Capital flows to where it will get the greatest return, expanding the total size of the economy to its maximum level.
2) Supply and demand are closely linked: Someone who has a good idea or product can quickly put it into the market so that it is available to those who want it. Conversely, when a certain type of product is desired by enough people, it is a simple matter for someone to provide it.
3) In a market economy, it is easier for someone with initiative and virtue to create a better life for themself and their family; economic freedom makes it eaiser to transform hard work and perseverance into material wealth.
Definition of 'Market Economy'
An economic system in which economic decisions and the pricing of goods and services are guided solely by the aggregate interactions of a country's citizens and businesses and there is little government intervention or central planning. This is the opposite of a centrally planned economy, in which government decisions drive most aspects of a country's economic activity.
Market economies work on the assumption that market forces, such as supply and demand, are the best determinants of what is right for a nation's well-being. These economies rarely engage in government interventions such as price fixing, license quotas and industry subsidizations.
While most developed nations today could be classified as having mixed economies, they are often said to have market economies because they allow market forces to drive most of their activities, typically engaging in government intervention only to the extent that it is needed to provide stability. Although the market economy is clearly the system of choice in today's global marketplace, there is significant debate regarding the amount of government intervention considered optimal for efficient economic operations.
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Market economy An economy in which scarce resources are all (or nearly all) allocated by the interplay of supply and demand in free markets, largely unhampered by government rationing, price-fixing or other coercive interference. In classifying real historical economies, the level of "marketization" is not primarily an either/or issue but rather a matter of degree. The greater the proportion of the goods and services produced in the society that are allocated by market processes (rather than by government edict or the operation of unchangeable custom), the more meaningful it is to refer to its economy as a market economy -- and the more useful is the abstract economic theory of the operation of markets likely to be for understanding and even predicting economic behavior within that society. Probably the most critical single distinction between "basically market" and "basically non-market" (socialist, feudal, hunter-gatherer, etc.) economies is whether or not the determinations of what is to be produced and of the corresponding allocation of producers' goods (land, raw materials, machinery, and other "capital," as well as the services of labor) are accomplished primarily through free markets rather than primarily through government command or unalterable custom. The concept of a market presupposes the existence of certain sorts of property relations in the society involved. At least some goods and services must be legally or socially regarded as alienable property -- that is, there must be ascertainable individuals (or group representatives) who are recognized as having not just the right to use particular scarce economic resources for their own purposes but also the discretionary authority permanently to transfer such rights of use to someone else in exchange for some mutually agreeable quid pro quo, such as money or other goods or services. Not all human societies have recognized any such rights to transfer ownership, and most historical human societies have forbidden or placed stringent limits on the transferability of at least certain kinds of recognized property rights. In many societies (including most of Europe during the Middle Ages), individual or family rights to the perpetual use of particular plots of land were well established and protected by law -- but such rights only rarely could legally be sold to someone else because the land was socially regarded as fundamentally the inalienable property of either the local community as a whole or of the tribe or clan or church or perhaps of the reigning royal family. And even in the USA since 1865, while each person's ownership of his or her own body is well established, the law will still not allow you to make a binding contract to sell yourself into slavery or even to auction off your spare bodily organs for purposes of a surgical transplant.) It is worth noting for clarity's sake that the concept of a market does not logically presuppose the existence of "private property in the means of production" in the sense that private individuals or family households are the owners of land and capital and thus the recipients of profits, interest, rent etc. One may at least theoretically conceive of an economy of market socialism, in which workers' collectives, consumers' cooperatives, village communes or even autonomous state agencies leased from the state or held actual title to land, mines, factories, machinery and so forth -- so long as the socialist production organizations were free to buy and sell their output and and the use of their assigned land or capital assets to each other at freely negotiated prices responsive to conditions of supply and demand (assuming, of course, they are allowed to keep effective control of the bulk of the proceeds). There are, of course, both theoretical and practical problems with market socialism, and the costs and benefits of capitalist markets cannot be uncritically attributed to such a system. The larger point is that socialist economies have historically included varying proportions of "remnant" market elements in their make-up, and the theoretical possibilities for additional "hybrid" forms are numerous.
