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Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu

Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

International Baccalaureate Diploma programme


Good Shepherd International School

Internal Assessment
May 2016
Mathematical Studies-Standard level
Topic title: Modeling the temperature for a week for various cities in the world.

Candidate name: pranav, kethavarapu


Candidate number: 001350-0036
School name: Good shepherd international school
Supervisor: Mrs. Angelin
Word count:

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

Acknowledgements
I would like to sincerely acknowledge:

Mrs. Angelin, my math teacher who guided me through the project and

research process.
My IB coordinator, Mrs. Vimala Rani Jacob for providing me with reviews on
my work.

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

Table of contents:
No.

Topic

Page No.

1.

Acknowledgements

2.

Table of contents

3.

Introduction

4.

Collection of data

5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.

Introduction:

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

I have decided to do my project on the topic: modeling the temperature for seven different
cities. I have picked various cities across the globe for my statistical project randomly. I have
started recording the temperature of various cities at seven different points on the globe. I
chose this topic to check whether there is a model equation for the temperature changes
across the globe. It was interesting for me to find that all my graphs showed either a cubic or
quartic shape of the curve, which actually surprised me. I had done correlation and regression
to check the linearity of the equation but mostly it is not a positive one. So I had tried doing
CUBIC regression for my curve of best fit. Then to check if the population between the
temperatures were equal or not I have carried out the one-way anova if it is used to figure out
if there are any noteworthy contrasts between the means for three or more independent
groups. Consequently, the hypothesis is accepted, which expresses that the population means
are all equivalent. There was not much contrast in the means for the temperatures. If there is
an equation found like this then I think the future predictions of climate shift can be found
well in advance.

I am going to collect temperatures of seven different cities from different time zones. I
proceeded with my project work through the below stages:

STAGE 1:
Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

In the first stage of my project I have recorded the temperature of various cities daily,
calculated in Celsius. While choosing the different cities I had taken consideration of the
different time zones and picked cities from different time zones. I have accumulated the data
from http://www.timeanddate.com/weather/.
STAGE 2:
In the second stage of my project from the data I have accumulated I have done 2DIMENSIONAL line scatter graph for each city to know the type of graph and to study and
understand the concavity of the lines in the 2-D line scatter graph.
STAGE 3:
In the third stage of my project I have copied the accumulated data into a new excel sheet,
then I had used the function (=CORREL) to find the correlation for two consecutive days
until I had done it for seven days. This process had been done for all the seven cities that I
have chosen in my statistical project.
STAGE 4:
In the fourth stage of my project I have named each day starting from Saturday(X1) to the
next Saturday(X8) respectively. Then I calculated the mean for X1, X2 and the highest
CORREL for the set of data for every city that I have chosen.
STAGE 5:

Table 1: The first table contains the temperature of Kuala Lumpur recorded for a week.

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

Then a scatter graph for each day comparing with Saturday of the data below has been plotted
to analyze whether it follows linear or cubic regression analysis.

Kuala
Lumpur

Saturd
ay

Sunda
y

27
27
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
27
28
30
31
33
34
34
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24
25
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26

26
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25
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27
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31
33
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35
31
30
30
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29
29
28
28

Mond
ay

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

27
27
26
26
26
26
26
26
27
28
30
30
31
30
32
31
27
27
27
27
26
26
26
26

Tuesd
ay
26
26
26
26
25
25
25
25
25
27
29
31
32
33
34
33
32
30
29
27
27
27
27
27

Wednesd
ay

Thursd
ay

27
27
27
26
26
26
26
26
26
28
30
31
33
34
34
30
29
29
29
29
28
28
28
28

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28
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27
27
27
27
27
27
27
28
30
28
30
31
32
33
32
31
31
30
30
29
28

Friday
28
27
27
26
26
25
25
25
26
28
31
32
33
34
34
34
33
33
32
31
30
30
29
29

Saturd
ay
29
29
28
28
28
27
27
27
26
27
29
31
32
33
33
32
28
28
29
28
28
28
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Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

Kuala Lumpur
40
30

f(x) = - 0.06x^3 + 4.95x^2 - 144.83x + 1426.01


R = 0.79

20
10
0
22

24

26

28

30

32

34

Sunday

Polynomial (Sunday)

