Professional Documents
Culture Documents
September 2013
Study #10863c--page 1
CNBC AAES Third-Quarter Survey
FINAL
48 Male
52 Female
[109]
Study #10863c
CNBC AAES Third Quarter Survey
September 2013
Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.
For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS
"REFUSED," ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to?
18-24 ................................................
25-29 ................................................
30-34 ................................................
35-39 ................................................
40-44 ................................................
45-49 ................................................
50-54 ................................................
55-59 ................................................
60-64 ................................................
65-69 ................................................
70-74 ................................................
75 and over ......................................
Refused ..........................................
1b.
[148/149]
And to ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a
Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background?
Yes, Hispanic....................................
No, not Hispanic ...............................
Not sure/refused .............................
1c.
11
5
11
7
7
9
8
10
13
6
5
7
1
11
88
1
[150]
And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black or African American, Asian, or
something else?
White ................................................
Black or African American ................
Asian ................................................
Other ................................................
Hispanic (VOL) ...............................
Not sure/refused .............................
75
11
1
4
8
1
[151]
Study #10863c--page 2
CNBC AAES Third-Quarter Survey
How would you rate the current state of the economy? Would you say it is excellent, good, only fair, or
poor?
Excellent ......................................
Good ............................................
Only fair .......................................
Poor .............................................
Not sure .....................................
9/13
1
14
40
44
1
6/13
1
15
42
40
2
3/13
1
13
41
44
1
11/12
1
13
41
44
1
9/12
1
9
36
53
1
5/12
1
9
40
49
1
11/11
1
7
30
61
1
9/1012/08
1
10
32
56
1
6/11
1
6
37
55
1
12/08
4
25
70
1
3/12
1
10
35
53
1
9/18,
20-21/08+
7
28
65
-
3/11
8
37
54
1
12/10
1
6
39
53
1
10/10
1
7
30
62
-
12/09
1
6
33
60
-
2/08
2
14
39
44
1
12/07
4
22
39
33
2
10/051
5
27
46
22
-
3/051
4
37
41
18
1
8/041
4
33
42
21
1
3/041
4
32
38
26
-
1/031
1
18
44
36
1
1/021
1
26
48
24
-
[152]
6/08
1
6
29
63
1
Comparative data prior to 12/07 comes from surveys among registered likely voters conducted by The Tarrance Group and/or Lake, Snell, Perry,
Mermin Associates.
+ Results for 9/18,20-21/08 among likely voters.
3.
And over the course of the next year, do you think the state of the economy will get better, stay about the
same, or get worse?
9/13
28
33
35
4
6/13
34
35
27
4
3/13
32
31
33
4
11/12
37
23
35
5
9/12
35
23
25
17
5/12
33
37
21
9
3/12
36
31
27
6
11/11
27
43
26
4
6/11
30
36
30
4
3/11
29
30
37
4
12/10
37
37
21
5
10/10
37
35
26
2
12/09
43
29
25
3
12/08
39
30
27
4
9/18,
20-21/08+
42
28
23
7
9/1012/08
28
35
26
11
6/08
21
27
43
9
2/08
24
34
34
8
[153]
Q.2 and Q.3 COMBINED: CURRENT AND FUTURE VIEW OF THE ECONOMY
9/13
6/13
3/13
11/12
9/12
5/12
Optimistic now/optimistic for the future ...............
12
15
13
13
8
9
Optimistic now/pessimistic for the future ............
2
1
1
1
Pessimistic now/optimistic for the future .............
20
24
22
26
28
27
Pessimistic now/pessimistic for the future ..........
61
55
59
56
45
55
Not sure for now or the future ...........................
5
5
5
5
18
9
3/12
10
1
28
54
7
11/11
6
1
23
65
5
6/11
6
1
25
63
5
9/18,
20-21/08*
6
64
23
7
9/1012/08
8
2
23
55
12
6/08
5
1
18
66
10
2/08
13
2
18
58
9
3/11
7
1
25
63
4
* Results for 9/18,20-21/08 among likely voters.
