Professional Documents
Culture Documents
LiveWebcasthostedby:
JeffreyGundlach
ChiefExecutiveOfficer
January8,2013
Announcements WebcastNews
PhilipBarach January22,2013 p y
LowDuration BuildingPortfolioHorizons 1:15pmPDT/4:15pmEDT
TABI
BloodlessVerdictoftheMarket Bl dl V di f h M k
BofA/MerrillFixedIncomeIndexReturns
Grey=Year2011 Blue=Year2012
3.75% Convertibles(VOSO) HighYield(JOAO) InternationalEmerging(IGOV) Corporate(COAO) Corporate (COAO) InternationalDeveloped(NOGO) Mortgages(MOAO) Government(G0A0) 4.50% 8.16% 7.51% 9.52% 5.60% 3.28% 6.14% 6 14% 2.59% 9.19% 2.19%
3
DataSource:BofA/MerrillLynchIndicesthroughyearendDecember31,2011andDecember31,2012fortherespectiveyearsindicated. PleaseseetheAppendixforindexdefinitions.Aninvestmentcannotbemadedirectlyinanindex.
BofA/MerrillFixedIncomeIndexReturns
Grey=Year2011 G Y 2011 Blue=Year2012
CCCRatedHighYield(JOA3) CCC Rated High Yield (JOA3) BBRatedHighYieldCredit(JOA1) BRatedHighYield(JOA2) BBBRatedCredit(COA4) BBBRated Credit (COA4) ARatedCredit(COA3) AAARatedCredit(COA1) 1.33% 19.70% 6.12% 14.36% 4.72% 15.03%
InvestmentGrade=IndicesratedAAAtoBBB (shownabove)areconsideredtobeinvestmentgrade.AbondisconsideredinvestmentgradeifitscreditratingisBBB or higherbyStandard&PoorsorBaa3byMoodys.Thehighertherating,themorelikelythebondistopaybackatpar/$100cents onthedollar.AAAisconsideredthehighest hi h b S d d & P B 3 b M d Th hi h h i h lik l h b d i b k /$100 h d ll AAA i id d h hi h qualityandthelowestdegreeofrisk.Theyareconsideredtobestableanddependable. BelowInvestmentGrade=Alsoknownasjunkbond(shownabove)isasecurityratedbelowinvestmentgradehavingaratingofBBB orbelow.Thesebondsareseenas havinghigherdefaultriskorotheradversecreditevents,buttypicallypayhigheryieldsthanbetterqualitybondsinorder to makethemattractive.Theyarelesslikelytopay backatpar/$100centsonthedollar. Source:BofA/MerrillLynchIndices asofyearendDecember31,2011andDecember31,2012fortheirrespectiveyearsindicated. Aninvestmentcannotbemadedirectlyinanindex.
MerrillInternationalFixedIncomeIndexReturns
AsofDecember31,2012
Latest1Year Bestperformer:Russia(GDRU) WorstPerformer:Japan(G0Y0)
Japan(G0Y0)
9.45%
6.14% 6 14%
UnitedKingdom(G0L0)
7.53%
Mexico(GDMX)
10.64%
France(G0F0)
11.90%
Brazil(GDBR)
12.23%
DataSource:MerrillLynch
U.S.Bond,Currency,andCommodityPerformance 2012TotalReturn
USBond,Currency,andCommodityPerformance1
(2012TotalReturn)
20.00%
18.91%
10.00%
5.99% 4.18% 2.48% 1.79% 4.23%
9.66%
0.00%
0.51% 3.37%
10.00%
11.31% 11.48%
20.00%
22.99% 25.43%
30.00%
UST10yr
UST30yr
DXY
EURUSD
JPYUSD
Copper
Gold
CrudeOil
NatGas
Wheat
Corn
CRBIndex
VIX
GlobalEquityPerformance 2012PriceReturn
GlobalEquityPerformance
(2012PriceReturn)
29.06% 25.70% 22.91% 17.88% 17 88% 15.91% 14.63% 15.23% 13.46% 9.38% 9 38% 7.26% 5.84% 7.40% 3.17% 22.94%
Source:Bloomberg;DoubleLine Returnsfortheyear2012endingDecember31,2012.
