You are on page 1of 10

Toplines,July2123,2012

BASELICE&ASSOCIATES,INC. HarrisMetroSurvey#12843
Base Positive / Strong Positive / Somewhat TOTAL POSITIVE 501 75 168 242 57 68 126 89 44 117 501 142 115 258 51 87 138 65 40 119 501 22 52 74 22 40 62 106 259 12 501 48 54 102 37 65 102 76 221 * 501 55 185 240 83 42 125 116 21 115

Page1
501 15% 33% 48% 11% 14% 25% 18% 9% 23% 501 28% 23% 51% 10% 17% 28% 13% 8% 24% 501 4% 10% 15% 4% 8% 12% 21% 52% 2% 501 10% 11% 20% 7% 13% 20% 15% 44% * 501 11% 37% 48% 17% 8% 25% 23% 4% 23%

Q1 - METRO, the Metropolitan Transit Authority of Harris County image

Negative / Somewhat Negative / Strong TOTAL NEGATIVE No opinion Never heard of POSITIVE - NEGATIVE Base Positive / Strong Positive / Somewhat TOTAL POSITIVE Negative / Somewhat Negative / Strong TOTAL NEGATIVE No opinion Never heard of POSITIVE - NEGATIVE Base Positive / Strong Positive / Somewhat TOTAL POSITIVE Negative / Somewhat Negative / Strong TOTAL NEGATIVE No opinion Never heard of POSITIVE - NEGATIVE Base Positive / Strong Positive / Somewhat TOTAL POSITIVE Negative / Somewhat Negative / Strong TOTAL NEGATIVE No opinion Never heard of POSITIVE - NEGATIVE Base Positive / Strong Positive / Somewhat TOTAL POSITIVE Negative / Somewhat Negative / Strong TOTAL NEGATIVE No opinion Never heard of POSITIVE - NEGATIVE

Q2 - Annise Parker image

Q3 - Metro Board Chairman Gilbert Garcia image

Q4 - Metro C.E.O. George Greanias image

Q5 - The Houston City Council image

Toplines,July2123,2012

BASELICE&ASSOCIATES,INC. HarrisMetroSurvey#12843
Base Positive / Strong Positive / Somewhat TOTAL POSITIVE Negative / Somewhat Negative / Strong TOTAL NEGATIVE No opinion Never heard of POSITIVE - NEGATIVE 501 57 149 206 49 36 85 145 65 121

Page2
501 11% 30% 41% 10% 7% 17% 29% 13% 24%

Q6 - The Harris County Commissioners Court image

_Q7TOT - One possible referendum addresses METRO and the one quarter of one percent of its sales tax revenues that it currently dedicates to the General Mobility Program for local street and road maintenance and improvements. Version X: Would you vote for or against this General Mobility Program being continued? Version Y: Would you vote for or against continuing to dedicate one quarter of one percent of sales tax revenues for local street and road maintenance and improvements? for local street and road maintenance and improvements? _Q8TOT - One possible referendum would authorize METRO to freeze the amount from the one quarter of one percent sales tax revenues dedicated for local street and road maintenance and improvements at an amount equal to the 2014 sale tax revenues, and then using all revenues beyond the frozen amount for rail (Ver Y: and buses). Would you vote for or against freezing the amount for roads and street maintenance and improvements?

Base For / Strongly For / Somewhat TOTAL FOR Against / Somewhat Against / Strongly TOTAL AGAINST Depends Unsure / Refused DEPENDS / UNSURE FOR - AGAINST Base For / Strongly For / Somewhat TOTAL FOR Against / Somewhat Against / Strongly TOTAL AGAINST Depends Unsure / Refused DEPENDS / UNSURE FOR - AGAINST Base For / Strongly

501 215 152 367 25 61 85 18 31 49 282 501 103 116 219 75 156 231 10 41 51 -13 501 68 60 128 83 236 318 15 40 54 -190 501 266 82 40 82 2 4 24

501 43% 30% 73% 5% 12% 17% 4% 6% 10% 56% 501 20% 23% 44% 15% 31% 46% 2% 8% 10% -3% 501 14% 12% 26% 17% 47% 64% 3% 8% 11% -38% 501 53% 16% 8% 16% * 1% 5%

_Q9TOT - One possible referendum would be to end the one quarter of one percent sales tax revenues for local street and road maintenance and improvements. Would you vote for or against ending the revenues generated from the one-quarter cent that go to local streets and roads and using that revenue for rail (Ver Y: and buses)?

