Professional Documents
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Century
Mahan
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21st
Century
Mahan
Sound Military Conclusions for the Modern Era
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This book has been brought to publication with the generous assistance of
Marguerite and Gerry Lenfest.
Naval Institute Press
291 Wood Road
Annapolis, MD 21402
2013 by Benjamin F. Armstrong
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by
any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying and recording, or by any
information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the
publisher.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Armstrong, Benjamin F.
21st century Mahan : sound military conclusions for the modern era / Benjamin F.
Armstrong.
pages cm
Includes bibliographical references.
ISBN 978-1-61251-243-3 ISBN 978-0-87021-032-7 (ebook) 1. Naval strategy.
2. Mahan, A. T. (Alfred Thayer), 1840-1914Influence. 3. Naval art and science.
I. Mahan, A. T. (Alfred Thayer), 18401914. Works. Selections. II. Title. III. Title:
Twenty-first century Mahan.
V163.A76 2013
359.4dc23
2013002178
This paper meets the requirements of ANSI/NISO z39.48-1992 (Permanence of
Paper).
Printed in the United States of America.
21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13
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First printing
The views, opinions, and concepts expressed in this book are the authors own.
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contents
11
41
79
121
143
Notes
177
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21st
Century
Mahan
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introduction
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introduction
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introduction
Looking East
With these conclusions as background, Mahan looked at the world in an
attempt to determine the next area of great conflict. His focus settled on
Asia. A century before Thomas Friedman wrote that the rise of Asia
demonstrated the flattening of the global political landscape, Mahan
suggested that Japan, India, and China would become central players in
a great economic and political conflict with the West. Mahan knew that
the economic and political could not be separated from the military, and
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introduction
he saw trouble in the future. He wrote that, as we cast our eyes in any
direction, there is everywhere a stirring, a rousting from sleep, in the
non-Western world and a craving for the two advantages of the West at
the turn of the last century: power and material prosperity.8
The early development of Japan, and the Japanese adoption of some
parts of Western culture and economics, was his first indicator. He also
saw the population and rise of India as having great potential. He saw in
both countries the chance that they might adopt important portions of
Western culture, resulting in what he called a conversion.
China, however, was a different story. Mahan admitted that the
Western world knew less about China in general, but he pointed out that
experience had already shown a forceful and determined character in
the Chinese people. He recognized that there was a general conservatism
in Chinese culture, and he wrote that comparative slowness of evolution
may be predicated, but that which for so long has kept China one, amid
many diversities, may be counted upon in the future to insure a substantial
unity of impulse. He feared that China would lead a rejection of
Western values and would pull the other future powers of Asia toward a
conflict with the West.9
Because other parts of the world aspired toward the power and
material prosperity of the West, Mahan saw the areas of conflict
beginning in the realm of economic competition. He saw that access to
markets, as well as to the raw materials needed for production, is at the
heart of economic competition between nations. He wrote that as the
interaction of commerce and finance shows a unity in the modern
civilized world, so does the struggle for new markets and for predominance
in old, [sic] reveal the unsubdued diversity.10 As the large populations of
Asia struggled to gain their economic strength, and to achieve the power
and prosperity of the West, Mahan saw that they were likely to do so
based on their own cultural norms and not those of the West. Of China
and the West he said that they are running as yet on wholly different
lines, springing from conceptions radically different.11 In the future he
believed that these differences would result in competition and conflict.
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introduction
Mahan believed that the world was at the beginning of this marked
movement toward economic competition that would bring nations into
political and military conflict with one another.12 He reminded his readers
that those who want will take, if they can, not merely from motives of
high policy and as legal opportunity offers, but for the simple reasons that
they have not, that they desire, and that they are able.13 Because of this,
and because of the fact that we are not living in a perfect world, and we
may not expect to deal with imperfect conditions by methods ideally
perfect, Mahan turned his attention to military policy.14
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introduction
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introduction
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introduction
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introduction
has overtaken the strategists ideas because he doesnt account for the
speed of aviation or the importance of precision guided munitions.
Colonial possessions, and imperial approaches to global affairs, arent in
vogue with students of international relations and policy at the start of
this century any more than big-gun battleships. Because many students
are taught that battleships and colonies make up the heart of Mahans
writing, he is frequently discounted as being of little consequence to
discussions of todays challenges.
21st Century Mahan: Sound Military Conclusions for the Modern Era takes its
title from a quote in Mahans book Armaments and Arbitration, published in
1911. He wrote that the study of military history lies at the foundation
of all sound military conclusions and practices.20 Looking in retrospect
at the history that Mahan wrote, and the strategic legacy he left through
his works, will help illuminate the global challenges we face at the start
of this century, just as his work did originally at the start of the last
century.
The purpose of this book is to help return the discussion of Alfred
Thayer Mahan as a strategist and naval thinker to our time, and to point
out the importance of his writings and principles when approaching
modern-day challenges. The five essays from Mahan that make up the
bulk of this book have been selected in order to address the two major
reasons that his writing has fallen out of favor: readability and relevance.
Many of the articles that he wrote for magazines, such as Harpers and
Britains National Review, are more concise and approachable than the
long historical treatments of conflicts like the War of 1812 and the
American Revolution that he published in book form. The language in
the essays is clearer because he knowingly approached a readership that
was non-specialist, and he didnt feel the same need to smother his
audience in details and caveats as he sometimes did in his longer books.
The length of the essays allows readers to digest his writing in smaller
amounts and gives time for greater reflection.
Each of the five essays selected for 21st Century Mahan covers a subject
that is central to the debates and discussions of national, military, and
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10
introduction
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