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April 2009 Investor Presentation
CHK Overview
F&D/mcfe
F&D/mcfe
$3.00
$2.00 $2.00
$2.00
$1.00 $1.00
$1.00
25% 50% 75% 100% 25% 50% 75% 100% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Industry Quartile Industry Quartile Industry Quartile
Those that missed the “Big-4” shale land grab of 2004–2008 will pay
the price for years, if not decades, to come…
April 2009 Investor Presentation
(1) Size of bubble corresponds to relative size of CHK proved and risked unproved reserves in each play
(2) Percent of 2009E gross drilling capital expenditures (before ~$1.2 billion of drilling carries)
April 2009 Investor Presentation
bcfe
1,500
$1,500
1,000
$1,000
500
$500
$0 0
Shale JVs Other CHK Plays Total CHK Shale JVs Other CHK Plays Total CHK
Drillbit F&D
$2 50
$2.50
$1.50
~$1.25 should give CHK one of the lowest finding
costs
t andd high
highestt returns
t on capital
it l in
i 2009
$
$1.00
~$0.65
and 2010 (at least) in the U.S. E&P industry
$0.50
$0.00
Shale JVs Other CHK Plays Total CHK
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April 2009 Investor Presentation
● 75/25
/ JV with BP in 8/08;
/ ; $1.1 billion in cash
Prospective Area = ~1.7 Million Acres
received, $800 mm in carry in a $1.9 billion deal
● CHK is the second-largest producer in the
Fayetteville Shale and second-largest leasehold
owner in the Core area of the play with ~420,000
420,000
es
~40 mile
10
Tier 1
Outline – Average of ~25 operated rigs
– ~675 bcfe of reserve additions
– ~$1.40/mcfe
~$1 40/mcfe net finding cost to CHK
● Remember all the excitement about the western
and southern counties? That has all faded away
and what remains as the two best counties are
Johnson and Tarrant
CHK Acreage
CHK Operated
CHK Acreage
Rigs
CHK Rigs
CHK Non-op
● In shale plays, as in all others, it’s the core
Rigs acreage that is the best and CHK always focuses
on acquiring core acreage rather than fringe
~67 miles
acreage
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● CHK was early to recognize shale gas would become the biggest game
changer in the past 50 years within the U
U.S.
S natural gas industry
● Initiated 2005-08 shale science analysis and subsequent land grab
● Emerged with the best assets in the industry and then sold off minority
interests at a big profit
12
(1)
Cash Resource Plan ’09 - ’10
Net Cash Resources ($ in millions) 2009E 2010E Total
Operating cash flow(1)(2) $3,900 - $4,000 $5,000 - $5,400 $8,900 - $9,400
Leasehold and producing properties transactions
Sales 1,500 - 2,000 1,000 - 1,500 2,500 - 3,500
Acquisitions (350 - 500) (350 - 500) (700 - 1,000)
Net leasehold and producing properties transactions 1,150 - 1,500 650 - 1,000 1,800 - 2,500
Midstream equity financings or asset sales 500 - 600 500 - 600 1,000 - 1,200
Proceeds from investments and other 300 - 300
Total: $5,850 - $6,400 $6,150 - $7,000 $12,000 - $13,400
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(1) From Outlook as of 2/17/09 and assumes NYMEX prices of $6.00-$7.00/mcf and $47.66/bbl in 2009
and $7.00-$8.00/mcf and $70/bbl in 2010
(2) Before changes to asset and liabilities. Reconciliations to GAAP measures appear on pages 15-16
(3) Under existing SEC proved reserve definitions – likely to increase beginning 12/31/09
April 2009 Investor Presentation
$2,800
$2,476(1) $2,526(2)
$2 400
$2,400
$ in MM
$2,000
$1,600
$1,270
$1,200
$864
$800 $3.5 billion bank
$600 $500
credit facility matures
$400 November 2012
$0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20
Rate: 7.5% 7.5% 2.75% 6.625
6.625%
% 2.5% 2.25% 6.875%
7.625% 7.0% 9.5% 6.875% 6.25% 7.25%
(1) Pro forma for recent combined offerings of $1.425 billion 9.5% Senior Notes due 2015 6.375% 6.5% 6.25%
