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Issued: Wednesday, Nov 11, 2009 Updated daily by 9 AM

Ytd Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue


Predictive Service Areas
Nov 10 Nov 11 Nov 12 Nov 13 Nov 14 Nov 15 Nov 16 Nov 17

SC01 - Eastern Sierra      1 1 


SC02 - Central Sierra      2 2 
SC03 - Southern Sierra   2 2  2 2 
SC04 - Sierra Foothills      1 1 1
SC05 - Central Valley   1  1 1 1 1
Legend:    1  1 2 2
SC06 - Central Coast Interior
Fuel Dryness SC07 - Central Coast  2 2 2  2 2 2
Moist - Little or no risk for large fires. SC08 - South Coast  2 2 2 2 2 2 2
SC09 - Western Mountains  2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Dry - Low risk of large fires in the
absence of a "High Risk" event. SC10 - Eastern Mountains  3 2 2 2 3  3
SC11 - Southern Mountains  2 2 2 2 2 3 3
Very Dry - Low/Moderate risk of large
fires in the absence of a "High Risk" SC12 - Lower Deserts   2 2 2 2 2 2
event. SC13 - Eastern Deserts  2 2 2  2 2 2
SC14 - Central Mojave  2 2 2  2 2 2
High Risk Days SC15 - Upper Deserts  2 2 2  2 2 2
At least a 20% chance of a "Large Fire" SC16 - Northern Deserts        
due to a combination of either "Dry" or
"Very Dry" fuel dryness and an Ignition
Trigger. High Risk Days will include a Weather Discussion:
symbol indicating the type of trigger Skies will be mostly cloudy today as abundant high clouds continue to stream into the region. Although
event. temperatures will be slightly above normal for this time of year, highs today will be 5-8 degrees cooler than
yesterday due to the cloud cover. The flow near the surface will turn onshore this afternoon, which will
At least a 20% chance of a new "Large allow further cooling across the coastal areas. Along with cooler temperatures, higher relative humidities
Fire" or significant growth on existing can be expected this afternoon near the coast, but further inland, minimum relative humidity levels will be
fires due to a combination of either "Dry" about the same as yesterday with many areas seeing readings in the teens. Winds will be light once
or "Very Dry" fuel dryness and a Critical again. Tomorrow, a weak system will move through central California bringing light showers and cooler
Burn Environment. High Risk Days will weather to the region. Nearly all of the precipitation will fall north of Point Conception where a quarter to a
include a symbol indicating the type of half inch of rain will be possible in the Sierras and the central coast. Further south, little, if any rain is
trigger event. expected. It will be significantly cooler with highs around 15 degrees cooler for Thursday through Saturday
along with higher relative humidity levels. The front will quickly move east of the region Friday, but strong
Ignition Trigger north winds are expected to develop behind this system. Across the northern deserts, and the central
coast some wind gusts to 40 mph look possible Friday into Saturday. Lighter winds are expected
 Lightning - Defined differently in each
elsewhere. The flow will turn offshore Saturday night into Sunday, which will lead to warmer weather with
Predictive Service Area. See "Product
lower relative humidity Sunday and Monday. END/RK
Description and Explanation Page" for
details.
Fire Potential Discussion:
Critical Burn Environment Generally, fuels north of Point Conception are relatively moist and are experiencing some level of green
up. Some light wetting rains can be expected in the Sierras and the central coast Thursday, but nearly all
W Windy and Dry - Defined differently in
of the rain will miss southern California. However, cooler and more humid weather will keep the threat of
each Predictive Service Area. See
large fire growth to a minimum through Saturday, even in areas which have yet to experience substantial
"Product Description and Explanation
rainfall this season. Thus, IA is expected to be at a minimum the next several days. Conditions are
Page" for details.
expected to turn warmer and drier for Sunday into the first half of next week.

CWCG Preparedness Level:


CWCG Preparedness Level 3, MACS Mode 2

NOTICE: Forecast for the following PSA's may be


unavailable or unrepresentative of actual
conditions due to missing observations from the
stations listed below:
EASTERN SIERRA
Owens Valley Ca Additional Links
Walker California
PDF Version of this page
CENTRAL SIERRA
Shaver Californ National Map
7-Day ERC, F10, and F100 Projections
SOUTHERN SIERRA
Cedar Grove Ca 7-Day Temperature and Humidity Projections
Park Ridge Cali Product Description and Explanation Page
Sugarloaf

SIERRA FOOTHILLS
Mariposa Califo
Fancher Creek C
Catheys Valley

CENTRAL COAST MTNS & VLYS


Hernandez Calif
Parkfield Calif

SOUTH COAST
Case Springs Ca

SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS


Fawnskin

DESERTS
Yucca Valley Ca

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