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METHODOLOGIES FOR THE

ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF SOIL EROSION


AND CONSERVATION

by

Rebecca Clark


CSERGE Working Paper GEC 96-13













METHODOLOGIES FOR THE
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF SOIL EROSION
AND CONSERVATION

by

Rebecca Clark


Overseas Development Group
University of East Anglia
Norwich









Acknowledgements

The Centre for Social and Economic Research on the Global Environment (CSERGE) is a
designated research centre of the U.K. Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC).

This paper was originally written for the Forest Land Use Mapping Project (FORLUMP) Kandy,
Sri Lanka, funded by the Overseas Development Administration (ODA).

The author is grateful to the following for their assistance and support in carrying out this study:
Roger White (FORLUMP), Mark Lewis (ODA), Michael Stocking (UEA) and Tom Crowards
(CSERGE).

ISSN 0967-8875



Abstract


Land degradation caused by soil erosion is a major threat to the sustainability of
agriculture. The costs of erosion can be used to prioritise implementation of soil
conservation, and economic analysis of alternative conservation technologies can
be used to identify courses of action that efficiently employ available resources. A
number of different approaches are currently used for the valuation and economic
analysis of erosion and conservation. This paper reviews the approaches used for
the on-site and off-site effects of erosion and conservation, primarily in developing
countries.

The on-site effects of erosion can be valued in terms of the impacts on soil
properties, using the replacement cost, or the impacts on crop production.
Valuation of conservation technologies requires additional considerations: the
effectiveness of the technology in reducing erosion; and valuation of additional
benefits of the technology such as animal fodder production. The off-site effects
of soil erosion are numerous but are excluded from many studies. Valuation is
generally limited to the effects of reservoir sedimentation on hydro-electricity
generation and water supplies for irrigation.

Economic appraisals of soil erosion and conservation generally use financial
and/or cost benefit analysis. These appraisals are plagued with problems
concerning the availability and accuracy of data, making sensitivity analysis a
necessary accompaniment. The studies reviewed vary widely in the discount rates
and time periods used, and the extent of sensitivity analysis. It is therefore
essential that the findings of studies are accompanied by explicit details of the
assumptions and any necessary cautions about the quality and reliability of data.


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1. Introduction


Soil erosion is a process that occurs on land under agricultural production or
natural vegetation. It involves the movement of soil particles on the soil surface as
a result of the actions of rain, wind or disturbance of the soil surface. The soil
particles, or sediment, may be deposited elsewhere on the land or enter the water
system. The rates at which soil erosion occurs vary greatly between different
locations and over different periods of time.

There is great concern, particularly in developing countries, about land degrad-
ation resulting from soil erosion and its impacts on agricultural production. In
some areas of the world it may not be possible to sustain existing levels of crop
production in the long term, even with increased applications of fertiliser. This
will affect the sustainability of rural communities and may even reduce national
food supplies. Erosion also has effects downstream. The eroded sediment can be
deposited in reservoirs and reduce hydro-electricity generation and water supplies
for irrigation. The sediment can also reduce the operational efficiency of irrigation
systems and impair the quality of drinking water.

Concerns about the effects of soil erosion have led to increased promotion of soil
conservation technologies in developing countries. Donor and government funds
have been invested in watershed management and soil conservation projects and
farmers have been encouraged to invest their own funds and labour in soil
conservation technologies. In order to increase the efficiency with which these
resources are allocated to soil conservation activities, the effects of soil erosion
need to be assessed. The costs of erosion can be used to determine the priority for
action and the benefits of potential courses of action can be used to assess their
suitability and efficiency in resource use.

Considerable difficulties arise in the valuation of the effects of soil erosion and
conservation. Neither are traded directly in the market place so their economic
values have to be inferred and there is no single recognised method for their
valuation. This study aims to provide a guide to the different approaches adopted
in the literature for the economic analysis of soil erosion and conservation. The
possible on and off-site effects of soil erosion and conservation are briefly
reviewed and different approaches that have been adopted for their valuation are
examined in detail. Finally, the methods that may be used for the economic
analysis of soil erosion and conservation (financial analysis, cost benefit analysis
and cost effectiveness analysis) are briefly discussed.


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The study examines only the methodological aspects of the economic analysis of
erosion and conservation and makes no attempt to include or compare the results
of different studies. The results of economic analyses are highly dependent on the
data and assumptions and cannot therefore be examined independently. Similarly,
the study does not examine the effects of different valuation approaches on the
figures calculated for soil erosion and conservation. It simply presents the
approaches that may be adopted and discusses some of their merits and
weaknesses. It is up to the individual analyst to select the appropriate approach for
a specific analysis.

The valuation of erosion and the valuation of soil conservation are examined
separately in this study. To some extent they represent two sides of the same coin;
the benefits of conservation are the reductions in the costs of erosion. But the
valuation of conservation has further dimensions. Soil conservation cannot be
assumed to completely reduce the effects of erosion; the extent of the decrease has
to be specified. Soil conservation may also have benefits additional to reduced
erosion, such as production of animal fodder, fruit crops or decreased production
costs. The approaches adopted for valuing conservation generally involve the
valuation of reduced soil loss. For this reason the reader is referred to the sections
both on the valuation of erosion (Section 2) and the valuation of soil conservation
(Section 3) for details on approaches for the valuation of erosion.

Valuation of the impacts of erosion are divided into those experienced on the land
from which the soil is lost ("on-site") and those experienced elsewhere ("off-site").
Methodologies for valuation of the on-site effects of soil erosion are examined in
Section 2. The approaches used for quantifying and valuing the on-site effects of
conservation are given in Section 3. Valuation of the off-site effects of both
erosion and conservation is examined in Section 4. Section 5 reviews the methods
that can be used for the economic analysis of soil erosion and conservation.
Finally the overall findings of the report are discussed in Section 6. This review
examines analyses that have been carried out in develop-ing countries, but also
includes relevant studies based in the US and Australia. The review of the
literature is in no way comprehensive, but examines a sample of the studies.

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2. Valuation of the On-Site Effects of Soil Erosion


There are two main approaches for the valuation of the on-site effects of erosion:
the impact on the properties of the soil and the impact on agricultural production.
The effects of erosion on soil properties can be examined from the perspective of
soil as a resource, or in terms of certain soil characteristics as indicators of soil
productivity (e.g. soil nutrient content, soil moisture capacity). The effects of
erosion on agricultural production can be valued in terms of reductions in crop
yields. This may be the reduction in market value of crop production or, where the
farming system involves the production of fodder crops, erosion can be valued in
terms of the decrease in livestock production. Crop yields are not dependent on
soil productivity alone; yields are determined by the interaction of a number of
factors such as fertiliser application rates, climate, pests, and the use of irrigation.
The impact of erosion on soil properties can, however, cause declining crop yields,
particularly in the absence of increased inputs.

The following sections examine the different approaches adopted by studies for
valuation of the on-site impacts of soil erosion. Many of the economic analyses
employ data on soil erosion rates; sources of these data are reviewed in Section
2.1. The effects of erosion on soil properties are summarised in Section 2.2 and are
followed by a review of methods adopted for this approach to valuation. Section
2.3 summarises the impacts of erosion on crop production and reviews the
valuation methods that have been used. Finally, alternative approaches to
valuation such as hedonic pricing and contingent valuation are briefly reviewed in
Section 2.4.


2.1 Soil erosion rates

Many of the studies on the economics of soil erosion and conservation employ
data on erosion rates in their analyses. Several sources of these data are summ-
arised below, followed by a review of their respective merits and weaknesses.

Data on soil erosion rates can be obtained from:

experimental plot studies,
rapid assessment of field conditions,
sediment measurements for experimental studies of sub-catchments and
catchments,
empirical equations, such as the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE)
and the Soil Loss Estimation Model for Southern Africa (SLEMSA).

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There are a number of problems that arise with these different sources of data.
Gully erosion can be a major contributor to soil erosion on a catchment scale but is
not measured by any of the above data sources apart from catchment studies. The
USLE examines only sheet and rill erosion and plot studies generally measure only
sheet erosion. Furthermore, plot studies measure only the movement of soil over a
relatively small area whereas catchment-level studies measure the actual loss of
soil from the land and take into account the deposition of sediment on the land
surface. However, there are also problems associated with catchment-level data;
the calculation of erosion rates from recordings of river sediment loads requires the
specification of a sediment delivery ratio, the value of which is unknown for most
catchments. Furthermore, river sediment loads may not accurately reflect erosion
rates because of the deposition of sediment in the river system and the inclusion of
bed load and river bank erosion in sediment measurements.

Discrepancies arise in the soil erosion rates used; some studies use gross erosion
rates whereas others take the rate of soil formation into account and use net soil
erosion rates in their analyses. The calculation of net rates is plagued by the
absence of accurate information on soil formation rates and the lack of consensus
as to whether topsoil or subsoil formation rates should be used, although the
former can be ten times the latter (Stocking, 1995). Soil formation rates are,
however, very low and as a result the use of gross or net soil erosion rates has a
negligible effect on the results of economic analyses.

There are particular concerns about soil nutrient loss data that originate from plots
using artificial de-surfacing to simulate erosion. Soil erosion is a selective process;
it removes predominantly the smaller particles of the soil, which consist primarily
of organic matter and clay particles. A large proportion of soil nutrients are found
in these soil fractions, so erosion selectively removes nutrients from the soil.
Eroded sediment has been found to be 2.5 times richer in nutrients than topsoil for
several soil types in Zimbabwe (described as the sediment enrichment ratio)
(Stocking, 1995). However, artificial de-surfacing experiments are non-selective
and involve the progressive removal of all particles in the top soil. The results
measure soil nutrient loss effectively in terms of the soil nutrient content of top soil
and therefore under-estimate erosion-induced losses of soil nutrients.

The data on erosion rates and soil nutrient loss are site-specific and tend not to be
transferable between geographical areas. Erosion rates and nutrient losses are
affected by characteristics of the soil, climate, land, vegetation, and crop and land
management systems. The transfer of data between temperate and tropical soils is
especially limited. The tropics generally experience higher erosion rates than
temperate zones; there tends to be a greater concentration of nutrients and organic

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matter in the upper horizons of tropical soils; and rooting depths tend to be more
restricted (El-Swaify, 1993).

Finally, problems that can be encountered in using empirical models to calculate
erosion rates are illustrated by examining the USLE and SLEMSA.

The Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) was developed in the 1960s using an
extensive set of data for the US Midwest. It takes the form of:

E = R . K . L . S . C . P
where:
E = mean annual soil loss,
R = rainfall erosivity index,
K = soil erosivity index,
L = slope length,
S = slope steepness,
C = crop factor,
P = conservation practice factor.

Values are available for the above factors for the US Midwest, but can not be
assumed to be representative of other geographical regions. A number of studies
have applied the USLE in other areas, in tropical as well as temperate zones. Some
of these adapt several, if not all, of the factor values for local conditions. However,
the adjustments are not always explicit and it is often unclear how representative
the USLE is of the area studied. Morgan (1986) insists that "The equation [USLE]
should not be applied to conditions for which the factor values have not been
determined".

The USLE was originally derived from experimental data collected over a period
of 20 years and so calculates average soil loss over the long term. Since the USLE
examines only sheet and rill erosion and excludes gully erosion it calculates soil
movement, not soil loss, as it does not account for the deposition of sediment. In
summary, the USLE is not suitable for studies in areas for which appropriate factor
values are not available, for studies on a catchment scale and for the estimation of
soil erosion rates in the short term.

A simpler empirical model that requires less data is the Soil Loss Estimation
Model for Southern Africa (SLEMSA). This was developed in the 1980s in
Zimbabwe and is similar in structure to the USLE. Lu and Stocking (1994) state
that "it has the advantages of reasonable accuracy, simplicity, flexibility and
suitability for less developed countries with a limited amount of data". SLEMSA
takes the form:

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E = K . C . X
where:
E = predicted mean annual soil loss,
K = mean annual soil loss from a standard plot,
C = crop cover factor,
X = a factor of slope length and angle.


2.2 Soil properties

The following section starts with a summary of the impacts that erosion can have
on the properties of the soil. It then reviews the different methods that have been
adopted for valuation of the impacts of erosion on soil properties.

Erosion can affect all aspects of the soil: physical, chemical and biological. The
following list provides an indication of the range and number of possible impacts;
for further details the reader is referred to a standard text such as Hudson (1981).
The effects of erosion on soil may include:

reduction in the depth of top soil;
reduction in soil nutrient content. Soluble nutrients (e.g. nitrates and
some phosphates) are leached from the soil in runoff; relatively insoluble
soil components (e.g. insoluble phosphates) are lost in sediment,
including reserves of soil nutrients in particles of organic matter (e.g.
nitrogen) (Lal, 1987). Studies generally only examine the impacts of
erosion on nitrogen, phosphorous and potassium, but other soil nutrients
are also affected;
reduction in soil organic matter content. This affects soil nutrient
content (organic matter is the major source of nitrogen), soil fauna and
hence soil structure;
increase in the risk of soil acidification or toxicity;
loss of applied chemicals in runoff and sediment;
reduction in rainfall infiltration ie: increase in runoff;
reduction in soil moisture capacity as a result of the selective removal of
organic matter and clay particles;
undesirable soil surface characteristics e.g. crusting and sealing, which
further reduce infiltration;
removal of soil to the extent that it exposes subsoil or bedrock at the soil
surface;
impairment of the soils physical structure: texture, structure and bulk
density;

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reduction in the transmission of water in the soil due to deterioration of
soil structure;
reduction in gaseous exchange resulting from deterioration of soil
structure;
reduction in soil fauna, involved in nutrient recycling and the
maintenance and improvement of soil structure;
loss of land area due to gullying and landslides.


Valuation of the impacts of erosion on soil properties focuses on the reduction in
soil nutrient content and the physical loss of soil. It takes into account few, if any,
of the other impacts listed above. The most common approach for valuing the loss
of soil and soil nutrients is the replacement cost. This is based on the cost of
replacing lost soil nutrients with artificial fertilisers; it may also include the cost of
physically returning eroded sediment to the land. The valuation may be carried out
with a view to the replacement of nutrients as a potential course of action, and so
include the costs of the labour required to apply artificial fertilisers (Kim and
Dixon, 1984). Alternatively a more conceptual approach may be adopted which
includes only the cost of artificial fertiliser in the valuation (Stocking, 1988).

The replacement cost has major inherent problems; it represents a potential course
of action that cannot be adopted for both practical and environmental reasons. The
approach values erosion in terms of its effects on the soil content of several
nutrients (generally nitrogen, phosphorous and potassium) and may also
incorporate the effect of erosion on soil depth. It does not examine any other
aspects of erosion, such as its effects on the soils physical structure, moisture
capacity, organic matter content, soil fauna and the levels of the many other soil
nutrients. El-Swaify (1993) states that "The replenishment of soil nutrients (as
added fertilisers) is by itself insufficient to restore original soil productivity.
Physical and biological rehabilitations are often also required.". This is illustrated
by an example in Thailand (Attaviroj, 1990) where the loss of rice yields as a
result of erosion can not be recovered using artificial fertilisers alone, because of
the reliance of rice on soil organic matter and soil structure.

