Major + Minor Courses of Statistics

Stat-700

Elements of Statistics and Biometry

3(3-0)

Definition and scope of statistics in research, Measurement scales, Type of variables, continuous and
discrete data. Grouping of data. Presentation of data, one dimensional diagrams and graphic presentation of
frequency distribution, stem-leaf and box plots. Measures of central tendency and their graphic location.
Measures of dispersion, Tchebychev law, sampling and sampling distribution of single population mean.
Tests of significance for single population mean and proportion, difference between means and proportions
and their confidence intervals. One and two way Analysis of variance calculations only.
Books recommended:
1. Choudhry, M.2000. Introduction to statistical theory. Ilmi kitab khana Urdu bazaar, Lahore.
2. Muhammad F.2000 Statistical methods and data analysis. Kitab Markaz, Bhawana bazaar,
Faisalabad.
3. Zar J. H. 2009. Biostatistical Analysis. Prentice Hall 5th Edition Prentice Hall.

Stat-701
Experimental Statistics
3(3-0)
Functional relation among variables, regression analysis, simple and multiple linear regression
analysis, curve fitting, correlation analysis; simple partial and multiple correlation, estimation & testing of
hypotheses, tests of independence and goodness of fit, analysis of variance, basic designs, basic principles
of experiment design, post hoc tests. Some designs of experiment with illustrations of problems from
various agricultural disciplines, factorial, split plot, split block experiments, Hierarchical analysis with 2 &3
factors.
Books recommended:
1. Mead R., R. N.Curnow A.M., Hasted and R.M Curnow, 2002. Statistical Methods in Agriculture
and Experimental Biology, 3rd Edition. Chapman & Hall.
2. Muhammad F.2005. Statistical Methods and Data Analysis. Kitab Markaz, B Bazaar, Faisalabad.
3. Snedecor G.W. and W.G Cochran, 1989 Statistical Methods. Iowa State University press Ames,
Iowa USA.
4. Steel R.G.D., J.H. Torrie and D.A Dickey. 1997. Principles and procedure of statistics: A
Biometrical Approach. Mc. Graw Hill,N.Y.
Stat-702 Statistical Methods for Business Management (3(2-1)
Theory:
Introduction to business research, business research process, Errors in business research. Types of research
and research Designs. Type of variables and measurement scales, Measurement scale of attitude, Data
collection instruments, Questionnaire designs. Concept of validity and reliability. Concept of sampling and
sampling designs, Estimation of mean, variance and proportion under different probability sampling
designs. Estimation of mean, variance and proportion under different probability sampling designs
Estimation and interpretation of simple linear Regression Inference in sample linear Regression Estimation

and interpretation of Multiple linear Regression Standardized regression Coefficients, Inference in Multiple
Linear Regression, Chi-square test of independence, measures of associations, Linear Correlation, Inference
in Simple Linear Correlation, Principal component analysis, Cluster Analysis.
Practical:
Introduction to Minitab, data manipulation in Minitab, Programming in Minitab, Construction in Minitab,
Programming in Minitab, Construction of Macroes in Minitab. Introduction to SPSS, data manipulation in
SPSS.
Books Recommended:
4.
Anderson, D.R. Sweeney. 2008. Statistics for Business and Economics. Cengage Learning.
5.
Huizingh, E. 2007. Applied Statistics with SPSS Sage Publications LTD.
6.
Nebebe, F, M. and L. Memeault. 1990. Statistics with Minitab. Pearson Custom Publishing, N.Y.

Stat-703
Design and Analysis of Experiments for Researchers
3(3-0)
Factorial experiments, main effects and interactions analysis of variance model, fixed, random and
mixed models, treatment structure, contrasts, orthogonal contrasts and polynomials for quantitative
treatment factors, single replicated trials, split plot design and its variants, hierarchical classification,
combining experiments over locations, seasons and years, confounding in 2n and 3n factorial experiments
and their analysis. Fractional factorials, cross over designs, response surface designs for optimal response.
Books Recommended:
1.

Gomez K.A. and Gomez A. A. 1984. Statistical Procedures for Agricultural research. Wiley
Interscience Publications.

