Professional Documents
Culture Documents
A, B, C ,
a, b, c,
a A
A
a A
A={a, b, c, d}
d c b a
A
b
f A
A {1,3,5,7}
B {a, b, c, d }
C {1,2,3,}
X
A
A={x:
x}
B={x:
x}
C={x:
x}
D={x: 0x 12
x}
A={ (x,y) : x + y = 7 }
A={x:
x}
B={x:
x}
A {2,4,6,8}
B {1,2,3,..,100}
C {x, y, z, w, u}
X
B
A={x:
x}
B {10,20,30,....}
U
proper subset
subset
A
A B
A B
A
B A
A B
A=B
B {1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8}
A {2,4,6}
A B
A B
A B, B A A B
{1,1} {x : x 2 1}
} {x
A B
1)
A B
1) A {1,3,5,7} , B {3,1,5,7}
2)
A B
2) A {0,1,2} , B {a, b, c}
A B B
A={1 , 2, -6 , -7}
B={-6, -7, -11}
( A B) = {1, 2, -6, -7, -11}
A B B
A
B
A={1 , 2, -6 , -7}
B={-6, -7, -11}
A B = {-6, -7}
S
A
A
B
S={1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20}
A={1, 3, 5, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19}
B={1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 11, 12, 14, 16}
A ={2, 4, 6, 20}
B ={4, 5, 7, 9, 10, 13, 15, 17, 18, 19, 20}
A-B
B {3,4,5, x, w}
B A
A {1,2,3, x, y}
A B {1,2, y}
B {3,4,5, x, w}
A {1,2,3, x, y}
U {1,2,3,4,5, w, x, y, z}
5) B
B {1,2, y, z}
4
4)
A {4,5, w, z}
3)
A B
A B {1,2, y}
2)
A B
A B {3, x}
1)
A B
A B {1,2,3,4,5, x, y, w}
B {4, x, y, z}
A {3,4,5, x, y}
(i ) 3 A
(ii ) 3 B
(iii ) x A
(iv ) x B
(v ) z A
(vi) z B
(vii) 1 A
(viii ) 1 B
h c
i.
A={x:
ii.
B={x:
iii.
C={y: h c
iv.
D={x:
x}
x}
y}
x}
VIN Figures
S
S
Events Union
B
B A
B
B A
( A B )
5
( A B )
A1 , A2, A3, .. An
n
A1 A2 A3 ...... n
i 1
Ai
i 1
B A
A={1 , 2, -6 , -7}
B={-6, -7, -11}
( A B) = {1, 2, -6, -7, -11}
A ( B C ) ( A B) ( A C )
( A B) ( B A)
Events Intersection
B
( A B)
B A
A and B
s
A
( A B)
B A
A1 , A2, A3, .. An
n
A A A
i
A3 ...... n
i 1
Ai
i 1
A={1 , 2, -6 , -7}
B={-6, -7, -11}
( A B) = {-6, -7}
A ( B C ) ( A B) ( A C )
( A B) ( B A)
Complementary Event
Ac
A
A
Ac
Ac
A
S={1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20}
A={1, 3, 5, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19}
B={1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 11, 12, 14, 16}
A ={2, 4, 6, 20}
B ={4, 5, 7, 9, 10, 13, 15, 17, 18, 19, 20}
Mutually Execlusive Events
A B
B A
A A
c
A B
A
B A
A Ac
A Ac S
B A B A
A Ac
B A B A
S
A B
B
B
A S S
A
B
A S A
A A B
A
A
B
B
B A B
B A
A B C
C B A
C B A
A B C
A B C
A B C
B
A
C
( A B C) ( A B C) ( A B C)
( A B)
( A C)
( A B)
( A B)
( A B)
= {(HHH), (HHT), (HTH), (HTT), (THH), (THT), (TTH), (TTT)}
A
H
B
(Event)
Random Experiment
o
o
o
Possible Cases
(Event)
(Experiment)
(Sample Space)
10
Favorable Cases
H
= {H , T}