The replacement cost also fails to recognise the different forms in which nutrients
exist in the soil. Erosion removes nutrients from the soil not only in forms
available to plants but also from soil reserves of nutrients in fixed forms that are
unavailable to plants. However, artificial fertilisers supply nutrients only in
available form. The replacement of soil nutrients with fertilisers therefore over-
supplies nutrients in available form and fails to replenish soil reserves of fixed
nutrients. Furthermore, artificial fertilisers are subject to volatilisation and
leaching, which makes them highly inefficient at replacing soil nutrients; these

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losses should be taken into account in the calculation of the replacement cost,
though in practise they are ignored. The actual replacement of large quantities of
soil nutrients using artificial fertilisers would result in negative off-site effects; the
leaching of nutrients into water supplies could reduce water quality and increase
the risk of algal blooms which would impose additional costs.

In reality, farmers are unlikely to apply the quantities of fertiliser required to
replace all lost soil nutrients, but will apply the quantities that are economically
viable in terms of the response of crop yields. Thus the replacement cost is more
acceptable when it is perceived as a theoretical approach to the valuation of soil
erosion rather than as a potential course of action. However, the replacement cost
does focus on just one of the impacts of erosion on the soils properties and does
not necessarily provide an indication of the economic value of soil as a resource.

A number of approaches adopted in the literature for valuation of the effects of
erosion on soil properties are reviewed below. It is purely by chance that they all
involve use of the replacement cost.

The cost of actually replacing both lost soil and soil nutrients is used by Kim and
Dixon (1984) to value erosion in Korea. In the area studied, sediment is eroded
from hill land and deposited on paddy land below where it causes damage to rice
crops. The valuation of erosion includes the cost of removing sediment from the
paddy fields, transporting it by lorry to the hill land and spreading it back onto the
land. It also incorporates the cost of the artificial fertilisers required to replace the
nutrients lost from the sediment and the labour required to apply the fertilisers.
The valuation includes the cost of irrigation required to replace one-third of the
runoff and the hill farmers are expected to compensate paddy farmers for the loss
in yields that results from the smothering of rice crops with sediment. It is
assumed that all of these costs are incurred to hill farmers on an annual basis. The
figures used for erosion rates, soil nutrient losses and runoff are based on field
data.

A similar approach is adopted by Samarakoon and Abeygunawardena (1992) for a
study based in Sri Lanka. The study uses soil erosion rates calculated using the
USLE with factors adapted for the conditions in the study area. Two different
approaches are used for valuation of the replacement cost of soil erosion. The first
approach values erosion in terms of the cost of replacing both the soil and the
nutrients lost from crop land. Eroded soil is replaced with soil taken from fallow
land (assumed to be four to five miles away), transported by hired truck and spread
on the land used for crop production. The difference in nutrient content (nitrogen,
phosphorous, potassium and organic matter) between the original top soil on the
crop land and the soil from fallow land is valued in terms of the market price of

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equivalent quantities of artificial fertiliser and organic matter. The valuation
includes the cost of the labour required to load, unload and spread the soil but does
not include the labour inputs required to apply the fertilisers. The second valuation
approach is based on the cost of addressing the effects of soil erosion. Erosion is
valued in terms of the cost of ploughing the soil that remains on the crop land and
replacing the lost nutrients with artificial fertilisers. It is assumed that erosion has
removed all top soil from the crop land, so the nutrient deficit is calculated as the
difference in nutrient content between top soil and subsoil.

In contrast to the above static perspective of soil nutrients, van der Pol (1992)
examines the impacts of erosion in the context of the dynamic soil system. The
study investigates soil erosion in Mali in terms of pools of soil nutrients, their
associated inflows and outflows and the resultant effects on soil nutrient balance.
Only pools of soil nutrients that are in forms available to plants or that are present
in soil organic matter are included. The study examines the following inflows into
the soil's nutrient pools:

fertiliser applications,
organic manuring,
incorporation of crop residues,
biological nitrogen fixation by relevant crops,
asymbiotic nitrogen fixation,
recycling of leached nutrients and biological fixation by trees growing in
fields,
atmospheric deposition of nutrients in rain and dust,
enrichment due to alteration and dissolution of soil minerals,
nutrient content of seeds,

and the following outflows of nutrients from the soil's nutrient pools:

nutrient uptake by crops,
leaching losses,
erosion losses,
volatilisation/denitrification losses,
irreversible fixation of phosphorous and potassium.

The net soil nutrient balance is given by the outflows from the soil's nutrient pools
less the inflows and is calculated for each of the major nutrients: nitrogen,
phosphorous and potassium. The results are valued in terms of the market prices
of equivalent quantities of artificial fertilisers; the sum of the values for nitrogen,
phosphorous and potassium provides the total value of the soil nutrient deficit. The
valuation includes the cost of lime that would need to be applied to prevent

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nitrogenous fertilisers from causing soil acidification. However, the cost of the
labour required to apply the fertilisers is not taken into account. The value
calculated for soil erosion is used to determine the proportion of farm income that
is derived from "soil mining" ie: the ratio between the economic value of nutrient
depletion and farm income. It is also used to calculate a sustainability quotient in
terms of the proportion of farm income that remains after deduction of the value of
soil erosion. The results are used to assess possible approaches for reducing soil
erosion in the study area. The data used in the study are obtained from literature
based in West Africa and Mali.

A more conceptual approach to the replacement cost of soil erosion is adopted by
Stocking (1988). This study, based in Zimbabwe, values erosion solely in terms of
the loss of soil nitrogen and phosphorous content, costed at market prices of
equivalent quantities of artificial fertilisers. Regression analysis is applied to an
extensive set of experimental data from Zimbabwe in order to quantify the
relationships between erosion rates and losses in soil nitrogen and phosphorous
content. The relationships are assumed to be representative for the whole of
Zimbabwe on the grounds that there is little variation in characteristics of soil
types in the country. Erosion rates are calculated using SLEMSA for the four
main agricultural land uses in Zimbabwe, and the relationships derived in the study
are used to estimate erosion-induced losses of nitrogen and phosphorous. The
author notes that only a small fraction (4%) of the nitrogen lost would become
available to plants in any one year. However, the study examines loss of total
nitrogen because decline in unavailable nitrogen is felt to have a significant impact
in the long term. In the case of phosphorous, erosion-induced losses are calculated
only for the available form. The study calculates the total quantities of nitrogen
and phosphorous lost due to soil erosion for the whole of Zimbabwe and estimates
the national cost of erosion in terms of the cost of equivalent quantities of locally
available artificial fertilisers. Stocking (1988) discusses the problems that can
arise with the use of this valuation technique and states that "The financial costing
through the equivalent amount of fertilizer...must be seen purely as a financial
'handle' to quantify that impact."

Bishop and Allen (1989) adopt the valuation approach developed by Stocking
(1988) for their study in Mali, with the adaptation that loss of only available
nitrogen is valued. The study uses linear regression analysis of experimental data
from Ibadan (Nigeria) to estimate relationships between erosion and losses of
nitrogen, phosphorous and potassium from the soil. Nitrogen is valued based on
4% of estimated total nitrogen loss; this is the proportion of soil nitrogen content
assumed to be in available form in any one year (based on Stocking, 1988). Such
adjustment is not necessary for phosphorous and potassium as it is assumed that
these are lost only in available form. Total losses of nitrogen, phosphorous and

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potassium are valued in terms of the cost of equivalent quantities of artificial
fertilisers. The study also values erosion in terms of reduction in crop yields
(Section 2.3.2); comparison of the results indicates that the cost of erosion in terms
of soil nutrient loss is significantly lower than the cost of yield loss. The authors
attribute this to the exclusion of other impacts of erosion from the nutrient loss
calculations, such as reduction in soil moisture capacity and deterioration of soil
structure.

In addition to soil and soil nutrient loss, some studies also examine the effects of
erosion on other soil properties. Rosenberry et al (1980) value erosion in terms of
the impacts on soil properties that are actually experienced by the farmer. For the
study area in Iowa, the valuation of erosion includes the cost of fertiliser required
to maintain fertility at recommended levels (as indicated by soil analysis) and the
value of yield decline that occurs even with increased fertiliser application rates. It
also incorporates the cost of additional fuel required to carry out cultivations as a
result of the deterioration of soil physical structure.

The study by Pimentel et al (1995) includes the impacts of erosion on runoff, soil
moisture capacity and soil fauna. The analysis is based in the US and is carried out
for a specific set of environmental conditions (specified in the footnote to Table 1).
The long term impacts of erosion (approximated by a time period of 20 years) are
broken down and quantified in terms of the effects on runoff, soil nitrogen,
phosphorous, potassium and organic matter content, soil moisture capacity and soil
fauna. The costs of replacement, the effects on energy requirements and the
impacts on crop yields are calculated for each of these factors (see Table 1).

Pimentel et al (1995) value the increase in runoff that results from erosion in terms
of the cost of replacing the lost water with ground water irrigation. The
replacement of losses in soil nutrient content is valued in terms of equivalent
quantities of artificial fertilisers and the cost of replacement of soil depth is simply
an estimate. The increases in energy requirements that result from erosion are
calculated as the fuel required for irrigation to replace water lost in runoff and the
energy required to replace soil nutrients with artificial fertilisers. Based on the
figures in Table 1 the study estimates that approximately 10% of the energy used
in US agriculture is off-setting the effects of erosion.

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Table 1: The Long Term Effects of Soil Erosion on Different Soil
Characteristics and the Resultant Replacement Costs, Increases
in Fuel Requirements and Reductions in Crop Yields
a



Factor
Quantity lost
per annum
Replacement
cost
($/ha/year)
Increase in energy
requirements
(000s cal/ha/year)
Crop yield loss
after erosion over a
20 year period (%)
Water runoff 75 mm 30 700 7%
Nitrogen 50 kg/ha 500
Phosphorous 2 kg/ha 100 3 8%
Potassium 410 kg/ha 260
Organic matter 2 t/ha - - 4%
Soil depth 1.4 mm 16 - 7%
Water holding
capacity

0.1 mm

-

-

2%
Soil fauna - - - 1%
Total on-site
effect
- 146 1460 20%
b


Source: Pimentel et al (1995)

a
for a maize crop under conventional tillage on a 5% slope, with 700 mm rainfall, on a
loamy soil, 15 cm deep with 4% organic matter and a soil erosion rate (water and wind)
of 17 t/ha/yr.

b
total reduction in crop yield is not equal to the sum of the reduction in yield for each
factor as some of the factors are independent and/or overlap.


2.3 Crop production

Farmers generally experience the effects of erosion in terms of the impact on crop
yields. This section examines the different mechanisms by which erosion affects
yields and the variability experienced in the extents of its impacts. The effects of
erosion on systems of crop production are also discussed. The different
approaches adopted in the literature for valuation of the impacts of erosion on crop
yields are reviewed. The approaches are grouped according to the source of data
employed in the study: field data, data originating from empirical models and data
from other literature.

Erosion affects crop yields through the changes it causes in properties of the soil
(Section 2.2). The mechanisms by which erosion can affect crop growth include:



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reduction in soil nutrient content,
reduction in soil moisture holding capacity due to loss of soil depth, soil
organic matter and clay content,
reduction in available soil water due to increase in run off, surface
crusting and sealing and greater bulk density of the soil. Reduction in
available soil water increases the frequency, duration and intensity of
crop drought stress (Lal, 1987),
reduction in rooting depth due to decreased topsoil depth and
exhumation of impermeable layers in the soil profile e.g. stone lines and
ferricrete,
reduction in soil water transmission,
reduction in soil fauna populations involved in nutrient recycling and
soil aeration,
reduction in seed germination and the proliferation and development of
roots due to degradation of the soils physical structure,
increase in the washing away of seeds and fertilisers from the soil
surface,
reduction in the timeliness of farming operations. Seed bed preparation
can be delayed by surface crusting and soil compaction; planting can be
delayed by reduction in soil moisture capacity; and variability in soil
fertility can cause within-field variations in crop maturity resulting in
increased harvest losses (Lal, 1987),
increase in the risk of reductions in crop yields due to soil acidification
and toxicity.


The above mechanisms are interactive and cumulative in their effects on crop
yields. However, the extent to which erosion actually reduces yields is also
determined by a number of other factors. Shallow rooting crops such as cereals
tend to be more sensitive to the effects of erosion than deep rooted crops such as
tubers (El-Swaify, 1993). The crop management system can mask the effects of
erosion on yields through increased fertiliser application rates, the adoption of
different cultivation practices and the use of irrigation. In general, cropping
systems that involve low levels of inputs tend to be more vulnerable to the impacts
of erosion on yields (El-Swaify, 1993). The distribution of nutrients in the soil
profile (nutrients may be evenly distributed through the profile or concentrated in
specific horizons) affects the impact of erosion on yields, as does physical
structure of the subsoil and climate, through the influence of rainfall and
temperature on crop drought stress.

Measurement of the effects of erosion on crop yields is problematic. Yields are
determined by the interaction of a number of factors such as soil type, climate,

14
crop and land management system, which makes it difficult to isolate the effects of
erosion. The impacts of erosion can also be masked by the use of fertilisers,
irrigation and improved technology. As a result there is a general lack of data on
the impacts of erosion on yields and the data that are available are highly site and
crop specific. This causes major problems for the valuation of soil erosion; as
Boj (1991a) states, "there is no simple relationship between soil loss and
production".

Assessment of the impact of erosion on crop production is further complicated by
the dynamic nature of agriculture. If yields are falling, farmers are unlikely to
continue growing a crop until yields drop to negligible levels. Cultivation of the
crop will cease when yields reach levels at which production becomes un-
economic. Furthermore, farmers will respond to long term decline in yields by
adjusting the levels of inputs used and/or by adapting the cropping system. As
erosion proceeds farmers are likely to switch to growing crops that are less sen-
sitive to the effects of erosion, that require lower levels of inputs, and/or have less
variable yields. There is evidence that such changes in cropping systems have
occurred in Java in response to soil erosion (Magrath & Arens, 1989).

Most studies examine the effects of erosion only in terms of the existing crop-ping
system and current levels of inputs. Few studies include adaptations made by
farmers in response to erosion-induced yield loss. One such study is the economic
valuation of soil erosion in Java carried out by Magrath and Arens (1989). The
authors account for adaptations in the farmers' cropping systems through inclusion
of several different cropping systems for each region in Java (see Table 2). It is
assumed that the cropping systems with lowest net returns operate on land that has
experienced the greatest loss of soil and is therefore the most degraded.

