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2013: APSC Preliminary Investment Strategy


Provided is a synopsis of our approach for investment in 2013:
First, consider prevailing market conditions and where they are trending? o International market concerns aside, we start by subdividing our analysis across both U.S. fiscal and monetary policy. o Regardless of who controls the White House and Congress, fiscal policy must address threats to markets posed by automatic spending cuts and rising taxes:
http://www.businessinsider.com/the-truth-about-the-fiscal-cliff-2012-5?op=1 http://www.businessinsider.com/companies-fiscal-cliff-2012-9?op=1 http://www.cnbc.com/id/49115958/ http://seekingalpha.com/article/867681-qe1-qe3-lower-rates-boost-reitvaluations-and-demand

o We then factor affects from the Federal Reserves loose monetary policy, see:

Second, within these macro dynamics, ask where small-cap private equity can be invested with reasonable rates of return and risk? o We personally like real property, renewable energy, and metals/mining: Moodys Analytics Mark Zandy suggests multifamily projects will remain strong for the next 5-years. U.S. demographics and demand also augur well for senior, student and work force housing projects. Shortages in new single family housing also suggest land development will be in high demand for builders. Energy security, environmental remediation and employment will also help drive renewable fuels projects. Last, the industrialization of China will double demand for iron ore by 2035, with huge gains in mining. Third, leverage the factors that are driving returns in these markets, through joint ventures or acquisitions. o We have already qualified several small-cap PE project opportunities within these sectors for review. o Ether leverage scale, in just one project, or spread investment risk over 2-3.

My individual investment strategy for 2013, though still being formulated, would also mirror the principles espoused above where possible. Understanding that scale is no longer a factor, within the means of a personal estate, sizable gains can still be realized with a singular focus on distressed asset plays (e.g. short-sales and REO rehab/resell). Given the dynamics that govern this buy/sell activity, any solution strategy must factor policy research and legal advisory first.

APS Capital, LLC (formerly Alliance Professional Services) 1909 Summer Club Dr. | Suite 207 | Oviedo | FL 32765 Office/Fax: 407.542.3060| Cell: 407.722.9135 Conference: 712.432.0750 | 426452# E-mail: apscapital@gmail.com

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