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Net Present Value Relicensing Cost ($ Million)

$350

$300

$250

$200

$150

$100

$50

$0
US DOI
Low Costs
Midline Costs
High Costs

$127
$207
$286

US DOIPacifiCorp+EIA
$102
$182
$261

NWPPC 5th
Power Plan
$79
$159
$238

Oregon DOE

PacifiCorp 2005

CPUC MPR

$74
$154
$233

$34
$114
$193

$32
$112
$191

Power Price Forecast Scenario

Draft - Confidential

Relicensing Minus Decommissioning plus Replacement Power Costs


by Scenario
Net Present Value ($MM)
Power Price Forecasts Net $/MWH
Low
Midline
High
US DOI
$27.71
$127
$207
$286
US DOI-PacifiCorp+EIA
$39.66
$102
$182
$261
NWPPC 5th Power Plan
$50.65
$79
$159
$238
Oregon DOE
$53.04
$74
$154
$233
PacifiCorp 2005
$72.15
$34
$114
$193
CPUC MPR
$73.11
$32
$112
$191
Break Even Decommissioning +
Replacement Power Cost

$/MWH

$185

$265

$344

NPV of Relicensing Minus Replacement Power Costs by Scenario;


Willingness to Pay toward Decommissioning ($ Millions)
Net Present Value ($MM)
Low
Midline
High
Decommissioning Costs Net $/MWH
$38
$55
$71
US DOI
$27.71
$165
$262
$357
US DOI-PacifiCorp+EIA
$39.66
$140
$237
$332
NWPPC 5th Power Plan
$50.65
$117
$214
$309
Oregon DOE
$53.04
$112
$209
$304
Subject to Settlement Confidentiality Agreement

3/22/2013

Draft - Confidential
PacifiCorp 2005
CPUC MPR

$72.15
$73.11

$72
$70

$169
$167

$264
$262

Green WTP > Expected Cost


Pink WTP portion < Expected Cost
Black Unwilling to pay

Key Variables
Mitigation Costs
Decommissioning Costs
Remaining Net Book Value

Subject to Settlement Confidentiality Agreement

$MM
$MM
$MM

Net Present Value ($MM)


$223
$320
$415
$38
$55
$71
$0
$0
$0

3/22/2013

Summary of Results
Net Present Value of Klamath Dam Complex Options

Decomissioning Vs. Reli

Scenario Range (2006$ m


Low
Case: Agency Mandatory & Recommended Mitigations
Relicensing Costs
Mitigation Measures
Cost per MWH
Replacement Power Costs for Current to
Relicensed Conditions $/MWH

-$223
$38.84

US DOI

$37.00

-$64

US DOI-PacifiCorp+EIA

$45.25

-$78

NWPPC 5th Power Plan

$50.08

-$87

Oregon DOE

$58.18

-$101

PacifiCorp 2005

$66.10

-$114

CPUC MPR

$79.44

-$137

Decommissioning
Mitigation Measures

$0

Removal Costs

-$38

Net Book Value of Infrastructure

$0

Total Decommissioning Costs


Net Replacement Power Costs for Relicensed
Conditions to Decommissioning

Indifference Amount or "Break Even"

-$38

$/MWH

-$185

US DOI

$37.00

-$58

US DOI-PacifiCorp+EIA

$45.25

-$83

NWPPC 5th Power Plan

$50.08

-$106

Oregon DOE

$58.18

-$111

PacifiCorp 2005

$66.10

-$151

$79.44
$MM

-$153
Low

CPUC MPR
Total Removal + Replacement Power Costs
US DOI

$58

-$96

US DOI-PacifiCorp+EIA

$83

-$121

NWPPC 5th Power Plan

$106

-$144

Oregon DOE

$111

-$149

PacifiCorp 2005

$151

-$189

CPUC MPR

$153

-$191

NPV of Relicensing Minus Decommissioning plus Replacement Powe


Scenario ($ Millions)
$/MWH

Low

US DOI
$27.71
US DOI-PacifiCorp+EIA
$39.66
NWPPC 5th Power Plan
$50.65
Oregon DOE
$53.04
PacifiCorp 2005
$72.15
CPUC MPR
$73.11
Indifferent or Break Even $/MWH

$127
$102
$79
$74
$34
$32
$88.26

Red Cheaper to Relicen


Green Cheaper to Deco

NPV of Relicensing Minus Replacement Power Costs by Scenario; W


to Pay toward Decommissioning ($ Millions)
Low

Decommissioning Costs $/MWH


US DOI
US DOI-PacifiCorp+EIA
NWPPC 5th Power Plan
Oregon DOE
PacifiCorp 2005
CPUC MPR

$27.71
$39.66
$50.65
$53.04
$72.15
$73.11

$38
$165
$140
$117
$112
$72
$70

Green WTP > Expected


Pink WTP portion < Exp
Black Unwilling to pay
Notes:

1 Based on difference between relicensing power production and decommissioning sce


2 Klamath power production drops to zero as specified in schedule alternative.
3 All numbers are tentative pending detailed model quality assurance review.
Mitigation Measure by Proponent & Authority (NPV $MM)
PacifiCorp Measures
$29
Agency Mandatory Conditions
$250
Agency Recommended Conditions
$41
Peak vs. Off Peak Generation
Current License/Historic Keno Flows
Current License/2012 BO Keno Flows
BLM Conditions/2012 BO Keno Flows

Peak MWH

506,692
527,437
401,879
Peak Hours =

Decomissioning Vs. Relicensing


Scenario Range (2006$ millions)
Midline

High

-$320
$55.74

-$415
$72.29

-$64

-$64

-$78

-$78

-$87

-$87

-$101

-$101

-$114

-$114

-$137

-$137

$0

$0

-$55

-$71

$0

$0

-$55

-$71

-$265

-$344

-$58

-$58

-$83

-$83

-$106

-$106

-$111

-$111

-$151

-$151

-$153
Midline

-$153
High

-$113

-$129

-$138

-$154

Net Replacement Power Costs at which D

-$161

-$177

-$166

-$182

-$206

-$222

-$208

-$224

Midline

High

$207
$182
$159
$154
$114
$112

$286
$261
$238
$233
$193
$191

$126.77

$164.32

Cheaper to Relicense
en Cheaper to Decommission

Midline

High

$55
$262
$237
$214
$209
$169
$167

$71
$357
$332
$309
$304
$264
$262

en WTP > Expected Cost


WTP portion < Expected Cost
k Unwilling to pay

$31.7

and decommissioning scenario where Klamath power production drops to zero at a time specified in
edule alternative.
surance review.

(Does not include Trap & Haul)

Total MWH

% Peak/Total

703,432
727,926
562,790
Peak Hours =

70.6%
71.5%
70.2%
58.3%

wer Costs at which Decommissioning = Relicensing Total Costs

at a time specified in the decommissioning schedule scenrio.

Scenario Names for Each Input Dataset

Number

Relicensing Flows
Replacement Gas
Costs
Prices

Water Year

Decom Schedule
Decom Cost

Mitigation Cost
Mitigation Schedule

Scenario Development Tool

Key
Editable

User Selected Assumptions (see Scenario Names starting in Row 5, Columns E thru L)
Scenario Name
Start Year
Study Period
Ending Year

Beta Version
2008
30
2038

Hydrology
Relicensing Water Flows
Financing

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) (%)


Inflation Rate (%)
Real Disc. Rate (%)
License Term = Finance Term for Infrastructure
Property Tax Rate
Finance Term for Decomissioning
Finance Term for Mitigations

9.08%
2.8%
6.11%
30
1.3%
30
30

Replacement Power Costs


Replacement Power Cost Scenario
Nonfirm Power Discount
Power Price Premium from Peaking: Current conditions
Power Price Premium from Peaking: Relicensed conditions
Mitigation
Initial Cost Estimate
Schedule
Uncertainty Adjustment
Cost Estimate Multiplier

1
1
30%
100%

Decommissioning
Initial Cost Estimate
Schedule
Uncertainty Adjustment
Power Production Uncertainty Range
Cost Estimate Multiplier

2
1
30%
0.0
100%

Decomissioning Schedule
Boyle
Copco I
Copco II
Fall Creek
Irongate
Nominal Total

2
0%
103%
100%

Start Year
2014
2013
2013
2008
2015

Key
Locked
% from Base or
Scenario Name

Scenario Names for Each Input Dataset (bold+italics = only scenario develope
Number

BLM 2012

Replacement
Relicensing Flows Costs
Water Year
1 BLM 2012
PacifiCorp 2005
Dry
2 FishAg 2012
NWPPC 5th Power BlwAvg
Plan
3
Avg
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

NWPPC 5th Power Plan

Agency+PacCorp
Agency+PacCorp

USBR
Proposed Settlement
Select # of standard deviations from 44YrFlow average

Cost ($millions)
12.00
14.00
14.00
2.00
49.00
91.00

BPA 07 NR
BPA 07 Melded
SCE SP15

AbvAvg
Wet

Oregon DOE
CPUC MPR
US DOI-PacifiCorp+EIA
US DOI

ics = only scenario developed for this version of the model.


Decom
Schedule
Decom Cost
Proposed Settlement
NGO
Fast
USBR
Mod Dwnstrm
Upstrm
Slow

Mitigation Cost
Agency+PacCorp

Mitigation
Schedule
Agency+PacCorp

Mitigation Costs
Scenarios
Cost
Schedules

Agency+PacCorp
Agency+PacCorp

BLM

Mitigation Cost Estimate Source


Mitigation Schedule
Discount Rate
Inflation Rate
License Term
Uncertainty Factor

1 Agency+PacCorp
1 Agency+PacCorp
6.11%
2.80%
30 Years
30%
NET PRESENT VALUES OF RELICENSING MITIGATION COSTS

(2006$ Millions)
Fish Passage
Nonfish Passage
Water Quality
Total
Added Production Costs - $/MWh

Fish Passage by PaciCorp Proposed


PacifiCorp Trap and Haul Alternative
PacifiCorp Other Measures
PacifiCorp Total
PC estimate: Volitional Fish Passage
Fish Passage
NonFish Passage Mitigation
Water Quality Mitigation

Low

Midline

$164
$14
$45
$223

$235
$20
$65
$320

$29.12

$41.78

NPV of Mitigation Costs ($2006 Thousands)


Low
($35,000)
($20,094)
($55,094)
($160,000)

Midline
($50,000)
($28,705)
($78,705)
($230,000)

($164,221)
($14,093)
($45,414)

($234,601)
($20,133)
($64,878)

Notes

1. This method excludes the discount associated with financing capital costs
2. Fish Passage by PacifiCorp from 5/12/06 Reply to Comments Position Statement Pg 2
3. Fish Passage Total = Mitigation:Aquatic from PacifiCorp and Agencies for Baseline; Low assumes PacifiCorp's Trap & Haul, High assumes Baseline +

Recapitulation

$319,612

Fish Passage Total*


Boyle
Copco I
Copco II
Fall Creek
Iron Gate
Other Development
NonFish Passage Mitigation
Boyle
Copco I
Copco II

$234,601
$56,748
$54,109
$34,334
$0
$53,333
$36,077
$20,133
$12,425
$1,079
$0

Category
J.C. Boyle
Fish Passage
NonFish Passage Mitigation
Water Quality Mitigation
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Administrative
Administrative
Adminstrative
Mitgation: Cultural
Mitigation: Cultural
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial

$0
$5,393
$1,236
$64,878
$0
$0
$25,782
$0
$31,221
$7,875

Agency Recommended
Agency Mandatory

Fall Creek
Iron Gate
Other Development
Water Quality Mitigation
Boyle
Copco I
Copco II
Fall Creek
Iron Gate
Other Development

NPV (2006$ Thousands)


$56,748
$12,425
$0
JC Boyle Bypass-Iron Gate
Gravel Augmentation Monitoring
JC Boyle Fish Ladder Upgrades
JC Boyle Bypass Gage
J.C. Boyle Bypass
J.C. Boyle Dam Upstream Fishway
J.C. Boyle Dam Downstream Fishway
J.C. Boyle Spillway
J.C. Boyle Tailrace Barrier
JC Boyle Synchronous Bypass Valve
Surface Collector (Gulper)
4 - River Corridor Management
1 - Activities On or Affecting Bureau of Land ManagementAdministered Lands
9 - Reservation of Section 4(e) Authorities
2 - Consultation with the Bureau of Land Management
5 - Cultural Resources Inventory and Management
Protect Cultural Sites
Pioneer Crossing Recreation Area (existing) pg 8
Dispersed Sites and Use Ares (exsting) pg 8
Upper J.C. Boyle Reservoir Boater Access (potential) pg 9
Stateline Take-out (existing)
Fishing Access Sites 1-6 (existing) pg 10
Dispersed Sites and Use Ares (exsting) pg 10
Boyle Bluffs Recreation Area (potential-if land can be aquired) pg 9

1
1
1
1

J.C.Boyle Dam River Access and J.C. Boyle Powerhouse River


Access (potential) pg 11
JC Boyle Reservoir Loop Trail (potential) pg 9
J.C.Boyle Powerhouse River Access with New Trail to Spring Island
Boater Access (potential) pg 11
6 - Recreation and Aesthetic Resources Management
Add one large animal crossing and seven small animal crossings at
suitable locations along the J.C. Boyle canal
3 - Roads Inventory Analysis and Roads Management
7 - Vegetation Resources Management Plan
8 - Mitigation for Impacts to Wildlife and Wildlife Habitat

1
1

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

1
1

Copco 1
Fish Passage
NonFish Passage Mitigation
Water Quality Mitigation
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Cultural
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Operations
Operations
Operations
Copco 2
Fish Passage
NonFish Passage Mitigation
Water Quality Mitigation
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Operations
Mitigation: Water Quality

Fall Creek (Assumed decommissioned)


Fish Passage
NonFish Passage Mitigation
Water Quality Mitigation
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Operations
Iron Gate
Fish Passage
NonFish Passage Mitigation
Water Quality Mitigation
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Cultural

$54,109
$1,079
$0
Copco Ranch Irrigation Upgrade
Copco 1 Dam Upstream Fishway
Copco 1 Dam Downstream Fishway
Copco 1 Spillway
Copco 1 Tailrace Barrier
Protect Cultural Sites
Mallard Cove Recreation Area (existing) pg 11
Copco Cove Recreation Area (existing) pg 12
Dispersed Sites and Use Areas (existing) pg 12
Runner Replacement
Generator Overhaul
Generator Overhaul

1
1
1
1
1
1
1

$34,334
$0
$25,782
Copco #2 Bypass Flow Gate Improvements
Copco 2 Bypass Channel Barrier/Impediment Modification
Copco 2 Dam Upstream Fishway
Copco 2 Dam Downstream Fishway
Copco 2 Spillway
Copco 2 Tailrace Barrier
Turbine Replacement
Temperature Control Device - Copco 1

$0
$0
$0
Spring Creek Parshall Flume
Fall Creek Upstream Fishway
Fall Creek Downstream Fishway
Fall Creek Tailrace Barrier
Spring Creek Upstream Fishway
Spring Creek Downstream Fishway
Turbine Replacement

1
1
1

$53,333
$5,393
$31,221
Fish Tagging
Tagging Labor
Tagging Equipment
Tag Materials
Fish Hatchery Minor Upgrades
Iron Gate Dam Upstream Fishway
Iron Gate DamDownstream Fishway
Iron Gate Spillway
Iron Gate Hatchery Operations
Protect Cultural Sites

1
1
1
1
1

Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Water Quality

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

Mitigation: Water Quality

Fall Creek Recreation Area (existing) pg 12


Juniper Point Recreation Area (existing) pg 15
Dispersed Sites and Use Areas (existing) pg 17
Fall Creek Trail (exisitng) pg 12
Jenny Creek Recreation Area (existing) pg 13
Camp Creek Recreation Area (existing) pg 14
Long Gulch Boat Launch (existing) pg 16
Iron Gate Hatchery Public Use Area (existing) pg 17
Wanaka Springs Recreation Area (existing) pg 13
Mirror Cove Recreation (existing) pg 16
Overlook Point Recreation Area (existing) pg 16
Long Gulch to Iron Gate Hatchery Trail (potential)pg 18
Bogus Creek Trail (potential) pg 18
Long Gulch Bluff Recreation Area (existing) pg 17
Oxygen Diffuser System Design, permitting, site preparation,
mobilization
Oxygen Diffuser System Design, Construction, installation, testing