Despite a lack of data on the effects of erosion on crop yields, many studies value
the impacts of erosion in terms of the loss in crop production. A review of the
different valuation approaches employed in the literature follows. The studies are
grouped according to the source of data: field data, empirical models, and data
from the literature.

15
Table 2: The Cropping Systems Examined for Different Regions of Java
in the Study by Magrath and Arens (1989)

Region & cropping system Estimated net farm income (Rp/ha)
West Java:
Cassava, maize, upland rice & legumes. 139,496
Cassava, maize & upland rice 49,531
Cassava 1,279
Central Java:
Intercropped maize, cassava & legumes 10,183
Intercropped maize & cassava 6,698
Jogyakarta:
Intercropped maize, cassava & legumes 11,279
Intercropped maize & cassava 8,220
East Java:
Level land: intercropped maize & cassava 298,327
Level land: cassava 145,005
Terraced hill land: intercropped maize & cassava 58,130
Terraced hill land: cassava 27,806

Source: Magrath and Arens (1989)


2.3.1 Field data
Field data used to quantify the effects of erosion on crop yields is generally
obtained either from interviews with farmers or from experimental plots. Problems
can be encountered with the quality of data from farmer interviews; it is unlikely
that farmers can isolate the impacts of erosion on yields from the effects of other
factors, such as climate and crop management. Farmers may not be able to
accurately recall historical yield data and the data provided by farmers may be
biased. The latter can result from farmers perceptions of the interviewer and the
manner in which questions are asked.

Anecdotal information collected from farmers on yields can be combined with
erosion rates and used to estimate the relationship between erosion and yield.
Valds P. (1994) collected data from farmers on crop yields over the preceding six
years for a study of two areas in Honduras. The data from each area for scenarios
with and without conservation were assessed using linear regression analysis. The
resultant equations formalise the decline in yield that occurs due to the effects of
erosion and the increase in yield that results from implementation of soil
conservation measures (diversion ditches with live barriers). For one of the study
areas, linear regression analysis produces relationships with correlation

16
coefficients, R, of 0.73 and 0.77 respectively, indicating a high level of explan-
ation. For the other study area the relationships have R of 0.10 and 0.51, which
indicates that the equations provide low levels of explanation of the data collected.
The author states that this low level of explanation "could be due either to faulty
data (since the data depend on farmer recall) or, more likely, to the failure to
account for the many other factors that are also influencing yields (for example,
weather variations, differences in agroecological conditions within the sample, and
changes in practices)."

Valds P. (1994) uses the equations to project crop yields over time for each of the
two study areas, for scenarios with and without conservation, and uses the results
to assess the economic viability of investment in soil conservation measures. It is
assumed that for scenarios without conservation, production ceases when yields
fall to a specific level below which production is assumed to be no longer
profitable. In scenarios with conservation, the analysis limits yields such that they
cannot increase above the maximum sustainable yield that can be achieved in the
region.

Another approach that uses farmer recall data is the collection of data on the rates
of yield decline perceived by farmers to be occurring as a result of soil erosion.
This is the approach used by Cuesta (1994) in the Turrubares area of Costa Rica.
The farmers questioned in the study estimated that in the absence of soil conser-
vation, cocoa yam yields would fall by as much as one-third per annum. The
authors felt that this estimate concurred with characteristics of the soil in the area
and their analysis indicated that erosion would result in farmers abandoning cocoa
yam production after cultivation of a plot of land for only four years. Despite the
severity of this result the study does not examine possible responses of the farmers
to declining crop yields, such as adaptations of the cropping system.

Boj (1991a) uses field data on soil depth as indicators of the potential for erosion
to have an impact on crop yields. This technique is based on the relationship
between soil moisture capacity and soil depth and on the potential for soil moisture
capacity to act as a constraint on crop yields. Tables presented by Stocking and
Pain (1983) are used to determine the minimum soil depth for different crops and
soil types below which soil moisture capacity becomes a constraint on crop yields.
Boj determines that the minimum soil depth required for sorghum in the study
area in Lesotho is 27 cm. The average depth of soil in the area is estimated as 25
cm, from which it is deduced that erosion affects yields due to its impact on soil
moisture capacity.
A study that uses data from experimental plots is that by Hernndez (1994), based
in the Dominican Republic. Experimental data are available on erosion rates and
crop yields for the study area over a period of five years, but with only one

17
observation for each crop and land management system per year. Hernndez
discusses the weakness of the data set and states that "Nevertheless, these data are
used for lack of any other information on the relation between yields and
degradation". Linear regression analysis is applied to the data to estimate the
relationships between soil loss and crop yield decline. These relationships are used
in conjunction with predicted soil erosion rates, calculated using the USLE with
factors modified for Dominica, to project crop yields over the period of the
analysis.

2.3.2 Empirical models
A number of empirical models are used to estimate the effects of erosion on crop
yields. The models range from relatively simple relationships derived from
regression analysis to highly complex computer simulations of crop growth, such
as the Erosion-Productivity Impact Calculator (EPIC). They are all based on
specific assumptions and are generally representative only of the geographical area
in which they were developed. Some of the models require small quantities of data
that are relatively easy to obtain whereas others require large data sets such as are
rarely available in developing countries. The absence of data is addressed in some
studies by the use of data from outside the study area. It should, however, be
remembered that the results of model-simulations are only as representative as the
input data used.

Models to estimate yields should be accompanied by yield thresholds to ensure
that simulations remain representative of the cropping system studied (Valds P.,
1994). Lower thresholds can be specified such that crop production ceases when
yields fall to uneconomic levels. Upper thresholds can be established such that
simulated yields cannot exceed those actually achievable by farmers in the study
area. Even with the use of thresholds, caution is required when models are used to
extrapolate outside the range of the original data from which the models were
derived (Hernndez, 1994).

An example of a complex computer simulation model is the Erosion-Productivity
Impact Calculator (EPIC) which was developed in the US in the 1980s and has
since been widely used. The model simulates interactions between soil, climate
and plant growth and examines the impact of erosion on both the physical and
chemical properties of the soil to estimate the effects of erosion on crop yields. It
comprises eight sub models: hydrology, weather, erosion, nutrients, plant growth,
soil temperature, tillage, and economics. EPIC has its disadvantages, summarised
by Boj (1991a): What limits the use of EPIC is its great complexity and a need
for data that cannot be satisfied in the average developing country context. The
model also requires a team of advanced personnel to run them and to sensibly

18
interpret the results. Most studies that employ EPIC are based in the United
States; reviews of two such studies follow.

Colacicco et al (1989) use EPIC to calculate the economic value of erosion on a
regional basis for the whole of the US. EPIC is used to quantify the effects of
erosion on crop land, which are divided into:

permanent loss: the effect of erosion on crop yields through reduction in
rooting depth and soil moisture capacity;
temporary loss: the increase in fertiliser application rates that results
from loss of soil nutrients.

The study uses data on erosion rates from the 1982 US Natural Resources In-
ventory. It predicts that, under given assumptions, erosion will have little effect on
crop yields in the US over the next 100 years if farmers increase fertiliser
applications at the rates simulated by EPIC. Over the 100 year period maize yields
are predicted to decline by only 4.6% and wheat yields by 1.6%. Crop and
fertiliser prices are applied to the EPIC data to calculate the economic value of
erosion. The results are used to identify whether crop yield loss or soil nutrient loss
is the major effect of soil erosion in different regions of the US and to identify the
areas in which economic loss due to erosion is most concentrated.

EPIC is employed by Benson et al (1989) to study the effects of erosion on soil
productivity over a 100 year period and to examine its effect on yields over the
soil's productive life. Comparison of the effects of erosion on different soil types
in the US is facilitated by the calculation of a soil productivity index: the
cumulative yields simulated by EPIC for the different study areas are divided by
average national yields for the different crops. The impact of erosion on soil
productivity over a 100 year period was found to be insignificant for the soils
examined in the study. However, analysis of productivity over entire soil life
indicated that the four soil types vary significantly in the rate of productivity
decline and in the length of soil life (300 to 4,700 years).

Grohs (1992) uses both the EPIC and the "CERES-maize" computer models to
estimate the impact of soil erosion on crop yields in Zimbabwe. CERES-maize is
a simulation model that was developed in the 1980s in the US. It assumes that the
nutrients required for crop production are available in the soil and do not limit crop
growth; the impacts of erosion are determined solely in terms of the reduction in
soil moisture capacity (Grohs, 1992). The study uses soil erosion rates calculated
using SLEMSA. CERES-maize estimates reductions in maize yields of 0.3 to
1.4% per cm soil loss whereas EPIC calculates yield reductions of 0.7 to 3.3% per
cm. The difference in results is attributed to the inclusion in EPIC of the effects of

19
erosion on soil nutrient content as well as on soil moisture capacity. Based on the
results of CERES-maize and EPIC and findings in the literature, Grohs decides to
use rates of 1, 2 and 3% crop yield decline per cm soil loss for the analysis. These
figures are employed to calculate the impact of erosion on farm income on a
district level for the whole of Zimbabwe. The analysis is based on the following
assumptions:

all crops experience the same rate of yield decline as that estimated for
maize,
there is no change in the cropping system,
the cost of labour for harvest and the cost of transporting produce both
decrease in proportion to crop yield,
there is a linear relationship between yield decline and loss of income
(ie: crop prices are assumed to remain constant).

Less complex models of the relationship between soil loss and crop yield have also
been developed. Day et al (1992) use empirical relationships between soil
moisture capacity and crop yield to model the effects of erosion on yields in
Western Mali. The model is calibrated using data on seasonal rainfall, soil
infiltration rates and maximum potential crop yields in the study area. The data
used on erosion rates and the effects of erosion on yields are based on Lals data
for Nigeria. The cost of the erosion that occurs over a period of one year is
calculated in terms of the present value of the resultant losses in yields that occur
over the following ten years.

Bishop and Allen (1989) use a simple model developed by Lal in Nigeria to
calculate the effects of erosion on crop yields in Mali. The model was developed
through multiple regression analysis of experimental data on cowpea and maize
crops. It takes the form:

Y = C
-
bx

where:
Y = yield (tons/ha),
C = yield on uneroded (newly cleared) land,
b = coefficient for crop and slope,
x = cumulative soil loss (tons/ha).

The model is used in the study of Mali to estimate the effects of erosion on millet,
millet/cowpea, sorghum and maize crops in different areas across the country. The
authors note that "Use of the model under Mali conditions is questionable, but
certainly more appropriate than anything available from temperate zones, given
our data constraints."

20

The region studied in Mali is broken down into areas with different physical and
land use characteristics. Erosion rates are calculated using the USLE with factors
adapted for conditions in Mali and it is assumed that no soil loss takes place in
areas where sediment deposition is known to occur. Total soil loss is calculated
for each area over a ten year period and is transformed into crop yield loss using
Lals model. It is assumed that in the absence of erosion, initial crop yields would
be higher but would also decline over time due to the depletion of soil fertility by
crops. The economic value of soil erosion is calculated as the difference in value
of crop production between scenarios with and without erosion over a period of
ten years. The value of crop production is calculated based on farm budgets
developed in Burkina Faso. The analysis accounts for decreases in labour inputs
for weeding and harvesting that result from crop yield decline. The study assumes
that land is cultivated for a period of ten years and then fallowed for an unspecified
period after which soil fertility and crop yields are fully restored.

Cuesta (1994) calculates the effect of soil erosion on coffee yields using a model
of crop yield response to nitrogen loss. A representative erosion rate (0.8
mm/year) is calculated for the study area of Heredia (Costa Rica) using the USLE
with factors adapted for local conditions. The author estimates that soils in the
study area loose 4.32 kg of available nitrogen per mm of soil loss. Research
indicates that, for the coffee yields prevailing in the area (11,348 kg/ha), crop
response to nitrogen fertiliser is 35.9 kg coffee per kg nitrogen fertiliser. Based on
these data it is calculated that coffee yields decline at a rate of 155 kg per mm soil
loss; soil erosion in the study area is therefore estimated to reduce coffee yields by
124 kg per year.

2.3.3 Data from the literature
Some studies rely on other literature for data on relationships between crop yields
and soil loss. Such data may be drawn from the findings of experimental research
or from other economic analyses using secondary data.

For a study based in India, Magrath (1990a) uses experimental data on the impact
of artificial soil removal on maize production to estimate erosion-induced losses in
yields. The author discusses the inadequacies of the data; the experimental
removal of soil tends to underestimate the effects of erosion on crop yields. The
data on yield decline are adjusted to represent the erosion rate estimated for the
study area, giving rates of erosion-induced yield decline of 1.25% per year for the
first five years of cultivation and 0.95% per year in subsequent years. Magrath
comments that yield decline would be expected to increase with time "as sheet
erosion gives way to rill erosion leading to larger soil losses". However, such

21
processes were not examined in the experimental research used as the basis for the
analysis.

Magrath and Arens (1989) also use experimental data from other studies for their
economic valuation of erosion for the whole of Java. The crops grown in Java are
divided into those that are relatively sensitive to the effects of erosion (maize, soya
beans, groundnuts, green beans and upland rice) and those that are relatively
insensitive (cassava). A geographical information system (GIS) is used to identify
25 different categories of land in Java, based on soil type and slope. The
relationship between yield and erosion rate for each of the land categories and for
both types of crop are estimated using experimental data from other studies.
Erosion rates are estimated for each of the four main cropping systems on each
land category, based on previous studies and judgement of local conditions. Total
loss of crop production due to soil erosion is calculated for the whole country,
assuming either the production of only sensitive crops or of insensitive crops. The
results indicate that for the whole of Java, erosion causes an average decline in the
production of sensitive crops of 6.7% per annum and 4.2% per annum for
insensitive crops.

An alternative approach is to use relationships between yields and erosion rates
already derived from experimental data in other studies. Mitchell et al (1980) use
crop yield index data published by the Illinois Cooperative Extension Service for
their study based in Illinois, US. The crop yield index provides data on per-centage
yield for land with different categories of slope, favourable or unfavour-able
subsoil, different categories of erosion rate, and different levels of crop
management. Mitchell et al calculate prevailing erosion rates with the USLE and
use crop index data to assess the impact of erosion on yield for land with different
combinations of characteristics.

