Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Amber Ma, Matthew McCabe, Gayatri Sahgal, Dana Schwartz, and Kelsey Sherman*
Brown University
Executive Summary
Childhood obesity has tripled since 1980, costing the country around $14 billion in 2009. Childhood obesity can create a greater risk of diseases such as diabetes and heart disease, and can have detrimental psychological effects such as lowered self-esteem and body image issues. Our comprehensive solution changes childrens nutrition and activity environments, and engages parents with information about their childrens weight, all with the goal of preventing and reducing the prevalence of childhood obesity. We propose changing the food environment by reforming the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program to incentivize participants to choose healthier options. Our proposal also creates minimum physical education and physical activity standards in schools in order to change the activity environment. And finally, we propose screening and reporting students Body Mass Index to change the information environment in a way that will engage and empower parents.
Finding Solutions
When addressing childrens issues, the natural tendency is to use the frame of parental responsibility. Policymakers seeking public policy solutions to childhood obesity should reframe the issue to include both parental and community responsibility (Duderstadt, 2009). This can be done by stressing the social costs of obesity and the vulnerable nature of children. Communities and governments are better equipped to address the environmental factors causing childhood obesity. As Dr. Thomas R. Frieden, director of the CDC, writes, the goal is to make peoples default choices healthy ones (Frieden, Dietz, & Collins, 2010). That being said, engaging with parents is vital to combating childhood obesity, and our proposals seeks to address both environmental factors and to foster parental involvement. Our teams solutions address both the individual and the environment he or she inhabits. For instance, we recognize that obesity is not only affected by a childs food consumption and activity level, but also surrounding environmental factors (quality of food in school, facilities for exercise, media), socioeconomics (ethnicity/race, parental involvement, access to quality food), and culture. The main criteria for our policy alternatives are effectiveness and political feasibility. Because there is consensus that current policies have failed to solve the problem, we focus on proposals not yet implemented on the federal level. However, all of our policies have precedent in prior policymaking, state and local efforts, or pilot programs. Evidence from these examples suggests that our proposals will have a positive impact. We decided early in the process to stay away from especially controversial policies that are not politically feasible on the national level, including increased taxation, advertising restrictions, and bans on certain foods or ingredients. For example, Mayor Bloombergs ban on large sodas was recently struck down by the courts, suggesting that such measures are not popular or feasible (Grynbaum, 2013). Our proposal has three elements, pertaining to nutrition, exercise, and information. Each of these elements contains a recommendation that attempts to change the existing environment in order to alleviate childhood obesity. Our proposal is designed to be implemented on the federal level, with the goal of passing a divided Congress, in order to be a starting point for systemic change.
Our Proposal:
Nutrition:
Recommendation: Reform the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) to promote the purchase of healthy foods and cap unhealthy food purchases Who It Targets Almost half of all SNAP recipients are children and over 70% of SNAP recipients live in households with children (Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, 2012). Although more data is needed to determine the relationship between SNAP and obesity, 45 million people are enrolled in SNAP, presenting a crucial opportunity to improve nutrition in the United States. Leung & Villamor (2011) conducted a study in California suggesting that obesity rates were 30% higher among SNAP participants than nonparticipants. SNAP and SSI participants also reported higher soda consumption than nonparticipants. It is unclear if the SNAP program itself is causing obesity, or if the programs composition is inherently of obese populations. In either case,