= {(1,1), (1,2), (1,3), (1,4), (1,5), (1,6), (2,1), (2,2), (2,3), (2,4), (2,5), (2,6), (3,1), (3,2), (3,3), (3,4), (3,5),
(3,6), (4,1), (4,2), (4,3), (4,4), (4,5), (4,6), (5,1), (5,2), (5,3), (5,4), (5,5), (5,6), (6,1), (6,2), (6,3), (6,4), (6,5),
(6,6)}
X,y
1,1
1,2
1,3
1,4
1,5
1,6
2,1
2,2
2,3
2,4
2,5
2,6
3,1
3,2
3,3
3,4
3,5
3,6
4,1
4,2
4,3
4,4
4,5
4,6
5,1
5,2
5,3
5,4
5,5
5,6
6,1
6,2
6,3
6,4
6,5
6,6
H
H
H
H
11
A1
H
A1 ={HTT, THT, TTH}
A2
H
A2 ={HHT, HTH, THH}
A3
H
A3 ={HHH}
A4
A1
H
A4 ={TTT}
T
H
H
T
H
H
T
H
T
R
GG
12
G
={GG, GR, RG, RR}
A
B
C
D
E
F
X,y
1
2
3
4
5
6
1
1,1
2,1
3,1
4,1
5,1
6,1
2
1,2
2,2
3,2
4,2
5,2
6,2
3
1,3
2,3
3,3
4,3
5,3
6,3
4
1,4
2,4
3,4
4,4
5,4
6,4
5
1,5
2,5
3,5
4,5
5,5
6,5
x
6
1,6
2,6
3,6
4,6
5,6
6,6
A={ (x,y) : x + y = 7 }
B={(1,2), (2,1), (2,3), (3,2), (3,4), (4,3), (4,5), (5,4), (5,6), (6,5)}
B={ (x,y) : x y = 1 }
9
C={(4,5), (4,6), (5,4), (5,5), (5,6), (6,3), (3,6) , (6,4), (6,5), (6,6)}
C={ (x,y) : x + y 9 }
1
D={ (x,y) : x = 1 }
13
E={(1,1), (1,2), (1,3), (1,4), (1,5), (2,1), (2,2), (2,3), (3,1), (3,2), (4,1), (1,6), (6,1), (5,1)}
E={ (x,y) : x * y 6 }
2
F={(1,1)}
F={ (x,y) : x + y 2 }
G
H
I
J
K
(Possible Cases)
(Favorable Cases)
14
(Independent Events)
B
(Exhaustive Events)
C B A
E2
E1
n m
n = 2
m=3
n m = 23=6
15
E2
E1
4 3 2 = 24
n
n+ m
3 + 4 + 2 + 1 = 10
n!
(
n
(
n!= n (n - 1)!
= n (n - 1) (n - 2)!
= n (n - 1) (n - 2) (n - 3)!
16
( ) ( )
( ) ( )
5
5
( )
( )
6
7
P
n
n!
n!
n!
(n n)! 0!
a, b, c
abc, acb, bac, bca , cab, cba
P(n, n)
(, )
n!
p(n, n) n! 3 2 1 6
(, )
6! n!
6! 6 5 4 3 2 1 720
6
Shift
720
Shift
rn
P(n, r )
17
n!
(n r )!
a, b, c, d .e
P(5,2)
2 r
5!
5! 5 4 3!
5 4 20
(5 2)! 3!
3!
P(5,2) 5 4 20
5-1
3 r
P(6,4) 6 5 4 3 360
n3
n2
6! 6 5 4 3 2 1
360
2!
2 1
n1
Statistics
1!
10!
10
10!
10!
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3!
3!3!2!1!1!
3!3!2!1!1!
10 9 8 7 6 5 2 50400
0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9
1010 10,000,000,000
18
n!
n1!n2 !n3!...
Statistics
3
P(6,4)
0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9
103 1000
0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9
10! 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 3628800
0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9
P(10,3)
10!
10! 10 9 8 7!
10 9 8 720
(10 3)! 7!
7!
C (n, r )
n!
n
C (n, r )
r r!(n r )!
a, b, c
n
2
ab, ac, bc
3!
3 2!
3
C (n, r )
3
2 2!(3 2)! 2!1!
19
Shift
20
C (20,4)
20!
20 19 18 17 16! 116280
4845
4!16!
4!16!
24
4845
20
Shift
C (8,5)
( )
8!
8 7 6 5!
336
56
5!3!
5!3!