For / Somewhat TOTAL FOR Against / Somewhat Against / Strongly TOTAL AGAINST Depends Unsure / Refused DEPENDS / UNSURE FOR - AGAINST Base Continue

Q10 - If you had to choose, what would you prefer to do with the one quarter of one percent of sales tax revenues currently dedicated for local street and road maintenance and improvements? Would you...

Freeze Eliminate Increase Other None Unsure / Refused

Toplines,July2123,2012

BASELICE&ASSOCIATES,INC. HarrisMetroSurvey#12843
Base For / Strongly For / Somewhat TOTAL FOR Against / Somewhat Against / Strongly TOTAL AGAINST Depends Unsure / Refused DEPENDS / UNSURE FOR - AGAINST 501 126 86 213 97 138 235 11 43 54 -22

Page3
501 25% 17% 42% 19% 28% 47% 2% 9% 11% -4%

Q11 - Would you vote for or against increasing the percentage such that more than one quarter of the one percent sales tax goes to local street and road maintenance and improvements, thereby reducing the overall sales tax revenues collected for rail (Ver Y: and buses)?

Q12 - If voters were presented with a single choice of whether or not to freeze the one quarter of the one percent sales tax dedicated for local street and road maintenance and improvements, then the following would happen - - -ONE - - - a vote FOR the freeze would eliminate half of the money going to streets and roads over the next 20 years, and TWO - - - a vote AGAINST the freeze would eliminate entirely the money going to streets and roads over the next twenty years. There would be no possible vote to continue METROs current spending for streets and roads. Would you consider that to be an unfair referendum because the option to continue current spending on streets and roads was not presented to the voters?

Base

501 Yes / Definitely Yes / Somewhat TOTAL YES No / Somewhat No / Definitely TOTAL NO Depends / Other Unsure / Refused DEPENDS / UNSURE YES - NO Base Road and street maintenance and improvements 300 88 388 21 46 66 5 42 47 321 501 94 276 79 9 24 19 298 88 66 155 27 93 120 8 16 24 35

501 60% 18% 77% 4% 9% 13% 1% 8% 9% 64% 501 19% 55% 16% 2% 5% 4% 298 30% 22% 52% 9% 31% 40% 3% 5% 8% 12%

Q13 - If METRO spending had to be reduced in one of the following three areas, would you prefer spending reductions on...

Rail expansion Bus service Two or more equally Neither Unsure / Refused Base For / Strongly For / Somewhat TOTAL FOR Against / Somewhat Against / Strongly TOTAL AGAINST Depends Unsure / Refused DEPENDS / UNSURE FOR - AGAINST

Q14 - Would you vote for or against the issuance of four hundred and ten million dollars in bonds (Ver X: to be financed with property taxes) to build and repair police stations, firehouses, trails, libraries, and recycling centers (Ver Y: to be financed with property taxes)?

Toplines,July2123,2012

BASELICE&ASSOCIATES,INC. HarrisMetroSurvey#12843
Base Agree / Strongly Agree / Somewhat 501 315 70 384 49 59 108 4 5 9 276 501 101 91 192 75 207 282 9 18 27 -90 501 230 134 363 42 61 103 8 26 35 260 501 303 90 393 43 40 83 7 19 26 310 501 279 137 416 34 29 63 5 17 22 353

Page4
501 63% 14% 77% 10% 12% 22% 1% 1% 2% 55% 501 20% 18% 38% 15% 41% 56% 2% 4% 5% -18% 501 46% 27% 73% 8% 12% 21% 2% 5% 7% 52% 501 60% 18% 78% 9% 8% 17% 1% 4% 5% 62% 501 56% 27% 83% 7% 6% 13% 1% 3% 4% 71%

Q15 - In 2003, METRO put forward its plan that outlined light rail expansion and increased bus service. None of these promises on rail and buses have been fulfilled, so we should not give rail (Ver Y: and buses) a larger share of our tax dollars.

