Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Dr Pankaj Varshney
Time Line
Cash Flows at-the-end of period
Cash Flows of Rs 1000/- each at Year-end for 4 years
1000
0
Period 1
1000
Period 2
1000
Period 3
1000
Period 4
Period 1
1000
1000
1000
Period 2
Period 3
Period 4
5
FV
@ r%
0
P
3
@ r%
5
FV
Dr Pankaj Varshney
Future Value
0
5
FV
@ r%
0
P = 1,000
3
@ 5%
5
FV = 1,276.28
1000*(1.05)5
Future Value
Values of FVIF for various combinations of r and n are
given in Future Value Interest Factor tables.
FVIF (5 yrs,5%)
Dr Pankaj Varshney
1,54,033
80,000
0
Dr Pankaj Varshney
Future Value
=FV(Interest Rate, Time,, Present
Value,0(or1))
Compounding Rate (r)
Time Period (N)
Present Value (PVN)
Future value
5900
5400
18%
Future Value
4900
4400
15%
3900
3400
12%
2900
10%
2400
8%
1900
5%
1400
900
1
10
Years
10
Dr Pankaj Varshney
)n*m
m
where m is no. of times interest is paid.
m Future Value
2 80000*(1+0.14/2)(5*2) = 80000*(1.07)(10)
= 80000*1.9672 = 1,57,372/-
Quarterly
80000*(1+0.14/4)(5*4) = 80000*(1.035)(20)
= 80000*1.9898 = 1,59,183/11
Dr Pankaj Varshney
Frequency (m)
Annual
1
Semi-annual 2
Quarterly
4
Monthly
12
Daily
365
Continuous
Nominal
Rate
10%
10%
10%
10%
10%
10%
Future
Value
1100.00
(1.10)-1
1102.50 (1+ 0.10/2)2 - 1
1103.81 (1+ 0.10/4)4 - 1
1104.71 (1+ 0.10/12)12 - 1
1105.15 (1+ 0.10/365)365 - 1
1105.17
exp (0.10) - 1
Effective
Annual Rate
10.0000%
10.2500%
10.3813%
10.4713%
10.5156%
10.5171%
Present Value
The process of calculating the present value of the future Cash
Flows is called discounting and the interest rate used for
discounting is called the discount rate.
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Dr Pankaj Varshney
PVIF
(5 yrs,5%)
15
??
10,000=P*(1.06)5
10,000
PV=
=10,000*0.74726 = Rs.7,472.60
(1.06)5
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Dr Pankaj Varshney
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Present Value
=PV(Interest Rate, Time,,
-Future Value, 0(or1))
Dr Pankaj Varshney
Present Value
800
700
5%
600
500
400
300
18%
200
100
1
10
Years
19
Annuity
Annuity is a stream of n equal cash flows (inflows or
outflows) at regular intervals for a fixed period of time.
If each investment is made at the END of each period, the
annuity is called Regular Annuity or Annuity in arrears
0
3
A
n-1
A
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Dr Pankaj Varshney
10
n-2
n-1
A
n
A
A(1+r)n-1
A(1+r)n-2
A(1+r)n-3
A(1+r)2
A(1+r)1
(1+r)n -1
FVARA = A
21
n-2
n-1
A(1+r)n
A(1+r)n-1
A(1+r)n-2
A(1+r)2
A(1+r)1
(1+r)n -1
FVA AD = A
(1+r)
r
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Dr Pankaj Varshney
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23
24
Dr Pankaj Varshney
12
50,000
??
(1.08)5 -1
FVARA = 50,000
= 50,000*5.8666= Rs.2,93,330/ 0.08
Case-2 Annuity Due:
??
