5) Correlacion Ortogonal

Estimacin de datos faltantes y correccin de datos dudosos
Correlacin ortogonal
PRECIPITACION MAXIMA EN 24 HRS
Estacin Base Potos
Estacin de estudio Tarapaya
Xi
Yi
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
32.2
35.4
20
17.5
21.1
17.2
24
20.8
23.4
24.6
22.4
28.4
28.7
26.4
22.1
32.1
30.2
34.8
19.7
23.0
25.2
20.8
28.7
22.0
15.6
27.6
24.8
24.2
33.6
22.0
20.0
33.6
32.4
24.8
76.7
30.0
27.0
25.2
32.3
31.2
28.0
17
18
19
20
Prom.=

2
X
i 1
Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Potos
Tarapaya
MAX.
MAX.
32.2
35.4
20
17.5
21.1
17.2
24
20.8
23.4
24.6
22.4
28.4
28.7
26.4
22.1
32.1
30.2
34.8
19.7
23.0
20.8
28.7
22.0
15.6
27.6
24.8
24.2
33.6
22.0
20.0
33.6
32.4
24.8
76.7
30.0
27.0
25.2
32.3
31.2
28.0
(Xi-Prom Xi)(Yi-PromYi)
29.025
(X
(Xi)2
(Yi)2
-57.57403644
49
67.648 1036.8 432.64
-3.313595962 104.04 0.1055 1253.2 823.69
36.52928422 27.04 49.349 400
484
103.3714401 59.29 180.23 306.25 243.36
5.841935632 16.81 2.0302 445.21 761.76
33.79889879
64
17.849 295.84 615.04
5.789834819
1.44 23.279 576 585.64
-20.13060566 19.36 20.932 432.64 1129
12.64475223
3.24 49.349 547.56 484
5.41491741
0.36 81.448 605.16 400
-12.81038542 7.84 20.932 501.76 1129
10.80044048 10.24 11.392 806.56 1049.8
14.78701822 12.25 17.849 823.69 615.04
57.21016518
1.44 2272.9 696.96 5882.9
3.022926717
9.61 0.9509 488.41 900
13.99054602 47.61 4.1112 1030.4 728.85
19.12431175
25
14.63 912.04 635.04
31.44132145 92.16 10.727 1211 1043.3
11.96325708 30.25 4.7312 388.09 973.44
2.254697168
4.84 1.0503 529
784
Suma= 274.1571238 585.82 2851.5 13287 19700
n
X )2
(Xi-PromXi)2 (Yi-PromYi)2

2
y
(Y Y )
i 1
Varianza

2
X
(X
i 1
X )2

2
y
(Y Y )
i 1
V(Xi) = 30.833
V(Yi) = 150.08
n
Covarianza
XY
(X
i 1
X ) (Yi Y )
n
C(XY)= 14.429
r
Coeficiente de correlacin
XY
X2 Y2
r(X Y)= 0.2121
Luego
l 2 ( X2 Y2 )l X2 Y2 ( X Y )2 0
1
l
2
X Y -180.9
2
2
* Y XY
4419.1
2
2
X
l1 =
l2 =
29.111
151.8
Pendiente m (para la pendiente se toma el valor maximo)=