NetWorthinHousingvs.Equities
AsofDecember31,2010
Source:OrganizationforEconomicCooperationandDevelopment(OECD),GoldmanSachsEquityResearchThebestofFortnightThoughts,December13, 2012
NetWorthinFinancialAssetsbyCountry
AsofDecember31,2012
Source:OrganizationforEconomicCooperationandDevelopment(OECD),GoldmanSachsEquityResearchThebestofFortnightThoughts,December13,2012
TABII
GlobalEconomy Gl b l E
EuropeanCrisis:SovereignBondYields
Source:JPMorgan,FactSet,ECB DataisasofDecember31,2012.
11
PIIGSGDP
December31,1997EndingSeptember30,2012
12
EuroZoneUnemployment
December31,1998throughSeptember30,2012
13
EuroZoneUnemployment
January31,1994throughOctober31,2012andDecember31,2013
14
WheretoBeBornIndex Rankingsasof1988
Source:TheEconomistIntelligenceUnit http://media.economist.com/sites/default/files/images/2012/11/blogs/graphicdetail/where_to_be_born_in_1988.jpg
15
WheretoBeBornIndex Rankingsasof2013
16
http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2013/01/dailychart
U.S.Surplus/DeficitAsAPercentageofGNP/GDP
December31,1790throughDecember31,2011
17
JobLossesinLast11Recessions
18
Source:CalculatedRiskthroughOctober28,2012. http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2013/01/decemberemploymentreport155000jobs.html
CapitalGainsIncome
December31,1914throughDecember31,2010
Source:BiancoResearch,LLC,WeekofJanuary2,2013
19
2013S&PRevenueEstimates
March3,2011throughJanuary1,2013
Source:BiancoResearch,LLC,WeekofJanuary2,2013
20
FiscalCliffQuote StartingDowntheFiscalCliff Published:August8,2012 Published: August 8, 2012 FavoriteQuote:Regrettably,itsdistinctlypossiblethatwe havethesametypeofuncertainty[astheAugust2011debt h th t f t i t [ th A t 2011 d bt limitdebate]upuntilthe11th hour,59th minute. JuddGregg,FormerUSSenator
21
FiscalCliff WhatWas/WasNotIncluded
AsofJanuary1,2013
Source:NYTimeshttp://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2013/01/01/us/themcconnellbidenplan.html?ref=politics
22
ImpactoftheTaxDeal
AsofJanuary1,2013 HowthedealpassedbyCongressonTuesdayisestimatedtochangetaxesateachincomelevel,on topoftheeffectsoftheexpiringpayrolltaxcutandnewtaxesfromthehealthcarelaw.
AverageIncome BeforeTaxes Average Federal TaxBurden TaxChangein2013 Impactof taxbill tax bill +$322,528 +$50,508 +$2,483 $ $2 +$0 +$1 +$0 Payrolltaxincrease andnewhealthcare taxesonthewealthy taxes on the wealthy +$121,382 +$23,125 +$3,091 $ +$1,149 +$679 +$366 +$120 Changein AfterTax Income Total +$443,910 +$73,633 +$5,574 $ +$1,147 +$679 +$367 +$120 8.4% 6.5% 3.1% 1.7% 1.5% 1.3% 1.1%
Source:DoubleLine;NYTimeshttp://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2013/01/01/us/politics/impactofthetaxdeal.html?ref=politics
23
TotalFederalRevenues
AsofJanuary1,2013
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2013/01/detailsofthenewfiscaldeal/, http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2013/01/01/us/politics/impactofthetaxdeal.html
24
EstimateofBudgetaryEffectsoftheAmerican TaxpayerReliefActof2012
AsofJanuary1,2013 100 0
Bu udgetaryEffectsofChangeinRevenue e/Spending ($Bn)
100 200 300 300 400 RevenueChg Revenue Chg 500 600 600 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
25
DirectSpendingChg
Source:CongressionalBudgetOffice(CBO)http://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/cbofiles/attachments/American%20Taxpayer%20Relief%20Act.pdf
PossibleImpactofFiscalPolicyonGDPGrowth
December31,2011throughDecember31,2013Estimates
EffectonGDPgrowthfromFederal,StateandLocalfiscalpolicy:
Source:GoldmanSachsGlobalEconomics,CommoditiesandStrategyResearchPublishedJanuary2,2013
26
ObligatoryDebtCeilingChart
December10,2010throughJanuary4,2013
Source:BiancoResearch,LLC,WeekofJanuary2,2013
27
Q1/Q2GDPForecastsTrendingDown
Source:BiancoResearch,LLC,WeekofJanuary2,2013
28
WhatContributedtotheFiscalCliff?