strengthening SNAP is an opportunity for the program to encourage healthy, nutritious food choices, especially in the important life stage of childhood. In the last 20 years, food prices for fats and sweets increased by 30%, whereas the cost of fresh produce has increased more than 100% (Monsivais, 2007). Food prices affect spending and consumption behavior: Findings from the USDA Economic Research Service cite that a 10% decrease in the price of fruits and vegetables results in up to a 5% increase in the purchase of these items (Dong & Lin, 2009). Increased fruit and vegetable consumption may or may not be linked to a decrease in overall calorie intake, but it has the potential to reduce the risk of obesityrelated diseases, such as heart disease, cancer, and diabetes (Vaschaspati, Wharton, DeWeese, & Tucker, 2011). What It Does Our proposed SNAP reform has two prongs: subsidies for fruits and vegetables, and capping the percent of monthly benefits SNAP participants can use to purchase high-sugar, highfat, and high-preservative foods, such as soda and candy (Ludwig, Blumenthal & Willett, 2012). For example, for every SNAP dollar spent on fruits and vegetables, a family would receive 10 cents back, deposited into their SNAP account. Likewise, only a certain percentage of SNAP benefits, such as 30%, could go towards the purchase of unhealthy foods and sugar-sweetened beverages. Our proposal also recommends that the USDA implement rigorous tracking of point-ofsale SNAP spending. This aggregate data will be able to support evaluation of how the program is contributing to diet quality and what adjustments should be made in subsidies and caps in order to promote healthy eating. The government is already experimenting with subsidies. The 2008 Farm Bill created the USDA Healthy Incentives Pilot Program, which provided participants in the SNAP program a subsidy on the purchase of fruits, vegetables, or other healthy foods (U.S. Department of Agriculture, 2013). This pilot provides 30 cents per dollar toward the purchase of such foods. An evaluation of the program is important before proceeding, in order to determine implementation challenges and the optimal subsidy and cap. In many cities across the nation, such as Providence, Rhode Island and New York City, nonprofits have secured grants to provide SNAP users with subsidies to spend on fruits and vegetables at farmers markets. The former alone has observed an increase of $35,000 bonus bucks spent on neighborhood-based farmers market produce by over 1,300 SNAP recipients between 2009 and 2011 (Farm Fresh Rhode Island). While our proposal focuses on SNAP reform, the logical next step is to enact measures such as these subsidies that give participants increased access to healthy food. What It Costs The following costs must be considered when exploring reformation of the SNAP program. The annual budget for the SNAP program totaled $78 billion in 2011 (Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, 2012). Covering healthy food subsidies of 10% on a national level is estimated to cost the federal government at least $580 million annually, or $6.1 billion over 20 years with a discount rate of 7% (Dong & Lin, 2009). We hope that promoting healthy eating in SNAP can catalyze short- and long-term cost savings in areas such a health care, worker productivity, and educational achievement for children (Center for the Study of the Presidency and Congress, 2012).
The CDC found that an average of 81% of schools require physical education; however, many do not meet the minimum amount of nationally recommended physical education (National Association for Sport and Physical Education, 2011). We can assume that every school that is required to have a physical education program has one, although there are undoubtedly exceptions. Using this assumption, we can model the costs if we chose to provide all the other public schools in the country with a physical education teacher. Using a $50,000 annual salary for an average teacher, this cost works out to about $990 million annually. This would cost about $10.5 billion over 20 years at a discount rate of 7%. Under our proposal, the federal government, state governments, and local districts would share the cost of meeting this mandate. This cost sharing is already happening to some extent with such programs as the PEP grants. We envision increased federal spending in order for states to meet the mandate. Rather than putting a concrete number on these federal appropriations, we chose to look at the entire cost of equipping the remaining schools in the nation with physical education teachers. This number can be considered both an underestimate and an overestimation. Some of the 81% of schools that require physical education will need more funding to meet our physical education/physical activity mandate. Many schools will not only need a physical education teacher, but also infrastructure improvements and new equipment. On the other side, our proposal does not require physical education, so some schools might choose to forgo a formal physical education teacher. Schools could share a physical education teacher to cut down on costs or use the money toward other innovative ways of meeting our requirement. In addition, the cognitive benefits of exercise mean that physical activity spending will hopefully improve learning outcomes, which is a benefit we do not quantify. We believe our cost model provides a reasonable estimation of the cost of equipping schools to meet our mandatory baseline standards for physical education and physical activity.
