Sample Final Sem 1 0809 Answer All Questions 1.

SSE2193/SSM3763

(a) (i) Suppose that samples of size n = 25 are selected at random from a normal population with mean 100 and standard deviation 10. What is the probability that the sample mean falls in the interval from X to 1.8X [4 marks] X ? + 1.0X (ii) A normal population has mean 100 and variance 25. How large must the random sample be if we want the standard error of the sample average to be 1.5? [3 marks] (b) In November 2008, The United States of America will be having its general election to elect a president. A survey was conducted on two major states to determine which of the two political parties will win the coming general election. In the rst state, 52% of the voters are Republicans, and 48% are Democrats. In the second state, 47% of the voters are Republicans, and 53% are Democrats. Suppose 100 voters are selected at random from each state. What is the probability that the sample proportion of Republican voters in the second state will be more than in the rst state? [5 marks]

2.

The machine shop in an aircraft manufacturing company deals with a variety of jobs. The oor supervisor wants to estimate the proportion of nonconforming parts since rework is aecting the production cost. A random sample of 200 parts shows that six are nonconforming. Construct a 90% condence interval for the true proportion of nonconforming parts. [5 marks] The current curfew hour of students residing in college of residences in UTM is at 12 midnight. The student council received complaints that this rule is not convenient for the students. A survey was taken to investigate whether the support against this ruling diers among male and female students. A random sample of 90 male students were taken and 75 were against the ruling. Meanwhile 60 out of a sample of 90 female students were against the ruling. Do these data indicate that there is a signicant dierence in the support against the current curfew hour at 12 midnight among male and female students? Use = 0.01. [8 marks] An analyst is investigating the time spent by shift A and shift B employees to assemble products in a certain industry. He collected the following random data of the times (in minutes) spent by 13 employees on product assembly in the industry. Assembly time by shift A employees 20 Assembly time by shift B employees 27 2 19 28 17 26 15 29 25 19 20 20 16

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Sample Final Sem 1 0809 Assume that the assembly time is normally distributed.

SSE2193/SSM3763

2 2 (a) By letting A and B as the variances of assembly times spent by shift A and shift B employees respectively, help the analyst to construct a 98% condence 2 2 interval for the ratio of B to A . [5 marks]

(b) Show that at 2% level of signicance the variability of assembly times is the same between two shifts. Compare your answer in (a) with this statement and comment. [6 marks] (c) Use statement in (b) as your additional assumption, can you conclude that the shift A employees assemble the products faster than their shift B counterparts do at = 0.01? [8 marks] (d) Would you still make the same conclusion in part (c) if increases by 2%? [1 mark] 5. (a) The thickness of 194 sunscreen lms (measured in 107 mm) produced by a process are shown below: Thickness (X ) X < 50 50 X < 55 55 X < 60 60 X < 65 65 X < 70 X 70 No. of lms 8 26 59 67 30 4

It is claimed that the thickness of all sunscreen lms follows normal distribution with mean and standard deviation of 60 107 mm and 5.5 107 mm respectively. Thus after standardization, Thickness, X X < 50 50 55 60 65 X X < 55 X < 60 X < 65 X < 70 70 Z= X Z < 1.82

1.82 < Z < 0.91 0.91 < Z < 0 0 < Z < 0.91 0.91 < Z < 1.82 Z > 1.82

Find the probability of the standard normal random variable in the above table and test whether the claim is true. Use = 0.05 [10 marks] 3

Sample Final Sem 1 0809

SSE2193/SSM3763

(b) A company operates three machines in three shifts each day. From production records, the following table shows the number of breakdowns in three shifts during the past years. Type of Breakdowns Shift A B C 1 38 18 18 2 34 22 16 3 18 16 20 Test the hypothesis using = 0.05 that the types of breakdown are not related to the shift. [8 marks] 6. A manufacturer of paper used for making envelopes is interested in improving the tensile strength of the product. A product engineer thinks that tensile strength is a function of the hardwood concentration in the pulp. The product engineering team decides to investigate the following levels of hardwood concentration, 0.5%, 5.5%, 10.5%, and 15.5%. In their pilot plant they run six test specimens at each concentration level. All 24 specimens are tested randomly in a tensile tester laboratory. The data from this experiment has been partially analysed and the following incomplete ANOVA table is obtained. Help the team complete the analysis by stating the appropriate hypotheses, reconstructing and completing the table, and comment whether or not the tensile strength is a function of the hardwood concentration in the pulp at = 0.05. Source of Sum of Degrees variation Squares of freedom Hardwood concentration 362.79 Error Total 492.96 23 Mean Squares Fcalc

[8 marks] 7. (a) Below is a summary for a set of data from a response variable Y and a predictor variable X . X = 195, Y 2 = 38061, Y = 467, XY = 14320, X 2 = 6775, n = 6.

(i) Based on the above, nd the estimated equation of the linear regression = line, Y + X. [6 marks] 4

Sample Final Sem 1 0809

SSE2193/SSM3763

Figure 1: Plot of peak hour demand versus total monthly energy usage for the electric utility data.

(ii) Calculate the Pearson product moment correlation coecient for the above data and interpret the result. [2 marks] (b) An electric utility company is interested in developing a model relating peak hour demand (y, in kilowatts) to the total monthly energy usage during the month (x, in kilowatts). Data for a small sample of 10 residential customers are observed. Figure 1 shows the scatter plot of the two variables. The following questions relate to the observations in Figure 1.

Sample Final Sem 1 0809

SSE2193/SSM3763

(i) Describe the general relationship in relating the peak hour demand to the total monthly energy usage during the month amongst the residential customers. [1 mark] (ii) The tted regression line for the data is given by = 1.206 + 0.004X. Y What can you infer from the value of the estimated slope coecient? [1 mark] (iii) The following table shows an extraction of the Excel output for the estimates of unknown regression coecients for the data. Intercept Energy usage Coecients 1.206 0.004 Standard Error t-Stat p-Value 0.241 5.000 0.001 0.0002 17.945 9.53E 08

Based on the table above, is there any evidence of the existence of linear relationship between the peak hour demand and the total monthly energy usage during the month at 1% signicance level? [2 marks]

8.

(a) Fluoride emissions (parts per million) from a chemical plant are monitored routinely. The following data are 12 observations based on air specimens taken during one month of production: 151 148 143 146 154 145 155 144 142 153 152 147

Can you claim that the uoride impurity level is randomly below and above the mean of 150 ppm? Use = 0.05. [5 marks] (b) A 15 randomly chosen consumers were asked to rate two engineering products on a scale of 1 to 5 (5 being the highest). For each consumer, the rst rating in the pair is of product A, and the second is of product B . The data are: (3, 4), (4, 2), (2, 5), (1, 5), (4, 5), (3, 3), (3, 5), (5, 4), (4, 4), (3, 4), (3, 5), (3, 4), (2, 2), (4, 5) (2, 5),

Use the sign test to test the hypothesis, at 0.05 level of signicance, that product B is favored over product A. [6 marks] (c) An uninterrupted power supply manufacturer claims that the continuous supply of electric power from a momentary power interruption of brand X is identical with that of brand Y . To test this claim, the following determinations of continuous supply of electric power, in minutes, were recorded: 6

Sample Final Sem 1 0809 Brand X Brand Y 26.3 27.7 28.1 23.2 25.9 25.8 27.7 24.1 26.3 23.5

SSE2193/SSM3763 25.8 28.5

Use the Mann-Whitney test with = 0.1 to test whether the claim is valid. [6 marks]