TOTAL AGREE Disagree / Somewhat Disagree / Strongly TOTAL DISAGREE Depends / No difference Unsure DEPENDS / UNSURE AGREE - DISAGREE Base Agree / Strongly Agree / Somewhat

Q16 - METRO ran into unexpected costs in the construction of its rail lines, and it would be good to allow METRO to use the revenues generated above the current dollar levels going to road improvements for rail and bus service.

TOTAL AGREE Disagree / Somewhat Disagree / Strongly TOTAL DISAGREE Depends / No difference Unsure DEPENDS / UNSURE AGREE - DISAGREE Base Agree / Strongly Agree / Somewhat

Q17 - With the lack of state funding for transportation, it is important to reject METRO freezing the amount of money for local streets and roads so the county, our local cities and jurisdictions can keep getting tax dollars to invest in streets and roads.

TOTAL AGREE Disagree / Somewhat Disagree / Strongly TOTAL DISAGREE Depends / No difference Unsure DEPENDS / UNSURE AGREE - DISAGREE Base Agree / Strongly Agree / Somewhat TOTAL AGREE Disagree / Somewhat Disagree / Strongly TOTAL DISAGREE Depends / No difference Unsure DEPENDS / UNSURE AGREE - DISAGREE Base Agree / Strongly Agree / Somewhat TOTAL AGREE Disagree / Somewhat Disagree / Strongly TOTAL DISAGREE Depends / No difference Unsure DEPENDS / UNSURE AGREE - DISAGREE

Q18 - METRO already gets three-quarters of the one percent sales tax for rail (Ver Y: and buses) which is more than eighteen billion dollars over the next twenty years. METRO should not freeze any of the other onequarter of the one percent sales tax which is used for local street and road maintenance and improvements.

Q19 - It is important to keep local street and road maintenance and improvements at their current funding levels while also receiving the benefit of any increased sales tax revenues brought about by population growth. That added value and increment of sales tax revenue needs to remain consistent to support the increase in population and demand it will place on our road capacity.

Toplines,July2123,2012

BASELICE&ASSOCIATES,INC. HarrisMetroSurvey#12843
Base Agree / Strongly 501 296 114 410 37 37 74 3 14 17 336 501 346 78 424 38 30 68 3 6 10 356 501 299 93 391 35 62 98 6 6 12 294 501 211 121 332 55 65 120 13 36 49 212 501 288 91 378 44 63 107 3 13 16 272

Page5
501 59% 23% 82% 7% 7% 15% 1% 3% 3% 67% 501 69% 16% 85% 8% 6% 14% 1% 1% 2% 71% 501 60% 19% 78% 7% 12% 20% 1% 1% 2% 59% 501 42% 24% 66% 11% 13% 24% 3% 7% 10% 42% 501 57% 18% 76% 9% 13% 21% 1% 3% 3% 54%

Q20 - According to METRO's own five year financial plan, they have enough funding to complete the three rail lines currently under construction, so they should not be freezing revenues for local street and road maintenance and improvements going to Harris County, the City of Houston, and the surrounding municipalities.

Agree / Somewhat TOTAL AGREE Disagree / Somewhat Disagree / Strongly TOTAL DISAGREE Depends / No difference Unsure DEPENDS / UNSURE AGREE - DISAGREE Base Agree / Strongly Agree / Somewhat

Q21 - METRO should not be taking money from one source of funding to pay for their one point five billion dollar cost overruns constructing rail lines. Local roads are an equally, if not a more, important investment for mobility in our region.

TOTAL AGREE Disagree / Somewhat Disagree / Strongly TOTAL DISAGREE Depends / No difference Unsure DEPENDS / UNSURE AGREE - DISAGREE Base Agree / Strongly Agree / Somewhat TOTAL AGREE Disagree / Somewhat Disagree / Strongly TOTAL DISAGREE Depends / No difference Unsure DEPENDS / UNSURE AGREE - DISAGREE Base

Q22 - METRO transit ridership is down twenty-two percent from 2006 to 2011, so we should not allow METRO to divert any more money away from local streets and roads for a system that is losing ridership.

