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FINAL EXAMINATION
COURSE
APPLIED STATISTICS
COURSE CODE
BUM2413IBSU1023/BCT20531BPF3313/
BKU20321BAM3022/BMM2122
LECTURER
DATE
2 JANUARY 2013
DURATION
3 HOURS
SESSION/SEMESTER :
PROGRAMME CODE :
BSB/BSK/BAAJBAEIBCNIBCGIBCSIBPP/
BPTIBPSIBFFIBFMJBKCIBKG/BKB/BMM/
BMI/BMBIBMF/BMA/BEE/BEP/BEC
INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
1.
2.
3.
4.
This question paper consists of EIGHT (8) questions. Answer all questions.
All answers to a new question should start on a new page.
All the calculations and assumptions must be clearly stated.
Candidates are not allowed to bring any material other than those allowed by
the invigilator into the examination room.
EXAMINATION REQUIREMENTS:
1.
2.
Statistical Table
Scientific Calculator
BSB[BSKIBAAIBAEIBCN/BCGIBCS/BPPIBPTIBPSIBFF/BFMI
BKCKGKBIBMMIBMI[BMBIBMFIBMAIBEEIBEP/BEC/
12131 BUM2413JBSUlO23/BCT2O53/BPF33l3fBKU2032fBAM30221IMM2lZ2
CONFIDENTIAL
QUESTION 1
Define the terms statistic and parameter.
(2 Marks)
QUESTION 2
The breaking strength of hockey stick shafts (in Newtons) made of two different
graphite-Keviar composites are given in Table 1.
Table 1: Breaking strength of hockey stick shafts
Composite A
487.3
444.5
467.7
456.3
449.7
459.2
478.9
461.5
477.2
488.5
501.2
475.3
467.2
462.5
499.7
470.0
469.5
481.5
485.2
509.3
479.3
478.0
Composite B
(a)
Find the sample means and variances for the data above.
(4 Marks)
(b)
Find a 99% confidence interval for the standard deviation of the breaking strength
for Composite A.
(5 Marks)
(c)
CONFIDENTIAL
BSBIBSKBAA/BAE/BCN/BCG/BCSIBPPIBPT/BPSIBFFIBFMJ
BKCIBKGIBKB1BMMIBMIIBMBIBMFIBMAIBEEIBEPIBEC/
1213I/BUM2413fBSU1O23fBCT2O53fBPF33131BKU2032/BAM3022MM2l22
QUESTION 3
A study is conducted to compare the efficacy of medicine X to treat major depression.
200 outpatients were involved in the study that had been diagnosed with major
depression. The patients were equally assigned to two groups randomly. One of the
groups received the treatment with medicine X, and the other group received placebo (no
treatment). After eight weeks, 19 of the placebo-treated patients showed improvement,
whereas 27 of those treated with medicine X had improved.
(a)
(b)
Based on the information given, is there any evidence to believe that medicine X
has no effect in treating major depression at a 0.05?
(9 Marks)
'I
BSB/BSKIBAAIBAE/BCNIBCG[BCSIBPPIBPTIBPS/BFFIBFW
BKC/BKG/BMMTBMIJBMBIBMFIBMA1BEEIBEPIBEC/
121311BUM24131BSU1023/BCT20531BPF33131BKU2032/BAM30221BMM2122
CONFIDENTIAL
QUESTION 4
Table 2 gives the results of an experiment for niacin-contents in peeled and processed
peas. There are three process of granulations (A, B and C) and two kinds of preparations
(Ri and R2) involved in the experiment.
Table 2: Niacin-contents
Granulations
Preparations
(a)
Ri
190 171
150 136
146 172
R2
107 115
135 138
97 112
(b)
(c)
CONFIDENTIAL
BSBSAAAEIBCN/BCG/BCSIBPPIBPTIBPSJBFFIBFMJ
BKCKGKB/BMMIBMIIBMBIBMF1BMAJBEEIBEPIBEC/
12131/BUM2413JBSUIO23/BCT2053/BPF33131BKU20321BAM3022/BMM2122
QUESTION 5
A study is conducted to investigate the relationship between blood pressure rise and
sound pressure level. The data of the study are given in Table 3.