12/10
7
32
56
5
10/10
7
1
31
59
2
12/09
5
1
39
52
3
12/08
4
1
37
54
4
Study #10863c--page 3
CNBC AAES Third-Quarter Survey
Changing subjects
4ab.
Are you currently employed? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "NO," ASK:) Are you a student, a homemaker,
retired, or unemployed and looking for work? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "YES, CURRENTLY EMPLOYED,"
ASK:) What type of work do you do?
Currently Employed
Professional/manager ....................
White-collar worker.........................
Blue-collar worker...........................
Farmer/rancher...............................
Not Currently Employed
Student ...........................................
Homemaker ....................................
Retired ............................................
Unemployed, looking for work ........
Volunteer (VOL) ...........................
Disabled (VOL) .............................
Not sure/refused ...........................
20
19
17
1
3
5
22
7
5
1
[154/161]
CONTINUE
Skip to Q.6a
Decrease ...........................................
Stay the same ...................................
Total increase .....................................
Increase1% to 3% .......................
Increase4% to 10% .....................
Increase11% or more ..................
Increasenot sure how much.........
Mean ....................................................
Median .................................................
9/13
9
57
34
11
12
9
2
3.1
-0.3
6/13
7
52
41
13
15
11
2
3.9
-0.2
Decrease ...........................................
Stay the same ...................................
Total increase .....................................
Increase1% to 3% .......................
Increase4% to 10% .....................
Increase11% or more ..................
Increasenot sure how much.........
Mean ....................................................
Median .................................................
10/10
9
66
25
7
12
5
1
1.4
-0.4
8/101
10
63
26
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
EMPLOYED ADULTS
3/13
11/12
9/12
10
6
8
58
61
62
32
33
30
11
8
11
13
13
11
6
9
6
2
3
2
2.3
4.3
2.3
-0.3
-0.3
-1.0
12/09
11
61
28
8
10
8
2
1.3
-0.7
12/08
7
52
41
11
18
9
3
3.1
-0.6
9/08
4
53
43
14
19
8
2
4.0
-0.3
5/12
5
65
30
10
11
7
2
2.1
-0.6
3/12
8
60
32
10
12
7
3
2.3
-0.3
11/11
7
62
31
9
13
7
2
2.1
-1.0
6/11
9
62
29
10
10
7
2
1.5
-0.7
3/11
9
64
27
11
8
6
2
2.0
-1.1
12/10
7
62
31
9
11
9
2
2.1
-0.3
6/08
6
56
38
11
17
7
3
2.1
-0.5
2/08
4
47
49
13
22
11
3
5.4
-0.1
12/07
2
42
56
18
25
9
4
5.3
1.6
10/07
4
43
53
15
26
11
1
6.1
1.2
6/07
2
48
50
12
25
10
3
5.7
0
3/07
4
41
55
15
21
16
3
7.3
1.6
Comparative data for August 2010 comes from a survey conducted by Hart/McInturff for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal.
6a.
Study #10863c--page 4
CNBC AAES Third-Quarter Survey
Over the next twelve months, do you expect that the cost of livingthat is, what you pay for everyday goods
and serviceswill increase, decrease, or stay about the same? [169]
Decrease...........................................
Stay the same ...................................
Total increase ....................................
Increase1% to 3% .......................
Increase4% to 5% .......................
Increase6% to 10% .....................
Increase11% or more ..................
Increasenot sure how much ........
Mean ...................................................
Median ................................................
Decrease...........................................
Stay the same ...................................
Total increase ....................................
Increase1% to 3% .......................
Increase4% to 5% .......................
Increase6% to 10% .....................
Increase11% or more ..................
Increasenot sure how much ........
Mean ...................................................
Median ................................................