3 2 1
( )
1
1 20
( )
( )
12
20
( )
( )
( )
( )
20
( )
0.08
100
N
f N ( A) A
N
N
A
A
A
0 f N ( A) 1
A
N
N
A
A
f N ( A B) f N ( A) f N ( B)
f N (A)
30
50
80
100
300
500
1000
1500
0.5
21
f N ( A) 0
B A
A
f N ( A) 1
H
12
20
38
49
150
250
500
750
12 / 30
20 / 50
0.475
0.49
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
N
P( A)
P( A) 0
NA
N
P() 1
A1 A2
A2 A1
P( A1 A2 ) P( A1 ) P( A2 )
n
P( A1 A2 A3 ..... An ) P( A1 ) P( A2 ) P( A3 )... P( An )
= 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
P(A=5)=1/6
P(A=2,4, 6)=3/6
P(A2)=4/6
P(A7)=6/6=1
P(A=7)=0/6=0
22
A
P(A)=
= 23/50= 0.46
B
P(B)=
= 27/50= 0.54
C
P(C)=
= 12/50= 0.24
D
P(D)=
=( 12+22)/50=34/50=0.68
P(D)=
= 5/50=0.1
P( S ) 1
P( ) 0
0 P( A) 1
P( A B) 0
B A
P( A B) P( A) P( B)
23
P( Ac ) 1 P( A)
Ac
A B
P( A) P( B)
P( A B) P( A) P( B) P( A B)
P( B A) P( B) P( A B)
40
60
100
20
100
A B
A B
P( A B) P( A) P( B) P( A B)
60
40 20
100
24
60
100
40
P( B)
100
P ( A)
P( A B)
20
100
A1
A1
A2
A2
P(A1)=12/50
P(A2)=22/50
P(A1 A2) =P(A1)+P(A2)= (12/50)+(22/50) = 34/50= 0.68
A1
A1
A2
A2
P(A1)=27/50
P(A2)=12/50
P(A1 A2) =P(A1)+P(A2)-P(A1 A2) = (27/50)+(12/50)-(7/50) = 32/50= 0.64
A1
A1
A2
A2
P(A1)=16/50
P(A2)=23/50
P(A1 A2) =P(A1)+P(A2)-P(A1 A2) = (16/50)+(23/50)-(10/50) = 29/50= 0.58
Conditional Probability
A1
P: (A2)
A2 , A1
A2
P (A1A2)
25
P( A1 A2 )
P( A2 )
A2 , A1
A2
A1
A2
0.32
0.64
A1
A2
P(A2)=0.64
P(A1A2)=0.32
P (A1A2)
P (A1A2)
P( A1 A2 ) 0.32
0.5
P( A2 )
0.64
0.5
A1
A2
B1
B2
0.259
26
7
P( A1 A2 ) 50
7
0.259
P (A1A2)
27 27
P( A2 )
50
10
P( B1 B2 ) 50 10
0.625
P (B1B2)
16 16
P ( B2 )
50
0.625
P( A \ B)
P( A B)
P( B)
P( A B) P( B) P( A \ B)
P( A B) P( A) P( A \ B)
P( A B C) P( A) ( B \ A) (C \ A, B)
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.2
P( B \ A)
85%
27
P( A B) 0.3
0.75
P( A)
0.4
60%
B\A
A B
P( A B) P( A) P( B \ A)
100
100%
\
28
60 85
5100
51%
100 100 10000
P( A \ B) P( A)
P( B \ A) P( B)
P( A B) P( B) P( A \ B)
P( B) P( A)
P( A B) P( A) P( B \ A)
P( A) P( B)
s
P( A) 0.5
P( B) 0.6
P( A B) 0.8
B
P( A B) P( A) P( B) P( A B)
0.8
0.5 0.6 P( A B)
(Bayes' Theorem)
P(A1), P(A2), P(An)
A1, A2, .. An
Ar
B
B
P( Ar B)
P( Ar ) P( B Ar )
n
P( A ) P( B A )
i 1
29
1 r n
B
A1
A2
A3
.. Ar ..
An
P(A1)=0.2
A1
P(A2)=0.35
A2
P(A3)=0.45
A3
{
P(BA1)=0.02
P(BA2)=0.025
P(BA3)=0.03
P( A1 B)
P( A1 ) P( B A1 )
n
P( A ) P( B A )
i 1
P( A2 B)
P( A2 ) P( B A2 )
P( A ) P( B A )
i
0.2 0.02
0.152
(0.2 0.02) (0.35 0.025) (0.45 0.03)
0.35 0.025
0.333
(0.2 0.02) (0.35 0.025) (0.45 0.03)
i 1
30
} =B
P( A1 B)
P(A1)=0.3
P(BA1)=0.15
A1
P(A2)=0.4
P(BA2)=0.18
A2
P(A3)=0.2
P(BA3)=0.12
A3
P(A4)=0.1
P(BA4)=0.09
A4
P( A1 ) P( B A1 )
4
P( A ) P( B A )
i 1
P( A2 B)
P( A2 ) P( B A2 )
P( A ) P( B A )
i
0.3 0.15
0.3
(0.3 0.15) (0.4 0.18) (0.2 0.12) (0.1 0.09)
0.4 0.18
0.48
(0.3 0.15) (0.4 0.18) (0.2 0.12) (0.1 0.09)
i 1
31
S HH , HT , TH , TT
A HH , HT , TH
3
P( A)
4
X
X 2,1,0
Random Variable
x, y, z,
X, Y, Z,...