Mitigation: Water Quality


Mitigation: Water Quality
Mitigation: Water Quality

Oxygen Diffuser System Design testing


Oxygen Diffuser System Design O&M
Temperature Control Device - Irongate

1
1

Operations

Generator Overhaul

Other Development
Fish Passage
NonFish Passage Mitigation
Water Quality Mitigation
Administrative
Administrative
Administrative
Administrative
Administrative
Administrative
Administrative
Administrative
Administrative
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Aquatic
Mitigation: Cultural
Mitigation: Cultural

$36,077
$1,236
$7,875
New or Amended Contract
Operating Criteria for Link River and Iron Gate
Operating Criteria for Keno and Iron Gate
Area Capacity Curves
Consultation with Reclamation
No Claims
Reservation of Section 4(e) Authorities
Emergency Operations
Cooperative Management Agreement
Upstream Fishway at Keno Dam
Keno Spillway
Downstream Fish Passage Program Habitat Protection, Mitigation,
and Enhancement Plan
Upstream Fish Passage Program Habitat Protection, Mitigation,
and Enhancement Plan
Fish Habitat Protection, Mitigation, and Enhancement Plan
Pacific Lamprey Management Plan and Evaluation
Decommissioning Plan for the East Side and West Side
Developments
Instream Flows everywhere but Boyle (BLM-Boyle)
Geomorphic and Juvenile Outmigrant Flows
Gravel Augmentation
Temperature Control Device Feasibility Study
Fish Disease Risk Management
Resident and Anadromous Fish Monitoring
Aquatic Habitat Monitoring Plan
Riparian Habitat Management Plan (RHMP)
Adaptive Management Plan for Federally Listed Suckers
Fisheries Technical Subcommittee (FTS)
Historic Properties Management Plan
Mitigate Recreational Impacts on Cultural Resource Sites

Mitigation: Cultural
Mitigation: Cultural
Mitigation: Cultural
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation

Native Plant and Noxious Weed Management


Safety of Dams - Emergency Action Plan
Tribal Participation
Creating and Improving trails in the Link River Reach
Developed Trails from J.C. Boyle Reservoir to Copco Reservoir

Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Recreation
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial

Interpretation and Education Program


Recreation Law Enforcement Program
Control noxious weeds via Noxious Weeds control Plan
Unique habitat protection
Avoid routine maintaince drawdown during spring/summer
amphibian and waterfowl breeding seasons
Manage riparian habitats within the FERC Project boundary in
manner consistent with big games objectives
Protect existing riparian habitat and conduct riparian enhancement
in other reaches
Control noxious weeds via Noxious Weeds
Schedule routine maintanance drawdowns outside of the
spring/summer breeding seasons
Manage riparian and upland habitats within the FERC Project
boundary in manner consister with big game objectives
Control noxious weeds
Continue to support annual surveys for bald eagles nest occupancy
and productivity in the Project area
Avoidance/awareness of protection measures. Add bat roosting
structures near facilities to give bats additional options

Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial

Mitigation: Terrestrial

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

Add bat roosting structures near facilities to give bats additional


options
Add bat roosting structures near facilities to give bats additional
options
Construct backwater areas to establish wetland riparian vegetation
and provide habitat for amphibians
VRMP and WHMP Road Maintanance Plan. Create setback and, if
necessary, create erosion control strip to protect wetland near
Copco Village

Avoidance/awareness of protection measures, addition of bat roost


structures near facilities
Basking Structures
Protect existing riparian area in FERC boundary
Add logs or rocks in selected areas for turtle basking
Site will be used for recreation. Coordinate site design. Add native
vegetation screening
Develop Road Access Plan to minimize vehicular traffic on nonessential roads
Develop Road Access Plan and road closures. Roads owned by
PacifiCorp that are not necessarily for Project operation or other
significant use of private property will be closed. Vehicular access
on the closed roads would be limited to administrative use only

Mitigation: Terrestrial

Coordinate with Transmission and Delivery for avoding TEST plant


sites and/or protection for TES plant populations in/near rights of
way

Mitigation: Terrestrial

Establish riparian vegetation to improve distribution. Increase width


of existing riparian vegetation by fencing or redirecting human use

Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial

Avian Collision and Electrocution Hazards


Bald Eagle Protection Measures and Management Plan
Fire, Fuels, Forest Health Managing Upland Vegetation

Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial

Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial

1
1
1

1
1
1
1
1
1

Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Terrestrial
Mitigation: Water Quality
Mitigation: Water Quality
Decommissioning
Decommissioning

Wildlife Habitat Management Plan


Vegetation Resources Management Plan
Develop plan for protecting wetlands near recreational areas
Riparian vegetation enhancement along the klamath river and in
shovel creek
Develop Shortline with trees/shrubs, protect weland sites from
livestock or people
Dissolved Oxygen Enhancement Feasibility Study
Management of Keno Reservoir to Improve Water Quality
Decommission the East Side development
Decommission the West Side development

1
1
1
1
1

1
1

FishAgency

Agency+PacCorp
Agency+PacCorp

High

$305
$26
$84
$415

= Mitigations:Aquatic - PacificCorp Proposed Mitigations Plus Agency Conditions


= Mitigations: All except Aquatic and Water Quality
= Mitigations: Water Quality

$54.19

High
($65,000)
($37,317)
($102,317)
($300,000)

Line Item Detail Available?


No
Yes

($304,982)
($26,173)
($84,341)

Yes
Yes
Some

Some

ap & Haul, High assumes Baseline + Uncertainty Factor

1
1
1
1
1

1
1
1
1
2
4
4
5
5
1
3

NPV Capital($
thousands)

$78,034
$7,290
$0
$461
$0
$0
$60
$2,084
$15,010
$39,402
$4,170
$10,686
$6,161
$0

1
1
1
1
1

$55,174
$5,789
$0
$385.9
$0.0
$50.2
$1,644.1
$10,517.4
$27,608.7
$2,753.7
$7,056.6
$5,157.2
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0

$1,574.0
$6,636.4
$0.0
$8.9
$0.0
$10.0
$5.6
$45.0
$56.2
$11.2
$28.1
$5.4
$0.0

$0.0
$100.1
$0.0
$112.5
$58.8
$405.7
$507.1
$94.0
$235.0
$60.7
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0

$719.1

$105.0
$5.0
$2.0
$0.5
$2.0
$2.0
$0.5
$1.0

$0.0
$5,287.4
$0.0
$1,181.2
$56.2
$22.5
$5.6
$22.5
$22.5
$5.6
$8.4

$80

$52.8

$0.5

$4.2

10
10

$100
$127

$49.1
$62.4

$0.5
$0.0

$2.8
$0.0

$300

$0.0
$223.0

$1.8

$0.0
$17.5

$0.0
1

$470.0

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
5

$4,800
$254
$60
$90
$90
$300
$0
$1,089

1
1
1

$62,778.6
$8,007.4
$14,966.4
$39,804.8

NPV O&M ($
thousands)

$256,833.8
$20,698.0
$234,706.9
$1,428.9

O&M ($
thousands)

$375,072
$28,856
$344,509
$1,707

Capital ($
thousands)

$319,612
$28,705
$249,673
$41,234
Implementation/
Construction
Year

Agency
Recommended

PacifiCorp
Proposed

Mitigation Measure Type Key:


PacifiCorp Measures Agency Mandatory Conditions Agency Recommended Conditions -

$0.0
$4,018.0
$212.6
$50.2
$75.3
$75.3
$251.1

$0.0
$0.0
$0.0

$0.0
$0.0
$0.0

1
6
6
6
8
1
1
1
1
3
16
17

1
1
1
1

1
2
6
6
6
8
2
1

1
1
1
1
1
1

1
3
3
5
3
3
17

1
1
1

1
1
1
1

1
1
1
1
1
5
5
5
1
1

$86,280.0
$1,179.0
$0.0

$52,960.1
$986.9
$0.0

$540
$29,915
$39,402
$4,170
$12,253
$900
$225
$54

$452.0
$18,617.7
$24,522.0
$2,595.2
$6,773.1
$753.4
$188.3
$45.2

$1,148.8
$92.2
$0.0

$0.0
$0.0
$0.0

$93.4
$348.0
$435.0
$87.0
$185.5
$0.0
$67.5
$22.5
$2.2
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0

$54,640.0
$0.0
$30,800.0

$33,263.5
$0.0
$25,781.9

$1,070.7
$0.0
$0.0

$75
$208
$6,295
$36,254
$416
$11,392

$62.8
$164.1
$3,917.7
$22,562.8
$258.9
$6,297.2
$0.0
$25,781.9

$30,800

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$65,576.0
$9,463.0
$34,456.2
$795
$0
$0
$0
$0
$36,608
$25,424
$1,042
$1,707
$744

$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0

$43,746.1
$4,912.4
$28,740.5
$665.5

$24,174.6
$16,789.1
$688.1
$1,428.9
$622.8

$8.3
$45.0
$56.2
$11.2
$28.1
$0.0
$6.0
$2.0
$0.2

$0.0
$5.6
$45.0
$56.2
$5.6
$28.1

$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0

$0.0
$19.2
$14.6
$76.7
$100.0
$157.5
$56.2
$11.2
$474.6
$5.0

$0.0
$58.8
$348.0
$435.0
$43.5
$185.5
$0.0
$0.0

$0
$0
$0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0

$9,587.1
$480.8
$2,480.6
$0.0
$216.0
$164.2
$862.9
$1,125.0
$1,316.0
$470.0
$94.0
$5,339.1
$56.2

1
1
1
5
5
5
5
5
8
8
10
10
10
20
1

$150
$168
$0
$25
$67
$3,650
$253
$35
$205
$338
$90
$10
$5
$3,723
$248

$16.5
$44.2
$2,410.3
$167.1
$23.1
$113.3
$186.8
$44.2
$4.9
$2.5
$1,010.4
$207.3

$2,101

$1,657.4

3
3
1

$8

$5.6

$125.6
$140.6

$5.0
$5.0
$0.2
$0.0
$1.0
$15.0
$4.0
$0.0
$5.0
$10.0
$2.0
$0.5
$0.0
$15.0

$56.2
$56.2
$2.2
$0.0
$8.4
$125.3
$33.4
$0.0
$33.0
$65.9
$11.2
$2.8
$0.0
$29.8
$0.0
$0.0

$26,870.1

$0.0
$2,480.6
$0.0

$0.0

$0.0

$5,113.7
$365.7
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$4,959.1
$154.6

$393.7
$56.2
$250.0

$30,963.2
$869.9
$7,874.8
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$3,825.7
$546.5
$3,021.7

$250.0

$3,021.7

1
1
1

$700.0
$0.0
$0.0

$8,460.7
$0.0
$0.0

$255.3
$32,100

11

$6,878.0
$476.0
$0.0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

3
3

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

$6,670
$208

$0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0

$800.0
$0.0
$0.0
$200.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0

$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$9,669.4
$0.0
$0.0
$2,417.4
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0

1
1
1
1
1

$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0

$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0

1
1

$0.0
$0.0

1
1
1

1
1
1

$0
$0
$0

$5.8
$0.1
$0.0

$0.0
$0.0
$65.2
$1.1
$0.0

$0

$0.0

$0.0

$0

$0.0

$0.0

1
1

$0
$0

$3.0
$0.0

$33.7
$0.0

$0

$0.0

$0.0

1
1

$0
$0

$5.8
$5.0

$65.2
$56.2

$5

$3.9

$0.1

$1.0

$5

$3.9

$0.1

$1.0

$5

$3.9

$0.1

$1.0

$12

$9.5

$0.3

$3.1

$0

$0.1

$1.0

$5

$3.9

$0.1

$1.0

3
3
3
4

$5
$0
$10
$10

$3.7

$0.1
$0.1
$0.2
$0.2

$1.0
$1.0
$1.9
$1.8

$0

$0.0

$0.0

$100

$66.0

$5.0

$41.8

$7

$5.5

$0.8

$8.4

$76

$60.0

$2.4

$25.1

$7.4
$7.0

$0.0
$0.0
$0.0

$0.0
$0.0
$0.0

1
1

1
1
3
2

$50
$60
$15
$100

$41.9
$50.2
$11.2
$78.9

$20.0
$25.9
$0.4
$3.3

$225.0
$291.4
$3.9
$34.5

$11

$8.7

$0.4

$4.2

$0.0
1
1
1

$700.0
$0
$0

$0.0
$0.0

$0.0
$7,874.8
$0.0
$0.0

Source

Reference

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-4


PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-4
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-4
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-4
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-4
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-4

PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
FWS/NOAA 6.1
FWS/NOAA 6.1
FWS/NOAA 6.2
FWS/NOAA 6.3
FWS/NOAA 6.4
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
BLM4
BLM1

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7


PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7

BLM9
BLM2
BLM5
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7

PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7


PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7

PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

BLM6
PacifiCorp

Staff

BLM3
BLM7
BLM8

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-4


PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC FLA Table H3.4-1
PC FLA Table H3.4-1
PC FLA Table H3.4-1

PacifiCorp
FWS/NOAA 5.1
FWS/NOAA 5.2
FWS/NOAA 5.3
FWS/NOAA 5.4
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-4


PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC FLA Table H3.4-3
PC 8/1/05 Conceptual Design and Preliminary Screening of Temperature
Control Alternatives

PacifiCorp
FWS/NOAA 4.5
FWS/NOAA 4.1
FWS/NOAA 4.2
FWS/NOAA 4.3
FWS/NOAA 4.4
PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-4


PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC FLA Table H3.4-5

PacifiCorp
FWS/NOAA 2.1
FWS/NOAA 2.2
FWS/NOAA 2.3
FWS/NOAA 3.1
FWS/NOAA 3.2
PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-4


PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-4
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-4
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-4
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-4
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
FERC DEIS 9/25/06

PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
FWS/NOAA 1.1
FWS/NOAA 1.2
FWS/NOAA 1.3
FWS 15
PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7


PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-7
PC 9/9/05 AIR 1b

PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp

PC 9/9/05 AIR 1b

PacifiCorp

PC 9/9/05 AIR 1b
PC 9/9/05 AIR 1b
PC 8/1/05 Conceptual Design and Preliminary Screening of Temperature
Control Alternatives
PC FLA Table H3.4-6

PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp

PacifiCorp

PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates


PC 4/22/06 CH2MHill Cost Estimates
FWS Staff

Reclamation 1
Reclamation 2
Reclamation 3
Reclamation 4
Reclamation 5
Reclamation 6
Reclamation 6
DOI 1
DOI 2
FWS/NOAA 7.1
FWS/NOAA 7.2
FWS 1

FWS Staff

FWS 2

FWS Staff

FWS 3
FWS 4
FWS 5

FWS Staff

FWS Staff

FWS Staff

FWS 6
FWS 7
FWS 8
FWS 9
FWS 12a
FWS 12b
FWS 13
FWS 14
FWS 16
DOI 3
DOI 9
DOI 10

DOI 11
DOI 12
DOI 13
DOI 5
DOI 6

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5


PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

DOI 7
DOI 8
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5


PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5


PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5


PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp

FWS 17
FWS 18
DOI 4

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5


PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp

PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, Table D2.0-5

PacifiCorp

FWS Staff
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, page 3
PC 7/21/04 Response to Deficiency Notice, page 3

FWS 10
FWS 11
PacifiCorp
PacifiCorp

Decommissioning Costs
Scenarios
Cost
Schedule

NGO
Proposed Settlement

USBR
Mod Dwnstrm

Decommissioning Schedule
Decommissioning Cost

1 Proposed Settlement
2 USBR

Uncertainty Factor

30%

NET PRESENT VALUES of Decommissioning Costs, Years 2008 to 2048

Decommissioning Costs
JC Boyle
Copco I
Copco II
Fall Creek
Irongate
Total

Annualized Payments at
Lending Rate

NPV
$
$
$
$
$
$

(7.47)
(9.25)
(9.25)
(28.74)
(54.70) $

($1.18)
($1.37)
($1.37)
$0.00
($4.80)
(8.72)

(54.70)
1
2

$
$
$
$
$

(7.47)
(9.25)
(9.25)
(28.74)

Decommissioning Assumptions
Decomissioning Schedule Scenario
Decomissioning Cost Scenario
Year
JC Boyle
Copco I
Copco II
Fall Creek
Irongate
Source: CEC_KlamathScenarios_050205.xls R. McCann
Klamath Dam Removal

USBR

Scenario
1. Iron Gate Removed
2. Iron Gate, Copco 1&2
Removed
3. Iron Gate, Copco 1&2, JC
Boyle Removed

1
2
3

Notes on Changes in Columns


Cost estimate based on G&G estimate. Requires further study.