9/13
1
22
77
23
18
15
15
6
7.3
3.3
6/13
1
18
81
19
19
18
18
7
8.2
4.3
3/13
1
19
80
23
19
14
17
7
8.0
3.8
11/12
2
27
71
19
18
16
11
7
6.2
2.8
9/12
2
21
77
15
18
20
17
7
8.5
4.4
5/12
2
22
76
19
21
14
14
8
7.0
4.0
3/12
2
16
82
12
19
21
21
9
9.7
4.8
11/11
2
27
71
19
19
13
12
8
6.0
2.8
6/11
2
18
80
16
18
20
19
7
9.0
4.5
3/11
1
12
87
12
18
23
28
6
12.1
6.6
10/10
3
32
65
13
16
15
16
5
7.9
3.0
12/09
2
27
71
15
18
17
15
6
6.9
3.9
12/08
6
36
58
9
14
13
14
8
5.8
2.2
9/08
5
22
73
13
18
17
18
7
7.3
4.2
6/08
1
8
91
9
21
23
27
11
11.4
7.5
2/08
2
18
80
17
21
18
17
7
8.2
4.3
12/07
2
18
80
19
21
19
12
9
6.4
4.1
10/07
1
20
79
20
22
16
12
9
6.9
3.7
6/07
1
19
80
22
23
17
10
8
7.1
3.7
7a.
Study #10863c--page 5
CNBC AAES Third-Quarter Survey
Do you expect the value of your home to increase, decrease, or stay about the same over the next twelve
months? If you do not own your home, please just say so. [176]
9/13
6/13
3/13
11/12
9/12
5/12
3/12
11/11
6/11
3/11
14
54
32
10
9
9
4
0.8
-0.3
14
48
38
9
11
15
3
3.1
-0.3
13
54
33
10
10
10
3
1.6
-0.3
13
63
24
9
5
6
4
0.1
-0.4
19
54
27
7
7
10
3
0.5
-0.4
16
62
22
6
6
7
3
0.4
-0.9
20
58
22
6
5
9
2
-0.1
-0.5
20
65
15
4
3
5
3
-0.5
-0.5
30
55
15
4
3
6
2
-1.6
-0.6
24
58
18
5
5
6
2
-1.2
-0.5
10/10
12/09
12/08
9/08
6/08
2/08
12/07
10/07
3/07
21
60
19
6
4
6
3
-0.6
-0.5
20
59
20
4
6
8
3
-0.3
-0.5
22
61
17
4
5
5
3
-1.6
-0.5
20
56
24
6
7
9
2
-0.3
-0.5
23
54
23
5
6
9
3
-0.2
-1.0
20
54
26
5
8
9
4
-0.3
-0.5
16
50
34
6
9
13
6
2.2
0
11
49
40
8
9
17
6
3.9
0
9
43
48
12
13
19
4
4.0
0
Results shown among respondents who own their home, consisting of 78% in 9/13, 77% in 6/13, 74% in 3/13, 74% in 11/12, 77% in 9/12, 76% in 5/12, 77%
in 3/12, 77% in 11/11, 75% in 6/11, 78% in 3/11, 80% in 12/10, 83% in 10/10, 84% in 12/09, 77% in 12/08, 85% in 9/08, 86% in 6/08, 81% in 2/08, 82% in
12/07, 82% in 10/07, and 84% in 3/07
Study #10863c--page 6
CNBC AAES Third-Quarter Survey
Do you have money invested in the stock market and mutual funds, including IRAs and 401(K)s? (IF
RESPONDENT SAYS YES, ASK:) And is the value of these investments above or below fifty thousand
dollars?
9/13
51
28
17
6
47
2
6/13
48
26
16
6
50
2
3/13
55
29
20
6
43
2
11/12
51
25
21
5
47
2
9/12
52
28
19
5
46
2
5/12
52
26
21
5
46
2
3/12
49
24
19
6
49
2
11/11
51
27
19
5
47
2
6/11
52
29
19
4
46
2
3/11
46
25
21
NA
47
7
12/10
47
27
20
NA
45
8
10/10
7
13
11
7
3
2
1
1
44
11
12/09
8
13
8
8
2
2
3
2
42
12
12/08
8
14
9
9
4
4
1
1
42
8
9ab.