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Growth theory The part of economic theory that seeks to explain (and hopes to predict) the rate at which a country's economy will grow over time. Economic growth is usually measured as the annual percentage rate of growth in one or another of the country's major national income accounting aggregates, such as Gross National Product or Gross Domestic Product (almost always with appropriate statistical adjustments to discount the potentially misleading effects of price inflation). Just about any country's economy will show sizable year-to-year and quarter-to-quarter fluctuations in its economic growth rate, but economic growth theorists tend to concentrate their efforts on analyzing and explaining the smaller variations in the longer- term trend or average rate of economic growth over periods of a decade or more. They leave explanation of the shorter-term fluctuations around the longer-term trend to specialists in business cycle theory because investigation has shown that the predominant influences on short-term growth rates seem to differ in important ways from the determinants of an economy's long term average growth performance. It might also be added that the political effects of variations in long range economic growth rates tend to be substantially different from the political effects of the booms and busts of the business cycle.
The short term ups and downs of the business cycle have dramatic effects on popular perceptions of the country's economic well-being. In a recession, hundreds of thousands or even millions of people may become unemployed and suffer dramatic declines in their incomes for the duration of the crisis -- usually for a period of somewhere between six months and one-and-a-half years before more normal economic conditions return again. Yet over the long haul, even rather small increases or decreases in the trend rate of economic growth will have much more profound and enduring effects on economic production and hence on the material living standards of the population. As an illustration, consider the following: During the period since the end of World War II (1946 to 1999-I), the growth rate of GDP for the United States (corrected for inflation) has averaged about 3.3% per year. Assuming that the typical undergraduate student reading this text was born in 1979, the growth rate of the US economy over his or her lifetime has averaged a slightly lower 2.7% per year - a difference of "only" 0.6 percentage points per year. But if the US had been able to maintain the same average growth rate from 1979 to 1999 that it had enjoyed during 1946 to 1978 (about 3.6%), 1998 GDP would have reached 9.152 trillion 1992 dollars worth of goods and services instead of the 7.552 trillion dollars of production actually achieved. That means that the income of the average American household in 1998 (and every single year thereafter) could have been more than 20% higher than it actually turned out to be if only a way could have been found to prevent this seemingly slight decline in the trend rate of economic growth. And if the US economy had somehow managed to average the slightly higher growth rate of an even 4% for the whole postwar period, the income of the average American household from 1998 on could have been about half again as much over what was (and will later be) at their disposal.
Explaining differences between countries in their long term economic growth rates is a complex matter, and the scientific literature on the subject is filled with controversies both technical and ideological in nature. Many of the theoretical determinants of long term growth rates are difficult to measure very adequately and many of the least imperfect measurements available for testing the various theories have been systematically collected in much of the world only for a relatively recent historical period -- roughly the last 20 to 30 years. Nevertheless one eminent scholar's recent survey of the published professional literature came up with over sixty different variables that have been put forward by theorists as enhancing or retarding long term economic growth and that also actually showed significant evidence of real explanatory power in one or more systematic statistical tests using a broad range of 20th century 5
historical data. There is broad support in virtually all empirical studies for a strong positive impact on economic growth by the investment rate (especially the rate of investment in plant and equipment) and by various measures of human capital (such as the literacy rate, school enrollment ratios, and average life expectancy). Although it is difficult to measure separately from investment and improvement of human capital, there is also substantial support for the positive contribution of continuing technological innovation and improvement in sustaining the process of economic growth by improving productivity. A majority of the other variables that have been brought into economic growth theory are conceived of as influencing growth rates mainly in an indirect fashion by affecting either the volume or the efficiency in utilization of investment and/or of human capital and/or technological progress. There is also substantial and robust support in the empirical literature for the hypothesis of "conditional convergence" - that is, because of diminishing returns to capital, the lower a country's level of real GDP per capital at the beginning of a given historical period, the faster the country's subsequent growth rate tends to be (an initial advantage of less developed countries that in practice has been all too often offset by counterproductive governmental policies and by disruptive conditions such as frequent coups, lawlessness, warfare and civil strife that tend to retard savings and investment rates and to destroy or drive out a lot of human capital).
Various kinds of public policy variables also seem to make a difference in growth rates. Countries with relatively "open" economies (that is, those which allow relatively free movement of goods and capital in and out of the country without high tariffs, protectionist import quotas, foreign exchange controls or major restrictions on foreign investment) have tended to maintain higher growth rates than countries with more restrictive policies. Countries that allow extremely rapid expansion of their money stocks and thus bring on high rates of inflation (about 20% per year seems to be a critical threshold) have tended to experience sharply lower economic growth rates than countries with low or moderate rates of inflation. Countries whose legal systems provide relatively reliable enforcement of private contracts and relatively secure protection for private property rights have tended to grow more rapidly than countries whose legal systems are bogged down by corruption, arbitrary judicial decision-making, frequent radical changes in basic legal principles, ex post facto legislation and/or just plain lack of prompt and effective enforcement of the law.