$54
$83
$100

Decommissioning Schedule By Year


Irongate
PS
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055

Fast Y3
1

($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)

($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)

2056
2057
2058
Total

($144.10)

JC Boyle
Copco I
Copco II
Fall Creek
Irongate

($144.10)

FERC DEIS
$14.10
$11.24
$2.46
$1.23
$50.11
$79.14

Scenarios Description
Fast - 4 dams removed by year 8
Fast Y1, Y3, Y5, Y7 - describe year in which dam removal occurs
Upstrm

Slow

** For each scanario, a subscenario of flow mitigation can be included

(2005$ millions)
$
(12.00)
$
(14.00)
$
(14.00)
$
$
(49.00)
$
(89.00)

Year

2014
2013
2013
2014
2015

Cost (2005$ millions) Annualized Cost


2008
1
12.0
0.00
14.0
0.00
14.0
0.00
2.0
49.0
0.00

2009
2
0.00
0.00
0.00

2010
3
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2011
4
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

0.00

-2.40

-2.40

Lookup Table:
Coastal
Conservancy

Coastal Conservancy

FERC DEIS

$48.1

$50

Irongate

$56

$49

$75.3

$64

Copco I

$15

$14

$87.1

$79

Copco II

$15

$14

JC Boyle
Fall Creek

4
5

$17
$2

$12
$2

$103

$89

USBR

Total

Fast Y5

Fast Y7
3

($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)

($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)

Mod Dwnstrm
Upstrm
Slow
5
6

($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)

($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)

($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)
($4.80)

($144.10)

($144.10) ($144.10) ($144.10)

($144.10)

$0.00

ar in which dam removal occurs

rio of flow mitigation can be included

2012
5
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2013
6
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2014
7
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2015
8
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2016
9
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2017
10
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2018
11
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2019
12
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2020
13
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

JC Boyle PS
Fast Y3
Fast Y5
Fast Y7
Mod Dwnstrm
Upstrm
Slow
Copco 1 & 2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
2008
2008
2009
2009
2010
($1.18)
2010
2011
($1.18)
2011
2012
($1.18)
($1.18)
2012
2013
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2013
2014
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2014
2015
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2015
2016
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2016
2017
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2017
2018
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2018
2019
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2019
2020
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2020
2021
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2021
2022
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2022
2023
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2023
2024
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2024
2025
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2025
2026
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2026
2027
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2027
2028
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2028
2029
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2029
2030
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2030
2031
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2031
2032
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2032
2033
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2033
2034
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2034
2035
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2035
2036
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2036
2037
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2037
2038
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2038
2039
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2039
2040
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2040
2041
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2041
2042
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2042
2043
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2043
2044
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2044
2045
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2045
2046
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
2046
2047
($1.18)
($1.18)
2047
2048
($1.18)
($1.18)
2048
2049
($1.18)
($1.18)
2049
2050
($1.18)
($1.18)
2050
2051
($1.18)
($1.18)
2051
2052
($1.18)
2052
2053
($1.18)
2053
2054
($1.18)
2054
2055
($1.18)
2055

2056
2057
2058
($35.29)

($35.29)

($35.29)

($35.29)

($35.29)

($35.29)

($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($25.88)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)
($1.18)

2056
2057
2058

2021
14
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2022
15
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2023
16
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2024
17
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2025
18
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2026
19
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2027
20
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2028
21
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2029
22
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

PS

Fast Y3
1

($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)

Fast Y5
2

($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)

Fast Y7
3

($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)

($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)

Mod Dwnstrm
Upstrm
Slow
5
6

($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)

($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)

($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)
($1.37)

($1.37)

($41.17)

($41.17)

($41.17)

($41.17)

($41.17)

($41.17)

($41.17)

2030
23
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2031
24
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2032
25
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2033
26
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2034
27
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2035
28
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2036
29
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2037
30
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2038
31
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

-2.40

2039
32
-1.18
-0.69
-0.69

2040
33
0.00
0.00
0.00

2041
34
0.00
0.00
0.00

2042
35
0.00
0.00
0.00

2043
36
0.00
0.00
0.00

2044
37
0.00
0.00
0.00

2045
38
0.00
0.00
0.00

2046
39
0.00
0.00
0.00

2047
40
0.00
0.00
0.00

-2.40

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

2048
41
0.00
0.00
0.00

2049

2050

2051

2052

2053

2054

2055

2056

0.00
0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Total
2057

2058

0.00
0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00

0.00

0.00

-35.29
-20.59
-20.59
0.00
-72.05

Michael Bowen, Project Manager, California Coastal Conservancy, from Gathard Engineering, November 13, 2006

Item
Iron Gate Dam Removal
Copco 2 Dam Removal
Copco 1 Dam Removal
J. C. Boyle Dam Removal
Total Structure Removal Cost
Water Use Mitigation
Subtotal
Construction Management
Engineering and Permitting
Total

15%
25%

Cost Estimate
Item
Mobilization
Construction Management Facilities
Preparation and Revegetation of Disposal Sites
Upgrade Roads
Excavate Material
Haul Material 1 Mile
Compact and Grade Material
Demolish Spillway Concrete
Demolish Structural Concrete in Dam
Environmental Mitigation at Disposal Site
Remove Fish Ladder
Remove Spillway and Gates
Remove Intake Structure
Subtotal
Demolish Outer Canal Wall
Load and Haul Material 10 Miles Round Trip
Remove and Salvage Steel
Substation Removal
Reservoir Hydroseeding
Remove Powerhouse and Generation Facilities
Subtotal
Contingencies
Total

J. C. Boyle
Quantity
1
6
45
1
110,000
110,000
110,000
3,000
500
16
500
1
1
10,000
10,000
800,000
1
300
1

Unit
LS
Months
Acres
LS
CY
CY
CY
CY
CY
Acres
CY
LS
LS
CY
CY
lbs
LS
Acres
LS

Unit Cost
$525,000
$5,000
$2,000
$5,000
$3.50
$2.00
$1.00
$210
$400
$5,000
$400
$50,000
$50,000
$400
$18
$1.00
$150,000
$1,500
$150,000

25%

Cost Estimate Copco 1


Item
Mobilization/Demob
Upgrade Roads
Tower Crane and Operator
Construction Management Facilities
Disposal Site Preparation
Drill and Blast Dam Concrete
Haul Material
Short Term Erosion Control
Hydroseed and Revegetation

Quantity
1
1
6
6
4
35,000
35,000
100
800

Unit
LS
LS
Months
Months
Acres
CY
CY
Acres
Acres

Unit Cost
$1,200,000
$50,000
$55,000
$5,000
$25,000
$210.00
$3.00
$1,000.00
$1,500.00

Compact and Grade Material


Remove Spillway and Gates
Remove Intake Structure
Low level Outlet Tunnel
Roller Gate Flow Control Structure
Subtotal
Demolish Powerhouse Structure
Remove and Recycle Penstock
Substation Removal
Environmental Cleanup
Subtotal
Contingencies
Total

35,000
1
1
800
1

CY
LS
LS
CY
Ea

$2.00
$50,000
$50,000
$650
$1,200,000

11,000
1
1
1

SF
LS
LS
LS

$25.00
$25,000
$100,000
$100,000
25%

Cost Estimate
Item
Mobilization/ Demob
Upgrade Roads
Drill and Blast Concrete
Temporary Diversion Cofferdam
Plug Tunnels
Demoish and Fill Canal
Disposal Site Preparation
Haul Material
Environmental Preparation at Disposal Site
Compact and Grade Material
Remove Spillway and Gates
Remove Structural Steel
Remove Intake Structure
Subtotal
Substation Removal
Environmental Cleanup
Remove Penstock
Remove Powerhouse and Generation Facilities
Subtotal
Contingencies
Total

Cost Estimate
Item
Mobilization/Demob
Operation/Management Facilities
Tunnel Liner Modification
Flow Gate Control Modifications
Dam Material Disposal Site Preparation
Haul Road Upgrade
Load and Haul Surface Riprap
Excavate and Load Dam Embankment Material
Remove Cofferdam

Copco 2

Quantity
1
1
6,000
1
400
15,000
1
6,000
1
6,000
1
1
1
1
1
1,000
1

Unit
LS
LS
CY
LS
CY
CY
LS
CY
Acres
CY
LS
LS
LS

Unit Cost
$224,000
$10,000
$210
$50,000
$500
$20.00
$25,000
$13.00
$25,000
$2.00
$15,000
$10,000
$50,000

LS
LS
FT
LS

$150,000
$100,000
$35.00
$150,000
25%

Iron Gate Dam


Quantity
1
1
1
1
40
2
175,000
925,000
25,000

Unit
LS
LS
LS
LS
Acres
Miles
CY
CY
CY

Unit Cost
$1,470,000
$100,000
$1,000,000
$1,000,000
$2,000
$25,000
$7.50
$1.43
$15.00

Temporary Sheet Pile Cofferdam


Remove Concrete Cutoff Wall
Haul Material 12CY Truck 1/4 Mile Haul
Haul Material 12 CY Truck 1.25 Mile Haul
Grade Material
Compact
Short Term Erosion Control
Hydroseed and Revegetation
Remove Fisheries Facilities
Demolish Dam Tunnel Gate Control Concrete
Subtotal
Substation Removal
Remove Penstock
Environmental Cleanup
Remove Powerhouse and Generation Facilities
Subtotal
Contingencies
Total

3,200
1,500
250,000
675,000
925,000
925,000
100
800
40,000
4,000
1
1
1
1

SF
CY
CY
CY
CY
CY
Acres
Acres
SF
CY

$25.00
$350.00
$3.50
$4.15
$1.62
$0.35
$1,000
$1,500
$25
$400

LS
LS
LS
LS

$150,000
$50,000
$100,000
$300,000
25%

Water Quality Protection


Item
New Drilled Well and Water Supply
New Hatchery Facilities
Off Stream Rearing
Hatchery Water Supplies
Subtotal
Contingencies
Total

Quantity
40
1
1
1

Unit
Each
Each
LS
LS

Unit Cost
$40,000
$4,500,000
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
40%

ard Engineering, November 13, 2006

Cost
$21,642,188
$3,367,500
$16,068,750
$8,406,250
$49,484,688
$12,740,000
$62,224,688
$9,333,703
$15,556,172
$87,114,563

Total
$525,000
$30,000
$90,000
$5,000
$385,000
$220,000
$110,000
$630,000
$200,000
$80,000
$200,000
$50,000
$50,000
$2,575,000
$4,000,000
$180,000
$800,000
$150,000
$450,000
$150,000
$6,725,000
$1,681,250
$8,406,250

Total
$1,200,000
$50,000
$330,000
$30,000
$100,000
$7,350,000
$105,000
$100,000
$1,200,000

$70,000
$50,000
$50,000
$520,000
$1,200,000
$12,355,000
$275,000
$25,000
$100,000
$100,000
$12,855,000
$3,213,750
$16,068,750

Total
$224,000
$10,000
$1,260,000
$50,000
$200,000
$300,000
$25,000
$78,000
$25,000
$12,000
$15,000
$10,000
$50,000
$2,259,000
$150,000
$100,000
$35,000
$150,000
$2,694,000
$673,500
$3,367,500

Total
$1,470,000
$100,000
$1,000,000
$1,000,000
$80,000
$50,000
$1,312,500
$1,322,750
$375,000

$80,000
$525,000
$875,000
$2,801,250
$1,498,500
$323,750
$100,000
$1,200,000
$1,000,000
$1,600,000
$16,713,750
$150,000
$50,000
$100,000
$300,000
$17,313,750
$4,328,438
$21,642,188

Cost
$1,600,000
$4,500,000
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$9,100,000
$3,640,000
$12,740,000

Replacement Power Costs


Scenarios
Hydrology Assumptions
Decommissioning Schedule

Relicensing w/FishAg
Relicensing w/BLM
2012 flows
2012 flows
See Scenario Summary page

Decomissioning
Proposed Settlement

NET PRESENT VALUES of Replacement Power Costs over Relicense Period


Replacement Cost Forecast

NWPPC 5th Power


Plan

PacifiCorp 2005

Relicensing v. Current
Change from Current to BLM
Flows

Row 56

Change from Current to


FishAgencies Flows

Row 72

Generation Value Gained Prior to


Removal

Row 87

(35,570,291) $

(28,160,463)

Lost Power Value After Removal

Row 115

187,011,104

134,326,657

Row 13 + Row 14

151,440,814

106,166,194

114,415,548
-

$
$

86,680,733
-

Decommissioning v. Relicensing

NPV of Lost Power Costs plus


Power Gen Revs

Historic to Boyle Upgrade


Power Replacement
Boyle
Copco I
Copco II
Fall Creek
Irongate
Scenario
Replacement Power Cost Per
MWh: 2014 on
Firm Power Replacement Cost
Per MWh: 2014 on
Nonfirm Power Discount Per
MWh
Annual Added Power Value
Boyle
Copco I
Copco II
Fall Creek
Irongate

96,659
3,747
4,941
1,119

MWh/Year
MWh/Year
MWh/Year
MWh/Year
MWh/Year

PacifiCorp 2005NWPPC 5th Power Plan

CPUC MPR

$66.10

$50.08

$79.44

$67.92

$51.46

$81.62

$0.00

$0.00

$0.00

PacifiCorp 2005NWPPC 5th Power Plan

CPUC MPR

$6,565,151

$4,973,731

$7,889,733

$254,477

$192,790

$305,820

$335,627

$254,270

$403,343

$0

$0

$0

$76,000

$57,577

$91,333

Total

$7,231,255

$5,478,368

$8,690,230

Relicensing: Change from 2012 to BLM Flows


Boyle
Copco I
Copco II
Fall Creek
Irongate
Annual Added Power Cost
Boyle
Copco I
Copco II
Fall Creek
Irongate
Annual Total
NPV

(165,108)
(12)
(16)
-

MWh/Year
MWh/Year
MWh/Year
MWh/Year
MWh/Year

#REF!

#REF!

#REF!

($11,214,277)

($8,495,889)

($13,476,865)

($823)

($624)

($989)

($1,119)

($847)

($1,344)

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0
$0

($11,216,219)

($8,497,360)

($13,479,198)

($114,415,548)

($86,680,733)

($137,499,976)

Relicensing: Change from 2012 to FishAgencies Flows


Boyle
Copco I
Copco II
Fall Creek
Irongate
Annual Added Power Cost
Boyle
Copco I
Copco II
Fall Creek
Irongate
Annual Total
NPV

MWh/Year
MWh/Year
MWh/Year
MWh/Year
MWh/Year

#REF!

#REF!

#REF!

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

Decommissioning: Power Gen Revs at Current Conditions & 2012 Flows


Scenario
Replacement Power Cost Per
MWh: 2008-2013
Firm Power Replacement Cost
Per MWh: 2008-2013
Nonfirm Power Discount Per
MWh
Pre Removal Avoided Costs
Boyle
Copco I
Copco II
Fall Creek
Irongate

PacifiCorp 2005NWPPC 5th Power Plan

CPUC MPR

$55.74

$44.13

$77.31

$57.27

$45.34

$79.43

$0.00

$0.00

$0.00

PacifiCorp 2005NWPPC 5th Power Plan

CPUC MPR

$9,455,910

$7,486,101

$694

$549

$13,114,893
$963

$943

$747

$1,308

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

Annual Total
NPV

$9,457,547

$7,487,397

$13,117,164

$35,570,291

$28,160,463

$49,334,287

Decommissioning: Lost Power Value


Boyle
Copco I
Copco II
Fall Creek
Irongate
Scenario
Replacement Power Cost Per
MWh: 2014 on

(242,349)
(91,101)
(124,342)
(92,640)

PacifiCorp 2005NWPPC 5th Power Plan

Firm Power Replacement Cost


Per MWh: 2014 on
Nonfirm Power Discount Per
MWh
Lost Power Value After
Boyle
Copco I
Copco II
Fall Creek
Irongate
Annual Total
NPV

MWh/Year
MWh/Year
MWh/Year
MWh/Year
MWh/Year
CPUC MPR

$75.84

$56.37

$81.51

$75.62

$56.20

$81.27

$0.00

$0.00

$0.00

($17,015,326)

($12,310,576)

($18,385,963)

($6,245,106)

($4,476,543)

($6,760,343)

($8,574,346)

($6,160,487)

($9,277,577)

$0

$0

$0

($6,068,048)

($4,269,626)

($6,591,984)

($37,902,827)

($27,217,232)

($41,015,866)

($187,011,104)

($134,326,657)

($202,359,691)

Decommissioning: NPV of Lost Power Costs plus Power Gen Revs


Net Change
($151,440,814)
($106,166,194)
($153,025,404)
Power Production Changes
Boyle
Copco I
Copco II
Fall Creek
Irongate
Total

2006 PV
(545,219)
(483,803)
(660,329)
0
(403,420)
(2,092,771)

MWh
MWh
MWh
MWh
MWh
MWh

Gain

Example of Comparable NPV Calculations


House price
Interest Rate
Period
Monthly payment (PMT fn)
PV of housing services

$500,000
6%
30 years
$3,027
13.76 years

Monthly payment (NPV/NPV)

$3,027

Key
Decomissioning Other

CPUC MPR

$
$

US DOIPacifiCorp+EIA

Oregon DOE

137,499,976
-

$
$

100,696,600
-

$
$

78,315,975
-

US DOI

$
$

64,042,620
-

(49,334,287) $

(35,018,152) $

(27,457,606) $

202,359,691

145,984,356

110,578,843

81,914,463

153,025,404

110,966,203

83,121,237

58,302,102

Oregon DOE US DOI-PacifiCorp+EIA

US DOI

$58.18

$45.25

$37.00

$59.78

$46.49

$38.02

$0.00

$0.00

$0.00

Oregon DOE US DOI-PacifiCorp+EIA

US DOI

$5,777,960

$4,493,762

$3,674,758

$223,964

$174,186

$142,440

$295,384

$229,733

$187,863

$0

$0

$0

$66,887

$52,021

$42,540

(23,612,362)

$6,364,194

$4,949,701

$4,047,601

#REF!

