Professional Documents
Culture Documents
SCHEME
a)
Time
0 x 120
120 x 180
180 x 240
240 x 300
300 x 360
360 x 600
MARKS
Frequency
Width
Midpoint
1
9
15
17
13
5
120
60
60
60
60
240
60
150
210
270
330
480
Frequency
density
0.5
9
15
17
13
1.25
M1(width)
M1
(frequency
density)
D1(Label &
scale)
D1(All
correct)
b) Mean =
=
15840
60
M1
A1
= 264
c) Standard deviation =
4674600
264 2
60
= 90.6
2.
[6]
a)
M1
A1
0.1
0.5
P( B)
M1
P(B) = 0.2
A1
b)
c)
P ( B A) P ( B )
0.1
0.25
P ( A)
B1
P(A) = 0.4
P ( A B ' ) P ( A) P ( A B)
M1
= 0.4 0.1
= 0.3
M1
3.
[6]
A1
B1
ii) 1 r 1
r = 1 mean a perfect positive relationship between x and y.
B1
B1
b) r
26520
( 24479
423(470)
8
( 423) 2
( 470) 2
)(29450
8
8
= 0.847
There have a strong positive correlation between variable x and y.
4.
[7]
a) p+0.25+2p+0.3+0.15=1
3p+0.7=1
M1
A1
B1
M1
P=0.1
A1
b) E(x)=5.7
0(0.1)+2(0.25)+5(0.2)+n(0.3)+12(0.15) = 5.7
3.3+0.3n = 5.7
n=8
c) E(X2) = 02(0.1)+22(0.25)+52(0.2)+82(0.3)+122(0.15)
= 46.8
Var (X) = 46.8-5.72
= 14.31
M1
A1
M1
M1
A1
5. a)
[10]
Year
Quarter
Time
column
,t
Number
of tourist
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
22.0
12.0
110.0
31.0
21.0
26.0
150.0
70.0
50.0
36.0
146.0
110.0
2011
2012
2013
4-quarter
moving
average
Centred
4-quarter
moving
average
Deviation
43.75
43.5
47
57
66.75
74
76.5
75.5
85.5
43.63
45.25
52.00
61.88
70.38
75.25
76.00
80.50
66.38
-14.25
-31.00
-35.88
79.63
-5.25
-26.00
-44.50
M1 (4quarter
moving
average)
A1 (Centred
4-quarter
moving
average)
b)
Year
2011
2012
2013
Unadjusted
seasonal
variation
Correction
factor
Seasonal
variation
Q1
Q2
-31.00
-26.00
-28.50
-35.88
-44.50
-40.19
Q3
66.38
79.63
Q4
-14.25
-5.25
73.00
-9.75
-1.359
-1.359
-1.359
-1.359
-27.14
-38.83
74.36
-8.39
Quarter
Coded
Number
quarter, t
of
tourist, y
Seasonal
Deseaso
t^2
tT
1
4
9
16
25
36
49.14
101.66
106.92
157.56
240.70
388.97
nalised,
variation
T=y-S
,S
2011
2012
1
2
3
4
1
2
1
2
3
4
5
6
22.0
12.0
110.0
31.0
21.0
26.0
-27.14
-38.83
74.36
-8.39
-27.14
-38.83
49.14
50.83
35.64
39.39
48.14
64.83
M1
A1
c)
Year
M1
2013
3
4
1
7
8
9
150.0
70.0
50.0
74.36
-8.39
-27.14
75.64
78.39
77.14
49
64
81
529.48
627.13
694.27
10
36.0
-38.83
74.83
100
748.28
11
146.0
74.36
71.64
121
788.05
12
110.0
-8.39
118.39
144
1420.69
Total
78
784.0
784.00
650
5852.84
(78)(784)
12
2
78
650
12
M1
5852.84
= 5.293
a
M1
M1
784
78
5.293( )
12
12
= 30.93
T 30.93 5.293t
T1 30.93 5.293(13)
M1
= 99.74
F1 = 99.74+(-27.14)
= 72.6
The predict number of tourist fot 1st quarter 2014=72.6X1000=72600
6.
[8]
A1
M1
3 12 a 14 6
X 100
2.5 10 6 12 5
120
35 a
X 100
35.5
A1
A=7.60
b) L p
=
M1
496
X 100
415
= 119.5
From January to July, the familys expenditure on daily food has increased by
19.5%
A1
B1
c) Pq
=
M1
358.4
X 100
496
= 72.26
From January to July, there is a drop of 27.74% in the quantity of daily food
bought by the family.
A1
B1
7. a) p=0.6 , q = 0.4
[15]
P ( X 3)
i)
8 C 3 ( 0 .6 ) 3 ( 0 .4 ) 5
A1
=0.124
ii)
P( X 2) 1 P ( X 0) P ( X 1)
= 1- 0.000655-0.00786
= 0.9914
iii)
iv)
M1
A1
E(X) = 8X0.4
= 3.2
=3
A1
P ( X x 1) (n x) p
P ( X x)
( x 1)q
M1
A1
B1
B1
B1
b) P ( X 1) 0.99
1 P(X=0) > 0.99
P(X=0) < 0.1
n
M1
0.4 n 0.01
M1
log 0.01
log 0.4
n 5.02
n=6
c)
npq 6
A1
X ~ N (90, 36)
M1
85.5 90
)
6
= P ( Z 0.75)
= 1 P ( Z 0.75)
= P(Z
M1
= 1-0.2266
= 0.7734
A1
8. . a)
[15]
Boys
9 6
9 8 6 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 1 0
7 5 3 0 0 0
Key: 6 2 means
Stem
Girls
0
1
2
3
4
5
8
6
4 5
1 2 4 4
0 0 0 2 4 5 7 8 8
0
Key: 08 means 8 hours
hours
D1
D1
B1
B1
b) The distribution for the boys is almost symmetrical while the girls is negatively B1
skewed.
M1
A1A1
c) Boys: IQR
Girls: IQR
M1M1
d)
Boys:
Girls:
M1M1
mean
hours
mean
hours
A1A1
A1
number of hours
e)
number of hours