Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Cautionary Statements
This presentation is not a prospectus, is not an offer to sell securities and is not soliciting an offer to buy securities.
An investment in the Partnerships common units involves risks associated with the Partnerships business, environmental, health, safety and other regulations, the structure
of the Partnership and the tax characteristics of the Partnerships common units. You should carefully consider the risk factors under the heading Risk Factors in the
Partnerships Registration Statement on Form S-1 (File No. 333-203165) and Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal quarter ended December 31, 2015, together with all
of the other information included in therein, including the matters addressed under Forward-Looking Statements, in evaluating an investment in the common units.
This presentation contains statements that express the Partnerships opinions, expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, assumptions or projections regarding future events or
future results, in contrast with statements that reflect historical facts. Examples include discussion of our strategies, EBITDA forecasts, financing plans and growth
opportunities. In some cases, you can identify such forward looking statements by terminology such as anticipate, intend, believe, estimate, plan, seek, project,
expect, may, will, would, could or should, or the negative of these terms or similar expressions. While we base these statements in good faith on assumptions that
we believe to be reasonable when made, these forwardlooking statements are not a guarantee of our performance, and you should not place undue reliance on such
statements. Forwardlooking statements are subject to many risks and uncertainties that are outside our control and could cause our actual results to differ materially from
those we thought would occur, such as: the amount of coal we are able to produce from our mines and the efficiency of our mining, preparation and transportation of coal,
which could be adversely affected by, among other things, operating difficulties, unfavorable geologic conditions, inclement or hazardous weather conditions and natural
disasters or other force majeure events; overall domestic and global economic and industry conditions, including the market price of, supply of and demand for domestic and
foreign coal; the consumption pattern of industrial consumers, electricity generators and residential users; the price and availability of alternative fuels for electricity
generation, especially natural gas; competition from other coal suppliers; the impact of domestic and foreign governmental laws and regulations, including environmental and
climate change regulations and regulations affecting the coal mining industry and coal-fired power plants, and delays in the receipt of, failure to receive, failure to maintain or
revocation of necessary governmental permits; the costs associated with our compliance with domestic and foreign governmental laws and regulations, including
environmental and climate change regulations; technological advances affecting energy consumption; the costs, availability and capacity of transportation infrastructure; the
cost and availability of skilled labor (including miners), the effects of new or expanded health and safety regulations and work stoppages and other labor difficulties; and
changes in tax laws. You should also carefully consider the statements under the heading Forward-Looking Statements in the Registration Statement and Annual Report on
Form 10-K.
Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made, and the Partnership undertakes no obligation to correct or update any forwardlooking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law.
This presentation also contains information about the Partnerships adjusted EBITDA, which is not a measure derived in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting
principles (GAAP) and which excludes components that are important to understanding the Partnerships financial performance. Adjusted EBITDA should not be
considered an alternative to net income or any other measure of financial performance or liquidity presented in accordance with GAAP. Adjusted EBITDA excludes some, but
not all, items that affect net income or net cash, and our presentation may vary from the presentations of other companies. As a result, adjusted EBITDA as presented herein
may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies. Reconciliations of adjusted EBITDA to net income, the most directly comparable GAAP financial
measure, can be found in the Registration Statement and in this presentation.