Source:WallStreetjournalHowBigDeficitsBecametheNorm,December18,2012 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324677204578185451218436548.html
29
U.S.DollarIndexSpot
YearEnd2007throughJanuary8,2013
30
GlobalCurrencySpotPriceRankings
FortheYear2012
Source:BloombergFinancialServices,DoubleLineCapitalLP
31
JapaneseIndexvs.S&P500Growthof$1
December31,1979throughDecember31,2012
32 Source:BloombergFinancialServices,DoubleLineCapitalLP
JapaneseIndexvs.S&P500Growthof$1
December31,1989throughDecember31,2012
33 Source:BloombergFinancialServices,DoubleLineCapitalLP
12MonthUSD/JPYvs.5yearUSD/JPY
AsofJanuary8,2013
34
Source:BloombergFinancialServices,DoubleLineCapitalLP Aninvestmentcannotbemadedirectlyinanindex.
GoldSpotIndex
YearEnd2007throughJanuary8,2013
Source:BloombergFinancialServices,DoubleLineCapitalLP Aninvestmentcannotbemadedirectlyinanindex.
35
CRBCommodityIndex
YearEnd2007throughJanuary7,2013
36
ShanghaiIndex
YearEnd2007throughJanuary8,2013
37
EmergingMarketsETFvs.S&P500
January9,2012throughJanuary8,2013
38
S&PIndex
YearEnd2009throughJanuary8,2013
39
GlobalEquitiesvs.US
January4,2012throughJanuary3,2013
40
S&P500IndexandShanghaiIndex
December31,2008throughJanuary4,2013
41
10YearUSTreasuryYield
YearEnd2007throughJanuary8,2013
Source:BloombergFinancialServices Pleaseseetheappendixfordefinition.