2.

Kehul, R. O. 2000. Design of Experiments: Statistical principles of research design and analysis.
Duxbury/ Thomson Learning.

3.

Montgomery D.C. 2005. Design and analysis of experiments. John Wiley & Sons, N. York.

4.

Richard, A.D. and W.H Harvey. 1987. Experimental design, ANOVA and Regression. Harper
and Row N.Y

Stat-704 Statistical Methods for Social Sciences 3(3-0)

Sampling and sampling designs, selection of best sample design, procedure for planning and conduct of
census and surveys, determination of sample size under diggerent conditions, Test of significance for
population proportion, multifactor analysis of variance, multiple comparisons, non-parametric methods
(Sign test, Signed rank test, Mann-Whitney U test, Kruskal-Wallis test, Friendman test, Spearmans and
Kendalls rank Correlation:, Non-parametric multiple comparisons, Multi-way contignecy tables, log linear
models logistic Regression.

Books Recommend:
1. Agresti, A. 2010. Analysis of Ordinal Categorical Data. John Wiley & Sons.
2. Agresti A. and B. Finlay. 2009. Statistical Methods for social sciences. Prentice Hall.
3. Conover, W.J. 2006. Practical Non-parametric Statistics. Academic Interment Publishers.
4. Moser, C.A and G. Kalton. 2000. Survey Methods in Social Investigation. Gower Publishing Group.
Stat-705
Statistical Methods
3(3-0)
Statistics and Scientific methods Inference about the parameters of Binomial, Poisson and Normal
distributions, Estimation of sample size, chi-Square procedure, chi-Square goodness-of-fit test, Nonparametric and distribution free methods, probability plots, Box-Cox and Box-Tidwell transformations,
Correlation and regression analysis, Test of significance of simple, multiple and partial correlation
coefficients, Inference regarding regression parameters, relative importance of regression, linear and nonlinear regression prediction, adequacy of regression models.
Books Recommended:
1. Draper, N. and H. Smith. 1981. Applied Regression Analysis. John Wiley and sons, Inc, N.Y.
2. Ott, R.L., and L. Michael. 2008. An Introduction to Statistical Methods and Data Azalysis. Duxbury
Press Canada.
3. Snedecor, G, W. and W.G. Cochran, 1989. Blackwell.
4. Wiesberg, S. 2005. Applied Linear Regression Wiley Series in Probability & Statistics.
5. Zar, J. H. 2009. Biostatistical Analysis. 5th Edition. Prentice Hall.

Stat-706 Probability and Distributions Theory-I

3(3-0)

Introduction to Probability. Different techniques of counting. Theory and its application in

probability theory. Set operations, Function and its different tyes., Indicator function, Countability and
Cardianility, Random Experiment, Boolean and Borel algebra of events, The Probability measures,
Probability function and probability space, Conditional Probability. Theorem of total probabilities, and
Bayes theorem and application, Random variables and distribution functions for one dimension, discrete
and continuous case, probability distribution functions, mathematical expectation for function of random
variable, moment generating functions, characteristics function and their existence properties. Relation
between moments and cumulants, Standard Probability distribution, Binomial, Poisson, Hypergeometric,
Multinomial, Negative Binomial, Geometric, Uniform, exponential, Beta, Gamma and Normal etc.
Transformation of one and two dimensional random variables for discrete and continuous case.
RECOMMENDEDBOOKS:
1. Hogg R. V, Tains E.A and Rao J.M 2005. Probability and Statistical Inference, 7th Edition, Pearson

2.
3.
4.
5.

Education New Delhi, India.

Hogg R.M. and Craig, A. T. 1995 Introduction to Mathematical Statistics, Macmillan Co., New
York.
Khan, M. K.1996 Probability with Applications, Maktiba Ilmi, Lahore Pakistan.
Mood, A. M, Graybill, F A. and D.C. Boes, 1997 Introduction to the Theory of Statistics, McGraw
Hill, New York.
Rohatgi, V.K. 2009. An Introduction to Probability and Statistics, 2nd Edition. John Wiley & Sons.

