Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Presentation
January 29, 2015
Disclaimer
All information provided herein is for informational purposes only and should not be deemed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security
mentioned. Pershing Square Capital Management, L.P. (Pershing Square) believes this presentation contains a balanced presentation of the
performance of the portfolios it manages, including a general summary of certain portfolio holdings that have both over and under performed our
expectations.
This presentation contains information and analyses relating to all of the publically disclosed positions over 50 basis points in the portfolio of
Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. (PSH or the Company) during 2014. Pershing Square may currently or in the future buy, sell, cover or
otherwise change the form of its investments discussed in this presentation for any reason. Pershing Square hereby disclaims any duty to provide
any updates or changes to the information contained herein including, without limitation, the manner or type of any Pershing Square investment.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments involve risk including the loss of principal. It should not be
assumed that any of the transactions or investments discussed herein were or will prove to be profitable, or that the investment recommendations
or decisions we make in the future will be profitable or will equal the investment performance of the investments discussed herein. Specific
companies or investments shown in this presentation are meant to demonstrate Pershing Squares active investment style and the types of
industries and instruments in which we invest and are not selected based on past performance.
The analyses and conclusions of Pershing Square contained in this presentation are based on publicly available information. Pershing Square
recognizes that there may be confidential or otherwise non-public information in the possession of the companies discussed in the presentation
and others that could lead these companies to disagree with Pershing Squares conclusions. The analyses provided include certain statements,
assumptions, estimates and projections prepared with respect to, among other things, the historical and anticipated operating performance of the
companies. Such statements, assumptions, estimates, and projections reflect various assumptions by Pershing Square concerning anticipated
results that are inherently subject to significant economic, competitive, legal, regulatory, and other uncertainties and contingencies and have been
included solely for illustrative purposes. No representations, express or implied, are made as to the accuracy or completeness of such statements,
assumptions, estimates or projections or with respect to any other materials herein. See also Forward-Looking Statements in Additional
Disclaimers and Notes to Performance Results at the end of this presentation. All trademarks included in this presentation are the property of their
respective owners.
This document may not be distributed without the express written consent of Pershing Square and does not constitute an offer to sell or the
solicitation of an offer to purchase any security or investment product. This presentation is expressly qualified in its entirety by reference to PSHs
prospectus which includes discussions of certain specific risk factors, tax considerations, fees and other matters, and its other governing
documents.
SEE ADDITIONAL DISCLAIMERS AND NOTES TO PERFORMANCE RESULTS AT THE END OF THIS PRESENTATION FOR ADDITIONAL IMPORTANT
INFORMATION
Table of Contents
40.4%
S&P 500
13.7%
9.6%
S&P 500
32.4%
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments involve the possibility of profit and the risk of loss, including the loss of principal. Please see the additional
disclaimers and notes to performance results at the end of this presentation.
5
650.00%
600.00%
550.00%
500.00%
450.00%
400.00%
350.00%
300.00%
250.00%
200.00%
150.00%
100.00%
50.00%
0.00%
-50.00%
Data represents performance of Pershing Square, L.P., the fund managed by Pershing Square with the longest track record. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future
results. All investments involve the possibility of profit and the risk of loss, including the loss of principal. Please see the additional disclaimers and notes to performance results at the
end of this presentation.
6
2.0%
3.0%
1.7%
1.5%
2.9%
2.9%
2.0%
1.0%
0.7%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
0.0%
Pershing
Square, L.P.
S&P 500
Pershing
Square, L.P.
S&P 500
0.0%
-1.0%
-2.0%
-3.0%
-4.0%
-5.0%
(0.8%)
(3.6%)
Pershing
Square, L.P.
S&P 500
Data represents performance of Pershing Square, L.P., the fund managed by Pershing Square with the longest track record. Up months and down months are defined as months in which
the closing price of the S&P 500 on the last business day of the relevant month was higher and lower, respectively, than the closing price of the S&P 500 on the last business day of the
immediately preceding month. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments involve the possibility of profit and the risk of loss, including the loss of principal.
Please see the additional disclaimers and notes to performance results at the end of this presentation.