XY
m
l2 Y2
m=
-0.119
Ecuacin de la recta
(Y Y ) m( X X )
Y =
-0.119
X+
32.031
Franga de seguridad
d 2 l1
d=
10.791
Y
Y'
Y"
32.031
30.838
29.645
28.452
27.259
26.067
24.874
23.681
22.488
21.295
20.103
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
42.822
41.629
40.436
39.243
38.05
36.858
35.665
34.472
33.279
32.086
30.894
21.24
20.047
18.854
17.661
16.468
15.276
14.083
12.89
11.697
10.504
9.3115
29.111
Correlacin Ortogonal
80.0
70.0
Tarapaya
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Potos
El coeficiente de correlacin es menor que 0,75 por lo que anulamos los puntos que se encuentran
fuera y los que se encuentran cerca de la franja de seguridad:
Correccin N 1
Estacin Base Potos
Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Potos
Tarapaya
MAX.
MAX.
32.2
35.4
20
17.5
21.1
17.2
24
20.8
23.4
24.6
22.4
28.4
28.7
26.4
22.1
32.1
30.2
34.8
19.7
23.0
20.8
28.7
22.0
15.6
27.6
24.8
24.2
33.6
22.0
20.0
33.6
32.4
24.8
76.7
30.0
27.0
25.2
32.3
31.2
28.0
Xi
Yi
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
35.4
28.7
20
22.0
21.1
27.6
17.2
24.8
24
24.2
20.8
33.6
23.4
22.0
22.4
33.6
28.4
32.4
28.7
24.8
22.1
30.0
32.1
27.0
30.2
25.2
34.8
32.3
19.7
31.2
23.0
28.0
Prom.= 25.206 27.962
Varianza
X2
i 1
7.519644597
31.04136982
1.487809089
25.31838804
4.538308073
-24.84099253
10.76945484
-15.82071723
14.17281515
11.04838323
6.329518847
6.653026816
13.79437513
41.61454136
17.8274318
-0.08311399
Suma= 151.370243
103.91
27.105
16.861
64.1
1.455
19.415
3.2625
7.875
10.2
12.206
9.6488
47.524
24.938
92.04
30.319
4.8675
475.73
(X
X )2
y2
(Y Y )
i 1
V(Xi) = 31.715
V(Yi) = 15.414
Covarianza
XY
(X
i 1
X ) (Yi Y )
n
C(XY)= 10.091
r
XY
X2 Y2
r(X Y)= 0.4564
Luego
l 2 ( X2 Y2 )l X2 Y2 ( X Y )2 0
2
X
l1 =
l2 =
1
l
2
2
X Y -47.13
2
2
* Y XY
387.01
10.592
36.536

XY
m
l2 Y2
m=
0.4777
Ecuacin de la recta
(Y Y ) m( X X )
36.536
0.5442
35.549
0.1313
10
14.155
31.783
35.549
31.783
19.693
10
4.1521
0.9314
7.6305
18.815
10.483
0.0014
231.2
(Xi)2
(Yi)2
1253.2
400
445.21
295.84
576
432.64
547.56
501.76
806.56
823.69
488.41
1030.4
912.04
1211
388.09
529
10641
823.69
484
761.76
615.04
585.64
1129
484
1129
1049.8
615.04
900
728.85
635.04
1043.3
973.44
784
12741
(Y Y ) m( X X )
Y =
0.4777
X+
15.92
Franga de seguridad
d 2 l1
d=
6.5092
Y
Y'
Y"
15.92
20.698
25.475
30.253
35.03
39.807
44.585
49.362
54.14
58.917
63.695
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
22.429
27.207
31.984
36.762
41.539
46.317
51.094
55.872
60.649
65.426
70.204
9.411
14.188
18.966
23.743
28.521
33.298
38.076
42.853
47.631
52.408
57.185
Correlacin Ortogonal Corregido 1

50.0
45.0
Tarapaya
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Potos
Correccin N 2
Estacin Base Potos
Xi
Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Yi
Potos
MAX.
32.2
35.4
20
17.5
21.1
17.2
24
20.8
23.4
24.6
22.4
28.4
28.7
26.4
22.1
32.1
30.2
34.8
19.7
23.0
20.8
28.7
22.0
15.6
27.6
24.8
24.2
33.6
22.0
20.0
33.6
32.4
24.8
76.7
30.0
27.0
25.2
32.3
31.2
28.0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
35.4
28.7
21.1
27.6
17.2
24.8
24
24.2
28.4
32.4
28.7
24.8
22.1
30.0
32.1
27.0
30.2
25.2
34.8
32.3
19.7
31.2
23.0
28.0
Prom.= 26.392 28.016
Suma=
6.157761118
2.203647108
29.56441904
9.127645753
8.803655192
7.424609316
8.512790141
5.817877761
10.72593186
36.01762347
21.30334074
0.055749668
145.7150512