42
InvestmentGradeIndexYields
YearEnd2007throughJanuary8,2013
43
RelativeGrowthofMerrillCorporateIndexto MerrillTreasuryIndex
1.40
1.30 1 30
1.20
1.10
1.00
0.90 0 90
Trend
0.80
1SigmaRelativetoTrend
2SigmasRelativetoTrend
Corporate/Treasury
44 DataSource:MerrillLynch(C0A0;G0Q0);Monthlydatawithmostrecentobservationappended.
HighYieldIndexYields
YearEnd1994throughJanuary7,2013
45
RelativeGrowthofMerrillHighYieldCashPayIndexto Merrill15+YearTreasuriesIndex
1.30 1.20
1.10
1.00 1 00
0.90
0.80
0.70
0.60
Trend
1SigmaRelativetoTrend
2SigmasRelativetoTrend
HighYield/15+yr Treasury
0.50 0 50
46 DataSource:MerrillLynch(J0A0;G0Q0);Monthlydatawithmostrecentobservationappended.
RelativeGrowthofMerrillMortgageIndexto MerrillTreasuryIndex y
1.15
1.10
1.05
1.00
0.95
Trend
0.90 0 90
1SigmaRelativetoTrend
2SigmasRelativetoTrend
Mortgage/Treasury
47 DataSource:MerrillLynch(M0A0;G0Q0);Monthlydatawithmostrecentobservationappended.
RelativeGrowthofMerrillUSMunicipalIndexto Merrill1015YearTreasuryIndex y
1.10
1.05
1.00
0.95
0.90
0.85
0.80
0.75
Trend
0.70
1SigmaRelativetoTrend
2SigmasRelativetoTrend
Municipal/1015yr Treasury
48 DataSource:MerrillLynch(U0A0;G7O2);Monthlydatawithmostrecentobservationappended.
RelativeGrowthofMerrillEmergingMarketIndexto MerrillTreasuryIndex y
3.50
3.00 3 00
2.50
2.00
1.50 1 50
1.00
0.50
Trend
1SigmaRelativetoTrend
2SigmasRelativetoTrend
EmergingMarket/Treasury
0.00
49 DataSource:MerrillLynch(IGOV;G0Q0);Monthlydatawithmostrecentobservationappended.
AgeofFarmers,US
Source:USDepartmentofAgriculture(USDA),GoldmanSachsThebestofFortnightThoughts,December13,2012
50
CornBushelYield
51
Source:BiancoResearch
CornStocksUseRatio
Source:BloombergFinancialServices
52
TABIII
HousingandMBSMarketTrends
HomeownershipRate
5454
MortgageRefinancingIndex
5555
30YearU.S.MortgageRates
5656
HomePriceIndexLevelsandYearOverYearChange
Source:BloombergFinancialServices,CaseShiller S&P/CaseShillerHomePriceIndexiscomprisedofpricechangeswithinthefollowingsubsetof20metropolitanmarkets:10City I d S& /C Shill H i I d i i d f i h i hi h f ll i b f 20 li k 10 Ci IndexBoston,Chicago,Denver,LasVegas,Los Chi L V L Angeles,Miami,NewYork,SanDiego,SanFranciscoandWashingtonDC.Inadditiontothe10CityIndexitincludes:Atlanta,Charlotte,Cleveland,Dallas,Detroit,Minneapolis, Phoenix,Portland,Seattle,andTampa. CoreLogicNationalHousingPriceIndex(HPI)=CoreLogicisaleadingproviderofinformationandanalytics.Thisindexcovers 6,208zipcodes,572statisticalareasand1,027 countieslocatedinall50statesandDistrictofColumbia.Itisanationalaverage. Aninvestmentcannotbemadedirectlyinanindex.
57
57
HomePricesinMajorUSMetropolitanAreas
58
ABXAAA071Index
59
NonAgencyRMBS60++DelinquencyRate
January31,2005throughNovember30,2012
60%
40%
24.1%
11.3% 10%
0%
60
NonAgencyRMBSConditionalDefaultRate
January31,2005throughNovember30,2012
18% 16% 14% CDR Januar ry2005throughNo ovember2012 12% 9.8% 10% 8% 6% Prime 4% 2% 0% AltA Subprime
9.9%
4.7%
61
NonAgencyRMBSLossSeverity
January31,2005throughNovember30,2012 y , g ,
90% Prime 80% AltA 70% LossSeverity January2 2005throughNovember2012 60% 58.5% 50% 47.4% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Subprime 71.9%
62
NonAgencyRMBSConditionalRepaymentRate
January31,2005throughNovember30,2012
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
10%
63
2013MarketOutlook YearoftheSnake
LiveWebcasthostedby:
JeffreyGundlach
ChiefExecutiveOfficer
January8,2013
Announcements WebcastNews
PhilipBarach January22,2013 p y
LowDuration BuildingPortfolioHorizons 1:15pmPDT/4:15pmEDT
TABVI TAB VI
Appendix
IndexDescriptions
BarclaysCapitalUSAggregateIndex TheBarclaysCapitalUSAggregateIndexrepresentssecuritiesthatareSECregistered, taxable,anddollardenominated.Theindex
coverstheUSinvestmentgradefixedratebondmarket,withindexcomponentsforgovernmentandcorporatesecurities,mortgagepassthroughsecurities,andassetbacked securities.Thesemajorsectorsaresubdividedintomorespecificindicesthatarecalculatedandreportedonaregularbasis.
BarclaysCapitalUSTreasuryIndex ThisindexistheUSTreasurycomponentoftheUSGovernmentindex.PublicobligationsoftheUSTreasurywitharemaining
maturityofoneyearormore.
BarclaysCapitalUSTreasury2YearIndex Thisindexisthe2yearcomponentoftheUSGovernmentindex. BarclaysCapitalUSTreasury5YearIndex Thisindexisthe5yearcomponentoftheUSGovernmentindex. BarclaysCapitalUSTreasury7YearIndex Thisindexisthe7yearcomponentoftheUSGovernmentindex. l C i l S d BarclaysCapitalUSTreasury10YearIndex Thisindexisthe10yearcomponentoftheUSGovernmentindex. BarclaysCapitalCapitalUSTreasury30YearIndex Thisindexisthe30yearcomponentoftheUSGovernmentindex. BarclaysCapitalUSHighYieldIndex TheBarclaysCapitalUSHighYieldIndexcoverstheuniverseoffixedrate,noninvestmentgradedebt.Eurobondsanddebtissuer
fromcountriesdesignatedasemergingmarkets(e.g.Argentina,Brazil,Venezuela,etc.)areexcluded,butCanadianandglobal bonds(SECregistered)ofissuersinnonEMGcountries areincluded.Originalissuezereos,stepupcouponstructures,144Asandpayinkind(PIK,asofOctober1,2009)arealsoincluded.
BofAMerrillLynchUSGovernmentIndex(GOAO) TheMerrillLynchUSGovernmentIndextrackstheperformanceofUSgovernment(i.e.securitiesinthe
TreasuryandAgencyindices.)
