2k Factorials: Homework Solution (Page 36)

Files used in the module:

Breakthrough Management Group

March 20, 2006

Notes:

2k Factorials: Homework Solution

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DOE Homework

HeatTreat.mtw

During the heat treat experiments, the Black

Belt also included samples of a different steel
alloy. This data is in column HRC2 in the
Minitab worksheet HeatTreat.mtw.

Use the DOE Method to analyze the data for

this second alloy (column HRC2).

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2k Factorials: Homework Solution

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DOE Homework
Stat>DOE>Factorial>Analyze Factorial Design> Terms: All
Options>Graphs> Pareto Normal
Estimated Effects and Coefficients for
HRC2 (coded units)
FULL MODEL
Term

Effect

Constant

Coef
31.7875

Temp

1.7250

0.8625

Time

3.5750

1.7875

Furnace

3.7250

1.8625

-0.2750

-0.1375

Temp*Furnace

0.4750

0.2375

Time*Furnace

0.6250

0.3125

Temp*Time*Furnace

0.3750

0.1875

Temp*Time

Which terms are significant?

October 01, Breakthrough Management Group. Unpublished proprietary work available only under license. All rights reserved. March 20, 2006

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Notes:

2k Factorials: Homework Solution

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DOE Homework
This is a 23 experimental design with one replicate. For the full model, a
statistical test for the significance of the terms is not possible. However, a
graphical approach is available.

Analysis of Variance for HRC2 (coded units)

Source

DF

Seq SS

Adj SS

Adj MS

Main Effects

59.2637

59.2637

19.7546

2-Way Interactions

1.3837

1.3837

0.4612

3-Way Interactions

0.2812

0.2812

0.2812

Residual Error

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

Total

60.9287

October 01, Breakthrough Management Group. Unpublished proprietary work available only under license. All rights reserved. March 20, 2006

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Notes:

2k Factorials: Homework Solution

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March 20, 2006

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DOE Homework
Stat>DOE>Factorial>Analyze Factorial Design> >Graphs> Pareto Normal
Pareto Chart of the Effects
(response is HRC2, Alpha = .10)
A: Temp
B: Time
C: Furnace

BC

AC
ABC

AB

October 01, Breakthrough Management Group. Unpublished proprietary work available only under license. All rights reserved. March 20, 2006

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2k Factorials: Homework Solution

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March 20, 2006

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DOE Homework
The Reduced Model contains the three Main Effects: Temp, Time, Furnace
Estimated Effects and Coefficients for HRC2 (coded units)
Term

Effect

Constant

Coef

SE Coef

31.7875

0.2281

139.36

0.000

Temp

1.7250

0.8625

0.2281

3.78

0.019

Time

3.5750

1.7875

0.2281

7.84

0.001

Furnace

3.7250

1.8625

0.2281

8.17

0.001

Dont forget to save fits and residuals

October 01, Breakthrough Management Group. Unpublished proprietary work available only under license. All rights reserved. March 20, 2006

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2k Factorials: Homework Solution

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DOE Homework
Stat> Regression > Residual Plots>
Residual Model Diagnostics
Normal Plot of Residuals

I Chart of Residuals

Residual

Residual

0.5
0.0
-0.5

UCL=1.111

Mean=-2.7E-15

-1

LCL=-1.111

-1.0
-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

Normal Score

Observation Number

Histogram of Residuals

Residuals vs. Fits

0.5

Residual

Frequency

0.0
-0.5
-1.0

-0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6

27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37

Residual

Fit

The Residuals look OK

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DOE Homework
Stat> DOE> Factorial> Factorial Plots>
Main Effects Plot (data means) for HRC2

Interaction Plot (data means) for HRC2

-1

-1

35.0

Temp
1

-1

-1

-1

33.8

32.5

-1

30.0

HRC2

32.8

30.8

29.8

35.0

Time

31.8

Temp

Time

Furnace

32.5

-1

30.0

Furnace

A quick look at the Main Effect and Interaction Plots, which

are consistent with the Reduced Model

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Notes:

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DOE Homework
The Final Model is:
HRC2=31.79+.86*Temp+1.79*Time+1.86*Furnace
Clearly HRC2 is maximized at the +1 settings of all three predictor variables.

The Residuals look OK

October 01, Breakthrough Management Group. Unpublished proprietary work available only under license. All rights reserved. March 20, 2006

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Notes:

2k Factorials: Homework Solution

March 06, Breakthrough Management Group. Unpublished proprietary work available only under license. All rights reserved.

March 20, 2006

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