#REF!

#REF!

($9,869,634)

($7,676,029)

($6,277,046)

($724)

($563)

($461)

($984)

($766)

($626)

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0
$0

($9,871,343)

($7,677,358)

($6,278,133)

($100,696,600)

($78,315,975)

($64,042,620)

#REF!

#REF!

#REF!

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

Oregon DOE US DOI-PacifiCorp+EIA

US DOI

$54.87

$43.03

$37.00

$56.38

$44.21

$38.02

$0.00

$0.00

$0.00

Oregon DOE US DOI-PacifiCorp+EIA

US DOI

$9,309,131

$7,299,256

$6,277,046

$683

$536

$461

$929

$728

$626

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

License Period

30

License Period

Years
6
5
5
7

$9,310,743

$7,300,520

$6,278,133

$35,018,152

$27,457,606

$23,612,362

Oregon DOE US DOI-PacifiCorp+EIA

US DOI

$60.68

$47.59

$37.00

$60.50

$47.45

$36.89

$0.00

$0.00

$0.00

($13,351,615)

($10,189,883)

($7,630,138)

24

($4,867,880)

($3,679,354)

($2,717,120)

25

($6,694,611)

($5,072,426)

($3,759,102)

25

Replacement Period

$0

$0

$0

($4,667,570)

($3,458,977)

($2,480,497)

($29,581,677)

($22,400,640)

($16,586,857)

($145,984,356)

($110,578,843)

($81,914,463)

($110,966,203)

($83,121,237)

($58,302,102)

Loss
(1,387,619)
(575,701)
(785,757)
0
(480,010)

30
23

Key

Editable

Locked

Decomm.
2014
2013
2013
2008
2015

PacifiCorp 2005
NWPPC 5th Power Plan
$35,564,950
$28,156,235
$2,264
$1,792
$3,077
$2,436
$0
$0
$0
$0

PacifiCorp 2005
NWPPC 5th Power Plan
($81,879,752)
($59,239,940)
($33,167,975)
($23,775,077)
($45,538,647)
($32,718,559)
$0
$0
($26,424,730)
($18,593,081)

CPUC MPR
$49,326,879
$3,140
$4,267
$0
$0

Oregon DOE
US DOI-PacifiCorp+EIA
$35,012,894
$27,453,483
$2,229
$1,748
$3,029
$2,375
$0
$0
$0
$0

US DOI
$23,608,816
$1,503
$2,042
$0
$0

CPUC MPR
($88,475,420)
($35,904,413)
($49,273,529)
$0
($28,706,329)

Oregon DOE
US DOI-PacifiCorp+EIA
($64,249,542)
($49,034,916)
($25,853,481)
($19,541,174)
($35,555,311)
($26,939,832)
$0
$0
($20,326,021)
($15,062,921)

US DOI Annual Level O&M


($36,717,122)
$1,310,011
($14,430,717)
$643,572
($19,964,721)
$827,806
$0
$0
($10,801,903)
$936,935

This spreadsheet is based on EIAData82_03_Klamath.xls


Source: EIAData82-03.xls from Nancy
Klamath Project Generation (MWH) 1982-2003 (Water Year: Oct 1-Sep 30)
Project
Irongate
Copco 1
Average
676,015
114,121
103,207
Minimum
187,500
44,177
33,326
Maximum
1,016,497
143,349
153,626
Median
675,265
117,659
102,346
Standard Deviation
228,953
25,855
33,074
Years
22
22
22
Changes to Represent
Historic to Current (2012 flows)
Current to 2012BLM Relicensing
Current to 2012FishAgency Relicensing
Current to Decommissioning (Proposed Settlement)
Current to Decommissioning (Other scenarios)

Copco 2
136,118
45,212
222,212
134,083
44,839
22

Hydrologic Probabilities
Years
Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Total Years

6
12
12
9
5
44

Based Ukl_Inflows_Define_WYT.xls from Nancy Parker

Power Replacement Needs


Historic to Boyle
Upgrade

Relicensing: Change to 2012 with Boyle Upg


BLM2012

All Dams
Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Expected Composite

1
2
3
4
5

1
(157,926)
(166,096)
(172,484)
(167,195)
(150,147)
(165,136)

JC Boyle
Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Expected Composite

1
2
3
4
5

(157,909)
(166,082)
(172,437)
(167,188)
(150,075)
(165,108)

96,659

Copco I
Dry

(7)

BA

(6)

Avg

(20)

AA

(3)

Wet

(30)

Expected Composite

3,747

(12)

Copco II
Dry

(9)

BA

(8)

Avg

(27)

AA
Wet
Expected Composite

4
5

(4)
(42)
(16)

4,941

Fall Creek
Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Expected Composite

1
2
3
4
5

Irongate
Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Expected Composite

1
2
3
4
5

1,119

JC Boyle
322,568
64,785
546,481
313,633
132,634
22
Probability
13.6%
27.3%
27.3%
20.5%
11.4%

Fall Creek
1
1
1
1
1
1
Power Production Costs
JC Boyle
Copco I
Copco II
Fall Creek
Irongate

(2005$
(2005$/MWh)
$1,310,011 $
4.21
$643,572 $
7.37
$827,806 $
6.93
$36,145 $
6.78
$936,935 $ 10.24

Decommissioning: Change 2012 with Boyle Upgrade to zero power


production

sing: Change to 2012 with Boyle Upgrade


FishAg 2012 - nonactive scenario

Proposed Settlement

Other

(394,562)
(482,458)
(590,694)
(658,214)
(718,725)
(562,790)

(140,837)
(191,344)
(256,984)
(300,493)
(346,791)
(242,349)

(66,942)

(79,070)

(95,819)

(105,435)

(111,845)

(91,101)

(92,092)

(108,356)

(130,629)

(143,423)
(151,971)
(124,342)

(11,970)
(12,401)
(12,299)
(12,672)
(12,302)
(12,358)

(82,721)
(91,288)
(94,963)
(96,191)
(95,815)
(92,640)

Level 2008-2013
$1,310,011
$643,572
$827,806
$0
$936,935

Level 2014 on
$1,310,011
$643,572
$827,806
$0
$936,935

NPV 2014 on
$16,279,332
$7,997,583
$10,287,035
$0
$11,643,166
$46,207,116

Old data:

Change from Historic to Current (2012) using BLM or FishAgency Assumptions


Differences

Reduced Power from Relicensing (MWh) - BLM Scenario


Dry
BlwAvg
Avg
AbvAvg
Wet

Reduced Power from Relicens


Dry

Dam
Irongate
Boyle
Copco 1
Copco 2

63,051
72,928
21,206
26,218

89,710
138,004
40,133
49,616

97,530
195,324
56,815
70,230

98,956
239,474
69,666
86,110

102,221
299,410
87,110
107,665

63,051
59,401
11,970
49,749

Fall Creek

75,376

102,623

125,270

141,147

158,830

75,376

Change from Current (2012) to Relicensing Scenario


Differences

Reduced Power from Relicensing (MWh) - BLM Scenario


Dry
BlwAvg
Avg
AbvAvg
Wet

Reduced Power from Relicens


Dry

Dam
Irongate
Boyle

63,051
72,928

89,710
138,004

97,530
195,324

98,956
239,474

102,221
299,410

63,051
59,401

Copco 1
Copco 2
Fall Creek

21,206
26,218
75,376

40,133
49,616
102,623

56,815
70,230
125,270

69,666
86,110
141,147

87,110
107,665
158,830

11,970
49,749
75,376

JC Boyle Operations Summary for Historical Inflows

Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr

Differences - Reduced Power Revs from Relicensing


Dry
BlwAvg
Avg
AbvAvg
$
367 $
377 $
364 $
382
$
375 $
341 $
351 $
348
$
373 $
370 $
311 $
319
$
363 $
330 $
276 $
278
$
$
$

225
197
216

$
$
$

300
333
323

$
$
$

240
270
313

$
$
$

206
110
151

May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep

$
$
$
$
$

186
147
112
222
236

$
$
$
$
$

310
209
188
581
366

$
$
$
$
$

336
286
247
631
392

$
$
$
$
$

466
299
255
618
391

Total

3,021

4,027

4,017

3,822

Average monthly power revenue and power production values for JC Boyle Power Plant operat
and reservoir operations criteria including bypass release and ramp rate limits.
Results reflect the average of all years in each water year type, not representative years.
Analysis assumes a constant .023 MW per cfs power generation

Current Condition : Ramp rate = 9 in/hr, bypass reach release = 100 cfs, target 4 hour peak Ju
Relicensing Conditions : Ramp rate = 1 in/hr, bypass reach release = 525 cfs, May-September
Power Pricing : Peak prices are in effect 12 hours per day June-August and 14 hours per day o
Weekend Peak Prices are different than Weekday Peak Prices

duced Power from Relicensing (MWh) - FishAgency Scenario


BlwAvg
Avg
AbvAvg
Wet
89,710
115,336
12,401
72,352

97,530
179,200
12,299
89,752

98,956
228,744
12,672
101,936

102,221
292,327
12,302
115,603

102,623

125,270

141,147

158,830

duced Power from Relicensing (MWh) - FishAgency Scenario


BlwAvg
Avg
AbvAvg
Wet
89,710
115,336

97,530
179,200

98,956
228,744

102,221
292,327

12,401
72,352
102,623

12,299
89,752
125,270

12,672
101,936
141,147

12,302
115,603
158,830

Relicensing

Differences - Reduced Power from Relicensing

$
$
$
$

Wet
371
388
229
325

$
$
$

110
-

Dry

BlwAvg

Avg

AbvAvg

Wet

Oct

9417

9961

9454

10034

9709

Nov

9725

8703

8889

8746

9844

Dec

9478

9304

8106

8308

5844

Jan

10054

8676

7323

7537

9117

Feb

6323

8227

6805

5746

3152

Mar

5513

9242

7635

3052

Apr

6477

9569

9167

4555

$
$
$
$
$

533
462
309
721
371

3,818

May

5721

9493

9578

14187

17178

Jun

4066

5784

7648

7736

11295

Jul

2800

4690

6095

6168

7349

Aug

3514

8767

9401

9195

10790

Sep

6247

9671

10045

9893

9218

Total

79334

102088

100146

95156

93497

r JC Boyle Power Plant operations given historical reservoir inflows


mp rate limits.

ot representative years.

100 cfs, target 4 hour peak June-August and 10 hour peak otherwise
se = 525 cfs, May-September target one peak per week
August and 14 hours per day otherwise.

Annual Average Generation and Revenue by Water Year Ty


Klamath River Hydropower Generation (MWH)

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Avg.

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Avg.

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Avg.

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Avg.

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Avg.
Total

J. C. Boyle
BLM Hist
62,732
106,904
176,565
219,442
289,814
163,683
Copco I
BLM Hist
53,454
74,525
91,690
104,197
118,105
87,355
Copco II
BLM Hist
74,179
102,322
125,170
141,868
160,363
119,400
Fall Creek
BLM Hist
11,970
12,401
12,299
12,672
12,302
12,358
Iron Gate
BLM Hist
63,051
89,710
97,530
98,956
102,221
91,521
461,958

BLM 2012
79,875
120,447
185,745
225,961
269,467
171,239

Current Hist
218,312
341,684
416,636
469,099
530,053
392,770

Current 2012
298,747
357,425
429,421
467,680
496,866
407,457

BLM 2012
66,942
79,070
95,819
105,435
111,845
91,101

Current Hist
53,461
74,531
91,710
104,200
118,137
87,367

Current 2012
66,949
79,076
95,839
105,438
111,875
91,114

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

BLM 2012
92,092
108,356
130,629
143,423
151,971
124,342

Current Hist
74,190
102,330
125,197
141,872
160,403
119,417

Current 2012
92,101
108,364
130,655
143,428
152,013
124,358

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

BLM 2012
11,970
12,401
12,299
12,672
12,302
12,358

Current Hist
11,970
12,401
12,299
12,672
12,302
12,358

Current 2012
11,970
12,401
12,299
12,672
12,302
12,358

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

BLM 2012
82,721
91,288
94,963
96,191
95,815
92,640

Current Hist
63,051
89,710
97,530
98,956
102,221
91,521

Current 2012
82,721
91,288
94,963
96,191
95,815
92,640

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

479,322

691,074

715,568

13.6%
27.3%
27.3%
20.5%
11.4%

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

n and Revenue by Water Year Type


Klamath River Hydropower Revenue (1000's Dollars)
J. C. Boyle
BLM Hist
2,213
3,708
5,975
7,241
9,459

BLM 2012
2,626
3,980
6,069
7,247
8,589

Current Hist
7,985
12,388
14,860
16,472
18,536

Current 2012
10,892
12,879
15,211
16,281
17,227

Copco I
BLM Hist
1,995
2,773
3,346
3,720
4,177

BLM 2012
2,494
2,907
3,441
3,709
3,907

Current Hist
1,995
2,773
3,347
3,720
4,178

Current 2012
2,494
2,907
3,442
3,709
3,908

Copco II
BLM Hist
2,766
3,803
4,566
5,064
5,672

BLM 2012
3,428
3,979
4,691
5,047
5,310

Current Hist
2,766
3,803
4,567
5,065
5,673

Current 2012
3,429
3,979
4,692
5,048
5,312

Fall Creek
BLM Hist
417
429
427
441
423

BLM 2012
417
429
427
441
423

Current Hist
417
429
427
441
423

Current 2012
417
429
427
441
423

Iron Gate
BLM Hist
2,206
3,123
3,377
3,417
3,515

BLM 2012
2,859
3,144
3,267
3,300
3,283

Current Hist
2,206
3,123
3,377
3,417
3,515

Current 2012
2,859
3,144
3,267
3,300
3,283

Klamath River Hydropower Pa

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Avg.

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Avg.

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Avg.

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Avg.

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Avg.

J. C. Boyle
BLM Hist
35.28
34.69
33.84
33.00
32.64
33.96
Copco I
BLM Hist
37.32
37.20
36.49
35.70
35.36
36.51
Copco II
BLM Hist
37.29
37.16
36.48
35.70
35.37
36.49
Fall Creek
BLM Hist
34.87
34.60
34.72
34.80
34.41
34.69
Iron Gate
BLM Hist
34.99
34.81
34.63
34.53
34.39
34.68

ath River Hydropower Partial Wgt'd Avg Price ($/MWH)

Klamath River Hydropower Wt'd Avg. P

BLM 2012
32.88
33.05
32.68
32.07
31.88
32.59

Current Hist
36.58
36.26
35.67
35.11
34.97
35.76

Current 2012
36.46
36.03
35.42
34.81
34.67
35.52

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Avg.

BLM 2012
37.25
36.76
35.91
35.18
34.93
36.06

Current Hist
37.32
37.20
36.49
35.70
35.36
36.51

Current 2012
37.25
36.76
35.91
35.18
34.93
36.06

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Avg.

BLM 2012
37.23
36.72
35.91
35.19
34.94
36.05

Current Hist
37.29
37.16
36.48
35.70
35.37
36.49

Current 2012
37.23
36.72
35.91
35.19
34.94
36.05

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Avg.

BLM 2012
34.87
34.60
34.72
34.80
34.41
34.69

Current Hist
34.87
34.60
34.72
34.80
34.41
34.69

Current 2012
34.87
34.60
34.72
34.80
34.41
34.69

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Avg.

