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Home Home \ Prep Time Time \ Finance Concepts Concepts \ Discounted Cash Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
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Time Value of Money Future Value Present Value Present Value of of Perpetuity Present Value of of Annuity
Comparable Comparable Analysis Analysis Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) (DCF) Analysis Leveraged Buyout Buyout Analysis Analysis (LBO)
The main analysis weakness is that it is based on many assumptions (about available cash flows, time frame, cost of capital, growth rate, etc.), and even a small change in them can result in vastly different company values. Steps to DCF are following: Important Financial Measures Measures 1. Calculate Free Cash Flow using forecasted financial statements Inflation Interest Rates Rates Bonds
2. Discount Free Cash Flows using the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) the blended cost of capital for debt and equity
3. Determine Terminal Value (value of the company at the end of the forecasting period) There are two ways to determine terminal value perpetuity growth method and terminal multiple method. Perpetuity growth method The goal is to calculate the value of companys cash flows assuming that they will grow forever at some modest rate (e.g. 3%)
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http://www.wallstreetwannabe.com/?page_id=643
Terminal multiple method This method assumes that the terminal value of the company equals to its EBIT or EBITDA multiplied by the multiple. The multiple is usually obtained through the comparable analysis.
or
Once you obtained the terminal value, you again have to discount it to the present.
4. Add the present values of all forecasted Free Cash Flows and Terminal Value together. This shows you the total enterprise value of the company TODAY.
5. Subtract value of net debt (debt cash) and any preferred stock to calculate equity value.
6. Divide the derived equity value by the number of shares outstanding to get the share price.
7. Compare the price you got to the actual price in the market and determine if the company is being traded at a premium/discount.
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