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Germany is the world leader in exports with 9.1%, China is second
with 8.9%, followed by the US, Japan and the Netherlands
Australia has 1.2% of exports
Half of the worlds exports come from the top 10 countries
China has made rapid progress in past few years.
USA has slumped form 11.9% in 2001, to 8.1% in 2008
Types of International Financial Flows
Direct Investment- involves the purchase of a significant degree of
control (10%+) over foreign assets.
Portfolio Investment- purchasing equity in foreign assets without
gaining any significant control over the issue of these assets.
Direct has grown from 32 billion to 418 billion from 1980 to 1997
Portfolio has grown from $34 billion to $1002 billion from 1980 to
1997
This is due to deregulation of financial markets in the 80s and 90s.
International trade has expanded at roughly twice the rate of real
GDP
International direct investment has grown by 3 times the rate of
real GDP
International portfolio (equity) investment has grown 10 times the
rate of real GDP.
World private capital flows have leaped from 3% of GWP in 1978 to
32% in 2005.
85% of direct investment involved high-income countries in 1990,
the figure has fallen to 67% in 2008.
Australia saw a net inflow of $47 billion in 2008, compared $7billon
in 2003. This is due to the mining boom and foreign investors want
a piece.
Examples of financial productsFutures- a contract that you can effectively lock in the price at
which you sell of by an asset, at a set day in the future.
Options- same as future, but an option to bail out.
Swaps- a currency swap is an agreement to exchange a currency
during a specified period of time. For example swapping 100 million
Australian dollars for US dollars now and an agreement to reverse
the swap within a set period of time.
Transnational Corporations
A corporation that delivers a good or service in more than one
country
They are responsible for the bulk of direct investment as they set
up subsidiaries in other countries.
Many have a large influence on employment, production, and play a
large role in the international economy
Top 5 cities for TNCs Tokyo, Paris, Beijing, New York and London
200 (2)
400 (0.5)
Spectrum of Free tradeFree Trade Area- where a group of countries abolish trade
restrictions between themselves but retain restrictions against nonmembers. (each country is free to have its own unique tariffs set
against outsiders)
Customs Union- free trade area, but the member countries adopt a
common set of trade restrictions against all other non-members.
Called a common external tariff (CET).
Common Market- is a customs union, but also allows for the free
movement of labor and capital.
Monetary Union- is a common market, that also shares the same
currency and monetary system i.e. common central bank.
Advantages of trade Agreements (EU- monetary union)
Reduced transactional costs by using single currency to do all
business, estimated at 1% of GDP in EU. (eliminates exchange
fees)
Elimination of exchange rate uncertainty increases investment
across boarders
Price transparency- easy to compare prices across boarders.
Should increase competition and lower prices and inflation in the
EU zone.
Disadvantages
Loss of national currency controls. Reckless behavior by Greece
saw the Euro lose value for all other nations.
Loss of monetary policy as a tool to solve specific issues in your
domestic economy. (The European Central Bank will make
decisions on the basis of the whole European economic situation,
not just your own country)
Difficult to reach consensus on decisions.
Free Trade Area- Are They Beneficial to World Trade?
Trading blocs are beneficial to world growth if trade created within
regions is larger than the amount of trade that is diverted because
of the blocs.
Trading Bloc- A type of intergovernmental agreement where the
regional barriers to trade are reduced or eliminated for participating
members
Members
EU
Most of Europe
Influence on world
economy
21% of total world
output.
Largest importer.
161 0f largest 500
corporations based in
EU
Advantages
Reduced transactional
costs by using single
currency to do all
business, estimated at
1% of GDP in EU.
(eliminates exchange
fees)
Elimination of exchange
rate uncertainty
increases investment
across boarders
Price transparency- easy
to compare prices across
boarders. Should
increase competition and
lower prices and inflation
in the EU zone.
Disadvantages
APEC
Pacific Rim
ASEAN
Association of
South East
Asian Nations
(south east
Asia)
USA, Canada,
Mexico
NAFTA
Loss of national
currency controls.
Reckless behavior by
Greece saw the Euro
lose value for all other
nations.
Loss of monetary
policy as a tool to
solve specific issues in
your domestic
economy. (The
European Central
Bank will make
decisions on the basis
of the whole European
economic situation,
not just your own
country)
Difficult to reach
consensus on
decisions.
Uruguay Round- worked to decrease tariffs and subsidies, to
increase world trade.
Doha Round- Further cuts to tariffs, but also gave developing
countries more access to free trade.
International Monetary Fund
Improve international financial stability. 5 main responsibilities:
1. Promoting international monetary cooperation.
2. Facilitating expansion of international trade
3. Promoting exchange rate stability
4. Supporting multilateral payments system
5. Making resources available for member countries
Three main influences.
Surveillance of global economy and member economies.
Technical Assistance- especially for low-income economies. Fiscal
and monetary policy advice.
Lending- at low interest rates to help countries meet their
international payments, and reduce poverty.
Global Financial Crisis- lending money to developing countries,
who had no access to private funds. Boosted global liquidity by
increasing the amount of Special Drawing Rights to members.
Provided financial assistance countries in times of disasters
(tsunami)
World Bank
Long-term development projects in emerging countries.
Influence economies to donate, to help them achieve their
objectives. Ability to give aid to countries in need
Aid programs etc.