2
X
(Xi X )
i 1
2
y
V(Xi) = 36.474
V(Yi) = 8.7729
n
Covarianza
XY
(X
i 1
81.15
28.002
84.487
5.7201
4.0334
5.3284
18.418
32.585
14.503
70.7
44.778
11.503
401.21
Varianza
Tarapaya
MAX.
X ) (Yi Y )
n
C(XY)= 13.247
r
XY
X2 Y2
(Y Y )
i 1
0.4673
0.1734
10.345
14.565
19.216
10.345
3.9345
1.0387
7.9323
18.349
10.135
0.0003
96.502
(Xi)2
(Yi)2
1253.2
445.21
295.84
576
806.56
823.69
488.41
1030.4
912.04
1211
388.09
529
8759.5
823.69
761.76
615.04
585.64
1049.8
615.04
900
728.85
635.04
1043.3
973.44
784
9515.6
XY
X2 Y2
r(X Y)= 0.7405
Luego
l 2 ( X2 Y2 )l X2 Y2 ( X Y )2 0
2
X
l1 =
l2 =
1
l
2
2
X Y -45.25
2
2
* Y XY
144.5
3.4579
41.789

m=
41.789
0.4012
Ecuacin de la recta
(Y Y ) m( X X )
Y =
0.4012
Franga de seguridad
17.427
d 2 l1
3.7191
Y
Y'
Y"
17.427
21.44
25.452
29.464
33.476
37.489
41.501
45.513
49.526
53.538
57.55
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
21.146
25.159
29.171
33.183
37.196
41.208
45.22
49.232
53.245
57.257
61.269
13.708
17.721
21.733
25.745
29.757
33.77
37.782
41.794
45.807
49.819
53.831
Tarapaya
d=
X+
60.0
55.0
50.0
45.0
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
0
20
40
60
Potos
80
100
120
XY
l2 Y2
El coeficiente de correlacin es mayor a 0.75 y por consiguiente es aceptable.

Los valores de las variables estadsticas obtenidas finalmente son los siguientes:
MEDIA X
MEDIA Y
VARIANZA X
VARIANZA Y
COVARIANZA
C. DE CORRELACIN
PENDIENTE RECTA
FACTOR. DE SEGURIDAD
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
26.392
28.016
36.474
8.7729
96.884
0.7405
0.4012
3.7191
Correccin de datos
Ao
1990
1992
1993
1997
1998
1999
2000
2003
Puna
Chico Ch
MAX.
MAX.
32.2
20
17.5
20.8
23.4
24.6
22.4
26.4
30.347
25.452
24.449
25.773
26.816
27.298
26.415
28.02
C(XY)=
r(X Y)=
Luego
l1 =
l2 =
m=
d=
PRECIPITACION MAXIMA EN 24 HRS
Estacin Base Potos
Xi
Yi
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
32.2
35.4
20
17.5
21.1
17.2
24
20.8
23.4
24.6
22.4
28.4
28.7
26.4
22.1
32.1
30.2
34.8
19.7
23.0
25.2
20.4
19.3
19.0
19.4
19.4
16.3
16.1
19.3
20.1
20.2
18.0
14.2
18.57
11.19
17.83
18.25
18.51
17.50
17.66
18.11
17.965
Prom.=

