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TheAmericanPoliticalScienceReview63,3:689718
To use this model, the analyst displays the perceptions, motivations, position, power and maneuvers of the principal players
Each leader pulls to his own end Contrast with Model I: Several actors instead of an unitary actor Power is shared
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Noteson:Review3rdmodel:Allison,GrahamT.1969.ConceptualModelsandtheCubanMissile Crisis.TheAmericanPoliticalScienceReview63,3:689718 Issue looking down: Options = How to preserve my leeway until time clarifies uncertainties The issue looking sideways is commitment: how to get others committed to my coalition The issue looking upwards is confidence: how to give the boss confidence V. Specific propositions 1. Deterrence Which players can decide an attack? Though model I, an attack is not realistic because it would be a suicide and governments don't commit suicide Questions considered Could any member of the government solve his problem by attack What stream of outcomes might lead to an attack? How might miscalculation and confusion generate foul-ups that yield attack as an outcome?
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