X:{x=0,1,2,3,4}
Y:{y=0,1,2,3,...} Y
X
10
200
32
P( X xi ) f ( xi )
X : {x x1 , x2 ,..., xn }
xi
X : {x x1 , x2 ,..., xn }
P( X xi ) f ( xi )
f ( xi )
1)
0 P ( xi ) 1
2)
i 1
P ( xi ) 1
0.60
0.40
33
x=0
x=1
x=2
X:{x=0,1,2}
X
xi
f ( xi )
0
1
2
f(x)
xi f ( xi )
2
2 ( xi ) 2 f ( x i )
xi2 f ( xi )
34
f ( xi ) ,
xi
f ( xi )
xi f ( xi )
xi2 f ( xi )
0
1
2
0.16
0.48
0.36
00.16=0
0 0.48=0.48
2 0.36=0.72
0
0.48
1.44
1.20
1.92
2
i
f ( xi )
xi f ( xi ) 1.20
2 xi2 f ( xi ) 2 1.92 (1.20) 2 0.48
2 0.48 0.693
C.V
0.693
100
100 57.7
1.2
2: Data
shift
1:ON
4: STAT
( Mode
0=1=2=
0.16=0.48=0.72=
1.2
2:
4: Var
0.693
0.48
shift
3:
0.16
1)
shift
4: Var
1)
AC
shift
35
p
q 1 p
X : {x 0,1,2,..., n}
P(X)
n
P ( X x ) P x (1 P ) n x
x
n!
P( X x )
P x (1 P ) n x
x! ( n x )!
n!
np
np(1 p)
0.5
36
p 0.5
p 0.5
p 0.5
p 0.5
TT,TH,HT,HH
P( X 0)
1
4
P(X 1)
0.25
0.50
0.25
1/2
and
P(X 2)
1
4
0
1
2
n!
P x (1 P) n X
X !(n X )!
P( X )
P(4)
TT
TH,HT
HH
1
2
6!
1 1
6 5 4 3 2 1 1 1
1
15
( )4 ( )2
( )( ) 15( )
0.23
4!(6 4)! 2 2
4 3 2 1 2 1 16 4
64
64
50%
np (6)(1 2) 3
1/2 50%
x
x
e 2.718
x! x( x 1)(x 2)...3 2 1
P(x)
e
x!
e x
P( x)
x!
, x 0,1,2,...
37
X : {x 0,1,2,...}
X : {x 0,1,2,...}
X : {x 0,1,2,...}
10
X : {x 0,1,2,...}
X : {x 0,1,2,...}
X : {x 0,1,2,...}
X : {x 0,1,2,...}
P( X x) f ( x)
3
X
X : {x 0,1,2,3,...}
3
P( x)
2.718
38
e x
x!
e33 x
x!
, x 0,1,2,...
p(2)
e 3 32 0.04989
P(2)
0.22404
2!
2 1
0.0498
3-
ALPHA
3
P( X 3) p(3) p(2) p(1) p(0)
0.0498
p(3) , p(2)
p(2)
33 32 31 30 0.0498
3! 2! 1! 0! 1
27 9 3 1
0.0498 0.049813 0.6474
6 2 1 1
( )
3
2 3
3 1.732
C.V
1.732
100
100 57.7%
3
e x
x!
e55x
, x 0,1,2,...
x!
P ( X 2)
39
(0.00674)( 25)
0.08425
( 2)(1)
{X x : a x b}
(a,b)
(a,b)
{X x : 10 x 40}
{X x : 1000 x 15000}
{X x : 1 x 5}
{X x : 55 x 80} (40-30)
f(x)
X {x : a x b}
a xb
40
f (x)
x
x
1
41
var( x) 2
E (x)
x ~ N ( , 2 )
p( x1 x x2 )
x2
x2
1
p( x1 x x2 ) f ( x)dx
x1
x1 2
42
1 x
2
dx
Transform
x
z
Standard Normal Variable
( 1, 0
x
68.26%
99.74% 2
95.54%
Z
Z
0.6827
0.9545
0.9973
1.96
Z=1.96
Z=0
.06
1.9
Z
0.9750
Z=0, Z=1.96
(100%
1)
97.50%
Z=-1.96 , Z=0
97.50%
43
0.9750
P(Z 0)=0.5000=50%
2
0.9772 2
Z
1 P(Z 2) = 0.0228
0.5 0
0.5
-0.5 0.5
0.5 0
0 , -0.5
0.1915 = Z
- 0.5
0 , 05
0.1915
(0, -0.5)
Z
Z
Z
0.383 0.1915 2
100
-0.5 0.5
500
700
100
500
700
44
2
100
100
P(Z 2 )
P(Z 2) = 1 - P(Z 2)
= 1- 0.9772 = 0.0228
95.45%
1-0.9545=0.0455
0.0455/2=0.02275
0.02275
2
700
3: R(
5:Distr
SHIFT
AC
1: 1-VAR
3: STAT