Boj (1991a) draws together data on relationships between erosion rates and yield
decline from seven different studies based in Lesotho, Ethiopia, India, El-Salvador
and the US, the majority of which examine the effects of erosion on maize and
sorghum crops. To facilitate comparison Boj converts all the data into one
common unit, percentage relative loss in yield per millimetre soil loss. The results
from the different studies range from 0.001 to 0.8 % and are given in full in Table
3. Boj summarises these figures by rounding them up to 1% "In order not to
exaggerate the degree of exactness". This is then used as the rate of yield decline
(as a proportion of the previous year's crop) for both maize and sorghum in the
area studied in Lesotho by Boj.
Table 3: The Relationships Between Crop Yield Decline and Soil Erosion
Rates in the Literature Examined by Boj for a Study based in
Lesotho

22

Literature source Location of study % Relative yield loss per
mm soil loss
Hurni (1985) Ethiopia 0.2
Lal (1981) Nigeria 3.9-20.8
Lockeretz (1981) US 0.1
Lyles (1975) US 0.2
Nobe & Seckler (1979) Lesotho 0.001-0.5
Swanson & Harshbarger (1964) US 0.1-0.2
Vittal et al (1990) India 0.8
Wiggins (1981) El Salvador 0.2

Source: Boj, 1991a.

N.B. the data for Nigeria (Lal, 1981) is not used by Boj (1991a) as the conditions are not
considered to be relevant to Lesotho.


2.4 Other valuation methods

Contingent valuation and hedonic pricing are alternative methods for valuing the
on-site effects of soil erosion. Contingent valuation involves questioning
individuals (such as farmers) about their willingness to accept compensation for
the effects of erosion or their willingness to pay for the benefits of reduced erosion
e.g. as a result of soil conservation. This technique can also be used to assess the
value of the off-site effects of erosion and conservation.

Hedonic pricing uses land prices to estimate the economic value of soil erosion.
Sale prices or rental charges for plots of land that experience different rates of soil
erosion are assessed using regression analysis. The results quantify the
relationship between land prices and soil loss and so can be used to infer the cost
of erosion. Several such studies have been carried out in the US. For example,
Miranowski and Hammes (1984) examine the effects of both depth of topsoil and
potential soil erodibility on land prices in Iowa and are able to estimate costs of
each of these factors.

There are, however, a number of problems that arise in the valuation of soil
erosion with hedonic pricing. The use of land prices to estimate the cost of erosion
requires data on land prices and a well developed market for agricultural land. In
most developing countries neither of these conditions are met. Hedonic pricing
assumes that individuals take into account erosion-induced degradation in making
decisions whether to purchase or rent a piece of land. In many cases individuals
are unaware of the extent of degradation due to insufficient information or the

23
masking effects of technology. Individuals may not even be concerned with the
quality of the land, especially when making purchases on the basis of investment
speculation or for reasons of personal security or personal status.

24
3. Valuation of the On-Site Effects of Soil Conservation

There are many different soil conservation technologies employed around the
world. Some are well recognised and have formed the basis of much of the
research on soil conservation whilst others are less well known and are adaptations
by farmers to their local environmental conditions. Each conser-vation technology
is suitable for certain characteristics of land (slope, soil type, availability of stone),
climate and farming system.

Soil conservation technologies comprise of conservation measures and
conservation practices. On-site soil conservation measures can be divided into
physical measures such as earth and stone bunds, contour drains and terraces, and
biological measures such as contour grass strips, alley cropping and contour
hedgerows. Conservation practices are cultivation practices that promote soil
conservation, such as intercropping, under sowing with cover crops, minimum
tillage, contour planting and surface mulching. Conservation measures can also be
constructed off-site to reduce the loss of soil on a catchment scale. Such measures
include check dams, silt traps, diversion drains and gully control structures.
Further details on soil conservation technologies are given in Morgan (1986).

On-site soil conservation technologies reduce the effects of erosion through a
number of different mechanisms. These include:

reduction in field length, which reduces the rate of overland flow (e.g.
contour bunds),
reduction in slope (e.g. terraces),
reduction in the rate of overland flow, which increases rainfall
infiltration (e.g. contour planting),
removal of excess surface runoff (e.g. contour drains, diversion ditches),
increase in rainfall infiltration, resulting from reduction in overland flow,
improvement in soil structure and increased soil organic matter (e.g.
terraces, organic manuring),
reduction in the impact of precipitation on the soil surface (e.g. cover
crops),
binding of the soil surface to reduce soil particle displacement (e.g.
conservation tillage),
reduction in the temperature of the soil surface (e.g. mulching),
trapping of eroded sediment (e.g. contour hedges).

The impacts experienced by farmers from the implementation of conservation
technologies vary with different technologies, environmental conditions and
farming systems. The general assumption is that farmers experience an increase in

25
crop yields. This may occur as a direct result reduced soil erosion, or indirectly as
a result of increased soil moisture capacity, improved soil nutrient content, and/or
trapped fertile sediment transported by overland flow. However, yields can also
decrease as a result of implementing soil conservation. Excessive increases in soil
moisture capacity can cause water logging and reduce yields; the construction of
terraces may bring subsoil to the surface and decrease yields. The levels of inputs
employed in crop production may increase or decrease according to the
conservation technology adopted. The farmer may experience a loss in crop area
due to the occupation of land by conservation measures (e.g. contour bunds) and
the adoption of some conservation technologies may increase damage to the crops
e.g. vegetative strips can harbour pests such as rats.

Some conservation technologies increase the efficiency of agricultural production
through, for example, increased returns per unit of labour, seed or fertiliser.
Additional benefits of conservation can also include increased supply of fuelwood
(from agroforestry), animal fodder (from grass strips) and increased nutritional
value of food production (from fruit trees). In summary, the impacts of
conservation on agricultural production are complex and highly situation specific.

Studies of the economic benefits of soil conservation run into problems of the
dynamism of cropping systems discussed in Section 2.3. Increases in yield
resulting from soil conservation may prompt farmers to alter the levels of inputs
used for crop production. They may also prompt farmers to shift to growing crops
that are more valuable, require greater expenditure on inputs, and/or have greater
variability in yield. An example of such a response is given by Barbier (1990) in
Java where the construction of terraces resulted in the cultivation of more valuable
crops. For the sake of simplicity though, most studies assume that the adoption of
soil conservation does not cause any change in the cropping system or the levels of
inputs used.

A general problem encountered in the economic analysis of soil conservation
technologies is quantification of the benefits. Boj (1986b) states that Quanti-
fication of physical effects (such as difference in crop yields) of conservation
projects is often a weak spot in available studies. Scant empirical evidence,
sometimes collected with unclear or questionable methods play a distressingly
large role. Experimental data may be available on the impacts of conservation on
soil loss or crop yields, but results tend to be site specific. Alternatively, empirical
models or data from other studies may be used to estimate the benefits of
conservation.

The following sections review the approaches adopted in the literature for
valuation of the on-site effects of soil conservation. Approaches that value the

26
benefits in terms of the impacts on soil properties are examined, followed by those
that value the effects on crop production. Valuations of other impacts of soil
conservation are then reviewed including the impacts of conservation on: the area
under crop production; the costs of production; the nutritional value of crop
production; and the effects of conservation on livestock production, land-use value
and environmental quality. Use of contingent valuation is also examined.


3.1 Soil properties

Few studies value soil conservation in terms of its impacts on soil properties.
However, soil conservation technologies are evaluated in terms of their ability to
reduce erosion rates to target levels, such as soil loss tolerance values (t- values).
In most studies the t-value is based on the maximum erosion rate that permits a
high level of crop productivity to be sustained economically and indefinitely. In
order to reflect this the t-value tends to be equated to the estimated rate of soil
formation. There is, however, considerable debate about the basis for determining
soil loss tolerance values and for further details the reader is referred to Lal (1987)
and Morgan (1986).


3.2 Crop yields

The effects of soil conservation on crop yields can be quantified using field data,
empirical models, data from other studies, or data that are estimates or
hypothetical. A review of the valuation approaches adopted by a selection of
studies follows, with the use of each different data source examined in turn.

3.2.1 Field Data
Lindgren (1988) uses survey data collected over three seasons to quantify the
impact of soil conservation on crop yields for a project in Kenya. Differences in
yield are calculated for paired plots of land, terraced and unterraced. The plots in
each pair are located in the vicinity of each other, to minimise differences in agro-
ecological conditions. Crop yields are weighted for the probability of recorded
rainfall in order to take into account variations in rainfall between the three
seasons. The weighting is calculated from statistics on rainfall for the wet seasons
in each of the twelve years prior to the survey. The differences in weighted crop
yields between terraced and unterraced land are given in Table 4.



27
Table 4: The Average Difference in Crop Yields between Terraced and
Unterraced Land, Weighted for Rainfall, Machakos District,
Kenya.


Crop
Average yield on
unterraced land
(kg/ha) for short and
long rains
Weighted average
difference in yield
between terraced
and unterraced land
(kg/ha)
95%
Confidence
interval
(kg/ha)

Sample
size

Maize
1984/85 (short): 1124
1987 (long): 550
1987/88 (short); 267

400

164 to 636

26
Beans 1984/85 (short): 121
1987 (long): 169

77

-18 to 177

10

Source: Lindgren (1988)


Lindgren (1988) assumes that on unterraced land crop yields decline at a rate of
1% per annum as a result of soil loss and poor management. This figure is
based on the work carried out by Boj in Lesotho and expert opinion in Kenya.
The benefits of terraces are calculated in terms of the increase in crop yield plus
the loss of yield that is prevented.

McLaughlin (1993) examines the effects of soil conservation on crop yields
through the comparison of three different watersheds in Gansu Province, China.
Data are available on crop production and income levels for two villages (Table
5). One of the villages, Xujiamen, has no soil conservation and the other,
Daying, implemented soil conservation measures (mostly biological) half way
through the period of data collection.

McLaughlin (1993) suggests that soil conservation in the study area has its
greatest impact on crop yields through increasing soil moisture capacity. Linear
regression analysis of data for the two villages indicates the following
relationship between soil conservation and village income:

y = 0.354x
1
+ 0.985x
2
- 0.283x
3
(R = 0.83)
where:
y = standardised village income (10,000s yuan)
x
1
= annual rainfall (mm)
x
2
= % land area terraced
x
3
= % land area under biological conservation measures


28
The economic value of grass is omitted from this analysis, resulting in the
negative coefficient for land area under biological conservation measures.


Table 5: Agricultural Production and Income in the Villages of Daying
and Xujiamen in Gansu Province, China Before and After the
Implementation of Biological Conservation Measures in
Daying

Agricultural production
(kg/mu/yr)
Total village income
a

(yuan/yr)
Village Daying Xujiamen Daying Xujiamen

Year
'76-
'81
'82-'86 '76-'81 '82-'86 '76-
'81
'82-
'86
'76-
'81
'82-
'86
1976 46 47 29,606 29,945
1977 62 63 35,276 34,531
1978 20 20 15,967 10,900
1979 27 22 16,428 13,046
1980 54 46 31,523 26,835
1981 20 19 16,560 10,979
Implementation of Soil Conservation in Daying
1982 45 16 40,199 10,900
1983 116 78 96,378 39,580
1984 111 36 87,580 21,905
1985 146 81 106,86
0
40,915
1986 125 75 91,309 34,830

Source: based on McLaughlin (1993)
a
total income from agriculture, animal husbandry and forestry-related income.
N.B. the author notes that it is possible that the increase in the level and stability of
income may result from a restructuring of the village economy which could
have accompanied the implementation of soil conservation.


In addition analysis is carried out from a social perspective to examine the effects
of soil conservation on the standard of living. This takes into account the economic
value, as fuel and fodder, of the grass grown in biological conservation measures.
The standard of living index used is calculated as the sum of the proportions of
annual per capita food, fuel and fodder requirements produced within a village.
The effect of soil conservation on the standard of living index is examined through

29
linear regression of data from a watershed employing mostly physical, but also
biological, conservation measures (McLaughlin, 1993):

y = 0.370x
2
+ 0.537x
3
(R = 0.82)
where:
y = standardised standard of living index
x
2
= % land area terraced
x
3
= % land area under biological conservation measures

The results of this analysis indicate that mechanical and more so, biological soil
conservation measures have positive effects on the standard of living in the study
area. The study illustrates the importance of taking into account the value of all
the benefits of soil conservation, not just those that are valued in the market place.

3.2.2 Empirical models
A number of different models are used to assess the impacts of soil conservation
on crop yields. Applications of several of these models are outlined below.

The USLE is used by Day et al (1992) to calculate the effects on erosion rates in
Mali of different combinations of soil conservation technologies and crop
management strategies. Erosion rates are calculated for the different combi-nations
by multiplying the maximum potential erosion rate by factors for soil physical
structure and crop cover (adjusted for West African conditions). The erosion rates
are entered into a soil-water balance/crop yield response model (described in
Section 2.3.2) to calculate the impact on crop yields. The yield data are entered
into a linear programming model of a typical farming system which maximises net
cash income subject to resource constraints and the fulfilment of household
requirements for grain consumption. Production is allocated between cultivation
of three different groups of crops: grains (maize, millet and sorghum), groundnuts
and vegetables.

Cuesta (1994) uses the USLE with factors adapted for conditions in Costa Rica to
estimate the effect of diversion ditches on the erosion rate in the Heredia area. The
decrease in soil loss resulting from the conservation measures is converted into a
reduction in yield loss from coffee crops, based on crop nitrogen response data
described in Section 2.3.2. The analysis takes into account the crop area lost to
soil conservation measures.

EPIC is used by Benson et al (1989) to calculate the effects of soil conservation on
crop yields in the US. The study examines three different farming practices:
conservation tillage plus conservation practices; conservation tillage alone; and
conventional tillage. The impacts of the three practises on the soil productivity

30
index (described in Section 2.3.2) are calculated; the results indicate that the
practices all have little effect on soil productivity over a period of 100 years.
However, the practices differ significantly in their impacts over the entire
productive life of soils. For three out of the four soil types studied the potential
productivity achievable over the soil's life with conservation tillage and conser-
vation practices was double that which could be achieved with conventional
tillage. Finally erosion rates for different soil conservation practices are calculated
using EPIC and the ability of the practices to achieve tolerable levels of soil loss
(derived from the soil productivity index) is assessed.

The "SOILEC" computer simulation model employs the USLE to calculate erosion
rates and quantifies and values resultant declines in crop yields. The model can be
used to carry out both long and short-term analysis. The former takes into account
the long-term effects of erosion on yields and the latter takes into account only the
immediate effects of erosion and takes the form of a financial analysis. Dumsday
and Seitz (1985) use SOILEC to value the effects of different crop management
systems on erosion-induced yield decline in Illinois, US. The study examines 54
management systems that comprise different combinations of crop rotations,
tillage systems and mechanical soil conservation measures on each of 16 different
soil types in Illinois.

