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Impact of the financial crisis Fall in private investment, tight financing conditions Shale gas
US oil and gas production
Unconventional gas Unconventional oil mboe/d 25
20 15 10 5
Fukushima
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030 2035
Source: IEA
Industry
Households
35%
EU
-66%
US
45%
EU
US
3%
Industry
Households
38%
EU
-4%
US
22%
EU
US
8%
Source: IEA
2035
Japan
European Union
60% 40% 20% 0% China United States
India
Gas exports
20% 20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Oil imports
Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the European Council, 22 May 2013
Source: IEA
10% 14%
17%
Nuclear
18%
12%
14%
24%
Gas
35%
Oil Gas
22%
33%
Oil
Renewables: ~ 310-370 bn
-1.4% imports
0%
Competitiveness
Smart infrastructure
Competitive markets
Diversified supply
Energy efficiency
Security of supply
Renewable sources
Sustainability
8
2.6 billion
barrels
Barrels of oil the EU does not have to import per year
193 billion
GDP of Finland
(in 2012)
Effect on GDP
0,2%
0,0% -0,2% -0,4% -0,6% -0,8% After 1 year After 5 years
Effect on employment
Effect on inflation
After 10 years
10
Gas
Rank Country
Baltic Energy Market Interconnection Plan
Rank
Country
Electricity Electricity and gas Oil and gas Smart grids for electricity in the EU
Central / South Eastern Electricity Connections North-South Gas Corridor in Western Europe North-South Gas Interconnections & Oil Supply Southern Gas Corridor South Western Electricity Interconnections
11
100
80 60 40 20 0
SE UK IE LV DK NL EE MT RO ES CZ PL LT PT SI SK BG IT HU CY LU FI EL FR BE AT DE
100
50
0
ES MT CY PT EL IT BG RO FR HU AT SI SK LV EE LT PL CZ DE IE LU DK NL UK BE SE FI
Source: Fraunhofer
12
Corridor enlargement
Extension of transport routes & new transport routes
13