Mode
R((700-500)100)=0.02275
Z
Z <+2
-1< Z <+3
Z
0.0
Z
Z=0.00
0.00
45
0.5000
1.64 <
Z
.00
.01
.02
.03
.04
1.6
.05
0.9495
Z
0.04
1.6
1.64
0.9495
Z
1.64
1.64 >
( )
P(Z>1.64) = 1 - P(Z<1.64) = 1 - 0.9495 = 0.0505
46
Z=-1.65
-1.65
P(Z>-1.65) = P(Z<1.65)
-1.65
1.65
P(Z<1.65) = 0.9505
P(Z<1.65) = P(Z>-1.65) = 0.9505
X
25
60
X
50
65
77.45
10000
60
77.45
60
50
P( X 50) P(
25
50 60
) P( Z 2) 1 0.9772 0.0228
25
65
P( X 65) P(
65 60
) P( Z 1) 1 P( Z 1) 1 0.8413 0.1587
25
77.45
P(60 X 77.45) P(
60
60 60
77.45 60
Z
)
25
25
10000
77.45
60
47
150
t
w.s. Gosset
t
V
student
t1,t2,t3 tdf)
1, 2, 3, , df
t
t
t
(n>=z)
X
S
n
n-1)
diffuse
z
t
n
t
48
(n-1)
s
S 2
t
df
t
t
30
1.035
Z
49
df>30
10
10
t
1.397
t
80%
10%
165
50
164
statistical inference
Population
Population
(census)
51
(Sampling method)
(Sample)
52
53
54
(Parameters of
population)
(Statistics)
55
n
n
E( X ) X
Var ( X )
{0,2,4,6}
2
X
2
n
N=4
0246
3
4
(0 3) 2 (2 3) 2 (4 3) 2 (6 3) 2
2
5
4
n=2
Nn = 42 = 16
6 0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
56
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
2
0
2
4
6
0
2
4
6
0
1
2
3
1
2
3
4
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
4
4
4
4
6
6
6
6
0
2
4
6
0
2
4
6
2
3
4
5
3
4
5
6
Xi
(P)
1/16
2/16
3/16
4/16
3/16
2/16
1/16
4. 3 5. 2 6. 1 3
16
16
16
E( X ) X
2
X 1 , X 2 , X 3 , ... ... X n
X
/ n
/ n
9
600
2,900
X ~ N (2900, (600) 2 )
(600) 2
X ~ N 2900,
n
3100
X 3100
P( X 3100) P
/ n
/ n
Z
2
3100 2900
P Z
600 / 9
200
P Z
200
PZ 1
1 PZ 1 1 0.8413 0.1587
57
Z
1.00
0.8413
3200
2700
2700
X 3200
P (2700 X 3200) P
/ n
/ n
/ n
2700 2900
3200 2900
P
Z
3200 2700
600 / 9
600 / 9
300
200
P
Z
200
200
P 1 Z 1.5
1.00
PZ 1.5 PZ 1 1
Z
1.50
.00
0.9332
18
65
74
36
2
(600)
) , n 36
2
X 74
P( X 74) P
/ n / n
74 65
P Z
18 / 36
P Z
3
PZ 3
1 PZ 3 1 0.9987 0.0013
3
X
X 1 , X 2 , X 3 , ... ... X n
(n 30) n
/ n
X
/ n
58
80
1,000
48
(n 48 30)
(80) 2
X ~ N 1000,
48
X 1000 , 2 X
X 2X
2
n
(80) 2 6400
133.33
48
48
80
48
133.33 11.55
1072
X 1072 1000
P( X 1072) P
/ n
/ n
1072 1000
P Z
80 / 48
72
P Z
11.55
PZ 6.23 1 P( Z 6.23) 1 1 0
980
X 980
P( X 980) P
/ n / n
980 1000
P Z
80 / 48
14
135
6.24
48
X 1 6240
P X 130
P(Y 6240) P
48
48
X 130
/ n / n
130 135
P Z
14 / 48
X 1 , X 2 , X 3 , ... ... X n
X
S/ n
n1
T ~ t n1
70
11
9
75
X ~ N (70, 2 )
T ~ t8
70
11
X 70
11 / 9
75
X 75
P ( X 75) P
S/ n
S/ n
8
1.363
10%
t
1.397
75 70
P T
, T ~ t8
11 / 9
P T
11 / 3
15
P T
11
25
18
194 188
60
20