7
Losers
PSH
Allergan Inc
Canadian Pacific Railway
Herbalife (short)
Restaurant Brands International
Air Products & Chemicals Inc
Beam Inc
Platform Specialty Products
Zoetis Inc
Howard Hughes Corp
Undisclosed Position
5 Other Positions
19.1%
7.0%
6.1%
5.5%
5.1%
2.9%
2.7%
2.2%
1.2%
0.7%
0.6%
Total
53.1%
PSH
Fannie Mae
Proctor & Gamble
Freddie Mac
5 Other Positions
(0.6%)
(0.5%)
(0.2%)
(1.2%)
Total
(2.5%)
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments involve the possibility of profit and the risk of loss, including the loss of principal. Each position
contributing or detracting 50 basis points or more from returns when rounded to the nearest tenth is shown separately. Positions contributing or detracting less than 50 basis points are
aggregated. The returns (and attributions) set forth above do not reflect certain fund expenses (e.g., administrative expenses). Please see the additional disclaimers and notes to
performance results at the end of this presentation.
8
Short
2004
61.6%
(5.9%)
2005
53.7%
(1.6%)
2006
36.9%
(6.9%)
2007
(5.6%)
34.9%
2008
(23.2%)
11.6%
2009
60.5%
(11.4%)
2010
43.8%
(4.7%)
2011
2.5%
(2.1%)
2012
16.9%
1.1%
2013
25.8%
(12.0%)
2014
42.4%
5.8%
2011, 2012, 2013, and 2014 short attribution figures include our position in HKD call options.
Data represents performance of Pershing Square, L.P., the fund managed by Pershing Square with the longest track record. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future
results. All investments involve the possibility of profit and the risk of loss, including the loss of principal. Please see the additional disclaimers and notes to performance results at the
end of this presentation.
9
12/31/2014 AUM
Pershing Square, L.P.
$5,315
$5,757
$6,560
$113
$541
$17,746
$18,287
Assets under management are net of any capital redemptions (including crystallized performance fee, if any). This amount includes any capital redemptions effective as of the date of
this report that are immediately resubscribed into any of the Pershing Square funds. Pershing Square, L.P., Pershing Square International, Ltd., and PSH have investments totaling
$286m, $185m, and $91m, respectively, in PS V, L.P. or PS V International, Ltd., co-investment vehicles formed to invest in the securities of (or otherwise seek to be exposed to the
value of securities issued by) Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. (together PSV or Pershing Square V Funds), as of December 31, 2014. These investment amounts are represented
in Total Core Fund AUM and only once in Total Firm AUM.
10
40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
Average
13.6%
10.0%
0.0%
Mar-04
Jun-04
Sep-04
Dec-04
Mar-05
Jun-05
Sep-05
Dec-05
Mar-06
Jun-06
Sep-06
Dec-06
Mar-07
Jun-07
Sep-07
Dec-07
Mar-08
Jun-08
Sep-08
Dec-08
Mar-09
Jun-09
Sep-09
Dec-09
Mar-10
Jun-10
Sep-10
Dec-10
Mar-11
Jun-11
Sep-11
Dec-11
Mar-12
Jun-12
Sep-12
Dec-12
Mar-13
Jun-13
Sep-13
Dec-13
Mar-14
Jun-14
Sep-14
Dec-14
-10.0%
(1) Prior to October 31, 2014, free cash was calculated as total cash held less the market value of equity short positions less the notional value of equity swap positions.
From and after October 31, 2014, free cash" represents total cash held (including cash equivalents) less certain items, which may include the following: (i) cash and
cash equivalents subject to a security interest, lien or other encumbrances (this could include cash and cash equivalents in an account subject to a control
agreement); (ii) cash in the amount that borrowings from the relevant lender exceed collateral otherwise provided to that lender; (iii) the notional cost of certain
derivatives; and (iv) certain short-term payables.
11
14
Goals
Results
15
PSH
Private Phase
$3.0bn NAV
conversion
Cornerstone
and
Public Raise
during IPO
$2.8bn
PS International
Rollover
$212.5mm
Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd.