BLM 2012
34.56
34.44
34.40
34.30
34.26
34.40

Current Hist
34.99
34.81
34.63
34.53
34.39
34.68

Current 2012
34.56
34.44
34.40
34.30
34.26
34.40

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Avg.
Avg.

Ratio to System Avg.

J. C. Boyle
BLM Hist
301.83
1,011.36
1,629.45
1,481.14
1,074.84
33.59
Copco I
BLM Hist
272.00
756.15
912.57
760.86
474.60
36.36
Copco II
BLM Hist
377.16
1,037.10
1,245.35
1,035.91
644.52
36.35
Fall Creek
BLM Hist
56.91
117.02
116.46
90.20
48.11
34.69
Iron Gate
BLM Hist
300.87
851.66
921.01
699.00
399.47
34.66
35.04

BLM 2012
358.10
1,085.58
1,655.26
1,482.42
976.08
32.45
BLM 2012
340.03
792.72
938.53
758.65
443.96
35.94
BLM 2012
467.47
1,085.21
1,279.24
1,032.44
603.44
35.93
BLM 2012
56.91
117.02
116.46
90.20
48.11
34.69
BLM 2012
389.87
857.41
890.90
674.96
373.07
34.39
34.39

0.997

Hydropower Wt'd Avg. Price ($/MWH)

Current Hist
1,088.85
3,378.60
4,052.80
3,369.18
2,106.32
35.63

Current 2012
1,485.27
3,512.53
4,148.56
3,330.30
1,957.66
35.43

Current Hist
272.03
756.20
912.78
760.88
474.73
36.36

Current 2012
340.07
792.77
938.74
758.68
444.08
35.94

Current Hist
377.22
1,037.18
1,245.62
1,035.94
644.68
36.35

Current 2012
467.53
1,085.29
1,279.52
1,032.47
603.62
35.93

Current Hist
56.91
117.02
116.46
90.20
48.11
34.69

Current 2012
56.91
117.02
116.46
90.20
48.11
34.69

Current Hist
300.87
851.66
921.01
699.00
399.47
34.66

Current 2012
389.87
857.41
890.90
674.96
373.07
34.39

35.72

35.44

1.028

Alternative Forecasts for Replacement Power for Klamath Dam Complex


Key
Assumptions:

Source
Scenario
Base Year $
Category
Units
Scenario
Levelized
2008-2013
2014-end
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034

Replacement power cost is based on estimated future year cost of installed natural gas fired tur
Installed natural gas-fired power plants are "firm" power production capacity because they are reliably contr
supplied by the Klamath complex is "nonfirm" in that it will not be available in very dry years, after several ye
possible dam failure.
Numbers in bold italics are interpolated from original data by M.C

PacifiCorp July 2005 to


OPUC Avoided Costs

NWPPC 5th Power


Plan Base Forecast

PacifiCorp 2005
Nominal $
Average
$/MWh
1
$66.10
$55.74
$75.84
66.36
58.91
54.94
51.74
48.62
53.94
56.95
62.63
65.35
65.96
67.11
68.88
70.67
72.38
74.34
76.32
78.39
80.55
82.73
84.94
87.32
89.72
92.15
94.67

NWPPC 5th Power Plan


Nominal $
Average
$/MWh
2
$50.08
$44.13
$56.37
51.48
51.58
49.57
47.23
43.83
41.94
42.83
43.27
45.07
46.30
47.78
49.71
53.19
55.42
57.33
59.57
63.05
65.00
66.57
69.34
72.20

CPUC 2006 MPR


CPUC MPR
Nominal $
Average
$/MWH
8
$79.44
$77.31
$81.51

$84.98
$79.41
$75.53
$74.48
$73.43
$72.37
$71.30
$71.92
$73.49
$75.95
$77.76
$80.55
$82.89
$85.19
$87.84
$90.51
$93.37
$96.21
$98.85
$101.68

2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058

st of installed natural gas fired turbine combined cycle power


nt."
ction capacity because they are reliably controlled by humans,
s "nonfirm" in that it will not be available in very dry years, after
robability but still possible dam failure.
ated from original data by M.Cubed
PacifiCorp Marginal
Cost Study with EIA
Natural Gas Price
Oregon DOE
Forecast
Oregon DOE
2006
Average
$/MWH
7
$58.18
$54.87
$60.68

54.23
54.23
54.23
54.23
54.23
58.73
58.73
58.73
58.73
58.73
58.73
58.73
58.73
58.73
58.73
66.04
66.04
66.04
66.04
66.04

US DOI-PacifiCorp+EIA
Nominal $
Average
$/MWH
10
$45.25
$43.03
$47.59
30.79
43.28
44.23
43.97
42.01
41.30
42.52
43.75
41.11
42.07
44.25
46.29
47.53
48.85
50.25
50.70
52.04
53.43
54.86
56.42

US DOI
US DOI
2006
Average
$/MWH
9
$37.00
$37.00
$37.00

BPA New
Resource
Wholesale Rate
BPA 07 NR
Nominal $
$/MWH
4
$64.31

53.22
64.31
64.31
64.31

Cost Assumptions
$2,000
15
$249
$28.46

per akW
years
per akW/yr
per MWh

BPA Melded
NR/RE
Wholesale Rate

SCE SP-15
Forwards

BPA 07 Melded
Nominal $

SCE SP15
Nominal $

$/MWH
5
$51.08

$/MWH

43.79
51.08
51.08
51.08

69.18
76.15
73.69

PacifiCorp July 2005 to


OPUC Avoided Costs

Nominal $
On Peak
$/MWh
6

Nominal $
Off Peak
$/MWh

71.27
63.58
59.59
55.79
52.60
62.13
65.38
71.30
74.28
75.15
76.57
78.62
80.69
82.70
84.96
87.25
89.70
92.26
94.85
97.48
100.29
103.15
106.04
109.05

59.81
52.69
48.73
46.34
43.31
43.03
45.72
51.07
53.45
53.71
54.50
55.90
57.30
58.63
60.18
61.74
63.30
64.94
66.58
68.23
70.03
71.82
73.63
75.50

$72.87

NWPPC 5th
NWPPC 5th
Power Plan Base Power Plan Base
Forecast
Forecast
NWPPC 5th PP
2000$
Average
$/MWh
2
$34.21
$33.95

NWPPC 5th PP
2005$
Average
$/MWh
2
$38.42
$38.13

45.84
44.68
41.76
38.71
34.94
32.52
32.31
31.75
32.17
32.15
32.28
32.66
33.99
34.46
34.67
35.05
36.08
36.18
36.05
36.52
36.99

51.48
50.18
46.90
43.47
39.24
36.53
36.29
35.66
36.13
36.11
36.25
36.68
38.18
38.70
38.94
39.36
40.52
40.63
40.48
41.02
41.55

CEC Preliminary
Staff Cost of
Generation
Combined Cycle
CEC Prelim Staff
CoG
Nominal $
Average
$/MWh
3
$77.24
$65.77
$88.63

$58.42
$66.77
$58.14
$69.23
$69.21
$75.96
$74.41
$81.96
$82.89
$83.80
$89.65
$95.74
$86.61
$87.89
$92.49
$97.26
$98.63
$100.01
$103.33
$105.78

$120

$100

$80

$/MWH

CPUC MPR
Oregon DOE
PacifiCorp 2005

$60

US DOI-PacifiCorp+EIA
NWPPC 5th Power Plan
$40

$20

$0

Year

Monthly Prices
Annual Average
Area/Hub
Mid-Columbia
Source: NWPPC Forecast - 2005

Month
Jan-06
Jan-06
Jan-06
Feb-06
Feb-06
Feb-06
Mar-06
Mar-06
Mar-06
Apr-06
Apr-06
Apr-06
May-06
May-06
May-06
Jun-06
Jun-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Jul-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
Aug-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
Sep-06
Sep-06
Oct-06
Oct-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
Nov-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Dec-06
Dec-06

Price Period
Peak
Off Peak
WkEPk
Peak
Off Peak
WkEPk
Peak
Off Peak
WkEPk
Peak
Off Peak
WkEPk
Peak
Off Peak
WkEPk
Peak
Off Peak
WkEPk
Peak
Off Peak
WkEPk
Peak
Off Peak
WkEPk
Peak
Off Peak
WkEPk
Peak
Off Peak
WkEPk
Peak
Off Peak
WkEPk
Peak
Off Peak
WkEPk
Price Period
Peak
Off Peak
WkEPk

4.35 wks/mo
2.90 Months til extra day

34.50

Period
Ratio vs.
Average
Annual Avg. Extra Sat.
37.73
1.0936
31.82
0.9226
33.69
1
0.9767
36.45
1.0567
30.52
0.8848
33.37
0.9674
35.42
1.0269
32.93
0.9547
35.05
1.0160
34.72
1.0066
28.17
0.8165
30.70
1
0.8900
33.13
0.9605
25.12
0.7281
27.60
0.8001
37.43
1.0850
26.13
0.7575
27.81
0.8062
41.19
1.1942
28.77
0.8340
33.20
1
0.9625
67.83
1.9662
29.79
0.8635
35.75
1.0362
38.00
1.1015
29.66
0.8599
34.78
1.0083
38.47
1.1153
30.67
0.8890
33.88
1
0.9822
40.05
1.1610
34.10
0.9884
36.79
1.0666
39.41
1.1423
34.16
0.9903
37.21
1.0788

1.1592
0.8741
0.9659

1.326108

Hrs/Day
14
10
14
14
10
14
14
10
14
14
10
14
14
10
14
14
10
14
14
10
14
14
10
14
14
10
14
14
10
14
14
10
14
14
10
14

Periods

Hrs/Mo.
310
310
124
280
280
112
310
310
124
300
300
120
310
310
124
300
300
120
310
310
124
310
310
124
300
300
120
310
310
124
300
300
120
310
310
124
3650
3650
1460
8760

Start
HE 7
HE 21
HE 7
HE 7
HE 21
HE 7
HE 7
HE 21
HE 7
HE 7
HE 21
HE 7
HE 7
HE 21
HE 7
HE 7
HE 21
HE 7
HE 7
HE 21
HE 7
HE 7
HE 21
HE 7
HE 7
HE 21
HE 7
HE 7
HE 21
HE 7
HE 7
HE 21
HE 7
HE 7
HE 21
HE 7

22.1
31
8.9
20.0
28
8.0
22.1
31
8.9
21.4
30
8.6
22.1
31
8.9
21.4
30
8.6
22.1
31
8.9
22.1
31
8.9
21.4
30
8.6
22.1
31
8.9
21.4
30
8.6
22.1
31
8.9
41.7%
41.7%
16.7%

58.3%

End
HE 20
HE 6
HE 20
HE 20
HE 6
HE 20
HE 20
HE 6
HE 20
HE 20
HE 6
HE 20
HE 20
HE 6
HE 20
HE 18
HE 6
HE 18
HE 18
HE 6
HE 18
HE 18
HE 6
HE 18
HE 20
HE 6
HE 20
HE 20
HE 6
HE 20
HE 20
HE 6
HE 20
HE 20
HE 6
HE 20

Summary of Natural Gas Price Forecasts

Source

NWPPC 5PP-Low

NWPPC 5PP-Medium

NWPPC 5PP-High

Scenario
Pub Date

NWPPC 5PP-Low
Apr-02

NWPPC 5PP-Medium
Apr-02

NWPPC 5PP-High
Apr-02

NWPCC Avg Delivered


Gas Price - Low
$/MMBtu
5.23
4.99
4.73
4.46
4.20
3.96
3.97
3.98
3.98
3.98
3.98
4.09
4.20
4.32
4.44
4.56
4.67
4.78
4.90
5.01
5.14

NWPCC Avg Delivered


Gas Price - Medium
$/MMBtu
6.13
5.97
5.79
5.58
5.39
5.20
5.25
5.29
5.34
5.38
5.42
5.54
5.66
5.80
5.93
6.07
6.20
6.34
6.49
6.65
6.80

NWPCC Avg Delivered


Gas Price - High
$/MMBtu
7.76
7.52
7.25
6.96
6.70
6.45
6.54
6.63
6.73
6.82
6.91
7.07
7.22
7.39
7.55
7.72
7.89
8.07
8.25
8.43
8.62

Category
Units
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044

2045
2046
2047
2048

EIA 2006 AEO Electric


Power Sector
EIA 2006 AEO Electric
Power Sector
Dec-05
EIA Electric Power
Sector Price
$/MMBtu
8.23
7.53
6.93
6.70
6.33
6.09
5.98
6.06
6.30
6.31
6.18
6.26
6.43
6.74
7.05
7.16
7.46
7.68
7.90
8.19
8.50
8.75
9.03

CEC 2005 Staff Draft

CPUC 2005 MPR

CEC 2005 Staff Draft


Sep-05

CPUC 2005 MPR


Mar-06

MPR CA Gas
Natural Gas Utility Price
Forecast (nominal$)
Forecast
$/MMBtu
$/MMBtu
5.15
$10.75
5.69
$9.52
6.12
$8.35
5.88
$7.56
7.36
$7.02
5.95
$6.86
7.50
$6.70
7.39
$6.55
8.28
$6.39
7.93
$6.46
8.93
$6.66
8.97
$6.99
9.01
$7.22
9.76
$7.58
10.53
$7.89
10.64
$8.18
10.76
$8.53
11.34
$8.88
11.94
$9.25
12.06
$9.62
12.18
$9.96
12.56
$10.33
12.99
$10.68
13.47
13.91
$11.06
14.30
$11.49
14.73
$11.83
15.20
15.65
16.08
16.55
17.07
17.60

PacifiCorp 2004
OPUC MC
PacifiCorp 2004

PacifiCorp 2004 UE170 Gas Price

4.00
4.29
4.38
4.29
3.97
3.82
3.94
4.06
3.64
3.72
3.97
4.20
4.32
4.45
4.58
4.58
4.71
4.84
4.97
5.12

PacifiCorp 2005 OPUC and


CPUC GRCs

PacifiCorp 2005 CPUC


MC

NYMEX Futures Dec


2005

NYMEX Futures Jun


2006

PacifiCorp 2005
Nov-05

PacifiCorp 2005MC

NYMEX 2005
Jan-06

NYMEX 2006
Jun-06

PacifiCorp 2005 Avoided


Cost Gas Price

PacifiCorp 2005 CPUC


Gas Price

NYMEX Exchange
Futures Prices
$/MMBtu

NYMEX Exchange
Futures Prices
$/MMBtu

9.38
9.93
9.43
8.86
8.32
7.88

8.93
8.59
8.17
7.89
7.58

7.62
7.40
6.80
6.30
5.91
5.54
5.89
6.59
6.90
6.93
7.03
7.21
7.39
7.56
7.76
7.96
8.16
8.37
8.58
8.79
9.02

6.80
6.30
5.91
5.54
5.89
6.59
6.90
6.93
7.03
7.21

CEC GDP
Deflator (2004)
1
1.021
1.040
1.058
1.076
1.096
1.116
1.135
1.155
1.175
1.195
1.216
1.237
1.259
1.281
1.304
1.327
1.350
1.374
1.399
1.424
1.449
1.475

$10.75
$9.52
$8.35
$7.56
$7.02
$6.86
$6.70
$6.55
$6.39
$6.46
$6.66
$6.99
$7.22
$7.58
$7.89
$8.18
$8.53
$8.88
$9.25
$9.62
$9.96
$10.33
$10.68
$11.06
$11.49
$11.83

$12.00

$10.00
NYMEX Futures Dec 2005
NYMEX Futures Jun 2006

Nominal $/MMBtu

$8.00

CPUC 2005 MPR


EIA 2006 AEO Electric Power Sector

$6.00

NWPCC Avg Delivered Gas Price - High


NWPCC Avg Delivered Gas Price - Medium

NWPCC Avg Delivered Gas Price - Low

$4.00

PacifiCorp 2005 OPUC and CPUC GRCs


PacifiCorp 2004 OPUC MC

$2.00

$0.00
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029

Year

Confidential
Klamath Project Annual Average Generation by Water Year Type
44-Year Water History (1961-2004)
Hydropower Generation (MWH)

Current License Conditions with Historic Keno Flows


J. C. Boyle
162,435
254,172
329,088
385,018
447,245

Copco I
53,461
74,531
91,710
104,200
118,137

Copco II
74,190
102,330
125,197
141,872
160,403

Fall Creek
11,970
12,401
12,299
12,672
12,302

Iron Gate
63,051
89,710
97,530
98,956
102,221

Total
365,107
533,143
655,824
742,718
840,308

Avg.