For each soil type Dumsday and Seitz (1985) identify the most economic
management systems that will reduce soil loss to nominal target levels. The costs
of a unit reduction in soil erosion are compared by plotting costs per hectare per
year for the different management systems against the resultant reductions in soil
loss per hectare per year. From this it is possible to identify the management
systems that have the lowest costs per unit reduction in soil loss and that also meet
the target reductions in erosion. The study also examines the marginal costs of
using the most economic management systems to achieve different target
reductions in soil erosion. It is proposed that it is these marginal costs that should
be used to determine the subsidy payments made to farmers for the implementation
of soil conservation technologies. Dumsday and Seitz (1985) state that
"Consciously or unconsciously, it is these additional costs of moving from one
system to another that influence the behaviour of farm decision-makers. The
average costs of erosion reduction ... are not relevant in this respect."
Lu and Stocking (1994) use a combination of several empirical models to calculate
the effects of different soil conservation measures on yields in China. SLEMSA is
used to calculate soil erosion rates which are used as inputs to two sub models of
soil properties. The sub model of soil organic matter balance is based on SCUAF
(Soil Changes Under Agroforestry) and THEPROM (Theo-retical Erosion
Productivity Model). A second sub model examines the soils mineral balance.
The results generated for the erosion rates and the resultant changes in soil organic

31
matter content and soil mineral levels are used to calculate the effects of erosion on
soil available water storage capacity (AWSC). The study uses AWSC as an index
of soil productivity; an empirical model is used to calculate the effect of erosion-
induced decline in AWSC on biomass production. The calculations are repeated
for different soil conservation measures to determine their impacts on soil erosion
rates and hence crop biomass production.

The "EROPLAN" computer simulation model is used by Prato and Wu (1991) to
calculate the effects of erosion on net returns to crop production in Idaho, US.
Erosion rates are calculated using the USLE for each field in the study area.
EROPLAN is used to carry out simulations of nine crop rotations grown under
seven different tillage/land management systems. The models output is in the
form of annualised net returns to crop production adjusted for the reductions in
returns that result from soil erosion. The study assesses the extent to which
different combinations of crop rotation and tillage/management system achieve
target levels of soil erosion and the effects that these have on net returns.

3.2.3 Data from the literature
The use of data sourced from other literature is illustrated by just one study.
Magrath (1990a) estimates the effects of conservation measures on crop yields
through the use of data from other studies. Vetiver grass strips combined with
contour planting are estimated to increase crop yields by 50% over a 30 year
period, based on Greenfield's work in India. The study also assumes that contour
bunds increase yields by 30% over a 30 year period, based on Tejwani's work in
India.

3.2.4 Estimates
A number of studies simply estimate or make assumptions about the impacts of
soil conservation technologies on crop yields. One such approach is to assume that
erosion-induced reductions in yields completely cease with the implement-ation of
soil conservation. The validity of this assumption is highly dependent on the
conservation technology and specifically its impact on yields. Bojs study in
Lesotho (1991a) assumes that yields remain constant on land with terracing and
drains, whereas on land without conservation yields decline at a rate of 1% of the
previous years yield (see Section 2.3.3). The study calculates the benefits of
conservation in terms of the losses in crop yields that are prevented. These are
valued using the market price of grain and the animal fodder value of crop
residues; the latter is calculated in terms of the residues protein and energy
content, costed at market prices of substitutes.

Some studies assume that the reduction in yield loss that results from soil
conservation is directly proportional to the reduction in soil loss. This is the

32
approach adopted by Cuesta (1994) in a study of the Turrabares area of Costa
Rica. The analysis indicates that the construction of diversion ditches increases the
period over which continuous cultivation can be sustained to seven years, in
contrast to a period of four years on land without conservation. The construction
of bench terraces is found to extend the period of cultivation on a single plot of
land to 52 years.

Attavirojs study (1990) stipulates that if the construction of soil conservation
measures (e.g. conservation banks) is not accompanied by the adoption of
conservation farming practices (e.g. contour ploughing, mulching) then it has no
effect on crop yield decline. The land development programme examined in
Northern Thailand involves only the construction and maintenance of contour
banks and access tracks. Attaviroj states that the programme "seeks only to control
soil erosion, not soil degradation" and that "farmers continue to exploit the land".
As a result, crop yield decline is assumed to occur at the same rate on land with
conservation measures as it does on land without. Attaviroj states that soil
moisture capacity can be a major seasonal constraint on crop production in the area
but it is unclear whether the soil conservation measures reduce its effects on yields.

The benefits of a soil conservation package are calculated by Mwakalagho (1986)
in terms of the resultant one-third increase in crop returns. The study of a project
in Malawi examines a soil conservation package involving the construction of soil
conservation measures and the improvement of yields through use of fertiliser and
improved seed. It is assumed that only one-third of the increase in yields that
results from the package can be attributed to soil conservation. Gross margins are
calculated for the periods before and after the project for each of the three main
crops grown in the study area. The benefits of soil conservation are calculated as
one-third of the difference between the gross margins for the two periods,
averaged for all crops.

Wiggins and Palma (1980) break down the benefits of soil conservation into three
different components for the purposes of valuation:

the erosion-induced decline in yields that is prevented by conservation.
Two models of crop yield decline are used: in the situation where top
soil is still present, yields are assumed to decline by a constant rate per
cm soil loss. In the situation where no top soil remains (ie: there is
subsoil at the surface) yields are assumed to decline at a negligible rate
until the soil reaches a trigger depth and then yields decline rapidly to
zero;
the initial increase in yields that results from the implementation of
conservation measures. This is attributed to the reduction in erosion-

33
induced loss of fertiliser, the effects of mulching, increased soil moisture
capacity and increased infiltration;
a gradual long term increase in yields that results from top soil
formation, facilitated by the reduction in soil erosion.


The study examines the implementation of a soil conservation package compris-
ing hillside ditches and live barriers in an area of El-Salvador. The land in the
study area is divided into six different categories according to slope and the
presence of topsoil or subsoil at the surface. Erosion rates are calculated using the
USLE with factors adapted for local conditions and the impacts of conser-vation
are estimated using models developed for each land category. Based on
experimental data from the US it is estimated that in the absence of soil conser-
vation maize yields decline at a rate of 2% per centimetre loss of topsoil. The
initial increase in yields arising from implementation of conservation measures is
estimated as 10% based on expert opinion. The results of the study are used to
identify the categories of land in the study area that should be prioritised for
implementation of soil conservation.

3.2.5 Hypothetical data
In the absence of other data, the effects of erosion and conservation on crop yields
can be estimated using hypothetical data. Indeed, hypothetical data may be used in
preference to tenuous data from other sources. Use of hypothetical data should,
however, always be accompanied by sensitivity analysis to assess stability of the
results with regard to the assumptions made. This is the approach adopted by
Obando E. and Montlvan (1994) in the economic analysis of soil conservation in
Nicaragua. The study examines seven scenarios comprising different combinations
of hypothetical rates of yield decline without conservation and hypothetical rates
of yield increase with conservation (see Table 6). The analysis assumes that crop
yields cannot exceed the maximum yields achievable in the study area under good
management. The construction of conservation measures (diversion ditches with
stone walls) is assumed to reduce crop area by 10%. The net present values
calculated for the different combinations of hypothetical data cover a wide range (-
2798 to 3,776 crdobas/ha) (Table 6). This illustrates the effects of the values of
variables and the accuracy of data (specifically the impacts of erosion and
conservation on crop yields) on the economic viability of soil conservation. The
authors state that "Without such accurate information, it is impossible to say
whether conservation is profitable or not from the individual farmer's perspective."

Table 6: Hypothetical Scenarios of Changes in Bean Yields with and
without Soil Conservation used by Obando E. and Montlvan

34
(1994) in the Economic Analysis of a Soil Conservation Project in
Nicaragua


Percentage change in yield per annum
a

Net present value
of soil conservation
Scenario Without conservation With conservation
b
(crdobas/ha)
c

Base 0 0 -2,798
A -1% 0 -2,108
B -5% 0 51
C 0 +1% -2,112
D 0 +5% 928
E -1% +1% -1,423
F -5% +5% 3,776

Source: Obando E. and Montlvan (1994)

a
for bean crops planted on land with 20% slope in the Santa Luca area, Nicaragua.
b
where conservation takes the form of diversion ditches with stone barriers.
c
calculated over a period of 100 years using a 20% discount rate.


The following sections examine approaches adopted in the literature to assess
impacts of soil conservation other than those on soil properties and crop yields.
Approaches adopted for valuation of the effects of conservation on land area under
crop production, the costs of production, nutritional value of crop production,
livestock production, land use value and environmental value are examined in turn.





3.3 Area under cultivation

The construction of physical soil conservation measures can result in a decrease in
available crop area, though if the risers are also planted with crops, the
construction of terraces can actually increase crop area. Some studies take into
account the reduction in crop area that results from the implementation of physical
soil conservation measures whereas others do not.

The study by Attaviroj (1990) based in Northern Thailand assumes that the only
benefit of the construction of soil conservation measures is an increase in crop
area. In the absence of soil conservation the farmers in the study area leave half

35
their land fallow each year. With the construction and continued maintenance of
conservation measures (such as contour banks) it is assumed that land can be
continuously cultivated without any increase in input levels, effectively increasing
the crop area.


3.4 Costs of crop production

Implementation of soil conservation measures can have a number of effects on the
costs of crop production. For example, construction of conservation measures can
reduce crop area, decreasing the level of inputs required; some studies take this
into account whilst others do not. The following two studies both examine
reduction in labour inputs as the major benefit of soil conservation.

Cuesta (1994) identifies the major benefit of soil conservation in the Cartogo area,
Costa Rica, as the reduction in labour inputs required for crop production. The
major costs of erosion are identified as the increases in labour inputs required to
remove rocks exposed on the soil surface and to apply greater quantities of
fertiliser. Erosion exposes the less fertile B horizon of the soil and washes away
artificial fertilisers, making it necessary for farmers to increase fertiliser
application rates. It is assumed that the labour costs incurred by erosion decrease
in proportion to the soil erosion rate. The data on labour and fertiliser costs
required for the analysis were collected from a sample of six farmers and the
results are adjusted for crop area lost to conservation measures.

The benefits of an agroforestry project in Panama are examined by Vsquez and
Santamara (1994) in terms of the reduction in land clearing costs. The agri-
culture in the area is migratory; farmers clear land, cultivate it for one year and
then leave it fallow for five years. Farmers that had adopted the projects conser-
vation package estimated that it would permit them to continuously cultivate land
for a period of twenty years. The benefits of soil conservation are valued solely in
terms of the reduction in land clearing costs to the farmer; it is assumed that the
conservation package has no effect on crop yields. In the absence of conservation,
farmers incur the cost of clearing land every year whereas farmers with
conservation clear land only once every 20 years. In the latter case the farmers
have the additional costs of the construction (every 20 years) and maintenance of
the conservation measures.


3.5 Nutritional value of crop production


36
Soil conservation projects can change the crops produced by farmers. As a result
they may affect the nutritional value of crop production as well as the level of crop
yields. This is illustrated by a project studied by Holmberg (1990) in Kenya,
which is estimated to increase food crop production by 45%. Through the
promotion of crops with higher nutritional value the project effectively increased
food production by an additional 5%.


3.6 Livestock production

The Eppalock Catchment Soil Conservation Project in Victoria, Australia, was
primarily targeted at pasture improvement; its on-site benefits are quantified by
Abelson (1979) in terms of the rise in returns to livestock production. The
increases in stocking rates that result from the project are calculated from survey
data for different soil/rainfall zones in the area. It is estimated that in the absence
of the project, stocking rates would have increased but by a smaller magnitude.
The impact of the project is calculated as the difference between the increases in
stocking rates with and without the project. The project also resulted in an increase
in the proportion of livestock that are cattle as opposed to sheep and in greater
wool production per sheep, both of which are taken into account in the analysis.

The adoption of some soil conservation technologies on land under crop
production can have additional benefits for livestock production. The "fanya juu"
terraces examined by Holmberg (1990) in Kenya are planted with fodder grass
along their top edges. The fodder grass is used by farmers to increase livestock
production and this is taken into account in the economic analysis.





3.7 Land-use value

The benefits of the soil conservation package promoted by the Phewa Tal
Watershed Management Project in Nepal are calculated in terms of their effects on
"land-use value" (Fleming, 1983 & Hufschmidt et al, 1983). The latter represents
the total economic value of production on the land. The economic analysis values
the increase in production in the project area in terms of the rise in land-use value.
The project aims to conserve soil through the establishment and protection of
pasture, hay fields and scrub. Grass and tree foliage are assumed to be used as
animal fodder and are valued in terms of the market price of milk and the market
prices of the nitrogen and phosphorous fertiliser contents of the dung. The

37
fuelwood produced is valued in terms of its substitute value. The land-use value is
calculated for scenarios both with and without the project and the difference
between them is the value of the benefits of the project.


3.8 Environmental quality

In addition to the benefits of increased livestock production (Section 3.6), Abelson
(1979) calculates the environmental value of the soil conservation project in
Australia. The environmental value is calculated as the difference in average
prices of land improved under the project (Australian $ 375/ha) and unimproved
land ($ 150/ha). The difference in prices ($ 225/ha) is broken down into the
benefits of increased productivity ($ 175/ha) and a residual $ 50/ha attributed to
the value of environmental improvements. It is assumed that for the scenario with
the project, the environmental value of the area would increase linearly from zero
in 1960 to $ 50/ha in 1975. For the scenario without the project, land
improvements would have taken place more slowly and the environmental value
would not have risen to $ 50/ha until 2010.


3.9 Contingent valuation

Contingent valuation is adopted by Purvis et al (1989) for valuation of the on-site
effects of filter strips under a conservation programme in Michigan, US. Farmers
were questioned about their willingness to accept compensation in return for the
establishment of filter strips on their land. The aim of the filter strips was to
reduce the sediment washed off the land and into streams. Filter strips have few
benefits to the farmer (access, amenity, recreation); the farmer bears the cost of a
reduction in crop area and, under the given programme, 50% of the costs of
establishment. The data for the analysis were collected using postal question-
naires. The sample of farmers was divided into twelve groups, each of which was
offered a different annual compensatory payment in return for the establishment of
filter strips. Data were collected on the willingness of farmers to accept the
payment offered and, at the given level of payment, the area of land they would be
willing to place under the programme. Tobit analysis was carried out on the data
and the resultant equation was used to estimate the area of land that filter strips
could be established on for different levels of compensatory payment.

In summary, valuation of the on-site effects of erosion and conservation can be
carried out using a number of different approaches. These are generally based on
the impacts of erosion and conservation on soil properties or crop yields but may
also include other factors, such as crop area and costs of production. The valuation

38
of the off-site effects of erosion and conservation involves additional
complications and has received less attention in the literature.

39
4. The Off-Site Effects of Soil Erosion and Conservation

Erosion can have a number of effects downstream from the land on which soil loss
occurs. The impacts can be positive as well as negative and are described as off-
site effects. This section provides an overview of some of the off-site effects that
can be experienced as a result of soil erosion and discusses problems that can arise
with quantifying them. It then briefly reviews approaches adopted in the literature
for valuation of a number of off-site effects of erosion and conservation.