Table 3: Blood and sound pressure levels
Blood pressure rise
(mmHg)
Sound pressure level
(dB)
(a)
60
63
65
70
70
80
90
80
(b)
(c)
Estimate the regression coefficients and hence write the equation of the estimated
regression line.
(5 Marks)
(d)
Find the predicted mean rise in blood pressure level associated with a sound
pressure level of 100 decibels.
(1 Mark)
BSBIBSK/BAA/BAEIBCN/BCG/BCS/BPPIBPTIBPSIBFFIBFMI
BKCIBKGIBKBIBMMIBMI/BMBIBMFIBMAIBEEIBEP/BEC/
1213I1BUM2413IBSU1O23/BCT20531BPF33131BKU20321BAM30221BMM2122
CONFIDENTIAL
QUESTION 6
A study is conducted to investigate the factors that influence the level of mercury
contamination in 25 different lakes. Water samples were collected from the surface of the
middle of each lake. The alkalinity, pH level, the amount of calcium (mg/1) and
chlorophyll (mg/1) were measured in each sample. Then, a multiple regression analysis is
conducted to identify the factors that significantly influence the mercury level as shown
in the Excel output below.
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
0.72157
Multiple R
0.52067
RSquare
0.42480
Adjusted R Square
0.29177
Standard Error
25
Observations
ANOVA
SS
df
4
20
24
Regression
Residual
Total
Intercept
Alkalinity
PH
Calcium
Chlorophyll
Significance F
F
MS
0.0040
1.8495 0.4624 5.4312
1.7026 0.0851
3.5521
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
- 2.3399
0.2731
23399
0.2731
0.4954 2.6373 0.0158
1.3065
0.0097
-0.0133
0.0097
-0.0133
0.0055,-0.3302 0.7447
-0.0018
0.1001,
-0.2581
0.1001
-0.2581
0.0858 -0.9202 0.3684,
-0.0790
0.0121
-0.0143
0.0121
-0.0143
0.0063 -0.1687. 0.8677
-0.0011
0.0050
-0.0116
0.0050
-0.0116
0.0040 -0.8388 1 0.4115
-0.0033
Based on the given Excel output of the multiple regression analysis, answer the
following:
(a)
(b)
n.
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BKC/BKGIBKBIBMMIBMI/BMB/BMFIBMAIBEEIBEP[BEC/
121311BUM24131BSU1023/BCT2053/BPF33131BKU2032/BAM30221BMM2122
CONFIDENTIAL
(c)
(d)
Predict the level of mercury contamination when alkalinity and pH level are both
at level 2 while 10 mg/l of calcium and 5 mg/l of chlorophyll are measured.
(3 Marks)
(e)
Test the hypothesis for the regression model based on the given ANOVA table at
5%
significance level.
(4 Marks)
QUESTION 7
According to the statistics of the Department of Transportation, the arrival performance
by the airlines is shown in Table 4.
Table 4: Percentage of arrival performance
Percentage of Time
Arrival Performance
On-time arrival
71
Delayed
12
A sample of 200 flights for a major airline company showed that 125 planes arrived
on-time, 10 were delayed, 25 were behind the schedule and the remainder are due to
other reasons. At a = 0.001, do the results differ from the statistics of the Department of
Transportation?
(8 Marks)
BSB/BSK/BAAIBAE/BCN/BCGIBCSIBPP/BPTIBPSIBFFIBFM/
BKCIBKGIBKB/BMMIBMIIBMB/BMF/BMAIBEEIBEP/BEC/
121311BUM24131BSU10231BCT20531BPF33131BKU2032111AM30221BM M2 122
CONFIDENTIAL
QUESTION 8
The sugar concentrations in apple juice measured at 20' C were reported in an article of
Food Testing & Analysis for 50 readings in the frequency distribution table below.