Stat-707
Probability and Distribution Theory-II 3(3-0)
Transformation, of n dimensional random variables for discrete and continuous case, Moment
generating function of discrete and continuous Bivariate probability distributions, truncated distribution
Compound distribution and their mean and variance cumulative distribution function, generating functions
and their related properties, Conditional expectation, Conditional variance and their properties, Regression
curves on different bivariate probability Convolutions, Characteristic function of distributions its application
and related properties, Limit theorems and its application [ Chebyshev,s inequality, Bienayme inequality,
convergence in probability, weak law of large numbers, Bernoulli,s law of large numbers, central limit
theorem, Lindberg- Levy theorem, derived distributions X2, t, F, and z and its related properties & non
central derived distributions X2, t F, and z. Order statistics with application in different field, Introduction to
stochastic process.
Books recommended
1. Bhat, B. R. 2000. Stochastic Models Analysis and Application, 1st edition. New age Inernational
publishers.
2. Feller, W. 1986. An Introduction to Probability Theory and its Applications Jhn Wiley & Sons.
3. Hogg R.V. E.A. Tains and J.M.Rao. 2005 Probability and Statistical Inference, 7th edition. Pearson
Education New delhi, Introduction to Mathematical Statistics, MacMillan Co., New York.
4. Hogg R. m. and T.A. Craig. 1995. Introduction to Mathematical Statistics, Macmillan Co., New
York.
5. Khan, M. K.1996. Probability with Applications, Maktiba Ilmi Lahore Pakistan.
6. Mood, A. M. Graybill, F.A. And Dic. Boes. 1997. Introduction to the Theory of Statisties McGraw
Hill, New york.
7. Rohatgi, V.K. 2009. An Introduction to Probability and Statistics, 2nd edition. John Wiley & Sons.
Stat-708 Estimation and Testing of Hypotheses 3(3-0)
Random Sample, Distribution of Sample, Statistics and sample Moments, Point Estimation, Methods of
finding Estimators: Methods of Moments, Method of Maximum Likelihood, Minimum-Chi-Square
Method, and Minimum-Distance Method, method, of minimum variance, Properties of Point Estimation:
Closeness, Mean-Squared error, Consistency and Ban, Loss and Risk functions, sufficiency: Sufficient
Statistics, EStatistics, Factorization Criterion, Minimal Sufficient Statistics, Exponential Family,
Unbiased Estimation, Cramer-Rao Inequality in Univariate and its Multivariate Extension, Rao
Blackwell Theorem, Location and Scale Invariance, Bayes Estimation, Interval Estimation conifidence
Intervals Statistical Hypothesis, Type I and Type II errors, Neyman Pearson Lemma, Uniformly Most
Powerful Test, Likelihood Ratio Tests, Loss and Risk Functions,Decisions Problem. Sequential analysis,
Sequential probability ratio test function of SPRT and derivation of ASN.