The off-site effects of soil erosion include:

increase in risk of reduced crop yields due to soil salinisation and
toxicity, caused by the ground water rise and sedimentation that result
from increased run off,
the smothering of crops by sediment,
reduction in crop yields due to water logging of low lying land caused by
increased runoff,
provision of fertile sediment on flood plains which may increase yields
or may smother crops,

damage to structures such as roads, bridges, terraces, and the foundations
of buildings,
provision of sand for use as a building material,
reduction in the navigability of waterways and harbours,

reduction in reservoir storage volume which results in:
- reduction in water supplies for irrigation,
- reduction in hydro-electricity generation capacity,
- damage to the equipment used for hydro-electricity generation,
- reduction in flood control,
- reduction in dry season flows for drinking water and industrial use,

reduction in the efficiency of irrigation systems,
damage to the equipment used in irrigation systems,
increased costs of drainage system maintenance,

reductions in the quality of water supplies for drinking water and
industrial use as a result of:
- increased concentrations of agrochemicals, metals and salts in the
water,
- increased water turbidity due to its sediment content,

40
- increased risk of algal blooms as a result of water nutrient enrich-ment;
algal blooms reduce the quality of water for consumption and reduce the
aesthetic and recreational value of water resources.

reduction in the diversity and size of biological populations in rivers,
lakes and reservoirs,
reduction in the recreation and amenity value of water resources,
damage to fisheries, inland and coastal,
damage to coral reefs.


The valuation of the off-site effects of soil erosion and conservation is problematic.
In many cases it is difficult to quantify let alone value the impacts of sediment on,
for example, downstream crops and fisheries. Furthermore, it is hard to isolate the
effects of soil lost from agricultural land from those of other sources of sediment
such as landslides, river bank erosion, and erosion caused by construction projects.

The benefits of erosion experienced off-site are rarely discussed in the literature,
even though eroded sediment is often employed beneficially by entrepreneurs
down stream. Sediment can provide farmers with a source of fertile nutrient-rich
soil, for example on bunded paddy land. Traps may even be constructed by
farmers to create new fields through the accumulation of sediment, such as the
rock check dams constructed by farmers in Karnataka State, India (Prem Kumar,
1994). Also the sand content of eroded sediment may also be deposited in rivers,
from which it can be removed for use in the building trade, such as in the
Mahaweli Catchment, Sri Lanka.

In terms of the off-site costs of erosion, difficulties arise in quantifying the effects
of reservoir sedimentation on, for example, hydro-electricity generation and water
supplies for irrigation. The storage capacity of reservoirs is divided into live and
dead storage capacity. The dead storage capacity lies at the bottom of the reservoir
and the live storage capacity on top; the latter supplies the water for hydro-
electricity generation and irrigation. Sediment deposition can occur in both the
live and the dead storage capacity and its distribution between the two is specific
to the characteristics of the individual reservoir. This makes it difficult to
determine the extent to which sedimentation affects hydro-electricity generation
capacity and water supplies for irrigation. To overcome this, studies make
assumptions about the relationship between reservoir water yield and loss of live
or total reservoir capacity due to sedimentation.

Despite the numerous downstream effects of soil erosion, few studies actually
incorporate them into the valuation of erosion and conservation. This is because of

41
the difficulties encountered in quantifying and valuing off-site effects and the
complications that arise when the study area does not cover an entire catchment or
sub-catchment. Those studies that do examine downstream effects focus primarily
on the impacts of reservoir sedimentation on hydro-electricity generation capacity
and water supplies for irrigation. The following sections examine the approaches
adopted for the valuation of the effects of erosion and conservation on hydro-
electricity generation, irrigation, navigation, water quality, deforestation and road
maintenance.


4.1 Hydro-electricity generation

The approaches used for valuation of the effects of erosion on hydro-electricity
generation differ primarily in terms of the type of reservoir storage examined (live
storage or total storage) and the basis for valuation of a unit of electricity.

Gregersen et al (1987) quote a USAID study based in the Panama watershed. It
values the effect of sedimentation on hydro-electricity generation in terms of loss
in live reservoir storage capacity. A one acre-foot of live storage capacity is
estimated to generate 130 KW of power. The least cost alternative method for
generating the electricity is using fossil fuels, at a cost of $ 0.5/KW. The value of
loss of live reservoir storage capacity due to sedimentation is calculated as $ 6.50
per foot acre or $ 4,975 per million m.

For their study of Java, Magrath and Arens (1989) examine the impact of
sedimentation on reservoir water yield using ranges of figures. The authors
assume that the actual impact of sedimentation on water yield lays between the
impacts of sedimentation causing loss of total reservoir storage capacity and loss in
only dead storage capacity. For the nine major reservoirs in Java examined in the
study, it is estimated that dead storage capacity accounts for 20% of total capacity.
The results indicate that for all of the reservoirs, sedimentation results in an
average 0.5% loss in total reservoir storage capacity per annum and a 2.3% loss in
dead storage capacity per annum. Based on this it is estimated that reservoir
sedimentation reduces hydro-electricity generation capacity by between 0.5 and
2.3% per annum. The loss in generation capacity is valued in terms of the average
of the on-peak and off-peak prices for electricity in Java.

Wiggins and Palma (1980) assume that there is a linear relationship between
reservoir sedimentation and hydro-electricity generation capacity for their study in
El-Salvador. The relationship is based on the estimated total loss of hydro-
electricity generating capacity that would occur with complete siltation of the
Cerrn Grande reservoir. It is assumed that this siltation would reduce hydro-

42
electricity generation from not only the Cerrn Grande reservoir but also from two
reservoirs downstream (one of which was under construction at the time of the
study). Sedimentation decreases power generation capacity only in the dry season;
during the rains the flow of the river is sufficient to maintain hydro-electricity
generation at full capacity. Based on expert opinion it is estimated that 75% of the
soil erosion from the catchment is deposited in the Cerrn Grande Reservoir; this
results in a 25% reduction in hydro-electricity generation capacity of the three
dams. The loss in generation capacity is valued in terms of the least cost
alternative source of power; electricity generated by thermal power stations.


4.2 Irrigation

The approaches employed in four different studies for valuation of the effects of
erosion and conservation on water supplies for irrigation are reviewed below.

Abelson (1979) values reduction in reservoir yield due to sedimentation in terms of
the resultant decline in output from dairy farms that use the water for irrigation.
Based on the advice of the Australian State Rivers and Water Supply Commission,
it is estimated that a 1% decrease in storage capacity of the Eppalock Reservoir
results in a 1.5% decrease in water yield. The study assumes that the catchments
soil conservation project reduces reservoir siltation rates from an estimated 615
megalitres (Ml) in 1960/61 to 246 Ml in 1967/68 and that sedimentation is stable
at this rate from then onwards. Without the project it is assumed that conservation
works and land improvements would have been carried out more slowly and
siltation would have decreased linearly from 615 Ml in 1960/61 to 339 Ml in
1990/91. The value of water supplied to dairy farms for irrigation is calculated in
terms of the social value of milk production. The price paid to Australian farmers
for butterfat was subsidised by the Government; the study takes this into account
by calculating the returns to dairy farmers based on world market prices.

The costs of reservoir sedimentation in Morocco are calculated by Brooks et al
(1982) in terms of the value of loss in yield from irrigated crop production.
Reductions in water yield for irrigation and in the land area under irrigated crop
production are assumed to be directly proportional to the rate of reservoir
sedimentation. The authors note that it is unlikely that reduction in reservoir dead
storage capacity would directly affect water yield every year, but as the reservoir
gradually fills with sediment the risk of seasonal shortfalls in water supply
increases. Reduction in water supply is valued in terms of the loss in value of crop
production on land that has to revert from irrigated to rainfed cropping. It is
assumed that the costs of operation and maintenance of irrigation systems decrease
in proportion to reservoir sedimentation.

43

The study by Brooks et al (1982) values the benefits of a watershed manage-ment
project in terms of reduction in reservoir sedimentation. Soil erosion rates are
calculated using a version of the USLE modified for conditions in Morocco. The
erosion rates are transformed into reservoir sedimentation rates using a sediment
delivery ratio based on the reservoirs sedimentation levels and trap efficiency.
These sedimentation rates are used to estimate the effects of different phases of the
projects activities on reservoir sedimentation. The supply of irrigation water
saved as a result of the project is valued in terms of the additional returns to crop
production on land that is able to remain irrigated as opposed to rainfed. It is
assumed that the operation and maintenance costs of the irrigation system increase
in proportion to the supply of irrigation water.

A slightly different approach is adopted by Attaviroj (1990) for a study based in
Northern Thailand, which covers a catchment with four major reservoirs and
sixteen smaller ones. The study examines the effects of reservoir sedimentation on
the area of land under irrigation. However, the loss in irrigated land area is
calculated by dividing the annual reduction in reservoir storage capacity by the
quantity of water required to irrigate a unit area of land. Sedimentation is valued in
terms of the loss in returns from the decrease in production of irrigated rice crops.
The results represent the loss in land area that could potentially be irrigated, but it
is unclear how representative this is of the actual impact of reservoir sedimentation
on the area.

The cost of the deposition of silt in irrigation channels is examined by Magrath and
Arens (1989). This is valued in terms of the resultant increase in the operation and
maintenance costs of irrigation systems. Previous studies indicate that high rates of
return can be achieved through additional expenditure on operation and
maintenance to remove silt. Based on this information the authors assume that the
cost of removal of silt is less than the loss in returns to irrigated crop production
caused by siltation; the former (the least cost of siltation) is used for the valuation.
The study estimates that the cost of silt removal represents 15% of the total
expenditure on operation and maintenance of irrigation systems required in Java.





4.3 Navigation

Gregersen et al (1987) quote a study that examines the effects of reservoir
sedimentation on navigation in the Panama Canal. The Lake Alajuela Reservoir

44
supplies water for the operation of locks in the Panama Canal. The study
examines the loss in live reservoir storage that occurs due to sedimentation; it is
estimated that live storage accounts for 65% of the reservoirs total storage
capacity. The study assumes that sedimentation will reduce the supply of water to
operate the locks in the Panama Canal. The cost of sedimentation is calculated in
terms of the cheapest alternative method to maintain a navigable route through the
Panama Canal; the least cost alternative proposed by the Panama Canal Company
was to deepen the ship canal by three feet using dredgers. It is estimated that this
would cost $ 27.5 million and would increase the water storage capacity of the
canal by 370 million m
3
. These costings are used to value the impact of
sedimentation of Lake Alajuela Reservoir on water yield for the Panama Canal.

The cost of siltation of waterways is also estimated by Magrath and Arens (1989)
for their study of Java. Figures for national expenditure on dredging are used to
estimate the costs of siltation. The authors are unable to break the data down into
the costs of dredging navigable channels and dredging harbours. As a result, the
study simply uses high and low estimates of the costs of siltation for the analysis.


4.4 Other off-site effects

Other off-site effects of erosion and conservation include impacts on water quality,
deforestation and road maintenance.

Abelson (1979) examines water quality as an unquantifiable impact of a soil
conservation project in Australia. The studys discussion illustrates the array of
effects that a soil conservation project can have on one single environmental
factor. The increase in livestock numbers that occurs under the project could
increase bacterial levels in the water supply and so reduce the quality of drinking
water. Furthermore, the agricultural practices promoted by the project increase
water infiltration and so could increase leaching of salts into the water supply,
further impairing the quality of water. Conversely the project decreases run-off
which reduces water turbidity and decreases the need for a water filtration plant.
The reduction in turbidity could, however, increase the risk of algal blooms as a
result of greater penetration of sunlight into the water. The risk of algal blooms
could also increase as a result of the rise in the number of livestock causing greater
phosphate and nitrate levels in the water. After consideration of all these possible
impacts the author decides that, on balance, the project could marginally decrease
the quality of water in the area.

The effects of erosion-induced land degradation on forest encroachment are
examined by Attaviroj (1990). In Northern Thailand, land degradation has created

45
pressure to expand the area under agricultural production; this has been achieved
through clearing land under forestry. The study estimates that 200,000 rai of forest
land are cleared each year to "replace" agricultural land that has become
unproductive. The opportunity cost of deforestation is valued in terms of the
income foregone from timber production, estimated as 330 million baht/year.

Finally, the impacts of a soil conservation project on road maintenance are
estimated by Abelson (1979). The conservation project in Australia reduces flood
damage caused to roads. As a result, the project decreased expenditure on road
maintenance from $ 30,000/year in the early 1960s to $ 15,000 in 1975. It is
assumed that without the project, expenditures would not have fallen to this level
until 2010.






46
5. The Economic Analysis of Soil Erosion and Conservation


The economic impacts of soil erosion and conservation can be appraised through
the use of financial analysis and cost benefit analysis. Studies employ one or both
of these forms of analysis and carry them out at different levels: the farm unit,
village, sub-catchment, catchment, administrative district, region, or national level.
This section reviews the use of financial, cost benefit and cost-effectiveness
analysis for the economic appraisal of soil erosion and conservation. Measures that
can be adopted to address distributional issues and risk and uncertainty are also
examined.

The economic valuation of soil erosion and conservation generally involves
comparison against a base case scenario; the details and respective merits of three
different base cases are described. The value of soil erosion can be calculated
relative to a base case in which erosion is assumed not to occur. This is a
somewhat artificial scenario; soil erosion is a naturally occurring process that takes
place even on land under natural vegetation. As a result it can be argued that use
of this base case results in over-valuation of the effects of erosion. A more
representative base case is land under natural vegetation, though this does not
represent a realistic alternative form of land use. Concerns about soil erosion are
unlikely to result in the transfer of significant areas of land from crop production to
natural vegetation. A more realistic scenario is crop production with appropriate
soil conservation technologies, though this requires use of a site-specific erosion
rate. In summary, the specifications of the base case used in an economic analysis
can have significant effects on the results. For the sake of simplicity, studies
generally adopt the zero-erosion scenario as the base case for the valuation of soil
erosion. The impacts of conservation tend to be assessed through comparison with
the scenario of crop production without conservation.

It is generally assumed that the specifications of the base case scenario remain
unchanged over the period of the analysis. In some instances this assumption does
not hold and the base case should be adjusted accordingly. One such example is
the adoption of improved farming practices (e.g. use of hybrid seed and fertilisers)
by farmers independently from the implementation of soil con-servation. A
conservation project might promote and accelerate the adoption of practices that
would have been adopted by farmers anyway but at a slower rate in the absence of
the project. Abelson (1979) assumes that under a soil conser-vation project in
Victoria, Australia, the project's conservation works and land improvements were
carried out by all farmers over the life of the project, 1965 to 1970. In the absence
of the project it is assumed that all farmers would still have carried out these

47
activities but the land improvements would not have been completed until 1990
and the soil conservation works not until 2005.

The following sections examine the different methods that can be adopted for the
economic analysis of soil erosion and conservation.


