Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Group Strategy
Investor Day
Stuart Gulliver Group Chief Executive
Forward-looking statements
This presentation and subsequent discussion may contain certain forward-looking statements with respect to the financial condition, results of operations and business of the Group. These forwardlooking statements represent the Groups expectations or beliefs concerning future events and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainty that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Additional detailed information concerning important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially is available in our Annual Report and Accounts 2010. Past performance cannot be relied on as a guide to future performance. This presentation contains non-GAAP financial information. Reconciliation of non-GAAP financial information to the most directly comparable measures under GAAP are provided in the Reconciliation of reported and underlying profit before tax supplement available at www.hsbc.com.
Context
+542%
+81%
1995
Outperformance vs. market
2000
2005
Flat vs. market
2010
Resilient in the financial crisis
2011 May
1 Includes capital appreciation and dividends. Calculation is adjusted for equity raisings Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream
II
Action plan addressing growth and cost efficiency across geographies and businesses
III
33
8.9% CAGR
US France Brazil
14 6
Canada Korea Ireland Russia India Germany Taiwan Hong Kong 2020 UK Japan China
2000
2010
1 Merchandise Exports 2 Positive value means funding surplus, negative value means funding gap Source: Global Insights, McKinsey & Company and World Economic Forum, More Credit with Fewer Crises: Responsibly meeting the Worlds growing demand for credit page 49, exhibit 25: Funding gap or surplus for selected countries, (http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_NR_More_credit_fewer_crises_2011.pdf)
106
Largest countries
57
China India Brazil Mexico Turkey Other 14 emerging US Japan Germany UK France Canada Other 5 developed
20 7 2 2 2 14 18 5 3 3 2 2 4
19 of the top 30 economies in 2050 will be from currently deemed emerging markets
37 10
49 27
2010
2050
1 2050 GDP estimated for top 30 countries, 2050 world GDP estimated by assuming top 30 maintain same share of total world GDP as 2010 of 85% Source: HSBC The World in 2050: Quantifying the shift in the global economy
HSBC has exposure to markets with strong fundamentals driving wealth creation
Income per capita in 2050
USD thousands Multiple over 2010 income
24.6 22.3 8.2 6.4 3.7 3.6 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.3 2.1 5
17 55
14 22 41 51 22
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Europe (32%) Hong Kong (14%) Rest of Asia Pacific (13%) MENA (3%) North America (24%) Latin America (14%) PFS (44%) CMB (19%) GBM (27%) GPB (4%) Other (6%)
One of the largest deposit base in the World2 with an A/D ratio below 80%
1 Intra-HSBC revenue has not been eliminated in the preparation of these charts. Intra-HSBC revenue includes revenue between geographic regions and revenue between customer groups and global businesses. HSBC's Balance Sheet Management business, reported within Global Banking and Markets, provides funding to trading businesses 2 Including Chinese and Japanese banks, HSBC has the 3rd largest deposit franchise
10
(2.2) (5.8)
(18.7)
(17.5)
Dec 2008
Jun 2010
Dec 2010
Mar 2011
Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Mar 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011
1 Excludes reverse repo balances 2 Available-for-sale fair value reserve in respect of asset-backed securities 3 Write off period changed from 240 days to 180 days
11
Evolving regulation resulting in higher capital requirements which, in light of continued uncertainty, we assume to be 9.5-10.5% Common Equity Tier 1 under Basel III HSBC can comfortably meet Basel III capital requirements CER of 55% for 2010 (in Q1 2011, 61%, or 55% excluding notable items and FVOD) is well above target range and unacceptable
Efficiency
There is a programme of sustainable cost saves planned to bring cost efficiency within the target range by 2013 ROE of 9.5% for 2010, with some of the assets not delivering the desired target return (e.g., North America) of 12-15% Persistent low interest rate environment impacting profitability
Profitability
II
Action plan addressing growth and cost efficiency across geographies and businesses
III
13
Presence in key markets that matter for international connectivity Businesses that are internationally connected: GBM hub-and-spoke model with global reach CMB provides a full range of commercial financial services to companies in 60+ markets Investment opportunities in fast growing and mature markets Wealth creation in most relevant markets (18 key markets) Focus on retail banking only in markets where we can achieve profitable scale: Large scale positions (Hong Kong and UK) High growth markets (e.g., Mexico, Singapore, Turkey, Brazil) Leading market shares in small geographies
Strategy provides a clear framework to review our portfolio and achieve higher discipline in capital allocation
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Resulting actions
Yes High No