Information:
Recommendation: Create federal grants to encourage states to screen and report students BMI. Who It Targets Body Mass Index (BMI)an age and gender specific weight to height ratiois the commonly accepted measure of obesity. While there is evidence that BMI has flaws, it is a useful tool for doctors and parents to assess the issues regarding a childs weight (American Heart Association; Ayers, 2013). Since Arkansas established the first statewide BMI surveillance of students in schools, nearly 20 states have followed suit using different data collection models (Longjohn, Sheon, Card-Higginson, Nader, & Mason, 2010). Evidence from Arkansas indicates that 60% of parents underestimated their childs weight before the measure was enacted. One year after implementation, this number dropped to 53%. Gains among African Americans, a group at risk for obesity, were even greater: Specifically, African American parents improved from 30% accurate classification before the BMI measurement to 44% accurate after the first Child Health Report was distributed (West et al., 2008). This indicates that BMI tracking is effective at improving parental knowledge of childhood obesity. BMI screening in school and reporting to parents could be beneficial for several reasons. First, children can be diagnosed as overweight or obese without having to visit a primary care physician. Parents could also become familiar with their childs status and with the risks that are
associated with childhood obesity. This is especially helpful for those who do not have access to health care or would not normally take their child to the pediatrician. BMI screening in schools may help curb long-term effects by stressing early prevention. Better data about childhood obesity can help educators and policymakers determine what types of programs need to be created to help create a healthier school environment or community (Ohio Department of Education). There is a risk of stigmatization and parental pushback with this program. However, similar programs in Arkansas and Ohio have received little negative feedback from parents or educators (Ayers, 2013; Raczynski et al., 2009). When dealing with childrens issues, there are always concerns about protecting children from psychological harm. Schools have the necessary expertise to navigate these issues. The number of states that have adopted BMI tracking suggests these concerns are not fatal to the program, and these states provide a model for broader implementation. What It Does Our proposal asks that the federal government encourage school districts to adopt annual BMI reporting. Two House resolutions introduced in 2009, HR3955 and HR4053, proposed that the CDCs Division of Nutrition Physical Activity and Obesity and the National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases administer grants for BMI surveillance programs (Longjohn et al., 2010). Our recommendation is that a similar grant system be adopted. Because BMI reporting has the potential to be controversial, especially over concerns about privacy and stigmatization, this plank in our proposal is not a mandate. States would apply for the grants, and be required to screen their students a certain number of times over the course of their school career, and provide the resulting information to parents. We will also require that states implementing these programs meet specific criteria pertaining to privacy issues, proper training, and linking families with primary care physicians and other resources (Ayers, 2013). We envision that schools would send home an annual report card for all students, listing a students BMI and resources concerning nutrition, exercise, and counseling services. To additionally combat pushback, parents will have the option to opt out of their childrens BMI screening. The Ohio model has shown, however, that when given the option, few parents actually opt out of the BMI screening (Ayers, 2013). School districts who screen and report students BMI will be required to report their findings to the federal government. This data will then be used by the presidents Childhood Obesity Task Force to establish local needs. We believe that the next step should be for the federal government to appropriate money for follow-up grants, and these grants would be aimed at encouraging partnerships with local health organizations and physicians or providing in-school counseling and nutrition services to children in schools with high rates of obesity. What It Costs We estimate that the total federal cost for issuing grants would equal $1.2 billion annually, which projected over 20 years, at a discount rate of 7%, is $13 billion. Our cost model is fairly simple, using school nurses as a proxy. The average national salary for a school nurse is $64,000 annually (Center for Education Reform, 2011; National Center for Education Statistics, 2011). About 75% of schools already have at least one full-time or part-time nurse on staff (Toppo, 2009). This model estimates cost by taking the remaining 25% of schools in the United States, about 25,000 schools, and awarding them up to $50,000 to cover the cost of a nurse
(Center for Education Reform, 2011). It is important to note that BMI screening is a simple procedure, only requiring an examiner to take down a childs height and weight. A nurse is not needed, which makes our cost model an overestimation. This overestimation was done partly to make the model robust, and partly to account for that logistical cost of data and reporting systems that will have to accompany BMI screening.