5.1 Financial analysis

Financial analysis examines the monetary costs and benefits (or returns) of soil
erosion and conservation to the private agent or individual. It comprises only
those costs and benefits associated with goods and services that can be exchanged
in the market place. These are valued at prevailing market prices with no
adjustments made for any distortions in the market. Crop production used for
household consumption is generally valued at market prices and household labour
may be valued at the market wage rate or alternatively its cost may be excluded
(see below and Section 5.2.1).

Financial analysis can be carried out from the perspective of a project, such that it
covers all project activities, expenditures and returns, or from the perspective of a
farmer, in terms of the financial costs and benefits that accrue to the individual.
The analysis involves the construction of a budget for an enterprise or the entire
farm unit, and calculation of the net returns and/or profit. These indicators can be
used to appraise the financial impacts of soil erosion and to assess the financial
viability and relative financial merits of different soil conservation scenarios.
However, it can be argued that the use of net returns and profit as decision criteria
for smallholder farmers is inappropriate. Maximisation of financial returns may
not be the primary objective of such farmers; the achievement of household
subsistence requirements and minimisation of risk may have greater priority.

The returns to labour for soil conservation work can be calculated by excluding
labour costs from the financial analysis of soil conservation. Returns per man day
can be compared with prevailing wage rates to assess whether the net benefits of
conservation exceed the opportunity cost of labour (see Sections 5.2 and 5.2.1) or
the cost of hired labour. Holmberg (1990) takes this approach one step further and
examines the marginal returns to labour for different standards of construction and
maintenance of terraces and cut-off drains. The standards to which farmers
implement the soil conservation measures are divided into no conservation,
average and superior conservation. The study finds that the adoption of both
average and superior conservation by farmers that have no conservation results in
marginal returns to labour "far above the levels of payment for casual and other
unskilled labour in the area" (Holmberg, 1990).

48

The study concludes that "it is profitable for farmers who are working partly as
casual labourers to concentrate on improving their own farms instead. There is,
however, one drawback: the farmers will not receive any payment before the next
harvest." Likewise, the cash and credit required by farmers to fund construction of
the soil conservation measures may not be available.

Lindgren (1988) adopts the same approach for the financial analysis of a soil
conservation project in Kenya. Three scenarios are examined: no conservation,
partial adoption of the soil conservation package and complete adoption of the
package. Returns per man day are calculated for each scenario and are only
slightly above the casual labour wage rate for the complete adoption of the
package. The study also examines the marginal returns to labour for partial or
complete adoption of the soil conservation package by a farmer with no conser-
vation (see Table 7). The marginal returns to labour for partial and complete
adoption are calculated to be 2.5 and 4 times the wage rate for casual labour
respectively, which indicates the economic attractiveness of the soil conser-vation
package to farmers in the study area.


Table 7: Returns to Labour for a Soil Conservation Project in
Machakos District, Kenya
(Wage rate for casual labour: 20 Kenyan Shillings per man day)

No
conservation
Partial adoption of
the conservation
package
a

Complete
adoption of the
conservation
package
b

Net return per manday (Kenyan
Shillings)

5

11

21
Marginal return per manday for
adoption by a farmer with no
conservation
(Kenyan Shillings)

-

50

82

Source: Lindgren, 1988.
a
construction of terraces on 0.95 ha of the farmer's land, cultivation of soil conser-
vation crops, the planting of 50% of the recommended quantity of fodder grass on
terrace edges and the planting of 25% of the recommended quantity of trees.
b
construction of terraces on 0.95 ha of the farmer's land, cultivation of soil
conservation crops, the planting of the recommended quantity of fodder grass on
terrace edges and the planting of the recommended quantity of trees.
5.2 Cost Benefit Analysis


49
Cost benefit analysis is the most common form of analysis used for the economic
appraisal of soil conservation projects. It should examine all the costs and benefits
that accrue to and result from a project, experienced on a national (or even
international) level, including those that can not be quantified or valued. The
analysis incorporates the effects of a project experienced directly and indirectly by
individuals as well as those experienced by society as a whole. It should include all
the costs and benefits of a project; those that can not be quantified should be
qualitatively assessed or at least listed. In practice the quantitative component of
cost benefit analysis is limited to certain costs and benefits and many impacts of
the project tend to be completely ignored.

In cost benefit analysis the valuation of costs and benefits is carried out from a
national resource perspective in terms of opportunity costs. The opportunity cost of
project inputs represents the value of the resources in their next best alternative
use ie: the value foregone by their use in the project. The opportun-ity cost value
of project outputs represents the resource cost of obtaining the outputs from the
next best alternative source. Opportunity costs can be derived from market prices
but only if a market exists and is relatively competitive and unrestricted; even then,
market prices must be adjusted for the effects of any market distortions (e.g. taxes
and subsidies). When market prices cannot be used to value costs and benefits, the
opportunity costs can be inferred, for example from the price of substitutes, the
resource cost, or by the use of hedonic pricing or contingent valuation. For the
purposes of cost benefit analysis the costs and benefits of a project are valued in
real terms (ie: adjusted for inflation) and in a single currency unit. The distribution
of these costs and benefits over time is accounted for by the use of an appropriately
valued discount rate.

The following section examines the valuation of costs and benefits for use in cost
benefit analysis. This is followed by a discussion on the choice of discount rate
and time horizon for analysis. A review is then given of the terms calculated in
cost benefit analysis that can be used to assess the economic impacts of soil
erosion and conservation.

5.2.1 Valuation of Costs and Benefits
The different approaches that can be adopted for valuation of the costs of soil
erosion and the benefits of soil conservation are examined in Sections 2, 3 and 4.

Cost benefit analysis requires valuation in terms of opportunity cost and for these
purposes goods and services can be divided into three groups:
Goods that can be or are internationally traded, otherwise known as
traded goods e.g. fertiliser, seed, rice and maize). These are valued at

50
their world market prices adjusted for internal transport and distribution
costs (ie: at their import parity prices).
Domestic factors of production. Land and labour are valued in terms of
their marginal value product. Land may be valued at its market price, its
market rent, or in terms of its productive capability, according to the
form of land use and the competitiveness of the market. Further details
on the valuation of labour are provided below.
Goods and services that are not and cannot be internationally traded. The
costs of non-traded items (e.g. electricity) are broken down into their
traded and domestic components and valued accordingly. Non-traded
items that comprise entirely of domestic costs can be valued at their
market prices if the market is competitive. Alternatively, inputs (e.g.
draught animals and bricks) are valued at their marginal value product
and outputs (e.g. vegetables and milk) are valued at their marginal social
benefit (the consumers willingness to pay).


In some instances it may be necessary to adjust the opportunity costs of trade-able
items for the over-valuation of foreign exchange which results, for example, from
import tariffs and export subsidies. This adjustment can be made through the use
of a shadow foreign exchange rate or appropriate conversion factors. Further
details are provided in standard texts such as Gittinger (1982) and ODA (1988).

The costs of soil conservation are relatively easy to value as most result from the
use of resources that are exchanged in the market place. They can be divided into
those costs that are met by the farmer and those that are met by the project and/or
the government. In general, the farmer is responsible for the costs of the adoption,
construction and maintenance of soil conservation technologies. Additional
expenditure may also be required on inputs such as tools, seeds, fertilisers, labour
and draught power, needed to implement conservation technologies. Further costs
may also be incurred by the farmer for additional labour to harvest the higher
yields resulting from soil conservation. The increase in yields may, however, be
counterbalanced by a reduction in crop area due to the land occupied by
conservation technologies.

The costs of soil conservation incurred by projects and governments include the
costs of project planning, extension services to farmers and staff training. Projects
and/or governments may provide seed, seedlings, fertilisers and tools to farmers
for the purposes of soil conservation and in some instances they may fund the
construction and maintenance of soil conservation measures.


51
In cost benefit analysis there is often some adjustment made to the valuation of
labour inputs. In the case of skilled and semi-skilled labour it can generally be
considered that the market wage rate reflects the opportunity cost. However,
unskilled labour (which includes farm labour) tends to experience unemploy-ment
in developing countries. As a result, the opportunity cost of unskilled labour ie:
the value of production that could be achieved by the labour elsewhere in the
economy, can be valued at zero. This is justified from the perspective of society,
as the alternative is for the labour to be unemployed. From the perspective of the
individual unskilled worker there is, however, a cost of their labour in terms of the
disutility of work, the opportunity cost of the loss of time spent on household
production and the opportunity cost of the loss of leisure time. Studies often value
the opportunity cost (also known as the shadow wage rate) of unskilled labour at
zero, though this fails to take into account any of the costs experienced by the
individual worker.

The approaches adopted in several studies for the valuation of labour are given
below. Bojs study based in Lesotho (1991a) includes both a financial and an
economic analysis. The financial analysis values unskilled labour inputs in terms
of the payments made to individuals by the project. These payments are made in
cash or kind (hybrid seed, fertiliser and tree seedlings) and both are worth Maloti
3.5 per day. For the economic analysis the opportunity cost of unskilled labour is
assumed to be equal to the local wage rate for hired casual agricultural labour.
Boj justifies this on the grounds that it reflects unemployment in the study area
and the disutility of work to individuals, which is broken down into the loss of
leisure time and the loss of production for household consumption. The study uses
relevant market wage rates to reflect the opportunity costs of skilled and semi-
skilled labour, with the valuation of the latter justified by the employment
opportunities for semi-skilled labour in South Africa.

In the study of a soil conservation project in Kenya, Lindgren (1988) takes the
seasonality of labour into account in valuating the opportunity cost of farmers
labour. In the study area both the construction and maintenance of soil
conservation measures occur in the off-season. At this time of year there is un-
employment of unskilled labour, so farmers labour inputs for soil conservation
works are valued at zero. The author suggests that this is the appropriate value to
use in the cost benefit analysis but from the perspective of the farmers their labour
inputs have a cost in terms of the leisure time foregone.

Wiggins and Palma (1980) incorporate seasonality into the resource value of
labour for their study in El-Salvador. The authors estimate the opportunity cost of
labour in terms of the "sum paid to the last worker hired - that is, the lowest wage
rates recorded in the [river] basin at that time." It is assumed that the con-servation

52
measures examined in the study require labour inputs only in the slack season.
Use of the lowest price paid for labour indicates the compensation required by
workers for the leisure time and work on their own land foregone.

Not all of the costs and benefits of soil erosion and conservation can be easily
quantified and/or valued. The "unquantified" costs and benefits should, however,
always be identified and listed as part of a cost benefit analysis. In some cases it
may be possible to carry out a qualitative assessment of the unquantified impacts.
Such an approach is adopted by Abelson (1979) for a project in Australia; the
unquantified effects of the project (on flood mitigation, water quality, research
value and soil fertility) are identified and divided into costs and benefits. These
are then qualitatively assessed and balanced against each other in order to identify
whether the net impact is positive or negative.

5.2.2 Discount rate and time horizon
Specification of the discount rate and time horizon for cost benefit analysis should
be carried out simultaneously as the two interact in their effect on the results. The
discount rate is a compound rate of interest applied in its reciprocal form. It has
little effect on the value of immediate costs and benefits but the greater the value of
the discount rate, the smaller the impact of long term costs and benefits on the
results of analyses. The effects of discounting are especially important for projects
that involve immediate expenditures but have benefits that do not accrue until
some time into the future.

Selection of the discount rate should be governed by the perspective of the study,
be it from the stance of the government, donor, or farmer. If an investment is to be
financed using public funds (by a host government or donor government) the
social rate of discount should be used. The social discount rate reflects the
opportunity cost of capital in the public sector (also known as the accounting rate
of interest (ODA, 1988)); its value is specific to an individual country and is often
available from the national planning authority. The cost benefit analysis of
projects financed by the public sector should always be carried out using the social
discount rate, even if analysis is carried out at the farm level. It is important to note
that analysis at the farm level is distinct from analysis from the farmers
perspective. Cost benefit analysis can be carried out from the farmers perspective
only if the project is privately financed by the farmer. The farmers discount rate
is then used which can be based on the interest rate payable by the farmer on an
appropriate bank loan. The farmers discount rate is strongly influenced by the
farmers level of risk aversion and so can be quite specific to an individual. In
general, smallholder farmers have relatively high rates of time preference, or
discount rates, and short planning horizons. In contrast, projects funded by the
public sector have relatively low discount rates and long planning horizons. For

53
details on the selection of discount rates and time periods for cost benefit analysis
the reader is referred to standard texts on economic appraisal such as ODA (1988).

The discount rates and time periods used in a selection of cost benefit analyses of
soil erosion and/or conservation are given in Table 8. It is interesting to note the
wide range in the discount rates used (1% to 20%) and in the time periods (5 years
to 100 years). The table should be read bearing in mind that the choice of discount
rate is affected by the country in which the analysis is based and the perspective
from which the analysis is carried out (the farmer, project or government) and that
the discount rate and time period are inter-dependent.


Table 8: Discount Rates and Time Periods used in Cost Benefit Analyses of
Soil Erosion and Conservation in a Selection of Studies

Study Location Discount rate Time period of
analysis
Abelson (1979) Australia 8%
a
30 years
Attaviroj (1990) Thailand 5, 10 & 15% 15 years
Bishop & Allen (1989) Mali 10% 10 years
Boj (1991a) Lesotho 1%
b
& 10%
c
50 years
d

Briones (1985) Philippines 10% 50 years
Brooks et al (1982) Morocco 10% 50 years
Cuesta (1994) Cost Rica 20% 50 & 100 years
Fleming (1983) & Hufschmidt et al
(1983)
Nepal 10% 20 years
Kim & Dixon (1984) Korea 10% 15 years
Lindgren (1988) Kenya 4%
e
& 1%
f
20 years
g

Magrath (1990a) India 10% 30 years
Mitchell et al (1980) US 8% 20 years
Mwakalagho (1986) Malawi 10% & 13.5% 20 years
Samarakoon & Abeygunawardena
(1992)

Sri Lanka

10%

5 years
Swanson & Harshbarger (1964) US 5% & 20% 50 years
Valds P. (1994) Honduras 20% 100 years
Vsquez & Santamara (1994) Panama 20% 100 years
White & Jickling (1994) Haiti 20% 50 years
Wiggins and Palma (1980) El Salvador 10%
h
30 years
i


a
the "inflation-free opportunity cost of capital".
b
the social opportunity cost of capital.
c
the discount rate most commonly used in international literature for the evaluation of
soil conservation projects.

54
d
justified on the grounds that if the project is not economically viable over a 50 year
period it should not be implemented. The extension of the period of analysis will
make little difference if the analysis is carried out at the higher discount rate (10%).
However, this is not true for the lower discount rate of 1%.
e
to account for real interest rates and the surplus of donor funding in Kenya.
f
to account for high population growth rates, slow growth of the economy and the
permanence of soil erosion.
g
expected life of the soil conservation structures.
h
based on the commercial rate of interest from 1969 to 1973 (6.2%), plus 2% to
account for subsidised credits, plus 2% to account for unsatisfied demand.
i
justified on the grounds that the soil conservation measures should last for at least 30
years, but further extension of the time period would reduce the reliability of the price
forecasting and, as a result of the effects of discounting, would have little effect on
the results.


