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Fuel Vol. 76, No. l 1, pp. 1049-1056, 1997


1997 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved
Printed in Great Britain
0016-2361/97 $17.00+0.00

Viscosity correlation with specific


gravity and molecular weight of
crude oil fractions
Takeshige Wakabayashi
National Institute for Resources and Environment, 16-30nogawa, Tsukuba 305, Japan
(Received 7 July 1996; revised 3 March 1997)
An attempt is made to correlate the viscosity of crude fractions with other characteristics. The following equation
is derived by stepwise multiple regression:
log v = 1.37(d log M) 2 + 16.12(d log M) - 2 _ 9.06
where v is the kinematic viscosity (mm2s -~) of the crude fraction at 50C, d the specific gravity and M the
molecular weight. The calculated viscosity has an average absolute deviation of 15.9%. Comparison between the
average deviation calculated from the equation and that from local correlations for connate crude fractions shows
that this equation is applicable not only to a variety of crude fractions but also to those belonging to a specific
group. 1997 Elsevier Science Ltd.
(Keywords: crude oil fractions; viscosity; p r e d i c t i o n )

Information on the viscosity of oil fractions and their


mixtures is of considerable importance for estimating
transport properties in petroleum processing. The effect of
temperature or characteristics of oil on its viscosity is
especially noteworthy. Typical viscosity-temperature correlations are:
log v = a + b / T

(1)

log[log(v + 0.7)] = a + b log T

(2)

where v is the kinematic viscosity at temperature T, and a


and b are constants. Andrade derived a formula for the
variation of viscosity with temperature, based on a theoretical analysis of liquid viscosity 1. The use of kinematic
viscosity in his formula results in the same form as Equation
(1), which has been shown to be applicable to crude fractions 2. Equation (2) is standardized for liquid hydrocarbons
by ASTM 3.
Studies on the effect of characteristics of petroleum oil
have provided some relations for predicting viscosity. The
viscosity is standardized by ASTM in relation to the
molecular weight 4 and has been shown to vary inversely
with the specific gravity of steamcracker oils 5. Studies of the
constants in viscosity-temperature correlations could also
suggest suitable characteristics which are related to the
viscosity.
Amin and co-workers expressed the constant a as a
function of the average boiling point Tb and the specific
gravity d, and the constant b as a function of Th in Equation
(1), for American 2 and Saudi Arabian 6 crude fractions
respectively. This means that the kinematic viscosity is
expressed as a function of Tb and d of the crude fraction at a
given temperature. Such relations between the viscosity and

characteristics of liquid were also revealed in a study of the


estimation of the K factor of lube base oils from their
characteristics 7 and in application of a corresponding-states
model of non-polar liquids for estimation of the viscosity of
petroleum fractions,8 although the forms of these relations
differed. The above Saudi Arabian crude fractions also have
different forms of relation. The constants a and b were
recently expressed by Amin and Beg 9 in modified form as
functions of molecular weight M and of Tb, M and d,
respectively.
The constants a and b in Equation (2) have been shown to
be linearly proportional to log M for Cold Lake bitumen
fractions I. The constant a in Equation (2) has alternatively
been expressed 11 as a function o f d for Middle Eastern crude
oils at atmospheric pressure, when b = - 3.5. Moharam et
aI. ~2 developed the following empirical correlation on the
basis of Equation (2):
log(log v + 3.242) = 0.0183 + b / T
where b is a function of Th and d.
There is no unified relation between viscosity and
characteristics which is applicable to a variety of petroleum
fractions, and the viscosity of petroleum oil and its fractions
is expressed as several functions of the molecular weight,
the specific gravity and the average boiling point, as
mentioned above. Such inconsistency may be due to the fact
that any relation was derived from experimental data on
fractions originating from only one bitumen or on connate
oils.
The aim of the present work was to develop a new
consistent relation between the viscosity of various kinds of
crude fraction, including bitumen, and characteristics that
can be easily measured. Since the contribution of any

Fuel 1997 Volume 76 Number 11

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Viscosity correlation of crude oil fractions: T. Wakabayashi


Table 1 Properties of heavy crude oils
Crude oil

Specific gravity
(15/4C)

Molecularweight

Conradsoncarbon
residue (wt%)

H/C atomicratio

Aromaticity"

Viscosityat 50C
(mm2s-=)

Oil sand bitumens b


Athabasca(GCOS)

0.9973

468

11.7

1.46

0.39

857

Athabasca(ARC)