Range
34
(40 + 6) (40 - 6)
46
34, 46
Confidence intervals
61
0.95
99 %
95%
Confidence Levels
0.99
95%
34
46
95
95%
X 1 , X 2 , X 3 , ... ... X n
X
/ n
/ n
P( z Z z ) 95%
X
P z
z 95%
/ n
P z / n X z / n 95%
P X z
X z
95%
n
n
z
1
2
62
95%
X z / n
(X z
, X z
(1 95%) 95%
( 5%) 5%
(1
1.96
2.5%) 2.5%
1 2.5%) 97.5%
0.9750
Z
(z
(z
(z
(z
90%
1.64) 1.64
90%
1.96) 1.96
95%
2.58) 2.58
99%
1.64
(1 ) %
N ( , 2 )
(X z
95%
1.96
N ( ,9)
X 11.3
,X z
n = 16
95%
X 11.3
(X z
,X z
3
3
) (11.3 1.96
, 11.3 1.96 )
4
4
n
(11.3 1.47 , 11.3 1.47)
(9.83 , 12.77)
63
95%
1.96)
X 60
n = 25
(X z
,X z
99%
4
4
, 60 2.58 )
5
5
(60 2.064 , 60 2.064)
) (60 2.58
(57.936 , 62.064)
(57.936 , 62.064)
99%
1%
n 30
2
2
(1 ) %
(X z
,X z
n 30
2 25
X 52
n = 100
90%
X 52
(X z
,X z
90%
5
5
, 52 1.64
)
10
10
(52 0.82 , 52 0.82)
) (52 1.64
(51.18 , 52.82)
(X z
,X z
5
5
, 52 2.58
)
10
10
(52 1.29 , 52 1.29)
) (52 2.58
(51.71 , 53.29)
64
99%
n < 30
2
3
(1 ) %
(X t
95%
S
S
,X t
)
1
n
n
2
n-1
X 17.4
S = 2.1
n = 15
5%
15-
95%
0.025
0.025
1=14
2.145
S
S
(X t
,X t
)
1
1
n
n
2
2
2.1
2.1
(17.4 2.145
, 17.4 2.145
)
15
15
(17.4 1.16 , 17.4 1.16)
(16.2 , 18.56)
14
S 2.1
X 17.4
n = 15
S
S
,X t
)
1
n
n
2
2
2.1
(17.4 1.761
15
(17.4 0.95
(16.45 , 18.35)
(X t
SPSS
65
90%
S
S
,X t
)
1
n
n
2
2
2.1
2.1
(17.4 1.761
, 17.4 1.761
)
15
15
(17.4 0.95 , 17.4 0.95)
(X t
(16.45 , 18.35)
X z / n
e
2
n
z
1
2
z 2 2
n
e2
15
5
99%
(1 )% 99%
15
e5
z2 2
(2.58) 2 (15) 2
6.6564 225
59.9076 60
2
2
e
(5)
25
60
99%
90%
15
(1 )% 90%
15
e3
n
n
66
z2 2
(1.64) 2 (15) 2
2.6896 225
67.24 67
2
2
e
(3)
9
P
P
(1 p
p
n
Z p Z
(1 p
p
n
P
P
Z
P p
(1 p
p
60
144
95%
60
0.42
144
n 144
(1 )% 95%
1.96
P
Z
P p
(1 p )
p
0.42 0.58
0.42 1.96
n
144
[0.34 , 0.50]
67
95%
95%
0.50 , 0.34
50%
5%
95%
100
90%
30
30
0.30
100
n 100
(1 )% 90%
1.64
P
Z
P p
(1 p
)
p
0.30 0.70
0.30 1.64
n
100
[0.22 , 0.38]
68
90%
(Statistical Inferences)
(Estimation)
(Testing Hypothess)
Significant
Test of Significant
69
Parametric Tests
HO (Null Hypothesis)
Nul
99%
95%
90%
Significance Levels
70
95%
(1 ) 95%
Type I error
71
Type II error
Ha)
HO)
HO)
(
HO)
Level of Significance
1% 5%
5%
95%
100%
95%
5%
Critical region
72
200
200
200
95%
2.5%
5%
5%
200
5%
73
5%
200
Ho
20
Ho : 20
H1
H1 : 20
20
20
74
H1 : 20
H1 : 20
ZX
ZX
X
S
n
n-1
5%
1%
i
Two Tail Test
Sig.
/2
75
P-value
ii
Sig.
49
75
5%
72
72
14
72
Ho : 72
72
HI : 72
ZX
n 49 , 14 , X 75 , 72
ZX
75 72
3
3
1.5
14
14 2
7
49
1.5
5%
+1.9
6
0.4750
1.