Q23 - Mayor Parker led the Renew Houston effort that combined revenues from drainage fees with the one quarter of one percent in sales tax revenues for an overall fund to improve roads and drainage. Therefore, Mayor Parker should oppose any referendum that freezes the amount of money that goes to local streets because it will take money from the Renew Houston Plan that voters recently approved.

Agree / Strongly Agree / Somewhat TOTAL AGREE Disagree / Somewhat Disagree / Strongly TOTAL DISAGREE Depends / No difference Unsure DEPENDS / UNSURE AGREE - DISAGREE Base Agree / Strongly Agree / Somewhat TOTAL AGREE

Q24 - A freeze would result in either a tax increase or would cause local roads to fall into disrepair. Both of these alternatives are unacceptable.

Disagree / Somewhat Disagree / Strongly TOTAL DISAGREE Depends / No difference Unsure DEPENDS / UNSURE AGREE - DISAGREE

Toplines,July2123,2012

BASELICE&ASSOCIATES,INC. HarrisMetroSurvey#12843
Base Favor / Strongly 501 65 34 99 57 301 358 15 28 44 -259 501 56 52 108 88 242 329 26 37 64 -221 501 78 55 133 83 243 327 15 27 42 -194 501 74 82 156 102 201 303 14 27 42 -147 501 95 116 211 75 145 220 20 50 70 -9

Page6
501 13% 7% 20% 11% 60% 71% 3% 6% 9% -52% 501 11% 10% 22% 18% 48% 66% 5% 7% 13% -44% 501 16% 11% 26% 17% 49% 65% 3% 5% 8% -39% 501 15% 16% 31% 20% 40% 61% 3% 5% 8% -29% 501 19% 23% 42% 15% 29% 44% 4% 10% 14% -2%

_Q25TOT - In 2003 METRO, promised it would be able to complete the three light rail lines by 2012 and would do so within the approved bond capacity. Today, not one of the three rail lines has been completed and their costs have gone from an estimated six hundred million dollars to two billion dollars.

Favor / Somewhat TOTAL FAVOR Oppose / Somewhat Oppose / Strongly TOTAL OPPOSE No difference Unsure NO DIFF / UNSURE FAVOR - OPPOSE Base Favor / Strongly Favor / Somewhat TOTAL FAVOR Oppose / Somewhat Oppose / Strongly TOTAL OPPOSE No difference Unsure NO DIFF / UNSURE FAVOR - OPPOSE Base Favor / Strongly Favor / Somewhat TOTAL FAVOR Oppose / Somewhat Oppose / Strongly TOTAL OPPOSE No difference Unsure NO DIFF / UNSURE FAVOR - OPPOSE Base Favor / Strongly Favor / Somewhat TOTAL FAVOR Oppose / Somewhat Oppose / Strongly TOTAL OPPOSE No difference Unsure NO DIFF / UNSURE FAVOR - OPPOSE Base Favor / Strongly Favor / Somewhat TOTAL FAVOR Oppose / Somewhat Oppose / Strongly TOTAL OPPOSE No difference Unsure NO DIFF / UNSURE FAVOR - OPPOSE

_Q26TOT - In 2003 METRO promised to increase bus service by fifty percent, but their own record shows METRO actually reduced bus service by fifteen percent.

_Q27TOT - The purpose of extending the 2003 agreement for ten years was that METRO was going to have completed the rail lines so that the public could look at capital costs, operations, and ridership in order to make a reasoned judgement as to the future allocation of METRO tax dollars. However, none of that information is available because METRO has not fulfilled its commitments.

_Q28TOT - Freezing local street and road maintenance and improvements at the current funding level would reduce funding from six billion dollars to three billion dollars over the next twenty years.

_Q29TOT - Freezing local street and road maintenance and improvements at current funding levels still leaves three billion dollars for local road and transportation projects through the year 2035.