[211/212]
In your opinion, would you say this is a good time or a bad time to be investing in the stock market? (IF
RESPONDENT SAYS "GOOD TIME OR BAD TIME," ASK:) Would you say it is a very (good time/bad
time) or just a somewhat (good time/bad time)?
9/13
8
30
26
13
23
6/13
10
26
23
15
26
3/13
9
31
26
13
21
11/12
7
24
30
17
22
9/12
7
23
30
18
22
5/12
4
26
33
19
18
3/12
7
24
33
16
20
11/11
7
22
31
22
18
6/11
7
24
33
17
19
3/11
8
27
31
15
19
12/10
7
28
31
15
19
10/10
6
31
31
20
12
12/09
12
29
24
24
11
12/08
15
23
22
30
10
10/07
13
36
18
9
24
[213/214]
10.
Study #10863c--page 7
CNBC AAES Third-Quarter Survey
I'm going to read you several items related to your life and to the United States as a whole. For each one,
please tell me whether things are better than, worse than, or about the same as a year ago.
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY BETTER
Better
46
39
29
21
16
15
15
9
8
Worse
13
21
41
33
37
20
49
55
66
About The
Same
36
36
28
38
44
64
31
32
19
Not
Sure
5
4
2
8
3
1
5
4
7
[231]
[217/225]
[215/223]
[218/226]
[222/230]
[221/229]
[216/224]
[220/228]
[219/227]
September, 2012 -- I'm going to read you several items related to your life and to the United States as a whole. For
each one, please tell me whether things are better than, worse than, or about the same AS FOUR YEARS AGO.
Better
34
25
23
23
23
21
17
6
Worse
29
42
20
44
59
51
60
73
About The
Same
28
27
55
28
15
19
20
13
Not
Sure
9
6
2
5
3
9
3
8
11a.
What are your feelings toward Obamacare? Do you feel very positive, somewhat positive, neutral,
somewhat negative, very negative, or do you not know enough to say? *
Very positive .................................................
Somewhat positive .......................................
Neutral..........................................................
Somewhat negative ......................................
Very negative ..............................................
Don't know enough to say/not sure ............
14
15
13
11
35
12
[232]
11b.
What are your feelings toward the Affordable Care Act? Do you feel very positive, somewhat positive,
neutral, somewhat negative, very negative, or do you not know enough to say? **
Very positive .................................................
Somewhat positive .......................................
Neutral..........................................................
Somewhat negative ......................................
Very negative ..............................................
Don't know enough to say/not sure ............
** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).
10
12
11
13
24
30
[233]
Study #10863c--page 8
CNBC AAES Third-Quarter Survey
Have you had your working hours reduced in the past year? If this does not apply to you, please say so. (IF
YES, ASK:) Do you think your working hours were reduced because of the new health care law or for
some other reason? If you are not sure, please say so.
Yes, Working Hours Reduced
Reduced because of new health care law .......
Reduced for some other reason ......................
Not sure .........................................................
No, working hours not reduced ..........................
Does not apply ...................................................
Not sure ........................................................
13a/b.
43
18
17
8
4
1
2
1
34
17
2
[236/237]
In the past year were you able to get private health insurance for the first time? If this does not apply to you,
please say so. (IF YES, ASK:) Do you think you were able to get private health insurance for the first time
because of the new health care law or for some other reason? If you are not sure, please say so. 1
Yes, Able To Get Insurance For The First Time
Able to get insurance because of new health care law .......
Able to get insurance for some other reason ......................
Able to get insurance not sure ..........................................
No, not able to get insurance for the first time .......................
Does not apply .......................................................................
Not sure ............................................................................
1
15a/b.
[234/235]
Have your health insurance premiums increased or decreased in the past year, or have they not changed?
If this does not apply to you, please say so. (IF "INCREASED" OR "DECREASED," ASK:) Do you think
your health insurance premiums (INCREASED/DECREASED) because of the new health care law or for
some other reason? If you are not sure, please say so.
Health insurance premiums increased
Because of new health care law .....................
For some other reason ...................................
Not sure ..........................................................
Health insurance premiums decreased
Because of new health care law .....................