Some of the most emotion-laden and ideologically-tinged debates on economic growth theory deal with two questions on which no broad consensus seems likely in the near future: What sort of mixture of government planning and control versus the free market is most conducive to economic growth? And what are the effects of different cultures (especially differences in religious and ethical values) on promoting or retarding economic growth?
Taking the second question first, it should be noted that many of the earliest theories about what causes economic growth were largely cultural in nature. Adam Smith, David Ricardo, Thomas Malthus and many others (even Karl Marx) laid great stress on the importance to economic growth of such culturally conditioned values or attitudes as thrift, the value of diligence and hard work, ambition for a better material standard of living, respect for other people's property rights, the sense of obligation to honor agreements and contracts, inventiveness, willingness to adopt new ways of doing things and so on. Many of these values are fostered and reinforced (or possibly denigrated and condemned) in different measure within different cultural traditions, and an especially important role in this is played by organized religion. It is not surprising then that nowadays we still see a lot of more or less informed speculation about the role 6
of this religion or that in fostering or inhibiting economic growth, especially in less developed regions of the world. (Max Weber's classic essay on "The Protestant Ethic and the Spirit of Capitalism" is one of the best known and most closely reasoned classic examples of this tradition in the social sciences.) Two or three decades ago, the prevalence of Roman Catholicism in southern Europe and Latin America and its alleged anti-commercial social and economic values were often invoked as a part of the explanation for the relative economic backwardness of these regions compared to mainly Protestant northern Europe and North America. In much more recent times, the influence of Islam in fostering fatalistic attitudes and anti-commercial or anti-materialist values (such as the condemnation of all lending at interest) is often invoked as part of the explanation for the relative economic backwardness of the Moslem countries, despite the huge advantages many of them enjoy in the form of rich endowments of natural resources like petroleum. The conservative anti-materialist and fatalistic elements of Hinduism are often put forward as an explanation for India's backwardness. Weber believed that Confucianism greatly hindered China's economic development over the centuries, but ironically the same Confucian heritage is today more often invoked as an explanation for the rapid commercial development of such places as Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Singapore. The problem with such explanations is that all major religious traditions contain some elements that can encourage economic activity along with other elements that inhibit it, and determining which influences will predominate in any particular place and time is a game that tends to be played with far too many wild cards, with the theorist opportunistically seizing upon whichever elements of the local religious tradition best seem to fit with what he already knows has been happening lately. It is hard to deny that cultural values matter for economic development and that religion plays an important role in fostering the people's values, but correlating changes in people's values with changes in economic growth performance requires much better measurement than is possible by simplistic references to which particular religious faith has predominated in the particular country for centuries. A more promising approach is for researchers to go out periodically and directly sample the distributions of particular "pro- growth" and "anti-growth "attitudes among the populations of various countries (perhaps by survey research polling methods) rather than simply assuming the presence of these values and attitudes on the basis of formal religious doctrines. Only then does it make sense to begin gingerly pronouncing upon how the prevalence or lack of particular values correlate with actual long-term economic growth performance in subsequent years.
As to the first question, socialist and communist economists used to argue that a totally government controlled and planned economy would enjoy more rapid economic growth than a capitalist economy, primarily basing their case on the idea that a planned economy would maintain a steadier and higher rate of investment, free of the periodic slowdowns of investment caused by periodic financial crises in the capitalist business cycle. It was also assumed that a more egalitarian socialist educational policy would be much more successful in promoting widespread education for the masses, greatly enhancing the supply of what we would today call human capital. Economists more favorably inclined toward the free market system acknowledged that the total amount of investment in both non-human and human capital was indeed very important to rapid economic growth but cautioned that the efficiency with which these resources were allocated was also of extreme importance. A capitalist economy , they argued, has a much better system of incentives for encouraging the most efficient allocation of economic resources, whereas the socialist economy would tend to get bogged down in bureaucratic waste and misallocation of resources that would lead to even more waste than the "anarchy of the market."