310,798

87,367

119,417

12,358

91,521

621,460

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

J. C. Boyle
218,312
341,684
416,636
469,099
530,053

Copco I
53,461
74,531
91,710
104,200
118,137

Copco II
74,190
102,330
125,197
141,872
160,403

Fall Creek
11,970
12,401
12,299
12,672
12,302

Iron Gate
63,051
89,710
97,530
98,956
102,221

Total
420,985
620,656
743,372
826,799
923,116

Avg.

392,770

87,367

119,417

12,358

91,521

703,432

Difference

81,972
18.3%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

81,972
9.8%

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

13.6%
27.3%
27.3%
20.5%
11.4%

Current License Conditions with Historic Keno Flows & Boyle Upgrade
13.6%
27.3%
27.3%
20.5%
11.4%

Current License Conditions with 2012 BO Keno Flows & Boyle Upgrade
J. C. Boyle
298,747
357,425
429,421
467,680
496,866

Copco I
66,949
79,076
95,839
105,438
111,875

Copco II
92,101
108,364
130,655
143,428
152,013

Fall Creek
11,970
12,401
12,299
12,672
12,302

Iron Gate
82,721
91,288
94,963
96,191
95,815

Total
552,488
648,554
763,177
825,409
868,872

Avg.

407,457

91,114

124,358

12,358

92,640

727,926

Difference

14,687

3,747

4,941

1,119

24,494

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

Confidential

13.6%
27.3%
27.3%
20.5%
11.4%

Draft- Subject to Revision

3/22/2013

Confidential
3.7%

4.3%

4.1%

0.0%

1.2%

3.5%

Proposed BLM Flow & Operation Conditions with 2012 BO Keno Flows
Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
Avg.
Difference

Confidential

Prob.
13.6%
27.3%
27.3%
20.5%
11.4%

J. C. Boyle
140,837
191,344
256,984
300,493
346,791

Copco I
66,942
79,070
95,819
105,435
111,845

Copco II
92,092
108,356
130,629
143,423
151,971

Fall Creek
11,970
12,401
12,299
12,672
12,302

Iron Gate
82,721
91,288
94,963
96,191
95,815

Total
394,562
482,458
590,694
658,214
718,725

242,349

91,101

124,342

12,358

92,640

562,790

(165,108)
-40.5%

(12)
0.0%

(16)
0.0%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

(165,136)
-22.7%

Draft- Subject to Revision

3/22/2013

Klamath River Power Revenue (1000's of Dollars)

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

J. C. Boyle
Oct
562
695
735
595
508
645

Nov
809
937
923
820
979
894

Dec
835
985
1,242
1,217
1,325
1,135

Jan
625
925
1,261
1,261
1,242
1,103

Feb
284
780
861
1,105
1,015
854

Mar
223
987
1,146
1,523
1,927
1,184

Apr
94
492
973
1,511
1,999
1,004

May
78
177
532
1,142
1,488
653

Jun
58
76
189
239
974
248

Jul
54
75
97
136
182
106

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Copco I
Oct
233
266
279
248
226
257

Nov
300
309
307
293
342
307

Dec
301
333
408
389
432
375

Jan
252
304
379
395
426
355

Feb
149
274
320
374
370
308

Mar
136
327
364
462
515
371

Apr
104
198
332
426
456
310

May
96
141
219
371
408
245

Jun
88
105
142
157
340
153

Jul
85
107
125
134
155
122

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Copco II
Oct
320
364
381
340
311
352

Nov
409
421
419
400
466
419

Dec
411
455
554
528
585
510

Jan
345
415
515
536
577
483

Feb
207
374
435
507
501
419

Mar
192
446
494
626
695
503

Apr
147
272
451
576
615
422

May
136
196
299
502
551
334

Jun
123
147
196
216
461
210

Jul
121
150
175
185
215
170

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Fall Creek
Oct
Nov
29
41
39
41
37
37
31
41
36
40
35
40

Dec
33
42
35
41
34
38

Jan
39
39
34
39
39
38

Feb
31
32
35
35
34
34

Mar
39
39
39
39
39
39

Apr
26
34
34
34
35
33

May
33
30
32
33
33
32

Jun
31
30
33
33
33
32

Jul
37
36
34
37
34
36

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Iron Gate
Oct
282
305
305
272
275
291

Dec
316
349
352
347
340
345

Jan
267
339
343
341
322
331

Feb
168
308
296
304
279
284

Mar
165
353
340
353
353
328

Apr
135
270
311
312
313
281

May
125
193
270
298
297
245

Jun
97
122
177
198
303
174

Jul
94
125
141
154
175
139

Nov
293
325
324
313
328
318

ars)

Klamath River Power Production in MW

Aug
65
151
161
157
238
155

Sep
101
237
458
479
534
376

Total
3,789
6,518
8,578
10,183
12,411
8,356

Aug
139
239
256
253
280
241

Sep
112
168
214
218
227
194

Total
1,995
2,773
3,346
3,720
4,177
3,237

Aug
196
331
353
348
384
332

Sep
160
233
294
299
311
267

Total
2,766
3,803
4,566
5,064
5,672
4,421

Aug
47
30
44
46
29
40

Sep
30
37
32
31
37
34

Total
417
429
427
441
423
430

Aug
131
222
256
257
256
233

Sep
133
212
262
269
274
238

Total
2,206
3,123
3,377
3,417
3,515
3,206

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

J. C. Boyle
Oct
Nov
16,451 21,067
20,298 24,435
21,471 24,104
17,432 21,360
14,899 25,580
18,851 23,323

Dec
21,906
25,816
32,786
32,143
35,014
29,899

Jan
17,389
25,820
35,568
35,497
34,986
30,981

Feb
8,096
22,384
24,979
32,136
29,711
24,739

Mar
6,373
28,199
32,880
43,826
55,596
34,016

Apr
2,808
14,773
29,801
47,155
63,015
31,089

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Copco I
Oct
6,302
7,236
7,641
6,778
6,101
6,997

Nov
7,826
8,040
7,993
7,613
8,950
8,000

Dec
7,889
8,737
10,858
10,315
11,513
9,929

Jan
7,042
8,459
10,694
11,184
12,192
10,013

Feb
4,248
7,840
9,325
10,960
10,876
8,962

Mar
3,870
9,324
10,454
13,340
14,880
10,648

Apr
3,113
5,929
10,236
13,411
14,400
9,617

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Copco II
Oct
8,675
9,920
10,453
9,323
8,402
9,602

Nov
10,687
10,965
10,918
10,427
12,209
10,927

Dec
10,779
11,924
14,744
14,002
15,616
13,502

Jan
9,637
11,550
14,542
15,199
16,499
13,623

Feb
5,922
10,708
12,655
14,859
14,729
12,190

Mar
5,433
12,726
14,197
18,048
20,088
14,466

Apr
4,407
8,155
13,910
18,122
19,440
13,073

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Fall Creek
Oct
Nov
835
1,091
1,106
1,088
1,071
1,000
891
1,091
1,036
1,078
1,004
1,064

Dec
900
1,127
939
1,103
902
1,018

Jan
1,127
1,127
979
1,127
1,127
1,087

Feb
931
939
1,027
1,028
1,018
993

Mar
1,127
1,127
1,127
1,127
1,127
1,127

Apr
832
1,066
1,091
1,091
1,091
1,055

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Iron Gate
Oct
8,103
8,758
8,749
7,803
7,882
8,343

Dec
8,493
9,388
9,463
9,324
9,130
9,262

Jan
7,668
9,741
9,840
9,805
9,258
9,494

Feb
4,971
9,114
8,755
8,991
8,241
8,415

Mar
4,774
10,208
9,821
10,208
10,208
9,485

Apr
4,283
8,535
9,827
9,878
9,878
8,893

Nov
7,853
8,700
8,670
8,373
8,794
8,525

r Power Production in MWH

May
2,891
6,432
18,681
39,726
51,727
22,841

Jun
2,106
2,785
6,558
8,215
32,330
8,452

Jul
1,691
2,329
3,055
4,206
5,583
3,294

Aug
1,904
4,569
4,885
4,730
6,719
4,637

Sep
3,020
7,084
13,522
14,153
15,718
11,126

Total
105,703
184,923
248,290
300,577
370,877
243,247

May
3,052
4,511
6,987
12,439
13,897
8,069

Jun
2,515
3,032
4,112
4,540
10,315
4,472

Jul
2,192
2,744
3,223
3,439
3,986
3,127

Aug
2,354
4,101
4,352
4,275
4,870
4,102

Sep
3,050
4,572
5,813
5,903
6,125
5,247

Total
53,454
74,525
91,690
104,197
118,105
89,182

May
4,337
6,275
9,591
16,858
18,792
11,027

Jun
3,541
4,232
5,676
6,240
13,976
6,156

Jul
3,104
3,851
4,489
4,784
5,510
4,362

Aug
3,321
5,670
5,997
5,888
6,693
5,663

Sep
4,336
6,347
8,000
8,117
8,409
7,246

Total
74,179
102,322
125,170
141,868
160,363
121,837

May
1,127
1,025
1,086
1,127
1,127
1,090

Jun
1,009
985
1,091
1,091
1,091
1,055

Jul
1,078
1,054
978
1,086
977
1,035

Aug
1,039
676
971
1,025
645
881

Sep
873
1,079
937
884
1,083
969

Total
11,970
12,401
12,299
12,672
12,302
12,380

May
4,288
6,629
9,264
10,208
10,208
8,383

Jun
3,148
3,974
5,794
6,449
9,878
5,666

Jul
2,724
3,613
4,100
4,470
5,076
4,025

Aug
2,895
4,930
5,675
5,666
5,738
5,178

Sep
3,852
6,120
7,572
7,781
7,931
6,880

Total
63,051
89,710
97,530
98,956
102,221
92,547

Klamath River Power Revenue (1000's of Dollars)

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

J. C. Boyle
Oct
404
385
405
403
324
390

Nov
404
457
573
449
405
475

Dec
544
583
865
757
860
730

Jan
603
772
1,150
1,146
1,396
1,020

Feb
559
816
1,050
951
1,010
906

Mar
686
1,363
1,617
1,917
2,131
1,581

Apr
498
729
1,137
1,650
2,001
1,189

May
343
481
893
1,253
1,594
897

Jun
300
439
491
969
1,203
657

Jul
153
148
156
152
148
152

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Copco I
Oct
206
202
206
208
198
205

Nov
192
197
230
212
192
208

Dec
234
242
307
276
308
275

Jan
247
273
356
369
436
335

Feb
224
290
387
377
378
341

Mar
267
445
462
509
515
454

Apr
197
253
368
442
456
348

May
180
212
315
403
426
308

Jun
177
209
218
342
407
264

Jul
167
165
172
168
166
168

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Copco II
Oct
284
279
284
287
273
282

Nov
266
272
316
292
266
287

Dec
321
332
419
377
420
376

Jan
339
372
483
501
590
456

Feb
306
395
524
510
512
462

Mar
365
602
625
687
695
613

Apr
270
346
499
597
615
472

May
247
290
427
544
574
418

Jun
243
285
297
463
550
358

Jul
230
227
237
232
229
231

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Fall Creek
Oct
Nov
29
41
39
41
37
37
31
41
36
40
35
40

Dec
33
42
35
41
34
38

Jan
39
39
34
39
39
38

Feb
31
32
35
35
34
34

Mar
39
39
39
39
39
39

Apr
26
34
34
34
35
33

May
33
30
32
33
33
32

Jun
31
30
33
33
33
32

Jul
37
36
34
37
34
36

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Iron Gate
Oct
255
256
256
250
246
253

Dec
269
293
310
304
323
301

Jan
253
292
325
328
320
309

Feb
245
291
300
293
273
286

Mar
287
351
353
353
353
345

Apr
257
304
306
312
313
302

May
234
248
280
298
297
273

Jun
201
243
254
290
303
260

Jul
186
186
186
186
186
186

Nov
251
258
274
263
248
262

ars)

Klamath River Power Production in MW

Aug
163
191
167
158
179
172

Sep
165
155
169
154
162
160

Total
4,820
6,518
8,674
9,958
11,413
8,329

Aug
252
270
262
253
269
261

Sep
151
149
158
150
157
153

Total
2,494
2,907
3,441
3,709
3,907
3,320

Aug
347
371
361
349
369
360

Sep
210
208
219
209
217
212

Total
3,428
3,979
4,691
5,047
5,310
4,529

Aug
47
30
44
46
29
40

Sep
30
37
32
31
37
34

Total
417
429
427
441
423
430

Aug
243
242
243
244
241
243

Sep
180
180
180
180
180
180

Total
2,859
3,144
3,267
3,300
3,283
3,200

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

J. C. Boyle
Oct
Nov
11,877 10,323
11,336 11,698
11,927 14,784
11,877 11,574
9,636
10,396
11,501 12,205

Dec
14,152
15,170
22,729
19,905
22,519
19,135

Jan
16,785
21,589
32,414
32,308
39,455
28,705

Feb
15,930
23,523
30,662
27,801
29,715
26,380

Mar
19,575
39,055
46,499
55,259
61,570
45,481

Apr
14,922
22,082
35,055
51,673
63,095
36,865

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Copco I
Oct
5,544
5,453
5,562
5,627
5,351
5,525

Nov
4,915
5,041
5,931
5,465
4,952
5,365

Dec
6,098
6,317
8,111
7,239
8,104
7,215

Jan
6,916
7,628
10,017
10,487
12,494
9,466

Feb
6,442
8,372
11,353
11,080
11,149
9,958

Mar
7,626
12,829
13,341
14,727
14,880
13,085

Apr
5,892
7,624
11,474
13,958
14,400
10,830

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Copco II
Oct
7,646
7,526
7,667
7,762
7,394
7,622

Nov
6,818
6,976
8,159
7,540
6,860
7,409

Dec
8,400
8,683
11,064
9,912
11,061
9,878

Jan
9,474
10,431
13,625
14,223
16,894
12,876

Feb
8,817
11,408
15,377
15,004
15,101
13,515

Mar
10,420
17,357
18,036
19,880
20,088
17,695

Apr
8,097
10,442
15,538
18,850
19,440
14,690

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Fall Creek
Oct
Nov
835
1,091
1,106
1,088
1,071
1,000
891
1,091
1,036
1,078
1,004
1,064

Dec
900
1,127
939
1,103
902
1,018

Jan
1,127
1,127
979
1,127
1,127
1,087

Feb
931
939
1,027
1,028
1,018
993

Mar
1,127
1,127
1,127
1,127
1,127
1,127

Apr
832
1,066
1,091
1,091
1,091
1,055

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Iron Gate
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
7,318
6,722
7,216
7,262
7,354
6,900
7,873
8,392
7,354
7,340
8,337
9,325
7,165
7,030
8,162
9,429
7,069
6,642
8,671
9,202
7270.27 7002.74 8087.77 8869.5

Feb
Mar
7,234
8,312
8,595
10,151
8,872
10,202
8,658
10,208
8,076
10,208
8472.9 9976.51

Apr
8,118
9,616
9,667
9,878
9,878
9555

r Power Production in MWH

May
12,139
16,913
31,146
43,568
55,401
31,290

Jun
10,281
14,846
16,503
32,172
39,855
21,953

Jul
4,900
4,748
5,022
4,874
4,721
4,868

Aug
4,945
5,686
5,092
4,791
5,480
5,193

Sep
5,008
4,698
5,152
4,690
4,948
4,883

Total
140,837
191,344
256,984
300,493
346,791
248,458

May
5,700
6,822
10,456
13,662
14,600
10,279

Jun
5,111
6,028
6,364
10,470
12,717
7,886

Jul
4,295
4,239
4,432
4,333
4,249
4,323

Aug
4,290
4,625
4,457
4,278
4,657
4,458

Sep
4,113
4,093
4,320
4,110
4,292
4,184

Total
66,942
79,070
95,819
105,435
111,845
92,575

May
7,840
9,362
14,206
18,455
19,701
13,958

Jun
6,998
8,242
8,690
14,189
17,182
10,725

Jul
5,913
5,838
6,101
5,967
5,851
5,952

Aug
5,910
6,361
6,142
5,891
6,412
6,138

Sep
5,758
5,729
6,021
5,751
5,986
5,847

Total
92,092
108,356
130,629
143,423
151,971
126,305

May
1,127
1,025
1,086
1,127
1,127
1,090

Jun
1,009
985
1,091
1,091
1,091
1,055

Jul
1,078
1,054
978
1,086
977
1,035

Aug
1,039
676
971
1,025
645
881

Sep
873
1,079
937
884
1,083
969

Total
11,970
12,401
12,299
12,672
12,302
12,380

May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
8,010
6,545
5,386
5,386
5,211
8,515
7,909
5,386
5,386
5,211
9,597
8,285
5,386
5,386
5,211
10,208
9,471
5,386
5,386
5,211
10,208
9,878
5,386
5,386
5,211
9368.27 8470.99 5385.86 5385.86 5211.43

