Ieotab 3

Reference case projections
Table A3. World petroleum and other liquids consumption by region and end-use sector, Reference case, 2010-40
(quadrillion Btu)
History
Region
Projections
Average annual
percent change,
2010-40
2010
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
Residential
1.1
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.7
-1.8
Commercial
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.1
Industrial
8.1
9.6
9.9
10.1
10.1
10.1
0.7
26.9
25.6
24.7
23.9
23.7
23.7
-0.4
0.4
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
-2.5
37.2
36.9
36.3
35.7
35.4
35.4
-0.2
Residential
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
-0.2
Commercial
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
-0.1
Industrial
1.7
1.8
1.8
1.8
1.7
1.6
-0.1
Transportation
2.4
2.5
2.4
2.4
2.3
2.4
0.0
Electricity
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-1.0
Total
4.3
4.6
4.5
4.4
4.3
4.3
-0.1
Residential
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.1
Commercial
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
Industrial
1.1
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.5
1.5
0.9
Transportation
2.7
3.2
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.5
0.9
Electricity
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
-1.0
Total
4.7
5.3
5.5
5.5
5.5
5.7
0.7
Residential
2.1
1.9
1.8
1.8
1.7
1.7
-0.7
Commercial
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.7
-0.8
Industrial
9.6
9.4
9.6
9.9
10.1
10.2
0.2
17.7
16.8
16.6
16.3
16.1
16.3
-0.3
OECD
United States
Transportation
Electricity
Total
Canada
Mexico/Chile
OECD Europe
Transportation
Electricity
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.3
-0.9
30.6
29.3
29.2
29.1
28.9
29.1
-0.2
Residential
0.6
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.4
-1.1
Commercial
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.5
-0.7
Industrial
3.6
3.9
4.0
3.9
3.8
3.6
0.0
Transportation
3.7
3.2
3.1
2.9
2.7
2.6
-1.2
Electricity
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.4
-1.0
Total
9.0
8.7
8.5
8.2
7.9
7.5
-0.6
Total
Japan
See notes at end of table.
(continued on page 28)

U.S. Energy Information Administration | International Energy Outlook 2014
27
Appendix A
(continued) (quadrillion Btu)
History
Region
Projections
Average annual
percent change,
2010-40
2010
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
Residential
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
-0.1
Commercial
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
-0.6
Industrial
2.5
2.8
2.7
2.6
2.5
2.3
-0.2
Transportation
1.8
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.3
2.3
1.0
Electricity
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
-1.0
Total
4.6
5.3
5.3
5.2
5.1
5.0
0.3
Residential
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.3
Commercial
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.2
Industrial
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
-0.2
Transportation
1.6
1.7
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.7
0.3
Electricity
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.9
Total
2.2
2.3
2.3
2.3
2.3
2.3
0.2
4.3
3.8
3.7
3.6
3.4
3.3
-0.9
OECD (continued)
South Korea
Australia/New Zealand
Total OECD
Residential
Commercial
2.6
2.5
2.4
2.4
2.3
2.3
-0.4
Industrial
27.2
29.4
30.0
30.3
30.2
29.8
0.3
Transportation
56.6
55.1
53.8
52.6
52.1
52.5
-0.3
1.9
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.4
1.3
-1.2
92.6
92.4
91.4
90.3
89.4
89.3
-0.1
Residential
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
-0.7
Commercial
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
-1.5
Industrial
2.7
2.7
2.6
2.7
2.7
2.4
-0.3
Transportation
2.9
3.5
3.4
3.4
3.3
3.2
0.4
Electricity
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
-1.0
Total
6.0
6.7
6.5
6.5
6.4
6.0
0.0
Residential
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
-0.1
Commercial
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
-0.4
Industrial
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.2
-0.6
Transportation
2.0
2.9
3.1
3.4
3.6
3.9
2.3
Electricity
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
-1.0
Total
3.7
4.6
4.7
4.9
5.2
5.4
1.2
Electricity
Total
Non-OECD
Russia
Other Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia

28
Reference case projections
History
Region
Projections
Average annual
percent change,
2010-40
2010
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
Residential
1.2
1.2
1.1
1.0
1.0
0.9
-0.9
Commercial
1.1
1.0
1.0
1.0
0.9
0.9
-0.7
Industrial
8.4
9.5
10.0
11.1
11.9
12.2
1.3
Transportation
8.4
15.0
17.9
21.6
24.7
27.2
4.0
Non-OECD (continued)
China
Electricity
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-1.0
19.1
26.8
30.0
34.7
38.6
41.2
2.6
Residential
0.9
1.1
1.0
1.0
1.0
0.9
-0.1
Commercial
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Industrial
3.2
3.6
4.0
4.6
5.2
5.7
2.0
Transportation
2.3
3.8
4.7
5.4
6.2
7.1
3.8
Electricity
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
-0.9
Total
6.6
8.7
10.0
11.3
12.5
13.9
2.5
Residential
0.5
0.5
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.7
0.6
Commercial
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.4
1.1
Industrial
4.8
5.9
7.1
8.5
10.1
11.8
3.1
Transportation
8.2
11.1
13.2
15.2
17.5
20.4
3.1
Electricity
1.1
1.1
1.0
1.0
0.9
0.9
-0.8
14.9
18.9
22.2
25.7
29.5
34.2
2.8
Residential
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.6
-0.5
Commercial
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.6
Industrial
3.8
5.2
5.8
7.2
8.6
10.1
3.3
Transportation
5.8
7.6
8.1
8.5
8.8
9.2
1.5
Electricity
3.4
3.4
3.3
3.1
3.0
2.8
-0.6
13.8
17.1
18.0
19.6
21.1
22.9
1.7
Residential
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.9
0.7
Commercial
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.5
Industrial
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.9
2.2
2.4
1.5
Transportation
3.7
4.8
5.4
6.2
7.2
8.5
2.8
Electricity
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.6
-0.8
Total
6.9
8.0
8.7
9.7
11.0
12.6
2.0
Total
India
Other Non-OECD Asia
Total
Middle East
Total
Africa

29
Appendix A
History
Region
Projections
Average annual
percent change,
2010-40
2010
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
Residential
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.1
Commercial
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
Industrial
2.0
2.3
2.2
2.4
2.8
3.2
1.4
Transportation
2.9
3.7
3.9
4.2
4.5
4.9
1.8
Electricity
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
-0.9
Total
5.4
6.4
6.6
7.1
7.7
8.5
1.5
Residential
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.1
Commercial
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.7
Industrial
2.1
2.1
2.1
2.3
2.5
2.7
1.0
Transportation
3.4
4.2
4.4
4.7
4.9
5.2
1.4
Electricity
1.0
1.0
0.9
0.9
0.8
0.8
-0.9
Total
6.9
7.7
7.8
8.2
8.6
9.2
0.9
5.1
5.3
5.1
5.1
5.0
5.0
-0.1
Non-OECD (continued)
Brazil
Other Central and South America
Total Non-OECD
Residential
Commercial
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.8
-0.1
Industrial
29.8
34.2
36.8
41.9
47.0
51.8
1.9
Transportation
39.6
56.6
64.3
72.6
80.7
89.6
2.8
6.9
6.8
6.4
6.2
5.9
5.6
-0.7
83.3
104.8
114.5
127.6
140.5
153.8
2.1
Residential
9.5
9.2
8.8
8.6
8.5
8.3
-0.4
Commercial
4.5
4.4
4.3
4.2
4.2
4.1
-0.3
Industrial
57.0
63.7
66.8
72.2
77.3
81.6
1.2
Transportation
96.2
111.7
118.1
125.3
132.8
142.1
1.3
Electricity
Total
Total World
Electricity
Total
8.8
8.3
7.9
7.6
7.2
6.9
-0.8
176.0
197.2
206.0
217.9
229.9
243.1
1.1
Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding.
Sources: 2010: Derived from U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2013),
www.eia.gov/ies; and International Energy Agency, Balances of OECD and Non-OECD Statistics (2013), www.iea.org (subscription site).
Projections: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2014, DOE/EIA-0383(2014) (Washington, DC: April 2014), AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System,
run REF2014.D102413A, www.eia.gov/aeo; and World Energy Projection System Plus (2014), run 2014.03.21_100505 (Reference case).
30

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Reference case projections

See notes at end of table.

(continued on page 28)

Other Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia

See notes at end of table.

(continued on page 29)

U.S. Energy Information Administration | International Energy Outlook 2014

Reference case projections

Other Non-OECD Asia

See notes at end of table.

(continued on page 30)

Other Central and South America

U.S. Energy Information Administration | International Energy Outlook 2014

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