1.0155

518

13.2

1.48

0.39

2280

Cold Lake- 1

0.9804

466

12.6

1.49

0.39

498

Cold Lake-2

0.9944

497

13.7

1.45

0,39

1049

Orinoco Merry

1.0007

549

16.3

1.46

0.37

3369

Orinoco Morichal

1.0087

579

15.5

1.45

0.38

8337

Arabian Light

0.9521

463

8.23

1.57

0.31

160.2

Kuwait

0.9643

524

10.18

1.55

0.32

404.6

Khafji

0.9821

567

13.73

1.50

0.34

Gach Saran

0.9594

503

9.60

1.54

0.32

353.7

Agha Jari

0.9529

478

8.22

1.54

0.31

225.6

Taching

0.9086

563

4.35

1.74

0.20

139.5

Shengli

0.9446

593

8.54

1.62

0.28

839.9

Topped crudes

1344

aRatio of aromatic carbon to total carbon atoms calculated according ref. [14]
bGCOS, Great Canadian Oil Sands, commercial plant, open-pit mining; ARC, Alberta Research Council, pilot plant, open-pit mining; Cold Lake-l, in situ
discontinuous recovery in pilot plant; Cold Lake-2 in situ continuous recovery in pilot plant

characteristic to the viscosity cannot be theoretically


analysed, because of the complex molecular composition
of crude fractions, it has been determined by multiple
regression analysis.

0.7 -

0.6

EXPERIMENTAL
Materials

Benzene (extra-pure) was used to remove water, salt etc.


from crude oil sand bitumens. The extracted oil sand
bitumens Iwere heated to 200C at atmospheric pressure to
evaporate the benzene. Topped crudes were residues
distilled from corresponding crudes at 0.133 kPa. The
boiling point of the topped crudes was > 340C at
atmospheric pressure.
Measurements

Specific gravities were determined pycnometrically.


Molecular weights of the oil sand bitumens and topped
crudes (hereinafter described as the two bitumens) dissolved
in benzene were determined with a vapour-phase osmometer at 318 K. Elemental composition was determined
with an instrumental analyser.
Relative viscosities were calculated from flow rates in a
capillary viscometer of Cannon-Fenske type. Proton n.m.r.
spectra of the two bitumens dissolved in carbon tetrachloride (extra-pure) were measured with a JEOL JMNMH-100 spectrometer. Conradson carbon residues were
determined according to JIS standard K2270.
RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
Properties of the two bitumens are shown in Table 1. The
aromaticity was calculated from data on the elementary
analysis, the proton distribution determined from n.m.r, data
on the basis of Chamberlain's rule 13, and the molecular
weight according to the procedure of Speight 14.
Application o f published correlations to the two bitumens

An attempt was made to correlate the viscosity at 50C


with the specific gravity or the molecular weight for the two

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Fuel 1997 Volume 76 Number 11

5
+

tl I

0.5 --

o
do
fill

o , . ,O"

0.4 -..,O'
O

0.3 --

o.2
2.60

2.65

2.70

2.75

2.80

log M

Figure 1 Double logarithm of viscosity as a function of


logarithm of molecular weight for (0) oil sand bitumens and (O)
topped crudes

bitumens by the following published relations 5'j'fl:


log v = a + b/d

(3)

log[log(v + 0.7)] = a + b log M

(4)

log[log(v + 0.7)] = a + bd + cd 2

(5)

where c is a constant. (Note: here and below, 'log' signifies


logarithm to base 10.) The logarithm of the viscosity is
shown to be correlated with reciprocal specific gravity for
both the two bitumens at the 95% confidence level, with
comparable values of the correlation coefficient for different
levels of significance iS. However, it is difficult to define a
general correlation between viscosity and reciprocal specific
gravity, since the correlation coefficient of 0.817 is too low,
and because there is no correlation for oil sand bitumen
alone or topped crude alone.