It is now reasonably clear from the historical record of the last thirty years or so that the closer to capitalist the economy has been, other things being equal, the more successful it has been in achieving higher long 7
term rates of economic growth. During that same period, countries at the extreme socialist end of the scale, especially the countries of the Communist bloc and their third world client states, have seen their initially fairly high rates of economic growth dwindle away gradually to zero and then plunged rapidly into full-scale economic collapse in the late 1980s. Since then, only those relatively few former Communist countries that moved most rapidly and radically to adopt capitalistic institutions and practices have resumed respectable rates of economic growth (such as Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic, Estonia), while the vast majority of them have stagnated for about a decade in a kind of Never-never land where government bureaucrats have largely lost their power to plan, finance and administer state-owned enterprises but most of the legislation necessary to legalize and unleash private business still remain on hold. Many of the non-Communist countries of the world that formerly had relatively large public sectors and extensive government controls over the economy have enacted reforms to privatize some of their state-owned enterprises and to open up their economies to more foreign trade and outside investment - and most (but not all) of them have since experienced at least modest improvements in their economic growth rates (although it is still too soon to tell whether these improvements represent changes in the long term trend or only temporary cyclical upswings).
Clearly the advocates of the free market have been scoring a lot of points in the debates over the past decade or two and have won over some of the skeptics, but their remaining opponents have by no means lost all of their intellectual ammunition. Die-hard advocates of full-scale socialism can (and do) still argue that socialism has not failed economically because "true" socialism has never been fully implemented (the Soviets and their former comrades in Eastern Europe and the Far East went ideologically wrong somewhere in the beginning) - and if it were really to be tried in the future , surely it would painlessly combine social justice, perfect democracy and the most rapid possible economic progress. Less fanciful socialists can argue that there have actually been at least a few relatively successful growth stories in countries that retain many of the trappings of old fashioned state socialism (mainland China being the most telling example, since about one-third of the human species lives and works there). Some elements of the political left (including the economists among them) reluctantly accept the idea that more government control of the economy might lead to somewhat slower economic growth but then go on to say that low (or no) growth in GDP would be worth it if it was required in order to promote greater social justice. Still others on the left, especially the "Greens," believe that an end to economic growth would be a positive good because people should reject excessively materialistic consumerist values and because it seems to them to be necessary in order to save the planet from environmental catastrophe. More conventional moderate socialists and social democrats more often take the line that they now accept the importance of retaining many elements of the market economy but still insist that a "middle way" with considerably larger amounts of government ownership, regulation and control than now exist in the United States or much of Western Europe could maintain or even improve upon present economic growth rates if done carefully and in the right way. Only a few of these arguments are susceptible to proof or disproof by reference to numbers in the historical record since they contain value judgments as well as empirical assumptions. And it must be acknowledged that the limited amount of data we have amassed over just the past few decades is still a very long way from what one would like to have for decisively resolving even the more tractable empirical disputes over just how economic growth rates get determined.
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Gross domestic product (GDP) is the market value of all officially recognized final goods and services produced within a country in a year, or other given period of time. GDP per capita is often considered an indicator of a country's standard of living.[2][3]
GDP per capita is not a measure of personal income (See Standard of living and GDP). Under economic theory, GDP per capita exactly equals the gross domestic income (GDI) per capita (See Gross domestic income).
GDP is related to national accounts, a subject in macroeconomics. GDP is not to be confused with gross national product (GNP) which allocates production based on ownership.
Macroeconomics is the study of the aggregate performance of the economy. The unemployment rate, which measures the ratio of the number of people unsuccessfully looking for work to the total labor force, is one important indicator. Another key macroeconomic indicator is the the rate of inflation, which you will recall is the average rate of change of the prices for all goods and services.
2. The theory of economic growth, which we covered as our first major topic in this course, explains the growth of potential output, assuming that the economy's resources are fully utilized. However, economies have spent long periods of time operating below potential, giving rise to the issues of macroeconomics.
Although the Great Depression of the 1930's was not the first business cycle downturn, it was dramatic in terms of its severity, particularly in contrast with the prosperity of the previous decade. In the middle of this crisis, British economist John Maynard Keynes created a new theoretical framework that became the basis for what we teach as macroeconomics. Prior to Keynes, what theories there were about unemployment offered little guidance for how to cure it. Keynes showed how the government can use budget policy and monetary policy to prevent the sort of long, severe slump that occurred in the 1930's.
