Professional Documents
Culture Documents
(2015) 7:199208
DOI 10.1007/s12571-015-0424-2
ORIGINAL PAPER
Received: 11 January 2015 / Accepted: 4 February 2015 / Published online: 19 March 2015
# Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht and International Society for Plant Pathology 2015
Introduction
Global food prices have declined throughout the last hundred
years. This decline has been punctuated by periods of higher
prices and higher price volatility, in particular during the two
World Wars, the oil price crisis of the 1970s, and most recently
over the last 6 years beginning in 2008 (Baldos and Hertel
2014; Piesse and Thirtle 2009). The causes of the food price
rises in 2008 are still debated but include a series of bad harH. C. J. Godfray (*)
Oxford Martin Programme on the Future of Food & Department of
Zoology, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3PS,
UK
e-mail: charles.godfray@zoo.ox.ac.uk
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Sustainable intensification
In this section I describe what I believe the groups that originated the term sustainable intensification meant by the concept, and the logic that led to its formulation.
The argument for sustainable intensification begins with
the observation that demand for food will increase markedly
over the next 50 years. There are two main drivers underlying
this trend. The first is population growth; because of demographic inertia we can be certain that total population numbers
will increase over the next 40 years though the rate of growth
is declining, and most studies project that human population
numbers will peak sometime in the second half of this century
(United Nations 2013; Lutz and Samir 2010; Bongaarts
2009). Population growth is concentrated in the least developed countries, in particular in sub-Saharan Africa. Recent
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economic efficiency. It should not be seen as business-asusual with marginal improvements that benefit the environment, nor as a call for a purely environmental agenda that fails
to acknowledge the need to meet peoples expectations for
affordable, nutritious and varied food.
scale farming, often as practised by smallholders in developing countries. Thus, sustainable intensification is more often
linked to Becological intensification^ than it is to
Bagroecology^. The former is a set of ideas associated in particular with Ken Cassman (Cassman 1999) concerned with
how yields in temperate arable crops can be enhanced by
considering ecological processes. Agroecology (de Schutter
2011) is a way of farming that places huge importance on
sustainability and many of its proponents would argue that
the way to achieve this is through agroecosystems that mimic
their natural counterparts. Such ideas apply much more naturally to small-scale farming enterprises, and the agroecology
movement includes a normative element which sees this approach to be an intrinsically more equitable and just solution
to food production than alternatives. Supporters of sustainable
intensification would argue that it applies both to modern
Western agriculture and to the poorest farms in developing
countries. They would also argue that insights from the explicit consideration of ecology, from the organic and agroecological movements, as well as from the experiences of smallholder farmers growing food in circumstances critically influenced by challenging environments, may help transform conventional agriculture so that it is more sustainable (Foresight
2011). The word intensification gets in the way of this process.
If intensification implies to many high input Western-style
arable farming, to those concerned with animal welfare it is
often considered synonymous with high density livestock
rearing where little concern is paid to the wellbeing of the
animals (CIWF 2012). Of course, there is not a simple relationship between stocking density, production system, and
animal welfare. Animals can suffer greatly on highly extensive very poor quality grazing or on smallholder farms where
the owner has neither the resources nor sometimes the expertise to provide high quality care. At the other extreme, large
rearing units can be designed in such a way that, at least by
objective measures of stress and other physiological processes, the animals they house appear to enjoy a high state of
wellbeing (Dawkins 2011). Again, the word intensification
gets in the way of discussing these important nuances.
Can the neutral sense of the word intensification be
reclaimed? One possible way is through the decomposition
of the term suggested by Gordon Conway into genetic, ecological, and market intensification (Conway 2012). Genetic
intensification includes plant and animal breeding, in his view
both conventional and where appropriate through genetic
modification. Ecological intensification includes the much
more efficient uses of resources and the application of ideas
from the organic and agroecological movements to improve
productivity. Market intensification represents the creation of
the enabling economic environment that provides farmers
with access to investment capital and to markets for their produce to incentivise increased productivity. Conway developed
these ideas with smallholder sub-Saharan agriculture
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Criticisms
We have already seen some of the criticisms of sustainable
intensification in the debate over what the two words actually
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intensification would cease to have any utility if the boundaries were set too narrowly; for example, if only agroecological interventions were allowed, or if only western-style highinput techniques were considered useful.
A major advantage of the notion of sustainable intensification, at least in my view, is its willingness to adopt
methods from very different farming systems. Further,
tightening the boundary does not come for free: reducing
the strategy set will mean that in some circumstances
yields will be constrained or environmental benefits not
realised. Thus, though it may be useful to separate arguments about what should be permissible strategies and
how best to achieve the goal, they interact and cannot
be considered completely in isolation.
Conclusions
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