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesday

Thursday

Friday

Saturday

36

The above graph even though shows a pattern of cubic regression its not so clear. So,
Separate scatter graphs of each day compared with Saturday has been plotted below:-

Kuala Lumpur-Saturday-Sunday

Sunday

40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
22

f(x) = - 0.05x^3 + 4.73x^2 - 138.31x + 1362.9


R = 0.72

24

26

28

30

Saturday

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

32

34

36

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

Kuala Lumpur-Saturday-Monday
40
30

Monday

f(x) = - 0.03x^3 + 2.67x^2 - 74.99x + 720.8


R = 0.74

20
10
0
22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

Saturday
Monday

Polynomial (Monday)

Kuala Lumpur-Saturday-Tuesday
40
30

Tuesday

f(x) = - 0.05x^3 + 4.26x^2 - 123.83x + 1213.9


R = 0.86

20
10
0
22

24

26

28

30

32

Saturday
Tuesday

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Polynomial (Tuesday)

34

36

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

Kuala Lumpur-Saturday-Wednesday
40
30

Wednesday

f(x) = - 0.06x^3 + 5.15x^2 - 147.84x + 1429.24


R = 0.76

20
10
0
22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

Saturday
Wednesday

Polynomial (Wednesday)

Kuala Lumpur- Saturday-Thursday


40
30

Thursday

f(x) = - 0.02x^3 + 1.5x^2 - 47.4x + 520.57


R = 0.55

20
10
0
22

24

26

28

30

32

Saturday
Thursday

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Polynomial (Thursday)

34

36

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

Kuala Lumpur-Saturday-Friday
40
30

Friday

f(x) = - 0.06x^3 + 5.68x^2 - 166.28x + 1635.34


R = 0.65

20
10
0
22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

Saturday
Friday

Polynomial (Friday)

Each graph above shows a clear cubic regression equation as a best fit for the data.

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

When an online calculator is used to check whether the graph values plotted above are correct
or not. It gave the same perfect value.

TABLE2:
The table 2 contains the temperatures recorded for a week in Amsterdam. The

R2

values

of each of the graph is also showing positive correlation .Now, to check whether the same
happens to other countries, some random graphs had been plotted below.
Saturd
ay
Amsterda
m

11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
12
13
13
13
13

Sunday
10
11
10
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
10

Monda
y
8
8
8
8
7
7
6
6
6
4
4
4
3
4
5
7
8
8
9
10
10
9
11
11
12

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Tuesda
y
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
4
4
4
5
5
5
7
8
8
9
10
11

Wednesda
y

Thursda
y

5
4
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
10
11
10

5
5
5
4
4
5
5
5
7
7
7
7
6
6
7
8
9
9
10
10
11
9
12
12
12

Friday
6
7
7
7
6
7
7
7
6
6
7
5
5
6
7
8
8
9
9
9
10
10
10
11
10

Saturd
ay
7
6
6
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
5
5
7
9
8
9
10
11
11
12
12

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036
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13
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11
10
10

10
10
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
9

10
12
12
13
11
12
11
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10
11
10
9
9
8
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6
5

Candidate
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11
11
9
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9
9
8
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7
7

11
11
11
11
9
9
10
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11
10
11
10
10
10
9
9
8
7
7
7

12
13
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12
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10
9
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7

11
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10
9
8
8
8
8

11
13
13
14
13
14
14
14
14
13
13
12
13
13
12
12
11
11
10
11

Amsterdam-Saturday-Sunday
15
10

Sunday

f(x) = 0.12x^3 - 4.64x^2 + 58.16x - 230.25


R = 0.33

5
0

10

11

12

13

14

Saturday
Sunday

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Polynomial (Sunday)

15

16

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

Amsterdam-Saturday-Tuesday
15
10

Tuesday

f(x) = - 0.5x^3 + 18.66x^2 - 229.6x + 933.07


R = 0.8

5
0

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

Saturday
Tuesday

Polynomial (Tuesday)

Amsterdam-Saturday-Wednesday
15
10

Sunday

f(x) = - 0.31x^3 + 11.67x^2 - 142.15x + 574.01


R = 0.8

5
0

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

Saturday
Wednesday

Polynomial (Wednesday)

It is very clear that it follows a cubic regression equation with moderate positive correlation.
TABLE3:
The table 3 contains the temperatures recorded for a week in London.