These models are a rough estimation of the benefits that should flow from our proposed policy. We recognize that several elements, such as including all children in the calculation, averaging the increased health care costs borne by obese children, using obesity rates from several years ago, and projecting a constant linear increase in obesity, are potential issues with our model. However, our models remain very conservative in many ways, such as in the assumption that obesity rates will not decline, the high discount rate, and the fact that only direct health care costs are included. As we alluded to earlier, indirect health care costs are estimated to be several times greater than direct costs. The total costs of our proposals over 20 years using a discount rate of 7% is $29.6 billion. By simply comparing the present value savings of $119.7 billion (conservative estimate) with our relatively modest state and federal expenditures, our proposal illustrates that the benefits outweigh the costs.
Snack Food Association, along with companies such as Cargill, PepsiCo, and Kroger, lobbied Congress to oppose health-oriented improvements to SNAP in at least nine states (Simon, 2012). Because our SNAP reform aims to decrease how much SNAP participants spend on many unhealthy brands represented by these lobbies, it makes sense that there will be strong opposition from these groups. Some advocacy groups might have concerns about placing restrictions on the food choice for SNAP participants. Principals and superintendents may contest the physical education/physical activity and BMI tracking portions of our proposal because it imposes more mandates on an already taxed educational system. This is why we chose to make the physical activity requirements low, and made BMI tracking an optional grant-based program. Most schools have some kind of physical education program, and more and more states are adopting BMI tracking, which suggests that these programs might not be as burdensome as they might appear. There are significant groups that should support our proposals. It is likely that health care, patient, and insurance lobbies might be brought into a coalition if they believe our proposal will help make children healthier and lower health care costs. It will be important to work to gain parental support, especially for BMI tracking. Because our SNAP reform provides subsidies, in effect increasing participants purchasing power, there should be many advocacy groups that line up behind the reform. Finally, governors and mayorsthose executives more directly accountable for school performancewill have to be brought on board to ensure passage and successful implementation of increased physical activity and BMI tracking. It will be important that these groups believe federal funding is sufficient to help defray local costs. This broad coalition will help build support and counter opposition lobbying efforts.
Conclusion
The problem of obesity in America today has profound consequences for the health of our citizens and the national economy. The growing number of overweight children will only magnify those impacts over time, increasing the health care costs and reducing the overall efficiency of the workforce. Obesity arises from a number of complex factors, so any effective solution must be multifaceted and comprehensive. Our policy proposal addresses three target areas in order to promote sustainable, effective change: nutrition, physical activity, and information. By encouraging healthy food choices for SNAP participants, by updating school physical education and physical activity requirements, and by helping states track students BMI in order to inform parents, our policy proposal aims to create systemic solution to the childhood obesity epidemic.
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Appendix
Benefit calculations, twenty-year projection Our projected cost and benefit calculations are based on two models: Model 1: We estimate a 0.75 annual percentage point increase in obesity. We calculate this average based on the rates of increase in obesity from 1999-2008 using the CDC figures for obesity rates from 1999-08. Model 2: We estimate a 1.16 annual percentage point increase in obesity. This is based on projections taken from the OECD, which estimates that childhood obesity rates in the US will reach 25% by 2020. For both Model 1 and 2 we compute the costs and benefits using the same method. The method is described in detail below: a) Population of obese children: Using both Model 1 and 2 we calculate the number of children who are obese. We base our population estimates on data obtained from U.S. Census Bureau, for the twenty-year period. b) Estimate of costs: In both our models we estimate costs under two situations; 1) Intervention: The effect on costs with obesity rates stabilizing in year 2018, i.e. we assume that by 2018 the obesity rates will stabilize. 2) Control: The effect on costs when obesity rates do not stabilize and continue to increase in the absence of intervention, over the twenty-year period. 3) The costs under both model is based on an average of the additional Medicaid and private costs spending on obese children vis--vis non-obese children (Mardner, Chang, & Medstat 2006). The estimated average spending for obese children we estimate as $4217. c) Total costs under intervention and control: We multiply the average costs of $4217 with the number of children who are obese to estimate the cost of obesity in each year, under both situations of intervention and control. d) Benefits: We then calculate the difference between the costs in each year under both situation of intervention and control to determine the total savings or benefits. e) Present value of benefits: Using the benefits or the total savings we then estimate their net present value using the official discount rate of 7%, which is used by the Office of Management and Budget.
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