Toplines,July2123,2012

BASELICE&ASSOCIATES,INC. HarrisMetroSurvey#12843
Base Favor / Strongly Favor / Somewhat TOTAL FAVOR Oppose / Somewhat Oppose / Strongly TOTAL OPPOSE No difference Unsure NO DIFF / UNSURE FAVOR - OPPOSE Base Favor / Strongly Favor / Somewhat TOTAL FAVOR 501 53 85 138 78 238 316 14 33 47 -178 501 41 46 87 84 229 314 28 73 101 -227 501 36 46 81 88 309 397 8 14 22 -316 501 35 33 68 67 346 413 3 16 20 -345 501 41 51 92 84 294 378 8 23 31 -286

Page7
501 11% 17% 28% 16% 47% 63% 3% 7% 9% -35% 501 8% 9% 17% 17% 46% 63% 6% 15% 20% -45% 501 7% 9% 16% 18% 62% 79% 2% 3% 4% -63% 501 7% 7% 14% 13% 69% 82% 1% 3% 4% -69% 501 8% 10% 18% 17% 59% 75% 2% 5% 6% -57%

_Q30TOT - This referendum will allow METRO to divert all revenues generated for local street and road maintenance and improvements above current levels to rail (Ver Y: and buses) and to fulfill what voters approved in 2003 regarding METRO's regional mobility plan.

_Q31TOT - On top of cost overruns on its rail lines, METRO currently has over 540 million dollars of unfunded pension liabilities.

Oppose / Somewhat Oppose / Strongly TOTAL OPPOSE No difference Unsure NO DIFF / UNSURE FAVOR - OPPOSE Base Favor / Strongly Favor / Somewhat TOTAL FAVOR Oppose / Somewhat Oppose / Strongly TOTAL OPPOSE No difference Unsure NO DIFF / UNSURE FAVOR - OPPOSE Base Favor / Strongly Favor / Somewhat TOTAL FAVOR Oppose / Somewhat Oppose / Strongly TOTAL OPPOSE No difference Unsure NO DIFF / UNSURE FAVOR - OPPOSE Base Favor / Strongly Favor / Somewhat

_Q32TOT - The freeze on revenues for local street and road maintenance and improvements in this referendum means that Harris County, the City of Houston, and the surrounding municipalities will probably have to increase taxes to make up for lost funding.

_Q33TOT - The 2003 referendum passed by the voters authorized METRO to borrow 640 million dollars. Since then, Metro has used loopholes to borrow 1.1 billion dollars, almost double what was authorized, and this referendum would allow METRO to take even more money.

_Q34TOT - A referendum that freezes current funding will result in Harris County, the City of Houston, and the surrounding municipalities, essentially bailing out METRO by taking money away from local street and road maintenance and improvements.

TOTAL FAVOR Oppose / Somewhat Oppose / Strongly TOTAL OPPOSE No difference Unsure NO DIFF / UNSURE FAVOR - OPPOSE

Toplines,July2123,2012

BASELICE&ASSOCIATES,INC. HarrisMetroSurvey#12843
Base Favor / Strongly Favor / Somewhat 501 41 52 92 65 315 380 13 16 29 -288 501 62 44 106 63 308 370 12 13 25 -265 501 47 52 100 59 306 365 9 26 36 -266 501 41 95 137 147 183 330 24 11 35 -193 501 241 67 42 120 5 6 19

Page8
501 8% 10% 18% 13% 63% 76% 3% 3% 6% -57% 501 12% 9% 21% 13% 61% 74% 2% 3% 5% -53% 501 9% 10% 20% 12% 61% 73% 2% 5% 7% -53% 501 8% 19% 27% 29% 36% 66% 5% 2% 7% -39% 501 48% 13% 8% 24% 1% 1% 4%

_Q35TOT - Even though METRO is struggling to pay for the rail lines they have today, this referendum would take funding away from streets and roads, as well as bus services, so METRO can build yet another rail line.

TOTAL FAVOR Oppose / Somewhat Oppose / Strongly TOTAL OPPOSE No difference Unsure NO DIFF / UNSURE FAVOR - OPPOSE Base Favor / Strongly Favor / Somewhat

_Q36TOT - Transit carries only three percent of traffic and rail carries less than one percent of traffic, and yet, this freeze would take funding away from local street and road maintenance and improvements, and give more money to rail (Ver Y: and buses).

TOTAL FAVOR Oppose / Somewhat Oppose / Strongly TOTAL OPPOSE No difference Unsure NO DIFF / UNSURE FAVOR - OPPOSE Base For / Strongly For / Somewhat

Q37 - Having heard more about it, would you vote for or against the referendum to freeze the amount of the sales tax revenues that goes to local street and road maintenance and improvements so the additional revenues can go to METRO rail (Ver Y: and buses)?