2
X
(X
i 1
X )2
Estacin de estudio Chaquilla
Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Potos
Chaquilla
MAX.
MAX.
32.2
35.4
20
17.5
21.1
17.2
24
20.8
23.4
24.6
22.4
28.4
28.7
26.4
22.1
32.1
30.2
34.8
19.7
23.0
20.4
19.3
19.0
19.4
19.4
16.3
16.1
19.3
20.1
20.2
18.0
14.2
18.57
11.19
17.83
18.25
18.51
17.50
17.66
18.11
(Xi)2
(Yi)2
17.04217232
49
5.9273 1036.8 416.16
13.61287967 104.04 1.7811 1253.2 372.49
5.37989944
27.04 1.0704 400
361
-11.04638955 59.29 2.0581 306.25 376.36
-5.881843789 16.81 2.0581 445.21 376.36
13.32323163
64
2.7736 295.84 265.69
2.238484745
1.44 3.4797 576 259.21
5.872222603 19.36 1.7811 432.64 372.49
-3.842272883 3.24 4.5565 547.56 404.01
-1.340757628 0.36 4.9934 605.16 408.04
-0.096868929 7.84 0.0012 501.76 324
-12.04929265 10.24 14.178 806.56 201.64
2.10298479
12.25 0.361 823.69 344.71
-8.136333194 1.44 45.972 696.96 125.11
0.429915539
9.61 0.0192 488.41 317.79
1.989711857 47.61 0.0832 1030.4 333.2
2.719827359
25
0.2959 912.04 342.6
-4.471531703 92.16 0.217 1211 306.24
1.701394243 30.25 0.0957 388.09 311.74
-0.320659228 4.84 0.0212 529 328.01
Suma= 19.22677464 585.82 91.724 13287 6546.8

2
y
(Y Y )
i 1
Varianza
X2
(X
i 1
X )2
y2
(Y Y )
i 1
V(Xi) = 30.833
V(Yi) = 4.8276
n
Covarianza
XY
(X
i 1
X ) (Yi Y )
n
C(XY)= 1.0119
XY
X2 Y2
r(X Y)= 0.0829
Luego
l 2 ( X2 Y2 )l X2 Y2 ( X Y )2 0
1
l
2
-35.66
X Y
2
2
* Y XY
147.82
2
2
X
l1 =
l2 =
4.7883
30.872

XY
m
l2 Y2
m=
0.0389
Ecuacin de la recta
(Y Y ) m( X X )
Y =
0.0389
X+
16.986
Franga de seguridad
d 2 l1
d=
4.3764
Y
Y'
Y"
16.986
17.375
17.763
18.152
18.54
18.929
19.318
19.706
20.095
20.483
20.872
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
21.363
21.751
22.14
22.528
22.917
23.305
23.694
24.082
24.471
24.86
25.248
12.61
12.998
13.387
13.775
14.164
14.553
14.941
15.33
15.718
16.107
16.495
30.872
Correlacin Ortogonal
26.0
24.0
Chaquilla
22.0
20.0
18.0
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Potos
Correccin N 1
Estacin Base Potos
Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Potos
Chaquilla
MAX.
MAX.
32.2
35.4
20
17.5
21.1
17.2
24
20.8
23.4
24.6
22.4
28.4
28.7
26.4
22.1
32.1
30.2
34.8
19.7
23.0
20.4
19.3
19.0
19.4
19.4
16.3
16.1
19.3
20.1
20.2
18.0
14.2
18.57
11.19
17.83
18.25
18.51
17.50
17.66
18.11
Xi
Yi
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
35.4
20
17.5
21.1
17.2
24
20.8
23.4
22.4
28.7
22.1
32.1
30.2
34.8
19.7
23.0
Prom.= 24.525
Varianza
19.3
19.0
19.4
19.4
16.3
16.1
19.3
20.1
18.0
18.57
17.83
18.25
18.51
17.50
17.66
18.11
18.333
X2
i 1
10.51955553
3.019602415
-7.497891042
-3.655555419
14.88941432
1.172159388
3.603250054
-1.988229882
0.706954667
0.975163943
1.226960341
0.597792927
1.002686675
-8.559744392
3.26471564
0.337827761
Suma= 19.61466293
118.27
20.476
49.351
11.731
53.656
0.2756
13.876
1.2656
4.5156
17.431
5.8806
57.381
32.206
105.58
23.281
2.3256
517.49
(X
X )2
y2
(Y Y )
i 1
V(Xi) = 34.499
V(Yi) = 1.233
Covarianza
XY
(X
i 1
X ) (Yi Y )
n
C(XY)= 1.3076
r
XY
X2 Y2
r(X Y)= 0.2005
Luego
l 2 ( X2 Y2 )l X2 Y2 ( X Y )2 0
2
X
l1 =
l2 =
1
l
2
2
X Y -35.73
2
2
* Y XY
40.827
1.1817
34.551