Invest
Large turnaround efforts (e.g. US) Turnaround/ Focus business and improve operational efficiency Improvement (e.g. Increase efficiency in France)
Continue as is
Markets delivering appropriate returns that are not critical to our strategy
Discontinue/ dispose
Disposal and/or closure of non-strategic businesses that cannot be credibly turned around (e.g. Retail Banking in Russia)
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II
USD2.5-3.5bn of sustainable cost saves targeted over the next 3 years Achieve 48-52% CER by 2013 Sustainable cost saves will facilitate: Growth in key markets Investment in new products, processes and technology Provide buffer against regulatory and inflationary headwinds Positive jaws
3
Re-engineer Processes Streamline IT
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II
Emerging markets-led, financing focused with greater emphasis on connectivity GBM key financials PBT, USDbn Total PBT07-10: USD29.6bn
6.1 3.5 10.5 9.5
Position
Business built organically and run as a global business Reached new base level of USD9-10bn in 2009/10 with additional upside for growth Strong emphasis on connecting faster growing markets, in particular with Europe
Strategic actions
08
09
2010
Improve client coverage (e.g., selective hiring) Enhance core product strengths (e.g., FX, commodities) and selectively develop new capabilities (e.g., equities) Increase penetration of product solutions into broader customer base (e.g., USD1bn of incremental revenue from CMB customer base) Achieve sustainable cost saves (e.g., integrate technology trading platforms)
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II
Strengthen our position as the leading international trade and business bank CMB key financials PBT, USDbn Total PBT07-10: USD24.7bn
7.1 7.2 4.3 6.1
Position
Heritage of the Group in international trade Organic growth since the Groups foundation Present in 60+ markets
Strategic actions
08
09
2010
Expand presence in key faster growing markets Capture growth in International SMEs leveraging network, capabilities and scale Collaborate with GBM to capture Mid-market opportunity in FX, derivatives and Global Capital Financing
II
World class banking and wealth solutions PFS key historical financials (going forward RBWM1) PBT, USDbn Total PBT07-10: USD-3.7bn Position Global propositions: Premier and Advance Top 15 markets concentrate majority of profits Strategic actions Wealth Management Develop world class wealth management for retail consumers focusing on 18 key markets (USD4bn in additional revenues) Build sustainable non funds income Up-skill RMs, invest in product platform and deepen client relationships Retail Banking Grow retail banking in key markets where we have or can achieve scale (e.g., Mexico, Turkey) Standardise banking propositions and operating models to reduce complexity Portfolio Management Exit sub-scale markets (e.g., Retail Banking in Russia)
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5.9
09
2010
II
Become the worlds leading international private bank GPB key financials PBT, USDbn Total PBT07-10: USD5.1bn Position
1.5
1.4
1.1
1.1
Well established footprint and in most attractive growth markets, particularly Asia Efficient platform to deliver full range of solutions Vigorous actions taken to address data security issues
Strategic actions 2007 2010 Metrics CER: 66% RWAs: USD25bn RoRWA: 4.0% 08 09 2010
Focus on domestic and the faster growing markets in Asia, Middle East and Latin America as legacy offshore business becomes less relevant Leverage intra-group connectivity (RBWM feeder, CMB referrals, GBM partnership) Grow annuity revenues and invest in platform for improved efficiency
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II
North America
To build an internationally connected, sustainable business model, aligned with overall group strategy
Strategic market Present Not present
North America
In the US, explore other options to reallocate capital: Finance business in run-off except for cards Cards and Retail Services (USD33bn in customer loans) Part of the branch network (currently total of 475 branches) Invest in network in internationally connected areas Capture internationalisation opportunity for small and mid-market US companies Strengthen New York as GBM hub for the Americas Strong Canadian franchise focused on international connectivity generating USD0.9bn PBT in 2010
North America 2010 PBT USD0.5bn CER 49% RWAs USD331bn RoRWA 0.1%
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II
Latin America
Becoming the leading international bank serving key growth segments and markets
Strategic market Present Not present
Latin America
Position to capture social mobility and wealth creation opportunity Organic growth in Brazil, Mexico and Argentina Review opportunities to reallocate capital from less strategic and underperforming businesses Leverage CMB and GBM competitive strength across the region Costs efficiency and delayering
Latin America 2010 PBT USD1.8bn CER 66% RWAs USD96bn RoRWA 2.0%
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II
Europe
Continue to develop Wealth Management through Premier, Advance and other key products, e.g., mortgages Be the UKs leading bank for international businesses Evaluate the impact of ICB: potential ringfencing of retail operations