1.0-1.2
1.3-1.5
1.6-1.8
1.9-2.1
15
15
10
I
10
At 2.5% level of significance, is there any evidence to support the assumption that the
sugar concentration is normally distributed when 1u = 1.5 and o = 0.5?
(11 Marks)
1
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BKCIBKG/BKBIBMMIBMIIBMBIBMFIBMAIBEEIBEPIBEC/
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CONFIDENTIAL
XZai27= , X+Z7=J
- Z
-
,X+
X -
/[
___
Ziest
Ztest
rJ
Xf1
L\X_ta/2v_I=
, X+t1
sjfl
test
ijfl)
v=n-1
where
p-
_(-2)-0
X-1
22
Ziest -
(Yi- X2 ) Za/2
+
For a ^
For a ^ cry:
f
(
I
For a ^
(x
Ztest
2\
12
1S 1
I
_X2 )Zai2!_+1 I
vni fl2)
12
'2
Vi
^
For U12
a:
_(i-2)-u0
____
(
_(-2)o
X2 ) tai2 v
I ( x1
L
test
12
Is1
V2i
2\2
S2
4J+
fl2)
Vhhi
Is1
2'\2
L
1+l
where
flJ
2
S1
2 1
n1 -1
n2-1
where v
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n)
n1-1
y2
2
n2-1
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I213IIBUM24i3IBSUlO23fBCT2O53IBPF3313fBKU2O32IBAM3O221BMi22
CONFIDENTIAL
For o =or 2
Forcr =o:
(-)--,u
Zte
2)Zai2
fl
+ -1-2 ]
pn1
For a = U2:
For o- =
_(-2),uo
__
-)c,2
where
ttest -
SP\/__+_
V = fl + fl 2
, 1
'n1
v =
where
fl
+ n2 2
Pooled estimator, s
- f(n-1)s+(n2-1)s
n+n2-2
PD
XD -9
T' XD + Za//2Jn
XD PD
(XD_Za/7,XD+Za/TJ
test
SD
[ XD
- ta/,,..1
7=,
where v=n-1
I'Fn
X + t/,,1
Ztest=ff0)
p+ai2(1
J
Hypothesis testing for if1 - if2
(p1_p2)r0
O, Ztest
K2
[(Pi_P)Za/2if1(1_if1)+ff2(1_if2)
If
if
0,
Ztest
FPP
where pp=
10
7C2
+ x2
(l)[-+_J
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CONFIDENTIAL
Z1a/2,v
(n1)s2
2
0.0
v=n-1
where
0.2
0.2
S12
1
'
22
2
S 2 far,vi ,v,
where
faI2,v 2
V1
v1 = n 1
V2
Jest -
2
S2
Sample sizes
[Zai2OJ
n=p(l_p)(J
One-way ANOVA
SST
=xk_+ x.2
ar
SST =
x2
'
x2
N"
SSA =
br
f 2
'" abr
x2 -
ar
r11j1
E. =
n.'
xn.
k(QE)2
Ej
Zt2est
11
%I
''
where v = (r - 1)(c 1)
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121311BUM2413/BSUIO23IBCT2O53JBPF3313[BKU2032/BAM30221BMM2122
CONFIDENTIAL
(XI)(YIJ
.JSXS)Y
I
Sx ''
SYY
1=1
fl
1=1
where
and
/3j =
fl =j7 -
fl0 =0
t.
[J2
Xi
_I,81=
_A-1s
0
-
s.e(flo)MS
1+
t.
s.e(/)
S)
r
MSR- 1
vn-2
v=n-2
Sum_of Squares___Regression,_
SSR
MS
SSR=/3ISXY
12
Res_L _n-2