Books Recommended:
1. Hogg R.V, E.A. Tains and J.M. Rao 2005 Probability and Statistical Inference, 7th edition. Pearson
education, India.
2. Hogg, R. M. and T.A. Craig. 1995. Introduction to Mathematical Statistics, MacMillan Co., New
York.
3. Khan, M. K. 1996. Probability with Applications, Maktiba Ilmi, Lahore Pakistan.
4. Mood, A. M, Graybill, F. A. and D.c Boes. 1997. Introduction to the Theory of Statistics. McGraw
Hill, New york.
5. Rohatgi, V.K. 2009. An Introduction to Probability and Statistics, 2nd edition, John Wiley & Sons.
Stat-709 Theory & Application of Linear Models 3(3-0)
Basic theory illustrated in terms of various type of regression and classification models: Estimability,
Estimation and prediction pivotal function, Hypothesis testing confidence intervals, Restricted models,
Extension to correlated observations Reparametrization, 2-part G.M. Model and analysis of covariance,
K-part G.M. model, Extensions to mixed and random linear models, inference for variance components,
BLUP.
Books Recommended:
1. Clarke, B. R. 2008. Linear models: The Theory and Application of Analysis of Variance. Wiley
Interscience.
2. Graybill, F. A. 2000. Theory and Application of Linear Models. Duxbury Resource Centre.
3. Incculloch, C. E. 2003. Generalized Linear Mixed Models. John Wiley Publishers.
4. Perrett, J. J 2010. A SAS/IML comparisons of Linear Models. Springer N,Y.
5. Sengupta, D. and S. R. Jammalamadaka. 2003. Linear Models: An Integrated Approach. World
Scientific Publishers.
Stat-710
Sample Surveys-I
3(3-0)
Introduction of sampling theory, its advantages and applications, probability and non-probability
sampling. Methods of collecting information, Bias and its effects. Simple random sampling. Estimation of
Mean, Total and their properties, proportions and ratio Uses of normal, binomial and hyper-geometric
distribution in sample survey. Extimation of sample size under different situations. Stratified random
sampling. Proportional and optimum allocations Estimation of mean and variance and their properties,
relative precisions of estimates Estimation of sample size with stratified random sampling for continuous
and discrete data.
Books Recommended:
1. Barntt, V. 2002. Sample surverys: Principles and Methods, 3rd edition. Arnold publishers.
2. Cochran, W.G., 1981. Sampling techniques, 3rd edition. John Wiley and Sons, N.Y.
3. Pffeffermann, D. and C.R. Rao. 2009. Sample Surveys: design, methods and applications Elsevier.
4. Mukhopadhyay P. (1998). Theory and methods of survey sampling. Prentices Hall India.
Stat-711

Sample surveys-II

3(3-0)

Ratio, Regression and Product Estimates in simple and stratified random sampling. Estimate of Mean and
Variances with their properties. Systematic sampling Estimation of mean and variances and their properties.
Single and tow stage cluster sampling with equal and unequal sizes. Estimation of mean and variances with
their properties Duble sampling: Estimation of Mean Variance with their properties.
Books Recommended:
1. Cochran, W.G. 1981. Sampling Techniques, 3rd edition . John Wiley and Sons, N.Y.
2. Leslie, K. 1965. Survey Sampling. John Wiley, N.Y.
3. Pfeffermann, D. and C. R. Rao. 2009. Sample Surveys: Design, methods and applications. Elsevier
4. Mukhopadhyay P. 1998. Theory and methods of survey sampling prentice Hall India.

Stat-712 Experimental Design-I

3(3-0)

Introduction to Experimental Design; Experimental design, Planning of experiment and research;

Experimental design and its terminology, Basic principles of DOE, Basic designs; layout, models,
expected mean squares, estimation of parameters, matrix and non-matrix approaches, Inference about
means after ANOVA, Multiple comparison tests: LSD test, Duncans test, Tuckeys test, Scheffes test
Orthogonal contrast test, Dunnets test, bonferroni; Analysis of variance in regression, Polynomials,
Orthogonal Polynomials, Fixed, Random and Mixed effect Models, Variance components, Model
adequacy checking, transformation, Distributional and Properties of leas squares estimates of model
parameters; Sub-sampling in basic designs, Analysis of covariance with one, two or more concomitant
variable(s), Distribution of different sum of squares, Comparison between ANOVA & ANOCOVA;
Concept of missing data and its estimation, Graeco-Latin Square Design; Relative efficiency of these
designs.
Books Recommended:
1. Giesbrecht, F. G. and M.L. Gumpertz, 2004. Planning, Construction, and Statistical Analysis of
Comparative Experiments, 2nd edition. John Wiley and Sons & Sons, Inc. New York.
2. Hinkelmann., K and O. Kempthorne. 2005. Design and Analysis of Experiments: Vol. (2) Advanced
Experimental Design. John Wiley & Sons. Inc. New York.
3. Hinkelmann., K and O. Kempthorne. 2007. Design and Analysis of Experiments: Vol. (1)
Introduction to Experimental Design 2nd edition. John Wiley & Sons. Inc. New York.
4. Montgomery, D. C. 2008. Design and analysis of experiments, 8th edition. John Wiley & Sons. Inc.
New York.
5. Steel, R.G.D, J.H. Torrie. And D. A. Dickey. 2008. Principles and Procedures of Statistics: A
Biometrical Approach, 3rd edition. McGraw-Hill, Michigan.
Stat-713 Experimental Design-II
3(3-0)
Factorial experiments; Simple, Main and Interaction effects, hidden replication, 2k and 3k series and
mixed level factorial experiments and their analysis.
Confounding in factorial experiments, Complete and partial confounding; fractional factorials,
confounding in fractional replications, Quasi Latin Square designs, split plot, split block, split-split plot,
strip plot and nested designs, missing observations in split plot design, Incomplete block designs: BIBDLattice, lattice square and Youden squares, PBIBD with recovery of intra-block information.