Offering
CNXCTimeline
Investment
Focus on Safety,
Compliance and
Continuous Improvement
Proposition
Operate some of the industry's safest underground mines; 51% lower Mine Safety and Health Administration (MSHA)
incident rate vs. national average
Underground training academy dedicated to training miners and improving their safety performance and regulatory
compliance
Seek to minimize direct commodity exposure through multi-year, committed and priced sales contracts; contracted position
at 100%, 61% and 49% for 2016, 2017 and 2018 expected sales volumes
Well-established credit-worthy customer base comprised primarily of utility companies in the eastern U.S. willing to commit
to multi-year contracts
Strong Sponsor
Access to significant pool of management talent, deep industry knowledge and strong commercial relationships
Economically incentivized to grow CNXC through ownership of IDRs and LP units as well as 80% retained interest in the PA
mining complex
Experienced Management
Team
Significant expertise owning, developing and managing complex coal mining operations
Proven track record of successfully building coal assets in a reliable and cost-effective manner
Extensive high-quality contiguous reserves of high-Btu bituminous coal in Pittsburgh No. 8 Coal Seam are ideal for high
productivity, low-cost longwall operations
Advantageous coal quality with relatively higher heat content, lower sulfur content and lower chlorine content
Strategically Located
Operations with Access to
Key Infrastructure
Logistics infrastructure and proximity to coal-fired power plants allow operational and marketing flexibility
Significant transportation cost advantage compared to many of our competitors
Direct access to domestic customers and Baltimore Marine Terminal through Norfolk Southern and CSX rail lines
2015 average cash margins were the highest of our MLP peers; CNXC: $21.76 per ton versus average of other MLP peers:
$14.16 per ton
Recent capital investment has optimized our mining operations and logistics infrastructure to maintain low operating costs
Dual-batch facility that operates 24/7 and loads up to 9,000 tons of coal per hour and ten unit trains per day
Strong relationship with Norfolk Southern and CSX rail lines - investing significant capex to increase rail takeaway
100
4.95
90
5.0
75
4.0
59
3.0
2.35
2.6
50
2.03
2.0
25
11
1.0
16
21
0.0
Incident Rate
Industry Average
PA Operations
Notice of Violation/Non-compliance
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Growth-oriented master limited partnership formed by CONSOL Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CNX) in 2015 to manage and
further develop all of its active thermal coal operations in Pennsylvania.
Initial assets include a 20% undivided interest in, and operational control over, CONSOL Energys Pennsylvania
mining complex
Sponsor has provided us the Right of First Offer (ROFO) on the retained 80% undivided interest in the
Pennsylvania mining complex, and certain other Sponsor Assets
Sponsor retained 12.7 million LP units (53.4% limited partner interest) including 11.6 million subordinated units
5.5 million LP units (23.2% limited partner interest) owned by Greenlight Capital
5.1 million LP units (21.4% limited partner interest) held by other public holders
(1)
Operational
Adjustments
Temporarily idled one longwall and re-aligned schedules for remaining longwalls
Align the marketing strategy to the MLP structure through aggressive contracting
and reduced price volatility
Marketing Targets
Financial Priorities
100% ownership
interest
2% general partner
interest
80% undivided
ownership interest
44.6% limited
partner interest
Pennsylvania mining
complex
Strategically aligned with CNXC and incentivized to support growth to enhance value of
MLP business
6
Train loadout facility (up to 9,000 tons per hour) with dual rail access
with Norfolk Southern and CSX
Average AR
Sulfur
Content (1)
Annual
Production
Capacity
(tons) (1)
Production
(tons) (1)
Bailey
271.7
12,940
2.64%
11.5
10.2
Enlow Fork
316.2
12,940
2.19%
11.5
9.0
Harvey
203.5
13,070
2.25%
5.5
3.6
Total
791.4
12,970
2.36%
28.5
22.8
11,363
2.95%
12,394
3.22%
11,525
2.44%
Illinois Basin
Other NAPP
Other Coal
(3)
MLPs
(2)
(2)
Baltimore
Terminal
Active Complex
Port/Dock
Total
Recoverable
Reserves
(tons) (1)
Mine
PA Mining
Complex
2015 PA Mining
Complex Customers
Reduced spot commodity price exposure via multi-year, committed and priced sales contracts
Well-established, credit-worthy customer base comprised primarily of utility companies in the eastern United States
willing to commit to multi-year contracts
While unusually warm weather and ongoing low natural gas prices have resulted in fluctuating delivery schedules, we
continue to work with our customers to ensure our contracted volumes get shipped
Contracted Volume(1)
38%
51%
100%
19%
43%
2016E
2017E
49%
2018E
Uncommitted
Secured multi-year commitments with key power plants in the upper Midwest and
Southeast markets, which historically been thought of as domain of other coal basins
(1) Source: Annual Filings 10-K of CNX Coal Resources, Inc. and CONSOL Energy Inc. Committed and priced tons percentages based on the projected sales volume during that year and subject to
rounding adjustments. Our committed and priced contracts include those contracts that contain fixed prices with preestablished price adjustments based on (i) variances in the quality
characteristics of coal delivered to the customer beyond threshold quality characteristics specified in the applicable sales contract, (ii) the actual calorific value of coal delivered to the customer,
and/or (iii) fluctuations in the power market.