Saturd
ay
Londo
n

11
11

Sunda
y

Monda
y

Tuesda
y

11
10

6
5

6
5

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Wednesd
ay
7
7

Thursda
y
5
5

Frida
y
7
6

Saturda
y
7
5

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036
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16
15
13
12
12
12
11

9
9
8
8
7
7
8
9
9
10
10
10
10
11
11
11
11
9
7
7
6
6

4
4
3
3
4
5
7
9
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10
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Candidate
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11
9
8
7
6

5
5
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10
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9
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7

London-Saturday-Sunday
15
10

Sundauy

f(x) = - 0.05x^3 + 2.19x^2 - 30.71x + 148.13


R = 0.51

5
0
10

11

12

13

14

15

16

Saturday
Sunday

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Polynomial (Sunday)

17

18

19

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Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

London-Saturday-Wednesday
15
f(x) = 0.04x^3 - 1.66x^2 + 24.99x - 116.31
R = 0.76

10

Wednesday

5
0
10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

18

19

Saturday
Wednesday

Polynomial (Wednesday)

London-Saturday-Thursday
15
f(x) = 0.06x^3 - 2.86x^2 + 45.5x - 228.83
R = 0.93

10

Thursday

5
0
10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

Saturday
Thursday

Polynomial (Thursday)

Even in this case the equation is a cubic one but there is a slight decrease in the value of co
efficient of determination which says that it has a very moderate positive correlation.

TABLE4:
The table 4 contains the temperatures recorded for a week in Madrid.
Saturd
ay
Madri
d

16
16
15
17
21
23

Sunda
y

Monda
y

Tuesda
y

15
13
13
16
19
22

14
14
13
18
21
23

16
16
16
18
23
23

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Wednesd
ay
19
17
17
18
21
24

Thursd
ay
17
17
16
18
20
24

Saturd
Friday ay
18
16
14
18
22
23

17
17
15
18
21
22

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036
18
16

21
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Candidate

20
17

23
20

22
19

22
18

18
17

Madrid-Saturday-Sunday
40

Sunday 20
0
14

f(x) = 0.04x^3 - 2.58x^2 + 52.28x - 336.08


R = 0.82
15
16
17
18
19
20
21

22

23

24

22

23

24

22

23

24

Saturday
Sunday

Polynomial (Sunday)

Madrid-Saturday-Tuesday
40

Tuesday 20
0
14

f(x) = - 0x^3 + 0.09x^2 + 2.9x - 31.41


R = 0.77
15
16
17
18
19
20
21

Saturday
Tuesday

Polynomial (Tuesday)

Madrid-Saturday-Thursday
40

Thursday 20
0
14

f(x) = 0.05x^3 - 3.09x^2 + 59.7x - 365.64


R = 0.85
15

16

17

18

19

20

21

Saturday
Thursday

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Polynomial (Thursday)

21
20

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

Here again, Madrid is having a strong positive correlation but following the same cubic
regression .

Table 5:
The table 5 contains the temperatures recorded for a week in Melbourne.
Saturd
ay
Melbourn
e

13
13
13
13
13
12

Sunda
y
11
11
11
11
11
10

Monda
y

Tuesda
y

Wednesda
y

Thursda
y

10
10
10
10
10
10

10
10
10
10
10
9

8
7
7
8
9
9

8
8
7
7
8
6

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Friday
8
8
8
8
8
8

Saturd
ay
13
13
13
13
16
14

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036
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13
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14
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
11
11

10
10
10
10
10
9
9
10
10
10
10
10
11
11
12
12
13
12
13
15
14
15
14
14
14
13
13
13
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10

10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
11
11
11
13
13
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
12
12
11
10
11
11
11
11
11

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Candidate
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Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

Melbourne-Saturday-Sunday
20
15
f(x) = 0.08x^3 - 2.45x^2 + 26.41x - 86.23
R = 0.58

