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Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences (JETEMS) 3(6):907-914 (ISSN:2141-7024)
interventions resulting in a reduction of the size of
the problem in many of these countries (Lawrence et
al., 1992; Elvik,, 1995; Wayatt et al., 1996;
DiGuiseppi et al., 1997; Vgverket, 2006). However,
despite the fact that Oman has a higher rate of RTA,
yet very little has been done to establish the baseline
facts about the problem. There is a dearth of literature
about motorization, and road traffic accident and its
causality in Oman. To our knowledge, no
comprehensive work has been undertaken on level
trends and determinants of road traffic accident and
its causality in Oman owing to paucity of data in the
past. However, the routine data collected by the
Royal Oman Police (ROP) in recent time allows us to
fill this gap and improve our understanding of the
RTA and its causality in Oman. Thus, the objective
of this paper is to provide an overview of the growth
of motor vehicle and analyze the pattern of road
traffic accident in Oman, using the routinely collected
time series data by ROP during the period 20002009. The study is likely to establish the baseline
facts about the RTA problems in Oman. The findings
of the study may have important policy implications
for transport and road safety planning in Oman and
elsewhere with similar situation.
Population
in 000
No.
of
registered
vehicle
No. of new
registered
vehicle
Annual
growth rate in registered
vehicle (%)
Annual
growth rate in new
registered vehicle (%)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
% change during 2000-2009
Average for the period 2000-2009
2233
2268
2304
2341
2399
2459
2521
2584
2648
2714
21.55
2447
495914
520926
560302
444500
468412
500385
548908
629670
720316
755937
52.43
564527
48740
42978
39376
42561
57130
73421
104891
136516
177441
127001
160.57
85006
5.04
7.56
-20.67
5.38
6.83
9.70
14.71
14.40
4.95
-11.82
-8.38
8.09
34.23
28.52
42.86
30.15
29.98
-28.43
4.3
10.0
Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences (JETEMS) 3(6):907-914 (ISSN:2141-7024)
Over all, motorization shows increasing trends in
Oman. Between 2000 and 2009, motorization level
increased by 25.7%.
d
USA
Percent
50
40
30
20.72
20
10
3.71
1.81
0.42
1.52
1.25
0.40
0
at
iv
Pr
Ta
xi
om
C
al
ci
er
m
o
G
rn
ve
en
m
t
riv
D
g
in
o
ho
sc
l
o
ot
M
i
rb
ke
R
t
en
al
th
O
s
er
882
721
714
633
610
UK
565
Bahra
in
509
it
479
UAE
i Arab
ia
401
299
Libya
Oman
296
244
Iran
Turke
y
Egyp
t
239
178
57
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
Private
Taxi
Others
Total
700000
Commercial
Government
Exported
600000
Number of vehicles
Saud
60
822
Qatar
Japan
Malay
sia
Cana
da
Kuwa
70.16
70
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Year
2008
2009
Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences (JETEMS) 3(6):907-914 (ISSN:2141-7024)
Levels and Trends in Road Traffic Accidents
(RTAs) in Oman
According to the 2000 National Health Survey in
Oman (Al Riyami et al., 2000), conducted by the
Ministry of Health, road traffic accident (RTA) is the
number one cause of accident and injury in Oman
accounting for 61 % of the total accident (Table 2).
Other important causes of accident are accidental fall
(22 %), burns (4.8%), bullet accident (1.8%) and food
poisoning (1.2%). Males are 1.5 times more likely to
experience RTA than female, while the rate of
accidental fall, burns, and food poisoning are higher
among females.
was 54% for per 1000 population and 63.5% for per
1000 vehicles. The corresponding figures for average
annual decrease being 7.5% and 9.6%, respectively.
This fall in accident has occurred despite the fact that
the number of vehicles on the roads and new driving
licenses as well as the population increased over the
period. This may be a consequence of the traffic
safety efforts of ROP by imposing stringent
conditions for issuing license and road safety
information, education and communication (IEC)
programmes through mass media.
Types of RTAs in Oman
Table 4 shows the distribution of RTA in Oman in
2009 by the types and severity. The types of RTA
were categorized as collusion with other vehicles,
collusion with fixed objects, overturn and run over
pedestrians. It can be seen that about 70% of the
accidents are due to collision: 48% with other
vehicles and 22% with fixed objects. Sixteen percent
of the accidents were due to overturn and 14% were
due to run over the pedestrians. The distribution of
RTA by the type of severity indicate that nearly twothird (64%) of the RTA caused injury, while 10.5%
caused fatality and the rest 26% were with minor or
no causality (Table 4).