XY
m
l2 Y2
m=
0.0392
Ecuacin de la recta
(Y Y ) m( X X )
34.551
0.9357
0.4453
1.1392
1.1392
4.1318
4.9849
0.9357
3.1234
0.1107
0.0546
0.256
0.0062
0.0312
0.694
0.4578
0.0491
18.495
(Xi)2
(Yi)2
1253.2
400
306.25
445.21
295.84
576
432.64
547.56
501.76
823.69
488.41
1030.4
912.04
1211
388.09
529
10141
372.49
361
376.36
376.36
265.69
259.21
372.49
404.01
324
344.71
317.79
333.2
342.6
306.24
311.74
328.01
5395.9
(Y Y ) m( X X )
Y =
0.0392
X+
17.37
Franga de seguridad
d 2 l1
d=
2.1741
Y
Y'
Y"
17.37
17.763
18.155
18.548
18.94
19.333
19.725
20.117
20.51
20.902
21.295
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
19.544
19.937
20.329
20.722
21.114
21.507
21.899
22.292
22.684
23.077
23.469
15.196
15.589
15.981
16.373
16.766
17.158
17.551
17.943
18.336
18.728
19.121

24.0
22.0
Chaquilla
20.0
18.0
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Potos
Correccin N 2
Estacin Base Potos
Xi
Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Yi
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
35.4
20
21.1
20.8
22.4
28.7
22.1
32.1
30.2
34.8
19.7
23.0
Prom.= 25.858
Potos
MAX.
32.2
35.4
20
17.5
21.1
17.2
24
20.8
23.4
24.6
22.4
28.4
28.7
26.4
22.1
32.1
30.2
34.8
19.7
23.0
20.4
19.3
19.0
19.4
19.4
16.3
16.1
19.3
20.1
20.2
18.0
14.2
18.57
11.19
17.83
18.25
18.51
17.50
17.66
18.11
19.3
19.0
19.4
19.3
18.0
18.57
17.83
18.25
18.51
17.50
17.66
18.11
18.452
8.092166014
3.210877911
-4.511315249
4.289908096
1.562864865
0.324927587
2.349676965
1.236753425
0.249457811
-8.515089532
4.901129204
0.973990185
Suma= 14.16534728

2
X
( X i X )2
i 1
2
y
V(Xi) = 35.601
V(Yi) = 0.4495
n
Covarianza
XY
(X
i 1
X ) (Yi Y )
n
C(XY)= 1.2878
91.043
34.32
22.642
25.587
11.96
8.0751
14.125
38.958
18.85
79.953
37.925
8.1701
391.61
Varianza
Chaquilla
MAX.
XY
X2 Y2
(Y Y )
i 1
0.7193
0.3004
0.8989
0.7193
0.2042
0.0131
0.3909
0.0393
0.0033
0.9069
0.6334
0.1161
4.9449
(Xi)2
(Yi)2
1253.2
400
445.21
432.64
501.76
823.69
488.41
1030.4
912.04
1211
388.09
529
8415.5
372.49
361
376.36
372.49
324
344.71
317.79
333.2
342.6
306.24
311.74
328.01
4090.6
r(X Y)= 0.3219
Luego
l 2 ( X2 Y2 )l X2 Y2 ( X Y )2 0
2
X
l1 =
l2 =
1
l
2
2
X Y -36.05
2
2
* Y XY
14.345
0.4024
35.648

m=
35.648
0.0366
Ecuacin de la recta
(Y Y ) m( X X )
Y =
0.0366
Franga de seguridad
17.506
d 2 l1
1.2687
Y
Y'
Y"
17.506
17.872
18.238
18.603
18.969
19.335
19.701
20.067
20.433
20.799
21.164
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
18.775
19.14
19.506
19.872
20.238
20.604
20.97
21.336
21.701
22.067
22.433
16.237
16.603
16.969
17.335
17.701
18.066
18.432
18.798
19.164
19.53
19.896