Viscosity correlation of crude oil fractions: T. Wakabayashi

0.7 --

0.6

~" 0.5
+

0.4

0.3

0.2
0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

1.05

Figure 2 Double logarithm of viscosity as a function of specific


gravity for (O) oil sand bitumens and () topped crudes

more viscous in a comparison between oils of similar


molecular weight.
The viscosity seems to be correlated more with the
specific gravity than with the molecular weight for both
bitumens (Figure 2), and the correlation is statistically
significant at 95%. However, it has the following problems.
There is no correlation for oil sand bitumen alone or topped
crude alone. The curve in Figure 2 is concave upward, but
the corresponding curve for Middle Eastern crude oil is
convex upward in almost the same range of specific
gravity ~l. These results suggest that Equation (5) also is
inadequate to correlate viscosity with specific gravity for
different kinds of heavy oil.
It follows from the above that the viscosity is related to some
extent to the specific gravity or the molecular weight, and also
cannot be expressed as a function of specific gravity alone or of
molecular weight alone. Therefore the viscosity has to be
expressed as a function of two or more characteristics.

Development of new correlations at 50C


Selection of characteristics. Only characteristics that

Table 2 Correlation coefficients of relations between characteristics


Molecular weight

Specific gravity

13

Oil sand bitumens and topped crudes


Molecular weight
Specific gravity
Conradson carbon residue
Atomic ratio H/C

1.0000

- 0.0911

- 0.0911

1.0000

0.0996

0.9262

0.2734

- 0.9394

- 0.3375

0.9458

Molecular weight

1.0000

0.5644

Specific gravity

0.5644

1.0000

Conradson carbon residue

0.5209

0.9391

- 0.5717

- 0.9764

Aromaticity

10

Vacuum residues"

Atomic ratio H/C


Aromaticity

0.4836

0.9917

Softening point

0.8868

0.5102

(8)
20

Saudi Arabian crude fractions b


Molecular weight

1.0000

Specific gravity

0.9918

1.0000

Average boiling point

0.9892

0.9944

- 0.9131

- 0.9170

UOP K

No. of samples

0.9918

~See ref.16
bSee ref.9

A plot of double logarithm of viscosity versus logarithm


of molecular weight apparently suggests no relation
between the two bitumens (Figure 1). However, careful
examination provides the following information. The
double logarithm of the viscosity of oil sand bitumen is
proportional to the logarithm of the molecular weight, as
shown by the full line. The dashed line gives a similar
relation for topped crudes except Khafji and Taiching,
which have similar molecular weights but different specific
gravities. The dashed line is below and almost parallel to
the full line. The viscosity is thus correlated with
molecular weight for oil sand bitumen alone and for
some of the topped crudes alone, but not for both bitumens
at 95% significance. The plot reveals that the viscosity is
correlated with molecular weight for oils with similar
properties, and that oils with higher specific gravity are

are not intercorrelated should be considered as variables


for estimating the viscosity or in multiple regression
analysis.
Table 2 shows correlations of characteristics of oils with
their molecular weight or specific gravity. The molecular
weight is related to neither the specific gravity nor the other
three characteristics for the two bitumens, whereas the specific
gravity is correlated with those three characteristics at 99%
significance. The same is true for vacuum residues 16. On the
other hand, M, d and Tb of Arabian crude oil fractions are
closely correlated with each other9. Table 2 suggests that both
molecular weight and specific gravity should be necessary
and also sufficient for estimation of viscosity, as the other
characteristics are correlated with at least one of these two.
This study attempts to express the viscosity as a
polynomial of variables to which the two characteristics,

Fuel 1997 Volume 76 Number 11

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Viscosity correlation of crude oil fractions: T. Wakabayashi


Table 3 Properties of crude fractions
Specificgravity(15/4C)

Molecular weight

Cold Lake oil sand bitumen"


Whole bitumen

Viscosityat 50C (mm2s-~)

0.995

582

Cut 1

0.879

209

3074

Cut 2

0.941

310

Cut 3

0.990

667

Cut 4
Cut 5

0.999
1.072

800
2500

Berri: 260/345

0.8431

230

2.95

345/455

0.8886

323

10.97

Heavy: 260/345

0.8513

232

3.04

345/455

0.9020

331

13.17

Medium: 260/345

0.8477

228

2.82

345/455

0.9006

326

12.10

Light: 260/345

0.8476

217

2.99

345/455

0.9057

332

13.16

2.77
27.4
2664
24 700
6.809 X 1010

Saudi Arabian crude fractions b

aSee ref. [10]; the temperature at which the specific gravity was measured is unknown; the viscosity is calculated from parameters
bSee ref. [9]

Table 4 F-values in analysis of variance for simple logarithm of viscosity of crude fraction
Single correlation

F-value with (d log 114)2

F-value with (d log M) 2 and 1/(d log M)

log M

0.9576

351.06

2977.77

1/log M

0.9152

593.41

2981.83

0.8422

891.59

2976.52
2991.56

Independent variable

1/d

0.8139

1160.49

d log M

0.9546

4367.04

ll(d log M)

