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Tutors to note:

I have swapped the original H2 2011 sampling method question with


this one which is from H1 2011.
Cambridge Exam Report
Many candidates had problems with questions 1(iii), 2(ii), 3, 10, 11 and
12.
Candidates are expected to give explanations in sampling method
questions in the context given.
When using GCs to solve equations or inequalities candidates should
give enough detail to show that a valid method is being used, and that
the answer has been validly obtained.
Examiners noted rather more cases of errors in fairly elementary
mathematics, such as in the quadratic equation formula, and in
rounding numerical answers in a number of questions.

2011 H2 MA A-Level P2 Solution


Section A
Q1(i) z ( 2 + 5i ) 3

Sufficient to just indicate the


centre and the radius of the
circle.

Im

(2, 5)

(iii) P(5, 5)

Need to have a clear and


accurate diagram in order to see
that P is (2,2) or (5, 5).

(6, 1)

Note that grad of line joining (2,


5) to (6, 1) is -1 hence
perpenduclar to OP.

P(2, 2)

Re
(ii)

Hence, distance from (2, 2) to (6,


1) = distance from (5, 5) to (6,
1).

max z = 2 + 5 + 3 = 29 + 3
min z = 29 3

(iii)

P represents 2 + 2i or 5 + 5i .
max z 6 i =

( 5 6 ) + ( 5 1)

= 17

Q2(i) SR = 2n 2 x
QR = n 2 x
Vol. of box = 2 ( n x )( n 2 x ) x
= 2 x ( n 2 2nx nx + 2 x 2 )
V = 2n 2 x 6nx 2 + 4 x3 (Shown)

(ii)

dV
= 2n 2 12nx + 12 x 2 = 0
dx
x=

( 12n )

( 12n )
2 (12 )

4 (12 ) ( 2n 2 )

1
n as QR = n 2x > 0.
2
1
1
3
3
x = n
n =
n
2
6
2
6

1
3
n
n
2
6

since x <

Q3(i) Let y = f(x) = ln ( 2 x + 1) + 3


2 x + 1 = e y 3
x=

e y 3 1
2

f 1 ( x ) =

1 x 3
( e 1)
2

Df 1 = R f =

1
R f 1 = Df = ,
2

x must be in simplified form.

(ii)

GC only shows graph in the 1st,


2nd and 4th quadrant. Do note that
there are parts of the graphs in
3rd quad, need to know that the
graph y = f(x) has asym x = 0.5
and the curve should approach it,
and y = f -1(x) has asym y = 0.5.

ln(2 x + 1) + 3 = 0

2 x + 1 = e 3
e 3 1
x=
2
1 e3
=
2e3
y

Check that the curve y = f -1(x)


does not bend back at the top.

y = f 1(x)
y=x

y = f(x)

(0, 3)
(

, 0)
x

(3, 0)
y = -0.5
(0,

x = -0.5

(iii)

The curves y = f ( x) and y = f 1 ( x) intersect on the line y = x.


At the intersection points,
f 1 ( x) = f(x) = x
ln(2 x + 1) + 3 = x
ln(2 x + 1) = x 3
From GC, x = 5.482 or 0.4847

4(ai)

n
2 2x

xe

dx = x 2 e 2 x
0
2

= n 2 e 2 n
2

( 2 x )

1 2x
e dx
2

( 2 x )

1 2 x
e dx
2

1
1
1

= n e 2 n ( 2 x ) e 2 x +
2
2
2
0
2

1
1
= n 2 e 2 n ( n ) e 2 n +
2

2
2

2 n
n2
n
1
e
= e 2 n e 2 n
+
4
4
2
2
1 1
1

= e 2 n n 2 + n +
4 2
2

e 2 x dx

0
n

n
n
1 1

= e 2 n e 2 n + e 2 x
2 2
0
2
2
2

1
1
( 2 ) e2 x dx
2
2

(ii)

, e2 n , ne 2 n and n 2 e 2 n approaches 0.

When n

1
.
4

x 2 e 2 x dx =

4x
(b) Volume = 2 dx =
0 x +1

16 tan 2

2
sec

= 16

4 tan
2

sec d
2
tan + 1

= 16

sin 2 d

1 cos 2
d
2

4
1
= 8 sin 2 = 8 = 2 ( 2 )
2

0
4 2

Section B
X ~ N(, 2)
(5)

40.0

P ( X < 40.0 ) = P Z <


= 0.05

40.0
= 1.6449

When or 2 is not known, we


need to standardise.
To use invNorm, must ensure
P(X < ____ ) or P( X _____ ) .

40.0 = 1.6449 --- (1)


70.0

P ( X < 70.0 ) = P Z <


= 0.975

70.0
= 1.9600

70.0 = 1.9600 --- (2)


(2) - (1): 30.0 = 3.6049
= 8.32 and = 70.0 1.9600 = 53.7
(6i)

Decide strata based on age. The interview can split the population
into 3 groups; below 25 years old, 25 to 45 years old and above
45 years old. He can then decide on the number of interviewee
from each strata according to his preference. The interviewer can
station himself at a corner near the location of the new shopping
mall and ask people who fit what he needed.

(ii)

The method of sampling is a biased one as the interview may


choose people who are more approachable to interview.

(iii) Stratified sampling. It is difficult to gain information about the


population of the city suburb.

Need to mention the strata and


must be by age. Ask a certain
number of people in each age
group (not necessary the same
number and not necessary in
proportion to the total numbers
in the strata). In context e.g.
standing on a street corner to ask
people.
Other possible answers: Those at
work at that time will not have a
chance to be interviewed.

(7)
7(i)

R ~ B(n, 0.7)
The success of each phone call is independent of the success of
another call. The probability of success of each call is the same.