Sunday 10
5
0
9.5

10

10.5

11

11.5

12

12.5

13

13.5

14

14.5

14

14.5

14

14.5

Saturday
Sunday

Polynomial (Sunday)

Melbourne-Saturday-Monday
15
f(x) = 0.13x^3 - 4.38x^2 + 51.04x - 188.69
R = 0.31

10

Monday

5
0
9.5

10

10.5

11

11.5

12

12.5

13

13.5

Saturday
Monday

Polynomial (Monday)

Melbourne-Saturday-Wednesday
20
15

f(x) = 0.38x^3 - 13.36x^2 + 155.71x - 597.47


R = 0.38

Wednesday 10
5
0
9.5

10

10.5

11

11.5

12

12.5

13

13.5

Saturday
Wednesday

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Polynomial (Wednesday)

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

Table 6:
The table 6 contains the temperatures recorded for a week in Bangalore.
Saturd
ay

Sunda
y

21
22
29
30
20
20
19
18

20
20
24
27
30
22
23
22

Bangal
ore

Mond
ay

Tuesd
ay

22
21
23
28
30
29
26
24

Wednesd
ay

23
23
24
28
31
30
27
25

Thursd
ay

24
23
25
29
32
25
24
22

21
21
24
29
32
22
21
21

Friday
21
20
24
30
33
31
27
25

Banglore-Saturday-Sunday
40

Sunday 20

f(x) = 0.05x^3 - 3.29x^2 + 72.75x - 503.48


R = 0.33

0
16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

30

32

Saturday
Sunday

Polynomial (Sunday)

Banglore-Saturday-Wednesday
40
f(x) = 0.07x^3 - 4.84x^2 + 110.41x - 802.38
R = 0.43

Wednesday 20
0
16

18

20

22

24

26

28

Saturday
Wednesday

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Polynomial (Wednesday)

Saturd
ay
24
22
24
29
32
22
23
22

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

Banglore-Saturday-Friday
40
f(x) = 0.1x^3 - 6.82x^2 + 151.03x - 1066.93
R = 0.5

Friday 20
0
16

18

20

22

24

26

28

Saturday
Friday

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Polynomial (Friday)

30

32

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

Table 7:
Saturd
ay
Beijin
g

14
12
19
26
31
30
26
24

Sunda
y

Monda
y

21
16
19
26
30
30
26
23

Tuesda
y

20
19
21
24
27
27
22
19

Wednesd
ay

17
17
19
22
23
25
22
18

Thursda
y

16
14
18
22
26
26
23
21

20
17
20
25
28
29
26
24

Frida
y
19
18
19
20
26
20
15
14

Beijing-Saturday-Sunday
40
30

Sunday 20
10
0
10

f(x) = 0x^3 - 0.03x^2 + 0.8x + 11


R = 0.92
15

20

25

30

35

Saturday
Sunday

Polynomial (Sunday)

Beijing-Saturday-Monday
30
20

Monday

f(x) = 0x^3 - 0.19x^2 + 3.52x - 1.76


R = 0.87

10
0
10

15

20

25

Saturday
Monday

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Polynomial (Monday)

30

35

Saturda
y
15
14
18
22
23
23
21
19

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

Beijing-Saturday-Friday
30
20

Friday 10

f(x) = 0.01x^3 - 0.6x^2 + 11.37x - 49.29


R = 0.73

0
10

15

20

25

30

35

Saturday
Friday

Polynomial (Friday)

Since most of the scatter plots are following cubic equation as a best curve of fit. The next
step is to check whether the coefficients of the cubic regression equation found by the Excel
sheet is correct or not. So, Kuala Lumpurs data Saturday and Sunday has been chosen for
this calculation.
Grouping all the values of R 2 for Kuala Lumpur in a table
Sat- sun

Saturday
(x)
27
27
26
26

R = 0.7199

Sunday
(y)
26
26
26
26

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036
26
26
26
26
26
27
28
30
31
33
34
34
34
26
24
25
25
26
26
26

Candidate

26
26
25
25
26
27
30
31
33
34
35
35
31
30
30
29
29
29
28
28

Let the general equation of a cubic equation is given by:


3

y=ax +bx +cx +d

Substituting for

x=24 y=30the above Equation A

24

24

Substituting for

- Equation A

-Equation-1

x=27 y=27the above Equation A

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

27

27

Substituting for

-Equation- 2

x=31 y =33theabove Equation A

31

31

Substituting for

Candidate

-Equation-3

x=33 y=34the above Equation A

33

33

-Equation-4

by subtracting Equation1Equation 2 We get


5859 a153 b3 c=3

by subtracting Equation2Equation 3 We get


10108 a232 b4 c=6

by subtracting Equation3 Equation4

6146 a128 b2 c=1

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

We get

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

by subtracting Equation1Equation 4

Candidate

We get

22113 a513 b9 c=4

a=

11
277
2681
10182
b=
c=
d=
189
54
18
7

d=1454.57

Hence the cubic equation


y=0.058201 x 3 +5.12963 x 2148.944 x+ 1454.57

Which matches the value in the graph below.

Kuala Lumpur
40
f(x) = - 0.05x^3 + 4.73x^2 - 138.31x + 1362.9
R = 0.72

30

Sunday 20
10
0
22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

Saturday

To check more on the relationship between the temperature for the days of Kuala Lumpur.
Mann-Whitney U test: is conducted to check whether there is any significant difference in
their temperatures. Same data from Kuala Lumpur is taken to test this behavior.
Let the variables denote:
U=MannWhitney U variable .

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

n1=Sample saturday .
n2=Sample sunday .
Ri=Rank of the sample
H o=There is significant differencetheir temperatures .
H 1=There isno signifcant differencetheir temperatures .
T x = Highest rank total.
N x =
The formula for Mann-Whitney U test is
n
n2 ( n2+1)
Ri
2
i=n +1
2

U=n1 n 2+

For the test first I ranked x and y into different columns without
considering the categories and then if multiple times it had the same
temperatures then I added the ranks and then divided it by the respected
number of ranks. Then I added up the ranks of x to get
up the ranks for y to get
it is

t2

t2

t1

then I added

then I selected the larger rank in this is case

after which I have used a table of critical U values for the Mann-

Whitney U test for two-tailed test at

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

level of significance level.

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Saturday rank x
(x)
27
25.5
27
25.5
26
14.5
26
14.5
26
14.5
26
14.5
larger
Tx
26
14.5
rank26
14.5
Nx
26
14.5
27
25.5
28
29
30
32.5
31
36
33
38.5
34
41.5
34
41.5
34
41.5
26
14.5
24
1
25
3.5
25
3.5
26
14.5
26
14.5
26
14.5

t1

504.5

Sunday
rank y
(y)
26
14.5
26
14.5
26
14.5
26
14.5
26
14.5
26
14.5
626.5
25
3.5
25
3.5
24
26
14.5
27
25.5
30
32.5
31
36
33
38.5
34
41.5
35
44.5
35
44.5
31
36
30
32.5
30
32.5
29
32
29
32
29
32
28
29
28
29

t2

626.5

Candidate

U calculated =24 24+24

25
626.5
2

U calculated =249.5
5 level of significance
U table value(24, 24)=201 )
U Calc <U Table
Therefore, we reject the null hypothesis and
accept that there is no significance difference
between the temperatures of the two days in
Kuala Lumpur.

One-way Anova: is used to determine whether there are any significant differences between
the means of three or more independent groups.
Defining the variables for One-way Anova:
H o : Sun =Sat =Mon= Tue=Wed =Thurs = Fri =Sat

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

(All the population means are equal)

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

H 1 : All themeans are not equal.


T=Sum of each entry in the table.
x ij = of each entry squaresthe entry .
2

M =Number of columns .

K=Number of rows .
n=mk=columns rows .

SS T = of the squares of the total .


SS B = of the squares between the days .

SS W = of the squares within the days .


MSS=Mean of the squares .
Fratio
df =Degreesof freedom.

=0.05=5 level of significance .