(1.08) -1
FVA AD = 50,000
(1.08) = 50,000*6.3359= Rs.3,16,796/0.08
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1
1
2
2
3
3
n-2
n-2
A
n-1
n-1
n
n
A/(1+r)1
A/(1+r)2
A/(1+r)3
A/(1+r)n-2
A/(1+r)n-1
A/(1+r)n
PVARA =
A
A
A
A
A
A
+
+
+.........+
+
+
1
2
3
n-2
n-1
(1+r) (1+r) (1+r)
(1+r)
(1+r)
(1+r)n
1
1
PVARA =A n
r r(1+r)
Dr Pankaj Varshney
26
13
2
1
3
2
4
3
n-1
n-2
n
n-1
A/(1+r)1
A/(1+r)2
A/(1+r)3
A/(1+r)n-2
A/(1+r)n-1
PVA AD = A+
A
A
A
A
A
+
+
+.........+
+
1
2
3
n-2
(1+r) (1+r) (1+r)
(1+r)
(1+r)n-1
1
1
PVA AD =A (1+r)
n
r r(1+r)
27
28
Dr Pankaj Varshney
14
29
30
Dr Pankaj Varshney
15
1
1
=50000
30 =50000*10.2737=Rs.5,13,683/ 0.09 0.09(1.09)
31
PVARA =A 2,50,000 = A
n
5
r r(1+r)
0.08 0.08(1.08)
2,50,000
A=
= 62,614/3.9927
Opening
Balance
(1)
Annual
Instalment
(2)
250,000
2
3
4
5
207,386
161,363
111,658
57,976
Year
Interest
(3) = (1)*8%
Principal
Repayment
(4) = (2)-(3)
Closing
Balance
(5) = (1)-(4)
62,614
20,000
42,614
207,386
62,614
62,614
62,614
62,614
16,591
12,909
8,933
4,637
46,023
49,705
53,682
57,977
161,363
111,658
57,976
0
3,13,070
63,070
2,50,000
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Dr Pankaj Varshney
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Installments
=PMT(Interest Rate, Time,
-Loan Amount,,Type)
Discounting Rate
Time Period
Loan Amount
= 0 End of period
= 1 Start of period
Dr Pankaj Varshney
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Dr Pankaj Varshney
18
Dr Pankaj Varshney
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Growing Annuity
Growing Annuity is a stream of n cash flows growing @ g, paid
at regular intervals.
Growing Regular Annuity:
0
A(1+g)
A(1+g)2
A(1+g)n-1
n-1
A(1+g)n-1
39
A(1+g)
A(1+g)2
n-1
A(1+g)n-2
n
A(1+g)n-1
A
(1 + r) 1
A (1 + g )1
(1 + r) 2
A (1 + g ) 2
(1 + r ) 3
A (1 + g ) n -2
(1 + r )n -1
A (1 + g )n -1
(1 + r )n
A
A(1+g) A(1+g)2
A(1+g)n-1
PVGARA =
+
+
+......+
(1+r)1 (1+r)2
(1+r)3
(1+r)n
A 1+g
PVGA RA =
1r-g 1+r
Dr Pankaj Varshney
For g r
40
20
1
2
3
A(1+g) A(1+g)2 A(1+g)3
n-1
A(1+g)n-1
A(1+g)
(1+r)1
A(1+g)2
(1+r)2
A(1+g)3
(1+r)3
A(1+g)n-1
(1+r)n-1
A
A(1+g)1 A(1+g)2
A(1+g)n-1
PVGA AD =
+
+
+......+
(1+r)0 (1+r)1
(1+r)2
(1+r)n-1
A 1+g
PVGA AD =
1-
r-g 1+r
(1+r) For g r
41
10,000 1.10
PVGA RA =
10.08 - 0.10 1.08
= Rs.48,042/
(1.08) = Rs.51,886/
10,000 1.10
PVGA AD =
10.08 - 0.10 1..08
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Dr Pankaj Varshney
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1
A
n-1
A(1+g)n-2 A(1+g)n-1
A(1+g) A(1+g)2
A
(1+r)1
A(1+g)1
(1+r)2
A(1+g)2
(1+r)3
A(1+g)n-2
(1+r)n-1
A(1+g)n-1
(1+r)n
A 1+g
=
FVGA RA = PVGA RA *(1+r)
1r-g 1+r
n
n
*(1+r)
43
n-1
A(1+g)
A(1+g)2
A(1+g)3
A(1+g)n-1
A(1+g)
(1+r)1
A(1+g)2
(1+r)2
A(1+g)3
(1+r)3
A(1+g)n-1
(1+r)n-1
FVGA AD = PVGA
AD
*(1+r)n
n
A (1+ r) 1+g
n
FV G A A D =
1-
*(1+r)
r-g 1+r
Dr Pankaj Varshney
44
22
Mr. Sairam is 35 years old now and wants to save each year until he
is 65. If he saves Rs 10,000/- every year and the savings grow@ 5%
pa (after the first year),how much will he have saved by age 65 if
the interest rate is 10% pa?
35
0
36
1
10,000
37
2
10,000(1.05)
38
3
10,000(1.05)2
10,000 1.05
PVGA =
10.10 - 0.05 1.10
30
65
30
10,000(1.05)29
= Rs. 1,50,464/
Perpetuity
Perpetuity is a stream of equal cash flows at regular
intervals which lasts forever.
0
PVP=
A
A
A
+
+
+......
1
2
(1+r) (1+r) (1+r)3
PVP=
A
r
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Dr Pankaj Varshney
23
Perpetuity
You want to endow an annual MBA graduation party at your alma
amter. The event would cost Rs.50,000/- each year forever. If the
business school earns @ 8%p.a. on its investments and the first
party is in one years time, how much will you need to donate to
endow the party?
PVGP=
PVGP=
50,000
=Rs.6,25,000/0.08
47
Growing Perpetuity
1
A
2
A(1+g)
A(1+g)2
A(1+g)3
A
A(1+g) A(1+g)2 A(1+g)3
PVGP=
+
+
+
......