(ii)

The telephone usage of each of the friends should be different;


hence the probability of success of each call is unlikely to be the
same.

(iii)

R ~ B(8, 0.7)
P ( R 6 ) = 1 P ( R 5 ) = 0.552

(iv)

R ~ B(40, 0.7)
Since np = 28 > 5, n (1 p) = 12 > 5,
R ~ N(28, 8.4) approx.
P( R < 25) = P( R 24.5) = 0.114

(8i)

Remember to do c.c.
When keying in GC, = 8.4 ,
not 8.4.

Scatter diagram should not show


a complete U shaped parabola
nor a straight line.

For (ii), question asks if linear


model is the best model, not if it
is appropriate.

(iii) 1m question, there is no


need to calculate the r for the
quadratic model.

(ii)

r = -0.992
Though r is close to 1, it measures only the strength of linear
correlation between x and y. Another model might be more
appropriate.

(iii)

We can compare the 2 values of product moment correlation


coefficients calculated, value that is closer to 1 will indicate
the better model.

(iv)

y = 22.2305 0.85621x 2 22.2 0.856 x 2


When x = 3.2,
2

y = 22.2305 0.85621( 3.2 ) = 13.5

(9ia)

0.6 0.05 + 0.4 0.07 = 0.058

(b)

P( A| F ) =

0.05

F
F

0.07

F
F

0.6 A

P( A F ) 0.6 0.05
=
= 0.517
P(F )
0.058

0.4 B
(iia)

0.058 (1 0.058) 2! = 0.109

(b)

P(AA| exactly 1 faculty)


P(both A exactly 1 faculty)
=
P(exactly 1 faculty)

Both parts need to X2! as it


could be the first one faulty or
the 2nd one.

0.6 0.05 0.6 (1 0.05 ) 2!


0.109272
= 0.313
=

(10i)

(ii)

Let min be the population mean time to install the electronic


component.
H0 : = 38.0
H1 : < 38.0

Need to define

H0 rejected p-value 0.05


z 1.64485

t 38.0
1.64485
5.0
50

+ 38.0
t 1.64485 5.0

50

t + : t 36.8

(iii)

37.1 38.0
> 1.64485
5.0
n
0.9 n > 1.64485 5.0

H0 not rejected

1.64485 5.0
0.9
n < 83.5
n 83 since n is an integer.
{n + : n 83}
n<

Need to realise n is an integer


and express as n 83 .

18

(11i)
(ii)

C4 12 C6
= 0.0941
30
C10
P ( R = r ) > P ( R = r + 1)

P( R = 4) =

18

18

Cr 12 C10 r
>
30
C10
Cr 12 C10 r =

=
18

Cr +1 12 C10 ( r +1) =

18

C r +1 12 C10( r +1)
30

C10

18!
12!

r !(18 r ) ! (10 r ) !(12 (10 r ) ) !


18! 12!
r !(18 r ) !(10 r ) !( 2 + r ) ) !
18!
12!

( r + 1)!(18 (r + 1) )! ( 9 r )!(12 (9 r ) )!
18! 12!
(r + 1)!(17 r ) !( 9 r ) !( 3 + r ) ) !

Question is not easy but well


guided.
n

Cr =

n!
can be found in
r !( n r ) !

MF15.
Need to be very careful with the
manipulation.
Focus on the inequality that is
required to show to guide your
steps.

So we have:

18! 12!
18! 12!
>
r !(18 r ) !(10 r ) !( 2 + r ) ! (r + 1)!(17 r ) !( 9 r ) !( 3 + r ) !
1
1
>
r !(18 r ) !(10 r ) !( 2 + r ) ! (r + 1)!(17 r ) !( 9 r ) !( 3 + r ) !
(r + 1)!(17 r ) !( 9 r ) !( r + 3) ! > r !(18 r ) !(10 r ) !( r + 2 ) !
[shown]
(r + 3)! (18 r ) !(10 r ) !( r + 2 ) !
>
r!
(17 r )!( 9 r ) !( r + 1) )!
(r + 3)(r + 2)(r + 1) > (18 r )(10 r )(r + 2)
(r + 2) [ (r + 1)(r + 3) (18 r )(10 r )] > 0
(r + 2)(32r 177) > 0

Since r + , r 6 , i.e. r = 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
P(R = 6) > P(R = 7) > P(R = 8) > P(R = 9) > P(R = 10)
The most probable number = 6

Can use GC to solve the equality


but need to explain your steps
clearly, i.e. sketch graph OR use
table.

(12i)

Let Ji be the number of people joining the queue in a period of i


min.
J4 ~ Po(1.2 X 4)
P ( J 4 8 ) = 1 P( J 7) = 0.113

(ii)

Let X be no. of people joining in t s.


1.2
t
X ~ Po
t X ~ Po
60
50
P( X 1) = P( X = 0) + P( X = 1)
0.7 = e

50

t
e
50

50

Need skills in adjusting the


window setting Note that
y = P( X 1) = 0.7 so its value
< 1. Use ZOOMBOX.
Alternatively, use table.

y
0.005
54

-0..005

55

Also note: mean = 1.2 per min.


P( X 1) = 0.7 , t is close to 60.

From GC, t = 55.

(iii)

Let L be no. of people leaving in 15 min.


L ~ Po(1.8 X 15)
Since = 1.8 X 15 = 27 > 10
L ~ N(27, 27) approx
J15 ~ Po(1.2 X 15)
J15 ~ N(18, 18) approx
J15 L ~ N(9, 45) approx.
P(35 + J15 L 24) =P( J15 L 11)
= P( J15 L 11.5)
= 0.645

(iv)

Formula given in MF15.


Hence, need to use this
equation to solve for t.

(using c.c.)

Mean number of people in the queue is unlikely to be a constant


over a time period of several hours because of specific times for
flights.

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