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DAILY MCX NEWSLETTER

04 - FEB. FEB.-2014 2014

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BULLION:
In the absence of a true black swan, prices for gold and silver remain firmly range-bound. However, one potential positive is the latest stable performance on recent equity volatility and a few recent financial data releases. Nevertheless, the price action dictated by the big commercial banks painted a huge upward resistance at $1270 for gold and $20.60 for silver. Until these levels are breeched, the speculative and momentum chasing community will be largely absent. Because of the bearish options structure, precious metals investors should not be surprised if and when we get another washout before prices move higher. At the end of the day, it is important to remember that the success of intervention comes directly from its credibility. And this requires that participants or investors be convinced that the lender of last resort is always ahead of the game.

BASE METAL:
Aluminium use was so far restricted to use in low-volume luxury and sports car models but with the F-150, Ford is taking it to bringing it to mainstream, Automotive News commented. F-150 has 450 kg of aluminium, nearly three times the current average aluminium vehicle content. Barclays in a report pointed out that aluminium could face the biggest market deficit in 2014 and aluminium substitution in automobiles is also gaining momentum. Automotive industry accounts for 40% of the end demand for aluminium.

ENERGY:
Gross withdrawals of natural gas in the Lower-48 rose 1.13 Bcf/d, to 75.95 Bcf/d, in November 2013, according to the latest EIA Monthly Natural Gas Gross Production Report. This sets a new record for lower-48 output. The reported production growth fell slightly short of pipeline flow estimates, which had pointed to a 1.5 Bcf/d increase, according to a Barclays report. The bulk of the growth came from Other States, where production had an equivalent 1.13 Bcf/d rise from October levels. Other States include the Marcellus shale in Pennsylvania, where producers connected numerous recently completed wells to several newly constructed pipelines that started operation in November.

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BULLION

GOLD (5 MAR.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : - CONSOLIDATE : - 29150, 29300 : - 28800, 28600 : - BUY ON DIPS

SILVER (5 MAR.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : - CONSOLIDATE : - 44150, 44500 : - 43600, 43200 : - BUY ON DIPS

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ENERGY

CRUDEOIL (19 FEB.)


OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : - CONSOLIDATE : - 6125, 6180 : - 6055, 6000 : - SELL ON HIGH

NATURAL GAS (25 FEB.)


OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : - CONSOLIDATE : - 315.00, 322.30 : - 304.60, 300.00 : - BUY ON DIPS

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BASE METAL

COPPER (28 FEB.)


OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : - CONSOLIDATE : - 446.00, 448.00 : - 442.80, 440.00 : - SELL ON HIGH

LEAD (28 FEB.)


OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : - CONSOLIDATE : - 131.50, 132.50 : - 130.00, 129.00 : - SELL ON HIGH

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ZINC (28 FEB.)


OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : - CONSOLIDATE : - 123.80, 124.80 : - 122.00, 121.00 : - SELL ON HIGH

ALUMINUM (28 FEB.)


OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : - CONSOLIDATE : - 104.70, 105.80 : - 103.00, 102.00 : - SELL ON HIGH

NICKEL (28 FEB.)


OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : - BEARISH : - 878.00, 885.00 : - 865.00, 850.00 : - SELL ON HIGH

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GOLD SILVER COPPER CRUDEOIL PALLANDIUM PLATINUM

1257.18 19.356 3.181 96.56 700.50 1381.00

USDINR EURUSD USDJPY USDCHF GBPUSD USDCAD

63.0650 01.3510 101.196 00.9026 01.6303 01.1088

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