Macroeconomics is filled with controversy. There are intelligent, well-trained economists whose beliefs about macro are diametrically opposed to those of other intelligent, well-trained economists. This poses a dilemma for a teacher. Do I try to give equal time to all points of view, or do I focus on what I believe? In these lecture notes, I adopt the latter approach. When you take macroeconomics in college, you can gain more exposure to the various doctrinal disputes that arose in the past and that still persist.
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Macroeconomic problems arise when the macroeconomy does not satisfactorily achieve the goals of full employment, stability, and economic growth. Unemployment results when the goal of full employment is not achieved. Inflation exists when the economy falls short of the stability goal. These problems are caused by too little or too much demand for gross production. Unemployment results from too little demand and inflation emerges with too much demand. Stagnant growth means the economy is not adequately attaining the economic growth goal. Each of these situations is problematic because society is less well off than it would be by reaching the goals. Unemployment Unemployment arises when factors of production that are willing and able to produce goods and services are not actively engaged in production. Unemployment means the economy is not attaining the macroeconomic goal of full employment. While attention is usually focused on the unemployment of labor, such as the time Pollyanna Pumpernickel was laid off from her job at the OmniMotors Car Company, any of the four factors of production can suffer unemployment. For example, The Wacky Willy Company might be operating one of its Stuffed Amigos factories at half capacity or Herb Haberstone might leave a section of his farmland uncultivated.
Unemployment is a problem because: Less output is produced and thus the economy is less able to address the scarcity problem.
The owners of unemployed resources receive less income and thus have lower living standards.
Inflation Inflation arises when the average price level in the economy consistently and persistently increases. In other words, prices generally rise from month to month and year to year. With inflation the economy is not attaining the stability goal. Inflation is an average increase in prices, with some prices rising more than the average, some rising less, and some even declining. As such, not every member of society is likely to experience exactly the same inflation.
Inflation is a problem because: 10
The purchasing power of financial assets such as money declines, which reduces financial wealth and lowers living standards.
Greater uncertainty surrounds long-run planning, especially the purchase of durable goods and capital goods.
Income and wealth can be haphazardly redistributed among sectors of the economy and among resource owners.
The Business Cycle Unemployment and inflation tend to vary with business-cycle instability. At some times, unemployment is less of a problem and inflation is more. At other times, unemployment is more of a problem and inflation is less. Consider how these two problems connect to the two primary phases of the business cycle.Contraction: The contraction phase of a business cycle is characterized by a general decline in economic activity. Aggregate demand is less, meaning less output is produced, and thus fewer resources are employed. For this reason, unemployment tends to be a key problem. However, because markets are more likely to have surpluses than shortages, inflation tends to be less of a problem.
Expansion: The expansion phase of a business cycle is characterized by a general rise in economic activity. Aggregate demand is higher, production is greater, and more resources are employed. Demand for production often outpaces the ability to supply the production. Under these circumstances, because markets are more likely to have shortages than surpluses, inflation tends to be the primary problem. However, with robust production and jobs aplenty, unemployment tends to be less of a problem.
Stagnant Growth The third problem of stagnant growth arises because the supply of aggregate production is not increasing at a desired pace or is even declining. An increase in the total production of goods and services is generally needed to keep pace with an increase in the population of society and expectations of a rising living standard. Stagnant growth exists if total production does not keep pace. This means the macroeconomic goal of economic growth is not attained. Reasons for stagnant growth can be identified with a closer look at the quantity and quality of the resources used for production. 11
Quantity: The available quantities of the four factors of production--labor, capital, land, and entrepreneurship--can restrict the growth of production. The quantity of labor is based on both the overall population and the portion of the population willing and able to work. Should either decline, then growth is not likely to keep pace with expectations. If, for example, Edgar Millbottom decides to quit his job and spend his time doing nothing but vegetating on his parents living room sofa, then the total quantity of labor declines.
The quantity of capital depends on the amount of investment expenditures relative to the depreciation of the existing capital stock. If investment expenditures should decline or depreciation increase, then the economy is less likely to grow. If, for example, restrictive government regulations and high taxes discourage The Wacky Willy Company and similar manufacturing companies from building new factories, then the total quantity of capital declines.
Quality: The quality of the four resources can also lead to stagnant growth. The two most noted resource quality influences are technology and education. The lack of technological progress, which could result from allocating fewer resources to scientific research can limit increases in the quantity of resources. Along a similar line of reasoning, allocating fewer resources to education can also limit resource quality.