Introduction of response surface methods; First and second order designs, central composite designs,
fitting of response surface models and estimation of optimum/maximum response.
Books Recommended:
6. Giesbrecht, F. G. and M.L. Gumpertz, 2004. Planning, Construction, and Statistical Analysis of
Comparative Experiments, 2nd edition. John Wiley and Sons & Sons, Inc. New York.
7. Hinkelmann., K and O. Kempthorne. 2005. Design and Analysis of Experiments: Vol. (2) Advanced
Experimental Design. John Wiley & Sons. Inc. New York.
8. Hinkelmann., K and O. Kempthorne. 2007. Design and Analysis of Experiments: Vol. (1)
Introduction to Experimental Design 2nd edition. John Wiley & Sons. Inc. New York.
9. Montgomery, D. C. 2008. Design and analysis of experiments, 8th edition. John Wiley & Sons. Inc.
New York.
10. Steel, R.G.D, J.H. Torrie. And D. A. Dickey. 2008. Principles and Procedures of Statistics: A
Biometrical Approach, 3rd edition. McGraw-Hill, Michigan.
Stat-714 Econometrics-I
3(3-0)
Nature of Econometrics, Econometircs and its different branches, Basic assumption and formulation of
simple linear regression model, Estimation of parameters in simple linear regression model by method of
least squares and maximum likelihood, Test of hypothesis and prediction in simple linear regression.
Estimation of parameters, test of hypothesis and prediction in general linear regression model, Least square
estimators for partition matrix. Use of extraneous information in regression. Detection, Sources and
consequences of Multicollinearity. Ridge Regression. Dummy independent variables, dummy variable trap,
Qualitative response regression models; Logistic Regression, Ordinal Regression. Detection, Sources and
consequences of specification error.
Books Recommended:
1. Griffiths, W. E, R.C. Hill and G.G Judge. 1996. Learning and Practicing Econometrics, John Wiley
& Sons, New York.
2. Gujrati, D.N and D.C. Porter. 2009 Basic Econometrics, 5th edition. McGraw Hill Book Company,
New York.
3. Johnston, J. and J. DiNardo. 2007. Econometric Methods, 4th edition. McGraw Hill Book Company,
New York.
4. Maddala, G.S and K. Lahiri. 2009. Introduction to Econometrics. 3rd edition. John Wiley & Sons,
New York.
Stat-715 Econometrics-II
3(3-0)
Detection, Sources and consequences of Autocorrelation and Heteroscedasticity, Generalized least square.
Error in Variabls; tests, consequences and its remedies for measurements errors in dependent and
independent variables. Stochastic Regressors; properties of estimators of regression models when random
regressors are correlated with disturbance term and its tests for detection of correlation between random
regressors and disturbance term. Simultaneous equation system; Structural and reduced form equations.
Single equation techniques; Indirect least square, two stage least square, Instrumental variable estimator,
limited information maximum likelihood estimator, System equation techniques; three stage least square.
Identification by rank and order condition.