$6.2bn NAV
Management
Private Phase Investor
(10-year lock-up)
$83.9mm
Management
IPO Purchases
(10-year lock-up)
$128.6mm
16
2.4%
13.7%
3.2%
34.6%
Permanent Capital
36.2%
GP and Affiliates
10.0%
Date
12/31/14
3/31/15
6/30/15
9/30/15
Total
% of Private Funds
Redeemable
% of Total AUM
Redeemable
15.40%
9.21%
15.41%
9.22%
12.22%
7.31%
13.63%
8.16%
56.7%
33.9%
40% reduction
19
2014 Highlights
2014 was a year marked by strong returns continued value
creation by our portfolio companies which we expect to be further
enhanced by permanent capital
Allergan Inc.
At investment inception, ~$37bn market cap specialty
pharmaceutical company
Leader in aesthetics, dermatology, and ophthalmology
In February 2014, Pershing Square formed JV with
Valeant to assist in Allergan merger
Between February 25th and April 21st, Pershing
Square acquired stock and options representing 9.7%
of Allergan at an average cost of $128/share
representing 28% of Pershing Squares capital at cost
On April 22nd, Valeant and Pershing Square announced
an unsolicited offer to acquire Allergan for $153 per
share, a 40% premium to Allergans unaffected stock
price
On November 17th, Allergan agreed to sell to Actavis
for $219 per share in cash and stock representing a
75% premium to Pershing Squares initial purchase
23
Limited downside
We invested in Allergan at a valuation that reflected the fair value
of the business, assuming no improvements in operations or a
transaction
24
Allergan
Valeant invested the HSR limit of $75.9mm and Pershing
Square contributed the balance of the required capital
25
Stock price
2/25/14: Pershing
Square purchases first
Allergan shares at ~$125
per share
$224
Note: The performance of AGNs stock price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
27
struggle to make it? Who wants to bring their family into an eventual deception?
Over the past 10 months, four independent directors, including the Lead Director and chair
of the Audit Committee, have resigned. Director and Chairmans Club member Pedro
Cardoso is under indictment in Brazil for financial crimes; HLF claims it was unaware of
the charges and has not disclosed the indictment in its SEC filings
________________________________________________
Sources: SEC & FTC websites; HLF 2005 10K; HLF 2013 10Qs; HLF
Statement of Average Gross Compensation; HLF Sales & Marketing Plan.
29
$75
Stock price
$65
$55
2/19/13: HLF
reports 4Q12
earnings
2/28/13: Two
Icahn reps join
HLF BoD
$45
$35
1/10/13: HLF
investor pres
$25
7/31/13: Soros
reveals long
position in HLF
2/14/13: Icahn
reports 13%
HLF stake
4/9/13: KPMG
resigns as
HLF auditor
4/29/13: HLF
reports 1Q13
earnings
Note: The performance of HLFs stock price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
30
10/28/13: HLF
reports 3Q13
earnings
11/20/13: Stiritz
converts to
13D filer
11/22/13:
Pershing
Square
presents at
Robin Hood
$79
12/16/13: HLF
announces
PwC re-audit
12/3/13: Belgium
Appeals Court
decision
1/23/14: Senator
Markey calls for
HLF investigation
Stock price
$75
3/11/14: Pershing
Square Herbalife
China Presentation
7/28/14: HLF
Q2 Results
Disappoint
$65
$55
1/24/14: Activists
meet with CA AG
to discuss HLF
$45
$35
7/22/14: Pershing
Square Nutrition
Club Presentation
1/28/14: Reported
that Canadian
regulators started
HLF probe
$25
12/31/2013
4/11/14: FT
Reports DoJ, FBI
Investigation
3/12/14: Herbalife
discloses FTC
civil probe
3/31/2014
4/17/14: Press
Reports Probe
by IL & NY AG
Offices
6/30/2014
$38
9/30/2014
Note: The performance of HLFs stock price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
31
11/3/14: HLF Q3
Results
Disappoint
12/31/2014
Stock price
$75
$65
$55
$45
$35
$31
$25
5/1/2012
8/1/2013 11/1/2013 2/1/2014
5/1/2014
8/1/2012 11/1/2012 2/1/2013
5/1/2013
Note: The performance of HLFs stock price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
32
8/1/2014
11/1/2014
Q3
2013A
YoY Volume Points Growth (%)
North America
Mexico
South & Central America
EMEA
Asia Pacific
China
Worldwide
14%
2014A
13%
13%
12%
9%
10%
9%
4%
32%
19%
(3%)
71%
13%
(4%)
(0%)
(17%)
15%
3%
24%
0%
8%
(13%)
(4%)
(48%)
(5%)
6%
(47%)
(12%)
6%
5%
4%
2%
0%
0.0%
(2%)
(2%)
(4%)
Q3'13
________________________________________________
Source: Herbalife financial statements. Q4E based on the midpoint or Herbalife guidance as reported November 3rd, 2014.