24.0
22.0
20.0
Chaquilla
d=
X+
18.0
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
0
20
40
60
Potos
80
100
120
XY
l2 Y2
Correccin N 3
Estacin Base Potos
Xi
Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Yi
35.4
19.3
20
19.0
20.8
19.3
22.4
18.0
28.7 18.57
22.1 17.83
32.1 18.25
30.2 18.51
19.7 17.66
23.0 18.11
Prom.= 25.44 18.452

(X
i 1
Suma=
X)
(X
i 1
X ) (Yi Y )
n
C(XY)= 2.9098
8.442759949
2.979306639
3.93317331
1.375093349
0.371390325
2.089543467
1.322445213
0.271491775
4.570611568
0.832467463
26.18828306
2
y
XY
20.4
19.3
19.0
19.4
19.4
16.3
16.1
19.3
20.1
20.2
18.0
14.2
18.57
11.19
17.83
18.25
18.51
17.50
17.66
18.11
V(Xi) = 31.918
V(Yi) = 0.3488
Covarianza
MAX.
32.2
35.4
20
17.5
21.1
17.2
24
20.8
23.4
24.6
22.4
28.4
28.7
26.4
22.1
32.1
30.2
34.8
19.7
23.0
99.202
29.594
21.53
9.2416
10.628
11.156
44.356
22.658
32.948
5.9536
287.26
2
X
Chaquilla
MAX.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Varianza
Potos
XY
X2 Y2
(Y Y )
i 1
0.7185
0.2999
0.7185
0.2046
0.013
0.3914
0.0394
0.0033
0.6341
0.1164
3.1391
(Xi)2
(Yi)2
1253.2
400
432.64
501.76
823.69
488.41
1030.4
912.04
388.09
529
6759.2
372.49
361
372.49
324
344.71
317.79
333.2
342.6
311.74
328.01
3408
r(X Y)= 0.8721
Luego
2
X
l1 =
l2 =
l 2 ( X2 Y2 )l X2 Y2 ( X Y )2 0
1
l
2
2
X Y -32.27
2
2
* Y XY
2.6658
0.0828
32.184

m=
32.184
XY
m
l2 Y2
0.0914
Ecuacin de la recta
(Y Y ) m( X X )
Y =
0.0914
X+
16.127
d 2 l1
Franga de seguridad
d=
0.5756
Y
Y'
Y"
16.127
17.041
17.955
18.869
19.783
20.697
21.611
22.525
23.439
24.353
25.267
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
16.703
17.617
18.531
19.445
20.359
21.273
22.187
23.101
24.015
24.929
25.843
15.551
16.465
17.38
18.294
19.208
20.122
21.036
21.95
22.864
23.778
24.692
Chaquilla

28.0
26.0
24.0
22.0
20.0
18.0
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
0
20
40
60
80
Potos
El coeficiente de correlacin es mayor a 0.75 y por consiguiente es aceptable.
100
120
Los valores de las variables estadsticas obtenidas finalmente son los siguientes:
MEDIA X
MEDIA Y
VARIANZA X
VARIANZA Y
COVARIANZA
C. DE CORRELACIN
PENDIENTE RECTA
FACTOR. DE SEGURIDAD
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
25.44
18.452
31.918
0.3488
2.9098
0.8721
0.0914
0.5756
Correccin de datos
Ao
1990
1993
1994
1995
1996
1998
1999
2001
2003
2007
Puna
Potos
MAX.
MAX.
32.2
17.5
21.1
17.2
24
23.4
24.6
28.4
26.4
34.8
19.07
17.727
18.056
17.699
18.321
18.266
18.376
18.723
18.54
19.308
Resumen de resultados finales