Cause of accident/injury
Road traffic accident (RTA)
Accidental fall
Burns
Food poisoning
Sharp and mechanical tools
Fire bullets accident
Electrical shocks
Swallowing chemical/drug
Other
Total
Male
68.1
16.8
3.4
0.8
0.8
2.5
0.8
0.8
5.9
100.0
Female
42.6
36.2
8.5
2.1
2.1
8.5
100.0
Total
60.8
22.3
4.8
1.2
1.2
1.8
0.6
0.6
6.6
100.0
Number
of RTA
13040
13101
9107
10197
9460
9247
9869
8816
7982
7253
-54.28
-63.51
-7.52%
-9.59%
30
5
20
4
15
3
10
2
5
1
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Year
distribution
Characteristics
Severity
Fatal Accident
Injury Accident
Minor or no causality
Types
Collision with vehicle
Collision with fixed objects
Overturn
Run over pedestrians
Total
-44.38
-5.7%
of
RTA
Number
Percent
760
4618
1875
10.48
63.67
25.85
3485
1560
1190
1018
7253
48.05
21.51
16.41
14.04
100.00
by
Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences (JETEMS) 3(6):907-914 (ISSN:2141-7024)
RTA by Age of Drivers
Age of the drivers involved with RTA shows
negative association with the RTA in Oman.
Distribution of the accident by drivers age indicate
that young drivers are more likely to be involved with
accidents than their older counterparts, as 70% of the
accident happened to drivers aged 17-36 years. The
proportion of accident declined with the age of the
drivers (Table 5).
Number of RTA
2543
1942
1007
577
300
6369
Percent
39.93
30.49
15.81
9.06
4.71
100.00
Number
Percent
4278
2975
58.98
41.02
629
742
1641
1551
1629
1061
8.67
10.23
22.63
21.38
22.45
14.63
1040
977
1020
1048
1024
1158
986
7253
14.34
13.47
14.06
14.45
14.12
15.97
13.59
100.00
Causes of accident*
Speeding
Negligence
Fatigue
Drink-Driving
Overtaking
Weather Condition
Sudden Stop
Unsafe Distance
Lack of Control
Vehicle Defects
Road Defects
2005
31.72
57.90
0.12
0.85
1.71
0.14
0.04
4.48
1.94
0.98
0.12
2006
53.06
36.97
0.03
0.77
1.67
0.25
0.11
3.55
2.66
0.81
0.11
2007
60.62
23.80
0.15
1.05
2.20
0.58
0.41
3.05
6.51
1.45
0.18
2008
59.31
11.55
0.16
2.09
5.25
0.45
0.88
4.74
13.33
1.93
0.31
2009
51.62
8.48
0.25
2.37
5.16
1.79
1.17
3.31
22.60
2.45
0.80
Total
50.94
29.28
0.13
1.36
3.03
0.59
0.48
3.82
8.62
1.46
0.28
Total
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences (JETEMS) 3(6):907-914 (ISSN:2141-7024)
DISCUSSION
The findings of this study indicate that the growth of
automobile is faster than the growth of the Omani
population. It has been observed that during the 10
year study period from 2000 to 2009, the population
of Oman increased by about 2.0% per annum, while
the automobile fleet in the country increased by 4.3%
per annum. At the same period, the new registration
of automobile increased by 10% per annum.
Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences (JETEMS) 3(6):907-914 (ISSN:2141-7024)
have speed limit on urban roads less than or equal to
50 km/h, 29% of the countries have speed limit 51-70
km./h, 6% have 71-90 km/h and only 2% countries
(mostly the Arabian Gulf countries) have speed limit
more than 90 km/h (WHO, 2009). It also shows that
Oman is the single country with maximum speed
limit of 120 km/h in urban roads. Among other Arab
gulf countries, the maximum speed limit in urban
roads are 50 km/h in Bahrain, 60 km/h in UAE, 80
km/h in Saudi Arabia, 100 km/h in Qatar, and 100
km/h in Iraq.
Research on effective speed
management indicates that the speed limits on urban
road should not exceed 50 km/h (Transport Research
Centre (Transport Research Centre, 2006). Many
countries with good safety records have adopted this
recommendation, authorizing local level authority to
reduce the national level speed limit (WHO, 2009). A
5% increase in average speed leads to an
approximately 10% increase in crashes that causes
injuries, and a 20% increase in fatal crashes. Apart
from reducing road traffic injuries and deaths,
lowering the average traffic speed can have other
positive effects on Heath (Transport Research Centre,
2006).
REFERENCES
Al-Ismaily, H.A., and Probert, D. 1998. Transport
policy in Oman, Applied Energy, 61, 79-109.
Al-Riyami, A., Afifi, M., Al-Kharusi, H., Morsi, M.,
2000. National Health Survey, 2000. Vol. 1, Study of
life style risk factors. Muscat (Oman): Ministry of
Health.
Belwal, R., and Belwal, S. 2010. Public
Transportation Services in Oman: A Study of Public
Perceptions, Journal of Public Transportation, 13, 121.
CONCLUSION
The rapid growth of automobile-oriented culture in
Oman without proper education and awareness
913
Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences (JETEMS) 3(6):907-914 (ISSN:2141-7024)
Han, S. S., 2010. Managing motorization in
sustainable transport planning: the Singapore
experience. Journal of Transport Geography, 18,
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