United Nations
Efforts for peace, human rights, democracy, strong governance,
environmental sustainability and eradication of poverty.
Peacekeeping, getting nations to work together for the benefit of
humanity.
Aid programs for developing nations, Millennium Development
goals.
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
Sustainable economic and employment growth and raising living
standards in member countries, while promoting world
development.
Contains the biggest economies of the world
Used monetary and fiscal stimulus to reduce effects of the GFC
Protectionism
In reality this rarely happens as they are immune from
competition and never have to innovate and always suffer from
inefficiency.
2. Protects Domestic Employment
If protection was reduced unemployment would rise. Increases in
protection therefore should reduce unemployment.
In the short term this appears to be true. Protection does save
Australian Jobs.
The problem is, by exporting less, trading partners will see a rise
in their unemployment figures.
In the long run, reductions in protection have potential to create
more jobs as those structurally unemployed workers retrain in
more efficient areas. Having workers in jobs that are inefficient is
bad for Australian growth.
3. Dumping Argument
Dumping refers to selling a product in a foreign market at a price
below its cost of production. It is usually a temporary
phenomenon used to dispose of surplus stock.
It undermines the prices of local producers and can put them out
of business.
4. Defence
Need to ensure that Australia can still provide protection for itself
in terms of war. This means we should retain industries such as
ship building, aircraft construction and communications.
Note this is not an economic argument, it is a military argument.
Method of Protection and Effects on Domestic and Global Economies
Tariff Diagram
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Subsidy Diagram
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Focus on capturing foreign markets rather than protecting imports.
Provides an artificial advantage to exporting firms overseas.
E.g. Export Market Development Grants
Considered part of protection because it restricts free trade by
giving domestic producers an unfair advantage.
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domestic governments are not able to spend money on pressing
issues such as health and education.
Global Aid and Assistance- only 0.3% of GDP of rich nations is given
as aid (0.7% was promised, difference between money promised
and money delivered was 4 trillion). Reductions in aid have been
caused by the recession. In addition, most aid is phantom aid and
does not help standards of living. Most American aid is given to aid
war efforts in Afghanistan and Iraq.
Global Technology Flows- Technology is geared towards the needs
of high income nations (health needs in rich nations sorted before
needs of poor nations). Poor nations also cannot afford the
technology that would help them.
Domestic Factors
Natural Resources- countries have different levels and quality of
resources, countries with an abundance have an advantage.
Labor Supply and Quality- low income nations have poorly educated
work force. Heath issues also reduce supply of labor.
Access to Capital and Indebtness- low savings rate, less money for
investment and capital goods. Businesses in poor economies cannot
find funds to expand.
Entrepreneurial Culture- low innovation in poor nations
Political and Economic Institutions- political instability and
corruption undermines investor confidence (corruption index:
Somalia 1.1)
Government Responses to Globalization- policies relating to trade ,
investment flows, TNCs and participation will influence an
economies ability to take advantage of globalization.
Impact of Globalization
Economic Growth
East Asia and Pacific 8.7% (China 10.5%)
South Asia 6.3% (India growing at approx 6.8%)
Europe + Central Asia (soviet states) 6.8%
Middle East 4.2% (Egypt 4.5%)
Sub-Saharan Africa 3.6% (Sudan 6.5% ,not enough to catch up)
Latin America 3.9% (Brazil and Argentina 3-4%)
High Income Economies staying around 1-2%
Globalization has led to increased economic growth
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Advantages of globalization- allows for countries to specialize in
certain types of production (export what they produce, and import
goods and services in which they are inefficient). Also allows
nations to benefit from the growth of other economies
Disadvantages- a recession in one economy will affect global
economy (example of GFC), increased reliance on solid domestic
policy setting
Case Study-Brazil
Economic Growth
Statistics- 2-3% growth during 90s, increasing to 4% in 2009.
Increasing to 7% after the GFC
Economic Linkage- Globalisation begun during the 1980s as Brazil
borrowed funds from overseas to finance their industrialisation
process. This increase of funds (especially FDI), through the
deregulation of financial markets, helped increase economic activity.
However the economic issues of stagflation (inflation coupled with
unemployment) and foreign debt in the 80s, and protection of
trade kept growth moderate as investors preferred the fast growing
Asian region. The policy of pegging the Brazilian currency against
the US dollar helped stabilise the economy, coupled with the
liberalisation of trade, aided faster growth during the 90s and early
00s, becoming a hotspot for FDI. An early recovery from the
recession, sound economic policy, increased wages leading to more
consumption and the prospects of the World Cup and Olympics have
further increased growth, predicted at 7%.
Economic Development
Statistics- 0.813 HDI, 0.7s in 80s. Literacy rate from 82% (1990)
to 90%. Life expectancy 67 (1990) to 73. GDP per capita 5000 to
10 000.
Economic Linkages- Globalisation has increased economic growth
and therefore employment and wages, effecting economic
development in two ways. Firstly, people are now able to provide
for themselves and live above the poverty line (high demand for
labor put workers in a better bargaining position with wages).
Secondly, with more people in jobs, earning higher wages, the
government will receive more income tax revenue and company tax
revenue and therefore be able to provide better service in education
and health. This has resulted in higher literacy rates, life expectancy
and GDP per capita, thus increasing Brazils score on the HDI.
Unemployment
Statistics- 8.1%. 10-20% in 80s
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