33
Q4'13
Q1'14
Q2'14
Q3'14
Q4'E
3/31/2014
Gross Debt
6/30/2014
9/30/2014
Source: Bloomberg.
34
12/31/2014
opportunity
Source: Bloomberg.
37
5) Align rewards
38
$144
Share price
140
130
120
110
100
Jan 2014
10/30/14: APD
announces record
FY Q4 results
Jul 2014
Note: The performance of APDs share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
39
Share price
140
130
120
110
7/25/13: APD
adopts Poison
Pill
100
7/31/13: Pershing
Square 13D Filed
$143
10/30/14: APD
announces record
FY Q4 results
90
May Jun
Jul
Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Jan Feb Mar
Apr May Jun
Jul
Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Jan
2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2015
Note: The performance of APDs share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
40
Canadian Pacific
240
240
$224
220
220
200
200
180
180
160
160
4/28/14: Pershing
Square sale of 3
million shares
140
140
Jan
Jan2014
2014 Feb
Feb
2014
2014
Mar
Mar
2014
2014
AprApr
2014
2014
MayMay
20142014
Jun 2014
Jun 2014
Jul 2014
Jul 2014
Aug 2014
Aug 2014
Sep 2014
Sep Oct
2014
2014
Oct Nov
2014
2014
Nov
Dec
2014
2014
Dec
Jan
2014
2015
Note: The performance of CPs share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
44
260
240
220
200
180
160
140
120
100
10/24/13: Pershing
Square sale of 6
million shares
12/4/12: CP Analyst
Day details mid-30s
margin target by 16
10/28/11: Pershing
Square 13D Filed
4/28/14: Pershing
Square sale of 3
million shares
1/29/14: CPs 2014 guidance
calls for 30%+ EPS growth
(at 65% or better OR)
80
6/29/12: Hunter
Harrison named CEO
60
40
Sep
2011
$219
Dec
2011
Mar
2012
Jun
2012
Sep
2012
Dec
2012
Mar
2013
Jun
2013
Sep
2013
Dec
Dec
2013
2013
Note: The performance of CPs share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
45
Mar
2014
Jun
Jun
2014
2014
Sep
Sep
2014
2014
Dec
Dec
2014
2014
$39
Share price
$40
$35
$30
$25
$20
Note: The performance of Restaurant Brands Internationals share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
48
$39
Share price
$40
$35
$30
$25
$20
$15
$10
Note: The performance of Restaurant Brands Internationals share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns. Share price performance based on close
price of Burger King when-issued shares on 6/19/2012
Source: Bloomberg.
49
8/20/14: Platform
announces acquisition of
Arysta LifeScience
4/17/14: Platform
announces acquisition of
Chemtura AgroSolutions
Share price
$25
$23
$20
8/6/14: Platform
announces acquisition of
Agriphar
$15
$10
Note: The performance of Platforms share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
52
Share price
$25
$22
$20
$15
$10
$5
Note: The performance of Platforms share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
53
Zoetis Inc.
~$4.7bn 2014e revenue, largest manufacturer of
medication for pets and livestock in the world
~$22bn equity market capitalization
Split-off from Pfizer June 2013
Pershing Square began buying Zoetis shares on July 22nd
2014 and owns a 8.5% stake in the company
Passes Pershing Squares high bar for business quality
Simple, predictable, and free cash-flow generative
Highly durable and diverse product portfolio not
55
Stock price
$45
7/22/14: Pershing
Square purchases first
Zoetis shares at ~$33
per share
~$44
$40
$35
$30
$25
7/22/2014
8/22/2014
9/22/2014
10/22/2014
11/22/2014
12/22/2014
1/22/2015
Note: The performance of Zoetiss share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of future returns of the Pershing Square funds.
