publishing, Malden, MA (2004), 374 pp.
12. Social security, pensions and retirement behavior within the
family. (Book) Gustman, Alan L.; Steinmeier, Thomas L.; National
Bureau of Economic Research. National Bureau of Economic
Research, Cambridge, MA (Feb 2002), 46 ppTop of Form
13. http://www.asaging.org/home
14. http://www.helpage.org/global/global.html
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