(1+r)1 (1+r)2
(1+r)3
(1+r)4
PVGP=
A
r-g
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Dr Pankaj Varshney
24
Growing Perpetuity
But then you are informed that the cost of the party would increase
by 4% per year, (after the first year).How much will you now need
to donate to endow the party?
PV=
50,000
=Rs.12,50,000/0.08 - 0.04
49
Summary
Annuity
(Regular Annuity)
Present Value
1
C
(1+r)n
1 1
A n
r r(1+r)
Annuity
(Annuity Due)
1 1
A (1+r)
n
r r(1+r)
Growing Annuity
(Regular Annuity)
Growing Annuity
(Annuity Due)
Perpetuity
Growing Perpetuity
Dr Pankaj Varshney
n
A 1+g
1
r-g 1+r
n
A 1+g
1-
(1+r)
r-g 1+r
A
r
A
r-g
Future Value
C(1+r)n
(1+r)n -1
A
(1+r)n -1
A
(1+r)
r
A 1+g
1r-g 1+r
(1+r)n
n
A(1+r) 1+g
1 (1+r)n
r-g 1+r
n
50
25
Where to Invest ?
Atul want to invest Rs. 10 Lac for a period of 10 years. He can invest in
Government bonds which mature in 6 years and earn interest @ 8%
pa. The expected fixed deposit rate for 6 years hence, given by a local
bank is 3.5% pa, with half yearly compounding. Meanwhile, Yep Bank
has offered an investment proposal offering 6.5% pa with quarterly
compounding for 10 years. Which proposal is better for Atul?
Option 1: Invest in Government Bonds @ 8% pa for 6 years & @ 3.5%
pa (half yearly compounding) in bank fixed deposit for next 4 years
thereafter.
10,00,000 * (1.01625)40 = 10,00,000* 1.90556 = Rs. 19,05,560/Better to deposit with Yep Bank.
51
52
Dr Pankaj Varshney
26
Valuation of Securities
??
Value of ZCB =
V0 =
Fn
(1+r)n
5,000
= Rs.4,319.19
(1.05)3
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Dr Pankaj Varshney
27
A+F
A/(1+r)1
A/(1+r)2
A/(1+r)3
A/(1+r)4
A+F/(1+r)5
n
A
A
A
A
F
V0 =
+
+
+.....+
+ n n
1
2
3
n
(1+r) (1+r) (1+r)
(1+r) (1+r)
55
At
F
+
t
(1+r)5
t=1 (1+r)
V0 =
5
=
t=1
1,400 10,000
+
(1.10)t (1.10)5
Dr Pankaj Varshney
28
Value =
D1
D
D
D
+ 2 + 3 +..........+
(1+r)1 (1+r)2 (1+r)3
(1+r)
Dt
t
t=1 (1+r)
Value =
57
DDM
Value =
D1 3.00
=
= Rs.23/r 0.13
58
Dr Pankaj Varshney
29
D1
D1 (1+g)1 D1 (1+g)2 D1 (1+g)3
V0 =
+
+
+
+..........+
(1+r)1
(1+r)2
(1+r)3
(1+r)4
V0 =
D1
(r - g)
Assumptions:
D1 > 0
Dividends grow at a constant growth rate g =ROE*b
Dividend Payout ratio (1-b) is constant
59
Value =
D1
3.00
=
= Rs.50/(r - g) (0.13 - 0.07)
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Dr Pankaj Varshney
30
D1
D1 (1+g 1 )1 D 2 (1+g 2 ) D 2 (1+g 2 )2
V0 =
+
+
+
+..........+
(1+r)1
(1+r)2
(1+r)3
(1+r)4
n
Dt-1 (1+g t ) Vn
Dn+1
+
where
V
=
n
(1+r)t
(1+r)n
r - gn
t=1
V0 =
D (1+g ) 1 Dn+1
V0= t-1 t t +
(1+r)n r - gn
t=1 (1+r)
n
61
1
2
3
4
5
6
6
(1.12) (1.12) (1.12) (1.12) (1.12) (1.12) (0.12 - 0.08) (1.12)
P0 = 124.78 Rs. 125/-
62
Dr Pankaj Varshney
31
Value of a Business
Indicoffee, a popular coffee shop located in a busy shopping mall, is
expected to generate net cash flows of Rs 3 Lacs a year. If the
cash flows increase @ 2.5% pa for the next 50 years, what is the
worth of the coffee shop? (assume discount rate of 15%)
Case-1 Growing Regular Annuity:
3,00,000 1.025
PVGA RA =
10.15 - 0.025 1.15
50
= Rs.23,92,380/
3,00,000 1.025
PVGA RA =
10.15 - 0.025 1.15
50
(1.15) = Rs.27,51,245/
63
Dr Pankaj Varshney
32