5.0
2015 Sulfur
4.0
3.5
15
3.0
2.5
10
2.0
Closed
in 2015
1.5
1.0
0.5
Higher
Sulfur
Near End of
Reserve Life
Mine Mouth
Operations
Primarily
Met Coal
Producer
Powhatan (1)
Century (1)
Cumberland (1)
Leer (1)
Emerald (1)
Federal (1)
0.0
Sulfur (% as received)
20
4.5
PA Complex
Remaining (Non-Retiring)
Coal Power Plants
Our Strategy: Focus domestic steam sales on clean, modern and efficient plants in our
core market. Push into former CAPP market, and take advantage of crossover and
export opportunities
10
Source: EIA and CNX data estimates.
Top 15
PA Mining
Complex
Customer
Plants(1)
57%
All Other
Plants(2)
51%
All Other
Plants(2)
45%
10,000
Eastern U.S.
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
(1)
(2)
(3)
Current PA
Mining
Complex
Customers
We have continued to increase sales to our highest capacity factor customers in 2016,
and we are well positioned to come out in the lead when the market rebounds.
Source: EIA and CNXC data estimates.
11
A 1% increase in coals share of generation equates to a 20-25 million ton / year increase in U.S. electric power
sector coal demand
Right-sizing of coal supply under current market conditions will help set the stage for coal prices to rebound with
uptick in gas prices
Coal Share of U.S. Generation vs. Natural Gas Price Ranges (January 2012 November 2015)
46%
44%
42%
40%
38%
Range
36%
Average
34%
32%
Source: EIA
30%
28%
< $2.50
$2.50-$3.00
$3.00-$3.50
$3.50-$4.00
$4.00-$4.50
> $4.50
Natural gas prices are suppressing coal prices, but that dynamic can change quickly
Source: EIA.
12
Capitalize on Strong
Financial Profile
Reduced the borrowing on our $400M credit facility to $185 million from $200M
at the IPO
Maintain Growth
Flexibility
Continue to optimize production levels while working with customers to ensure delivery
of committed coal
Focus on maintaining industry leading cash margins and high quality, well established
customer base
Reduced operating and capital spending levels while efficiently running our longwall
mining operation
CNXC will be flexible with respect to drop-down timing and financing mix to strive to
achieve its distribution targets
Coal Production
Coal Sales
Realized Price
Cost of Coal Sold
million tons
million tons
Per ton
Per ton
2016 Guidance
Estimated Coal Sales million tons
Adjusted EBITDA
$ million
Capex
$ million
Low
4.4
57
24.5
High
5.2
67
27.5
14
Debt/2015E EBITDA(3)
$30.00
5.0x
$21.76
4.4x
4.0x
$20.24
$20.00
2.9x
3.0x
$15.08
2.0x
2.0x
$10.00
1.2x
1.0x
$0.00
.0x
CNXC
ARLP
FELP
RNO
ARLP
RNO
FELP
EV/2016E EBITDA(2)
8.9x
8.0x
6.0x
CNXC
35.0%
33.2%
31.5%
30.0%
4.8x
5.3x
5.7x
24.7%
25.0%
20.0%
4.0x
15.0%
10.0%
10.0%
2.0x
5.0%
.0x
0.0%
CNXC
(1)
(2)
(3)
ARLP
FELP
Coal C-Corps
CNXC
AMZ
FELP
ARLP
Determined by deducting Company operating costs including transportation costs excluding DD&A; FELP on RNO data is only for 9M15
Net debt as of December 31, 2015. EV and EBITDA based on mean of select Wall Street Research when guidance not available, FactSet as of February 22, 2016. ARLP on GP-adjusted basis. RNO and
FELP debt as of September 30, 2015.
15
Current yield calculation based on COB February 22, 2016.
Flexible Drop-downs
16
Non-GAAP Reconciliation
Net Income
Interest Expense
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization
Unit Based Compensation
Adjusted EBITDA
Less:
Cash Interest
Estimated Maintenance Capital Expenditures
Distributable Cash Flow
8,673
1,898
8,063
25
18,659
16,562
1,898
199
18,659
1,583
7,319
9,757
1,583
7,319
9,757
17