Books Recommended:
5. Griffiths, W. E, R.C. Hill and G.G Judge. 1996. Learning and Practicing Econometrics, John Wiley
& Sons, New York.
6. Gujrati, D.N and D.C. Porter. 2009 Basic Econometrics, 5th edition. McGraw Hill Book Company,
New York.
7. Johnston, J. and J. DiNardo. 2007. Econometric Methods, 4th edition. McGraw Hill Book Company,
New York.
8. Maddala, G.S and K. Lahiri. 2009. Introduction to Econometrics. 3rd edition. John Wiley & Sons,
New York.
Stat-716 Multivariate Statistical Methods
3(3-0)
Review of elementary matrix algebra, Graphical representation of multivariate data. Formulation and
summary statistics of multivariate data. Derivation and properties of multivariate normal distribution.
Method for testing multivariate normality. Inference about mean vector. Inference about covariance. Profile
analysis. Methods for describing multidimensional data in fewer dimensions including Principal component
and factor analysis. Correspondence analysis.
Books Recommended:
1. Afifi A. A., V. Clark and S. May. 2004. Computer Aided Multivariate Analysis, 4th edition.
Chapman & Hall/CRC.
2. Anderson, T.W. 2003. An Introduction to Multivariate Statistical Analysis 3rd edition Wiley-Inter
science
3. Johnson, R. A & D.W Wichern. 2007. Applied Multivariate Statistical Analysis, 6th edition Pearson
Prentice Hall, London.
4. Sharma, S. 1996. Applied Multivariate Techniques, John Wiley & Sons. New York.
Stat-717 General Statistical concepts
3(3-0)
Introduction to demography; age and sex composition, fertility, morality and life tables, migration,
migration and divorce, introduction to psychometry; reliability and validity, essential preparation for verbal
numerical and spatial aptitude tests and personality tests (testing series). Official statistics; Organizing and
conduction of population and agricultural livestock and industrial censuses in Pakistan, Intr-censual surveys
conducted by Federal Bureau of Statistics and its provincial counterparts, Sample designs and Questionaires
of these surveys.
Books Recommended:
1. Guilford, J.P. 2011. Fundamental Statistics in Psychology and Education. McGraw Hill Book Co.
N.Y.
2. Publications, Govt. of Pakistan on Population, Agriculture, Livestock and Industrial Censuses.
3. Yaukey, D., D.L.Y. Anderton and J. Hickers. 2007. Demography; The Study of Human Population,
3rd edition. Waveland Press: McCloskey.
Stat-718 Statistical Quality Control
3(3-0)
Principles of Quality Control, Statistical Quality Control, Total Quality Control, Quality Assurance,
Methods and philosophy of statistical process control Shewhart control charts for variables and attributes

causes for quality variation, Uses of control charts, Statistical basis for control charts, Operating
characteristic function and ALR, Statistical process control for short production runs, Acceptance and
modified control charts, Multivariate quality control problems, Process capability analysis, Cusum control
charts for sample average, Exponentially weighted moving average control charts, Acceptance sampling
plans, Types of sampling plans, Rectifying inspection, Operating characteristic curve for sampling plans,
Military standard 105E, ISO series.
Books Recommended:
1. Grant E.L., and R. S. Leavenworth 2005. Statistical Quality Control, 4ths edition. McGraw Hill N.Y.
2. Juran, J.M. and Gryna, F.K. 1988. Jurans Quality Control Handbook. McGraw Hill N.Y.
3. Montgomery, D.C. 2004 Introduciton to Statistical Quality Control. McGraw Hill, N.Y
Stat-719 Special Problem

1(1-0)

Stat-720 Seminar

1(1-0)