0.4750
2
1.96
+1.96
76
-1.96
0.95
1.5
3
4
5%
72
5%
1%
0
/2
0.01
0.005
2
/ 2
0.01
0.005
2
- 2.58
+ 2.58
1.5
1%
1000
n = 100
X = 980
S = 80
5%
1,000
H1 : 1,000
n > 30
1.96
77
H0 : = 1,000
X 0
5%
X 0
X 0
20
2.5
8
/ n 80 / 100
H0
z
1,000
5%
= 1,000
H1
95%
1.1
X = 520
500
n = 25
S = 75
> 500
H1 : > 500
n 1 = 24
H0 : = 500
n < 30
5%
t
t
95%
78
5%
X 520 500 20
1.33
s/ n
75 / 25 15
= 500
H0
H 0 : 0
H a : 0 or H a : 0
H a : 0
H 0 : 1 2
H a : 1 2 or H a : 1 2
H a : 1 2
H 0 : 1 2 r
79
Z-test
2
S2
30
n
S2
2
Z
X - 0
t-test
Z
2.5
Ho :=2.5
H a : 2.5
H a : 2.5
H a : 2.5
5%
0.05
X
0
(Z)
X - 0
Z
Z
Z
Z
80
H1 : 0
Z
Z
H1 : 0
H1 : 0
H0
H0
H0
Z / 2
H0
Z /2
H0
H0
H0
Z
12
49
6
14
Ho: =12
H1: >12
0.05 =
(Z)
X - 0
14 12
2.33
6 49
0.05
Z
1.645
H0
H0
%95
0.05
1.645
81
t-test
S2
30
n
Z
W.S. Gosset
t
Student
t
S
X
S
n
Z
t
t
2
82
= 0
< 0
= 0
> 0
= 0
0
H0
H1
df
df
X
S
n
df
df
df
df
df
df
df
1
2
1
2
155.95
250
158
2.94
= 0
0
0.05
1.960 249
0.05
158
83
2.94
X 155.95 158
11.006
S
2.94
n
250
250
155.95
0.05
-1.96
-11.006
SPSS
SPSS
Data Editor
Compare Means
One-Sample T Test
One-Sample T Test
84
Analyze
t
Test Variable(s)
Test Value
158
Options
Confidence Interval
95%
Continue
OK
Sig. (2-tailed)
249
df
0.05
-11.006
t-test
0.000
Sig. (2-tailed)
0.000
22
12
5
S
85
30
30
N1
N2
1
2
n2
= 0
< 0
22
n1
= 0
> 0
H0
= 0
0
H1
df
df
df
1
2
df
df
86
X1 X 2
1 1
S
n1 n2
df
df
df
df
1
2
n1
n2
1
2
12
50
25
n2
25
X2
7.60
X1
2.27
S12
1.78
S 22
n1
0.05
1 = 2
1 > 2
0.05
48
25
25
0.05
1.68
t
X1 X 2
1 1
S
n1 n2
S2
(n 1)(S ) (n
S2
1)( S 22 )
n1 n2 2
2
1
25 25 2
S S 2 4.16 2.04
87
X1 X 2
7.60 6.0
2.77
1 1
1
1
S
2.04
n1 n2
25 25
0.05
1.68
2.77
0.05
t
Weltch
X1 X 2
n1
S g2
S
n2
2
l
S g2
Sl2
1 n2 1 n1
SPSS
F
Independent Samples T-Test
SPSS
Data Editor
group
dss
Compare Means
Independent Samples T-Test
88
Analyze
Test Variable(s)
Test Variable(s)
Grouping Variable
group
Define Groups
Options
Confidence Interval
95%
Continue
89
OK
0.05
0.301
1.095
2.771 t-test
0.008
48 df
0.05
7.60
90
Significance
22
= 0
< 0
= 0
> 0
12
H0
= 0
0
H1
df
df
df
1
2
X1 X 2
S S
S12 S 22
2r 1 2
n n
n1 n2
1 2
df
df
df
df
df
df
1
2
1
2
r = 0.46
100
58.66
64
n2
X2
S 22
100
54.28
49
0.05
91
n1
X1
S12
1 = 2
2 1
0.05
99
100
0.05
1.980
X2
0.05
1.980
X1 X 2
S S
S12 S 22
2r 1 2
n n
n1 n2
1 2
58.66 54.28
64.0 49.0
8 7
20.46
100 100
100 100
5.57
X1
5.57
0.05
SPSS
pretest posttest
92
Compare Means
Analyze
Paired-Samples T-Test
Paired-Samples T-Test
Paired Variables
Paired Variable(s)
93
Options
Confidence Interval
95%
Continue
OK
Posttest
SPSS
54.2800
Pretest
8.00
58.6600
Paired
7.00
0.458
5.575
0.05
t-test
0.000
0.05
94
Sample Correlation
99
df
F
R.A. Fisher
Analysis of Variance
Fisher
Variance ratio
nk
Snedecor
k1
12 22
H 0 : 12 22
H 0 : 1 2 3 ....