Total
82,721
91,288
94,963
96,191
95,815
93057.1

Klamath River Power Revenue (1000's of Dollars)

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

J. C. Boyle
Oct
Nov
1,107
1,387
1,277
1,479
1,320
1,449
1,157
1,356
1,064
1,607

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

Copco I
Oct
233
266
279
248
226

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

Copco II
Oct
320
364
381
340
311

Dec
1,418
1,594
1,862
1,790
1,955

Jan
1,162
1,452
1,744
1,819
1,909

Feb
588
1,296
1,460
1,705
1,652

Mar
494
1,565
1,684
2,110
2,315

Apr
357
922
1,542
1,933
2,051

May
316
594
1,004
1,694
1,850

Jun
234
326
498
563
1,488

Jul
179
300
386
431
527

Nov
300
309
307
293
342

Dec
301
333
409
389
433

Jan
252
304
379
395
426

Feb
149
274
320
374
370

Mar
136
327
364
462
515

Apr
104
198
332
426
456

May
96
141
219
371
408

Jun
88
105
142
157
340

Jul
85
107
125
134
155

Nov
409
421
420
400
466

Dec
411
455
555
528
587

Jan
345
415
515
536
577

Feb
207
374
435
507
501

Mar
192
446
494
626
695

Apr
147
272
451
576
615

May
136
196
299
502
551

Jun
123
147
196
216
461

Jul
121
150
175
185
215

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

Fall Creek
Oct
Nov
29
41
39
41
37
37
31
41
36
40

Dec
33
42
35
41
34

Jan
39
39
34
39
39

Feb
31
32
35
35
34

Mar
39
39
39
39
39

Apr
26
34
34
34
35

May
33
30
32
33
33

Jun
31
30
33
33
33

Jul
37
36
34
37
34

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

Iron Gate
Oct
282
305
305
272
275

Dec
316
349
352
347
340

Jan
267
339
343
341
322

Feb
168
308
296
304
279

Mar
165
353
340
353
353

Apr
135
270
311
312
313

May
125
193
270
298
297

Jun
97
122
177
198
303

Jul
94
125
141
154
175

Nov
293
325
324
313
328

ars)

Klamath River Power Production in MW

Aug
340
845
904
879
1,041

Sep
404
738
1,006
1,035
1,076

Total
7,985
12,388
14,860
16,472
18,536

Aug
139
239
256
253
280

Sep
113
168
214
218
227

Total
1,995
2,773
3,347
3,720
4,178

Aug
196
331
353
348
384

Sep
160
233
294
299
311

Total
2,766
3,803
4,567
5,065
5,673

Aug
47
30
44
46
29

Sep
30
37
32
31
37

Total
417
429
427
441
423

Aug
131
222
256
257
256

Sep
133
212
262
269
274

Total
2,206
3,123
3,377
3,417
3,515

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

J. C. Boyle
Oct
Nov
31,244 36,605
35,976 39,227
37,401 38,374
32,478 35,837
29,854 42,656

Dec
37,855
42,472
49,683
47,785
52,330

Jan
32,835
41,429
49,702
51,970
54,598

Feb
16,896
37,976
42,924
50,206
48,690

Mar
14,151
45,128
48,544
60,984
66,960

Apr
10,691
28,487
48,384
60,968
64,800

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

Copco I
Oct
6,303
7,236
7,641
6,778
6,101

Nov
7,826
8,040
8,000
7,613
8,950

Dec
7,890
8,737
10,869
10,315
11,545

Jan
7,042
8,459
10,694
11,184
12,192

Feb
4,248
7,845
9,325
10,960
10,876

Mar
3,870
9,324
10,454
13,340
14,880

Apr
3,113
5,929
10,236
13,411
14,400

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

Copco II
Oct
8,676
9,920
10,453
9,323
8,402

Nov
10,687
10,965
10,927
10,427
12,209

Dec
10,781
11,924
14,758
14,002
15,655

Jan
9,637
11,550
14,542
15,199
16,499

Feb
5,922
10,715
12,655
14,859
14,729

Mar
5,433
12,726
14,197
18,048
20,088

Apr
4,407
8,155
13,910
18,122
19,440

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

Fall Creek
Oct
Nov
835
1,091
1,106
1,088
1,071
1,000
891
1,091
1,036
1,078

Dec
900
1,127
939
1,103
902

Jan
1,127
1,127
979
1,127
1,127

Feb
931
939
1,027
1,028
1,018

Mar
1,127
1,127
1,127
1,127
1,127

Apr
832
1,066
1,091
1,091
1,091

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

Iron Gate
Oct
8,103
8,758
8,749
7,803
7,882

Dec
8,493
9,388
9,463
9,324
9,130

Jan
7,668
9,741
9,840
9,805
9,258

Feb
4,971
9,114
8,755
8,991
8,241

Mar
4,774
10,208
9,821
10,208
10,208

Apr
4,283
8,535
9,827
9,878
9,878

Nov
7,853
8,700
8,670
8,373
8,794

r Power Production in MWH

May
10,021
19,158
33,653
57,408
63,161

Jun
6,736
9,388
14,418
16,251
44,919

Jul
4,611
7,697
9,937
11,092
13,492

Aug
5,773
14,479
15,354
14,857
18,044

Sep
10,895
20,268
28,260
29,263
30,551

Total
218,312
341,684
416,636
469,099
530,053

May
3,052
4,511
6,987
12,439
13,897

Jun
2,515
3,032
4,112
4,540
10,315

Jul
2,192
2,744
3,225
3,439
3,986

Aug
2,354
4,101
4,352
4,275
4,870

Sep
3,056
4,572
5,815
5,906
6,125

Total
53,461
74,531
91,710
104,200
118,137

May
4,337
6,275
9,591
16,858
18,792

Jun
3,541
4,232
5,676
6,240
13,976

Jul
3,104
3,851
4,490
4,784
5,510

Aug
3,321
5,670
5,997
5,889
6,693

Sep
4,343
6,347
8,002
8,121
8,409

Total
74,190
102,330
125,197
141,872
160,403

May
1,127
1,025
1,086
1,127
1,127

Jun
1,009
985
1,091
1,091
1,091

Jul
1,078
1,054
978
1,086
977

Aug
1,039
676
971
1,025
645

Sep
873
1,079
937
884
1,083

Total
11,970
12,401
12,299
12,672
12,302

May
4,288
6,629
9,264
10,208
10,208

Jun
3,148
3,974
5,794
6,449
9,878

Jul
2,724
3,613
4,100
4,470
5,076

Aug
2,895
4,930
5,675
5,666
5,738

Sep
3,852
6,120
7,572
7,781
7,931

Total
63,051
89,710
97,530
98,956
102,221

Klamath River Power Revenue (1000's of Dollars)

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

J. C. Boyle
Oct
Nov
973
896
959
954
977
1,073
970
961
916
896

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

Copco I
Oct
206
202
206
208
198

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

Copco II
Oct
284
279
284
287
273

Dec
1,084
1,127
1,421
1,256
1,473

Jan
1,116
1,252
1,639
1,666
1,935

Feb
1,025
1,342
1,753
1,693
1,664

Mar
1,230
2,043
2,110
2,294
2,315

Apr
934
1,209
1,683
2,004
2,051

May
828
976
1,446
1,832
1,921

Jun
676
830
875
1,500
1,823

Jul
588
568
608
586
569

Nov
192
197
230
212
192

Dec
234
242
308
276
309

Jan
247
273
356
369
436

Feb
224
290
387
377
378

Mar
267
445
462
509
515

Apr
197
253
368
442
456

May
180
212
315
403
426

Jun
177
209
218
342
407

Jul
167
165
172
168
166

Nov
266
272
316
292
266

Dec
322
332
419
377
421

Jan
339
372
483
501
590

Feb
306
395
524
510
512

Mar
365
602
625
687
695

Apr
270
346
499
597
615

May
247
290
427
544
574

Jun
243
285
297
463
550

Jul
230
227
237
232
229

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

Fall Creek
Oct
Nov
29
41
39
41
37
37
31
41
36
40

Dec
33
42
35
41
34

Jan
39
39
34
39
39

Feb
31
32
35
35
34

Mar
39
39
39
39
39

Apr
26
34
34
34
35

May
33
30
32
33
33

Jun
31
30
33
33
33

Jul
37
36
34
37
34

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

Iron Gate
Oct
255
256
256
250
246

Dec
269
293
310
304
323

Jan
253
292
325
328
320

Feb
245
291
300
293
273

Mar
287
351
353
353
353

Apr
257
304
306
312
313

May
234
248
280
298
297

Jun
201
243
254
290
303

Jul
186
186
186
186
186

Nov
251
258
274
263
248

ars)

Klamath River Power Production in MW

Aug
889
985
936
874
987

Sep
654
635
692
645
678

Total
10,892
12,879
15,211
16,281
17,227

Aug
252
270
262
253
269

Sep
151
149
158
150
157

Total
2,494
2,907
3,442
3,709
3,908

Aug
347
371
361
349
369

Sep
210
208
219
209
217

Total
3,429
3,979
4,692
5,048
5,312

Aug
47
30
44
46
29

Sep
30
37
32
31
37

Total
417
429
427
441
423

Aug
243
242
243
244
241

Sep
180
180
180
180
180

Total
2,859
3,144
3,267
3,300
3,283

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

J. C. Boyle
Oct
Nov
26,976 23,285
26,538 24,852
27,108 28,158
26,941 25,024
25,201 23,378

Dec
28,401
29,645
37,733
33,170
39,132

Jan
31,460
35,212
46,701
47,495
55,475

Feb
29,668
39,360
51,536
49,927
49,184

Mar
35,328
59,004
60,964
66,338
66,960

Apr
28,976
37,965
52,856
63,276
64,800

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

Copco I
Oct
5,545
5,453
5,562
5,627
5,351

Nov
4,915
5,041
5,938
5,465
4,952

Dec
6,099
6,317
8,122
7,239
8,134

Jan
6,916
7,628
10,017
10,487
12,494

Feb
6,442
8,377
11,353
11,080
11,149

Mar
7,626
12,829
13,341
14,727
14,880

Apr
5,892
7,624
11,474
13,958
14,400

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

Copco II
Oct
7,648
7,526
7,667
7,762
7,394

Nov
6,818
6,976
8,169
7,540
6,860

Dec
8,402
8,683
11,078
9,912
11,103

Jan
9,474
10,431
13,625
14,223
16,894

Feb
8,817
11,416
15,377
15,004
15,101

Mar
10,420
17,357
18,036
19,880
20,088

Apr
8,097
10,442
15,538
18,850
19,440

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

Fall Creek
Oct
Nov
835
1,091
1,106
1,088
1,071
1,000
891
1,091
1,036
1,078

Dec
900
1,127
939
1,103
902

Jan
1,127
1,127
979
1,127
1,127

Feb
931
939
1,027
1,028
1,018

Mar
1,127
1,127
1,127
1,127
1,127

Apr
832
1,066
1,091
1,091
1,091

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet

Iron Gate
Oct
7,318
7,354
7,354
7,165
7,069

Dec
7,216
7,873
8,337
8,162
8,671

Jan
7,262
8,392
9,325
9,429
9,202

Feb
7,234
8,595
8,872
8,658
8,076

Mar
8,312
10,151
10,202
10,208
10,208

Apr
8,118
9,616
9,667
9,878
9,878

Nov
6,722
6,900
7,340
7,030
6,642

r Power Production in MWH

May
27,280
32,385
48,568
62,207
65,899

Jun
19,432
23,909
25,519
46,005
56,897

Jul
15,108
14,576
15,623
15,096
14,549

Aug
15,128
16,850
15,886
14,761
17,101

Sep
17,706
17,129
18,768
17,440
18,290

Total
298,747
357,425
429,421
467,680
496,866

May
5,700
6,822
10,456
13,662
14,600

Jun
5,111
6,028
6,364
10,470
12,717

Jul
4,295
4,239
4,433
4,333
4,249

Aug
4,290
4,625
4,457
4,278
4,657

Sep
4,117
4,093
4,322
4,113
4,292

Total
66,949
79,076
95,839
105,438
111,875

May
7,840
9,363
14,206
18,455
19,701

Jun
6,998
8,242
8,690
14,189
17,182

Jul
5,913
5,838
6,103
5,967
5,851

Aug
5,910
6,361
6,142
5,891
6,412

Sep
5,764
5,729
6,023
5,755
5,986

Total
92,101
108,364
130,655
143,428
152,013

May
1,127
1,025
1,086
1,127
1,127

Jun
1,009
985
1,091
1,091
1,091

Jul
1,078
1,054
978
1,086
977

Aug
1,039
676
971
1,025
645

Sep
873
1,079
937
884
1,083

Total
11,970
12,401
12,299
12,672
12,302

May
8,010
8,515
9,597
10,208
10,208

Jun
6,545
7,909
8,285
9,471
9,878

Jul
5,386
5,386
5,386
5,386
5,386

Aug
5,386
5,386
5,386
5,386
5,386

Sep
5,211
5,211
5,211
5,211
5,211

Total
82,721
91,288
94,963
96,191
95,815

Net Inflow to Upper Klamath Lake (TAF/Month)


Wtr Year
1992
1994
2001
1991
1981
2004
1968
1988
1977
2002
1990
2003
1979
1973
1987
1970
1980
1961
1966
1962
1964
1976
2000
1997
1986
1995
1978
1965
1985
1996
1989
1963
1972
1967
1969
1993
1998
1982

Oct
52.1
80.1
77.086
59.6
57.1
51.00
84.4
66.7
80.2
95.646
78.5
55.8
67.7
100.2
92.3
84.9
84.6
73.5
109.5
95.9
85.5
112.5
84.2
82.9
94.8
43.2
73.2
83.1
114.4
63.1
63.8
159.7
94.9
75.2
68.8
54.1
84.8
72.4

Nov
75.9
67.1
88.5
69.8
87.0
73.30
87.9
81.9
108.6
95.7
81.9
76.7
81.3
127.2
110.4
92.2
109.3
115.0
150.8
120.5
127.5
141.2
100.9
119.6
115.4
78.2
121.5
104.3
195.1
74.1
120.6
125.8
138.9
120.7
103.3
81.3
103.9
127.4

Dec
78.9
93.0
94.1
81.6
116.6
110.70
105.6
135.7
99.0
114.3
93.5
104.1
98.0
174.5
117.6
152.3
107.7
128.9
132.0
138.7
129.1
167.0
118.9
227.1
114.1
77.1
200.6
426.1
142.2
175.5
100.2
175.5
159.4
149.1
111.9
93.9
101.3
242.9

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

79.9
87.8
86.5
101.1
103.7
107.90
110.2
129.3
93.2
133.5
127.6
124.6
119.0
171.4
124.5
295.2
192.6
106.2
122.0
108.6
141.9
155.2
167.1
389.9
164.2
136.2
217.4
397.3
119.3
193.2
100.3
113.3
123.9
145.6
138.3
96.2
194.7
151.3

66.3
69.5
75.9
80.3
116.3
127.18
165.7
125.3
90.3
100.8
96.1
91.3
106.1
136.2
131.6
200.8
165.4
129.6
105.0
123.5
113.3
145.1
169.8
214.5
290.3
137.8
168.6
327.3
114.5
325.5
95.0
178.2
245.3
134.1
113.1
82.5
184.6
303.2

70.7
81.5
113.1
103.4
105.4
143.61
144.1
124.0
104.7
120.9
131.8
110.9
146.2
150.8
163.2
177.7
145.4
143.8
157.4
126.2
115.8
161.9
176.6
167.5
329.0
200.1
195.7
219.6
157.8
228.7
295.4
140.7
418.5
146.9
138.9
289.8
216.5
287.5

66.3
64.4
84.0
77.7
94.4
100.57
81.0
89.9
68.4
124.3
99.0
124.1
94.5
109.5
114.9
104.3
116.0
108.9
175.6
175.2
186.8
140.2
183.8
171.5
174.0
169.7
188.8
152.4
239.9
183.5
246.7
195.5
201.2
166.3
295.8
261.8
180.1
248.5

27.5
50.6
54.0
71.1
72.7
75.90
65.0
74.8
79.4
89.7
75.6
106.6
110.5
93.3
76.0
100.9
107.5
96.3
83.5
114.3
95.0
108.1
142.4
138.2
130.2
166.4
135.8
146.8
113.6
195.5
157.5
174.5
167.9
221.2
184.7
188.8
251.1
203.6