0.8731

4571.33

--

(log M)/d

0.5977

412.08

2984.62

d/(log M)

0.5669

395.92

2977.92

(log M) 2

0.9724

347.78

2974.79

1/(log M) 2

0.8896

764.16

2988.28

d2

0.8560

777.87

2970.39

lid 2
(d log M) 2

0.7994

1296.82

2995.35

0.9826

--

--

0.8290

4394.64

0.6125

421.03

2988.39

0.0725

337.26

2928.94

ll(d log M) 2
[(log M)/d] 2
(d/log M) 2

UCalculation stopped because value of correlation matrix < 0.001

that is, log M and d, are transformed by multiplication and


division. Other more complex types of variable are omitted
from consideration, so as not to make the expression too
complex. This results in viscosity being expressed by some
of the following 16 variables: log M, 1/logM, d, 1/d,
d logM, 1/(dlogM), (log M)/d, d/logM) and their
squares. The squares are included since a quadratic
expression is generally practical in a polynomial. Simple
and double logarithms of the viscosity can reasonably be
chosen as dependent variables by reference to Equations
(3)-(5).
A larger number of samples with diverse characteristics
increases confidence in the regression analysis, which has
therefore been carried out for 27 samples of petroleum oils
including Cold Lake bitumen and Arabian oils, whose
viscosity at 50C, specific gravity and molecular weight are
shown in Table 3, besides the two bitumens. Arabian oils

1052

Fuel 1997 Volume 76 Number 11

with a viscosity of > 2.0 mm2s -l are at the limit of


applicability of Equation (2).

Multiple regression analysis. A popular procedure is


the stepwise method for adequate selection of variables
from the above 16 for multiple regression analysis. The
stepwise method is essentially a forward selection procedure but with the added proviso that at each stage the possibility of deleting a variable, as in backward elimination, is
considered 17(a~. The first column of Table 4 shows the
single correlation of each variable with the simple logarithm
of the viscosity. The variable (dlogM) ~ enters the
viscosity-characteristic equation as the first variable, as it
has the highest correlation with an F-value of 257, which
exceeds the tabulated value of 7.82 (FI,24,0.01). The second
column shows F-values for the logarithm of viscosity correlated with each of the 15 variables other than (d log M) z.

Viscosity correlation of crude oil fractions: 7. Wakabayashi


Table 5

Analysis of variance for simple logarithm of viscosity of crude fraction correlated with functions of d log M

(1) With (d log M)2 and 1/(dlog M), referring to Equation (6)
Adjusted multiple correlation = 0.998581
Sum of squares

Degreesof freedom

Mean square

F-value

109.51
0.29
109.80

2
24
26

54.75
0.01

4571.33

Partial regression
coefficient

Standarderror

Standardpartial
regression coefficient

Standarderror

F-value

VIF"

1.601
19.887
- 15.883

0.034
1.163
0.686

1.509
0.556

0.033
0.033

2154.23
292.33

9.69
9.69

Regression
Residual
Total
Independent variable
(d log M) 2
1/(d log M)
Const,

(2) With (d log M) 2 and 1/(d log M) 2, referring to Equation (8)


Adjusted multiple correlation = 0.995984
Sum of squares

Degreesof freedom

Mean square

F-value

37.49
0.28
37.77

2
23
25

18.74
0.01

1547.97

Partial regression
coefficient

Standarderror

Standardpartial
regression coefficient

Standarderror

F-value

VIF~

1.372
16.119
- 9.061

0.084
2.644
0.970

1.567
0.587

0.096
0.096

265.02
37.17

28.89
28.89

Regression
Residual
Total
Independent variable
(d log M)2
1/(d log M)2
Const.
"Variance inflation factor

Table 6

Analysis of variance for double logarithm of viscosity of crude fraction correlated with l/(d log M)

Adjusted multiple correlation = 0.997299


Regression
Residual
Total
Independent variable

l/(d log M)
Const.

