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Characteristic Line:
A line that describes the relationship between an individual securitys returns
and returns on the market portfolio. The slope of this line is beta.
Formula:
where:
i is called the asset's alpha (abnormal return)
i(RM,t Rf) is a nondiversifiable or systematic risk
i,t is the non-systematic or diversifiable, non-market or idiosyncratic risk
RM,t is a market risk
Rf is a risk-free rate
The monthly returns are calculated as:
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Beta:
An index of systematic risk.It measures the sensitivity of a stocks returns to
changes in returns on the market portfolio.The beta for a portfolio is simply a
weighted average of the individual stock betas in the portfolio.
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R
j= Rt + ( R m Rt)j
Rj is the required rate of return for stock j,
Rf is the risk-free rate of return,
bj is the beta of stock j (measures systematic risk of stock j),
RM is the expected return for the market portfolio.
For exaple:
Rj= 0.08 + (0.13- 0.08)(1.3) = 14.5%
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Ticker symbol:
A unique, letter caharacter code name assigned to securities and mutual
funds. It is often used in newspapers and price quotation services. This
shorthand
method
of
identification
was
originally
developed
in
the
Adjusted beta:
An estimate of a securitys future beta that involves modifying the security
historical (measured) beta owing to the assumption that the securitys beta
has a tendency to move over time toward the everage beta for the market or
the company industory.
Returns and stock prices:
The capital asset pricing model provides us a means by which to estimate
the required rate of return on a security. This return can then be used as the
discount rate in a dividend valuation model. You will recall that the intrinsic
value of a share of stock can be expressed as the present value of the
stream of expected future dividends. That is
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t=1
Dt
( 1+ ke ) t
V=
Dt
keg
Where g is the expected annual future growth rate in dividends per share.
Furthermore, assume that Savance Corporation expected dividend in period
1 is $2 per share and that expected annual growth rate in dividends per
share is 10 percent. We determined that the required rate of return for
Savance was 14.5 percent. On the basis of these expectations, the value of
stock is:
V=
$ 2.00
(0.1450.10)
= $44.44
After
0.08
0.07
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R
m
Savance beta, j
0.13
1.30
0.10
0.11
1.20
0.09
The required rate of return for Savance stock, based on systematic risk,
becomes
R
j= Rt + ( R m Rt)j
R
j= 0.07 + (0.11 0.07)(1.20) = 11.8%
Using this rate as ke, the value of stock is
V=
$ 2.00
0.1180.09
= $71.43
Thus the combination of these events causes the value of the stock to
increase from $44.44 to $71.43 per share. If the expectation of these events
represented the market consensus, $71.43 would also be the equilibrium
price. Thus the equilibrium price of a stock can change very quickly as
expectations in the marketplace change.