Continental Europe
Europe 2010 PBT USD4.3bn CER 68% RWAs USD302bn RoRWA 1.3%
Restructure sub-scale continental European operations (e.g., Retail Banking in Russia) Focus mature European markets on connectivity France: Accelerate Wealth Management strategy, while reducing costs and increase role of Paris as a GBM hub Germany: Focus on large internationally connected corporates, taking advantage of German business momentum Turkey: Capture growth opportunities in Retail and CMB
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II
The leading international bank connecting Middle East and North Africa with the rest of the world and capturing its wealth opportunity
Align coverage of both individuals and corporates to capture trickledown of wealth Leverage regional and global footprint to capture East-to-East trade flows and FDI opportunities Maintain leadership in Islamic Finance products
MENA 2010 PBT USD0.9bn CER 45% RWAs USD54bn RoRWA 1.6%
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II
Asia
Maintain leadership in Hong Kong Continued leadership as Chinas top foreign bank Be the leading international bank for RMB worldwide Build on historic success of investment in associates and expand successful strategic partnership with BoCom Pursue Shanghai listing
India
Continue to capture strong growth in GBM and CMB (PBT grew 3x from 2005-2010) Continue to expand distribution to capture the retail opportunity e.g., RBS acquisition1
Other Markets
Invest for growth in further key markets: Singapore, Malaysia and Indonesia Focus resources selectively in other markets to maintain leadership in connectivity
1 Subject to Regulatory approval
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III
III
Muhammad Al Tuwaijri
Peter Boyles
Pat Burke
Simon Cooper
John Coverdale
Christophe de Backer
Irene Dorner
Conrado Engel
John Flint
David Fried
Joe Garner
Naina Kidwai
Mark McCombe
Chris Meares
Sean OSullivan
Luis Pena
Russell Picot
Andreas Schmitz
In summary
Distinctive position Clear strategy and execution focus
Strategy drives investment priorities and capital allocation
Action plan addressing growth and cost efficiency across geographies and businesses
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Report card
Key execution elements Actions (examples) Five filters driving disposals and closures of non-strategic and/or underperforming positions/businesses Turnaround of strategically relevant businesses In 12 months progress on1. . . Transactions announced and executed Tangible progress in turnaround actions (e.g., US)
Capital Deployment
Cost efficiency
Material savings Target USD2.5-3.5bn in sustainable identified and being cost saves in 3 years, achieving our 48delivered across the 4 52% CER target by 2013 main programmes Simplify and delayer the organisation Revenue growth in fast growing markets Capture wealth opportunity (USD4bn in additional revenues) Leverage intra-group connectivity between CMB and GBM (USD1bn of additional revenues) Income growth particularly in Asia and Latin America Wealth and GBM/CMB connectivity
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Growth
Other
RoRWA target for The Europe RoRWA target includes the Groups head office costs, intra-HSBC recharges and the total Europe estimated impact of the UK bank levy RoRWA target for No RoRWA target has been set for the Other customer group as it is not considered to be a meaningful Other measure in terms of performance assessment and resource allocation RWAs for the mainland China associates RWAs for the mainland China associates have been reallocated from the Other customer group to RBWM, CMB and GBM to align better with the basis for the allocation of their profits. This represents a reclassification from the basis used in HSBCs 2010 Pillar 3 Disclosures. Comparative customer group RWAs will be presented on the new basis in the Interim Report 2011
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Core Tier 1 The highest quality form of regulatory capital that capital comprises total shareholders equity and related noncontrolling interests, less goodwill and intangible assets and certain other regulatory adjustments CRD Capital Requirements Directive CRM CVA DCM DTA EBA ECA EM EMEA ESMA Customer relationship management Credit valuation adjustment Debt capital markets Deferred tax asset European Banking Authority Export credit agency Emerging markets Europe, Middle East and Africa European Securities and Markets Authority
Tier 2 capital A component of regulatory capital, comprising qualifying subordinated loan capital, related non-controlling interests, allowable collective impairment allowances and unrealised gains arising on the fair valuation of equity instruments held as available-for-sale. Tier 2 capital also includes reserves arising from the revaluation of properties UHNW Ultra high net worth individuals UK US VaR United Kingdom United States of America Value at risk: a measure of the loss that could occur on risk positions as a result of adverse movements in market risk factors (e.g. rates, prices, volatilities) over a specified time horizon and to a given level of confidence Year on year
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