Sum of squares

Degreesof freedom

Mean square

F-value

2.94
0.02
2.96

1
25
26

2.94
0.00

4795.54

Partial regression
coefficient

Standarderror

Standardpartial
regression coefficient

Standarderror

F-value

VIF

- 5.849
2.658

0.084
0.035

- 0.997

0.014

4795.54

1.00

The combination of (d log M) 2 and 1/(d log M) is clearly the


most suitable for determination of viscosity. No F-value in
the third column exceeds the greatest F-value in the second
column, and therefore the above combination is the best for
correlating viscosity with the characteristics. Section (1) of
Table 5 shows the analysis of variance for the correlation.
The correlation can be recognized to be effective at 99%
significance, since the F-value of each variable exceeds 7.82
and since the variance inflation factor (VIF) of < 10 indi
17(b)
cates that there is no multicolhnearlty
. The viscosity is
expressed as follows:

log v = 1.60(d log M) 2 + 19.89/(d log M) - 15.88

(6)

However, it cannot be concluded that Equation (6) is the


only form of expression for the viscosity. The F-value for
the combination of the two variables in Equation (6) is
indeed the greatest, but it is also very close to that for the
combination of (d log M) 2 and (d log M) or of (d log M) 2
and l/(d log M) 2 (Table 4). Addition or deletion of a few
samples may make it possible for the F-values for the two
latter combinations to exceed that for the combination in

Equation (6). The form of Equation (6) can easily be changed to express several functions of (d log M) including its
square and reciprocal.
The same analysis was carried out for the double
logarithm of the viscosity, and Table 6 shows the analysis
of variance for the correlation. The form of the best
correlation for the double logarithm is different from that for
the simple logarithm, and is expressed as:
log[log(v + 0.7)] = - 5.85/(d log M) + 2.66

(7)

As the F-value for 1/(d log M) is very far from any other F value, the form of Equation (7) could not be changed much.
There is hardly any difference between the two correlations which are expressed as Equations (6) and (7), as both
have large F-values, very good adjusted multiple correlation
and a VIF of < 10. The deviations of the calculated from
the experimental viscosities may indicate the comparative
merits of the two correlations. Prediction from the simple
logarithm gives a lower average absolute deviation of
16.0%, compared with 23.9% for the double logarithm.
Therefore Equation (6) is superior. The average absolute

Fuel 1997 Volume 76 Number 11

1053

Viscosity correlation of crude oil fractions: T. Wakabayashi


Table 7 Comparison of errors derived from viscosity-characteristic correlations
Local equation

Equation (8)

E~or(%)

E~or(%)

870

1.46

949

10.77

3033

33.00

3416

49.82

Cold Lake-I

481

- 3.59

507

Cold Lake-2

1101

4.94

1213

Orinoco Merry

2475

- 26.55

2776

Orinoco Morichal

4646

- 44.27

5225

- 37.32

Equation (9)

Oil sand bitumens


Athabasca (GCOS)
Athabasca (ARC)

1.78

15.68
17.61

Topped crudes
Arabian Light

189.2

18.09

182.8

14.11

Kuwait

517.5

27.91

549.6

35.84

10.84

1661

23.56

Khafji

1490

Gach Saran

357.8

1.16

368.5

Agha Jari

225.5

0.03

222.7

Taching

122.1

- 12.46

111.6

Shengli

- 19.99

499.1

- 40.57

529.1

- 37.00

Average absolute deviation

17.5

1.29

20.7

Cold Lake oil sand bitumen


Whole bitumen

4.18
-

Equation (10)
2819

- 8.30

3591

Cut 1

3.3

19.16

2.9

Cut 2

25.8

- 5.95

24.2

16.83
3.73
-

11.56

Cut 3

5296

98.75

3020

13.34

Cut 4

24672

- 0.12

20 39 I

- 17.45

Average absolute deviation

26.5

12.6

Saudi Arabian crude fractions

Equation (11)

Berri: 260/345

2.8

- 5.95

2.9

1.83

345/455

10.0

- 9.05

10.2

7.14

Heavy: 260/345

3.0

- 1.50

3.2

345/455

14.0

6.11

13.0

Medium: 260/345

2.8

0.80

3.0

6.63

345/455

6.62
-

1.34

13.0

7.06

12.3

1.82

Light: 260/345

2.7

- 10.25

2.7

- 8.34

345/455

15.2

15.58

13.8

Average absolute deviation

7.0

Total average absolute deviation

15.9

deviation of 16.0% is not negligible and is certainly greater


than the overall deviation of 9.1% for Arabian crude
fractions in a generalized viscosity-temperature correlation
in which the parameters were related to representative
properties of the fractions 9. However, the overall deviation
increased with the boiling point of the crude fraction, and
exceeded 20% for some Arabian crudes9. Taking into
account the diverse characteristics of fractions, Equation (6)
with a deviation of 16% is worthy of practical application.
The viscosity of cut 5 of Cold Lake bitumen is vastly
greater than that of the other samples and therefore may
have a large influence on determining the parameters of
Equation (6). Regression analysis for 26 samples excluding
cut 5 gave the equation:
log v = 1.37(d log M) 2 + 16.12/(d log M) 2 - 9.06