Stat-721 Advanced Design of Experiments

3(3-0)
Incomplete block designs, two dimentional lattices, rectangular lattices balanced incomplete and parital
balanced incomplete block designs, generalized lattice designs, alpha designs, Design resolution. Fractional
replication, blocking in fractional replication, First and second order response surface designs, Taguchi
methods, Quasi, magic and super magie latin squares and weighting designs. Latin square type crossover
designs. Optimal designs (A optimal, D Optimal).
Books Recommended:
1. Mead. R. 1994. The design of experiments. Cambridge University press.
2. Hinkelmann, K. and Kempthrone, O. 2005 Design and Analysis of Experiment: Advanced
experimental design. John Wiley. N.Y.
3. Cox, D. R. and N. Ried. 2000. The theory of the design of experiments. Chapman and Hall/CRC
4. Atkinson, A. C. and A. N Donev, 1992. Optimum experimental designs. Oxford University press.
5. Myers, H.R., D.C. Montgomery, M. Christine and M. Cook., 2009. Response surface methodology:
process and product optimization using designed experiments. John Wiley, N.Y.
Stat-722 Multivariate Statistical Inference
3(3-0)
Multivariate normal distribution, testing of hypothesis about equality of mean vectors and covariance
matrices, Generalized T2 statistic, Multivariate Behrens-Fisher problem, principle components, factor
analysis, canonical correlation, discriminant analysis, cluster analysis, CART, multivariate regression
analysis MANOVA.
Books Recommended:
1. Alan, I. 2008. Modern Multivariate Statistical Techniques. Springer.
2. Hordle. W. G, and I., Simar. 2007. Applied Multivariate Statistical Analysis, 2nd edition. Springer
3. Johnson R. A. and W. Dean, 2002. Applied Multivariate Statistical Analysis, 6th edition. Prentice
Hall.
4. Manly, B. F. J. 2004. Multivariate Statistical Methods: A Primer. 3rd edition CRC Press

Stat-723 Survey / Research Report

4(0-4)

Stat-724 Statistical Models

3(3-0)
Introduction to Statistical Models, Measurement phenomena, Errors, Statistical approach, Processing of
data, probability, Random events, Nature of statistical model, Random variables and statistical models;
Procedures to construction of statistical models, Life time models, General formulation, Survival function,
survival rate, Lifetime distribution function and event density, Hazard function and cumulative hazard
function, Quantities derived from the survival distribution, Censoring, Truncation and truncated models,
Parametric and Non-parametric estimation, Distributions used in survival analysis, The Normal Model and
its properties, two and three parameters case with applications. The Gamma Models and their properties,
Two and three parameter case, Special case(Chi square and Erlang Models), Special case (Exponential
Model) and their applications, The Beta Model and its properties, Two and three parameters case, special
case (Uniform Model), Relationship to Other Distributions (Like F-distribution, t-distribution, Gamma
Distribution, Normal Approximation, Poisson and Chi square approximations), The Type-I Etreme Value
Model, Development of the Model, Types of Extreme Value Asymptote, The Characteristic Largest Value,
The Type-I Asymptote of Maxima, Properties of the Model, Connections with Initial Distributions, The
Weibull Model and Related Cases, Properties of the Model. Two and three paramenters case; Special case
(Exponential and Rayleigh Models). Connections with Initial Distribution, The Log-Normal and Gamma
Cases.
Books Recommended:
1. Davies, R., T. Carole and C. Taylor. 2008. Statistical Models of Shape: Optimization and evaluation.
Springer, New York.
2. Freedman, D. A. 2009. Statistical Models: Theory and Practice. Cambridge University Press.
3. Gupta, A. K., W. B. Zeng and W. Yanhong. 2010 Probability and Statistical Models: Foundations
for Problems in Reliability and Financial Mathematics. Springer, New York.
4. Khan. M. K. 2001. Probability with application 2nd Edition.
Stat-725 Analysis of Categorical Data
3(3-0)
Problems and examples of categorical data, Multinomial distribution and confidence intervals for log
contrasts of parameters. Pearsons X2 and 2 log-likelihood ratio test for multinomial alternatives. Multi-way
tables and cross product ratio as a measure of association. Ordinal probabilities, Scores and odds ratio,
relative risk, Log linear models for two way table (comparison to ANOVA) and extension to three way
table, hierarchical models, MLE of parameters and interpretation of hypothesis, Asymptotic distribution of
log contrasts. Logistic regression dichotomousresponse.
Books Recommended:
1. Agresti, A. 2007. An Introduction to Categorical Data Analysis. 2nd edition. John Wiley & Sons.
2. Agresti, A. 2010 Analysis of Ordinal Categorical Data, 2nd edition. John Wiley & Sons.
3. Stokes, M.E, C.S. Davis and G. G. Koch. 2006. Categorical data Analysis. SAS Institute and Wiley
USA
Stat-726 Analysis of Time Series Data
Theory:

3(2-1)