TOTAL FOR Against / Somewhat Against / Strongly TOTAL AGAINST Depends Unsure / Refused DEPENDS / UNSURE FOR - AGAINST Base Positive / Strong Positive / Somewhat TOTAL POSITIVE

Q38 - And having heard more about them, do you have a strong positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or strong negative impression of METRO?

Negative / Somewhat Negative / Strong TOTAL NEGATIVE No opinion Unsure / Refused NO OPIN / UNSURE POSITIVE - NEGATIVE Base Continue

Q39 - If you had to choose, what would you prefer to do with the one quarter of one percent of sales tax revenues currently dedicated for local street and road maintenance and improvements? Would you...

Freeze Eliminate Increase Other None Unsure / Refused

Toplines,July2123,2012

BASELICE&ASSOCIATES,INC. HarrisMetroSurvey#12843
Base 18-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Age unknown Base 501 95 133 135 126 12 501 236 265 501 111 122 117 139 12 501 159 77 146 120 501 12 86 95 195 112 1 501 186 185 116 15 116 35 30 35 15 501 186 35 50 30 185 15 501 84 407 1 9

Page9
501 19% 26% 27% 25% 2% 501 47% 53% 501 22% 24% 23% 28% 2% 501 32% 15% 29% 24% 501 2% 17% 19% 39% 22% * 501 37% 37% 23% 3% 116 31% 26% 30% 13% 501 37% 7% 10% 6% 37% 3% 501 17% 81% * 2%

AGEG3 - Age

GENDER - Gender

Male Female Base Male / under 55 Male / 55+ Female / under 55 Female / 55+ Age unknown Base Male / Employed Male / Not employed

_RR9655 - Age / Gender

SEX3 - Gender / Employment

Male / Unsure Female / Employed Female / Not employed Female / Unsure Base Less than high school High school grad / Vocational school

EDUC - What is the highest level of education you have completed?

Some college College graduate Post graduate Unsure Refused Base

D3A - Thinking about past November general elections for a moment -- which party's candidates have you tended to vote for most often D3C - Although you vote for the person and not one of the major parties -- when you have had to choose between two candidates of whom you knew little about, have you tended to vote for...

Republican Democrat Or do you vote independent of party Unsure / Refused Base The Republican candidate The Democrat candidate Other / Neither Unsure / Refused Base GOP More GOP than DEM

_PARTY - Usual Vote Behavior

Independent More DEM than GOP DEM Unsure/refused Base Yes No Unsure Refused

HISP - Do you consider yourself to be of Hispanic or Latino descent, such as Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban, or some other Central or Latin American background?

Toplines,July2123,2012

BASELICE&ASSOCIATES,INC. HarrisMetroSurvey#12843
Base Anglo / White African-American / Black Asian Hispanic American Indian Other Unsure Refused Base Under $20,000 $20,000 but less than $40,000 $40,000 but less than $60,000 $60,000 but less than $80,000 $80,000 but less than $100,000 $100,000 but less than $150,000 $150,000 and over Unsure Refused Base Drive a car Take METRO rail Take a METRO bus Other Neither Unsure / Refused Base 501 273 106 14 59 6 25 1 16 501 51 58 57 69 60 82 67 9 50 501 460 3 32 6 1 501 246 256 501 262 239 501 77 57 23 46 126 38 32 40 27 35

Page10
501 55% 21% 3% 12% 1% 5% * 3% 501 10% 12% 11% 14% 12% 16% 13% 2% 10% 501 92% 1% 6% 1% * 501 49% 51% 501 52% 48% 501 15% 11% 5% 9% 25% 8% 6% 8% 5% 7%

RACE - And is your race Anglo, African-American, Asian, or some other race?

INCOME - We want to classify people into broad income groups only. Was your total household income last year before taxes...

D10 - Which do you currently use most often for transportation...

VERXY - Version X/Y

Version X Version Y Base

VERPQ - Version P/Q

Version P Version Q Base Inside Loop SW Inside City SW Outside City NW Inside City

RACZIP - Regions from Zip

NW Outside City NE Inside City NE Outside City SE Inside City SE Outside City SC Inside City

You might also like