(2) Recognizes earliest investor put option as maturity
18
Staggered long term debt maturity structure with no senior notes due
for five years; cash flow of >$30 billion likely before first payment
April 2009 Investor Presentation
#1 Independent Producer
of U.S. Natural Gas in 2008
Daily U.S. Natural Gas Production (a,b) 2008 Reported Proved
2008 2007 2008 U.S. Net Natural Gas U.S. Rigs
Average Daily Average Daily vs. 2007 Proved Natural RP Reserve Drilling on
Company (c) Ticker Production Production % Change Gas Reserves Ratio (d) Ranking 3/27/09 (e)
BP BP 2,157 (f) 2,174 (0.8%) 14,532 20 1 27
Chesapeake CHK 2,119 (f) 1,793 18.2% 11,327 15 4 104
ConocoPhillips COP 2,091 2,292 (8.8%) 10,920 14 5 30
Anadarko APC 2,049 1,913 7.1% 8,105 11 7 28
Devon DVN 1,982 1,739 14.0% 8,369 12 6 29
XTO XTO 1,905 1,457 30.7% 11,803 17 2 64
EnCana ECA 1,633 1,344 21.5% 5,831 10 8 30
Chevron CVX 1,501 1,699 (11.6%) 2,709 5 12 12
ExxonMobil XOM 1,241 1,468 (15.5%) 11,778 26 3 12
EOG EOG 1,163 971 19.8% 4,889 12 9 45
Williams WMB 1,094 913 19.8% 4,339 11 10 11
Shell RDS 1,040 1,131 (8.0%) 2,392 7 14 18
El Paso EP 683 705 (3.1%) 2,091 12 17 21
Apache APA 681 770 (11.6%) 2,537 10 13 4
Occidental OXY 587 594 (1.2%) 3,153 15 11 12
Southwestern SWN 526 301 74.8% 2,176 11 15 24
Newfield NFX 472 531 (11.0%) 2,110 12 16 24
Marathon MRO 448 468 (4.1%) 1,085 7 20 8
Questar STR 416 334 24.6% 2,018 13 18 17
Noble NBL 396 412 (3.9%) 1,859 13 19 10
Totals / Average 24,183 23,006 7.5% 114,023 530
22
(a) Based on company reports
(b) In mmcf/day
(c) Independents in blue, majors in black, pipelines in green
(d) Based on annualized 2008 production
(e) Source: Smith International Survey (operated rig count)
(f) CHK sold BP 92 mmcf/day in two different transactions in 2008
April 2009 Investor Presentation
●
Shale
Not in the Rockies (fewer political/environmental
hassles, better natural gas prices)
● Not international (lower political risk)
Anadarko
A d k
Basin
Fayetteville
Shale
Delaware
Ark-La-Tex CHK field offices
Basin
23
April 2009 Investor Presentation
24
• As of 12/31/08
• Risk disclosure regarding unproved reserve estimates appears on page 32
April 2009 Investor Presentation
Total Proved
Est. Risked Est. Avg. Total Risked and Risked Unrisked Current 2/17/09
CHK CHK Drilling Net Reserves Proved Unproved Unproved Unproved Daily Operated
Industry Net Density Undrilled Per Well Reserves Reserves Reserves Reserves Production Rig
(1)
Play Area Position Acreage (Acres) Wells (bcfe) (bcfe) (bcfe) (bcfe) (bcfe) (mmcfe) Count
Conventional Gas Resource Sub-total Top 3 4,600,000 5,000 3,420 4,400 7,820 23,200 705 13
• As of 12/31/08
• Risk disclosure regarding unproved reserve estimates appears on page 32
April 2009 Investor Presentation
● Higher production levels and lower demand will keep natural gas prices low in 2009
● However, the fix is alreadyy in, gas
g directed rig
g counts are now at the lowest level
since early ’03 and headed lower, fast
● Industry first year depletion rate of ~25-30% will fix supply/demand in balance by
YE’09, just as the economy likely begins to recover
● CHK sees U.S. natural gas market as oversupplied in 2009, but balanced thereafter
– CHK sees U.S. natural gas prices at Henry Hub averaging $4-6/mmcf in 2009 and $7-9 in
2010 and beyond
– Natural gas prices not likely to stay permanently low because of great success of the
“Big-4”
g Shale plays y (Barnett, Fayetteville,
y Haynesville
y and Marcellus). Instead, it will be the
highest cost one-third of U.S. production that will set out-year natural gas prices, not the
lowest cost one-third
– CHK sees greater and greater bifurcation between the 10 or so “shale haves” of the U.S.
natural gas industry (CHK is #1 “have”, we believe) vs. the 10,000 or so “shale have-nots.”