N
Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Tarapaya Chaquilla
Potosi
MAX.
MAX.
MAX.
30.347
19.07
19.3
19.0
17.727
18.056
17.699
18.321
19.3
18.266
18.376
18.0
18.723
18.57
18.54
17.83
18.25
18.51
19.308
17.66
18.11
32.2
35.4
20
17.5
21.1
17.2
24
20.8
23.4
24.6
22.4
28.4
28.7
26.4
22.1
32.1
30.2
34.8
19.7
23.0
28.7
25.452
24.449
27.6
24.8
24.2
25.773
26.816
27.298
26.415
32.4
24.8
28.02
30.0
27.0
25.2
32.3
31.2
28.0
Generacin de registros antes y despues del calculo de datos faltantes y correccin de datos dudosos
Generacin de registros antes

N
Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Tarapaya Chaquilla
Potosi
MAX.
MAX.
MAX.
20.8
28.7
22.0
15.6
27.6
24.8
24.2
33.6
22.0
20.0
33.6
32.4
24.8
76.7
30.0
27.0
25.2
32.3
31.2
28.0
20.4
19.3
19.0
19.4
19.4
16.3
16.1
19.3
20.1
20.2
18.0
14.2
18.57
11.19
17.83
18.25
18.51
17.50
17.66
18.11
32.2
35.4
20
17.5
21.1
17.2
24
20.8
23.4
24.6
22.4
28.4
28.7
26.4
22.1
32.1
30.2
34.8
19.7
23.0
Generacin de registros despues

N
Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Tarapaya Chaquilla
Potosi
MAX.
MAX.
MAX.
30.347
19.07
19.3
19.0
17.727
18.056
17.699
18.321
19.3
18.266
18.376
18.0
18.723
18.57
18.54
17.83
18.25
18.51
19.308
17.66
18.11
32.2
35.4
20
17.5
21.1
17.2
24
20.8
23.4
24.6
22.4
28.4
28.7
26.4
22.1
32.1
30.2
34.8
19.7
23.0
28.7
25.452
24.449
27.6
24.8
24.2
25.773
26.816
27.298
26.415
32.4
24.8
28.02
30.0
27.0
25.2
32.3
31.2
28.0
Generacin Visual
Tarapaya
Antes
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
1985
1990
Despues
1995
2000
2005
2010
2005
2010
Ao
Generacin Visual
Antes
Despues
25.0
Chaquilla
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
1985
1990
1995
2000
Ao

5) Correlacion Ortogonal

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5) Correlacion Ortogonal

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Estimacin de datos faltantes y correccin de datos dudosos

Estacin Base Potos

Estacin de estudio Tarapaya

r(X Y)= 0.2121

Pendiente m (para la pendiente se toma el valor maximo)=

Estacin de estudio Tarapaya

r(X Y)= 0.4564

Pendiente m (para la pendiente se toma el valor maximo)=

Correlacin Ortogonal Corregido 1

Estacin de estudio Tarapaya

r(X Y)= 0.7405

Pendiente m (para la pendiente se toma el valor maximo)=

Correlacin Ortogonal Corregido 2

El coeficiente de correlacin es mayor a 0.75 y por consiguiente es aceptable.

PRECIPITACION MAXIMA EN 24 HRS

Estacin Base Potos

Estacin de estudio Chaquilla

r(X Y)= 0.0829

Pendiente m (para la pendiente se toma el valor maximo)=

Estacin de estudio Chaquilla

r(X Y)= 0.2005

Pendiente m (para la pendiente se toma el valor maximo)=

Correlacin Ortogonal Corregido 1

Estacin de estudio Chaquilla

r(X Y)= 0.3219

Pendiente m (para la pendiente se toma el valor maximo)=

Correlacin Ortogonal Corregido 2

Estacin de estudio Chaquilla

r(X Y)= 0.8721

Pendiente m (para la pendiente se toma el valor maximo)=

Correlacin Ortogonal Corregido 3

Resumen de resultados finales

Generacin de registros antes

Generacin de registros despues

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