BofAMerrillLynchUSCorporateIndex(COAO)InvestmentGrade TheMerrillLynchCorporateIndextrackstheperformanceofUSdollardenominated investmentgradecorporatedebtpubliclyissuedintheUSdomesticmarket.Qualifyingsecuritiesmusthaveaninvestmentgraderating(basedonanaverageofMoodys,S&Pand Fitch)andaninvestmentgraderatedcountryofrisk(basedonanaverageofMoodys,S&PandFitchforeigncurrencylongtermsovereigndebtratings).Securitiesmusthaveatleast oneyearremainingtermtofinalmaturity,afixedcouponscheduleandaminimumamountoutstandingof$250MM. BofAMerrillLynchUSAllConvertiblesIndex(VOSO) TheMerrillLynchAllConvertibleIndexisaruledrivenindex.whichincludesallbondsandpreferredstocks BofA Merrill Lynch US All Convertibles Index (VOSO) Th M ill L h All C tibl I d i l di i d hi h i l d ll b d d f d t k ofU.S.registeredcompanies,whichhave$50millionormoreinaggregatemarketvalueandareconvertiblesinU.S.dollardenominatedcommonstocks,ADRsorcashequivalents. Pleasenoteaninvestorcannotinvestdirectlyinanindex. BofAMerrillLynchMunicipalMasterIndex(UOAO) TheMerrillLynchUSMunicipalSecuritiesIndextrackstheperformanceofUSdollardenominated investmentgradetaxexemptdebtpublicallyissuedbyUSstatesandterritories,andtheirpoliticalsubdivisions,intheUSdomesticmarket. CRBCommodityIndex Anunweightedgeometricaverageofsomeimportantcommodities.Itaveragespricesacross17commoditiesandacrosstime.The
indextracksenergy,grains,industrials,livestock,preciousmetals,andagriculturals. index tracks energy grains industrials livestock precious metals and agriculturals S&P500 S&P500isafreefloatcapitalizationweightedindexpublishedsince1957ofthepricesof500largecapcommonstocksactively tradedintheUnited States. StandardDeviation Sigma=standarddeviation.Itshowshowmuchvariationthereisfromtheaverage(mean,orexpected/budgetedvalue).Alow standarddeviationindicatedthatthedatapointtendtobeveryclosetothemean,whereashighstandarddeviationindicated thatthedateisspreadoutovera largerangeofvalues. DowJones UBSDJCommodityIndex TheDowJonesUBS CommodityindexiscomposedofcommoditiestradedonU.S.exchanges,withthe Dow Jones UBS DJ Commodity Index The Dow Jones UBS Commodity index is composed of commodities traded on U S exchanges with the exceptionofaluminum,nickelandzinc,whichtradeontheLondonMetalExchange(LME). BofA/MerrillLynchMexicanGovernmentIndex(GDMX) TheindextrackstheperformanceofUSDdenominatedsovereigndebtpubliclyissuedbytheMexican governmentintheMexicandomesticmarket.Fixedratesecuritieswithminimumoneyearmaturityremaining. 67 BofA/MerrillLynchUnitedKingdomGovernmentIndex(GOLO) TheindextrackstheperformanceofGBPdenominatedsovereigndebtpubliclyissuedbytheUK governmentinitsdomesticmarket.Fixedratesecuritieswithminimumoneyearmaturityremaining.
IndexDescriptions
BofAMerrillLynchUSDollarEmergingMarketsSovereignPlusIndex(IGOV)
ThisindextrackstheperformanceofUSdollardenominatedemergingmarketandcrossoversovereigndebtpubliclyissuedintheeurobondorUSdomesticmarket.Qualifying countriesmusthaveaBB1orlowerforeigncurrencylongtermsovereigndebtrating(basedonanaverageofMoodys,S&P,andFitch).
BofAMerrillLynchU.S.HighYieldCashPayIndex(J0A0)BelowInvestmentGrade
TheMerrillLynchHighYieldIndextrackstheperformanceofUSdollardenominatedbelowinvestmentgradecorporatedebt,currentlyinacouponpayingperiod,thatispubliclyissued intheUSdomesticmarket.Qualifyingsecuritiesmusthaveabelowinvestmentgraderating(basedonanaverageofMoodys,S&PandFirthforeigncurrencylongtermsovereigndebt ratings).Musthaveoneyearremainingtofinalmaturityandaminimumoutstandingamountof$100MM.