K
U
A
L
A

Saturday
Sunday
Monday
Tuesday

27
26
27
26

27
26
27
26

26
26
26
26

26
26
26
26

26
26
26
25

26
26
26
25

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

26
25
26
25

26
25
26
25

26
26
27
25

27
27
28
27

28
30
30
29

30
31
30
31

31
33
31
32

33
34
30
33

34
35
32
34

34
35
31
33

34
31
27
32

26
30
27
30

24
30
27
29

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

L
U
M
P

Candidate

Wednesday

27

27

27

26

26

26

26

26

26

28

30

31

33

34

34

30

29

29

29

Thursday
Friday
Saturday

28
28
29

28
27
29

27
27
28

27
26
28

27
26
28

27
25
27

27
25
27

27
25
27

27
26
26

27
28
27

28
31
29

30
32
31

28
33
32

30
34
33

31
34
33

32
34
32

33
33
28

32
33
28

31
32
29

67
6
67
6
67
6
62
5
67
6
72
9
67
6
78
4

67
6
67
6
67
6
62
5
67
6
72
9
62
5
72
9

TAB
LE
OF
TH
E
SU
M
OF
SQ
UA
RE
S
Saturday
K Sunday
U
A Monday
L
A Tuesday
Wednesd
L ay
U
M Thursday
P
U Friday
R
Saturday

72
9
67
6
72
9
67
6
72
9
78
4
78
4
84
1

72
9
67
6
72
9
67
6
72
9
78
4
72
9
84
1

67
6
67
6
67
6
67
6
72
9
72
9
72
9
78
4

67
6
67
6
67
6
67
6
67
6
72
9
67
6
78
4

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

67
6
62
5
67
6
62
5
67
6
72
9
62
5
72
9

67
6
62
5
67
6
62
5
67
6
72
9
62
5
72
9

67
6
67
6
72
9
62
5
67
6
72
9
67
6
67
6

72
9
72
9
78
4
72
9
78
4
72
9
78
4
72
9

78
4
90
0
90
0
84
1
90
0
78
4
96
1
84
1

900
961
900
961
961
900
102
4
961

961
108
9

108
9
115
6

961
102
4
108
9

900
108
9
115
6

115
6
122
5
102
4
115
6
115
6

784
108
9
102
4

900
115
6
108
9

961
115
6
108
9

115
6
122
5
961
108
9
900
102
4
115
6
102
4

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

Candidate

The table below denotes the number of rows and columns of the data above.
M
K
N

24
8
19
2

N=M K
SS T =1570825468 5468 192=1358

( 665 )2 ( 691 )2 ( 661 )2 ( 674 )2 ( 685 )2 ( 695 )2 ( 708 )2 (689 )2 ( 5468 )2


SS B =
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
=73.3
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
192
SS W =135873.3=1258

Source of
variation

Degrees of
freedom (df)

Between
temperatures

K 1

SS B

Within
temperatures

N K

SS W

Total

N 1

SS T

Source of variation
Between Groups
Within Groups
Total

Df
7
18
4
19
1

Sum of
squares (SS)

SS
73.3333333
3
1284.58333
3
1357.91666
7

Mean of
Squares
(MSS)
SS B
(K1)
SS W
(NK )

MS
S

Ratio
1.50057921
10.5
3
6.98

degrees of freedom for within groups=NK =1928=184

MSS for between groups=

73.33
=10.5
7

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

F-ratio

SS B /(K 1)
SSW /( N K)

Candidate Name: Pranav, Kethavarapu


Number: 001350-0036

MSS for within groups=

FRatio=

Candidate

1284.583
=6.98
184

10.5
=1.500579213
6.98

=0.05 critical region is F 7,184 >2.02

Fcalc =1.500579213<2.02=F table


Hence, the null hypothesis is accepted, which states that the population means are all equal.
There was not much of dilation in the means of the temperatures.

CONCLUSIONS:
Therefore as most of the scatter plots follow the cubic regression equation as a best curve of
fit I did a physical calculation by taking the points which fall on the curve and the ultimate
answer matched that of a scatter plot. In order to check their relationship and the strength of it
Mann Whitney U test was conducted and results were calculated. I rejected the null
hypothesis and accept alternate hypothesis which states that there is not any significance
difference amid the temperatures of the first two days in Kuala Lumpur. Then to check the
above test result , One-way Anova was done in which the null hypothesis is not rejected
which shows that the population means remain all equal at most of the time( even between
the days ) as there remained a very slight change in the means of the temperatures.

Mathematics Studies SL-May 2016

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