(8)

The form of Equation (8) is different from that of Equation


(6), and the viscosity is better expressed as Equation (6)
with a greater F-value and a lower VIF (Table 5). Prediction

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Fuel 1997 Volume 76 Number 11

4.84
4.8

from Equation (8) however has an average deviation of


15.9%, the same as that for Equation (6), as shown in
Table 7. It seems reasonable to conclude that cut 5 has no
effect on prediction of viscosity in this regression analysis.
However, from the chemical viewpoint it is a different
matter whether the viscosity of cut 5, containing
- 5 0 wt% asphaltenes, can be suitably predicted from an
equation derived for petroleum oils. Asphaltene has been
shown to have a strong effect on viscosity through molecular aggregation ~s. Such aggregation is not found in light
petroleum fractions and is not of considerable importance
in bitumen. The viscosity of asphaltenes cannot be compared with that of light petroleum fractions or of bitumen
in the same viscosity - characteristics correlation. Cut 5
should be excluded from determining parameters of a correlation equation from the viewpoint of chemical characteristics, as mentioned above, and therefore the viscosity is to
be expressed by Equation (8). No other sample contains
> 8 wt% asphaltenes. A related comment is given in the

Viscosity correlation of crude oil fractions: T. Wakabayashi

--

:3

2.0

2.5

3.0

d log M

Figure 3 Correlation of logarithm of viscosity with product of


specific gravity and logarithm of molecular weight for crude
fractions: O, oil sand bitumens; , topped crudes; &, Cold Lake
bitumen; 4, Saudi Arabian crude

next section. The standard partial regression coefficient


indicates that the contribution of (d log M) 2 is greater than
that of 1/(d log M) 2 (Table 5).
The viscosity is well expressed by Equation (8) for a
variety of crude fractions (Figure 3). Is Equation (8) also
suitable for predicting the viscosity of oils belonging to a
specific group? The fractions for which multiple regression
analysis was carried out in this study can be divided into the
following three groups:
(1) Oil sand bitumens and topped crudes with boiling point
> 340C and molecular weight range - 4 5 0 - 6 0 0 . This
group is effective for testing whether Equation (8) is
applicable to heavy oils or not.
(2) Cold Lake oil sand bitumen and its fractions with a
molecular weight range of 209-2500. This group is
effective for testing whether Equation (8) is applicable
over a wide molecular weight range or not.
(3) Fractions of the Middle Eastern crude oils with boiling
point > 174C and molecular weight range of 300400, which are lighter than the oils of group (1).
Multiple regression analysis gave Equations (9)-(11) to
express the best correlations for the first, second and third
groups respectively:
log v = 1.10(d log M) 2 - 4.82

(9)

log v = 3.32(d log M) 2 + 118.66/(log M) - 64.49

(10)

log v = 0.54(d log M) 2 - 1.69

(11)

The form of each of these equations is different from that of


Equation (8), which apparently seems difficult to apply to
oils of a specific group. The average deviations for the first,
second and third groups are 20.7, 12.6 and 4.8% respectively in prediction from the above three equations, and
17.5, 26.5 and 7.0% in prediction from Equation (8)
(Table 7). It seems incomprehensible that the deviation
using Equation (9) for the first group is greater than that
using Equation (8). Multiple regression analysis with a
small number of samples is sometimes self-defeating. A
larger number of samples in the first group would yield a

more suitable relation in the same form as Equation (8). A


large deviation in prediction for the second group using
Equation (8) can be observed. This is based on the extraordinary error of 98.8% for cut 3, and exclusion of this cut
reduces the deviation to 8.4%. Table 7 suggests that the
viscosity of oils belonging to a specific group can be
expressed by both the local equation for each group and
Equation (8) for all crude fractions, and that the calculated
values are almost the same. It is reasonable to conclude that
Equation (8) is applicable for predicting the viscosity of a
variety of crude fractions and also that of oils belonging to
any specific group. The variable (d log M) 2 is a key contributor in Equation (10) as well as in Equation (8), and is the
most important factor in any of the equations for predicting
viscosity.
The variable d log M may be selected preferentially in the
first step of the stepwise method in this study, as the
viscosity is correlated with both d and log M. Therefore
there may be a risk of missing a function of d and/or log M.
Multiple regression analysis with d log M excluded in the
first step was also carried out. However, the correlation
equation thus derived was not superior to Equation (8) etc.