BofAMerrillLynchInternationalGovernmentIndex(NOGO)
TheMerrillLynchInternationalIndextrackstheperformanceofAustralia,Canadian,French,German,Japan,Dutch,SwissandUKinvestmentgradesovereigndebtpubliclyissuedand denominatedintheissuersowndomesticmarketandcurrency.Qualifyingsecuritiesmusthaveatleastoneyearremainingtermtofinalmaturity,afixedcouponscheduleanda minimumamountoutstanding.
BofAMerrillLynchMortgageBackedSecuritiesIndex(MOA0)
ThisindextrackstheperformanceofUSdollardenominatedfixedrateandhybridresidentialmortgagepass throughsecuritiespubliclyissuedbyUSagenciesintheUSdomestic This index tracks the performance of US dollar denominated fixed rate and hybrid residential mortgage passthrough securities publicly issued by US agencies in the US domestic market.30year,20year,15yearandinterestonlyfixedratemortgagepoolsareincludedintheIndexprovidedtheyhaveatleastoneyearremainingtermtofinalmaturityanda minimumamountoutstandingofatleast$5billionpergenericcouponand$250MMperproductionyearwithineachgenericcoupon.
BofAMerrillLynchU.S.MunicipalSecuritiesIndex(UOA0)
ThisindextrackstheperformanceofUSdollardenominatedinvestmentgradetaxexemptdebtpubliclyissuedbyUSstatesandterritories,andtheirpoliticalsubdivisions,intheUS domesticmarket.Qualifyingsecuritiesmusthaveatleastoneyearremainingtermtofinalmaturity,afixedcouponscheduleand aninvestmentgraderating(basedonMoodys,S&P andFitch).Minimumsizevarybasedontheinitialtermtofinalmaturityattimeofissuance.
BarclaysCapitalGlobalEmergingMarketsIndex TheBarclaysCapitalGlobalEmergingMarketsIndexrepresentstheunionoftheUSDdenominatedUSEmerging B l C it l Gl b l E i M k t I d MarketsindexandthepredominatelyEURdenominatedPanEuroEmergingMarketsIndex,coveringemergingmarketsinthefollowingregions:Americas,Europe,MiddleEast,Africa, andAsia.AswithotherfixedincomebenchmarksprovidedbyBarclaysCapital,theindexisrulesbased,whichallowsforanunbiasedviewofthemarketplaceandeasyreplicability. JPMorganInvestmentGradeCorporateIndex JPMorganInvestmentGradeCorporateIndexincludesperformanceofUSdollardenominatedinvestmentgrade corporatedebtpubliclyissuedintheUSdomesticmarket.Qualifyingsecuritiesmusthaveaninvestmentgraderating(basedonanaverageofMoodys,S&PandFitch)andan investmentgraderatedcountryofrisk(basedonanaverageofMoodys,S&PandFitchforeigncurrencylongtermsovereigndebtratings).Securitiesmusthaveatleastoneyear remainingtermtofinalmaturity,afixedcouponscheduleandaminimumamountoutstandingof$250MM. g y p g CPI
ConsumerPriceIndex.Ameasurethatexaminestheweightedaverageofpricesofabasketofconsumergoodsandservices,such astransportation,foodandmedicalcare.
BofA/MerrillLynchGermanGovernmentIndex(GODO) TheindextrackstheperformanceofEURdenominatedsovereigndebtpubliclyissuedbytheGermangovernmentin
theGermandomesticoreurobondmarket.Fixedratesecuritieswithminimumoneyearmaturityremaining.