Source: Bloomberg.
56
Share price
$160
$150
$140
$130
$130
$120
$110
$100
Note: The performance of HHCs share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
59
Share price
$140
$120
$121
$100
$80
$60
$40
$20
$0
Note: The performance of HHCs share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
60
Share price
$6.00
$5.00
$4.00
$2.06
$2.06
$3.00
$2.00
$1.00
Fannie Mae
Freddie Mac
Note: The performance of Fannie Mae and Freddie Macs share prices is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
63
Share price
$5.00
$4.50
$4.00
$3.50
$2.17
$2.14
$3.00
$2.50
$2.00
$1.50
$1.00
Fannie Mae
Freddie Mac
Note: The performance of Fannie Mae and Freddie Macs share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
64
Exited Positions
66
$83.50
$83
$81
Stock price
$79
$77
1/13/14: Suntory
agrees to acquire
BEAM for $83.50
per share in cash
$75
$73
$71
$69
$67
$65
Note: The performance of Beams share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
(1) 5/1/14 represents the date that cash was received from Suntory in exchange for their Beam shares. 4/30/14 was the last day Beam shares traded on the NYSE.
67
1/13/14: Suntory
agrees to acquire
BEAM for $83.50
per share in cash
$80
$75
Stock price
$70
$65
$60
$55
$50
$45
$40
Note: The performance of Beams share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
(1) 5/1/14 represents the date that cash was received from Suntory in exchange for their Beam shares. 4/30/14 was the last day Beam shares traded on the NYSE.
68
$83.50
Stock price
$85
$79
$80
$75
$70
$65
Note: The performance of P&Gs share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
69
$85
Stock price
$80
$79
$75
$70
$65
$60
$55
Note: The performance of P&Gs share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
70
Stock price
$22
$21
$20
$20
$19
$18
$17
$16
$15
Note: The performance of GGPs share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
71
$35
Howard Hughes
$30
Rouse
~$35
$25
$20
$15
$0.35
$10
$5
$0
Nov-08
Nov-09
Nov-10
Nov-11
Nov-12
Nov-13
Note: The performance of GGPs share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns. GGPs share price is based on data from inception of the position
through February 4, 2014, the date that Pershing Square exited the GGP position. Please see the additional disclaimers referring to this page at the end of this presentation. Pershing Square exited the
Rouse position on February 2, 2012 and continues to hold a position in HHC.
Source: Bloomberg.
72
Organizational Update
74
Charles Korn
75
Roman Velikson
Vice President
Joined Pershing Square in June 2014
Hewitt EnnisKnupp Inc.
Cliffwater LLC
Pfizer Inc.
M.B.A., Penn State University
B.A., Villanova University
C.F.A.
Vice President
Joined Pershing Square in June 2014
Goldman, Sachs & Co.
Compass Asset Management
Morgan Stanley
M.B.A., The University of Chicago, Graduate School of Business
B.A., The University of Wisconsin-Madison
76
Director of Communications
Joined Pershing Square in August 2014
Gates Family Office
Google
Microsoft
J.C.L., Gregorian University (Rome)
M.A., University of Louvain (Belgium)
B.A., St. Thomas College
Controller
Joined Pershing Square in November 2014
PricewaterhouseCoopers, Assurance Manager
B.S., New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business
77
Technology
Eddie Miller
Operations
Naim Ibroci
Security
Joined Pershing Square in August 2014
New York City Police Department
Hunter College
78
Jenna Dabbs
Dan Carpenter
Vice Chairman
Joining Pershing Square in February 2015
Kirkland & Ellis LLP
LL.B., Yale Law School
A.B., Tufts University
Senior Counsel
Joining Pershing Square in January 2015
United States Attorneys Office, Southern District of New York
J.D., Columbia University Law School
B.A., Wesleyan University
Assistant Compliance Officer
Joining Pershing Square in February 2015
Willkie Farr & Gallagher LLP
J.D., Georgetown University Law Center
M.B.A., Simon Graduate School of Business Administration
B.S., Nyack College
81