Correlations at other temperatures


The viscosity of crude fractions at 50C has been found in
the preceding section to be correlated with their specific
gravity and molecular weight. Is a similar expression
possible at other temperatures? Multiple regression analysis
was used to derive Equations (12)-(14) as the best
correlations respectively for vacuum residues whose
viscosities at 140 and 160C have been reported9J6 and
for petroleum fractions from various sources at 37.8C19:
log v = 0.38(d log M) 2 - 1.28

(12)

log v = 0.34(d log M) 2 - 1.18

(13)

log v = 0.83(d log M) 2 - 8.80(d/log M) 2 - 1.61

(14)

The independent variable selected in the correlations for


vacuum residues is the same as that in Equations (9) and
(11). The viscosity can be correlated with (dlogM) 2 at
higher temperatures such as 140 or 160C as well as at
50C. The correlation coefficients for vacuum residues however are lower than that for crude fractions at 50C, and the
average deviations are 42% at 140C and 36% at 160C.
Such large deviations arise not from certain specific residues
but equally from all. The deviation in predicting viscosity
from the viscosity-characteristics correlation increases with
the boiling point of the fraction, as mentioned previously.
Errors would arise in calculating the viscosities of heavier
fractions from their characteristics.
The reactivity and properties of petroleum oil fractions
are sometimes correlated with characteristics such as
specific gravity, average boiling point and asphaltene
content. These relationships would generally apply only to
oil fractions whose properties are connate to a certain extent
or vary continuously with the characteristic index. A lighter
crude fraction contains a large quantity of components of
lower boiling point which are homologous. The viscosity of
such a lighter fraction would be chiefly determined by the
components and would therefore be correlated with some
representative properties of the fraction. A fraction such as
vacuum residue has few such homologous components, and
therefore the viscosity depends mainly on the fluidity of the
residue itself. In this case, the viscosity cannot be well
correlated solely with certain representative properties.

Fuel 1997 Volume 76 Number 11

1055

Viscosity correlation of crude oil fractions: T. Wakabayashi


The vacuum residues have molecular weights exceeding
~900 and a specific gravity exceeding - 1 . 0 L6. Therefore
the viscosity-characteristic correlation would be unsuitable
for application to a fraction with a molecular weight of
> 900. Equation (8), which is derived from regression
analysis for 26 samples excluding cut 5, seems reasonable as
a generalized viscosity-characteristic correlation at 50C in
this study.
The regression analysis for petroleum fractions at 37.8C
selected the variable (d/log M) 2, which was never selected
in the analyses at 50, 140 and 160C. However, the variable
(d log M) 2 is a key contributor to determination of viscosity
for these fractions as well as for all other crude fractions.
The average deviation of 21% is comparatively large. This
could be due to the small number of samples, considering
the diversity of sources.

A more general expression applicable at any temperature


should follow from accumulation of a larger quantity of
systematic experimental data.

REFERENCES
1
2
3
4
5

CONCLUSIONS
Multiple regression analysis with 16 independent variables
to which the two characteristics d (specific gravity) and
log M (molecular weight) are transformed by multiplication,
division and/or squaring, and with the two dependent
variables log v and log[log(v + 0.7)], gave the following
viscosity correlation for 26 samples of crude fractions at
50C:
log v = 1.37(d log M) 2 + 16.12/(d log M) 2 - 9.06
The viscosity calculated from this equation has an average
absolute deviation of 15.9%, and therefore this equation is
useful for estimating the transport properties of crude oil.
However, it should be noted that the form of correlation
equation varies with the number of samples, the characteristics of the crude oil, temperature etc. The viscosit~
fundamentally is affected most by the variable (d log M) ~,
and also by other variables such as log M and (d/log M),
according to circumstances.
Comparison between the average deviations calculated
from the above equation and from local correlation
equations for connate crude fractions has shown that the
above equation is applicable not only to a variety of such
fractions but also to fractions belonging to a specific group.

1056

Fuel 1997 Volume 76 Number 11

6
7
8
9
10
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12
13
14
15
16
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