Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Topic assessment
1.
1928
1940
1943
1897
1939
1924
1866
1978
1964
1944
1942
1992
1996
32.3
26.6
30.4
31.9
33.8
29.6
28.4
Assuming that the underlying standard deviation has not changed, test at the 0.1%
level whether the mean time taken to make a souvenir has decreased after the
training course.
[8]
3.
Psychologists are developing a new index of overall intelligence for 11-year old
children. It is assumed that the index is Normally distributed over the whole
underlying population and that the standard deviation of this distribution is 12. If
the index has been created correctly, its mean over the population should be 50.
The index is measured for a random sample of 100 11-year old children. It is
found that the sample mean value is 47.8. Test the hypothesis that the true mean
of the index is 50, against the alternative that it is not 50, at the 1% level of
significance.
[8]
4.
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Successful at first
attempt
Successful after more
Transmission
than one attempt
Not successful
at all
Commercial
user
Government
department
University
100
57
23
21
14
13
31
21
20
(i) State the null and alternative hypotheses under examination in the usual
test applied to this contingency table.
[2]
5.
[12]
[4]
Age
< 30
30
Level of interest
Great
Little
49
216
145
435
(i) Carry out the usual test for independence, at the 5% significance level,
stating carefully the null and alternative hypotheses and briefly discussing
the conclusions.
[12]
At a later stage in the survey, a random sample of 1327 people was taken in
towns which had directly elected mayors. These people were classified similarly,
with the following results.
Age
< 30
30
Level of interest
Great
Little
118
314
260
635
(ii) The organisation that commissioned the survey then asked whether, for
people under the age of 30, the level of interest in local elections is
independent of whether or not there is a locally elected mayor. Using the data
in the tables above, write down the 2 2 table, including its margins, to be
analysed.
[4]
(iii) Explain why the usual test might not be appropriate for the 2 2 table you
have written down in part (ii).
[2]
Total 60 marks
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29124
1941.6
15
z
1941.6 1930
1.6045
28 15
EITHER:
Test statistic
Right-hand tail so critical value at 5% level =
1(0.95) = 1.645
Critical region is z > 1.645
1.6045 < 1.645 so accept H0: there is not
sufficient evidence to suggests that the mean
volume is greater than 1930 litres, so a 2000-litre
tank should be specified.
OR:
1941.6 1930
28/ 15
1 1.6045
1
OR:
1 0.9457
P(X 1941.6) 0.0543
0.0543 > 0.05, so accept H0: there is not sufficient
evidence to suggests that the mean volume is
greater than 1930 litres, so a 2000-litre tank
should be specified.
[8]
2. H0: = 34
H1: < 34
where is the population mean time taken in minutes
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248.4
31.05
8
31.05 34
3.209
2.6 8
EITHER:
Test statistic
Lefthand tail so critical value at 0.1% level
1(0.001)
1(0.999) 3.090
Critical region is z < -3.090
-3.209 < -3.090, so reject H0: there is evidence to
suggest that the craftsmans mean time to make
a souvenir has decreased.
OR:
2.6/ 8
3.209
OR:
1 (3.209)
1 0.9993
P(X < 31.05) 0.0007
0.0007 < 0.001 so reject H0: there is evidence to
suggest that the craftsmans mean time to make
a souvenir has decreased.
[8]
3. H0: = 50
H1: 50
where is the population mean value of the index.
x 47.8
47.8 50
1.8333
12/ 100
EITHER:
Test statistic
Two tail test at 1% significance so each tail is
0.5%
z
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OR:
is 0.5%
Successful
at first
attempt
Successful
after more
than one
attempt
Margina
l totals
100
57
23
180
21
14
13
48
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31
21
20
72
152
92
56
300
Expected frequencies:
Type of destination
Governme
Commerci
nt
University
al user
departme
nt
Successful
at first
attempt
Successful
Transmiss after more
ion
than one
attempt
Not
successful
at all
Marginal totals
Margina
l totals
91.2
55.2
33.6
180
24.32
14.72
8.96
48
36.48
22.08
13.44
72
152
92
56
300
(O E )2
E
Contributions to test statistic
:
Type of destination
Governme
Commerci
nt
University
al user
departme
nt
Transmiss
ion
Successful
at first
attempt
Successful
after more
than one
attempt
Not
successful
at all
0.8491
0.0587
3.344
0.4532
0.0352
1.8216
0.8232
0.0528
3.2019
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Marginal
totals
265
580
845
Expected frequencies
Level of interest
Great
Little
< 30
60.84
204.16
Age
133.16 446.84
30
Marginal totals
194
651
Marginal
totals
265
580
845
49 60.84
216 204.16 2
60.84
204.16
2
145 133.16
435 446.84 2
133.16
446.84
4.357
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Level of interest
Great
Little
118
314
Marginal
totals
432
49
216
265
167
530
697
[4]
(iii)
This is not a random sample of 697 people
classified over these four cells.
[2]
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