95
statistical model
variance
ANOVA
96
S2
X3 3
X2 2
X1 1
2
2
3
4
6
7
7
10
10
11
12
20
35
50
X2
X
X
x
X
Total..SS X 2
ng
ng
n
97
X X
Between ..SS
2
ng
Xg
Within ..SS X g
ng
K 1
nK
n 1
Beween ..groups..mean..square
Between ..SS
K 1
Within ..groups..mean..square
Within ..SS
n K
F
Between ..groups..mean..square
Within ..groups..mean..square
F
98
X3 3
2
X2 2
X2
X1
X1
16
36
49
4
6
7
49
100
100
7
10
10
81
121
11
36
81
144
12
102
20
263
35
514
50
X3
X2
4
4
9
2
2
3
49
X3
X1 1
H0:
HA
0.01
(F)
0.05
50
10
5
35
X
7
5
20
X
4
5
X1
X2
X3
Total..SS X 2
ng
(n g )(k )
879
1052
15
144
X X
Between ..SS
ng
(n g )(k )
X g
Within ..SS X g2
ng
514
50
14
5
2
35
2
x2 263 5 18
202 22
2
x
102
3
5
2
1
90
15
Between groups degrees of freedom
( K 1) 3 1 2
Within groups degrees of freedom
(n K ) 15 3 12
Total degrees of freedom
(n 1) 15 1 14
Beween ..groups..mean..square
Between ..SS 90
45
K 1
2
Within ..groups..mean..square
Within ..SS 54
4.5
n K 12
F
F
Between ..groups..mean..square 45
10
Within ..groups..mean..square
4.5
10
Means
df
45
90
4.5
12
54
14
144
SS
Between groups
Within groups
Total
3.89
0.05
10
Multiple Comparisons
100
12
SPSS
One Way Analysis of Variance
One Way Analysis of Variance
SPSS
Data Editor
Compare Means
Analyze
One-Way ANOVA
101
One-Way ANOVA
Dependent List
Dependent List
Factor
Independent Variable
Options
Statistics
Missing Values
Means Plot
Continue
102
Post Hoc
F
Scheffe
Tukey
Scheffe
S-N-K Newman-Keuls
Studentize range
Tukey
Continue
OK
103
SPSS
ANOVA
0.003 Sig.
F
12 2 df
10
0.05
0.003
F Sig.
104
10
Nonparametric Methods
robust
105
n2
n1
2
H0 : 1 = 2
HA : 1 2
Or HA : 1 < 2
Or HA : 1 > 2
Mann Whitney U
SPSS
106
10
3
14
7
7
15
8
14
16
7
13
10
6
11
5
10
12
10
3
14
5%
2 Independent Samples
107
Nonparametric tests
Analyze
codes
Samples
Define Groups
[Group 2 ]
Grouping Variable
[Group 1 ]
5%
0.648
Continue
Ok
P.Value
: Wilcoxon Test
Sign rank
T
Post test
108
Pre test
H0 : 1 = 2
H1 : A 2
Or HA : 1 < 2
Or HA : 1 > 2
SPSS
80
85
85
82
75
80
84
86
Wilcoxon Test
85
96
80
95
90
88
103
98
Wilcoxon
5%
109
2 Related Samples
Nonparametric tests
Analyze
after
before
Ok
1.5
5%
110
4.93
0.021
P.Value
Kruskal-Wallis Test
n2
n1
1 ,2 ,,k
nk
H0 : 1 = 2 = = k
H1 :
SPSS
5
6
15
10
14
6
6
12
Kruskal-Wallis Test
4
7
10
12
6
10
13
18
13
14
14
15
15
17
4
16
5%
111
k independent Samples
codes
Nonparametric tests
Analyze
samples
Grouping Variable
Maximum
Define Groups
Minimum
Continue
Ok
112
5%
0.095
P.Value
2
2
=0
Testing of Independence
Chi-Square test of independency)
K
p-Value
H0
V2
V1
Null hypothesis)
V2
V1
H0: V1 is independent of V2
113
HA
Alternative hypothesis
V2
V1
V2
V1
HA: V1 is dependent on V2
SPSS
0.05
(Gender)
2
114
(Gender)
(Result)
=3
(Result)
Descriptive Statistics
Analyze
Cross tabs
115
Columns
Gender
Rows
Result
Statistics
Continue
116
Chi-Square
Cell
Continue
Expected
Ok
Cross tabulati
117
5 9.76
6
8
12
37
6.17
72
5
6.32
8
5.35
9.24
9
7
8.74
5.83
6.68
35
5.65
7
8.26
2.437
118
H0 : Fn(X) = F0(X)
HA : Fn(X) F0(X)
Fn(X) < F0(X)
Fn(X) > F0(X)
SPSS
Non-Parametric Test
Analyze
1-Sample K-S
119
Normal
Poisson
Uniform
Ok
Exponential
6.782
15.26
0.573
6.782
X : N 15.26 , 6.782
/ ( )
120