Th “shale
The “ h l haves”
h ” assett bases
b will
ill continually
ti ll improve
i while
hil the
th “shale
“ h l hhave-nots”
t ” assett
bases will continually degrade
– Those that missed the “Big-4” Shale land grab of 2004-08 will pay the price for decades to
come…
26
April 2009 Investor Presentation
2007
years… ~25-30%
30 2006
from wells drilled
2005 in the past year
2004 alone
20
2003
2002
2001
10
2000
Base
growth rate
56
54
52
50 13.3 bcf/day
~25% decline
48
Daily Mark
rate
46 2008
2007 and prior
44
42
40
•If rig count declines by 50%, new production adds will decline by 35 - 40%
•If rig count declines by 33%, new production adds will decline by 20 - 25%
April 2009 Investor Presentation
62 count scenario
60 1,000 rig
58 1,200
count scenario
56
54
1,000 750 rig
52
count scenario
50
48
(CHK’s most
800 likely case)
46
44
Daily Mark
Corporate Information
Forward-Looking Statements
● This presentation includes include “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and
Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Forward-looking statements give our current expectations or forecasts of future
events. They include estimates of future natural gas and oil reserves, expected natural gas and oil production and future expenses,
assumptions
ti regarding
g di g ffuture
t natural
t lg gas and
d oilil prices,
i planned
l d assett sales,
l budgeted
b dg t d capital
it l expenditures
dit for
f drilling
d illi g and
d acquisitions
i iti
of leasehold and producing property, and other anticipated cash outflows, as well as statements concerning anticipated cash flow and
liquidity, business strategy and other plans and objectives for future operations. Disclosures concerning the fair value of derivative
contracts and their estimated contribution to our future results of operations are based upon market information as of a specific date.
These market prices are subject to significant volatility.
● Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expected results are described under “Risk Risk Factors”
Factors in Item 1A of our
2008 Form 10-K filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on March 2, 2009. These risk factors include the volatility of
natural gas and oil prices; the limitations our level of indebtedness may have on our financial flexibility; unanticipated adverse effects
the current financial crisis may have on our business and financial condition; declines in the values of our natural gas and oil properties
resulting in ceiling test write-downs; the availability of capital on an economic basis, including through planned asset monetization
transactions, to fund reserve replacement costs; our ability to replace reserves and sustain production; uncertainties inherent in
estimating quantities of natural gas and oil reserves and projecting future rates of production and the amount and timing of
d l
development t expenditures;
dit exploration
l ti and d development
d l t drilling
d illi that
th t does
d nott result
lt in
i commercially
i ll productive
d ti reserves; expiration
i ti off
natural gas and oil leases that are not held by production; hedging activities resulting in lower prices realized on natural gas and oil
sales and the need to secure hedging liabilities; uncertainties in evaluating natural gas and oil reserves of acquired properties and
potential liabilities; the negative impact lower natural gas and oil prices could have on our ability to borrow; drilling and operating risks,
including potential environmental liabilities; transportation capacity constraints and interruptions that could adversely affect our cash
flow; adverse effects of governmental and environmental regulation, and losses possible from pending or future litigation. Our
production forecasts are dependent upon many assumptions, including estimates of production decline rates from existing wells and
the outcome of future drilling activity. Although we believe the expectations and forecasts reflected in these and other forward-looking
statements are reasonable, we can give no assurance they will prove to have been correct. They can be affected by inaccurate
assumptions or by known or unknown risks and uncertainties.
● We caution you not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation,
and we undertake no obligation to update this information.
33