For some other reason ...................................
Not sure ...........................................................
Health insurance premiums not changed ..........
Does not apply ...................................................
Not sure .........................................................
14a/b.
12
3
8
1
45
43
-
7
1
5
1
18
74
1
[238/239]
In the past year have you lost your private health insurance coverage? If this does not apply to you, please
say so. (IF YES, ASK:) Do you think you lost your health insurance coverage because of the new health
care law or for some other reason? 1
Yes, Have Lost Private Coverage
Because of new health care law .....................
For some other reason ...................................
Not sure ...........................................................
No, have not lost private coverage ....................
Does not apply ...................................................
Not sure .........................................................
1
8
3
5
46
46
-
[240/241]
16.
Study #10863c--page 9
CNBC AAES Third-Quarter Survey
On a different topic...
17.
The federal debt ceiling limits the amount of money the government can borrow. When the U.S. Treasury
needs to issue debt above the ceiling in order to avoid going into bankruptcy and defaulting on its
obligations, Congress needs to vote to raise the ceiling. Which of the following causes you more concern?
That Congress will NOT raise the debt ceiling and the federal
government will not meet its financial obligations, such as defaulting
on its loans and not making payments to Social Security recipients
and government workers ...........................................................................
That Congress WILL raise the debt ceiling and that federal spending will
increase and the government will go further into debt as a result ..............
Or do you not know enough about this to have an opinion at this time ......
Not sure ...................................................................................................
18a/b.
9/13
6/13
6/11
41
32
25
47
6
6
39
22
7
49
19
7
[371]
Thinking again about the new health care law, would you favor or oppose totally eliminating federal funding
for the new health care law? (IF FAVOR, ASK:) Would you favor totally eliminating federal funding for the
health care law, even if this meant shutting down the federal government and having the government default
on its debts?
Favor
Even if it means government shut-down and default ...........
Not if it means government shut-down and default ..............
Not sure ...............................................................................
Oppose ..................................................................................
Not sure ..............................................................................
38
19
15
4
44
18
[372/373]
FACTUALS: Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.
F1a.
89
9
2
CONTINUE
Skip to Q.F2a
[374]
40
32
9
7
12
-
[375/376]
Study #10863c--page 10
CNBC AAES Third-Quarter Survey
F3.
F4.
[379/408]
21
57
5
17
[409]
Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or
conservative? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider
yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)?
Very liberal ........................................
Somewhat liberal ..............................
Moderate ..........................................
Somewhat conservative ....................
Very conservative .............................
Not sure ..........................................
F6.
19
13
6
17
9
10
10
10
6
F5a/b.
[377/378]
1
4
26
18
11
24
2
9
3
2
8
12
37
22
12
9
[410/411]
Do you have a health plan, that is, are you covered by a private health insurance plan or by a government
program such as Medicare, Medicaid, or Tricare? (IF RESPONDENT OFFERS MORE THAN ONE, ASK:)
Well, what kind of plan would you say your primary plan is?
YES, private health insurance ..........
YES, MediCARE ...............................
YES, MediCAID ................................
YES, Tricare ....................................
NO, do not have a health plan ..........
Other (VOL) ....................................
Not sure/refused .............................
55
17
4
4
12
5
3
[412]
F7.
Study #10863c--page 11
CNBC AAES Third-Quarter Survey
If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year,
what would the total be? I'm going to read some income ranges, please stop me when I reach the range for
your family--less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand dollars,
between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and forty
thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand dollars
and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand
dollars, between one hundred thousand dollars and two hundred thousand dollars, or more than two
hundred thousand dollars?
Less than $10,000 ............................
Between $10,000 and $20,000 .........
Between $20,000 and $30,000 .........
Between $30,000 and $40,000 .........
Between $40,000 and $50,000 .........
Between $50,000 and $75,000 .........
Between $75,000 and $100,000 .......
Between $100,000 and $200,000 .....
More than $200,000 ..........................
Not sure/refused .............................
6
9
8
9
9
12
12
14
5
16
[413/414]