Issued: Tuesday, Mar 30, 2010 Updated: M-F by 1100

Ytd Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon

Predictive Service Areas
Mar 29 Mar 30 Mar 31 Apr 01 Apr 02 Apr 03 Apr 04 Apr 05

SW01 Northwest AZ 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SW02 West-Central AZ 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Legend: SW03 Southwest AZ 0 2 2 1 2 2 2 2
SW04 Four Corners Area 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SW05 Western Mogollon Rim 0 1 1 1   1 1
SW06N Central AZ/Phoenix Metro 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SW06S Southeast AZ 0 2 W 1 1 1 1 
SW07 Northwest NM Mtns. 0    1 1 1 1
SW08 White Mtns. & Gila Region 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SW09 South/Cntrl. NM Lowlands 0 W W 2 2 2 2 2
SW10 Sangre de Cristo Mtns.        1
SW11 Central NM Mtns. & Plains 0 2 2 2 1 2 2 2
SW12 South-Central NM Mtns. 0 W W 3 2 2 3 W
SW13 Northeast NM/NW TX 0 W W 3 2 3 3 W
SW14N Southeast NM/West TX 0 W W W 2 3 3 W
SW14S Southwest TX/Big Bend 0 3 3 W W 3 3 W
Print Version National Map Product Description
Weather Synopsis:
Windy & dry southern and/or eastern portions of the region TODAY-FRI with increasing
chances for precipitation north & west. Another wind event impacting similar areas early
next week. The active pattern is expected to continue, with systems forecast to traverse the area
WED-FRI and then again early next week. The main fire weather impact with both will be windy/dry
conditions across southern/eastern portions of the region as the systems approach and move
through, and some associated increased precipitation chances further north and west. W-SW
winds will increase to 20-25 mph sustained, with gust to 30-40+ mph, today from far southeast AZ
to west TX. This focus for wind will expand some on WED as the main system moves into western
AZ, then shrink to just mainly southeast NM/southwest TX for THU/FRI as the system progresses
east across the area and brings cooling and increased moisture from the north & west. Best
precipitation chances will be across AZ and western/northern NM from WED night-early FRI.
Initially cool for the weekend, but dry & warming in advance of the next wind event early next week.
 y y g y
NOTICE: Forecasts for the following PSA's
may be unavailable or unrepresentative of
actual conditions due to missing
observations from the stations listed:
High Risk for human caused significant fire activity TODAY-FRI across portions of the
south & east, but fire potential still low overall for most of the region. An active pattern with
periods of windy and dry conditions across the southern portion of the region will combine with still
mostly dormant fine fuels to increase fire potential TODAY-FRI. Biggest impacts will be across the
southeast quarter of the region, where the combination of wind, RH and warmest temperatures will
align for the longest duration. These conditions will be offset by green-up at some time over the
next month. Otherwise, continued relatively moist conditions in the higher elevations and north will
maintain low fire potential, as will additional expected precipitation.

Resource Discussion:
Within Area National PL: 1 Southwest PL: 1
Low to moderate resource demand potential in southern portion of SWA. Forecasted conditions
indicate an increase in potential (i.e. low to moderate) for initial attack resource mobilization (i.e. air
tankers, engines) throughout the southern portion of the Area. Slight potential for increase in demand for
T1 crews in mid-elevation (i.e. brush fuel models) incidents. Significant large-scale mobilization of IMT's
not anticipated at this time.

SW NATIONAL ANTICIPATED RESOURCE From Out-of-Area

DEMAND INDEX ** Low to moderate resource demand for resources from out-of-area. Moderate potential increase for
Anticipate low demand for resources from Type 1 or 2 air tankers, and slight potential increase demand for T1 crews.
outside the Area

SW NATIONAL ANTICIPATED Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon

Anticipate low to moderate demand for
resources from outside the Area RESOURCE DEMAND (SWARD) ** Mar 30 Mar 31 Apr 01 Apr 02 Apr 03 Apr 04 Apr 05

Describing the SW-NARD. T1 & 2 IMT's 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Anticipate moderate to high demand for
resources from outside the Area This table is experimental. T1 Crews 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Anticipate high to very high demand for To Out-of-Area

resources from outside the Area
Low resource demand potential for SWA resources to OUT-OF-AREA assignments.
** (Experimental Index) Indicates resource
commitment versus demand for additional
resources. Resources refers to T1 resources
(i.e. Crews, Helo's, A/T's, IMT's).
Click here for 7 day ERC, F10, and F100 projections
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