1975
1974
1999
1984
1971
1983
44
Dry
Below Avg
Average
Above Avg
Wet

86.1
96.0
77.2
95.7
84.0
97.8

110.3
187.2
145.9
166.0
157.5
133.8

154.5
213.0
155.6
254.7
158.1
174.7

154.5
273.8
164.0
163.1
212.7
155.5

153.2
173.8
148.8
155.4
166.6
212.9

233.0
268.7
227.4
293.3
229.4
321.1

209.4
304.3
262.8
241.7
268.6
255.8

227.5
195.2
220.6
228.9
259.0
231.0

(TAF/Month)
Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Total

Apr-Sept

2.1
21.2
19.1
34.4
33.0
34.73
33.1
64.6
48.8
32.7
36.7
27.0
29.9
38.7
53.0
64.0
60.1
80.6
56.8
44.1
87.8
64.4
68.9
64.0
69.8
89.5
63.8
77.9
70.8
71.6
59.3
69.0
89.4
127.9
94.7
118.5
146.7
113.8

22.2
0.4
18.4
25.0
10.2
15.06
16.7
9.7
16.6
13.8
17.9
12.2
18.5
28.9
45.6
24.2
22.2
37.0
33.8
30.1
37.3
46.1
29.5
36.2
32.0
41.6
42.6
51.3
31.8
27.1
13.4
45.8
33.8
26.8
24.5
29.1
47.9
64.9

9.0
13.6
19.7
13.8
17.4
20.76
47.2
21.2
28.1
16.1
44.9
14.6
28.0
23.4
29.7
26.1
16.8
45.0
34.9
42.9
32.9
81.8
20.7
45.6
32.3
14.5
36.9
60.6
21.9
31.9
43.4
44.8
44.5
28.7
21.4
32.8
34.6
41.2

27.6
28.9
35.7
33.1
40.9
38.81
48.2
38.5
59.5
32.1
44.3
43.2
50.0
56.7
46.8
49.0
50.2
58.4
60.0
51.9
56.9
59.0
63.1
61.7
83.2
42.2
71.7
69.3
90.6
59.3
62.5
59.9
70.4
50.0
53.4
46.9
56.2
65.6

578.5
658.1
766.0
751.1
854.9
899.5
989.2
961.6
876.9
969.4
928.0
891.1
949.8
1211.0
1105.7
1371.5
1177.8
1123.1
1221.2
1171.7
1209.8
1382.7
1326.0
1718.6
1629.3
1196.4
1516.6
2115.9
1411.9
1629.0
1357.9
1482.7
1788.4
1392.3
1348.8
1375.7
1602.3
1922.4

154.6
179.1
230.9
255.1
268.7
285.8
291.2
298.7
300.8
308.6
318.5
327.7
331.4
350.7
366.1
368.5
372.7
426.2
444.7
458.3
496.7
499.7
508.4
517.2
521.6
523.8
539.6
558.3
568.5
568.9
582.7
589.4
607.3
620.8
674.5
677.9
716.6
737.7

52%
57%

12

12

133.7
112.9
131.8
148.0
150.1
175.7

57.7
64.4
50.7
55.9
61.4
79.7

47.6
49.9
62.8
55.3
33.7
66.4

67.3
56.8
63.1
70.3
65.8
67.9

1634.9
1996.0
1710.8
1928.3
1847.1
1972.2

743.2
783.5
791.9
800.1
838.8
876.5

5
44
13.6%
27.3%
27.3%
20.5%
11.4%

1961-2004
1983-2003

1317.1
1290.5

492.8
492.3

42%
46%

Annual Average Peak and Off-Peak Power Generation by Water Year Type
From Peak-OffPeak Power under Current and Relicensing Conditions.xls, 6/15/06
Peak Period Generation (MWH)
Off-Peak Period Generation (MWH)

% Peak Period Generation

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

J. C. Boyle
BLM Hist
80.5%
79.1%
72.2%
68.7%
64.7%
71.6%

BLM 2012
79.7%
75.8%
70.2%
65.9%
63.1%
69.5%

Current Hist
77.4%
72.7%
69.3%
67.3%
65.3%
69.4%

Current 2012
82.1%
76.7%
71.8%
68.7%
66.0%
72.1%

J. C. Boyle
BLM Hist
85,151
146,292
179,204
206,570
240,104
174,050

BLM 2012
112,284
145,113
180,488
197,946
218,887
172,622

Current Hist
168,888
248,415
288,820
315,737
346,370
278,359

Current 2012
245,182
274,208
308,387
321,482
327,947
298,156

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

J. C. Boyle
BLM Hist
20,562
38,652
69,106
94,005
130,746
69,205

BLM 2012
28,573
46,231
76,501
102,545
127,895
75,838

Current Hist
49,425
93,273
127,826
153,371
183,693
123,013

Current 2012
53,573
83,227
121,041
146,204
168,920
115,652

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Copco I
BLM Hist
90.0%
89.5%
81.2%
75.1%
70.0%
80.1%

BLM 2012
92.2%
86.4%
77.6%
71.5%
68.1%
77.6%

Current Hist
90.0%
89.5%
81.2%
75.1%
70.0%
80.1%

Current 2012
92.2%
86.4%
77.6%
71.5%
68.1%
77.6%

Copco I
BLM Hist
48,082
66,716
74,474
78,222
82,698
71,407

BLM 2012
61,699
68,307
74,396
75,429
76,185
71,893

Current Hist
48,089
66,720
74,480
78,225
82,704
71,412

Current 2012
61,713
68,313
74,414
75,431
76,203
71,903

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Copco I
BLM Hist
5,364
7,827
17,222
25,979
35,403
17,781

BLM 2012
5,252
10,791
21,431
30,021
35,682
20,699

Current Hist
5,365
7,829
17,236
25,980
35,429
17,788

Current 2012
5,244
10,792
21,434
30,022
35,694
20,701

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Copco II
BLM Hist
89.6%
88.9%
81.0%
74.9%
70.0%
79.8%

BLM 2012
91.6%
85.7%
77.4%
71.4%
68.0%
77.4%

Current Hist
89.6%
88.9%
81.0%
74.9%
69.9%
79.8%

Current 2012
91.6%
85.7%
77.4%
71.4%
68.0%
77.4%

Copco II
BLM Hist
66,421
90,939
101,287
106,171
112,159
97,194

BLM 2012
84,305
92,867
101,055
102,430
103,358
97,710

Current Hist
66,429
90,944
101,296
106,174
112,165
97,200

Current 2012
84,327
92,873
101,077
102,433
103,382
97,723

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Copco II
BLM Hist
7,690
11,299
23,808
35,646
48,168
24,577

BLM 2012
7,757
15,442
29,544
40,976
48,595
28,566

Current Hist
7,692
11,302
23,827
35,647
48,202
24,587

Current 2012
7,744
15,444
29,551
40,978
48,611
28,569

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Fall Creek
BLM Hist
56.2%
56.5%
56.3%
56.2%
56.5%
56.3%

BLM 2012
56.2%
56.5%
56.3%
56.2%
56.5%
56.3%

Current Hist
56.2%
56.5%
56.3%
56.2%
56.5%
56.3%

Current 2012
56.2%
56.5%
56.3%
56.2%
56.5%
56.3%

Fall Creek
BLM Hist
6,722
7,008
6,921
7,125
6,950
6,974

BLM 2012
6,722
7,008
6,921
7,125
6,950
6,974

Current Hist
6,722
7,008
6,921
7,125
6,950
6,974

Current 2012
6,722
7,008
6,921
7,125
6,950
6,974

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Fall Creek
BLM Hist
5,248
5,393
5,378
5,547
5,352
5,406

BLM 2012
5,248
5,393
5,378
5,547
5,352
5,406

Current Hist
5,248
5,393
5,378
5,547
5,352
5,406

Current 2012
5,248
5,393
5,378
5,547
5,352
5,406

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Iron Gate
BLM Hist
57.2%
57.2%
57.0%
56.9%
56.6%
57.0%

BLM 2012
56.6%
56.6%
56.7%
56.6%
56.5%
56.6%

Current Hist
57.2%
57.2%
57.0%
56.9%
56.6%
57.0%

Current 2012
56.6%
56.6%
56.7%
56.6%
56.5%
56.6%

Iron Gate
BLM Hist
36,049
51,288
55,595
56,342
57,905
52,746

BLM 2012
46,811
51,695
53,807
54,425
54,171
52,680

Current Hist
36,049
51,288
55,595
56,342
57,905
52,746

Current 2012
46,811
51,695
53,807
54,425
54,171
52,680

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Iron Gate
BLM Hist
27,002
38,422
41,935
42,614
44,316
39,800

BLM 2012
35,910
39,594
41,156
41,767
41,644
40,377

Current Hist
27,002
38,422
41,935
42,614
44,316
39,800

Current 2012
35,910
39,594
41,156
41,767
41,644
40,377

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Total
BLM Hist
78.6%
78.1%
72.6%
69.0%
65.4%
72.0%

BLM 2012
79.0%
75.7%
70.5%
66.4%
63.9%
70.2%

Current Hist
77.5%
74.8%
70.9%
68.2%
65.7%
70.6%

Current 2012
80.5%
76.2%
71.4%
68.0%
65.4%
71.5%

Total
BLM Hist
242,425
362,241
417,481
454,430
499,815
402,372

BLM 2012
311,820
364,990
416,668
437,356
459,551
401,879

Current Hist
326,177
464,374
527,112
563,603
606,093
506,692

Current 2012
444,755
494,096
544,605
560,896
568,652
527,437

Dry
BA
Avg
AA
Wet
All

Total
BLM Hist
65,865
101,594
157,448
203,791
263,985
156,770

BLM 2012
82,740
117,451
174,010
220,855
259,168
170,887

Current Hist
94,731
156,220
216,202
263,158
316,992
210,595

Current 2012
107,719
154,450
218,559
264,516
300,220
210,705

Average Annual Peak Period Power Generation at J.C. Boyle


by Water Year Type and Overall

Average Annual Off-Peak Power Generation at J.C. Boyle


by Water Year Type and Overall

400000

200000

350000

180000
160000

300000
BLM Hist

200000

BLM 2012
Current Hist

150000

MWH

MWH

140000
250000

120000

BLM Hist

100000

BLM 2012
Current Hist

80000

Current 2012

Current 2012

60000

100000

40000
50000

20000

0
Dry

BA

Avg

AA

Wet

All

Dry

Avg

AA

Wet

All

Average Annual Off-Peak Power Generation at Copco I


by Water Year Type and Overall

Average Annual Peak Period Power Generation at Copco I


by Water Year Type and Overall
90000

40000

80000

35000

70000

30000

60000

25000

BLM Hist

50000

BLM 2012

40000

Current Hist

30000

MWH

MWH

BA

BLM Hist

BLM 2012

20000

Current Hist

15000

Current 2012

Current 2012

20000

10000

10000

5000

0
Dry

BA

Avg

AA

Wet

All

Dry

BA

Avg

AA

Wet

All

Average Annual Off-Peak Power Generation at Copco II


by Water Year Type and Overall

Average Annual Peak Period Power Generation at Copco II


by Water Year Type and Overall
120000

60000

100000

50000

80000

40000
BLM 2012

60000

Current Hist

40000

BLM Hist

MWH

MWH

BLM Hist

BLM 2012

30000

Current Hist

20000

Current 2012

20000

Current 2012

10000

0
Dry

BA

Avg

AA

Wet

All

Dry

BA

Avg

AA

Wet

All

Average Annual Off-Peak Power Generation at Iron Gate


by Water Year Type and Overall

Average Annual Peak Period Power Generation at Iron Gate


by Water Year Type and Overall
50000
70000

45000
60000

40000
35000
BLM Hist

40000

BLM 2012

30000

Current Hist

MWH

MWH

50000

BLM Hist

25000

BLM 2012
Current Hist

20000

Current 2012

20000

30000

Current 2012

15000

10000
10000

5000

Dry

BA

Avg

AA

Wet

All

Dry

Avg

AA

Wet

All

Average Annual Total Off-Peak Power Generation


by Water Year Type and Overall

Average Annual Total Peak Period Power Generation


by Water Year Type and Overall
700000

350000

600000

300000

500000

250000
BLM Hist

400000

BLM 2012

300000

Current Hist

MWH

MWH

BA

BLM Hist

200000

BLM 2012

150000

Current Hist

Current 2012

Current 2012

200000

100000

100000

50000

0
Dry

BA

Avg

AA

Wet

All

Dry

BA

Avg

AA

Wet

All

PacifiCorp FERC Project 2082 - Klamath Cost


2004 FERC Form 1 (May 2005)
Project
Klamath Relicensing
$27,205,353

Total Infrastructure Cost


Accumulated Depreciation
Net Book Value

$60,733,232
$22,227,657
$38,505,575

Production Expenses
NPV
Production Expenses Per MWH

$3,718,324

Production Expenses per PC DR

$4,119,000

Fixed Charge Rate


Return of & on Book Value
per MWH
Total $/MWH

10.5%
$7,591,403
$12.22
$18.20

$5.98

JC Boyle
Copco 1
$26,108,067 $8,689,890
$8,141,121 $4,795,160
$17,966,946 $3,894,730
$1,310,011
$

4.21
$1,165,000

Copco 2
$9,053,768
$3,338,835
$5,714,933

$643,572
$

7.37
$772,000

$827,806
$

6.93
$999,000

Irongate
$16,881,507
$5,952,541
$10,928,966
$936,935
$

10.24
$666,000

Fall Creek
$1,052,083
$804,997
$247,086

West Side
$351,583

Eastside
$1,889,308

Keno
$7,473,825
$2,657,832
$4,815,993

Upper Klamath
$4,976,443

$36,145

$13,994

$620,744

$2,817

$70,625

$73,000

$256,000

$54,000

$92,000

6.78
$134,000

FERC Acct. 107, p. 216

er Klamath
FERC, p. 406
PC AIR Response 4/1/05

FERC, p. 406

PC 4/1/05 GN2 AIR Response, page 10

2% Historical Inflation to escalate capital costs from Base Year to Start Year
2% Forward Looking Inflation for Annual Operating Costs

2004 GDP IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATOR


Year

Annual
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044

1.7%
1.8%
2.0%
1.5%
2.1%
1.9%
1.7%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.7%
1.7%
1.7%
1.7%
1.7%
1.7%
1.7%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%

From Base Year (2002) From Start Year (2006)


Cumulative Average Cumulative Average
1.000
2%
1.018
2%
1.038
2%
1.054
2%
1.076
2%
1.00
2%
1.096
2%
1.02
2%
1.115
2%
1.04
2%
1.135
2%
1.05
2%
1.155
2%
1.07
2%
1.176
2%
1.09
2%
1.197
2%
1.11
2%
1.217
2%
1.13
2%
1.238
2%
1.15
2%
1.260
2%
1.17
2%
1.282
2%
1.19
2%
1.304
2%
1.21
2%
1.327
2%
1.23
2%
1.350
2%
1.25
2%
1.374
2%
1.28
2%
1.398
2%
1.30
2%
1.423
2%
1.32
2%
1.449
2%
1.35
2%
1.474
2%
1.37
2%
1.501
2%
1.39
2%
1.527
2%
1.42
2%
1.554
2%
1.44
2%
1.582
2%
1.47
2%
1.610
2%
1.50
2%
1.639
2%
1.52
2%
1.668
2%
1.55
2%
1.698
2%
1.58
2%
1.728
2%
1.61
2%
1.759
2%
1.63
2%
1.790
2%
1.66
2%
1.822
2%
1.69
2%
1.854
2%
1.72
2%
1.887
2%
1.75
2%
1.921
2%
1.78
2%
1.955
2%
1.82
2%
1.990
2%
1.85
2%
2.025
2%
1.88
2%
2.061
2%
1.92
2%
2.098
2%
1.95
2%

Base Year 2000 --> 200

Multiplier for year $2000 to $200


1.0962980
Alternative Conversion Factor
1.0927157

2045
2046

1.8%
1.8%

2.135
2.173

2%
2%

1.98
2.02

2%
2%

From: CEC Demand Analysis Office

Base Year 2002 Deflator


Base Year 2002: y = 0.0264x + 0.9079
2.500
2.000
1.500
1.000
0.500
0.000

Year 2000 --> 2005 Calculation

er for year $2000 to $2005 conversion:


From based year 2002 to $2007

ive Conversion Factor


From base year 2006 to $2011

Year 2002 Deflator

Cumulative
Linear (Cumulative)

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