5.2.3 Measures of the economic impacts of soil erosion and conservation
The results of cost benefit analyses can be expressed in terms of net present value,
internal rate of return, benefit cost ratio and payback period. The respective merits
of these different indicators are discussed in the literature on project appraisal
(Gittinger, 1982 and ODA, 1988). Studies generally use a combination of
measures to assess the economic viability of conservation projects. Comparisons
can be made between different soil conservation tech-nologies in terms of the net
cost of achieving a unit reduction in soil erosion (or a unit reduction in crop yield
loss), or the economic cost of achieving a target maximum rate of soil erosion (or
crop yield loss). This is the basis of cost effectiveness analysis, described in
greater detail in Section 5.4

The economic significance of the impacts of erosion can be indicated by
comparing the value of erosion with other economic indicators. At the farm level
the cost of erosion can be compared with total expenditure on fertilisers or net
returns to agricultural production. For studies on a regional or national scale, the
cost of erosion can be compared with indicators such as the regional or national
value of agricultural production, regional or national expenditure on fertilisers or
the gross domestic product.





5.3 Partial and marginal analysis

The economic analysis of soil conservation projects can be simplified through the
use of partial analysis. This requires quantification of only the major costs and

55
benefits that accrue to a project. If the project is found to be economically viable
from such analysis it may be unnecessary to quantify the more intangible costs and
benefits, though these should at least be listed. Brooks et al (1982) examine the
benefits of a watershed management project in Morocco in terms only of the fruit
production from trees planted as part of the project and the downstream benefits
for irrigation. The authors note that the analysis excludes a number of additional
project benefits, such as reduction in the loss of hydro-electricity generation
capacity, reduction in the loss of municipal and industrial water supplies and
increased flood control capacity. However partial analysis demon-strates that the
project is economically viable without the inclusion of these additional benefits.

The data requirements for economic analysis of soil conservation projects may be
further reduced through the use of marginal analysis. This involves economic
analysis only of the additional costs and additional benefits that result from
implementation of the project. Marginal analysis therefore removes the require-
ments for data on a base case scenario and the prevailing farming system.


5.4 Cost effectiveness analysis

Cost effectiveness analysis can be used to determine the least cost conservation
technology for achieving a target reduction in soil erosion or crop yield loss. The
analysis calculates the total discounted cost of different conservation tech-
nologies, all of which are assumed to reduce soil erosion to a specific target level.
The cost-effective technology is that with the lowest total discounted cost, though
the benefits of the technology may not necessarily exceed the costs. The
advantage of this method is that valuation of the benefits of soil conservation (ie:
the costs of soil erosion) is not necessary; it assumes that the benefits of all of
conservation technologies are the same. In practice most technologies differ in
their benefits: in the extent to which they reduce erosion, in the provision of animal
fodder, fuel wood and in the reduction of costs of production. Supplementary
partial cost benefit analysis ensures that the full merits of the conservation
technologies are taken into account and that the most economically attractive
option is identified.



5.5 Distributional issues

In its basic form cost benefit analysis does not take into account the distribution of
the costs and benefits of projects. Certain groups of individuals may be dis-
advantaged by a project, or the distribution of benefits may not conform with the

56
priorities for local development. The conventional method for incorporating
distributional issues into cost benefit analysis is distributional weighting; the costs
and benefits experienced by poor and disadvantaged groups of individuals may be
given a greater weighting than those experienced by the better-off. Distributional
weighting is, however, fraught with problems in terms of the actual distribution of
costs and benefits between different groups and specifi-cation of the weights to be
used. Alternative mechanisms adopted by several studies to incorporate
distributional issues into their economic analyses are given below.

Abelson (1979) examines the distributional aspects of a soil conservation project
in Australia by carrying out partial cost benefit analysis at four different levels.
Analyses are carried out at the level of the farmer, the Government, the local
region and the nation as a whole. Each analysis examines only the project costs
and benefits experienced by the specific group of interest. The costs and benefits
for each analysis are listed in Table 9 along with their associated present values.

An alternative approach for examining distributional issues is the analysis of cost
and benefit sharing. For a study in India, Magrath (1990a) suggests that there are
two possible scenarios for sharing the costs of soil conservation: sharing between
the farmer and the landlord; and sharing between the farmer and the Government
(through the payment of grants or subsidies). Magrath calculates internal rates of
return for different combinations of cost and benefit sharing for the two
conservation measures examined in the study. The internal rates of return are
plotted on a graph to give iso-return curves for different combinations of cost and
benefit sharing ie: combinations of cost and benefit sharing that give equal rates of
return. The graph is used to assess the proportion of benefits a farmer needs to
receive for it to be economically viable for the farmer to provide a specific
proportion of the funding for soil conservation. The greater the gradient of the iso-
return curves the greater the sensitivity of the investment to cost/benefit sharing.






Table 9: Distribution of the Benefits and Costs between Different Groups
of Beneficiaries for the Eppalock Catchment Soil Conservation
Project, Victoria, Australia

Group of
beneficiaries
Costs
(total present value
a
)
Benefits
(total present value
a
)
Expenditures on land improvements Returns from increased livestock

57
Farmers and expenditures related to increased
livestock holdings ($ 1.29 m)
production and the enhanced environ-
mental value of the land ($ 2.86 m)


Government
Expenditures on the construction and
maintenance of soil conservation
measures, project planning and
extension, and the super phosphate
subsidy ($ 1.10 m)
Increased tax revenue from farmers,
increased revenue from water sales
and reduced road maintenance costs
($ 1.14 m)

Local region

Unspecified
Stimulatory effect on the regional
economy of increased returns to
agriculture and to the local authority
($ 3.57 m)
b



Nation


Unspecified
National surplus resulting from
increased livestock production and
the surplus that accrues to foreign
consumers from the reduction in wool
prices due to increased production ($
2.91 m)

Source: Abelson, 1979.

a
calculated over a 30 year period discounted to 1960-61 at an 8% discount rate.
b
calculated by multiplying total net after-tax returns to farmers and the local authority
by a suitable rural regional multiplier.


Day et al (1992) examine the different impacts of erosion on a farming community
through economic analyses from two different perspectives adopted by farmers.
The study examines a scenario in which farmers value the permanent long term
loss in crop productivity that results from soil erosion and an alternative scenario
in which they do not. In the former case, the cost of erosion in a single year is
valued in terms of the present value of the loss in yields that occurs over the
following ten years. In the latter case of the myopic farmer, value is placed only
on the present loss in yields and not on any future losses. Interestingly there is little
difference in the results for the two different scenarios, though this finding is
highly dependent on the assumptions used in the analysis.

To a limited extent the distribution of costs and benefits can be investigated
through accompanying full (national-scale) cost benefit analysis (which implicitly
adopts the perspective of society) with financial analysis from the perspective of
the farmer. This is the approach employed by Boj (1991a) for a study in Lesotho.
Wiggins and Palma (1980) take it one step further and use three different
economic analyses to investigate distributional issues for their study in El-
Salvador. Financial analysis of erosion and conservation from the perspective of
the national cash flow investigates the impacts on the national economy. Financial

58
analysis at the farm level determines the impacts on the farmer and full cost benefit
analysis assesses the effects of erosion and conservation on society as a whole.


5.6 Risk and uncertainty

Risk and uncertainty can be integrated into both financial and cost benefit analysis.
Risk can be incorporated into the values of variables by adjusting the data used to
reflect their associated probabilities. Uncertainty, for which the associated
probability is (by definition) unknown, is taken into account through sensitivity
analysis. This indicates the resilience of the economic viability of a project to
changes in the values of the data used. Sensitivity analysis should include all key
variables and use values that either represent the likely best and worst case
scenarios, or that are hypothetical e.g. 10% more or less than the expected value.

In addition to sensitivity analysis, the susceptibility of a project to risk and
uncertainty can be roughly assessed in terms of the size of the net present value.
The lower the net present value the more sensitive the economic viability of the
project to changes in values of the data. For soil conservation works funded by
individual farmers, the vulnerability to risk and uncertainty can be roughly
assessed by comparing the cost of investment with net farm income. Broadly
speaking, the smaller the size of the investment relative to net farm income, the
lower the vulnerability to risk and uncertainty.

This review of economic analyses of soil erosion and conservation indicates the
overwhelming problems encountered with the availability and accuracy of data. In
the absence of accurate data, sensitivity analysis should be used to assess the
robustness of the results of analyses to changes in the data. Detailed sensitivity
analysis is incorporated into some studies but others include limited or even no
sensitivity analysis. Details of the sensitivity analyses carried out in a selection of
studies for both financial and cost benefit analyses are summarised in Table 10.

59
Table 10: A Summary of the Sensitivity Analysis carried out in a selection
of Economic Analyses of Soil Erosion and Conservation
a



Study Variables subjected to sensitivity analysis
Abelson (1979) price levels, stocking densities, discount rates and time periods for analysis
Attaviroj (1990) adoption rates of one of the soil conservation packages examined
Bishop & Allen (1989) effects of erosion on crop yields, period of analysis (or period until
fallowing), discount rate

Boj (1991a)
project performance after handover to the local authorities, income from fruit
production, rate of crop yield decline, future trends in grain prices, the
weighting of benefits accruing to Lesotho farmers
Briones (1985) project costs, reservoir sedimentation rate
Brooks et al (1982) +/- 25% for all costs and benefits
Day et al (1992) None
Cuesta (1994) time period
Grohs (1992) rate of erosion-induced decline in crop yields
Hernndez (1992) rate of erosion-induced decline in crop yields, rate of soil erosion, costs of
implementing and maintaining soil conservation measures
Kalikandra & Hoekstra
b
levels of response of crop yields to increased nutrient and soil moisture levels
Lu (1994) time period, discount rate

Lindgren (1988)
discount rate, increases in yields resulting from soil conservation, rate of
yield decline in the absence of soil conservation, acreage terraced per farm,
future trends in crop prices, time period, combination of the lowest of all the
above figures to give a worst case scenario
Magrath (1990a) increases in yields resulting from soil conservation, erosion-induced yield
decline, life expectancy of conservation measures, time period
Samarakoon &
Abeygunawardena (1992)
None
Swanson & Harshbarger (1964) discount rate, time period

Valds P. (1994)
+/- 10, 25 and 50% for each of: rate of decline in yield without conservation,
rate of increase in yield with conservation, cost of construction and
maintenance of soil conservation measures
Vsquez & Santamara (1994) +/- 10, 25 and 50% for each of: cost of clearing land, number of years
continuous cultivation with soil conservation, cost of construction and
maintenance of conservation measures
White & Jickling (1994) erosion rate, costs of construction and maintenance of conservation measures

Wiggins & Palma (1980)
worst case scenario for each of the three analyses (national, farm, social) in
terms of: soil erosion rate, rate of yield decline resulting from soil erosion,
initial increase in yields resulting from conservation, costs of conservation,
crop yields and prices, cost of labour, discount rate

a
carrying out all forms of economic analysis, not just cost benefit analysis
b
as described by Dixon et al (1990)

60
6. Discussion

The economic analysis of soil erosion and conservation adopts numerous different
approaches. There is general consensus about the method of economic appraisal;
analyses generally use cost benefit analysis and/or financial analysis. However,
there is a wide diversity in approaches for valuing the costs and benefits of erosion
and conservation.

The on-site impacts of erosion are generally valued in terms of its effects on soil
properties or crop yields. The former tends to be valued in terms of the
"replacement cost" of losses in soil nutrient content. However, this is a theoretical
approach to valuation; in practice all the soil nutrients lost through erosion cannot
be and are not replaced. The replacement cost also has little bearing on the
economic value of soil as a resource. Valuation of erosion in terms of loss in crop
yields examines the effects of erosion on the productive capacity of the soil; this is
the cost of erosion generally experienced by farmers.

However, quantifying the effects of erosion on yields is highly problematic. It is
difficult to isolate the effects of erosion from other factors that influence yields.
There is also a lack of data on the relationship between erosion and yield, which is
anyway highly situation-specific. Other less well established approaches for
valuing the on-site effects of soil erosion include hedonic pricing and contingent
valuation.

The on-site benefits of soil conservation technologies are generally valued in terms
of the reduction in the costs of erosion. This involves quantifying the extent to
which the conservation technologies reduce the effects of erosion as well as
valuation of the effects of erosion. The majority of studies examine the benefits of
conservation in terms of the reduction in crop yield loss but data on this
relationship are situation specific and limited in their availability. A few studies
use field data, but where it is not available studies use data from empirical models,
from other studies or even hypothetical data. Other effects of conser-vation include
reduction in crop area under cultivation, reduction in costs of crop production, and
increase in livestock production.

The downstream effects of soil erosion are numerous but are examined in
relatively few studies. The majority of analyses that incorporate the off-site
impacts of erosion examine only the effects of reservoir sedimentation. The latter
is generally valued in terms of the reduction in hydro-electricity generation and
water supplies for irrigation. Quantifying and valuing the off-site effects of
erosion is far from easy and is made more difficult if the study area does not cover
an entire catchment or sub-catchment. For the purposes of cost benefit analysis the

61
off-site effects of erosion and conservation should, however, always be included;
those effects that cannot be readily quantified or valued can be qualitatively
assessed or should at least be listed.

The methodologies for financial and cost benefit analysis of soil erosion and
conservation are straight forward, once all the benefits and costs have been valued.
The amount of data required can be reduced by the use of partial analysis which
quantitatively assesses only the major costs and benefits, or the use of marginal
analysis. The economic appraisal of conservation technologies using cost
effectiveness analysis removes the need to value the benefits of soil conservation
but can under-value the merits of the different conservation technologies.

The overwhelming problem encountered in the economic analysis of soil erosion
and conservation is the lack of data on the impacts of erosion and conservation,
particularly in developing countries. As a result, studies are forced to adopt the
best possible approach for the valuation of erosion and conservation given the
available data. Economic analyses are often based on data extrapolated from other
geographical areas or that are, at best, estimates. The results of the analyses are
significantly influenced by both the data used and the valuation approaches
adopted. It is therefore essential that the economic analysis of erosion and
conservation is accompanied by explicit details of the assumptions, the basis on
which they were made, and sensitivity analysis which assesses the effects of the
assumptions on the results of the analysis. For economic analyses to be accurate or
even just representative, further data are required on the impacts of soil erosion
and conservation. In the absence of such data, economic analyses must be
accompanied by the necessary caution signs to ensure that results that are based on
estimates are interpreted only as estimates and do not become engraved in stone.


62
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