IndexDescriptions
BofAMerrillLynchUSTreasuryIndex(G0Q0)TheMerrillLynchUSTreasuryIndextrackstheperformanceofUSdollardenominatedsovereigndebtpublicly BofA Merrill Lynch US Treasury Index (G0Q0) The Merrill Lynch US Treasury Index tracks the performance of US dollar denominated sovereign debt publicly issuedbytheUSgovernmentinitsdomesticmarket.Qualifyingsecuritiesmusthaveatleastoneyearremainingtermtofinal maturity,afixedcouponschedule andaminimumamountoutstandingof$1billion. BofAMerrillLynchUS1015YearTreasuryIndexLongTreasuryTheMerrillLynchUS1015TreasuryIndextrackstheperformanceofUSdollardenominated10 15yearsovereigndebtpubliclyissuedbytheUSgovernmentinitsdomesticmarket.ItisasubsetoftheBofAMerrillLynchU.S.TreasuryIndex(GOQO). BofA/MerrillLynchHighYieldCashPayCCCratedIndex(JOA3) .AcomponentoftheBofA/MerrillLynchHighYieldCashPayIndexconcentratingonCCCrated HighYieldcreditonly. g y BofA/MerrillLynchHighYieldCashPayBBratedIndex(JOA1) .AcomponentoftheBofA/MerrillLynchHighYieldCashPayIndexconcentratingonBBrated HighYieldcreditonly. BofA/MerrillLynchHighYieldCashPayBratedIndex(JOA2) .AcomponentoftheBofA/MerrillLynchHighYieldCashPayIndexconcentratingonBratedHigh Yieldcreditonly. BofA/MerrillLynchCreditIndexBBBratedIndex(COA4) .AcomponentoftheBofA/MerrillLynchCreditIndexconcentratingonthelowerratedBBB investmentgradecredits. BofA/MerrillLynchCreditIndexAratedIndex(COA3) AcomponentoftheBofA/MerrillLynchCreditIndexconcentratingontheAratedinvestmentgrade BofA/Merrill Lynch Credit Index A rated Index (COA3) . A component of the BofA/Merrill Lynch Credit Index concentrating on the A rated investment grade credits. BofA/MerrillLynchCreditIndexAAAratedIndex(COA1) .AcomponentoftheBofA/MerrillLynchCreditIndexconcentratingonthehighestratedAAA investmentgradecredits. DowJones UBSCommodityIndex TheDowJonesUBS CommodityindexiscomposedofcommoditiestradedonU.S.exchanges,withtheexceptionof aluminum,nickelandzinc,whichtradeontheLondonMetalExchange(LME). ShanghaiIndex TheShanghaiStockExchangeCompositeisacapitalization weightedindextrackingdailypriceperformanceofallAandB shareslistedonthe Shanghai Index The Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite is a capitalizationweighted index tracking daily price performance of all A and Bshares listed on the ShanghaiStockExchange.ThisindexwasdevelopedDecember19,1990withabasevalueof100. S&P/CaseShillerCompositeHomePriceIndex TheCaseShillerHomePriceIndices,onecomprisedofpricechangeswithinall20metropolitanmarkets,and anothercomprisedofpricechangeswithinthefollowingsubsetof10metropolitanmarkets:Boston,Chicago,Denver,LasVegas,LosAngeles,Miami,NewYork, SanDiego,SanFranciscoandWashingtonDC.Inadditiontothose10markets,the20HomePriceindexreflectspricechangesforAtlanta,Charlotte,Dallas,Detroit, Minneapolis,Phoenix,Portland,SeattleandTampa. DowJonesIndustrialAverage AlsoknownastheDOWisastockmarketindexthatincludes30largepublicallyownedcompaniesbasedintheU.S.havetraded duringastandardtradingsessioninthestockmarket. NASDAQ Acomputerizedsystemthatfacilitatestradingandprovidespricequotationsonmorethan5,000ofthemoreactivelytradedover thecounterstocks. Createdin1971,theNasdaqwastheworld'sfirstelectronicstockmarket. Transports TheIndustrialsSectorincludescompanieswhosebusinessesaredominatedbyoneofthefollowingactivities:Themanufactureand distributionof capitalgoods,includingaerospace&defense,construction,engineering&buildingproducts,electricalequipmentandindustrial machinery Utilities Apublicutilityisabusinessthatfurnishesaneverydaynecessitytothepublicatlarge.Publicutilitiesprovidewater,electricity,naturalgas,telephone service,andotheressentials.Utilitiesmaybepubliclyorprivatelyowned,butmostareoperatedasprivatebusinesses. service and other essentials Utilities may be publicly or privately owned but most are operated as private businesses BasisPoint Abasispointisaunitthatisequalto1/100th of1%,andisusedtodenotethechangeinafinancialinstrument. REIT RealEstateTrust.Asecuritythatsellslikeastockonthemajorexchangesandinvestsinrealestatedirectly,eitherthrough propertiesormortgages Duration Durationisacommonlyusedmeasureofthepotentialvolatilityofthepriceofadebtsecurity,ortheaggregatemarketvalueofaportfolioofdebt 69 securities,priortomaturity.Securitieswithalongerdurationgenerallyhavemorevolatilepricesthansecuritiesofcomparablequalitywithashorterduration.