Importance of Time Series; Time series models and their types, univariate time series models, Multivariate
time series models, Components of time series models, Stationary, Non-Stationary, Autoregressive Models,
Moving Average Models, Autoregressive Moving Average Models, Autoregressive Integrated Moving
Average Model, Partial Autocorrelation Box-Jenkins Approach, Box-Jenkins Model Identification, Box
Jenkins Model Estimation;
Correlatogram and periodogram, Forecasting and spectral analysis (Eviews 6, SPSS, MiniTab) for problem
solving using time series data published by Government departments of Pakistan.
Books Recommended:
1. Box G. E. P., G. M. Jenkins and G. C. Reinsel. 2008. Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control.
Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics.
2. Chartfield, C. 2003 The Analysis of Time Series: An Introduction, 6th Edition. Chapman &
Hall/CRC Texts in Statistical Science.
3. Cowpertwait, S. P. P and A.V Metalife. 2009. Introductory Time Series with R (Use R) Springer.
4. Montgomery, D. C., C.L. Jennings and M. Kulachi. 2009 Introduction to Time Series Analysis and
Forecasting. Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics.
Stat-727
Advanced Probability Theory
3(3-0)
Introduction to probability measure theory; its terminology, Set theory, Counting techniques, Boral sets,
Fields, Sigma fields and measure, construction of sigma field, Riemann integral, probability measure,
extension of measures, constriction of extension, Monotone classes, uniqueness, completeness, inversion,
Lebesque measures on the unit interval, Lebeshue-stieltjes measures and distribution functions, Functions,
measureable fucntions, Convex function, Probability spaces, event, independence, The Borel-Cantelli
Lemmas, product spaces and Fubinis theorem, Inequalities and limiting operations; markoves, Jensens,
AM-GMs, Schwarzs, Minkowskis Holders, and Youngs inequalities. Limit theorems, convergence of
distribution, convergence of sequences of measureable functions, weak convergence of measures, Martigale
theory, Probability models and simulation.
Books Recommended:
1. Ash, R. B. and C. Deleans-Dade. 2000: Probability and Measure theory. Academic Press. An
Imprint of Elsevier. USA
2. Billingsley, P. 1995. Probability and Measure 3rd Edi. Wiley-Interscience, New York.
3. Khan, M. K. 1996 Probabilitywith Applications. Maktiba Ilmi, Lahore Pakistan
Stat-728
Statistical Data Analysis
3(0-3)
Use of statistical packages like MSTATC, SPSS, SAS Lindo Minitba etc. to solve the practical problems in
Design of experiment, Regression, Econometrics etc. (At least two packages shall be covered in this course)
programming with R-Language.
Books Recommended:
1. Anonymous 1990 MSTATC Manual, Michigan State University, Department of Soil Science.
2. Draper, N. and H. Smith. 1981. Applied Regression Analysis. John Wiley and Sons, Inc. N.Y.
3. Landau, S and B. S. Everett. 2004. A Handbook of Statistical Analysis using SPSS. Chapman &
Hall.

Math-700 Mathematics for Postgraduate Students 4(4-0)

Basic set theory: sets, subsets, power set, algebra of sets, Venn diagram, intervals and related word
problems; Sequence and series; A.P., G. P., H. P., nth term, sum of 1st n terrns, means and applications.
Binomial theorem, binomial series and its simple application. Matrices; algebra of matrices, determinants,
inverse of a matrix; trigonometry: trigonometric identities, inverse trigonometric functions, finding heights,
distances and widths using trigonometry and area of a triangle. Calculus and Analytic Geometry: division of
a line segment, equation of a straight line and other standard curves, relations and functions, limit,
continuity, differentiation, differentials; anti-derivation by standard results by substitution and by parts.
Books recommended:
1. Thomas, G.B. and R.L. Finney. 2002. 9th edition. Calculus and Analytical Geometry. Roohani Ar
Press Islamabad.
2. Yusuf, S. M. and M. Amin. 2002. Mathematical Methods. IImi Kitab Khana Kabir Street Urdu
Bazaar, Lahore.
3. Yusuf, S. M. and M. Amin 2000. Calculus with Analytic Geometry. IImi Kitab Khana, Kabir Street,
Urdu Bazaar, Lahore.