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World Diesel Engines

Industry forecasts for 2012 & 2017


Publication Date April 2009
Publisher Freedonia Group
Product Type Report
Pages 297
ISBN Number not applicable
Product Code FED00276

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Summary
Global demand to grow 3% annually through 2012

World diesel engine demand is forecast to expand over three percent per year
through 2012 to about $160 billion. This represents a considerable deceleration
from the impressive growth posted during the 2002-2007 period, reflecting an
expected slowdown in motor vehicle and off-highway equipment production.
Additionally, projected declines in metal prices are set to lower diesel engine
production costs, moderating growth in the market. Despite the slower growth
rate, substantial increases in demand are being predicted for every segment of
the world diesel engine market, with the majority of new demand concentrated in
the motor vehicle segment.

Imports of rapidly growing Asia/Pacific market to surge

The Asia/Pacific region is now the world's largest market for diesel engines,
surpassing Western Europe. Rising demand for diesel engines in China, India,
and South Korea drove growth in the regional market. The Asia/Pacific share of
the world diesel engine market is forecast to exceed one-third by 2012.
Imports of diesel engines are expected to surge from 2007 to 2012, as regional
manufacturers are unable to keep up with demand. In 2012, only Japan is
forecast to post a substantial diesel engine trade surplus. Although the regional
light vehicle segment is projected to expand at the fastest annual rate, the largest
absolute gains will occur in the heavy truck and bus segment. China alone is
forecast to account for almost 18 percent of new demand, from 2007 to 2012.
North American market to outpace Western Europe, driven by motor
vehicle uses

The diesel engine market in Western Europe is projected to decelerate through


2012, as the production of motor vehicles and machinery weakens. In North
America, the US is expected to account for the vast majority of new diesel engine
demand through 2012. Growth in the North American market will be driven by the
motor vehicle segment, which is set to benefit from the increasing use of diesel
engines in light vehicle production.
In Eastern Europe and Latin America, demand for diesel engines is forecast to
grow about 4.0 percent per year from 2007 to 2012. Nonetheless, each of these
two regions will still account for less than six percent of total diesel engine
demand.

Stationary market segment to grow the fastest

Growth rates in the various diesel engine markets are expected to be fairly
uniform through 2012, ranging from about two to four percent. The stationary
segment is expected to expand at the fastest annual rate, while the motor vehicle
segment is forecast to claim most new demand.

Study coverage

This new Freedonia industry study, World Diesel Engines, is available for $5700.
It presents historical demand data (1997, 2002, 2007) plus forecasts for 2012
and 2017 by market, world region and for 26 countries. The study also considers
key market environment factors, evaluates company market share and profiles
global industry competitors.

Content
• I. Executive Summary
• II. Market Environment
o General
o World Economic Outlook
o Recent Economic Performance
o Macroeconomic Outlook
o Global Fixed Investment Trends
o World Demographic Outlook
o World Energy & Power Generation Outlook
o Energy Supply & Demand
o Distributed Power/Micropower
o World Motor Vehicle Production Trends
o Competing & Related Technologies
o Diesel Engine Pricing Trends
o Environmental Regulations
o Technological Trends
o Emission Control
o Combustion Chamber Modifications
o Fuel Systems
o Turbochargers & Aftercoolers
o after-Treatment Emission Control Technologies
o Fuel Technology
o Alternative Fuels Engine Technologies
• III. Supply & Demand
o General
o World Diesel Engine & Parts Markets
o Regional Markets
o Applications Markets
o Motor Vehicles
o off-Highway
o Stationary
o World Diesel Engine & Parts Production
o International Trade Flows
• IV. North America
o General
o United States
o Canada
o Mexico
• V. Latin America
o General
o Argentina
o Brazil
o Other Latin America
• VI. Western Europe
o General
o Belgium
o France
o Germany
o Italy
o The Netherlands
o Spain
o Sweden
o United Kingdom
o Other Western Europe
• VII. Eastern Europe
o General
o Czech Republic
o Poland
o Russia
o Other Eastern Europe
• VIII. Africa/Mideast
o General
o South Africa
o Turkey
o Other Africa/Mideast
• IX. Asia/Pacific
o General
o Australia
o China
o India
o Indonesia
o Japan
o South Korea
o Taiwan
o Thailand
o Other Asia/Pacific
• X. Industry Structure
o General
o Industry Composition & Market Share
o Product Development & Manufacturing
o Marketing & Distribution
o Mergers, Acquisitions & Industry Restructuring
o Company Profiles
o Avl List Gmbh
o Bosch (Robert) Gmbh
o Caterpillar Incorporated
o Cummins Engine Company Incorporated
o Daihatsu Motor Company Limited
o Daimlerchrysler Ag
o Deere & Company
o Delphi Automotive Systems Corporation
o Deutz Ag
o Fiat Spa
o Ford Motor Company
o General Motors Corporation
o Hino Motors Limited
o Isuzu Motors Limited
o Komatsu Limited
o Kubota Corporation
o Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Limited
o Mitsubishi Motors Corporation
o Navistar International Corporation
o Nissan Motor Company Limited
o Peugeot Sa
o Renault Sa
o Siemens Ag
o Stx Corporation
o Toyota Motor Corporation
o Volkswagen Ag
o Volvo Ab
o Yanmar Diesel Engines Company Limited