Disclaimer
ImportantInformationRegardingThisReport
Issueselectionprocessesandtoolsillustratedthroughoutthispresentationaresamplesandmaybemodifiedperiodically.Suchchartsarenottheonlytoolsused bytheinvestmentteams,areextremelysophisticated,maynotalwaysproducetheintendedresultsandarenotintendedforusebynonprofessionals. DoubleLinehasnoobligationtoproviderevisedassessmentsintheeventofchangedcircumstances.Whilewehavegatheredthisinformationfromsources believedtobereliable,DoubleLinecannotguaranteetheaccuracyoftheinformationprovided.Securitiesdiscussedarenotrecommendationsandarepresented asexamplesofissueselectionorportfoliomanagementprocesses.Theyhavebeenpickedforcomparisonorillustrationpurposesonly.Nosecuritypresented withiniseitherofferedforsaleorpurchase.DoubleLinereservestherighttochangeitsinvestmentperspectiveandoutlook withoutnoticeasmarketconditions dictateorasadditionalinformationbecomesavailable.
ImportantInformationRegardingRiskFactors
Investmentstrategiesmaynotachievethedesiredresultsduetoimplementationlag,othertimingfactors,portfoliomanagementdecisionmaking,economicor marketconditionsorotherunanticipatedfactors.Theviewsandforecastsexpressedinthismaterialareasofthedateindicated,aresubjecttochangewithout notice,maynotcometopassanddonotrepresentarecommendationorofferofanyparticularsecurity,strategy,orinvestment. Pastperformanceisno notice ma not come to pass and do not represent a recommendation or offer of an partic lar sec rit strateg or in estment Past performance is no guaranteeoffutureresults.
ImportantInformationRegardingDoubleLine
Inpreparingtheclientreports(andinmanagingtheportfolios),DoubleLineanditsvendorspriceseparateaccountportfolio securitiesusingvarioussources, includingindependentpricingservicesandfairvalueprocessessuchasbenchmarking. ToreceiveacomplimentarycopyofDoubleLinescurrentFormADVPart(whichcontainsimportantadditionaldisclosureinformation),acopyoftheDoubleLines proxyvotingpoliciesandprocedures,ortoobtainadditionalinformationonDoubleLine sproxyvotingdecisions,pleasecontact DoubleLine sClientServices. proxy voting policies and procedures or to obtain additional information on DoubleLines proxy voting decisions please contact DoubleLines Client Services
ImportantInformationRegardingDoubleLinesInvestmentStyle
DoubleLineseekstomaximizeinvestmentresultsconsistentwithourinterpretationofclientguidelinesandinvestmentmandate.WhileDoubleLineseeksto maximizereturnsforourclientsconsistentwithguidelines,DoubleLinecannotguaranteethatDoubleLinewilloutperformaclient'sspecifiedbenchmark. Additionally,thenatureofportfoliodiversificationimpliesthatcertainholdingsandsectorsinaclient'sportfoliomayberisinginpricewhileothersarefalling;or, thatsomeissuesandsectorsareoutperformingwhileothersareunderperforming.Suchoutorunderperformancecanbetheresultofmanyfactors,suchasbut notlimitedtoduration/interestrateexposure,yieldcurveexposure,bondsectorexposure,ornewsorrumorsspecifictoasinglename. / p ,y p , p , p g DoubleLineisanactivemanagerandwilladjustthecompositionofclientsportfoliosconsistentwithourinvestmentteamsjudgmentconcerningmarket conditionsandanyparticularsecurity.TheconstructionofDoubleLineportfoliosmaydiffersubstantiallyfromtheconstruction ofanyofavarietyofbondmarket indices.Assuch,aDoubleLineportfoliohasthepotentialtounderperformoroutperformabondmarketindex.Sincemarketscanremaininefficientlypricedfor longperiods,DoubleLinesperformanceisproperlyassessedoverafullmultiyearmarketcycle. Diversification doesnotassureaprofitorprotectagainstalossinadecliningmarket. Opinionsexpressedaresubjecttochangeatanytime,arenotaguaranteeandshouldnotbeconsideredinvestmentadvice. O i i d bj h i d h ld b id d i d i 2012DoubleLineCapitalLP 70
Announcements WebcastNews
PhilipBarach January22,2013 p y
LowDuration BuildingPortfolioHorizons 1:15pmPDT/4:15pmEDT